Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sofa so good, Tim Walz is an inspired pick – politicalbetting.com

123468

Comments

  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 439
    edited August 2024
    viewcode said:

    Although I get Goodwin's point (and have read his book which he so unsubtly plugs), he keeps thinking he isn't part of the elite, and that the elite are the left-wing and the right is the insurgency. I hate to bang on about this, but it's more a case of one set of elites criticising another set of elites courtesy of elite overproduction (see Turchin).

    We are shattering into pieces and reassembling into transnational tribes, not compatriots of a nation-state. This is why Musk teases Starmer, Jenrick says he will vote for Trump, Farage and Truss bugger off to the States, and that GOP idiot banged on about British immigration.
    Your posts on this stuff are really excellent.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617

    My relative, who runs a building company and studied chemistry makes himself very unpopular in summer by enforcing masks, goggles and, where required, noddy suits.

    It’s quite noticeable that he doesn’t have 25 year olds coughing like 60 year old,100 a day smokers.

    Painting (especially woodwork) is one that gets forgotten. To get a nice, smooth finish, you fill. Then you sand, then you paint, sand etc.

    *Any* fine dust in your lungs is bad

    If we have a robust framework, then it is surely needing to be applied.

    On my serial house renovations I have usually purchased my freelance workers the appropriate masks - mainly around airless paint spraying, and made them use them. After all, none of it is very expensive compared to the overall price of the job.

    There's also huge regulation around the role of CDM; it is one of the complex roles where self-builders can vanish without trace under a pile of procedures and documents. We have multiyear threads running about it over on Buildhub.

    The only thing which is perhaps as complicated is VAT reclaim at the end.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732

    Three years for what offence? If it’s arson, that’s not especially heavy.
    Again - it's 4.5 years reduced for the earliest possible guilty plea.

    Judge Menary: “I cannot be sure you were an instigator but it is clear you were on the frontline encouraging others.

    “You participated willingly and enthusiastically.

    “There are a number of serious aggravating factors. You have previous convictions for violence, but they are only of modest effect. More significantly, you were an active part of the crowd some elements of which were using racist language. That indicates the motivation of the crowd of which you were a part. You were demonstrating outside a mosque that was badly damaged. You used significant violence towards an officer. You picked up at least a brick, even if you didn’t throw it.

    “This was not mindless thuggery. You and every other defendant I am dealing with today made a choice to get involved.”

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/updates-court-live-rioters-sentenced-29691508
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    rcs1000 said:

    Oh, I think they will try to keep it up. It helps, of course, that Ukraine can probably accept the current situation at any point they choose.
    By some readings, the supposed strategic importance of Crimea was the driver for the conflict.

    It is therefore a little ironic that Sevastopol is now largely empty of Russian naval assets and the Crimean airfields cannot be viably used to project regional power either.

    At the end of it all, what’s been the bloody point.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,189
    Dura_Ace said:

    Muilenberger, who was CEO for most of the MAX and 777X debacles, was a career Boeing engineer who ran some large and complex programs such as X-32 and F-22. So engineers good/spreadsheet wankers bad is reductive and probably wrong.
    The problem was that the spreadsheet wankers restructured the company to get rid of expensive, older engineers. Huge chunks of the actual airplane building were sold in the “Spirit” vehicle.

    Senior management specially said that engineering and technical knowledge were skills that could be hired as required. And acted upon that idea.

    The result was massive loss of institutional knowledge and long, convoluted lines of outsourcing. Often no one was 100% responsible for vital areas of work.

    The result was inevitable.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,979
    viewcode said:

    Although I get Goodwin's point (and have read his book which he so unsubtly plugs), he keeps thinking he isn't part of the elite, and that the elite are the left-wing and the right is the insurgency. I hate to bang on about this, but it's more a case of one set of elites criticising another set of elites courtesy of elite overproduction (see Turchin).

    We are shattering into pieces and reassembling into transnational tribes, not compatriots of a nation-state. This is why Musk teases Starmer, Jenrick says he will vote for Trump, Farage and Truss bugger off to the States, and that GOP idiot banged on about British immigration.
    Yes, a curious pathology seems to have gripped the Right in recent times: where once they staunchly regarded themselves as rulers of men - and regarded that as the destiny God had rightly bequeathed them - they now come across as rather meek little things, forever lamenting their subjugation by more dominant groups. What caused this? Decline in church attendance: 'The rich man in his castle, The poor man at his gate, God made them, high or lowly, And ordered their estate.'?
  • Supreme Court declines Shamima Begum's appeal bid.

    Hopefully that's the end of the matter. Good riddance.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    Cicero said:

    There are many Putin shrills in the West and they all have several things in common.
    Small penises?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Not a lot of people are doing that.

    Michael Caine
    @themichaelcaine
    ·
    36m
    Calm down


  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    Dura_Ace said:

    I don't want to misrepresent the sentiments of our own X. Trapnel but I believe it's the agonisingly unfunny and inept nature of the slight rather than the traduction itself which forms the basis of the objection.
    There is a certain resemblance, but I don't think Leon's quite ready for the posthumous fictional existence.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617

    Irony is dead.

    West Brom sign a player called Dobbin. Just 10 more donkeys and we'll have a first team.

    Amazed they could sign anyone given they don't have a pot to piss in.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,979
    Dura_Ace said:

    I don't want to misrepresent the sentiments of our own X. Trapnel but I believe it's the agonisingly unfunny and inept nature of the slight rather than the traduction itself which forms the basis of the objection.
    Dura_Ace said:

    I don't want to misrepresent the sentiments of our own X. Trapnel but I believe it's the agonisingly unfunny and inept nature of the slight rather than the traduction itself which forms the basis of the objection.
    Whoa! Someone who's read A Dance to the Music of Time. Probably provides the best account of how politics (and much else) actually works in this country.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    "Owen Jones reposted

    Rivkah Brown
    @rivkahbrown

    Keir Starmer wants you to believe the rioters are a "mindless" fringe that's erupted out of nowhere. In fact they're a symptom of the racist rot in the heart of the British establishment, which he and his party have helped to foment for years."

    https://x.com/rivkahbrown/status/1821117894027084199
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    Leon said:

    No. This is where the logic breaks down

    1. Nasty far right thugs are targeting mosques and the like - police must react - yes good

    2. They go to Muslim communities and seek to reassure them - yes good

    3. The police and Muslims agree there might be a far right protest and the Muslims are worried - police further reassure them - yes, good

    4. The Muslim “community leaders” say “no we don’t want police here we will sort it all out for ourselves if there’s any trouble - police say Yes sure ok we’ll leave you to it - ABSOLUTELY NOT

    This is an open invitation to vigilante violence AND a massive fight between opposed factions. It is the opposite of police work - it is removing the authority of the law

    Moreover the police already had plentiful evidence of “counter protestors” being really violent. Those guys hit with hammers. So they knew that stepping back for hours was a massive risk and could see whites being beaten up - and so it was. An abject failure
    You're assuming the police are full of nice, sensible people. How naive!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,222
    eek said:

    Again - it's 4.5 years reduced for the earliest possible guilty plea.

    Judge Menary: “I cannot be sure you were an instigator but it is clear you were on the frontline encouraging others.

    “You participated willingly and enthusiastically.

    “There are a number of serious aggravating factors. You have previous convictions for violence, but they are only of modest effect. More significantly, you were an active part of the crowd some elements of which were using racist language. That indicates the motivation of the crowd of which you were a part. You were demonstrating outside a mosque that was badly damaged. You used significant violence towards an officer. You picked up at least a brick, even if you didn’t throw it.

    “This was not mindless thuggery. You and every other defendant I am dealing with today made a choice to get involved.”

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/updates-court-live-rioters-sentenced-29691508
    As I've said before I think the Manvers & Tamworth hotel arsonists will be receiving the longest sentences of all.

    “There were determined efforts by the group to turn the van over. When that failed you set light to it. The consequence of the damage caused meant that vehicle was effectively destroyed and written off at a cost of something over £32,000."

    The arson, though bad is directed toward property, as I expect there were no police in the van at the time he tried to set it alight (At least I sincerely hope there weren't otherwise the sentence is far far too lenient), rather than people as the hotel arsonists clearly were.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    edited August 2024

    Whoa! Someone who's read A Dance to the Music of Time. Probably provides the best account of how politics (and much else) actually works in this country.
    I thought everyone had ?
  • Leon said:

    The deterrence value of these sentences is surely in the speed as much as the severity

    It’s brutally quick. No arsing about on remand for months, getting nice legal aid lawyers. You do a riot and a week later you get three years bird

    That will deter 99.9% of potential twats

    It's speed that matters. Sentences could be a lot shorter for the same effect, and probably should be.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    Tres said:

    You're assuming the police are full of nice, sensible people. How naive!
    Bad apples everywhere but every serving or ex copper I’ve ever met have been decent people trying to do a difficult job
  • Betfair's politics forum is kaput. Don't know why.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    Andy_JS said:

    "Owen Jones reposted

    Rivkah Brown
    @rivkahbrown

    Keir Starmer wants you to believe the rioters are a "mindless" fringe that's erupted out of nowhere. In fact they're a symptom of the racist rot in the heart of the British establishment, which he and his party have helped to foment for years."

    https://x.com/rivkahbrown/status/1821117894027084199

    That’s quite sensationally nuts

    I believe the tweeter has form for some wildly unpleasant tweets
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    moonshine said:

    Bad apples everywhere but every serving or ex copper I’ve ever met have been decent people trying to do a difficult job
    Quite, some of my best friends are policemen.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Nigelb said:


    There is a certain resemblance, but I don't think Leon's quite ready for the posthumous fictional existence.

    The current fictional existence is quite enough.

    I think X.Trapnel was based on Julian McLaren-Ross? Some similarities but I think JM-R endured a more uncomfortable life than oor Leon.

    'his demise probably hastened by years of alcoholism, amphetamine-taking, and stress'
  • Tim_in_RuislipTim_in_Ruislip Posts: 439
    edited August 2024
    Andy_JS said:

    "Owen Jones reposted

    Rivkah Brown
    @rivkahbrown

    Keir Starmer wants you to believe the rioters are a "mindless" fringe that's erupted out of nowhere. In fact they're a symptom of the racist rot in the heart of the British establishment, which he and his party have helped to foment for years."

    https://x.com/rivkahbrown/status/1821117894027084199

    Fascinating to observe the Corbynites fade into irrelevance, in realtime.

    These people were never fit to govern. They fluffed their chance and don't they know it.

    They'll fight like hell, to hide that they're giving up.
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 982

    Betfair's politics forum is kaput. Don't know why.

    There can only be one
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,256
    Taz said:

    Amazed they could sign anyone given they don't have a pot to piss in.
    He's on loan from Villa.

    The Baggies have a new American based benefactor so the panic over Lau milking them dry is over. They have had to get rid of players to comply with EFL fair play rules, but compared to this time last year, financially at least, they are far healthier.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    The current fictional existence is quite enough.

    I think X.Trapnel was based on Julian McLaren-Ross? Some similarities but I think JM-R endured a more uncomfortable life than oor Leon.

    'his demise probably hastened by years of alcoholism, amphetamine-taking, and stress'
    I confess to the first two, but claiming my life is “stressful” - unless enduring free Michelin starred tasting menus counts as stressful? - is a reach
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 982

    It's speed that matters. Sentences could be a lot shorter for the same effect, and probably should be.
    No they shouldn't. We need to deter future riots as well
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012

    Whoa! Someone who's read A Dance to the Music of Time. Probably provides the best account of how politics (and much else) actually works in this country.
    If there are any PBers who have not read Dance to the Music of Time, it can take weeks and when finished you can start again, and is one of the excellent treatments for having to live in our present times and be surrounded by Widmerpools and X Trapnels. And is very funny. And the WWII volumes are better than Waugh.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    I don't remember anyone doing this for Clinton.
    https://x.com/atrupar/status/1820940281572724920
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    Leon said:

    I confess to the first two, but claiming my life is “stressful” - unless enduring free Michelin starred tasting menus counts as stressful? - is a reach
    You were born in a more forgiving age.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617
    eek said:

    Again - it's 4.5 years reduced for the earliest possible guilty plea.

    Judge Menary: “I cannot be sure you were an instigator but it is clear you were on the frontline encouraging others.

    “You participated willingly and enthusiastically.

    “There are a number of serious aggravating factors. You have previous convictions for violence, but they are only of modest effect. More significantly, you were an active part of the crowd some elements of which were using racist language. That indicates the motivation of the crowd of which you were a part. You were demonstrating outside a mosque that was badly damaged. You used significant violence towards an officer. You picked up at least a brick, even if you didn’t throw it.

    “This was not mindless thuggery. You and every other defendant I am dealing with today made a choice to get involved.”

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/updates-court-live-rioters-sentenced-29691508
    Live blog is here.

    These seem not inappropriate, and judging by this there will be some heavier ones to come.

    https://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liverpool-news/updates-court-live-rioters-sentenced-29691508
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744
    The Telegraph is claiming there will be “100 far right protests” and “30 counter protests” tonight

    This feels delusional to me. But then I’ve only just got home after 1 month in France. Maybe the country really is in this ferment?

    I have a sense we are alarmed by phantoms
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,189
    MattW said:

    If we have a robust framework, then it is surely needing to be applied.

    On my serial house renovations I have usually purchased my freelance workers the appropriate masks - mainly around airless paint spraying, and made them use them. After all, none of it is very expensive compared to the overall price of the job.

    There's also huge regulation around the role of CDM; it is one of the complex roles where self-builders can vanish without trace under a pile of procedures and documents. We have multiyear threads running about it over on Buildhub.

    The only thing which is perhaps as complicated is VAT reclaim at the end.
    The piles of paperwork, which no one reads, don't achieve anything.

    In fact they achieve less than nothing, because stupid 'crats claim that "But all the docs are in order".

    Meanwhile the labour is choking to death. But hey, we can always get more.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,926

    Yes, a curious pathology seems to have gripped the Right in recent times: where once they staunchly regarded themselves as rulers of men - and regarded that as the destiny God had rightly bequeathed them - they now come across as rather meek little things, forever lamenting their subjugation by more dominant groups. What caused this? Decline in church attendance: 'The rich man in his castle, The poor man at his gate, God made them, high or lowly, And ordered their estate.'?
    Not just the right, although logically that's where many of the precursors leading to this phenomenon are found.

    The precursors are this: a group that once enjoyed high social status in society finds itself stripped of that enhanced status, usually to the benefit of another group. Because of social and political, or economic and technological trends. That makes it depressed and angry.

    This surely explains the incel phenomenon as men have seen their patriarchal role diminished, it explains much of the current far right anger, the anger of the miners and other victims of deindustrialisation in the 80s (and of offshoring in the 2010s), the anger of Russians witnessing the loss of their superpower status, or pre-colonial local elites displaced by new colonial puppet elites, and lots more. It's the impact on dignity and status that seems to outweigh the financial effect.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806
    Nigelb said:

    You were born in a more forgiving age.
    0 surely?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Leon said:

    I confess to the first two, but claiming my life is “stressful” - unless enduring free Michelin starred tasting menus counts as stressful? - is a reach
    Who can forget the great tonic drought in some foreign clime or other?

    However more seriously you had to have some grit to be a jobbing writer in them days, not a lot of foreign jollies (unless taking a bullet on the Ebro front counts) in them days.

  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    .

    Your interpretation of this is incredibly naive.
    Sorry not to be deeply cynical like yourself. Anyhow the manager of the pub would appear to share my naivety

    https://news.sky.com/story/birmingham-pub-punter-who-incited-violence-will-be-barred-after-counter-protester-attack-13192106
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    moonshine said:

    I have not forwarded anything racist. I linked to something that it turns out is relatively non-controversial that Musk re-tweeted, originally posted by someone that you say has also in the past posted racist material. I believe you. Get over it.
    The inability to understand is gobsmacking.

    I never said you forwarded anything racist (although you did forward a QAnon conspiracy sometime ago)

    What you did do was justify Musk posting something that linked to an appalling poster because it was beyond him to check (as it seems is the case with you).

    And to use the word 'that you say has also in the past posted racist material' is beyond contempt as still you haven't checked out the poster.

    He does not post racist material in the past. Every single post is appalling. You know those ones he posts NOW. Every single one. NOW. Yet you still haven't got the moral fibre to check and see how awful it is and admit you were wrong. Even though others have also told you here that is the case.

    For f***s sake actually go and look to see what you are justifying. You will be appalled. Or at least you should be. See a man ranting at those 'Bastard Jew'. See the glorification of Hitler. See how the SS laid down their lives for the Blacks. See how the Jews are taking over the world. That is what you justified Musk linking to.

    And maybe in future you might spend 30 seconds checking what you are posting or linking to has some credibility.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617

    Supreme Court declines Shamima Begum's appeal bid.

    Hopefully that's the end of the matter. Good riddance.

    The Guardian report seemed to be very disappointed in the news.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617

    Much of the Soviet-era stockpiles have gone. The Russian made ones are limited in numbers and poor in performance. Weaponry exports are way down (often due to delivery being delayed over the horizon; so why bother waiting for second rate options?). Most of the experienced troops have been eliminated or invalided out. Those who would normally train new recruits likewise. The Black Sea fleet has either been sunk or legged it. Crimea's airfields are within range of Ukrainian missiles and are subject to systematic destruction. Airfields up to 2,000km from the front have been hit. The Russian oil industry is being trashed by these same cheap and cheerful drones, with as much as 20% of its capacity down. Interest rates are at 18%. The rail network is close to collapse. 3 million Russians have left Russia, with no desire to return whilst ever there is a risk of being rounded up and sent to the front with wooden sticks and a week of training.

    A long war? There's a limit to how long this war goes on.
    The latest no I saw on refining capacity in Russia is down by 24%.
  • Nunu5 said:

    No they shouldn't. We need to deter future riots as well
    It's the speed of arrest, trial, conviction and sentence that matters, not the length of sentence. All the bad guy's peers can see the immediate consequences, unlike the usual state of affairs where half the time plod don't investigate and if they do then you are out on remand within a day or two, swanning around your manner like nothing happened, and everyone can see that. 18 months later when it comes to trial, no-one makes the link back to the original crime.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    Leon said:

    The Telegraph is claiming there will be “100 far right protests” and “30 counter protests” tonight

    This feels delusional to me. But then I’ve only just got home after 1 month in France. Maybe the country really is in this ferment?

    I have a sense we are alarmed by phantoms

    Closed my town centre on a rumour on Monday.
    No one turned up.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Meanwhile in Caledonia

    MSM Monitor
    @msm_monitor
    They're literally advertising so-called anti-immigration protests in Glasgow on Radio Scotland right now. Yep, telling listeners where to go if they want to cause a bit of trouble. The craving for something, anything, to take place is transparent. How did we get to this?
    12:14 pm · 7 Aug 2024
    10.1K
    Views
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732

    Who can forget the great tonic drought in some foreign clime or other?

    However more seriously you had to have some grit to be a jobbing writer in them days, not a lot of foreign jollies (unless taking a bullet on the Ebro front counts) in them days.

    Unless you are a thriller writer with a sideline in travel reports. There is someone on here with that bio and he seems to be abroad virtually continually.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 935
    Two tiers in action - results so far...

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 3 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 30 months

    I hold my hands-up, there are indeed two tiers as some of you have said, violence is treated more leniently than peaceful protest, the reverse of what some of you said.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    Oh great.

    Georgia Election Board Passes Rule That Could Delay Election Certification
    https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/georgia-elections-board-passes-rule-that-could-delay-election-certification/
    ..The rule states that the board can only certify an election “after reasonable inquiry that the tabulation and canvassing of the election are complete and accurate and that the results are a true and accurate accounting of all votes cast in that election.”

    The three Republican members of the board who voted in support of this rule — Janice Johnston, Rick Jeffares, and Janelle King — were called out by name by former President Donald Trump at a Saturday rally and thanked for their actions. He called them “pit bulls fighting for honesty, transparency, and victory.”..
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    Leon said:

    The Telegraph is claiming there will be “100 far right protests” and “30 counter protests” tonight

    This feels delusional to me. But then I’ve only just got home after 1 month in France. Maybe the country really is in this ferment?

    I have a sense we are alarmed by phantoms

    Yeah I think a lot of this is being whipped up by bots on social media and Russian trolls feeding misinformation to the media. I'd be shocked if there was more than a few scuffles tonight and hopefully whatever rioting happens is met with hard responses from the police, head cracking, kettling etc...
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,309
    algarkirk said:

    If there are any PBers who have not read Dance to the Music of Time, it can take weeks and when finished you can start again, and is one of the excellent treatments for having to live in our present times and be surrounded by Widmerpools and X Trapnels. And is very funny. And the WWII volumes are better than Waugh.
    Honestly, if you haven't read and fully internalised ADttMoT, Voina i mir and L'éducation sentimentale you've really got no business posting on here about East Midlands marginals, etc.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    edited August 2024
    MattW said:

    The latest no I saw on refining capacity in Russia is down by 24%.
    To be fair, refining capacity is not the be all and end all, as Russia mostly exports unrefined crude oil. It's more of an issue for domestic energy use, especially given that the Russian army is likely to be burning through large quantities of diesel.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    Who can forget the great tonic drought in some foreign clime or other?

    However more seriously you had to have some grit to be a jobbing writer in them days, not a lot of foreign jollies (unless taking a bullet on the Ebro front counts) in them days.

    Well I have seen my fair share of scary places. From war zones to coups to wild remote weirdness to the inside of jail cells and mad cocaine dens in Peru to nearly getting eaten by lions in Zambia

    However I nearly always sought out these extreme
    experiences, for fear of being bored. So i can’t whine that they were stressful. I enjoy the adrenaline
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441
    There's a bloke on the front page of the Sun who won't be too happy. GOTCHA hardly covers it. He better go and kiss his Mum goodbye for a few years
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    TimS said:

    Not just the right, although logically that's where many of the precursors leading to this phenomenon are found.

    The precursors are this: a group that once enjoyed high social status in society finds itself stripped of that enhanced status, usually to the benefit of another group. Because of social and political, or economic and technological trends. That makes it depressed and angry.

    This surely explains the incel phenomenon as men have seen their patriarchal role diminished, it explains much of the current far right anger, the anger of the miners and other victims of deindustrialisation in the 80s (and of offshoring in the 2010s), the anger of Russians witnessing the loss of their superpower status, or pre-colonial local elites displaced by new colonial puppet elites, and lots more. It's the impact on dignity and status that seems to outweigh the financial effect.
    Indeed: and that's why so much in the Orient is about the concept of "face".
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Thank goodness Murdo has entirely clean hands in this 'letting down'.

    Paul Hutcheon
    @paulhutcheon
    Scottish Tory leadership contender Murdo Fraser putting the boot into Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, Rishi Sunak and Douglas Ross.


    https://x.com/paulhutcheon/status/1821090533621547071
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617
    edited August 2024
    Dopermean said:

    Two tiers in action - results so far...

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 3 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 30 months

    I hold my hands-up, there are indeed two tiers as some of you have said, violence is treated more leniently than peaceful protest, the reverse of what some of you said.

    I've already answered that this morning.

    The JSO crims did not "plan a peaceful protest"; they set out to cause extensive disruption, which would cause hurt to many, and carried it out, and it did cause hurt.

    Comparisons are difficult when part of the data is a fairy story.

    I refer the forgetful Honourable Gentleman to the reply I gave earlier.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    Leon said:

    Well I have seen my fair share of scary places. From war zones to coups to wild remote weirdness to the inside of jail cells and mad cocaine dens in Peru to nearly getting eaten by lions in Zambia

    However I nearly always sought out these extreme
    experiences, for fear of being bored. So i can’t whine that they were stressful. I enjoy the adrenaline
    Did you ever visit the floating brothels of Nha Trang?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2024
    "Annunziata Rees-Mogg
    @zatzi

    If Starmer and Cooper won’t listen to the public, perhaps they will hear the hero who stepped in to save innocent children’s lives in Southport.

    Quote
    BBC Radio 4 Today

    @BBCr4today
    2h
    “They need to address the cause rather than the symptoms.”

    John Hayes, who was injured tackling the Southport suspect, tells #R4Today that he’s ‘dismayed’ by Keir Starmer’s response to the riots."

    https://x.com/zatzi/status/1821145672692662724
  • eekeek Posts: 29,732
    Dopermean said:

    Two tiers in action - results so far...

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 3 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 30 months

    I hold my hands-up, there are indeed two tiers as some of you have said, violence is treated more leniently than peaceful protest, the reverse of what some of you said.

    You are missing (as I've pointed out multiple times now) the discount given for a guilty plea

    so it's

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 4.5 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 45 months

    But the JSO one was very much throw the book at them using the best laws available at the time - the sentence is designed to discourage others from doing similar things, you just can't do that if people have pleaded guilty...
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441
    Incidentally for all those lookong for silly equivalences there's an excellent interview with a professor David Oleshogar (sp?) from Manchester University on the World at One

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0021qsj
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,221
    Nigelb said:

    Oh great.

    Georgia Election Board Passes Rule That Could Delay Election Certification
    https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/georgia-elections-board-passes-rule-that-could-delay-election-certification/
    ..The rule states that the board can only certify an election “after reasonable inquiry that the tabulation and canvassing of the election are complete and accurate and that the results are a true and accurate accounting of all votes cast in that election.”

    The three Republican members of the board who voted in support of this rule — Janice Johnston, Rick Jeffares, and Janelle King — were called out by name by former President Donald Trump at a Saturday rally and thanked for their actions. He called them “pit bulls fighting for honesty, transparency, and victory.”..

    It would be very funny if Trump won a squeaker of an election including winning GA but because Georgia didn't get around to making their 'reasonable inquiry' in time that meant Harris had the 262 electoral college votes to win.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    eek said:

    You are missing (as I've pointed out multiple times now) the discount given for a guilty plea

    so it's

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 4.5 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 45 months

    But the JSO one was very much throw the book at them using the best laws available at the time - the sentence is designed to discourage others from doing similar things, you just can't do that if people have pleaded guilty...
    These rioters should also have had the book thrown at them and been given exemplary sentences. It's soft.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441
    Roger said:

    There's a bloke on the front page of the Sun who won't be too happy. GOTCHA hardly covers it. He better go and kiss his Mum goodbye for a few years

    https://enewspaper.thesun.co.uk/app/THESUN
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,538
    Nigelb said:

    Oh great.

    Georgia Election Board Passes Rule That Could Delay Election Certification
    https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/georgia-elections-board-passes-rule-that-could-delay-election-certification/
    ..The rule states that the board can only certify an election “after reasonable inquiry that the tabulation and canvassing of the election are complete and accurate and that the results are a true and accurate accounting of all votes cast in that election.”

    The three Republican members of the board who voted in support of this rule — Janice Johnston, Rick Jeffares, and Janelle King — were called out by name by former President Donald Trump at a Saturday rally and thanked for their actions. He called them “pit bulls fighting for honesty, transparency, and victory.”..

    Trump needs to be beaten in November by 10 million votes and fifty Electoral College votes.

    Then he can fuck off to jail.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
    Roger said:

    Incidentally for all those lookong for silly equivalences there's an excellent interview with a professor David Oleshogar (sp?) from Manchester University on the World at One

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0021qsj

    Olusoga
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Dura_Ace said:

    Honestly, if you haven't read and fully internalised ADttMoT, Voina i mir and L'éducation sentimentale you've really got no business posting on here about East Midlands marginals, etc.
    I am qualified in that case, though I fear an objection due to not reading them in the original Russian and French. I just about managed Powell's elegant prose however.

    Anyhow I prefer PB when it's boasting about books rather than wine and airline seats.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited August 2024
    TimS said:

    Not just the right, although logically that's where many of the precursors leading to this phenomenon are found.

    The precursors are this: a group that once enjoyed high social status in society finds itself stripped of that enhanced status, usually to the benefit of another group. Because of social and political, or economic and technological trends. That makes it depressed and angry.

    This surely explains the incel phenomenon as men have seen their patriarchal role diminished, it explains much of the current far right anger, the anger of the miners and other victims of deindustrialisation in the 80s (and of offshoring in the 2010s), the anger of Russians witnessing the loss of their superpower status, or pre-colonial local elites displaced by new colonial puppet elites, and lots more. It's the impact on dignity and status that seems to outweigh the financial effect.
    This also explains why university graduates that struggle to find work or have low paid jobs end up getting drawn in to radical left politics.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    darkage said:

    'loss of status' also explains the revolt of the elites on the left, people leaving university with an inflated sense of self worth, but no hope of finding work or becoming economically productive. This also explains why university graduates that struggle to find work or have low paid jobs end up getting drawn in to radical left politics.
    As a philosophy graduate, I have a lot of sympathy with that.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,136

    Meanwhile in Caledonia

    MSM Monitor
    @msm_monitor
    They're literally advertising so-called anti-immigration protests in Glasgow on Radio Scotland right now. Yep, telling listeners where to go if they want to cause a bit of trouble. The craving for something, anything, to take place is transparent. How did we get to this?
    12:14 pm · 7 Aug 2024
    10.1K
    Views

    It's bizarre. Social media is really whipping this up.

    I've just been invited to a counter-protest in Glasgow via instagram. I've messaged back just to ask if there is actually going to be a far-right protest in the first place.

    I'm not going to waste £16 to wander round George Square (though there is that excellent pizza place close by). I might instead start a rumour about North Berwick so I have an excuse to go to the beach.

  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    kjh said:

    The inability to understand is gobsmacking.

    I never said you forwarded anything racist (although you did forward a QAnon conspiracy sometime ago)

    What you did do was justify Musk posting something that linked to an appalling poster because it was beyond him to check (as it seems is the case with you).

    And to use the word 'that you say has also in the past posted racist material' is beyond contempt as still you haven't checked out the poster.

    He does not post racist material in the past. Every single post is appalling. You know those ones he posts NOW. Every single one. NOW. Yet you still haven't got the moral fibre to check and see how awful it is and admit you were wrong. Even though others have also told you here that is the case.

    For f***s sake actually go and look to see what you are justifying. You will be appalled. Or at least you should be. See a man ranting at those 'Bastard Jew'. See the glorification of Hitler. See how the SS laid down their lives for the Blacks. See how the Jews are taking over the world. That is what you justified Musk linking to.

    And maybe in future you might spend 30 seconds checking what you are posting or linking to has some credibility.
    Chill bruv. Reserve your poison for whoever it was that wrote those things. Or don’t. It’s a precious sunny day. Spend it getting angry at me over shadows if you prefer.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617
    edited August 2024

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tory-councillor-wife-far-right-hate-b2592271.html

    Wife of a Conservative councillor arrested for inciting hatred. Awks.

    His explanation is right up there with "some of my friends are black / gay / french ..etc":

    Ms Connolly’s husband Raymond, who is vice chair of the committee on adult social care at West Northamptonshire Council, responded by telling the BBC his wife cannot be racist because she ‘looks after Somalian and Bangladeshi kids’.

    https://metro.co.uk/2024/08/07/tory-councillors-wife-arrested-saying-set-fire-migrant-hotels-21375410/

    Tory Councillors not having a good day.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    DM_Andy said:



    It would be very funny if Trump won a squeaker of an election including winning GA but because Georgia didn't get around to making their 'reasonable inquiry' in time that meant Harris had the 262 electoral college votes to win.
    You need 270 electoral college votes, not simply a plurality of electors.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441

    Olusoga
    Have you come across him? Very articulate
  • Dopermean said:

    Two tiers in action - results so far...

    Planning peaceful protest (repeat offender) - 5 years

    Assaulting a Police officer (14 previous convictions inc several for violence) - 3 years
    Attempted arson of a police van - 30 months

    I hold my hands-up, there are indeed two tiers as some of you have said, violence is treated more leniently than peaceful protest, the reverse of what some of you said.

    No peaceful protest has attracted five years.

    Protesting by the side of a road waving a banner as people drive past is peaceful protest.

    Preventing people with cancer from getting to their appointments is not.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    rcs1000 said:

    To be fair, refining capacity is not the be all and end all, as Russia mostly exports unrefined crude oil. It's more of an issue for domestic energy use, especially given that the Russian army is likely to be burning through large quantities of diesel.
    Sadly it’s not hard for Russia to import refined products and make sure it doesn’t have a meaningful shortfall. The impact to production is only really equivalent to exports anyway. Plenty of places nearby like Turkmenistan with a supply surplus. And then there’s India, happy to re-export Russian crude refined in Gujarat into diesel for use in Russian tanks. Whoops I meant golf buggies.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806
    Andy_JS said:

    "Annunziata Rees-Mogg
    @zatzi

    If Starmer and Cooper won’t listen to the public, perhaps they will hear the hero who stepped in to save innocent children’s lives in Southport.

    Quote
    BBC Radio 4 Today

    @BBCr4today
    2h
    “They need to address the cause rather than the symptoms.”

    John Hayes, who was injured tackling the Southport suspect, tells #R4Today that he’s ‘dismayed’ by Keir Starmer’s response to the riots."

    https://x.com/zatzi/status/1821145672692662724

    That's his knighthood in the shitter.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,136
    Eabhal said:

    It's bizarre. Social media is really whipping this up.

    I've just been invited to a counter-protest in Glasgow via instagram. I've messaged back just to ask if there is actually going to be a far-right protest in the first place.

    I'm not going to waste £16 to wander round George Square (though there is that excellent pizza place close by). I might instead start a rumour about North Berwick so I have an excuse to go to the beach.

    To put this in perspective, the TUC are planning a counter-protest in September. WHY?

    And Police Scotland are having to put tweets out like this: https://x.com/PoliceScotland/status/1821121421092802939
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    moonshine said:

    Chill bruv. Reserve your poison for whoever it was that wrote those things. Or don’t. It’s a precious sunny day. Spend it getting angry at me over shadows if you prefer.

    The prime villain is the one that wrote them. The next is the people who link to them.

    I'll tell you what. If you read the link. Come back and tell me you have read it and what you think of it and I'll stop replying.

    Then maybe you will understand why I recommend in future you spend 30 seconds checking out what you link to.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,793
    Nigelb said:

    Oh great.

    Georgia Election Board Passes Rule That Could Delay Election Certification
    https://www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/georgia-elections-board-passes-rule-that-could-delay-election-certification/
    ..The rule states that the board can only certify an election “after reasonable inquiry that the tabulation and canvassing of the election are complete and accurate and that the results are a true and accurate accounting of all votes cast in that election.”

    The three Republican members of the board who voted in support of this rule — Janice Johnston, Rick Jeffares, and Janelle King — were called out by name by former President Donald Trump at a Saturday rally and thanked for their actions. He called them “pit bulls fighting for honesty, transparency, and victory.”..

    Ominous. I hope my view that Trump will lose easily is proven correct because 'close' could mean all sorts of trouble. Although at least this time he'd be out of the WH trying to cheat his way in. That's got to be slightly harder to pull off than if he's in there to start with.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398

    It's the speed of arrest, trial, conviction and sentence that matters, not the length of sentence. All the bad guy's peers can see the immediate consequences, unlike the usual state of affairs where half the time plod don't investigate and if they do then you are out on remand within a day or two, swanning around your manner like nothing happened, and every one can see that. 18 months later when it comes to trial, no-one makes the link back to the original crime.
    The other problem is that there is no space in the prisons, which was declared an emergency at the start of the month. They have managed to 'make 500 places available', but at least 400 people have already gone through the system and remanded, and the riots are continuing. So in the end, the solution of 'instant imprisonment' as a reaction to the situation has very immediate limits.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,320
    Roger said:

    Have you come across him? Very articulate
    He is, done quite a few programmes on the BBC.
    Famously defended by Paul Gascoigne against a bunch of racist bullies when at school in the NE.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    I am qualified in that case, though I fear an objection due to not reading them in the original Russian and French. I just about managed Powell's elegant prose however.

    Anyhow I prefer PB when it's boasting about books rather than wine and airline seats.
    No, the ideal is all three. You boast about reading Pessoa’s Disquiet as you drink St Henri 2006 while flying private over the Greenlandic ice cap
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
    Roger said:

    Have you come across him? Very articulate
    He’s great. He’s done some lovely history shows called A House Through Time for the BBC.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    DM_Andy said:



    It would be very funny if Trump won a squeaker of an election including winning GA but because Georgia didn't get around to making their 'reasonable inquiry' in time that meant Harris had the 262 electoral college votes to win.
    Funny but just a teeny inkling that Thomas et al would not rule that way.
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,221
    edited August 2024
    rcs1000 said:

    You need 270 electoral college votes, not simply a plurality of electors.
    Not true, 12th Amendment
    The person having the greatest number of votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed
    If the electors from Georgia are not appointed, then the total number of electors appointed would be 522 and therefore the magic number would be 262.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,744

    That's his knighthood in the shitter.
    Yes, quite the swerve from the Accepted Narrative
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    DM_Andy said:

    Not true, 12th Amendment
    If the electors from Georgia are not appointed, then the total number of electors appointed would be 522 and therefore the magic number would be 262.
    Oh wow, I misunderstood.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    Ukraine counter invasion gathers pace. Supposedly a few thousand Russian soldiers encircled. Town of Sudzha, population 5k said to have fallen. Hopefully they’ve got a cunning plan and this isn’t just borne out of frustration.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,472
    Afternoon all :)

    Anyone who thinks two-tier policing began in this country a few months ago obviously hasn't been paying attention. Inconsistencies (to be generous) in sentencing have been the meat and drink of the pro-law and order lobby for generations driven by sensationalist headlines and often omitting key details of the case in order to make a political point.

    We've had 14 years of Government led by a Party (supposedly) of law and order with a succession of Home Secretaries (and future Prime Ministers) lining up to "talk tough" while systematically denuding the resources of those whose primary order is to maintain the peace. To paraphrase a popular game, looting, looting never changes....

    John Hayes talks about tackling the "cause" (or causes) of the disorder. Yes, of course, but if we reckon there is a tranche of around 10-15% of adults (we can call them the "underclass", the "forgotten" or whatever) for whom the current socio-economic model doesn't work in any way, how do we go about bringing them in from the outside?

    We've seen in Birmingham and Middlesborough and elsewhere an insularity within communities, a resistance if not hostility to outsiders. That's a dangerous path to be on as it leads to "Ulster" type situations. We bump up against the adage "people like people like themselves" but if you have mutually exclusive communities (and I include gated communities of the very wealthy in this) society fragments and destabilises.

    It's an extraordinarily complex issue which mitigates against simplistic answers and any solutions will take years if not decades to bring about improvement. Presumably it starts with concepts of trust and respect on both sides. I don't know who can and will make the first move but someone has to.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,793

    Trump needs to be beaten in November by 10 million votes and fifty Electoral College votes.

    Then he can fuck off to jail.
    My prediction, pretty much. Harris by 5 pts in the PV, the EC by 50 to 100.
  • StarryStarry Posts: 111
    Andy_JS said:

    "Annunziata Rees-Mogg
    @zatzi

    If Starmer and Cooper won’t listen to the public, perhaps they will hear the hero who stepped in to save innocent children’s lives in Southport.

    Quote
    BBC Radio 4 Today

    @BBCr4today
    2h
    “They need to address the cause rather than the symptoms.”

    John Hayes, who was injured tackling the Southport suspect, tells #R4Today that he’s ‘dismayed’ by Keir Starmer’s response to the riots."

    https://x.com/zatzi/status/1821145672692662724

    Given it was her brother's party that was in charge of immigration for the last 14 years and Starmer / Cooper haven't even been able to pass any laws in the month they've been in, she's a bit of a cheek blaming them for the Tories sky-high policy of immigration.
  • moonshine said:

    Ukraine counter invasion gathers pace. Supposedly a few thousand Russian soldiers encircled. Town of Sudzha, population 5k said to have fallen. Hopefully they’ve got a cunning plan and this isn’t just borne out of frustration.

    Russia has hollowed out its defences at its borders in order to send everyone to the meat grinder.

    They've done this safe in the knowledge that nobody will attack them, because nukes, but ignoring the fact they're attacking Ukraine who can counterattack.

    If Russia needs to defend its border, it can only do so by pulling people back from the meat grinder. Or they can continue to be attacked by Ukraine with impunity.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,617
    darkage said:

    The other problem is that there is no space in the prisons, which was declared an emergency at the start of the month. They have managed to 'make 500 places available', but at least 400 people have already gone through the system and remanded, and the riots are continuing. So in the end, the solution of 'instant imprisonment' as a reaction to the situation has very immediate limits.
    I'm sure there are options.

    Isn't there an empty prison barge somewhere, for a start? They could put Lady Widdicombe in charge.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,605
    moonshine said:

    Ukraine counter invasion gathers pace. Supposedly a few thousand Russian soldiers encircled. Town of Sudzha, population 5k said to have fallen. Hopefully they’ve got a cunning plan and this isn’t just borne out of frustration.

    Maybe the plan is just: “If we’re going to have to agree to a peace treaty to end the war, best to grab as much Russian land now that we can exchange for Ukranian land when the peace talks are forced on us” ?
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,221
    rcs1000 said:

    Oh wow, I misunderstood.
    Sorry, meant to say that you're right to say that you don't simply need a plurality, if Georgia's 16 electors voted for a third candidate and it was say Harris 262, Trump 260, Taylor Swift 16, then it would be up to the House to decide between the top three candidates.

    Odd thought, the language of the 12th amendment says "if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President" so could it be less than three candidates for the contingent election? Who would decide?
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    kjh said:


    The prime villain is the one that wrote them. The next is the people who link to them.

    I'll tell you what. If you read the link. Come back and tell me you have read it and what you think of it and I'll stop replying.

    Then maybe you will understand why I recommend in future you spend 30 seconds checking out what you link to.
    I genuinely don’t even remember what post you’re talking about anymore, since nothing I have linked to had racist or objectionable content. You are talking about content that I’ve not seen. Not directly anyway, I’ve read it because you have paraphrased it for me. Terrible things to believe and it’s sad people would still think that in this day and age.

    I’m not sure what else you want me to say? That I’m a rotten racist? That Elon wears Hitler pyjamas? That I am able to distinguish a message from the messenger and you are not? That I think pineapple, baby and mozzarella is better than Hawaiian? You’re a strange cat but I think your heart is in the right place at least.

  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,538
    DM_Andy said:

    Not true, 12th Amendment
    If the electors from Georgia are not appointed, then the total number of electors appointed would be 522 and therefore the magic number would be 262.
    So - they only won't be appointed if 1. Harris wins Georgia and 2. It makes the difference to Trump winning the election elsewhere.
This discussion has been closed.