Categories
Options
The Tories really are up a certain creek without a paddle or canoe – politicalbetting.com
The Tories really are up a certain creek without a paddle or canoe – politicalbetting.com
If you added together all the synonyms for shit I get the feeling the word 'SHIT' would be biggest word on the word cloud. https://t.co/0CwMTYY36s
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
The former deputy prime minister Dominic Raab claims Boris Johnson faces a “fundamental hurdle” in his return to frontline politics while the partygate probe by the Privileges Committee looms over him.
Raab, who is a prominent backer of Rishi Sunak, said the party “cannot go backwards,” adding: “We’d be back in the sort of Groundhog Day of partygate. We must get the country, the government moving forward.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/johnson-rishi-sunak-penny-mordaunt-tory-leadership-general-election-follow-live-rvr79nm20
I suggested this yesterday during peak Boris excitement.
In my defence, I had recently been refreshing Twitter to see if NFFC were still beating LFC.
Having spoken with my family, I will be taking a period away from the site (maybe 5 minutes?) until popular acclaim demands that I come back and get the job done etc.
Germany will significantly cut down the expansion of the army due to “high inflation and the expensive dollar”
Several projects will be cancelled or downsized, including:
Puma IFVs
Self-propelled howitzers
Corvettes
Frigates
Eurofighters
potentially F-35s (downsized)
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1583778006803234816
Restricting Labour to a 1997 result will also mean that the Tory party has a future, and he’ll get the credit for that in the long term.
The only thing is that there may be a lot of pressure for an election next year.
Mid-table here we come!
6 July - PM Boris Johnson admits to the Commons Liaison Committee that he met "ex-KGB officer" oligarch banker Alexander Lebedev without any British officials present, when he was foreign secretary
7 July - PM Boris Johnson announces his resignation
And now? Well the most amusing paper to read about Johnson's return to Britain in its time of direst need is the London Evening Standard, of course, owned by Alexander's son Evgeny, elevated to the peerage by none other than Johnson.
It's an open secret that the Tory party is tied up with Russia money. But how exactly that money is being wielded right now is an open question.
1. FYI, just looking through Guido's list, the one category of MPs who don't seem to have come out much yet - bar
a few exceptions - are the Red Wall MPs. I'm of the view Rishi gives them less of a chance to save their seats than BJ but let's see.
2. Again, looking through the list, there are around 100+ MPs still to come out and voice support, still enough to get at least BJ across the line.
3. Related to that, there does seem a coordinated campaign to have a Rishi coronation (and this site is definitely playing its part). If Rishi was the nailed on person he is supposed to be, yoh probably would have more momentum. It seems like Rishi is getting his advice from Gavin Williamson as to how to play this.
I've never seen a ground so ridiculously full. People climbing all the way up the floodlights....
Political Betting is a great site but let's not over-egg its influence on a leadership election involving, erm, Conservative MPs and members.
The number of voting members who follow this site, let alone pay attention to the ramblings of us folk, is likely miniscule. And the number of Conservative MPs who sit up and pay attention to our witterings even fewer.
EDIT: We could flog the Eastern half to Putin, in return for free gas.
Good afternoon, everyone.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/live/cricket/60117935
It could still be a narrow defeat, with a set up for a swift comeback.
I was talking to my MP the other day, mentioned it. She was a bit startled, then almost guilty, said that she scrolled through. Apparently, the dissection of announced policies - as in "talking points against" is really interesting.
While Manchester United got a lot of attention for a shit start they've bounced back nicely, whereas Liverpool have been iffy all season.
For example, the other day, people were all fired up for nationalising the evil natural gas profiteers. I was entirely up for this. Let's nationalise the entire Arabian peninsular again. We would need a company to do the actual oil and gas stuff, though.
Empire Petroleum?
UK Petroleum??
.....
If this continues I may just treat you all to several threads on the alternative vote system, Scottish Independence, and topology.
What if there is another way to play it that doesn't make the leadership look like a busted flush just because their hand was on the tiller when the ship sank?
Liverpool wont make the CL, Man Utd.... lets see
No modern German should ever give their role in the Second World War a second thought - I think many still do, sadly.
Not sure if that’s a bluff
Yes, the Tories are starting from a stronger position in terms of number of seats, but all the other fundamentals look worse.
ETA: I should say, comparative competence. I don't want to overstate it.
Most of what people remember is from Black Wednesday onwards, which leads to 1997.
A source would be good, even an unreliable one.
Hrm - on the BBC live news feed he says :
"Boris Johnson now has more than 100 backers among Conservative MPs, meaning he could be on the ballot on Monday if he chooses to be."
But on twitter he says :
"NEW: I’m told Boris Johnson now has more than 100 backers and so could be on the ballot if he chooses to be"
Which is slightly different.
Therefore I'm backing Rishi Sunak.
Political editor
Boris Johnson now has more than 100 backers among Conservative MPs, meaning he could be on the ballot on Monday if he chooses to be.
The morons are going to do it aren't they.....surely the only way to stop him now is all in on Sunak so he gets 250 nominations.
Does Mason mean someone is claiming this, or what?
It's a better long term bet for Johnson anyway. If the Privileges Committee does one on him he can resign his seat (rather than face a recall) elevate a safe-seat friend to the Lords (summer resignation honours) and stand for LOtO after the GE24 defeat. If they let him off, same plan really - Uxbridge looks a bit precarious at the next GE.
And topology? Shape up!
Mind you, Arsenal had similar stats and two-thirds possession, so maybe Spurs are just a bit rubbish against top sides.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Brazilian_presidential_election
Chair @floetry "We have seen that the party’s centrist members have been ‘quiet quitting’ for years... it's clear the return of Johnson would finally end the relationship for many."
https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1583821403190886402