The Lib Dems could win a seat from 4th – politicalbetting.com
The Lib Dems could win a seat from 4th – politicalbetting.com
In the UK we don’t have truly national elections, each general election comprises 650 simultaneous local contests. In theory.
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Next week they move to Wycombe though so I need to remind them that Labour is the natural anti-Tory vote there.
Edit to add - Gareth is a Nimby hoping to expand the Green Belt - I suspect he may be the only Tory gain (outside of Scotland) in this election..
The suspicion is that Lab will put up taxes but any extra money will just get swallowed up in extra pay for public sector workers, with no improvement in services.
But elsewhere? I’d expect a lot of money to be wasted.
Keir Starmer twists the knife on Rishi Sunak’s rain-sodden election speech.
“The image of a man who says ‘I’m the only one with a plan’ standing in the rain without an umbrella is, to put it politely, pretty farcical.”
Bet365's advantages include, imo, the best website which is fast, easy to navigate, and not forever trying to tempt you to try their casino games, and no shops. Their prices are generally good but together with their BOG offer, is not as good as they used to be, but generally among the best in the village.
Take this election. Bet365 has prices on most if not all constituencies already. Ladbrokes has 40. Hills has none that I can find. Skybet has 16. Betfair Exchange 50.
And of course it is only Bet365 of those that has prices for Exmouth & Exeter East as per Quincel's header.
Dear God, this site is desperately crying out for an ignore function
I think there's a broader question around the Lib Dems. It's possible they win a load of seats simply because the Tory vote falls a lot, but I still think we should expect to see a moderate swing from Labour to the Lib Dems if they are to clean up in Southern England.
It's become common practice for lawyers to drown opposing litigants with quantities of documents which aren't readable on any reasonable timescale (we saw this with the PO enquiry).
They are now (even if you take this story with a pinch of salt).
GPT-4o has been out for 10 days and someone has already used it to take out their HOA
https://x.com/venturetwins/status/1793363005532782614
No breaking news to be posted on PB for the duration of the most active betting period and reason the site exists.
The current Tory MP for Newcastle-under-Lyme.
This is a political betting site. He is posting political news and comments. Is the issue that you dislike the news?
Try doing it more.
You'd say Liz Truss "gives a damn" too but has probably achieved something similar for her part of the right.
It very much matters what you "give a damn" about.
https://x.com/paulmasonnews/status/1793910452189331600?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Unfortunately B365 are one of the many bookies to bar me long ago so I cannot take advantage of their generosity and your acumen, but I would like both my readers to know that I thoroughly endorse your message.
Maybe you should look at your posts, which are normally just posting the opinion of someone most people have never heard of attacking the Government.
li.Item:has(a[title="Scott_xP"]) { display: none !important; }For what it's worth Scott provides a valuable public service.
No one’s perfect I guess.
Hackney North and SN 1/500 Labour with Diane without the whip and potentially standing?
Ilford North 1/33 on Wes with the Indy standing against him and the Tories relatively close and not losing anything like the national ground in London.....
Yes, these are very likely Lab holds but 1/500 and 1/33? Fanciful odds
sunny day, so I went to check the California electricity price map.
sure enough, pretty much everywhere, the current price of electricity is negative. poor generators that can't easily throttle their output, like nuclear or geothermal, apparently have to just pay for the privilege of outputting power, if they can't get rid of it any other way
in certain areas, the pricing is quite negative
https://x.com/DanielleFong/status/1793730102536347829
This is one reason why battery storage economics absolutely trashes gas peaker plants at the margin - they can get paid both to store and release energy.
Those wind farm idle capacity payments that @Luckyguy1983 gets so excited about will in the future be diverted to paying for battery storage.
A very good price, but I know the Honiton and Sidmouth area well and IMO 5/2 LibDems is an even better bet.
Great header.
Edit: comments please - @MarqueeMark and @SouthamObserver
He fixed his Liz Truss faux pas in 49 days.
These odds don't reflect likelihood even if they are correct about who should win, hence go value sniffing
Well the way to get more infrastructure built is to make sure that current infrastructure projects are completed on time and within budget.
I wonder does anyone have any data on how many infrastructure projects achieve this ?
And are there any patterns as to the cost effectiveness and speed in infrastructure building.
Now it seems that the bigger the infrastructure project the more overbudget and behind schedule it will be.
Especially anything which claims to be 'world leading' or 'biggest in Europe'.
If so it might suggest that this country would be better concentrating on small to medium sized infrastructure.
But that impression might be formed only because the bigger the infrastructure projects is the more media attention it gets.
But where are his Spads? Surely one of them would have thought to provide an umbrella, and do something about that noxious narcissist playing music to drown out the PM.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/3IuEQ45nQvw
A fuller version with reply
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A7bVGBbDZM0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D_uR3jj5CQY
{the mind states of a number of uplifted lobsters have entered the chat}
Any eyecatchers in your neck of the woods?
How about the Cons in Norfolk South (6/4) or Lowestoft (11/8)?
Edit: plus Cons Evens in Great Yarmouth
I thought Claire might do it last time, but that doesn’t mean I’m confident about the LibDems this time around and it’s now messy with the boundary changes.
I know the Exmouth and Exeter East constituency a little bit on the new boundaries. The LibDems have some organisation in Exeter but not a lot further south down the Exe estuary. Exeter is very Labour nowadays and a good chunk of this goes into the new constituency. But overall, this constituency looks solidly Conservative to me and Electoral Calculus agrees putting the likely vote share as:
Con 39.4%
Lab 27.6%
LibDems 17.1%
I don’t like 8/1 (or update 7/1) but I might have put a tenner on at 40/1. H
The other part of the constituency, Honiton and Sidmouth is a much closer with Electoral Calculus going for:
Con 36.4%
LibDem 33.7%
Lab 16.1%
But you can only get 5/2 on the LibDems for this one and I don’t consider that value either.
Hmmm. I’m not sure about this one. I don’t think the boundary changes help. But if the tories are heading for a shellacking then Exmouth and Exeter East constituency might turn yellow.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/24/yorkshire-town-angus-fire-bentham-forever-chemicals-pfas
A small North Yorkshire town has been found to have the highest concentration of “forever chemicals” in the UK, it can be revealed.
The market town of Bentham, which is home to 3,000 people and set on the banks of the River Wenning, is also home to the Angus International Safety Group – locally known as Angus Fire – which, since the 1970s, has been producing firefighting foams containing PFAS at a factory near the town centre...
Not good news for anything downstream, either.
Lowestoft is the slightly more generally Labour part of Waveney so yeah, Lab gain likely
Great Yarmouth also about right - toss up lean Lab
Thanks to Q for another real shrewdie-piece.
It’s things like holiday snaps which are, right now, a distraction.
The best way to ignore "this shit" is surely do what lots of others will and book yourself a holiday abroad?
For myself, it’s my favourite time of politics.
"See that crazy man in infront of the lectern in the rainstorm......no not the one falling into the sea ....that's Neil Kinnock ............it's ME!'