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Bojo moving up in the next CON leader betting – politicalbetting.com
Bojo moving up in the next CON leader betting – politicalbetting.com
When Johnson was effectively sacked as Conservative leader and Prime Minister following the revolt by Tory MPs in July the widespread assumption was that he would leave politics and go and earn huge amounts of money as a columnist and guest speaker.
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Oh and first like Boris
Thank you, for the majority.
Labour that is
PETER. MANDELSON.
Night all
If this goes tits up it'll be someone from the Rishi/One Nation/Told you so wing.
Kwasi
Southgate
M5S at a national 16% level is likely to start bothering the FPTP scorers.
I note the King over water Burnham 'fell for it' though. Dont hear much about him any more
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/mandelson-end-50p-tax-rate-to-tell-the-world-britain-is-open-for-business-bblsm67l2ft
Get a government out of that.
This is astonishing
“OK, the first exit poll is in, and it’s good news for Giorgia Meloni and the far-right Brothers of Italy.
According to the Consorzio Opinio Italia poll for Rai, the rightwing coalition has won between 41-45% of the vote and the left alliance 25-29.%. That would give the right a majority in both houses.”
Who cares about Meloni?
Italy is not going to Quitaly, she’s not soft on Putin, and Italy has been fucked forever and she can hardly fuck it up further.
Which means that while Meloni will have to bring in at least one party on the center or left if Italy is to avoid another election imminently.
Or (and this is unlikely but not impossible) PD + M5S + Renzi + Greens could form a government.
Meaning Di Maio would lose his seat.
I tipped it here at the time.
Should be 4/1, imo.
M5S 29.6
Centre left 28.1
Centre right 27.7
Fat lady sings territory that.
Tread carefully Mr @Gardenwalker
House
245 seats assigned with PR based on national scores
147 FPTP seats
8 for Italians Abroad
Senate
122 assigned with PR based on regional scores
74 FPTP seats
4for Italians Abroad
FDI, Lega, Forza Italia and Noi Moderati are running in coalition. So they are added together for FPTP seats
Same for PD, +Europa, Green/Left and the Di Maio party on the other side
FdI 110, Lega 66, FI 46 = 222/400
There will be a few FPTP winners from.Noi Moderati (though they haven't broken the 3% to pick up proportionals), so suggests a Meloni government with a majority around 55.
79.5% of voters voted for other parties.
That is not a “triumph”.
Paul Mason
@paulmasonnews
·
8m
4/ Starmer - confident, surrounded by "earpiece people" - more presidential than prime ministerial. This works for him and unless Truss can generate a similar buzz at her own zombie conference, will start to soften the media towards Labour ...
If Truss leads the Tories into the next general election and loses then Badenoch would be favourite to be Leader of the Opposition. If the Tories win the next election under Truss then Kwarteng is likely favourite
Centrodestra on 57% of seats in both houses per exit polls.
Projection map for FPTP seats for the Chamber, nearly all blue, some uncalled, handful of red in Tuscany area, couple of M5S yellow in Napoli.
So govt will be PM Meloni, cabinet seats for Lega, FI and the other small party?
What does Starmer believe in?
Take energy. Great to aim for all renewable energy as early as possible. But Starmer seems not have thought about the calm, cloudy winter days problem.
What does Starmer believe in?
PD 77
M5S 47
Azione/IV 18
Suggesting minor/expatriate/regionalists 36
Milan Central - Left by 4pts
Rome Central - Left (+E) by 3%
election. Meloni and Brothers of Italy though will need Berlusconi and Salvini's support to govern.
Also the first victory for the right of centre in a G7 nation's election since Boris and the Tories win in 2019. Truss will welcome PM Meloni as a key ally in a G7 now dominated by liberals and social democrats like Biden, Scholz, Macron and Trudeau
I think Boris would win any contest.
Edit. Ah yes. Michael Howard.
But if I were advising Truss, I'd be suggesting that the best mood music would be to throw him to the wolves.
'It is the folly of too many to mistake the echo of a London coffee house for the voice of the kingdom.'
Perhaps it should be wine bar?
https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage
No, he doesn't have to support every strike, because again he's not trying to be Corbyn. It does seem like the concept is difficult to understand but: He's not trying to lose a fourth election in a row on a too-left platform.
https://twitter.com/dmitryopines/status/1574148756404150273?s=21&t=ddJZV13EtD58HukjBLVFIw
I wonder if social media feeds of Iranians actually fighting back against police are starting to show people how it’s done.
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/camera/scrutini/20220925/scrutiniCI
It's a method of thought more than a detailed answer to every question. It is moderate. It is calm.
At least that what it looks like to me from the outside.
Personally, I tend towards a more utopian, idealistic and radical position, but generally the British public have not agreed.
Braveman already marking out territory as more hardline on immigration than Truss too with an eye on the next leadership election
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1574147359180718081?s=20&t=6dfURfB8wFTgljgsDGhhhw
But funded by massive reductions in the size of the state. Which sounds great until you try to identify what activities the state should no longer do.