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A bit of movement away from Trump on Betfair – politicalbetting.com

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 77,983
    I'm making a big early call.

    I'm calling DC for Harris, I've seen enough in the VA suburbs :D:D
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,918
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    CNN showing straw in the wind, two counties that are big university towns in Michigan, Harris doing much worse than Biden (seemingly due to Palestine issue).

    I repeat my earlier comments about f*cking students.
  • CJohnCJohn Posts: 12
    Looks like it'll be a narrow Trump win, but have been buying Kamala to cover.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,292
    It's about time some computer whizz invented a program that is able to compare like-for-like counties on election night.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,868
    Jim_Miller said:

    Interesting: The WaPo has an interactive map showing how counties have shifted since 2020. Right now, there are many blue arrows (shifts to Democrats) in Ohio.

    (Interesting is as far as I'll go, at the moment.)

    Looks like they are based on incomplete counts. May be just which votes have been counted.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,342

    NEW THREAD

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,627
    edited November 6
    BREEAKKKKKING NEWSSSS...CNN Exit Poll.....Biden doing better in Arizona than national approval number. Wisconsin his rating below water.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,447
    edited November 6
    RobD said:

    Jim_Miller said:

    Interesting: The WaPo has an interactive map showing how counties have shifted since 2020. Right now, there are many blue arrows (shifts to Democrats) in Ohio.

    (Interesting is as far as I'll go, at the moment.)

    Looks like they are based on incomplete counts. May be just which votes have been counted.
    In which case they are junk.

    It's starting to look like a 1-2% swing to Trump nationwide compared to 2020. Of course, it's possible the electoral college saves Harris.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,369
    not_on_fire said:

    Driver said:

    Still plenty of Georgia blue areas with very low reporting %s, I'm a long way from calling that state...

    Trump is up in the rural counties and matching 2020 in the suburbs. It looks over sadly
    Not in Atlanta he's not - 3% down.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 2,960
    RobD said: "Looks like they are based on incomplete counts. May be just which votes have been counted."

    True enough, which is why I said "interesting".
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,369
    2m votes still to come in from Georgia, mostly suburban
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,868
    NJ Harris +13 with 28% in, anyone have insight on comparisons with last time?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,369
    Cruz losing to Allred in Texas. 54% reported.

    Harris about 4% behind Trump, mostly urban still to report.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    Driver said:

    NJ Harris +13 with 28% in, anyone have insight on comparisons with last time?

    State by state & county by county 2024 v 2020 comparisions not worth much UNTIL lion's share of votes are counted for THIS election.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,378
    edited November 6
    ...
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