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Sofa so good, Tim Walz is an inspired pick – politicalbetting.com

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,287
    Andy_JS said:

    "Owen Jones reposted

    Rivkah Brown
    @rivkahbrown

    Keir Starmer wants you to believe the rioters are a "mindless" fringe that's erupted out of nowhere. In fact they're a symptom of the racist rot in the heart of the British establishment, which he and his party have helped to foment for years."

    https://x.com/rivkahbrown/status/1821117894027084199

    It's good to see him finally admitting that Labour are a bunch of racists.

    His stubborn refusal to accept Corbyn and his acolytes were antisemites rather than merely idiots was just embarrassing.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,415
    This chap is always good on the state of the Russian economy (spoiler: it's in the shitter....)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QEDY7Hbirg
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129
    rcs1000 said:

    They get threatened with social ostracization. Which is very unpleasant.

    But membership of any religion is voluntary.

    One can always walk away. I realize that is incredibly hard, particularly for insular communities like Hasidic Judaism or Wahabi Islam. But the State maintains the monopoly on violence, imprisonment, etc.

    And (despite being an atheist) I am incredibly uncomfortable with the State banning something that is voluntarily entered into.
    It is very hard, and that's what troubles me - often it means losing your family and having a price on your head at worst too.

    Thanks for correcting my dreadful spelling too. I will blame the two-year and five-year old scurrying around my feet.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,287
    DM_Andy said:

    Sorry, meant to say that you're right to say that you don't simply need a plurality, if Georgia's 16 electors voted for a third candidate and it was say Harris 262, Trump 260, Taylor Swift 16, then it would be up to the House to decide between the top three candidates.

    Odd thought, the language of the 12th amendment says "if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President" so could it be less than three candidates for the contingent election? Who would decide?
    The Supreme Court.

    They would deliberate until the 19th January and then declare Trump the winner.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    kinabalu said:

    My prediction, pretty much. Harris by 5 pts in the PV, the EC by 50 to 100.
    Could there be a further impeachment attempt against trump for Jan6? Or is that double jeaprody?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129
    Eabhal said:

    Jenrick has made a big mistake suggesting people who say "Allahu Akbar" in public should be arrested.

    Far-right rioting and he comes out with that? I appreciate the Conservative membership is pretty right wing but surely the remaining MPs won't tolerate that kind of rabble rousing.

    Shouting "Allahu Akbar" in public is normally done precisely to rouse a rabble.

    I wouldn't be averse to it - and not in private or in places of religious worship where it'd be fine - it's far too often preceded murder, violence and terrorist acts.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,971
    Starry said:

    Given it was her brother's party that was in charge of immigration for the last 14 years and Starmer / Cooper haven't even been able to pass any laws in the month they've been in, she's a bit of a cheek blaming them for the Tories sky-high policy of immigration.
    It does feel as if the events of the last few days are being treated as the accumulation of fourteen years of uninterrupted Starmer rule. I suppose it all ties in with the notion that the Tory good guys were only nominally in power, while Starmer and all his Lefty pals were actually running things from the shadows.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129
    kyf_100 said:

    As the owner of a leasehold property in central London, I have been following Jenrick's career since he was was secretary of state for housing.

    And I can honestly state that out of all the current picks for the Conservative Leadership, he is the only one I can promise I will NEVER vote for the Conservatives as long as he is leader.

    The guy was hopeless at best, venal at worst, embroiled in planning scandals, and clearly favoured developers over homeowners. My flat is probably worth about 25% less than it should be, all thanks to the action (or inaction) of Robert Jenrick.

    And that's before we get onto his lockdown breaking, mural painting nastiness. If it's Jenrick, I'd sooner vote Green, SNP or Galloway than Conservative. Even if he promised to reduce my capital gains tax burden to zero and offered me a suitcase full of cash (possibly taken from his developer mates like Desmond), I would not vote for him. That is how great my hatred of him is.
    He's certainly the one to beat though.

    Everyone's already taking about him as if he's already the LOTO, which he'll be perfectly OK with.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,429
    Phil said:

    Maybe the plan is just: “If we’re going to have to agree to a peace treaty to end the war, best to grab as much Russian land now that we can exchange for Ukranian land when the peace talks are forced on us” ?
    To be brutally cynical, the current status quo works well for nearly everybody except the Ukrainians and the Russians who are doing the fighting and the dying.

    Arms manufacturers on both sides are getting fat off the demand for weapons from ammunitions to advanced fighter aircraft. The continuing low-level conflict makes calls for proper and rigorous scrutiny of the defence world, especially procurement, impossible. Instead, everyone is clamouring to spend more (despite deficits and huge amounts of debt) on defence and the defence establishment is back at the top of the political table having been relegated to an afterthought after the events of 1989-91.

    If we want to cut spending to reduce the deficit, no one is going to propose cutting defence spending which means somewhere else has to take the hit. Who needs that new library or community centre - Putin's legions are coming (despite the fact they can't get from the border to Kharkiv).
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,408
    Roger said:

    Have you come across him? Very articulate
    He's from Gateshead and was Schoolfriends with Gazza who defended him against racist schoolkids.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129
    Leon said:

    The deterrence value of these sentences is surely in the speed as much as the severity

    It’s brutally quick. No arsing about on remand for months, getting nice legal aid lawyers. You do a riot and a week later you get three years bird

    That will deter 99.9% of potential twats

    Justice delayed is justice denied.

    All justice should be like that. One of the worst things the last Conservative government did was to pare it right back.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,415
    edited August 2024

    It does feel as if the events of the last few days are being treated as the accumulation of fourteen years of uninterrupted Starmer rule. I suppose it all ties in with the notion that the Tory good guys were only nominally in power, while Starmer and all his Lefty pals were actually running things from the shadows.
    They run most urban areas at a local level.

    And pretty much have for decades.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,571

    Shouting "Allahu Akbar" in public is normally done precisely to rouse a rabble.

    I wouldn't be averse to it - and not in private or in places of religious worship where it'd be fine - it's far too often preceded murder, violence and terrorist acts.
    “We want our country back” and “Tommy Robinson” are often shouted in public precisely to rouse a rabble. Would you ban them too?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited August 2024
    Eabhal said:

    To put this in perspective, the TUC are planning a counter-protest in September. WHY?

    And Police Scotland are having to put tweets out like this: https://x.com/PoliceScotland/status/1821121421092802939
    They're unionist media. They don't want a repeat of the "British riots" scandal which was 100% down to the BBC and the other media not bearing to admit the truth that these riots weren't GB wide, such that the Welsh and Scottish Tourist Boards (and, then anyway, the NI TB) had to make complaints about the effect on tourist numbers, as well as the Cardiff and Edinburgh admins IIRC.

    The moment someone gets pished in George Square and falls over his trainer laces, they can go all out on condemning Scottish exceptionalism. Which seems, in fact, to have been absent on the matter of the current riots.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,194

    It does feel as if the events of the last few days are being treated as the accumulation of fourteen years of uninterrupted Starmer rule. I suppose it all ties in with the notion that the Tory good guys were only nominally in power, while Starmer and all his Lefty pals were actually running things from the shadows.
    I bet the country are devastated they voted for more of the same, instead of Rishi, the change candidate.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,249
    edited August 2024
    On topic: You may be able to get an early indicator on whether Harris/Walz should be the favorite, from the results from the Washington state primary. (The vote counts in the counties began last night.)
    Here are the partial results.
    https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20240806/default.htm

    I would expect fairly complete results within 3 or 4 days. Usually, they announce each day's count a little after 8 PM, our time. (It will be certified on August 20th.)

    A local columnist, citing Sean Trende, claims that the Washington primary results are a good predictor of the US national elections. Briefly, if Democrats, collectively, do better than 55 percent in this primary, they are likely to do well, nationally. Less than that, you should expect Republican gains, nationally. https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/was-bloody-mess-of-a-primary-is-something-else-a-bellwether/

    Reminder: Before you actually make a bet, you should check Trend's analysis, and you should review this famous cartoon: https://xkcd.com/1122/

    (If this tip helps you make money, I hope you will contribute a little of your winnings to a charity, for example the Salvation Army, or F.I.R.E.)

  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,484

    It is very hard, and that's what troubles me - often it means losing your family and having a price on your head at worst too.

    Thanks for correcting my dreadful spelling too. I will blame the two-year and five-year old scurrying around my feet.
    A "Sharia Court" is in law a voluntary tribunal accepted as decision maker by the parties. That's it, aiui.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    They run most urban areas at a local level.

    And pretty much have for decades.
    Are these the mysterious "community leaders" of which our PBTories complain with baited breath (but not bated breath)?
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,101
    I’m guessing there aren’t actually many more prison places left so the govt has presumably taking the chance that the riots will end?

    I’ve no idea if the unrest will continue. I hope not - but I do wonder what happens if the threat of “immediate imprisonment” doesn’t actually become a reality. I’m guessing some of these idiots protesting think they have nothing to lose 🤷‍♂️
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    Better a locksmith, which also covers the possibility that the lock is knackered anyway.
  • Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    I’ve seen films that start off with this scenario.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,297
    edited August 2024
    kinabalu said:

    My prediction, pretty much. Harris by 5 pts in the PV, the EC by 50 to 100.
    My current guess - Trump flips AZ. The other Biden states stay with Harris.

    292/246 Electoral College split.

    I think NV, PA and GA will be uncomfortably close though.



  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129

    “We want our country back” and “Tommy Robinson” are often shouted in public precisely to rouse a rabble. Would you ban them too?
    I would be open to banning "Allahu Akbar" for the reasons cited.

    Not interested in your whatabouttery.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    PROBLEM SOLVED

    Apparently if you lie flat on the floor and take it from a different angle, Chubb locks appreciate the effort and let you in
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    Dip your key in a bit of cooking oil or olive oil and put it in the lock with the oil dripping from it. Has got me out of a few similar situations.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814

    I’m guessing there aren’t actually many more prison places left so the govt has presumably taking the chance that the riots will end?

    I’ve no idea if the unrest will continue. I hope not - but I do wonder what happens if the threat of “immediate imprisonment” doesn’t actually become a reality. I’m guessing some of these idiots protesting think they have nothing to lose 🤷‍♂️

    Can’t we just build military field barracks and stick the wronguns in there?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    I’ve seen films that start off with this scenario.
    Leon could onm reflection go and buy some WD40 and squirt some in and let it soak and try again, just to see if that works, but else it's locksmith time IMV.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,287
    Leon said:

    PROBLEM SOLVED

    Apparently if you lie flat on the floor and take it from a different angle, Chubb locks appreciate the effort and let you in
    Funny, that's what she said.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    Carnyx said:

    Are these the mysterious "community leaders" of which our PBTories complain with bated breath (but not bated breath)?
    Are you claiming they don’t exist?

    https://www.college.police.uk/support-forces/practices/community-leaders-forum
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,475
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    Squirt in some wd40?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129
    Andy_JS said:

    "Matt Goodwin
    @GoodwinMJ

    The reason the UK's elite class is so hostile to Elon Musk and other dissenters is because they can sense they are losing control of the narrative and the conversation.

    We are simply no longer in a world where the national conversation and what is considered "true" can be controlled by the same groups of people --who come from the same backgrounds, have the same values, the same political loyalties, and want the same outcomes.

    That era, when the elite class dominate what used to be the most important and influential institutions, is over. It is done. And, as
    @KonstantinKisin
    has rightly noted, it is never coming back. We are in a new era.

    As I wrote in a book last year, many people in the West are rapidly giving up on "a national conversation" that no longer reflects their values, their voice, and which considers some groups in society, usually minority groups, to be more virtuous than others.

    The elite class could have responded to this trend by opening themselves up; they chose to the opposite while also attacking anybody who questioned their consensus along the way."

    https://x.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1821135791076102203

    He has a point there.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,125
    ...

    I’ve seen films that start off with this scenario.
    Perhaps Leon could use his "stiff"(ie) to pick the lock.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Are you claiming they don’t exist?

    https://www.college.police.uk/support-forces/practices/community-leaders-forum
    AFAIK "Starmer and all his Lefty pals" are most certainly extant beings.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,576
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    Credit card trick? Don't use one you need.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,722

    Are you claiming they don’t exist?

    https://www.college.police.uk/support-forces/practices/community-leaders-forum
    The forum described in your link certainly doesn't. It explicitly says it is "Untested – new or innovative" and the initiative is in Bedfordshire.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    .

    Credit card trick? Don't use one you need.
    Chubb locks are deadlocks, aren't they ?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,125

    He has a point there.
    He really hasn't. Particularly as he himself is a member of the "elite class".
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,211
    kyf_100 said:

    Dip your key in a bit of cooking oil or olive oil and put it in the lock with the oil dripping from it. Has got me out of a few similar situations.
    You've probably picked the one person who might have a vial of cold pressed extra virgin about his person.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    .
    Leon said:

    PROBLEM SOLVED

    Apparently if you lie flat on the floor and take it from a different angle, Chubb locks appreciate the effort and let you in
    ??
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,129

    He has a point there.
    My firm (metropolitan, elite, diverse etc.) put out an email to all employees that was essentially partisan and reflected exactly this. Condemning any protest against immigration as a violation of its values etc.

    I just sat there shaking my head.

    Like many others I will keep taking the money, and keeping my mouth shut, whilst voting and supporting elsewhere.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,089
    TimS said:

    Every time there is an eruption of far right thuggery or football hooliganism it comes to light that many of the offenders were comfortably middle class men in skilled trades or well paid office jobs. There's usually an investment banker or two thrown in. The sort of people who can afford a beered-up excursion to a trouble spot. I would be very surprised if the same isn't true this time.

    Look at the demographics of Reform voters. Lower middle class for the most part. Not the left-behind or the underclass by any stretch.
    For example Leanne of Leannes removals. Quite respectable looking area and small business.

    https://x.com/PeterGarbacz/status/1820089070963319210?t=Bl7lEbdppeH5kJcrl-JkBg&s=19

    Best not book a removal with her for a while.

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    Good point about Musk's ridiculous suit.

    She better hope that this gets dismissed before discovery, which is highly likely. I'd forgo the motion to dismiss if I were a defendant I'd go right to discovery, few companies on earth have more skeletons. Limiting Ukraine posts, suspending pro-Harris accounts, dig it all up.
    https://x.com/hissgoescobra/status/1820862470594216322
  • StarryStarry Posts: 111

    He has a point there.
    Given Labour has just won a landslide election, I don't think he does. People just don't agree with the likes of Goodwin, Musk and, er, you. Nothing profound about it
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Foxy said:

    For example Leanne of Leannes removals. Quite respectable looking area and small business.

    https://x.com/PeterGarbacz/status/1820089070963319210?t=Bl7lEbdppeH5kJcrl-JkBg&s=19

    Best not book a removal with her for a while.

    That copper certainly would sort Leon's lock problem toot sweet.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,484
    edited August 2024
    Leon said:

    Eeek. Help needed. Locked out of my own flat by a stiff or jammed Chubb lock that won’t shift

    Any handy tips? Or will I hVe to spend ££££ on a locksmith? Tried two keys neither worked

    Were they the right keys ? :wink:

    Use thin easing oil, or mineral oil if you have it - say something like valve oil for a musical instrument. Get it into the lock by putting it on the key.

    When you replace the lock, have a thumb turn on the inside. Legal requirement if ever rented out, and it saves any scrote who breaks in smashing your door as well.

    Remember that if it is a Eurolock it may just need a new barrel, which is dead easy to do yourself. They can be ordered online, but you'll need to look up how to measure them.

    For policy I always go for anti-bump anti-snap lock barrels.

    Reflecting, replace it now for preventative reasons so that it doesn't happen again.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    Carnyx said:

    Better a locksmith, which also covers the possibility that the lock is knackered anyway.
    Get a Banham while you are at it.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814

    Sorting out the Ukraine/Republic of China border?
    Ukraine forces are an hours drive from the Kursk nuclear power plant. Wonder if they’ve got special forces headed there.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,576
    Starry said:

    Given Labour has just won a landslide election, I don't think he does. People just don't agree with the likes of Goodwin, Musk and, er, you. Nothing profound about it
    Landslide based on 33.7 %. Checks notes and sees this is around one third of those who even bothered to vote. Despite the landslide delivered by FPTP*, the country cannot really be said to be hugely positive of the the new government.


    *The same FPTP that is supported by both Labour and Conservative parties, for balance.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425

    He has a point there.
    Does he bollocks.
    In what way is Elon Musk a 'dissenter' ?

    He's a foreign billionaire using his very expensively acquired media platform to interfere in UK politics.
    No more a 'dissenter' than Rupert bloody Murdoch.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617

    “We want our country back” and “Tommy Robinson” are often shouted in public precisely to rouse a rabble. Would you ban them too?
    You'd have to - or you'd have two tier policing.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818

    My firm (metropolitan, elite, diverse etc.) put out an email to all employees that was essentially partisan and reflected exactly this. Condemning any protest against immigration as a violation of its values etc.

    I just sat there shaking my head.

    Like many others I will keep taking the money, and keeping my mouth shut, whilst voting and supporting elsewhere.
    They are not just protests against immigration, they are protests against (and attacks on) immigrants. People. In fact they are not just protests against immigrants, in many cases they are protests against people who are British but have a different skin colour or religion.

    We are talking about real people living in real places, with real lives. This is on a par with "anti-Zionists" attacking synagogues.
  • ...

    Perhaps Leon could use his "stiff"(ie) to pick the lock.
    You need to get your mind out of the gutter. I was thinking about the horror genre.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    Foxy said:

    For example Leanne of Leannes removals. Quite respectable looking area and small business.

    https://x.com/PeterGarbacz/status/1820089070963319210?t=Bl7lEbdppeH5kJcrl-JkBg&s=19

    Best not book a removal with her for a while.

    Terrible H&S

    - Her style of pushing the bin invites back injury.
    - The police officer, kicking in a glass door. Great way to chop chunks out of your leg, when you discover that someone fitted non-safety glass in a shit door.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,536

    You've probably picked the one person who might have a vial of cold pressed extra virgin about his person.
    Hah. That's actually true. I often come back from Europe with some exotic olive oil you can't get in the UK...

    However the problem this time was a very stiff lock, low on the ground; I had to lie down and penetrate from a more sensitive and consensual angle, and she yielded

    She is no saint, she is no nun
    In God's good time, she will be won
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,287
    Nigelb said:

    Does he bollocks.
    In what way is Elon Musk a 'dissenter' ?

    He's a foreign billionaire using his very expensively acquired media platform to interfere in UK politics.
    No more a 'dissenter' than Rupert bloody Murdoch.
    Although he's making more boobs at Twitter than ever Murdoch did at the Sun.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited August 2024
    Leon said:

    Hah. That's actually true. I often come back from Europe with some exotic olive oil you can't get in the UK...

    However the problem this time was a very stiff lock, low on the ground; I had to lie down and penetrate from a more sensitive and consensual angle, and she yielded

    She is no saint, she is no nun
    In God's good time, she will be won
    Dip the key in oil, then spend a few minutes putting it in and out, and twisting it into some uncomfortable positions, then in and out some more, being sure to maintain sufficient lubrication.
  • So I have written to Sir Keir Starmer urging him to ban Tesla in the UK.

    All Teslas to be removed from the roads and no new sales
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 439
    edited August 2024
    Does anyone (PB's libertarians, perhaps?) still agree with the 2010-15(-19?)(-24?) tory policy of defunding the police and criminal justice system?

    What were they (we, all?) thinking?

    Seems completely mad, in retrospect.

    IIRC, something about crime rates continually falling (because of unleaded petrol?!!), meaning we didn't need expensive police with fat pensions and old, draughty court buildings. Resentment at the legal aid budget, I think? Dislike of lawyers, too?

    DEFUND IT ALL! was the policy.

    Crackers.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    Sandpit said:

    Dip the key in oil, then spend a few minutes putting it in and out, and twisting it into some uncomfortable positions, then in and out some more, being sure to maintain sufficient lubrication.
    Interestingly, the chaps at Banham have gone from saying no to WD-40 to recommending it.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,425
    Leon said:

    Hah. That's actually true. I often come back from Europe with some exotic olive oil you can't get in the UK...

    However the problem this time was a very stiff lock, low on the ground; I had to lie down and penetrate from a more sensitive and consensual angle, and she yielded

    She is no saint, she is no nun
    In God's good time, she will be won
    Get some 3 in One penetrating oil.
    A couple of tiny drops on the key and wiggle it around a bit. Should bring out some gunk, which you can wipe off with a tissue.

    (Btw, you've broken the PB double entendre meter for the day.)
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,576
    Sandpit said:

    Dip the key in oil, then spend a few minutes putting it in and out, and twisting it into some uncomfortable positions, then in and out some more, being sure to maintain sufficient lubrication.
    Is this an extract from 'The Ice Twins"? Up for the bad sex award!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818

    So I have written to Sir Keir Starmer urging him to ban Tesla in the UK.

    All Teslas to be removed from the roads and no new sales

    Replace them with "Great British EV", Chairman E. Miliband.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,576

    Does anyone (PB's libertarians, perhaps?) still agree with the 2010-15(-19?)(-24?) tory policy of defunding the police and criminal justice system?

    What were they (we, all?) thinking?

    Seems completely mad, in retrospect.

    Its probably not the right phrase - defunding meant something very specific in the USA. Here we have merely had restricted budgets etc.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,617

    My current guess - Trump flips AZ. The other Biden states stay with Harris.

    292/246 Electoral College split.

    I think NV, PA and GA will be uncomfortably close though.

    I'd take it. But since I think the PV margin will be at least 5 pts I expect a bigger EC margin than that. I can see Harris holding all the Biden states and adding to it (eg NC).
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    TimS said:

    Replace them with "Great British EV", Chairman E. Miliband.
    Replace them with V8s.
  • Does anyone (PB's libertarians, perhaps?) still agree with the 2010-15(-19?)(-24?) tory policy of defunding the police and criminal justice system?

    What were they (we, all?) thinking?

    Seems completely mad, in retrospect.

    There is no money left.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818
    Sandpit said:

    Replace them with V8s.
    8 volts might make for quite a sluggish EV
  • So I have written to Sir Keir Starmer urging him to ban Tesla in the UK.

    All Teslas to be removed from the roads and no new sales

    Remarkably ugly cars for the price, with a dull, plastic look.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,472
    moonshine said:

    I genuinely don’t even remember what post you’re talking about anymore, since nothing I have linked to had racist or objectionable content. You are talking about content that I’ve not seen. Not directly anyway, I’ve read it because you have paraphrased it for me. Terrible things to believe and it’s sad people would still think that in this day and age.

    I’m not sure what else you want me to say? That I’m a rotten racist? That Elon wears Hitler pyjamas? That I am able to distinguish a message from the messenger and you are not? That I think pineapple, baby and mozzarella is better than Hawaiian? You’re a strange cat but I think your heart is in the right place at least.

    Really you can't remember from yesterday. The link was posted here upmteen times because of all the threads to it. You can't search your own posts, or mine or even viewcodes (as I know he replied to you also about it). From yesterday. You can't do that. No wonder you can't spend 30 seconds checking whether a post is dubious or not.

    And as far as not being able to distinguish a message from the messenger that appears to be your failing. You accept a message on face value. Most people might look at who sent it and think maybe I shouldn't forward a message from QAnon or a rabid racist because possibly it is just unreliable.

    Oddly I am not the strange one. Many others reacted yesterday similarly. It is just me not letting you off the hook, because you have done this twice now (at least) and bearing in mind what is happening currently with social media it makes sense to be careful what you post (or link to) by spending 30 seconds checking out its veracity.

    The fact that you can post stuff here and not be the slightest interested in the source of that information is I would suggest 'strange'.
  • TimS said:

    Replace them with "Great British EV", Chairman E. Miliband.
    Bring back British Leyland.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818

    There is no money left.
    I keep reading there is 2-tier policing, so surely they could halve the budget easily by cutting one of the tiers.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    TimS said:

    8 volts might make for quite a sluggish EV
    Not 8Vs, V8s.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-6kHjF1U1E
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,024
    edited August 2024
    Good Morning Britain show prompts 8,200 complaints
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2xky7g9jdo

    This is the one where Ed Balls interviewed his missus, and 8,200 people complained. No campaign there.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited August 2024

    Get a Banham while you are at it.
    Seriously? We're needing a new front door as it happens.

    Edit: noit for the fashionable reason!
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818
    Sandpit said:

    Not 8Vs, V8s.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-6kHjF1U1E
    Was supposed to be a hilarious quip. Oh well.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Good Morning Britain show prompts 8,200 complaints
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2xky7g9jdo

    This is the one where Ed Balls interviewed his missus, and 8,200 people complained. No campaign there.

    Definitely not a totally incestuous relationship between media and politics. That’s a slam dunk uphold for OFCOM, having the presenter interview his own government minister wife.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,561

    Terrible H&S

    - Her style of pushing the bin invites back injury.
    - The police officer, kicking in a glass door. Great way to chop chunks out of your leg, when you discover that someone fitted non-safety glass in a shit door.
    It’s lexan / plexiglass or something similar. Wonder if someone has kicked in her door before?
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,818
    Sandpit said:

    Definitely not a totally incestuous relationship between media and politics. That’s a slam dunk uphold for OFCOM, having the presenter interview his own government minister wife.
    Could actually be a useful non-partisan trigger for Ofcom to tackle the similar goings on at GB News.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,429

    My firm (metropolitan, elite, diverse etc.) put out an email to all employees that was essentially partisan and reflected exactly this. Condemning any protest against immigration as a violation of its values etc.

    I just sat there shaking my head.

    Like many others I will keep taking the money, and keeping my mouth shut, whilst voting and supporting elsewhere.
    By day, he's a mild mannered employee at a great multi national organisation

    At night, he patrols the mean streets of his city, protecting the population from those determined to bring the city and the people to their knees

    He is Captain Libertarian

    He fights the forces of evil - The Woke, the Metropolitan Liberal Gang, the Elite and his greatest enemy, his nemesis, Mr Progressive."


    Sorry, it's Wednesday afternoon....
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    Phil said:

    It’s lexan / plexiglass or something similar. Wonder if someone has kicked in her door before?
    Even worse - there are 4 million different kinds of such plastic and most of them break into shards, quite nicely. Especially the cheap, nasty ones.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,065
    Carnyx said:

    Seriously? We're needing a new front door as it happens.

    Edit: noit for the fashionable reason!
    They are expensive, but very nice locks.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953

    Does anyone (PB's libertarians, perhaps?) still agree with the 2010-15(-19?)(-24?) tory policy of defunding the police and criminal justice system?

    What were they (we, all?) thinking?

    Seems completely mad, in retrospect.

    IIRC, something about crime rates continually falling (because of unleaded petrol?!!), meaning we didn't need expensive police with fat pensions and old, draughty court buildings. Resentment at the legal aid budget, I think? Dislike of lawyers, too?

    DEFUND IT ALL! was the policy.

    Crackers.

    Even those of us who believe in the night watchman state still believe in the need for night watchmen. The purpose of the state is to protect individual rights, enforce contracts, and provide security and defence through a policing and legal system. Things that cannot really work with multiple competing providers or enforcers.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,561
    edited August 2024
    Sandpit said:

    Definitely not a totally incestuous relationship between media and politics. That’s a slam dunk uphold for OFCOM, having the presenter interview his own government minister wife.
    Ah but you see, /our/ media representatives are fine upstanding journalists who can remain impartial even when faced with such difficult jobs as, say, interviewing their own wives whereas /your/ media representatives are the lickspittle footmen of their (left|right)* masters who exist only to act as stenographers for the government.

    * delete as appropriate

    (Seriously though: what were they thinking?)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    kyf_100 said:

    Even those of us who believe in the night watchman state still believe in the need for night watchmen. The purpose of the state is to protect individual rights, enforce contracts, and provide security and defence through a policing and legal system. Things that cannot really work with multiple competing providers or enforcers.
    Absolutely. The last thing you want to do is to lose a top batsman in fading light and with a turning ball at the end of the day.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,384
    MattW said:

    His explanation is right up there with "some of my friends are black / gay / french ..etc":

    Ms Connolly’s husband Raymond, who is vice chair of the committee on adult social care at West Northamptonshire Council, responded by telling the BBC his wife cannot be racist because she ‘looks after Somalian and Bangladeshi kids’.

    https://metro.co.uk/2024/08/07/tory-councillors-wife-arrested-saying-set-fire-migrant-hotels-21375410/

    Tory Councillors not having a good day.
    Compared with some of the stuff you read it's par for the course but because of the timing it's pretty certain she'll be in jail by the end of the week. My overriding feeling is that I wish it was Farage.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,211
    stodge said:

    By day, he's a mild mannered employee at a great multi national organisation

    At night, he patrols the mean streets of his city, protecting the population from those determined to bring the city and the people to their knees

    He is Captain Libertarian

    He fights the forces of evil - The Woke, the Metropolitan Liberal Gang, the Elite and his greatest enemy, his nemesis, Mr Progressive."


    Sorry, it's Wednesday afternoon....
    There's one greater adversary




  • NEW THREAD

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,695
    edited August 2024
    ….
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    I get the feeling that 'establishment left liberals' understand very little. They freely boast about their views and assume that everyone around them agrees with them, and then when something happens that indicates otherwise, they get angry and try and blame it on a conspiracy involving someone like Rupert Murdoch, Vladimir Putin or Elon Musk. This circuit is much on display in these comments, it never ends and keeps on resetting itself.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,561

    They are expensive, but very nice locks.
    A decent 5 point lock system with a 3* Euro lock body is probably stronger overall than a single mortice lock like a Banham.

    If you’re getting new door, you may as well get one with a multi-point lock.

    Door suppliers do tend to supply cheap furniture (handles etc) that you could tear apart with a pair of pliers though, unless you specify otherwise. PAS24 rated stuff tends to be much more solid as it has to be to meet the security rating.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,148
    stodge said:

    To be brutally cynical, the current status quo works well for nearly everybody except the Ukrainians and the Russians who are doing the fighting and the dying.

    Arms manufacturers on both sides are getting fat off the demand for weapons from ammunitions to advanced fighter aircraft. The continuing low-level conflict makes calls for proper and rigorous scrutiny of the defence world, especially procurement, impossible. Instead, everyone is clamouring to spend more (despite deficits and huge amounts of debt) on defence and the defence establishment is back at the top of the political table having been relegated to an afterthought after the events of 1989-91.

    If we want to cut spending to reduce the deficit, no one is going to propose cutting defence spending which means somewhere else has to take the hit. Who needs that new library or community centre - Putin's legions are coming (despite the fact they can't get from the border to Kharkiv).
    I think this take is spectacularly wrong. The West needs a quick victory in Ukraine. Growing numbers of citizens of European democracies in particular want Ukrainian refugees to be able to go home, and they don't want to be spending money on fighting Russia indefinitely.

    There's an inconsistency between the rhetoric of political leaders on Ukraine, where they insist that Russia must be defeated, and cannot be allowed to prevail, and the half-measures of their response. When there is such a mismatch people suspect bullshit, and this is being exploited by the Russians and their fellow travellers online.

    Western political leaders are trapped between fear of a Russian victory and fear of a Russian defeat, and this has created the incoherence that we see, but this stasis is not stable.

    I can't help but be wistful about what might have been if Boris Johnson hadn't destroyed his political career. He seemed to understand that Putin and Russia had to lose. I don't get that sense from any political leader west of Poland, and obviously some of the leaders in the East have decided that accommodation with Russia is better than confrontation.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Phil said:

    A decent 5 point lock system with a 3* Euro lock body is probably stronger overall than a single mortice lock like a Banham.

    If you’re getting new door, you may as well get one with a multi-point lock.

    Door suppliers do tend to supply cheap furniture (handles etc) that you could tear apart with a pair of pliers though, unless you specify otherwise. PAS24 rated stuff tends to be much more solid as it has to be to meet the security rating.
    Many thanks, both of you.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,484
    edited August 2024
    A little off-topic, this is my Conservative Councillor Photo of the Day.

    The gentleman, former 1980s/90s MP Mr Alan Amos, is aiui the entire Conservative Group on Worcester City Council.

    Here pedestrians, wheelers and cyclists (WWC) have been diverted down the shared footway on the A449 because a bridge on their alternative route has collapsed, and cones then temporary bollards to protect WWCs are being installed, plus a temporary 30mph limit.

    Councillor Amos' complaint is that said cones and bollards are a safety risk for lorries. He has a reputation as a bit of a wedge-driving politician where cycling is concerned.

    If there was a useful safety related argument to be made here, one could understand it.

    https://www.worcesternews.co.uk/news/24488133.a449-malvern-road-cycle-path-cones-cyclists-dismount/
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,116

    Sorting out the Ukraine/Republic of China border?
    Well we can't bury the survivors otherwise :)
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,116
    edited August 2024

    Your posts on this stuff are really excellent.
    That's very kind of you, thank you. Although please be reassured I will soon be back to making obscure Star Trek references or talking about an interesting stick I have found. :)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,254
    Leon said:

    If nothing else, can you please stop saying “racist asshates” and “Musky baby”. It is so inter-galactically CRINGE I am worried you might inadvertently cause a singularity and implode the solar system
    Thanks for the advice, but nah. I'll call them racist asshates as that is exactly what they are, and "Musky Baby" adequately sums up that inadequate piece of human trash. :)

    I know you think you are the centre of the universe, but I doubt anything I'd say would cause any damage to anything except your fragile ego.
  • Does anyone (PB's libertarians, perhaps?) still agree with the 2010-15(-19?)(-24?) tory policy of defunding the police and criminal justice system?

    What were they (we, all?) thinking?

    Seems completely mad, in retrospect.

    IIRC, something about crime rates continually falling (because of unleaded petrol?!!), meaning we didn't need expensive police with fat pensions and old, draughty court buildings. Resentment at the legal aid budget, I think? Dislike of lawyers, too?

    DEFUND IT ALL! was the policy.

    Crackers.

    I actually don't remember that at all - at least not from avowed Libertarians on here. As I have said before, the term is Libertarian, not Anarchist.

    And as someone else has already pointed out, Libertarians believe in small state not no state.
This discussion has been closed.