Updated 15m ago Nate Cohn Chief political analyst In states reporting votes so far, we’ve seen results from 133 counties, precincts and townships that we think are basically complete. They are almost exactly in line with our pre-election projections pointing toward a very close race.
NYT swingometer 276 Trump, all results still well possible though.
I'm not adding to Harris but not dumping my green yet.
Updated 15m ago Nate Cohn Chief political analyst In states reporting votes so far, we’ve seen results from 133 counties, precincts and townships that we think are basically complete. They are almost exactly in line with our pre-election projections pointing toward a very close race.
NYT swingometer 276 Trump, all results still well possible though.
I'm not adding to Harris but not dumping my green yet.
Feels like about right odds now and am ill (not cause of this, got bloody foot and mouth disease) so gonna go sleep and see where things are in the morning.
Whoever wins it's now nailed on to be an entertaining few days
I'm going to try to sleep, but even knowing it was gloomy early on in 2020, the underestimatioon of Trump pretty consistently in several states is very worrying.
Feels like about right odds now and am ill (not cause of this, got bloody foot and mouth disease) so gonna go sleep and see where things are in the morning.
Whoever wins it's now nailed on to be an entertaining few days
I'm going to try to sleep, but even knowing it was gloomy early on in 2020, the underestimatioon of Trump pretty consistently in several states is very worrying.
Where? As far as I can see the early results match most of the final swing state polls, albeit Harris now leads in NC which was not expected but that may swing back
Looks like Georgia is going to vote Trump. Those gender splits flattered to deceive.
It's not over. But it's close to it - those positive vibes in the last week around female voting and late breakers appears to have been just campaign spin. Some even thought it would be a big Dem win.
Should have done this earlier but we should maybe name the different types of result, we can do it based on who is trying to make it happen.
The Khamenei: Clear Harris win The Netanyahu: Clear Trump win The Xi: Borderline Harris win with maximum chaos The Putin: Borderline Trump win with maximum chaos
CNN showing straw in the wind, two counties that are big university towns in Michigan, Harris doing much worse than Biden (seemingly due to Palestine issue).
CNN showing straw in the wind, two counties that are big university towns in Michigan, Harris doing much worse than Biden (seemingly due to Palestine issue).
Rock and hard place for the Dems on Israel/Palestine.
Comments
Updated 15m ago
Nate Cohn Chief political analyst
In states reporting votes so far, we’ve seen results from 133 counties, precincts and townships that we think are basically complete. They are almost exactly in line with our pre-election projections pointing toward a very close race.
NYT swingometer 276 Trump, all results still well possible though.
I'm not adding to Harris but not dumping my green yet.
Now President Trump 2.0 will nuke us. Brilliant
Wankers
With 7% in Pennsylvania is Harris 73% Trump 26%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election#Voter_demographics
Whoever wins it's now nailed on to be an entertaining few days
Hang on, I'm getting a pay wall. I thought they'd lifted it.
Trump up one EV! Mashing F5 continues…
10% now.
Trump 49.7%
Harris 49.6%
Same as 2020, I’ll go to bed with Trump as favourite and wake up to see he’s losing (hopefully 🤞🤞)
Trump 75%
Harris 23%
Trump 49.2%
Harris 49.1%
Looking better than expected for Trump in Virginia
Enjoy the rest of the night everyone!
Harris 54%
Trump 44%
Harris 49.5%
Trump 49.5%
Harris 49.4%
Trump 49.3%
Harris 58%
Trump 41%
BRACE.
Think I'll have to give up here. Don't have nightmares now...
The Khamenei: Clear Harris win
The Netanyahu: Clear Trump win
The Xi: Borderline Harris win with maximum chaos
The Putin: Borderline Trump win with maximum chaos
Trump 52%
Harris 47%
Polymarket 71.6%
Betfair 70.4%
Trump 51%
Harris 47%
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-virginia-president.html
Trump 51%
Harris 48%
Draw your own conclusions.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/11/05/compare-2020-2024-presidential-results/
(Interesting is as far as I'll go, at the moment.)