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LAB takes a 6% lead with Survation – politicalbetting.com
LAB takes a 6% lead with Survation – politicalbetting.com
NEW: Polling for @MirrorPolitics has Labour lead up to 6 points. Westminster Voting Intention:LAB 40% (+1)CON 34% (-2)LD 10% (+1)SNP 4% (-1)GRN 4% (+1)REF UK 3% (-)OTH 4% (-1)1178, online, UK adults aged 18+, 8-9 Dec 21. Changes w/ 1 Dec 21 pic.twitter.com/vJ7Rtq0v1M
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Remember this will come mainly before last night's plan b covid introduction.
That still doesn't give Labour a majority, due to the ludicrous gerrymandering of the seats that gives the Tories an even bigger advantage under FPP.
Ignore for now.
Some interesting squeezes become possible. In (say) Wantage, Flavible reckons Con 41, LD 32. That opens up a compelling argument to Labour switchers. In this particular case, the local councils have already fallen from Con to LD, suggesting that local Labour voters might already be happy with a tactial vote.
That 40% is nice for Labour.
Remember, the Tory party has two modes, complacency and blind panic.
Hold the line!
Tim Spector
https://youtu.be/CsOG-6CfRgk
It is also a seat that was far more Leave than the UK average
The chairman of a Conservative group has resigned live on BBC radio over the government's plans for tighter Covid restrictions.
The new measures include masks in most public places, Covid passes for some venues and work-from-home guidance.
Charlie Sansom, of South Basildon Conservatives, told BBC Essex he did not agree with the Plan B proposals.
He said: "I cannot morally defend a party that I consider to be moving in a very tyrannical direction."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-essex-59596499
Honestly, Charlie Sansom is a patriot. FACT.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zt98ZJ7qs_4
Spoilers: LibDems too short so hold bets till more evidence; does Starmer need Boris to stay?
It really is time to get tough. I’m liking the unvaxxed tax idea. Don’t want to pay? Get the jab!
Sounds like the Tory candidate with the impressive CV in Shropshire is now being hidden from sight because party bigwigs fear he'll shoot himself in the foot if he faces any kind of media scrutiny.
Remind you of any other so-called top class Tory campaigners?
I'm sticking with that, but I'm now expecting 5% to be the smallest lead not the biggest.
Seattle City Council District 3 Special Election - Recall of Councilmember Kshama Sawant
active registered voters = 77,579
ballots counted as of Wed = 39,274 (50.6%)
Recall Yes = 19,733 (50.3%)
Recall No = 19,487 (49.3%)
As expected, the 7,117 ballots tabulated and added to the count yesterday strongly favored Sawant, with Recall No winning 62.3% of this batch.
As of this morning, Thursday, there are about 1,300 ballot that have been accepted but NOT yet counted. Plus unknown (but small) number of valid ballots that will dribble in next few days. Plus unknown number of currently-challenged ballots (=699) will be "cured" by voters submitting required signatures, and counted, likely a few hundred at most.
Next vote count is today by 4pm PDT, this should settle the question unless the margin this evening is VERY VERY close.
Evens is a good price.
Freedom, or rather loss of it, is the message they will bend to.
Not vaccinated? Fine but don't expect to: go to the pub, cinema, night-clubs, eat out, travel on public transport, go into any public buildings including shops.
Just extend the rules for smoking to the unvaccinated. Simple.
If that's the case the Leave percentage may not be as important as it used to be.
His one slight hope is that Labour realise they can quite easily win the seat and not just let the LDs have it... and then mess up.
Boris Johnson Net: -23% (-12)
Con voters +15%, Lab voters -55%
Keir Starmer Net: -2% (+5)
Con voters -42%, Lab voters +34%
1178, online, UK adults aged 18+, 8-9 Dec 21. Changes w/ 12 Oct 21
https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1469011284603592707
Starmer leads on gross favourables, just saying.
I have today been interviewed by a Detective Inspector of the Serious Crimes Division (sic) over who leaked to Kenny Macaskill MP the text message from Peter Murrell to his Deputy Sue Ruddick, instructing her to pressurise police to act against Alex Salmond.
https://twitter.com/craigmurrayorg/status/1468953097745489925?s=21
Uh-oh.
Believe 66% (Con 60%, Lab 81%)
Do not believe 26% (Con 32%, Lab 14%)
1178, online, UK adults aged 18+, 8-9 Dec 21.
Via @theipaper
Oh, wait.
https://twitter.com/TiceRichard/status/1468990835060613129?s=20
But I agree with you on Tory bedwetters. They're certainly not welcome in my house. Disgusting.
WTAFFFFF?
But you cheered me up Capitano, the thought of tactical vote of old, in which Case new seat calculator Jadeble makes this same poll Labour 320 Libdems 52 and Cons about 180 and a half.
I do think he becomes vulnerable if there is more news on the parties.
I daren’t say any more in case I inadvertently identify him/her.
Actually watched the ballots that arrived this morning being processed via King Co Elections webcams. Also saw staff doing hand check of three batches of recall elections, matched the machine count perfectly.
To a small extent I have some slight sympathy with his 'opposition are playing politics' argument - they clearly are working every angle they can - for example the attempt to involve the police seems ridiculous to me. However most of their angles are simply tap ins to an open net.
I think it was @IshmaelZ who yesterday pointed out that Sunak appeared to be agreeing with Blackford as to Boris' unsuitability - these things just aren't as inconcievable as they should be.
Question 1) Is said judge fond of spider themed jewellery?
Tory MPs will talk the talk but won't walk the walk.
A leadership challenge would be fun though!