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Sir Keir Starmer: The Corbyn slayer? – politicalbetting.com

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  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834
    Foxy said:

    I have never played it so equally uninterested.
    Good rugby beats good football. Bad rugby beats bad football. Actually, bad rugby beats good football. Hell, rugby league beats football.

    Topping says that cricket is uneventful and that maiden overs are celebrated, but because of the imperative use your time resources effectively, a maiden is an event. Everything which happens in cricket matters.
    Whereas in football passing it round at the back for minutes on end is utterly inconsequential.
    Cricket doesn't demand the attention bit it does reward it. Football is the reverse.
  • That is gibberish. May does not mean must. The section you quote begins "(3)Without prejudice to the generality of subsection (1) ..."
    That is a reference to the listed items below, which are the processes by which gambling are conducted and the events in relation to which betting takes place.

    I get that you have another view and would like it to be different, but there is no chance of this standing up. It's a massive reach.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,228
    Demark beat Slovenia into 2nd place because they have one less disciplinary point. Wowzer.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641
    We were fortunate to win the group

    Sometimes you need a bit of luck to win a tournament

    👍👍👍
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    Cookie said:

    Good rugby beats good football. Bad rugby beats bad football. Actually, bad rugby beats good football. Hell, rugby league beats football.

    Topping says that cricket is uneventful and that maiden overs are celebrated, but because of the imperative use your time resources effectively, a maiden is an event. Everything which happens in cricket matters.
    Whereas in football passing it round at the back for minutes on end is utterly inconsequential.
    Cricket doesn't demand the attention bit it does reward it. Football is the reverse.
    I have been to a couple of Rugby matches, including a World Cup match, but it was all a bit tedious.

    I have been to a lot of dreary football matches, but you need to be at those so as to not miss the sublime ones
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Let people bet. Nothing wrong with it.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,630
    Cookie said:

    Good rugby beats good football. Bad rugby beats bad football. Actually, bad rugby beats good football. Hell, rugby league beats football.

    Topping says that cricket is uneventful and that maiden overs are celebrated, but because of the imperative use your time resources effectively, a maiden is an event. Everything which happens in cricket matters.
    Whereas in football passing it round at the back for minutes on end is utterly inconsequential.
    Cricket doesn't demand the attention bit it does reward it. Football is the reverse.
    Rugby league is so one dimensional it might as well be American football. At least union has rucks, mauls, line outs, scrums etc. What variety is there in the ground shagging?*

    *A term that refers to the pathetic wriggling a tackled player engages in when the tackler fails to release him promptly.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834

    From another forum.

    I wonder what social media is like in France, who finished with exactly the same record, or Italy a point less.

    But didn't those countries have non-tiny countries in their groups? At the very least, they both appeared to attempt to score goals. Rather than endlessly and fruitlessly passing it around the defence.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    Those 6 wheel Tyrrells were great..
    Brabham BT46 for full batshit.

    You know what they should bring back? Can-Am. Basically no rules aside from safety regs, build whatever barmy nonsense you want and go hog wild on the engineering. Fan induced downforce? Sure. 1500 horsepower supercharged bullshit? Crack on. Four (or six) wheel steering and variable geometry wings? Absolutely.

    Motorsport on adderall cut with crack.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,630

    We were fortunate to win the group

    Sometimes you need a bit of luck to win a tournament

    👍👍👍

    We were not fortunate to win the group. How do you figure that?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    Cookie said:

    But didn't those countries have non-tiny countries in their groups? At the very least, they both appeared to attempt to score goals. Rather than endlessly and fruitlessly passing it around the defence.
    The France Netherlands game was nil nil too but gripping to watch.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    CatMan said:

    Demark beat Slovenia into 2nd place because they have one less disciplinary point. Wowzer.

    Is this based on yellow/red cards?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834
    TOPPING said:

    No sorry 95% of cricket is boring as fuck. The last 20 minutes in a tight game can be exciting. Overall football is far more exciting and far more skillful.
    Well we'll have to agree to disagree. The only reason I'm watching this is that the county T20 on youtube is on a two week break.
    For spectacle, interest, and not having to engage with the worst people in the planet, a cricket match between two teams I don't care about for me beats the best of football matches.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,682
    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,344
    OnboardG1 said:

    Brabham BT46 for full batshit.

    You know what they should bring back? Can-Am. Basically no rules aside from safety regs, build whatever barmy nonsense you want and go hog wild on the engineering. Fan induced downforce? Sure. 1500 horsepower supercharged bullshit? Crack on. Four (or six) wheel steering and variable geometry wings? Absolutely.

    Motorsport on adderall cut with crack.
    Mad Max Verstappen..
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834

    Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
    Especially those.
  • Nunu5Nunu5 Posts: 982

    Of all the major sports, football is the most tedious.

    Never watched golf?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,326
    OnboardG1 said:

    Brabham BT46 for full batshit.

    You know what they should bring back? Can-Am. Basically no rules aside from safety regs, build whatever barmy nonsense you want and go hog wild on the engineering. Fan induced downforce? Sure. 1500 horsepower supercharged bullshit? Crack on. Four (or six) wheel steering and variable geometry wings? Absolutely.

    Motorsport on adderall cut with crack.
    It would be insanely expensive so the teams would hate it and it wouldn't provide competitive racing so the audience would hate it. If they audience hates it then the media rights are worth nothing so why is anybody doing it?

    There is a reason that F1 cars have the same suspension technology as a Morris Marina.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834

    Going into the tournament the worry about England was our defence but we've only conceded one goal in three matches.

    Goals win you matches, defenders win you trophies which is why we've topped our group.

    But I am glad England aren't peaking too soon.

    #LookingAtThePositives

    We've topped our group because we were playing against tiny countries!
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    Has Farage poached Isaac Levido to advise on campaign strategy?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    So. Got Spain, Portugal, France and Italy in the top half.
    And a good chance of England v Netherlands in the last 16 in the bottom half.
    My drawing of Austria means I could become a class and school legend.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,630
    Foxy said:

    I have been to a couple of Rugby matches, including a World Cup match, but it was all a bit tedious.

    I have been to a lot of dreary football matches, but you need to be at those so as to not miss the sublime ones
    When I was a regular at Swindon I recall sitting through the first 30 mins of what was setting up to be a routine, drab 0-0. Suddenly it all went mad and finished 3-3. That’s the reason you go through all the dross. And beating Port Vale 5-0 in 2012 to win League 2. Glorious.
  • No more polls tonight presusumably. Anyone know please which we can expect tomorrow?
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Dura_Ace said:

    It would be insanely expensive so the teams would hate it and it wouldn't provide competitive racing so the audience would hate it. If they audience hates it then the media rights are worth nothing so why is anybody doing it?

    There is a reason that F1 cars have the same suspension technology as a Morris Marina.
    You'd need a serious sugar daddy and probably a cost cap. It'll never happen. You'd love it though, don't be coy!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited June 2024

    Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
    The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,366

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    Anyone asked him that question about the plane crashing and where to bury the survivors?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,302

    England could face the Netherlands in the next round #Easysideofthedraw

    Indeed, unless Georgia beat Portugal or Georgia beat Turkey, England will be playing the Netherlands on Sunday.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024#Knockout_stage
  • No more polls tonight presusumably. Anyone know please which we can expect tomorrow?

    Isn't there an IPSOS tomorrow?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,834
    Foxy said:

    I have been to a couple of Rugby matches, including a World Cup match, but it was all a bit tedious.

    I have been to a lot of dreary football matches, but you need to be at those so as to not miss the sublime ones
    I do concede that rugby can all appear a bit impenetrable to the uninitiated.
    I find it compelling - simply, there is bo equivalent of the cagey passing it around waiting for an opening: both sides are 100% trying all the time.
    And yes, rugby league is one dimensional, but the same applies. And it's weirdly compelling.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    edited June 2024

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    He's a twat.
    I'm probably the only PBer who works all day with WWC on minimum wage. Never heard anyone mention admiration for him or his views.
    Although I don't frequent Blackpool pubs with lads.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,228
    Andy_JS said:

    Is this based on yellow/red cards?
    Yep

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024_Group_C#Discipline
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,715

    Isn't there an IPSOS tomorrow?
    So just the Rest is Politics one today? 16pt lead baxtered Lab 200 seat majority.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,414

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".

    I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,682

    Has Farage poached Isaac Levido to advise on campaign strategy?
    To be fair to Isaac he has actually won a general election.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    Andy_JS said:

    The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
    That's why baseball has a 162 game regular season.
    Before the playoffs start.
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 931

    No more polls tonight presusumably. Anyone know please which we can expect tomorrow?

    Good to see you PfP, hope you are keeping well!

    What bets do you have for UK 2024?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,326
    OnboardG1 said:

    You'd need a serious sugar daddy and probably a cost cap. It'll never happen. You'd love it though, don't be coy!
    Yeah, but I'm not the target audience. F1 is WWE for middle class white men who can't set their own diff lash and the current (highly constrained) ruleset is a compromise between indulging the manufacturers and delivering the closest possible racing to maximise drama.

    If you want Formula Libre type shenanigans then it exists in Land Speed racing and Hill Climb/Time Attack. The audience for both of those could be measured on Sunak's pubes.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,591
    Andy_JS said:

    The whole point is if you like a game you want it to go on for as long as possible.
    Try telling the ECB. Their position seems to be that cricket is a dreadful waste of time and should be over as soon as possible.
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,989

    When I was a regular at Swindon I recall sitting through the first 30 mins of what was setting up to be a routine, drab 0-0. Suddenly it all went mad and finished 3-3. That’s the reason you go through all the dross. And beating Port Vale 5-0 in 2012 to win League 2. Glorious.
    This season we (St Mirren) were 1-0 down at home to Aberdeen after 1 minute.
    We scored twice in second half added time to win 2-1. Priceless!
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    rcs1000 said:

    Surely, "Russia should withdraw from Ukraine or run the risk that every young Russian man will be killed".

    I mean the two are functionally identical, especially given that Russia is taking far worse casualties and their latest offensive has stalled.
    Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,414

    Indeed, unless Georgia beat Portugal or Georgia beat Turkey, England will be playing the Netherlands on Sunday.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024#Knockout_stage
    Wait.

    Georgia is playing both Turkey and Portugal?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,565

    Matt Singh
    @MattSingh_
    Because I'm feeling generous I've created a Google Sheet with the PA declaration times, tabulated and matched to ONS codes. (AI was involved for this, so please let me know if you spot any errors)

    https://x.com/MattSingh_/status/1805656746305683753
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    CatMan said:

    Yep

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2024_Group_C#Discipline
    That Group E is remarkable. Basically with one game to play each, anyone can win the group and anyone can be going home.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272

    This season we (St Mirren) were 1-0 down at home to Aberdeen after 1 minute.
    We scored twice in second half added time to win 2-1. Priceless!
    I still treasure Leicester's match against Man United and being 2 nil down after 15 min, but coming back to win 5:3. We ended the match singing "We want six!".

    Rooney's face was a picture.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,984

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    rcs1000 said:

    Wait.

    Georgia is playing both Turkey and Portugal?
    Seems a little unfair.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,326
    biggles said:

    Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
    To an extent NF leads opinion and does not follow it. His comments will be turning some Fukkers Ukro-skeptical just because it's him that's saying it. Whether his positioning is a net electoral negative remains to be seen. Do voters give a fuck about it compared to Cozzie Livs, Nashie Healths or Immy Grates? I don't recall it polling with high salience on topics that engaged voters.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    Shellacking or Sunacking?

    :lol:
    "We were johnsoned, trussed and sunaked like a Tory on the 4th of July."
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Dura_Ace said:

    F1 is WWE for middle class white men who can't set their own diff lash
    I'm stealing that for next time I need to try to convince my wrestling-obsessed friend to watch motorsport.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,980
    biggles said:

    Farage is clearly just not bought in to the moral argument. And in that’s he’s at odds with the majority of Brits.
    The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace".
    Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,301

    No more polls tonight presusumably. Anyone know please which we can expect tomorrow?

    8 days left of polling releases before the vote itself (and exit poll).

    I presume most pollsters will release at least one more before the election date, and most will want one released close to the end of the campaign to make it relevant. I wonder if there's any temporary lull in a few days time for not wanting to do two in close succession...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,538
    So same place at 5pm on Sunday to watch the same shit from England.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Even the ones that last FIVE fucking days??
    Expecially those.

    Hey one of the most exciting sports in the world is the Tour de France and that lasts 21 days.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774
    Dura_Ace said:

    It would be insanely expensive so the teams would hate it and it wouldn't provide competitive racing so the audience would hate it. If they audience hates it then the media rights are worth nothing so why is anybody doing it?

    There is a reason that F1 cars have the same suspension technology as a Morris Marina.
    Though the use of carbon fibre was somewhat limited in the latter.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Dura_Ace said:

    To an extent NF leads opinion and does not follow it. His comments will be turning some Fukkers Ukro-skeptical just because it's him that's saying it. Whether his positioning is a net electoral negative remains to be seen. Do voters give a fuck about it compared to Cozzie Livs, Nashie Healths or Immy Grates? I don't recall it polling with high salience on topics that engaged voters.
    Dunno, even taking my own view out of it, I think this sort of thing matters to people.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272

    Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
    Maybe he just believes that Russia is justified in what it's done, rather than saying things for supposed electoral advantage.

    Maybe he sees himself leading a Quisling government in the UK.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,302
    rcs1000 said:

    Wait.

    Georgia is playing both Turkey and Portugal?
    I'm blaming tiredness - I've been watching paint dry all evening.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272

    I'm blaming tiredness - I've been watching paint dry all evening.
    Could have been worse, could have watched the match.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,280

    Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
    His USP is "perceived" honesty and directness. If he doesn't give his view and tries to evade it hurts him more, imo.
  • Good to see you PfP, hope you are keeping well!

    What bets do you have for UK 2024?
    Thanks Double C ... your kind words are absolutely reciprocated on my part.
    I'm mainly on the spreads, selling the Blue team down from 160 seats and buying the reds up from 430 seats. Also a variety of fixed odds bets favouring large Labour majorities, etc.
    We haven't yet booked the Caribbean holiday yet but something rather better than a long weekend in Clacton is definitely in prospect!
    Where is your betting focused?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
    Has he ever? Serious question. He is a classic disruptor. Sometimes that can be good and necessary. Other times it is rather pointless.

    He achieved what was supposed to be the most important goal of his political career. I don't understand the mentality that keeps him coming back for more.

    In all honesty with his apparently jovial character he could have followed Portillo into amiable documentary land and got a lot more satisfaction from life than continually tilting at windmills.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,313
    edited June 2024
    Nigelb said:

    Though the use of carbon fibre was somewhat limited in the latter.
    But it became gradually lighter by actively converting its structure to iron oxide and jettisoning mostly unnecessary parts
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163
    edited June 2024

    So same place at 5pm on Sunday to watch the same shit from England.

    Oh, is that when the next England match is?

    We have a dinner reservation for 5.30pm. What a shame. Gutted. I'm truly gutted.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,653

    Has he ever? Serious question. He is a classic disruptor. Sometimes that can be good and necessary. Other times it is rather pointless.

    He achieved what was supposed to be the most important goal of his political career. I don't understand the mentality that keeps him coming back for more.

    In all honesty with his apparently jovial character he could have followed Portillo into amiable documentary land and got a lot more satisfaction from life than continually tilting at windmills.
    Unrelated, but have you ever met a clinical psychopath?
  • Oh, is that when the next England match is?

    We have a dinner reservation for 5.30pm. What a shame. Gutted. I'm truly gutted.
    A dinner reservation for 5.30pm?

    Happy 128th birthday.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774
    viewcode said:

    But it became gradually lighter by actively converting its structure to iron oxide and jettisoning mostly unnecessary parts
    I learned to drive in one.
    Locating the gears was an interesting exercise.
  • DoubleCarpetDoubleCarpet Posts: 931

    Thanks Double C ... your kind words are absolutely reciprocated on my part.
    I'm mainly on the spreads, selling the Blue team down from 160 seats and buying the reds up from 430 seats. Also a variety of fixed odds bets favouring large Labour majorities, etc.
    We haven't yet booked the Caribbean holiday yet but something rather better than a long weekend in Clacton is definitely in prospect!
    Where is your betting focused?
    Ah thanks PfP great to hear from you :smiley:

    Going to start betting this week hopefully, looking at Con seats >100, also very safe Con seats (eg 60%+ in 2019 vote) where there's a decent return eg 30-40%.

    That's my starting point.

    For all the other almost 40 or so countries that I follow, the UK election night is probably still genuinely my favourite.

    Good luck with your bets!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,538
    edited June 2024
    Cabinet minister claimed he won £2,000 on election bets
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czkk0d19kgdo

    What a weird story. So he did or didn't, but got 25/1....well if he did get 25/1, that was way before any decision, so no insider info. Or he could have been totally bullshitting.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530
    Cookie said:

    Farooq earlier humourously suggested that HYUFD's head can only hold 5 ideas (The 1997 General Election, Gordon Brown, the Russell Group, a cat, the monarchy). Look it up, it was very funny, if a little harsh.
    But honestly Scott, I sometimes think your brain only has one idea.
    Brexit has happened. Britain has done neither noticeably better nor noticeably worse than its counterparts in the EU. Relax and let it go.
    What upsets those with fervent beliefs, either pro or anti, about Brexit is that is has had such trivial consequences.

    Compare with:

    Covid
    Ukraine
    Energy/environment
    Changing demographics
    GFC
    Globalisation

    Likewise it will have trivial consequences compared with upcoming events such as more globalisation, the US presidency or AI.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774
    Little by little, the Handmaid’s Tale becomes a slightly less unbelievable piece of fiction.

    Conservative US lawmakers are pushing for an end to no-fault divorce
    Republicans in Louisiana, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Texas have discussed eliminating or restricting such cases
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jun/25/republicans-no-fault-divorce
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    Just to annoy TSE and the other Republicans on here, a very good article in the Telegraph about the importance of Royal soft power, in this case with regard to British-Japanese relations.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family/2024/06/24/royal-family-japan-relationship-elizabeth-emperor-naruhito/
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,653
    Very off-topic, but I only just discovered that Mimi Parker of 'Low' died the other year. And she was just 'one of those voices' that I very fondly remember down the years.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=069qtEqtDJc

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,538
    edited June 2024
    This is getting a bit silly,

    The BBC understands George’s bet, placed online for a July election, was placed over a week before the election was called and neither man was aware of the other’s bet.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cqqqqx25rz0t

    There is absolutely no indication that Sunak had even decided on an election a week prior and this guys is rather distant from the action.

    I think we are going to end up with loads of politicians revealed they bet on politics, lots of £50 here and there, but not really any evidence they are doing much but punting.
  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105

    Putin's catamite is at it again.

    Ukraine should agree to a peace deal with Russia or run the risk that every young Ukrainian man will be killed, Nigel Farage has said in an escalation of his views on the war.

    The Reform UK leader said that in the interests of peace, President Zelensky should rethink his ambition to reclaim all territory lost to President Putin’s invasion. Farage also launched a fresh attack on Boris Johnson for rejecting the prospect of a peace deal, which had resulted in countless deaths.

    Johnson has championed Britain’s support for Ukraine and remains close friends with Zelensky.

    Farage said greater efforts were needed to broker negotiations between Ukraine and Russia and that Britain and other western allies were being unrealistic in their support of Zelensky’s goal to drive the invading forces back into Russia.

    He said reclaiming Crimean territory was going to be “incredibly difficult”.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/nigel-farage-zelensky-should-seek-peace-or-risk-losing-every-young-ukrainian-man-gg5bp93nt

    Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601

    Bizarre. Surely Nigel knows there are few votes to be won with this topic, let alone his take on it. Is it a pride thing and he just can't let it go until he thinks he's won the argument? Does he not actually want to be elected?
    I think he believes it will have limited effect on voting attention, but that he brings up unnecessary points that just flare things up suggests to me it is his true belief and he is angry people do not agree with him.

    He is probably correct that reclaiming Crimea will be difficult, I'd even say impossible, but the way he frames it all - blaming the EU for expanding, saying Ukraine should be the one to give up to save lives - makes it very clear his sympathies lie with Putin's ambitions, it is not a case of misplaced realpolitik.
  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105

    The Ukrainians are making some progress in hitting Russian air defence systems and have the prospect of achieving some degree of air superiority when the F16s and Mirages arrive. No wonder Putin shills are pushing for "peace".
    Touched by Nige's concern for the welfare of the Ukrainians, though.
    Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530

    Well hes shown hes a man of principle. Theres no electoral advantage to this but he keeps running with it. And hes right Russia has many more men than ukraine so can outlast them in a war of attrition.
    That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,280

    Cabinet minister claimed he won £2,000 on election bets
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czkk0d19kgdo

    What a weird story. So he did or didn't, but got 25/1....well if he did get 25/1, that was way before any decision, so no insider info. Or he could have been totally bullshitting.

    Cabinet minister lying? Surely that is a matter worthy of promotion.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601

    That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
    It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    ohnotnow said:

    Unrelated, but have you ever met a clinical psychopath?
    LOL. Not that I am aware of. Might I be one and be unaware of it?

    I don't think Farage is a clinical psychopath. I think he is wrong about many things and right about a few. I think he is a contrarian and egotistical in the manner of many politicians. Unlike others I don't actually think he would be the sort of person I would enjoy a pint with. I also don't think he is as bright as he believes himself to be but of course that is a widespread condition amongst both politicians and commentators.

  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105
    kle4 said:

    It's the standard 'Russia is too strong, I care about Ukraine so they should give up' crap that has been parroted for years now. As if no lesser nation has ever won a war, or made opponents success too costly before.
    Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729
    Is he intentionally trying to avoid Tory ELE & next party leader?
  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105

    That's why the Soviets won in Afghanistan and the Americans won in Vietnam.
    Vietnam wasnt existential for the americans in the way Ukraine is for Putin.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,653

    Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
    It has 10x more gay nazi's just waiting in reserve though. Just you wait. Or something.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,163

    Sadly its all about manpower and ukraine has less men.
    It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.

    I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530
    Nigelb said:

    Little by little, the Handmaid’s Tale becomes a slightly less unbelievable piece of fiction.

    Conservative US lawmakers are pushing for an end to no-fault divorce
    Republicans in Louisiana, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Texas have discussed eliminating or restricting such cases
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jun/25/republicans-no-fault-divorce

    By your reasoning the USA of JFK must have been the Handmaiden's Tale in practice.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
    Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530

    Vietnam wasnt existential for the americans in the way Ukraine is for Putin.
    Is it existential for the Russians who don't want to die there ?

    When a critical mass of those is achieved its bye bye to Putin.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,565

    Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
    And crucially Germany was fighting on two fronts - east and west.

    Constant balancing act between the two.

    Ukraine isn't.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,538
    edited June 2024
    England's path through the knockouts

    Spain, Germany, Portugal and France are all on the other side of the draw and England cannot play any of the quartet before the final.

    https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/articles/c0jjv93e8d3o

    England talent should be good enough to get all the way through that....but....
  • kle4 said:

    I think he believes it will have limited effect on voting attention, but that he brings up unnecessary points that just flare things up suggests to me it is his true belief and he is angry people do not agree with him.

    He is probably correct that reclaiming Crimea will be difficult, I'd even say impossible, but the way he frames it all - blaming the EU for expanding, saying Ukraine should be the one to give up to save lives - makes it very clear his sympathies lie with Putin's ambitions, it is not a case of misplaced realpolitik.
    I think it's all part of the far right might is right mindset. They are nationalists who don't believe in international cooperation. For them it's obvious: Russia is the stronger power and therefore Russia will win and consequently also deserves to win.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,842
    biggles said:

    Dunno, even taking my own view out of it, I think this sort of thing matters to people.
    In as much as I can discern a strategy, it's to remain in the headlines, in this pinch period where attention would usually revert to the main two parties. Ed Davey has got twatting about in a pond, Nigel Farage has got scaring the horses on Ukraine.
  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105

    Germany's main problem was not population but supplies - food, munitions etc. As long as the West keep supplying Ukraine then they do at least have a chance. Bear in mind what you are claiming here is that Ukraine will collapse by next February. That is a bold prediction.
    Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530

    Ok but Russia has knocked out much of Ukraines power grid now. They will have a very difficult miserable winter. I feel for them.
    We were told told that a year ago.

    And two years ago.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,530

    Ww1 was a war of attrition. Germany had double the population of ukraine and lasted 4 and a half years. So by my estimate ukraine at best lasts 3 years here. Then its all over.
    Do you know that Russia had collapsed before Germany during WW1 ?

    Even though the war was extremely existential to Imperial Russia's leadership.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    I'm still confused by the Assange developments. Why did the US suddenly change its mind about him?
  • GrandcanyonGrandcanyon Posts: 105

    It really isn't. It's about technological innovation and industrial production.

    I am still optimistic that Ukraine's drone industry will defeat Russia on land as it has done in the sea.
    Maybe. Then we come to the question of tactical nukes.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,774

    By your reasoning the USA of JFK must have been the Handmaiden's Tale in practice.
    Direction of travel.

    And you appear not to have noticed the phrases “little by little”, or “slightly less unbelievable”.
    That aside, good observation.
This discussion has been closed.