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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation Indyref poll gives Better Together some good news
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation Indyref poll gives Better Together some good news
The Survation poll for the Daily Record is out now. The majority of the polling was conducted after the YouGov poll that had Yes ahead was published, but before Cameron, Clegg and Miliband had their sojourn in Scotland.
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Too late?
Chris Deerin@chrisdeerin·15 secs
I hear the SNP leaked the poll to draw the sting. What a shower. Record should sue them for the cost.
Lets hope Cameron's visit today doesn't fook it up
Mr. Rottenborough, that's like saying a date went very well, until the restaurant caught fire.
Mr. T, premature jubilation is perhaps to be expected for a man of Salmond's age
FPT2: Mr. Me, cheers. Sensible policies for a happier Britain!
On-topic: gosh, isn't it exciting?
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fBxvVgbyO_msx2eJxVbUlh6MubdD4-fZ-UIBFkwNIaI/edit#gid=0
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-29144266
http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politics/other-politics/scottish-politics?ev_oc_grp_ids=1898230
Where's Stuart Dickson?
It's a kind of insider trading - but is it illegal?
I apologize for interrupting your discussions but in response to messages and emails from members of the pb site we've been advised today that my husband will be fit to return home this weekend for a period of convalescence.
Thank you to those who sent kind messages.
Mrs JackW
Miss Plato, given the savaging Thacker, Wright and the current and ex-chief constables got the other day, and that news, it's got a long, long way to run. I'm somewhat surprised there hasn't been rioting or other violence.
"So people are hearing this stuff hours before others, and the opportunities for making a killing on the currency and betting markets must be large. "
Similar to the stock markets? (yes they are regulated, but nothing is illegal until you are caught)
The figure for the 65+ age group is NO by 61%.
Can you imagine how funny it will be if the 16 and 17 year olds enfranchised by Salmond save the Union?
[The exact percentages are 61.26% vs 61.11% but there's no point in telling you which figure is for which age group.]
Mr. StClare, on Look North last night a woman who did an investigation about a decade ago was told to shut up. She was visited by men who warned her if she didn't keep quiet her address would be given to the grooming gangs.
"The Scots are too stupid to rule themselves"
"The Scots are too poor to rule themselves"
"The Scots are too anti-English to rule themselves"
"HM The Queen will have a heart attack and die if the Scots vote yes"
"Scotland will immediately be consumed by the ocean if they vote yes"
"There will be all-out global thermonuclear war if the Scots vote yes"
"The Sun will go Nova and destroy the entire solar system if the Scots vote yes"
Er, you get the picture!
Of course she lives in London...
Is this a turnip free thread?
Keep him away from the brandy, even if he claims it is "medicinal" ;-)
It's astonishing, in terms of implications, but I think it's hard to beat the novelty and the many twists and turns of the period between close of polls at GE2010 and Cameron entering No 10 however many days later. Nobody knew what was going to happen from one day to the next!
He was a super source for polling info before embargo - and had to be very careful about when he told us/only when we were running off in the wrong direction.
Didn't he work for the security services? Or BBC Monitoring at one time?
Do you not think Brown is popular among the Labour swing vote that will decide this.
Do you not think Scots despise the Tories
If not you are the idiot
Px
These are supposed to be their heartlands. They are meant to deliver motivated labour working class votes by the boatload to give no a resounding win, spurred on by their leader.
But that is certainly not happening.
I thought he was on holiday.
Hope all goes well Jack
All #IndyRef polls are within the margin of error of swinging it either way. To say it'll be close is an understatement.
A very wise tweet. It would beholden all of us to calm down and collect our winnings daily, quietly. Of course those in the know seldom lose. I still believe that NO will do it, just.
www.tags4crew.com/ekmps/shops/tags4/images/air-scotia-crew-tag-1838-p.jpg
Did anyone else see the North Korean style welcome for Kim Jong Eck on the campaign trail this morning, before business leaders and pollsters started pissing on his chips?
Think of the size and scope of British Empire to The Roman Empire, we helped end slavery.
It also helped us win two world wars.
I just couldn't place him - then again he was painted blue in X-Men
In any case some of the votes in Heywood & Middleton might wonder if their council is as useless as that in Rotherham.
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/07/01/why-do-polls-scotland-vary-so-much/
@LynseySharp: To all the haterz sending me abuse....... http://t.co/1ztQzpQBY9
Nasty, Nasty, Nat ****wits
No, there has, and always will be a level of passion for independence that is not reflected in most of the pro unionists. This has been so since I was old enough to attend my first "count".
How much difference it will make is down to the usual factors, but make no mistake, it is there.
Mr. Eagles, when Rome fell almost all Europe fell into centuries of Dark Ages. The Empire, and its previous political incarnations, also set up some fundamental aspects of law, improved learning, trade, education and was very significant in dragging mankind from barbarity towards civilisation.
The Eastern Empire also helped protect Europe, during the Dark Ages, from being overrun by caliphates or Turks. But for Byzantium the whole continent could have fallen.
Yoonyoonist turnip
It seems so passe now. I still can't get over Anthony Sheen [?] intv when he compared his house to Balmoral - shame that full intv has gone from YTube.
@rupertmurdoch: What happened to the Scottish Enlightenment? US owes more to it than England. How would Salmond rule?
JonnyJimmy said:
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While trying to cut the Scots Chancellor created deficit with overly-severe-austerity, according to the likes of you!
Did you read what I wrote? I wrote that Brown & Darling had borrowed more than 8% of the debt; do you think that's wrong?
It is a moronic question from a moron.
Scotland? Haven't followed this thread but the crying shame is that the implications are huge but, put simply, they are unexplainable to the man on the Edinburgh tram and that's no insult to the man on the Edinburgh tram.
How are random members of the public supposed to know the difference between currency union and dollarisation and partial dollarisation and currency board or the implications of having a banks' insurance fund or lender of last resort or...or...or...
It is too much to ask which leaves emotion (the "FREEDOM" argument). And that's fine but there is a cost to that decision and I don't think anyone is getting what that is and for how long it will last.
Betting wise, and apols if I am the 2057th person to say it but surely No must be hugely good value at any price?
Anybody know why?
However, we still have the ICM poll on the weekend and, of course, the vote itself next week.
My finances become difficult at £1= $1.55, and too difficult at £1=$1.50. So I am keen to insulate myself against a bad fall. I thought of placing some money with IGIndex in one of their newfangled online dealing thingies (I have an account but I'm too afraid to touch it - FLASHING LIGHTS! TECHNOLOGY! BAD!) and may still do so, but I thought I'd see if there were alternatives first.
So. I need to insure myself against a GBP fall to $1.50USD, and ideally to $1.55USD. Other than IGIndex and other online spread betting forums, can anybody suggest a method?
Where is Miliband trusted and respected? He's meant to be the leader of a government in waiting, campaigning in one of his power bases.
And yet Miliband is not much more than a bit part player in all this. He's irrelevant.
18.45 Mumsnet, the website where political careers go to die, has given its verdict on Alex Salmond vs Alistair Darling. Mr Salmond came off worse, judging from the comments which said his answers were "patronising" and "disingenuous".
"It seems to me on balance that Mumsnetters are NOT in favour of independence as a result of the ongoing lack of clarity, and a deeply held suspicion that Salmond is attempting to blinker the truth," said one user.
"Mr Salmond, your tone is hugely, hugely patronising. You are doing yourself no favours," said another user.
"The disingenuousness over the currency and EU are flabbergasting," said a third.
"If I see the word 'scaremongering' used on more time in response to people's honest and very real worries I will throw a hissy fit my children would be proud of," another user said. "'m so utterly sick of it."