The revenge of the cat ladies? – politicalbetting.com
The revenge of the cat ladies? – politicalbetting.com
Presidential Polling Among Suburban Women:Current Poll:Harris: 52%Trump: 40%Last Biden Poll:Biden: 44%Trump: 41%HarrisX / July 25, 2024 / n=3013 pic.twitter.com/3W45hkb6xg
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I would make Trump favourite still, but only a narrow one.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c724e12zpndo
TL;DR Electoral Commission hacked for over a year by official Chinese spies.
She has the big mo and its going to take a turnaround for Trump to win it now.
Quite possible for Trump to win it, but I think the odds on Trump and Harris should be reversed. Which makes Harris huge value.
I may be prepared to share your view if she lands the VP choice well and gets a convention bounce.
You can't go Colwich - Stone Avoiding line - back to WCML (before Crewe and slowly at any rate)
It is basically a branch.
The WCML is four track, then two HS2 tracks will join it a few miles before it becomes 2 track through Shugborough Tunnel.
As to 4TPH in the peak service, to Stoke avoiding Stafford is still 2PH (3 tph from Manchester to Euton, but one goes via Wilmslow and Crewe).
There is an extra Manchester to Euston via Stoke in the morning peak, but that goes via Stafford and Birmingham, same as all the Crosscountries (as did the London Midland Euston to Crewe via Stafford and Stoke before they decided to bypass Stoke and send it fast from Stafford to Crewe).
This election is the first online election.
Rayner in charge of housebuilding says she'll sock it to councils
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/07/30/politics-latest-news-rachel-reeves-angela-rayner/
one to watch
Trump's own goal in selecting Vance didn't matter when Biden was his opponent, but now? Kamala has both the big mo and more upcoming opportunities than her opponent.
By the end of the convention bounce the odds will probably be the inverse of what they are today, which makes Kamala huge value today.
Those that refuse to do so will be effectively stripped of their planning powers and will have a housing plan imposed on them from Whitehall, she added.
Good step in the right direction! Councils should have no power over planning.
Building sh!tloads more houses requires both a whole load of new primary legislation, and the repealing of a whole load more.
Curtain twitching nobodies should have no say.
Not that I expect she'll get much credit for that.
If you need to store 10,000 kWh of energy in a reservoir for one house, you need a lorra-lorra water and a lorra-lorra gubbins for each house, eg It helps to happen to own a reservoir (techncially 2 reservoirs).
I'm too lazy to run the numbers on a day like this.
But roughly, consider an Olympic swimming pool 50m x 20m x 2m deep (this is Paris); that is 2000 cubic m of water. Put it 10m in the air, say on your roof.
Potential energy (Ug) = m.g.h
Here m = 2,000 tonnes. h = 10m, g = 9.8 m/s/s.
So potential energy = 196,000 kJ.
I make that 54kWh.
So unless I have a decimal point or something else wrong, which is very possible, I make it you need 10000/54 = 185 Olympic swimming pools of water raised through 10m.
Plenty of other factors apply - eg the round-trip efficiency will be ~2/3, you may not need the full storage number due to peak-trough (but I did not say you would).
But it is a lot of water to be moved around.
"Border crossings fall to their lowest monthly number of the Biden presidency" - NBC News
"Migrant crossings continue to plunge, nearing the level that would lift Biden's border crackdown" - CBS News
Above from a quick Google, with several similar. You can find older articles about crossing being high, of course. But it does look like there's some success now. It's not the attack line it once might have been.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/30/merseyside-police-southport-suspect-name-online-wrong/
Is that better?
Two Crawleys coming up.
Fascism has nothing to do with allowing people to build a home of their own.
Indeed allowing people to do what they want is liberalism, rather the opposite of fascism!
The next questions are what timings, what resource, and what enforcement process.
The shreiking noise will be arriving from Orange County real soon now ...
Council - Target - Starts - Completions - & the important one: % completions to target.
I think, judging by the new estates near me Bassetlaw is probably doing it's bit.
It'd be interesting to see where the worst offenders for housebuilding are. Any guesses ?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dnb1EtMGB8Y
Trap or target shooting is a sport; it is about precision, timing and skill. If table tennis is a sport, so is shooting.
I mean, most 70 year olds I know could manage online voting, I think, but once you get past 80 or so it gets much more sketchy - i.e. those who retired before about 2005, unless they've made an effort to get proficient (I know we have some octogenarians on here who would clearly have no difficulties). My dad (82) would manage it, as long as reasonably well designed; my father in law easily, my mother in law not sure and my mum no way (last three all 70s).
Arizona
Georgia
Michigan
Nevada
N Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Which ONE state would be your best bet for Dems win and which ONE state for Rep win.
I'm playing with the EC maths.
Shooting is no different
Indeed, most sports likely derive from hunting or fighting
Salt cavity storage does not have that issue, unless you are repurposing an existing natural gas cavity.
(& I posted that poll earlier.)
Long way still to go, though. Trump has a chance to redefine the race (and Harris to solidify her position).
But he's the one with the hardest challenge now. People know who he is, they don't like quite lot of his policies (if they can be bothered what they are), he's old, and he has picked a crap VP.
And he's dishonest, convicted felon.
The only ‘sport’ that really isn’t, is professional wrestling. Everything else we see, from chess and darts to F1 and the Americas Cup, is a sport.
I shall not trouble the mods by repeating either on here
Tho at some point the coppers may have to accept that speculation is actually worse than revelation: and confess the name
Many thousands already know it
It's one of the Democrats weaker points, but unless something changes dramatically (Venezuela producing another wave of refugees ?), it's probably not a game changer.
I won't be happy until every single family who wants one can buy an affordable new home, with offroad parking for two cars etc, yes.
And people who want to either buy or let should have adequate choice too, which means we need approximately 10% of properties to be vacant at any one time, so that poorly maintained/expensive homes aren't let out, and are only sold to those who desire to refurbish them.
We need about ten million of them built to reverse our housing shortage. That won't take anything close to every acre. About 1.2 million acres to be built upon should suffice.
To put that into context we have 41.6 million acres of agricultural land. So we could use less than 2.5% of our agricultural land to build enough new homes to completely end the housing shortage, even if every single home was built on agricultural land (which it won't be).
The law forbids naming under-18s.
@rcsloggett
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7h
Interesting that Lib Dems will Chair Health and Social Care SelComm. Wonder if they use this platform to push harder on social care?…..
Anyone posting the name on social media is likely to find themselves in legal trouble if they are in the UK.
“Lifting restrictions: Courts can lift reporting restrictions if it's deemed to be in the public interest or for the welfare of the child.”
You can imagine a situation say (and I’m not referring to Southport) the public was convinced child X had done a terrible murder and vigilante gangs were threatening the family of X
In that situation a judge might say it is better and in the public interest to name the actual accused: child Y
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-44766870
In England and Wales, the court must make an order to prevent the identification of someone under 18 who is involved in proceedings.
The Manchurian Candidate - Trailer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oc8LpuM5Bhs
If convicted then the murderer should be named, as happened with the murderers of Brianna Ghey in Warrington. Until then, its perfectly standard procedure to not name the accused.
I’m not saying this is a good thing, just that it is the nature of social media and the net. It is much much harder to hide stuff
https://www.sse.com/news-and-views/2023/03/britain-s-largest-pumped-hydro-scheme-in-40-years-gets-100m-investment-boost/
If you want anything really useful, you have to look at much bigger features.
Strath Dearn has, apparently, a 6.8TWh potential, which really would shift the dial, but I doubt Scotland would seriously contemplate such a change to their landscape.
https://euanmearns.com/the-seawater-pumped-hydro-potential-of-the-world/
The next best in the UK is flooding Exmoor, which would give a mere 200GWh of storage.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2012/nov/19/lord-mcalpine-itv-settlement-philip-schofield
I think it would be great.
N Carolina -> GOP
Break the oligopoly of Barratt etc by saying anyone who wants to can build a home, rather than just those with "permission".
What building large numbers of new houses needs is full release of all landbanked sites for immediate development but that won't help.
We then need a nationally co-ordinated plan to build the houses which we won't get.
Finally, we need to ensure we have enough specialist trades to get the houses built - perhaps we vould get some skilled foreign labour in and let them bring their families as they are going to be here for a while. Should be popular.
By the by, we also need to ensure the infrastructure is in place to support the tens of thousands of new homes which are just going to appear out of nowhere at the whim of a Whitehall civil servant (apparently).
It would be nice one day to have a serious and informed discussion about housing but we aren't getting it on here.
Whether that should be applied in the case, heaven knows
(Though that's partly because they're such thin markets, for now.)
The problem is that outside of about 10 firms which can play the planning system game, the rest of the people don't work on building houses - but liberate the planning system and they could.
https://x.com/ruemcclammyhand/status/1817722222330757346
Standard procedure, quite reasonably, is for judges to only ever waive anonymity post-conviction.
So what more do you expect?
I click on the Guardian website to make sure we are still beating the Germans in the medal table, and there they are. Little girls. Unavoidable
This story has hit me more than many in years. That probably makes me a terrible person because Gaza is worse of course and so on and etc
But there it is. This story, it is the pits of hell. If my family and friends are anything to go by, I am not alone
The best for building / population maybe Mid Suffolk.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bBO7Yc_KIk9--T38_TmoQgjuog82r-KkVa2ccKRQC-A/edit?usp=sharing
The Republican vice-presidential nominee, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), privately told donors that running against Vice President Harris instead of President Biden made the race more challenging — an admission at odds with the Donald Trump campaign’s public projections of confidence.
“All of us were hit with a little bit of a political sucker punch,” Vance said about Biden’s withdrawal on July 21, according to a recording of his remarks at a Saturday fundraiser in Golden Valley, Minn. “The bad news is that Kamala Harris does not have the same baggage as Joe Biden, because whatever we might have to say, Kamala is a lot younger. And Kamala Harris is obviously not struggling in the same ways that Joe Biden did.”
Publicly, the Trump campaign has insisted that Harris replacing Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket has not changed the race, arguing that she shares responsibility for public dissatisfaction with Biden’s leadership. Vance told reporters on July 22, a day after Biden dropped out of the race, that there was no difference in running against Harris vs. Biden.
“I don’t think the political calculus changes at all,” Vance said. . . .
SSI - Spoken like a true hypocrite. AND sucker!
And either they get with the national building program - in which case they can draw up the plans. - or they surrender control.
At least you can't any longer claim Labour don't have any policies.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Olympic_medalists_in_art_competitions