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What’s this chart going to look like on Friday? – politicalbetting.com
What’s this chart going to look like on Friday? – politicalbetting.com
Thursday’s elections take place against a huge amount of speculation about the future of the man who won the 2019 general election for the Tories.
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I think that Wandsworth is a lot more than leaning Labour. I think that Labour will win the borough very comfortably.
Barnet, I think, comes down to whether Starmer has detoxified Labour sufficiently among Jewish voters. Labour should win a clear majority in the wards making up Chipping Barnet. It will turn on whether they can make headway in Hendon, and in Finchley & Golders Green.
Westminster should see Labour lead comfortably in terms of vote share, but like Kensington, the ward boundaries are drawn very favourably towards the Conservatives. Labour need a big lead to take that borough.
2 - 2 (5 - 5)
Extra time on now.
Posting 50 times a day that NOBODY IS POSTING ABOUT THE STORY I AM POSTING ABOUT, NOBODY, DO YOU HEAR ME? is deep into Cretan paradox country
But Liverpool to win the Final
I'm going to cancel my subscription now, should have a month ago so the month's notice expired now. Signed up for the Ashes but kept it for the Champions League, don't see any point paying for it going forwards now.
Penalty to Madrid! What drama!
CON: -206
LAB: +147
LDEM: +34
GRN: +35
SNP: -12
PC: -14
Drilldown:
sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/05/our-lo…
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1521957860887912448
So the Johnson exit date question comes down to what it's always come down to:
Do enough Conservative MPs want to risk shooting at Johnson? They can bring him down whenever they want, if that's what they want to do. But if they wait for someone else to do the dirty work for them, they may have to wait a long time.
CON: -206
LAB: +147
LDEM: +34
GRN: +35
SNP: -12
PC: -14
Drilldown:
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/05/our-local-election-forecast-for-2022/ https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1521957860887912448/photo/1
"Competition" would be me being able to watch Liverpool fixtures on my choice of Sky or BT. Having to pay for both isn't competition.
I can choose which company I get my gas from - that is competition.
I can choose which transport option I take, with different companies going from the train station too - that is competition.
I can't choose which company I get a fixture from. There is no choice, there is no competition, only one channel broadcasts it. The fact a different channel broadcasts different fixtures doesn't help me, it just means I need to pay for the same thing twice!
And there's no reason in principle that even the same game couldn't be on multiple channels. It's not a natural monopoly.
Bit high for Labour. And low for the LD's. But in that region I would say.
Question is can Liverpool beat Man City. I am no Liverpool fan but maybe they can! 👍
It will be painful in the extreme
I agree that there's no reason in principle the same game couldn't be on multiple channels, but that wasn't the ruling they made. If it was, then there'd be actual competition, but it wasn't. Instead we get the worst of all worlds and need to pay twice for the same product.
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1521902853778030596
Heavy fighting continues at Mariupol's Azovstal as of 18:00 EEST - Suspilne citing Azov-Kyiv co-commander Maksym Zhorin
Communication was restored with the 🇺🇦military at Azovstal. Russians partially broke into the plant's territory from one direction…
… "It's the second day as the enemy broke into the premises of the plant. There are heavy bloody battles. The situation is extremely difficult, but in spite of everything we continue to carry out the order to keep the defense" - Azov Regiment Commander Lt-Col Denys Prokopenko.
Labour looks set to make slower progress tomorrow in the north of England than elsewhere in the local council elections, despite Sir Keir Starmer putting regaining the "red wall" lost in the 2019 general election at the top of his agenda.
https://news.sky.com/story/local-elections-2022-labour-to-advance-in-key-battlegrounds-but-struggle-to-win-many-councils-outright-poll-suggests-12605545
🔴 Wandsworth leaning Labour
⚪️ Westminster too close to call
⚪️ Barnet too close to call
🔴 Croydon will likely stay Labour
🔴 Southampton leaning Labour
⚪️ Worthing too close to call
⚪️ Crawley too close to call
⚪️ Hull too close to call
https://twitter.com/itssophiemorris/status/1521955547767050243
Also, Real are just not that good
Be careful, though. I think the big clubs win quite a premium from the way TV money works, and it might not be in your team's interests to have a different rights system.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barnet_London_Borough_Council_elections
It's still pretty poor, mind.
The issue with the big ticket sports is the fragmentation of the coverage. I’d like to have just one provider for the sport I want, not have amazon, bt, sky and others all snatching bits of it. Frankly I watch less and less now. I think the idea of buying a ticket for a given match has appeal, rather than having to pay for a full subscription.
I genuinely have no clue
But you have no skin in the game. Phew.
Certainly many in Labour felt the cause was clear at the time.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/may/04/labour-antisemitism-scandal-blamed-for-tory-win-in-barnet
Thank God we have such a lively league. Bayern have just won their ninth title in a row; the Bundesliga is worse than the Scottish Premiership
https://twitter.com/hilzoy/status/1521869746878177281
Includes this remarkable anecdote.
… Minor digression: I once pressed Scalia on this point, and he said as much: that it was BECAUSE there was no meaning of terms like liberty' that we could figure out that we had to rely on the extension of 'liberty' as understood by the framers.
… 23/ So I asked him: are you saying that you, unlike the Framers, are a moral nihilist?, and he said: yes.
One of the more astonishing moments of my life.
The days of sport as a unifying national event is over for all but the very biggest games.
Even the Sunday afternoon live ITV Division One game in 1987 was a huge occasion.
Now. You can take your pick.
When I was a child that was how laundry was done. My mother would ring up, they would come round and collect all my father's shirts, sheets etc then return with them all cleaned, pressed and neatly folded.
No apps of course. But otherwise we are just rediscovering services we used to have before.
And as for @rcs1000's waste Uber, I was doing this for my street years ago. When I went to the Regis Road recycling centre I would ask neighbours if they had stuff to go there and would take it along, especially garden waste, rather than pay for Camden to collect it. In return other favours would be done for me.
Then once they have demonstrated they are morally sound and financially secure they can appeal to a legal system largely run by women who can mandate them to have their vasectomies reversed.
What do you mean no? But you think men should interfere with women's bodies...
When I was a kid live TV sport was a treat. Now I just can’t get excited.
Meanwhile, it looks like the first Mail front page in forever that isn't about beergate (Channel crossings, lefty lawyers instead), and the Telegraph story (retired Chief Constable thinks that Durham police probably need to reinvestigate...) looks like pretty thin gruel, really.
https://www.tomorrowspapers.co.uk/