politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » All the signs are that the turnout is large

Alanbrooke said:

Carnyx said:

Alanbrooke said:

Carnyx said:

MarkHopkins said:

Do we all sing Auld Lang Syne at 10pm?

Freedom come all ye, and A man's a man for a that, I would hope.

Scots wha hae is strictly for the No side to sing, as it is about Bannockburn, which they love.

yeah progressive scotland

#quotingfreemasons

Actually, the Graun is reporting a capella choir outside Holyrood. No idea what they are singing though!

Schottland uber alles ?

Horst Wessel Lied

NickPalmer said:

peter_from_putney said:

You've done a terrific job David - it's almost time to get yourself home for a large mug of cocoa, or whatever.

Hear hear! Quite apart from the suspense...did you enjoy it a bit too?

Yes Nick, it was good and a very civilized and constructive mood on PB.com over the last few hours.

Tykejohnno said:

steve richards @steverichards14

If Scotland votes 'no' with devo max there will be the 'English question' to answer. I expect the row over England to begin around 7am

Is the english question " why are the english such a big bunch of walkover pussies who let everybody crap on them because they;re embarassed to say sod off and they're are too up their own arses to protest, that you can rape their daughters in front of them and they'll offer the rapist a condom ?"

malcolmg said:

chickens will be in full flow in the morning for sure

I hope you've won but strongly suspect you haven't. Curious if there is a No how all this cocky arrogance you've displayed will continue.

No takers for the even money under 4.5???

talk of turnout over 90%

Which will be better: Sky, BBC, or STV/ITV?

malcolmg said:

talk of turnout over 90%

Seeing a lot on that.

You off on holiday tomorrow??

Uh-Oh

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges 29s

"No" has won.

isam said:

No takers for the even money under 4.5???

No. Yes -> 1000 I reckon...

Alanbrooke said:

Tykejohnno said:

steve richards @steverichards14

If Scotland votes 'no' with devo max there will be the 'English question' to answer. I expect the row over England to begin around 7am

Is the english question " why are the english such a big bunch of walkover pussies who let everybody crap on them because they;re embarassed to say sod off and they're are too up their own arses to protest, that you can rape their daughters in front of them and they'll offer the rapist a condom ?"

Agree Alan,have you seen the Andrew gale WTF story,just to prove the point.

manofkent2014 said:

HurstLlama said:

Thank God it is over

Hear, hear. Tomorrow the real fun will start.

But it can't, surely, whatever the result, be as bad as the last few months on here.

6.4 -> 6.6

Its weird that Huw Edwards is hosting the BBC program, as far as I can remember David Dimbleby has always hosted election night programs. Is this the first one in a while that isn't Dimbleby?

isam said:

No takers for the even money under 4.5???

betfair seems to moving the other way, now 6.4

PAW said:

I hope they don't go, they would have staggering levels of unemployment and no help from anyone. How can they not know?

That could happen in the short-, mediuam- and long-term, if the Scottish leadership after any Yes vote is criminally stupid.

To be honest, I can't see much difference for either side economically in thirty years time wrt relative GDP per capita. Scotland will have been absorbed into the EU after a long and withering process, and the UK will sail merrily along, probably outside the EU. Scotland will undergo a painful readjustment; if they are sensible they will use oil money to reduce the pain and make the country more attractive to the high-tech industries that they already excel at.

But I've no doubt there will be pain for Scotland in the short term if Yes win. If only when the good people of Scotland realise that Salmond's sold them a load of smoke and mirrors.

If there is a No, and especially a close No, there will be violence in the mid-term. Expect a bunch of @shhats like the SNLA / DHC to arise, although hopefully they will be just as incompetent as those idiots.

Listening to #5live.Behaviour impeccable.Well done to the Scottish people.If they pace themselves with the swally,then Scotland's reputation will be enhanced whatever the outcome.

TheScreamingEagles said:

peter_from_putney said:

Tykejohnno said:

Chris Green ✔ @cghgreen

YouGov poll conducted AFTER people voted will be released at 10.30pm, it says #IndyRef

Ah so we will have an exit poll after all!
Should mean I can get to bed at a civilised hour (after counting my profits of course) unless it's looking very close.

It's not a proper exit poll.

Just a poll of people exiting

TheScreamingEagles said:

peter_from_putney said:

Tykejohnno said:

Chris Green ✔ @cghgreen

YouGov poll conducted AFTER people voted will be released at 10.30pm, it says #IndyRef

Ah so we will have an exit poll after all!
Should mean I can get to bed at a civilised hour (after counting my profits of course) unless it's looking very close.

It's not a proper exit poll.

It's more of a "got home, put on the lights, made a cup of tea" poll.

Philip_Thompson said:

Its weird that Huw Edwards is hosting the BBC program, as far as I can remember David Dimbleby has always hosted election night programs. Is this the first one in a while that isn't Dimbleby?

DD is almost 76 years of age.

Richard_Tyndall said:

JBriskin said:

Kay's in Weegieland!!!!!!

Very harsh.

Whatever the result tonight one ting is absolutely certain.

Kay Burley is a bloody useless presenter and should not be allowed within a million miles of an important story

I did warm to her yesterday

http://www.theguardian.com/media/2014/sep/17/sky-news-kay-burley-knob-scottish-independence

Patrick Wintour @patrickwintour

Spoken to Labour leader of local government. Warns all Westminster elite they ignore frustration and anger of English people at their peril

Yes out to 6.6

Richard_Tyndall said:

JBriskin said:

Kay's in Weegieland!!!!!!

Very harsh.

Whatever the result tonight one ting is absolutely certain.

Kay Burley is a bloody useless presenter and should not be allowed within a million miles of an important story

We're pro-Kay in this flat Richard!!!!!

I was hoping for Faisal though........

NickPalmer said:

peter_from_putney said:

You've done a terrific job David - it's almost time to get yourself home for a large mug of cocoa, or whatever.

Hear hear! Quite apart from the suspense...did you enjoy it a bit too?

Yes it has been great fun. It has reminded me that politics can be utterly absorbing and the great British public fascinating.

Many thanks for all of the kind comments on here tonight. I really appreciate it. Two other polling stations in Dundee. One had just over 60% and one had 80%. The last of these was in a good area for us and gives me further confidence.

BetFair YES out to 7.
Someone knows something...
OR now is the best time yet to bet on YES...

MonikerDiCanio said:

Howard said:

Now that the votes are cast I am predicting major rows on the NO side with blame allocated. George Galloway being one who will be particularly vocal.

Howard,whenYes were allocating names to their designated PB trolls you drew the short straw.

I am on the no side!

Sophie's got a haircut!!!!

Sky and No For the Win!!!!!!!

There is enough Welsh blood in me, that ordinarily I don't mind. But they will have 25% unemployment, 50% youth unemployment in 18 months time.

To paraphrase Moz

"I think its over"

Philip_Thompson said:

Its weird that Huw Edwards is hosting the BBC program, as far as I can remember David Dimbleby has always hosted election night programs. Is this the first one in a while that isn't Dimbleby?

Huw's been lined up for the "big, momentous state occasions" job for a while now.

Can't say Ill really miss Dimblebore...

Betfair's YES vote now out to 9 .

Looks like it's all over folks!

Carnyx said:

@Alanbrooke and @malcolmg

Actually, now I look at the issue, I must have missed this. The samples must be rather small for the smaller clubs, but there must be a fair sample for Rangers and Celtic. Just a bit surprising if it is true.

http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/old-firm-united-both-celtic-3598872

Poll of 686 Heart of Midlothian supporters who are registered voters:

I intend to vote YES - 438 votes

I intend to vote NO - 216 votes

I am UNDECIDED - 28 votes

I intend not to vote - 4 votes

We're working on getting those 4 non-voters to take part.....

USEFUL LINKS
============

DECLARATION TIMES
http://www.cityam.com/1411025376/when-will-scottish-independence-referendum-vote-be-announced-declaration-times-local

ANDYJS'S SPREADSHEETS
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fBxvVgbyO_msx2eJxVbUlh6MubdD4-fZ-UIBFkwNIaI/htmlview?usp=drive_web
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WX0VkvxhGdACIr4FYUue_Cryk6JNRg743gsgoETYtw0/htmlview?usp=drive_web

YOUGOV's EXIT POLL
(a poll of their panel to see how they voted IRL. which they can then weight and use as a predictor as per the usual fashion)
Chris Green (twitter @cghgreen) "YouGov poll conducted AFTER people voted will be released at 10.30pm, it says #IndyRef"

GBP/USD
1.00 GBP = 1.63973 USD (Mid-market rates: 2014-09-18 21:17 UTC, 22:17BST)
http://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/convert/?Amount=1&From=GBP&To=USD

Not that I expect this for one minute, but is there a result that would force Salmond out?

Maybe sub 42, something like that?

SouthamObserver said:

What are they going to talk about until the results come in?

How WONDERFUL the engagement is. Particularly Brian Taylor, who will be very poetic.

TheScreamingEagles said:

Uh-Oh

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges 29s

"No" has won.

peter_from_putney said:

Betfair's YES vote now out to 9 .

Looks like it's all over folks!

Good thing I got garlic and a crucifix once I heard Dan Hodges declared it for NO.

Howard said:

SouthamObserver said:

What are they going to talk about until the results come in?

How WONDERFUL the engagement is. Particularly Brian Taylor, who will be very poetic.

For five bloody hours??!!

JackW said:

SkyNews "Optimistic noises coming from Westminster ministers"

Nice to see you back

SouthamObserver said:

Howard said:

SouthamObserver said:

What are they going to talk about until the results come in?

How WONDERFUL the engagement is. Particularly Brian Taylor, who will be very poetic.

For five bloody hours??!!

He has been at it 5 weeks so why not!

DavidL said:

NickPalmer said:

peter_from_putney said:

You've done a terrific job David - it's almost time to get yourself home for a large mug of cocoa, or whatever.

Hear hear! Quite apart from the suspense...did you enjoy it a bit too?

Yes it has been great fun. It has reminded me that politics can be utterly absorbing and the great British public fascinating.

Many thanks for all of the kind comments on here tonight. I really appreciate it. Two other polling stations in Dundee. One had just over 60% and one had 80%. The last of these was in a good area for us and gives me further confidence.

Good luck. You deserve a dram whatever the result. A truly fine effort. Puts us keyboard warriors to shame.

Nick SuttonVerified account
‏@suttonnick Friday's Daily Mail - "Why was he ever allowed into UK?" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/xzm1rBGJ8X

Well done the mail on it's front page.

SeanT said:

Aaargh

Betfair coming in again

Calm down, what you should do is, compare it to the price 24 hours ago

These odds jump around. No counting has begun. Anything can happen. I still call it 51% yes.

bigjohnowls said:

JackW said:

SkyNews "Optimistic noises coming from Westminster ministers"

Nice to see you back

Let the epic battle of BJESUS vs. ARSE commence!

Yes odds plunging outwards!

PoliticalBetting Prayer*

Dear Baldy-Hoster, OGH:

...

Forgive us English for Our beliefs,
And our trespass on Scotched polity.

But save We Our humility,
Of moderation and circumspect:
For the Jockanese have sown,
And soon will groan!

For such is the Kingdom-of-England,
In Luton as in Bedford:
A voracious laugh (Brian Bleesed's Yorkshire gruff),
Will soon tell the Scots: Enough and move orf!

:vote-them-out:

* Based upon the Anglican Prayer. [Though not very well...! ]