State of the Union, Week 8 – politicalbetting.com
State of the Union, Week 8 – politicalbetting.com
The charts are getting redder.
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State of the Union, Week 8 – politicalbetting.com
State of the Union, Week 8 – politicalbetting.com
The charts are getting redder.
Comments
The ranking of ReformUK for number of Council seats when compared to the Ashfield Independents.
It's an off-topic, stock up for winter day. Pleasant and sunny, my hybrid insulin pump with it's feedback loop arrived earlier, and now the 2kg of kippers and venison hamper turned up from the Lancaster Smokehouse.
Need to reorganise the freezer since about 15kg of berries are due on Thursday.
Have a good afternoon, all.
The Senate is almost certainly going GOP again regardless, although likely only narrowly
Oh.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0R_1tVCONsg
One for laughing that virgin Sunil doesn't know what his penis is for
All the rest for criticising Hamas numbers and Hamas supporters
I'll give myself a fucking good talking to
Once you explain how these are "racially charged conspiracies"
Starmer of course has already met Trump for lunch at Trump Tower in preparation for a possible Trump win and Blair managed to have a good relationship with George W Bush
https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1848719645496291394
If Trump loses he might even go to Clacton
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=naUib-ncvMU
@RunnymedeTrust
·
21h
The legal system doesn’t deliver real justice for families bereaved by racist state violence.
Since 1990 there have been 1,904 deaths in or following police custody or contact. In that time, only one officer has been found guilty for manslaughter, and none for murder.
This lack of police accountability perpetuates cycles of violence and impunity.
Our thoughts and solidarity are with Chris' loved ones and wider community.
Chris Kaba, 23.07.1999 - 05.09.2022
#JusticeForChrisKaba"
https://x.com/RunnymedeTrust/status/1848404667484569992
I grant you Boris didn't try to call up a bunch of thugs when he was likely to be thrown out of Parliament, though.
Interesting.
Distant relationship with the truth
They don't think the law applies to them personally
Prepared to break constitutional norms
Eccentric but effective speechmaking
Hair!
Differences
Trump is vindictive, Boris isn't (I don't think)
Trump doesn't support Ukraine, Boris does
What else?
(Of course, if Harris is anywhere near North Carolina, the only person worried is Trump.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DkvhgJb17PA - at 6m51sec
https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/early-voting-democrats-republicans-election-2024-f0abda67?st=Jodjvs&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
But when it comes to NC specifically, it is worth noting the comments of Michael Bitzer - who is as close as there is to a guru on NC politics - and his view on where things stand right now:
"“Looking at who is showing up, I would say Republicans should feel good and Democrats may have some work to do,”
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/crime/article/chris-kaba-shooting-martyn-blake-police-officer-hfkvsxjqk
He said: "So true" to this:
"The real "risk" of a Trump presidency:
• Ukraine war ends
• Border Wall Built
• Mass Deportations
• Inflation Drops
• Cut Federal Employees
• DEI eliminated
• Make America Great Again
Sign me up."
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848353354121974029
Some of those are meaningless; some are pretty much out of his hands; some of the others are chilling.
AP - Love it or hate it, feelings run high over candy corn come Halloween
Cruel joke for trick-or-treaters or coveted seasonal delight? The great Halloween debate over candy corn is on.
In the pantheon of high-emotion candy, the classic shiny tricolor kernels in autumn’s white, orange and yellow are way up there. Fans and foes alike point to the same attributes: its plastic or candle-like texture (depending on who you ask) and the mega-sugar hit it packs.
“I am vehemently pro candy corn. It’s sugar! What is not to love? It’s amazing. It’s like this waxy texture. You get to eat it once a year. It’s tricolor. That’s always fun,” comedian Shannon Fiedler gushed on TikTok. “Also, I know it’s disgusting. Candy corn is objectively kind of gross, but that’s what makes it good.” . . .
Love it or loathe it, market leader Brach’s churns out roughly 30 million pounds of candy corn for the fall season each year, or enough to circle planet Earth about five times, the company says. Last year, that amounted to $75 million of $88.5 million in candy corn sales, according to the consumer research firm Circana. . . .
https://apnews.com/article/candy-corn-halloween-trickortreat-384c51299fe00945c0e92b29cc3ff86a
SSI - youse UKers may be asking, WTF is "candy corn"? See pix in AP report!
For the PB record, yours truly is life-long, hard-core (or corn?) proponent AND consumer of candy corn.
NOT that I actually eat the stuff these days, though might just have to nibble a wee bit before The Great Pumpkin makes its next appearence, just for old times sake.
Gobble, gobble!
More likely to impact already-likely voters, thus affecting POTUS race via (what we hacks term) Persuasion versus GOTV.
The Met could be facing a huge unfair dismissal/victimisation claim.
@atrupar.bsky.social
Speaker Johnson says deporting 4.5 million people will be his top priority in January. Is this what voters want? We're pretty cooked as a country if so.
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.bsky.social/post/3l74676wofu2t
I remember that one copper was in a similar situation but was sacked for lying to the investigators/something came up in his vetting that had been previously been missed.
His grotesquely offensive behaviour, in being acquired, risks their not getting another award for Community Relations. Said abstract piece of plexiglass is vital to their continued emotional wellbeing.
Putin looks very confident at that meeting with Xi and Modi. Not much liking the look of it.
Because that and €10 will buy you a coffee in Zurich.
If they try to do that in America, then it'll happen here within a decade or two. As has been shown throughout history, it is far too easy to build up hate against minorities.
As someone with a foreign-born wife (now a UK citizen), this is something I would rather avoid. And before anyone says "your wife would be fine"; that is not the way hate works.
If his boss whistles, he'll run to heel.
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
Show me the NC marching bands going out for Trump.
"The headline: Republicans lead statewide in Nevada after three days of early voting and mail ballot counting. This has not happened in a presidential year in The Reid Machine Era, which encompasses the races since 2008. This could signal serious danger for the Dems and for Kamala Harris here.
It's pretty easy to explain: The Clark firewall has all but collapsed (it's 4,500 votes) and the rurals are way overperforming their share of the electorate with what has been tabulated, nearly by 4 points -- almost all taken from Clark's share. The large mail ballot lead enjoyed by Dems has been erased and more by the GOP lead in in-person early voting."
@TiceRichard
This is truly shocking
The Establishment knew of Kaba’s violent criminal past but chose to withhold it from the people.
Police officer’s life ruined, many other officers terrified that not being supported, and trust in policing harmed.
Shameful"
https://x.com/TiceRichard/status/1848702272546521573
But until the CPS provides a convincing explanation why they chose to prosecute such a clear cut case, and whoever made the decision to name the officer does the same, there's bound to be speculation over these actions
Do you think it's impossible that there was woke-signalling from the CPS?
ii) In Nevada the rurals are overperforming for Trump and the cities are underperforming for Harris.
If we assume this urban/rural split is nationwide, she's dead.
The very real threat of a thousand armed officers of the Met handing in their guns en masse, is going to be very much still there.
This particular officer, retire him immediately on a full pension and get him into witness protection before the aforementioned gangs find him. Dare I suggest that the Met are currently spending as much on his personal security as they would on a government minister or a minor royal?
Give me a break.
If Rishi were to stand down then that would be seen as the ultimate kick in the teeth for those who selected him and voted for him. If he were to do so then he would go down in my perception quite a long way. I don't think he will, his party members expect him to stay as well.
There used to be four seats which are very similar, natural Tory - Richmondshire, Skipton and Ripon, Penrith and the Border and Westmorland and Lonsdale. All four have been lost / nearly lost at various times because of national Conservative Party folly starting with Skipton in 1944.
We’ll not know until the day, but Nevada was a Biden State and the demographic changes of the past four years should be in Harris’ favour.
Donald Trump's closing message to voters appears to be: I'm insane.
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/donald-trump-weekend-golfer-genitalia-fast-food-worker-all-the-geese-in-springfield-oh-are-missing
Tice’s argument is the same as we see from the Tommy Robinson fan club.