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The LDs claim to be just 2% behind in Tiverton & Honiton – politicalbetting.com

The LDs in the Devon by-election have issued internal polling based on thousands of separate contacts with voters in the constituency which they claim has them just 2% behind the Tories. This has the Tories on 46% with the LDs on 44%.
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But I am not confident.
I am only surprised not to see some kind of abstract, graphic representation of the respective vote shares.
https://acronyms.thefreedictionary.com/MRDA
Not Missouri Round Dance Association.
As they say in the ed biz.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UIKGV2cTgqA
Edit - no it was 4% 2 days before https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2021/06/15/city-am-reporting-that-internal-ld-polling-has-the-party-4-behind-in-chesham-and-amersham/
It would be helpful to know.
LBC
@LBC
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4h
James O'Brien wonders why graffitiing a Winston Churchill statue is a 'capital offence' while torching his legacy is 'close to government policy'.
https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1537042992086896640
Ah, my coat.
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 40% (-2)
CON: 34% (+3)
LDM: 10% (-1)
SNP: 4% (=)
GRN: 4% (+1)
Via @SavantaComRes, 10-12 Jun.
Changes w/ 27-29 May.
Yuge if vrai
"if"...
(Edit: no, 3 pts behind Surrey. I must have miscounted...)
Tories perhaps off their base level and crawling back towards mid 30s?
(sorry Horse, I couldn't resist it
LibDems LOSING here?
(Nerdish joke from the 90s)
Cheers for the tip
@HYUFD please explain!
@bigjohnowls please explain!
@HYUFD please explain!
@bigjohnowls please explain!
We had this discussion with MarqueeMark the other day, the conclusion being the libdems saying just two behind any day now was inevitable.
Wonder if Captains are going to have to re-think their targets? To declare and set 329 off 100 didn't seem unreasonable.
When the Armenians say “winelands” they mean a series of hideous post-Soviet towns made mainly of poor cement and worse concrete, hidden away in stunning red rock canyons (like Arizona) where the higher slopes are blushed with poppies and every other street has some lovely woman, amidst the rubble
The wine is excellent; they claim these steep smoky valleys are the the birthplace of wine. It is a frequently ugly, occasionally sublime and generally compelling place
What could be more noble!
Two things can both be right at the same time: Supporting public justice being done by identifiable judges (a long UK tradition, even in NI in the bad old days) and opposing abuse of those same people.
I’ve noted a few times the Comres polling baffles me, how do they get the greens so low when others don’t? Answer is they are clearly adding a splash of green to their Labour scores. What they are though is very consistent, apart from an outlier last time, still around margins of error type outlier of which this poll is reverting back so fools gold movement for Tories, they are consistent on the gap of 6, a high Labour of 40, a low green, a low Libdem, and a higher Tory share. Very consistent all year with those figures.
Phone a shit load of 2019 tories.
Release the kraken.
Quietly arrange cheesy photo op in Tiverton with a giant orange hammer and Sir Ed for the 24th
Best thing in the world, premade campari soda
It seem to me quite clear which is worse.
And if abuse is incited, I think these days we have a whole bucket-load of offences which can apply.
Defining a Newspaper as a malicious communication is an interesting one.
It's a campaigning technique - we've all seen it before. It may be the Conservatives have used something similar in Copeland or perhaps Batley & Spen.
I hope you have a source for that, (apart from the 2010 manifesto obvs)
Green 4 seems more realistic for a GE, especially as they may not stand everywhere.
LDs a little disappointing given the redfield.
We have been circling these sorts of figures since the crossover in late 2021