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A bit of movement away from Trump on Betfair – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    edited November 6

    Pulpstar said:

    HYUFD said:

    Vermont 1% in

    Harris 75% Trump 21%

    Vermont is one of the few places where rural areas are Democrat.
    Always wondered why New England is so Liberal.

    Except New Hampshire.
    It wasn't always, 100 years ago New England was the strongest Republican area of the nation.

    In 1936 the only states GOP nominee Alf Landon won against FDR for example were Maine and Vermont in New England
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    kle4 said:

    I can't wait for that moment when a really important state just seems to get stuck on reporting 67.2% or whatever, whilst everyone goes nuts around them.

    Also there's the perennial problem of whether "67% reporting" means 67% of votes or 67% of precincts.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    If a soft tick is put on NC and GA, Harris' paths narrow considerably.

    Bit early for that though.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937

    Georgia - Exit poll good for Trump, early results good for Harris. What a muddle!

    I'd trust the exit poll more than the early results. It's quite common to see the early results point one way and for it to end up going decisively in the other direction when the last 30-40% are counted.
    It's a bit more complex than that, because you see it at a county level. And the counties are often 70+% counted.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,824
    9.5% swing to Trump in Kentucky. If that holds she loses

    Arizona
    Colorado
    Georgia
    Illinois
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Virginia
    Wisconsin

    and the presidency
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    Sadly doesn't appear that we are getting clear '10% different than polling predicted' so we can rest/fear easily.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,688
    CNN has deleted lots of GA numbers
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031
    Why is Simon Schama on the BBC programme?

    When will the BBC learn we don't give a shit about talking heads, and want data?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    edited November 6

    Has any US county completed yet?

    Johnson, Pendleton, Spencer counties in Kentucky are on 99%, which could mean they've finished everything they have to count tonight.

    https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/results/kentucky/president
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 6
    The CNN spin on everything is really tiring. After been shown that voters of North Carolina extremely pissed with the way things have been going, economy most important issue, Biden terrible ratings, they go well I am certain a chunk of those pissed, its about abortion rights, orange man bad....
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    A few counties nearly complete in KY, scroll down to see the swing.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-kentucky-president.html
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292

    Why is Simon Schama on the BBC programme?

    When will the BBC learn we don't give a shit about talking heads, and want data?

    They used to give more data 20 or 30 years ago. Now they think anoraks should go online and find it themselves.
  • HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    HYUFD said:

    Vermont 1% in

    Harris 75% Trump 21%

    Vermont is one of the few places where rural areas are Democrat.
    Always wondered why New England is so Liberal.

    Except New Hampshire.
    It wasn't always, 100 years ago New England was the strongest Republican area of the nation.

    In 1936 the only states GOP nominee Alf Landon won against FDR for example were Maine and Vermont in New England
    New England isn't that rural really and most of it is in the orbit of New York or Boston
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,065
    Is there a similar comparison sheet for Georgia? Very helpful @rcs1000
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,114
    NBC live feed is really good!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    South Carolina called by DDHQ for Trump.

    My map will take the quickest call from any reputable source.

    Trump 28 - 3 Harris.
  • Andy_JS said:

    Why is Simon Schama on the BBC programme?

    When will the BBC learn we don't give a shit about talking heads, and want data?

    They used to give more data 20 or 30 years ago. Now they think anoraks should go online and find it themselves.
    BBC US election nights are always rubbish.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    RobD said:

    A few counties nearly complete in KY, scroll down to see the swing.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-kentucky-president.html

    & it's good news for Trump.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,352
    I'm going to bed.
    Folk are calling the World Cup on the basis of the first corner won in the first group game.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited November 6
    Before I began looking at early returns - and PB - this evening (late afternoon in Seattle) I went down to King County Election to observe . . . AND to return my own humble ballot.

    King Co ballot returns as of 4pm PST = 927k = 65.0% of over 1.4m registered.

    NOTE that KCE expect to tabulate at least 787k by tonight's unofficial, partial results report shortly after 8pm, so somewhere around half of final turnout, or a bit more.

    However, that does NOT include many ballots at election HQ yet to be sorted, nor ones still to be collected from drop boxes (up to 8pm) OR tomorrows incoming mail.

    Down on the ground at KCE, long lines of cars arriving with voters wanting to drop off their ballots, indeed a major traffic jam. And longish lines of other voters either wanted to vote (including using tech to assist disabled) or who have some kind of issue (such as not receiving or misplacing their ballot).

    To see current action at KCE (including voter assistance AND drop-box ballots arriving at warehouse) see:

    https://kingcounty.gov/en/dept/elections/about-us/security-and-accountability/watch-us-in-action

    ADDENDUM - Bit of a lull at the moment, but that's momentary.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,031
    Andy_JS said:

    Why is Simon Schama on the BBC programme?

    When will the BBC learn we don't give a shit about talking heads, and want data?

    They used to give more data 20 or 30 years ago. Now they think anoraks should go online and find it themselves.
    Possibly because they're incompetent at challenging and analysing it themselves.

    Who else is going to be watching other than anoraks?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    dixiedean said:

    I'm going to bed.
    Folk are calling the World Cup on the basis of the first corner won in the first group game.

    Well we know it won't be England winning ;-)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    dixiedean said:

    I'm going to bed.
    Folk are calling the World Cup on the basis of the first corner won in the first group game.

    I don't think anyone has called this for either candidate yet.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374

    Andy_JS said:

    Why is Simon Schama on the BBC programme?

    When will the BBC learn we don't give a shit about talking heads, and want data?

    They used to give more data 20 or 30 years ago. Now they think anoraks should go online and find it themselves.
    BBC US election nights are always rubbish.
    Sky just done a good breakdown of Florida precints
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    Trump is running well ahead of 2020 in Florida and Kentucky, but behind in Indiana.

    Georgia early vote numbers are a little hard to divine, because while Harris is doing better than in 2020 all the counties are rural, and they are all big wins for Trump. There's nothing from Atlanta, Augusta, Savannha, Atghens or Columbus.

    Plus it's early voting.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    Polls closed in North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    Is there any evidence that some Latino voters don't like to vote for black/mixed-race candidates?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 6
    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.
  • NBC and Fox News now have live YouTube streams if you fancy a change from CNN. As do David Pakman (left) and Daily Wire (right).

    How about Novara Media?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    rcs1000 said:

    Trump is running well ahead of 2020 in Florida and Kentucky, but behind in Indiana.

    Georgia early vote numbers are a little hard to divine, because while Harris is doing better than in 2020 all the counties are rural, and they are all big wins for Trump. There's nothing from Atlanta, Augusta, Savannha, Atghens or Columbus.

    Plus it's early voting.

    Are we still expecting some sort of vote dump at 0100 GMT? Thinking of waiting for that then going to bed
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918

    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.

    Ohio is pretty solidly GOP thesedays?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    Florida exit poll hasn't been released so far on the CNN website.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,447
    edited November 6

    Has any US county completed yet?

    Pendleton county in KY is 99% in and is 81.1 Trump 17.5 Harris. In 2020 it was 78 Biden 21 Trump
    kle4 said:

    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.

    Ohio is pretty solidly GOP thesedays?
    It is but it's not so overwhelming that the networks will call it without any votes being counted, unlike say WV or VT
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    West Virginia projected for Trump
  • kle4 said:

    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.

    Ohio is pretty solidly GOP thesedays?
    West Virginia is so Rep that they can call it without even getting any votes in (same for Vermont for the Dems)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    rcs1000 said:

    Georgia - Exit poll good for Trump, early results good for Harris. What a muddle!

    I'd trust the exit poll more than the early results. It's quite common to see the early results point one way and for it to end up going decisively in the other direction when the last 30-40% are counted.
    It's a bit more complex than that, because you see it at a county level. And the counties are often 70+% counted.
    True, but I'd wait for them to be more like 90% before drawing conclusions about the movement from 2020.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,727
    I shall be off to bed. If forced to move off the fence I fear it will be Trump term 2. The economy and immigration favour him.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    South Carolina 3% in

    Trump 59% Harris 39%
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    Andy_JS said:

    Is there any evidence that some Latino voters don't like to vote for black/mixed-race candidates?

    Cuban and Venezuealan heritage voters tend to lean right due to the recent history of their countries of origin.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868

    kle4 said:

    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.

    Ohio is pretty solidly GOP thesedays?
    West Virginia is so Rep that they can call it without even getting any votes in (same for Vermont for the Dems)
    Think CNN projects Lab will win Bootle.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    Virginia 3% in

    Harris 54% Trump 44%
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    I have bought Trump for the Presidency on Polymarket.

    I may reverse course later, but the early results seem to be in his favour.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    Not feeling good about things, but I didn't about the same time in 2020 and it all worked out then, so holding onto that for now.
  • I am not convinced about a swing to Trump in Kentucky. Seems like almost bang on 2020 or a tiny swing to Harris.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937

    rcs1000 said:

    Georgia - Exit poll good for Trump, early results good for Harris. What a muddle!

    I'd trust the exit poll more than the early results. It's quite common to see the early results point one way and for it to end up going decisively in the other direction when the last 30-40% are counted.
    It's a bit more complex than that, because you see it at a county level. And the counties are often 70+% counted.
    True, but I'd wait for them to be more like 90% before drawing conclusions about the movement from 2020.
    Just think of how much you have to win the last 10 percent by to overcome even a 3% lead.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    viewcode said:

    9.5% swing to Trump in Kentucky. If that holds she loses

    Arizona
    Colorado
    Georgia
    Illinois
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Virginia
    Wisconsin

    and the presidency

    That +9.5% is based on mostly RURAL counties, methinks.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    HYUFD said:

    Virginia 3% in

    Harris 54% Trump 44%

    Exactly the same as the final result in 2020.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,805
    rcs1000 said:

    I have bought Trump for the Presidency on Polymarket.

    I may reverse course later, but the early results seem to be in his favour.

    Yes. It feels to me like the best hope for Harris at this stage is the rust belt and hoping it comes through. Not convinced that GA looks good. But a long way to run.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,369

    Andy_JS said:

    Extraordinary if Russia is behind bomb threats on polling stations in Georgia.

    Does Putin know it's not that Georgia?
    His goons might not...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    For Georgia, the big question is what do Fulton, DeKalb and Cobb counties look like when they drop early votes.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    edited November 6
    RobD said:

    kle4 said:

    BREEEAAKKKKINNNGGG NEWWS.....CNN - Trump will win West Virgina. Too early to call North Carolina and Ohio.

    Ohio is pretty solidly GOP thesedays?
    West Virginia is so Rep that they can call it without even getting any votes in (same for Vermont for the Dems)
    Think CNN projects Lab will win Bootle.
    Though West Virginia too voted for Bill Clinton, another change as happening across the west with white working class areas voting more for rightwing parties and upper middle class areas more for left liberal parties
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937

    I am not convinced about a swing to Trump in Kentucky. Seems like almost bang on 2020 or a tiny swing to Harris.

    My friend Dave has done a spreadsheet and says it's 1.2% to Harris.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    I'm mentally prepared for NC/GA etc being for Trump, so long as it is not by too much.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,960
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    Justice for Jim.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 6
    kle4 said:

    I'm mentally prepared for NC/GA etc being for Trump, so long as it is not by too much.

    If he wins both of those, the electoral math get tricky for Harris. She has to then win Penn.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,688
    116k counted in NC - Harris miles ahead.

    Anyone have comparatives?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374

    viewcode said:

    9.5% swing to Trump in Kentucky. If that holds she loses

    Arizona
    Colorado
    Georgia
    Illinois
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Virginia
    Wisconsin

    and the presidency

    That +9.5% is based on mostly RURAL counties, methinks.
    Rural areas going massively for Trump but the Virginia totals so far suggest that is not being replicated in suburban and urban areas
  • Looks like Rep hold in FL Senate is pretty nailed on
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    I am smashing F5 but BF exchange is still down for me, so i am going to bed. I think i am realistically green unless Trump manages to win the WH but lose the sun belt
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    edited November 6
    MikeL said:

    116k counted in NC - Harris miles ahead.

    Anyone have comparatives?

    2% only in in North Carolina but yes Harris ahead 68% to 31% for Trump so far

    https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2024/general-results/state/north-carolina
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,065
    Chances Florida is a stronger Republican win than Texas this year?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918

    kle4 said:

    I'm mentally prepared for NC/GA etc being for Trump, so long as it is not by too much.

    If he wins both of those, the electoral math get tricky for Harris. She has to then win Penn.
    I've assumed she would need to anyway. I don't see a way for her to win without it, given the likelihood of losing GA/NV/AZ.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Pulpstar said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Is there any evidence that some Latino voters don't like to vote for black/mixed-race candidates?

    Cuban and Venezuealan heritage voters tend to lean right due to the recent history of their countries of origin.
    Same for Vietnamese Americans & Russian Americans.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,868
    Trump into 1.49 on Betfair.
  • Decision Desk predicting 64% Trump chance to win (suggests he wins NC, NV, AZ, GA and PA but loses MI and WI)
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    We need to see the big urban areas of Georgia report. Until we know how
    Driver said:

    Trump into 1.49 on Betfair.

    Trump now stronger on Betfair than Polymarket :-)
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2024-election-trump-harris/index.html?t=1730853614410

    Harris campaign deploys celebrities to keep students in line to vote

    The Harris campaign is mobilizing celebrities to try and keep college students in line to vote as they wait for hours to cast ballots.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    rcs1000 said:

    We need to see the big urban areas of Georgia report. Until we know how

    Driver said:

    Trump into 1.49 on Betfair.

    Trump now stronger on Betfair than Polymarket :-)
    I'm now greener on Trump than Harris.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Andy_JS said:

    Extraordinary if Russia is behind bomb threats on polling stations in Georgia.

    Does Putin know it's not that Georgia?
    His goons might not...
    Musko & Don Jr for starters.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    HYUFD said:

    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%

    Until we get Fulton/Cobb/DeKalb in, it's a bit meaningless. They account for a massive chunk of the Democratic vote in the State.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374

    Decision Desk predicting 64% Trump chance to win (suggests he wins NC, NV, AZ, GA and PA but loses MI and WI)

    There aren't even any votes in yet for half those states
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,436
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%

    Until we get Fulton/Cobb/DeKalb in, it's a bit meaningless. They account for a massive chunk of the Democratic vote in the State.
    Then what has pushed you towards Trump?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Looks like Rep hold in FL Senate is pretty nailed on

    Yet again quoting Gomer Pyle - surprise, surprise!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    CBS News are saying that Trump may lose because he was too soft on abortion which alienated evangelicals.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    HYUFD said:

    Decision Desk predicting 64% Trump chance to win (suggests he wins NC, NV, AZ, GA and PA but loses MI and WI)

    There aren't even any votes in yet for half those states
    It’s their projection based on the results in hand.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918

    CBS News are saying that Trump may lose because he was too soft on abortion which alienated evangelicals.

    Bit ungrateful given he delivered the justices to send it back to the states.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%

    Until we get Fulton/Cobb/DeKalb in, it's a bit meaningless. They account for a massive chunk of the Democratic vote in the State.
    Then what has pushed you towards Trump?
    MAGA hat.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,448
    What is driving this movement on betfair?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    Just noticed Jeremy Vine is on Channel 4.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%

    Until we get Fulton/Cobb/DeKalb in, it's a bit meaningless. They account for a massive chunk of the Democratic vote in the State.
    Then what has pushed you towards Trump?
    Fear.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,937
    Right. Time to open a bottle of red wine.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 21,824

    viewcode said:

    9.5% swing to Trump in Kentucky. If that holds she loses

    Arizona
    Colorado
    Georgia
    Illinois
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Nevada
    New Hampshire
    New Jersey
    New Mexico
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    Virginia
    Wisconsin

    and the presidency

    That +9.5% is based on mostly RURAL counties, methinks.
    Yes. I feel tonight will go far smoother if everybody just ignores me. Best all round I think.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Georgia 8% in

    Trump 60% Harris 38%

    Until we get Fulton/Cobb/DeKalb in, it's a bit meaningless. They account for a massive chunk of the Democratic vote in the State.
    Hence why Trump wanted voting to stop in certain states.

    You just stop when your side is ahead even when there's votes to count, right?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 6
    Seems Mark "Black Nazi" Robinson is unsurprisingly getting trashed in North Carolina. I wonder how much that will hit Trump's vote?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    Campbell county a shift to Harris.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,923
    Must…. hold… Harris… nerve…
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,868
    NASDAQ:DJT soaring in after-hours rading, if I'm reading this correctly.
  • https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2024-election-trump-harris/index.html?t=1730853614410

    Harris campaign deploys celebrities to keep students in line to vote

    The Harris campaign is mobilizing celebrities to try and keep college students in line to vote as they wait for hours to cast ballots.

    Queueing for hours to vote. They truly have a ridiculous system.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    Eabhal said:

    What is driving this movement on betfair?

    The usual culprits probably.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    Pulpstar said:

    Campbell county a shift to Harris.

    Which state?!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,374
    edited November 6

    Seems Mark "Black Nazi" Robinson is unsurprisingly getting trashed in North Carolina. I wonder how much that will hit Trump's vote?

    Harris still ahead in North Carolina. If she wins there, Michigan, Wisconsin and one of Nevada or Iowa she still would win the EC even if she lost Pennsylvania as well as losing Georgia and Arizona
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    kle4 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Campbell county a shift to Harris.

    Which state?!
    Kentucky.
  • Looks like Rep hold in FL Senate is pretty nailed on

    Yet again quoting Gomer Pyle - surprise, surprise!
    ??

    I say this based on the latest numbers on CNN. The Florida Senate race is so far quite closely tracking Trump's numbers.

    Conversely Sherrod Brown is running ahead of Harris in ohio, which gives him a chance of hanging on there.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918

    https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/2024-election-trump-harris/index.html?t=1730853614410

    Harris campaign deploys celebrities to keep students in line to vote

    The Harris campaign is mobilizing celebrities to try and keep college students in line to vote as they wait for hours to cast ballots.

    Queueing for hours to vote. They truly have a ridiculous system.
    I've never experienced a line to vote which took more than 30 seconds to get through, waiting for hours must be interminable. How did people manage it without smartphones?

    I suppose what everyone did before smartphones, they thought for themselves, but it feels weird.
  • CNN:

    Harris camp worried about GA/NC.
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Andy_JS said:

    Eabhal said:

    What is driving this movement on betfair?

    The usual culprits probably.
    Not seen much to drive it.

    Florida is not representative.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,331
    If its the economy for voters, Trump has this won. Its that straightfoward.
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