"The other thing I keep reading is that #Omicron is “mild” — that’s misinformation. It’s mild*er* for *vaccinated* persons. The number of hospitalizations in South Africa (where only 25% of the population is fully vaxed) is rising and the case fatality rate remains ~3%"
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
This is another case which shows that James Bond is an utter fiction. If it was real, then Dom might have accidentally driven off a cliff whilst undergoing an eye test on the way to a party involving all the biggest brains in government.
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
Minor correction- Boris doesn't always get away with lying; see his brief career at The Times, or his time as Higher Ed spokesman under Howard.
Where BoJo excels is in failing upwards- getting sacked or dumped and still snagging a better gig or girl.
He can't do that this time, can he?
Since we left the EU no he can’t unless he manages to become King of the UK
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
Minor correction- Boris doesn't always get away with lying; see his brief career at The Times, or his time as Higher Ed spokesman under Howard.
Where BoJo excels is in failing upwards- getting sacked or dumped and still snagging a better gig or girl.
He can't do that this time, can he?
The Divine Pfeffellus will have his place in the pantheon.
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
Minor correction- Boris doesn't always get away with lying; see his brief career at The Times, or his time as Higher Ed spokesman under Howard.
Where BoJo excels is in failing upwards- getting sacked or dumped and still snagging a better gig or girl.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I got mine from the St John Ambulance online shop, on the hopeful assumption they would not be flogging crap, or you could have a look on the Whicvh website - they have made recommendations.,
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I got mine from the St John Ambulance online shop, on the hopeful assumption they would not be flogging crap, or you could have a look on the Whicvh website - they have made recommendations.,
I presume Boots has some level of quality control as well.
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
Vaccine passports will slow the spread compared to the counterfactual. The biggest argument against them right now is that 1st and 2nd doses in the UK are still far higher than population churn.
There's nerves in the civil service this afternoon that all the blame for the No 10 Xmas party will be pointed at officials - that's what the Simon Case review could find - even though I understand political advisors were invited (and were due to feature in Xmas 'awards') https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1468594003948060676
If they only have 2 jobs their antibody resistance to OMICRON YE KINGGE OF GERMES is approximately zero.
They are fucked. Unless it is incredibly mild. All of them will get it, many will go to hospital
Did you see the report from the hopital in Cape Town ( the 2nd largest in SA) who confirmed that they had zero Covid cases in ICU or in the HDU? Compare that to Italy in late Feb 2020 when Doctors were deciding who to admit and who to leave outside to die.
Look at Gauteng (with its extremely young population) and I am afraid the news is bleak
Steve Miller @SteveMillerOC · 1h Severe Omicron cases in Gauteng hospitals on Dec 8
Or see here. On these numbers, MIGHTY SWINGING OMICRON actually looks worse than Pathetic Dweeby Delta, tho there are so many confounding unknowns it is impossible to say with any certainty
I have taken the daily updates of COVID and hospital data from the incredible work of @sugan2503 to chart the Gauteng Province hospital data from the beginning of the Delta wave to its peak & the recent #Omicron data. The rate of change of Hospital admissions and ICU are significant.
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
The creatures outside looked from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers, and from antivaxxers to lockdown zealots, and from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.
The real tragedy of all this for Boris Johnson is that if things had been just a bit different he could have written a breezily scathing Telegraph column about how hilariously useless the Prime Minister must be to have allowed this to happen. https://twitter.com/thhamilton/status/1468596118216925184
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
I bought one in March 2020 and it's been sitting on my desk, occasionally used out of curiosity, but thankfully not yet required for Covid. They are very cheap and should be a standard part of any first aid kit, along with (not quite to cheap but still not extortionate) blood pressure monitors.
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
Minor correction- Boris doesn't always get away with lying; see his brief career at The Times, or his time as Higher Ed spokesman under Howard.
Where BoJo excels is in failing upwards- getting sacked or dumped and still snagging a better gig or girl.
He can't do that this time, can he?
Since we left the EU no he can’t unless he manages to become King of the UK
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Any halfway competent programming language would sort leap years out automatically, so I can only guess the Guardian website is written in something noddy like ZX BASIC, or FORTRAN, or JavaScript.
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
Either omicron doesn't evade vaccines, so we don't have a problem and don't need to take action.
Or
Omicron does evade vaccines and so vaccine passports would achieve nothing.
For what it's worth, Fizzer press release strongly suggests option A - stock market nearing record highs, so outside of Downing st dead cat spin machine, there is not much real fear in the rest of the world.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
The creatures outside looked from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers, and from antivaxxers to lockdown zealots, and from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.
Sounds like the creatures weren't very clever. Two jabs good. Three jabs better.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
I bought one in March 2020 and it's been sitting on my desk, occasionally used out of curiosity, but thankfully not yet required for Covid. They are very cheap and should be a standard part of any first aid kit, along with (not quite to cheap but still not extortionate) blood pressure monitors.
Not a bad idea to check it to make sure the battery is OK. That's a further point - they use batteries so a spare is sensible.
"The other thing I keep reading is that #Omicron is “mild” — that’s misinformation. It’s mild*er* for *vaccinated* persons. The number of hospitalizations in South Africa (where only 25% of the population is fully vaxed) is rising and the case fatality rate remains ~3%"
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone. So many people have gone well I was felling ok, then I was in ICU in hours....it is because they won't have realised this as occurred.
It seems to be a day of drift and non-goings on at Downing Street. What is going on, exactly ?
This looks like a Prime Minister too weak to take any action one way or the other on Covid, combined with a collective don't-look-at-us among his cabinet and MP's about what to do next. There's a general distinct feel of a whole political class, or governing class, hiding in a fridge.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone.
IIRC the problem is that one often feels OK nevertheless (a weird feature of covid).
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
I don’t know if it’s the mask which accentuate the eyes, but even Boris front bench had go stand in naughty corner I feel let down by you eyes when listening to him don’t you think? Sunak continually looked elsewhere when PM was speaking. When I am Prime Minister I will insist those on my bench look at and listen to me and nod when I’m fighting back against the enemy.
In the exchanges, Starmer had a decent moment when he invoked the leadership of the Queen in comparison to Downing Street parties.
Due to the greasy pole nature of politics, PM Boris will get millions of seasonal cards slipped between the cheeks of his arse but if he wasn’t PM I wonder just how many he would get this Christmas.
Going to catch up on Emmerdale now in the bath with a glass of wine 🙋♀️
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
I don’t know if it’s the mask which accentuate the eyes, but even Boris front bench had go stand in naughty corner I feel let down by you eyes when listening to him don’t you think? Sunak continually looked elsewhere when PM was speaking. When I am Prime Minister I will insist those on my bench look at and listen to me and nod when I’m fighting back against the enemy.
In the exchanges, Starmer had a decent moment when he invoked the leadership of the Queen in comparison to Downing Street parties.
Due to the greasy pole nature of politics, PM Boris will get millions of seasonal cards slipped between the cheeks of his arse but if he wasn’t PM I wonder just how many he would get this Christmas.
Going to catch up on Emmerdale now in the bath with a glass of wine 🙋♀️
Sounds like that’s all that is left in the bottle.
BREAKING: Downing Street unable to deny that the man appointed to investigate the party may have attended it.
He has a rock solid name for the job, Simon Case, neither can be bettered, but it's surely not a good use of time for a (very) senior mandarin. First the stupid wallpaper, now this. Essentially being used by the PM as a kind of lackey-gopher cum glove-puppet cum string-vest. It's like he's back at Eton and Case is his fag. 15 years of top notch schooling, 15 more of blue-chip civil serving, and this is what you end up doing. If he's not angry right now he should be, and I certainly am on his behalf.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone. So many people have gone well I was felling ok, then I was in ICU in hours....it is because they won't have realised this as occurred.
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I'm getting nightmare flashbacks to the Russian Revolution. The October Revolution took place in which month again?
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
The creatures outside looked from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers, and from antivaxxers to lockdown zealots, and from lockdown zealots to antivaxxers again; but already it was impossible to say which was which.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I'm getting nightmare flashbacks to the Russian Revolution. The October Revolution took place in which month again?
November? But I’d focus on your bid for Britain’s oldest man, if I were you…
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I worked with Stephen Colebourne for a short while. Date/time geeks are a special level of geek.
BBC saying the Plan B restrictions announcement may still be on for today
So the Plan B Plan A announcement was to be next week. Then they moved it to today -- we'll call that the Plan B Plan B -- and after being rebuked by the Speaker, a possible Plan B Plan C was in the offing. Now we're back to Plan B Plan B Part 2.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
I don’t know if it’s the mask which accentuate the eyes, but even Boris front bench had go stand in naughty corner I feel let down by you eyes when listening to him don’t you think? Sunak continually looked elsewhere when PM was speaking. When I am Prime Minister I will insist those on my bench look at and listen to me and nod when I’m fighting back against the enemy.
In the exchanges, Starmer had a decent moment when he invoked the leadership of the Queen in comparison to Downing Street parties.
Due to the greasy pole nature of politics, PM Boris will get millions of seasonal cards slipped between the cheeks of his arse but if he wasn’t PM I wonder just how many he would get this Christmas.
Going to catch up on Emmerdale now in the bath with a glass of wine 🙋♀️
More hair commentary in the future please. It is something PB has lacked and I welcome it.
Important changes to our safety measures: We are committed to protecting our audiences, artists and workforce, and want to ensure everyone feels safe at Glyndebourne. We are therefore asking all audience members to provide evidence of their COVID status when attending a performance this winter. When you arrive you’ll be asked to please present proof of one of the following: double vaccination, a negative lateral flow test (taken within 48 hours of the performance), or proof of natural immunity.
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I'm getting nightmare flashbacks to the Russian Revolution. The October Revolution took place in which month again?
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
We're going to get new restrictions on the same day we get confirmation that the booster strategy offers excellent protection, and the 2 day doubling exponential ra rar stuff which ALWAYS stops before it gets anywhere near the levels predicted starts to come off the boil. Just laughable really.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I had never even heard of them until just now!
‘cos we bought them quietly, on Amazon, and ticked ‘no publicity’
BBC saying the Plan B restrictions announcement may still be on for today
So the Plan B Plan A announcement was to be next week. Then they moved it to today -- we'll call that the Plan B Plan B -- and after being rebuked by the Speaker, a possible Plan B Plan C was in the offing. Now we're back to Plan B Plan B Part 2.
Did someone say Chaos with Ed Miliband?
Is Saj still making an address to Parliament today about it?
Are we going to have a Thick of It presser where they can’t talk about the thing it was arranged for so talk about something else?
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I'm getting nightmare flashbacks to the Russian Revolution. The October Revolution took place in which month again?
BREAKING: Less than one in 10 people believe Number 10's claim that no party took place in Downing Street last December during lockdown, an Opinion Poll for Sky News has found.
Our deputy political editor @SamCoatesSky has the latest.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
That will throw off Sky news stupid chart they put up last night, where they fitted an exponential curve through two estimated data points, in order for them to basically say we all get Omicron by January.
BREAKING: Downing Street unable to deny that the man appointed to investigate the party may have attended it.
He has a rock solid name for the job, Simon Case, neither can be bettered, but it's surely not a good use of time for a (very) senior mandarin. First the stupid wallpaper, now this. Essentially being used by the PM as a kind of lackey-gopher cum glove-puppet cum string-vest. It's like he's back at Eton and Case is his fag. 15 years of top notch schooling, 15 more of blue-chip civil serving, and this is what you end up doing. If he's not angry right now he should be, and I certainly am on his behalf.
Serves him right for becoming a secretary. Doesn't he know it's a woman's job?
"Prof. Christina Pagel @chrischirp I think many elements of plan B could help slow spread. but vaccine passports seem entirely pointless when we have already seen superspreader events of Omicron in fully vaxxed groups."
Yes but it is not cases spread that is the worry but increase in hospitalisations.
All the evidence so far is that the double vaccinated and those who have had their booster are much less likely to be in hospital if they catch Omicron than the unvaccinated are
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
That will throw off Sky news stupid chart they put up last night, where they fitted an exponential curve through two estimated data points, in order for them to basically say we all get Omicron by January.
How ever did Leon get the gig as statistics advisor to Sky News?
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I had never even heard of them until just now!
Quite a lot of sports watches now include them. IIRC, this is because the tech is related to the tech used to get heart rate.
Pippa Crerar @PippaCrerar Sources told me last week there were “many social gatherings” in Downing Street - even suggesting there were “always parties” in the flat Mr Johnson shares with wife, adding: “Carrie’s addicted to them”.
A spokesman for Mrs Johnson described the claims as "total nonsense".
Ah, that should be easily verified then
So many of Bojo's problems spiral back to his wife. Perhaps that explains his "buyer's remorse"
This is not a personal thing. She seems perfectly pleasant to me, albeit a bit air-headed, maybe
But: cherchez la femme
No, the story here is quite simple and has nothing to do with his latest wife.
He’s spent his life getting away with denying things that are true.
The strategy with the party was - “it was a year ago, they can’t prove anything, just deny the party and say all regulations were complied with”
Which they’ve been busy parroting all week.
Except for Dom having got passed the video, it might have worked.
Minor correction- Boris doesn't always get away with lying; see his brief career at The Times, or his time as Higher Ed spokesman under Howard.
Where BoJo excels is in failing upwards- getting sacked or dumped and still snagging a better gig or girl.
He can't do that this time, can he?
Since we left the EU no he can’t unless he manages to become King of the UK
Dump Carrie, marry QEII?
Renouncing of US citizenship means the presidential bid is no longer an option? (Was it ever?)
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone.
IIRC the problem is that one often feels OK nevertheless (a weird feature of covid).
Mine was lowest when I was feeling most tired. People could simply decide it is fatigue and go back to bed.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
That will throw off Sky news stupid chart they put up last night, where they fitted an exponential curve through two estimated data points, in order for them to basically say we all get Omicron by January.
How ever did Leon get the gig as statistics advisor to Sky News?
Every person in their contact book turned out to be him. It's like Being John Malkovich out there. Leon Leon Leon? Leon! Leon Leon.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Denmark has great surveillance and sequencing. Omicron is doubling every two days there
"Michael Bang Petersen @M_B_Petersen · Dec 7 There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
I note both Russia and the Ukraine's official death tolls will likely overtake ours on a per head basis shortly.
Is that our official death toll, or do we not got a bold official?
The UK's excess deaths aren't far off the official covid deaths figure, as is the case in most advanced democratic nations where statistics on deaths are published by law by independent statistical organisations. Believe it or not this is one area where the UK is amongst the very best for collating and publishing data.
There is a whole range of quality for covid death data for less democratic and developed states, which ranges from large discrepancies between the covid deaths and excess deaths (like Russia), through autocratic states that claim essentially no or very few covid deaths (like Turkmenistan), to states where deaths are simply not recorded in any systematic fashion by the state (like many nations in Africa).
Anyway the Economist think that 17.9 million people have now died due/from covid, over three times the official figure, and about 0.5 million up on the last time I looked about a couple of weeks ago.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone.
IIRC the problem is that one often feels OK nevertheless (a weird feature of covid).
Mine was lowest when I was feeling most tired. People could simply decide it is fatigue and go back to bed.
My understanding is there is a very clear significant drop off from COVID when you are about to get into serious trouble.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
That will throw off Sky news stupid chart they put up last night, where they fitted an exponential curve through two estimated data points, in order for them to basically say we all get Omicron by January.
How ever did Leon get the gig as statistics advisor to Sky News?
Have you seen the mathematical skills of every other journalist over the past 21 months?
Chise DNAPetri dishMicrobeSyringe @sailorrooscout Fantastic news. Initial lab studies show a third dose of Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine neutralizes Omicron. A booster with the current version of the vaccine RAISES antibodies 25-FOLD providing a similar level as observed after two doses against the original virus and other variants!
I want to but the bloody government won't let me!
Apparently new instructions have just gone out that anyone over 40 is eligible - nor sure if that includes you?
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I had never even heard of them until just now!
I don't understand people who can drift through life without knowing or caring how big their ox is.
Hospital admissions from the Omicron variant may reach at least 1,000 a day in England by the end of the year without extra restrictions being put in place, government advisers have said.
The numbers are contained in leaked minutes of a meeting of the government's scientific advisers held on Tuesday and seen by the BBC.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Denmark has great surveillance and sequencing. Omicron is doubling every two days there
"Michael Bang Petersen @M_B_Petersen · Dec 7 There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
Dominic Grieve: “I have no idea what to believe, because the PM has shown himself consistently to be a consummate liar.”
But thinks crown property may have been exempt from the regulations, as [thin] justification for the last week’s denials.
“This is a Prime Minister who is a serial liar..who will say anything that comes into his head at any moment to get himself off the hook”
“The PM is clearly not fit for office…the question is how long Conservative MPs will continue to put up with this.”
“I was a party member for over forty four years, but watching where this charlatan has been taking it [the Tory Party] over the past two years is a really painful thing to see…the simple fact is that this Prime Minister can’t be trusted on anything”
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Denmark has great surveillance and sequencing. Omicron is doubling every two days there
"Michael Bang Petersen @M_B_Petersen · Dec 7 There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
The spread is almost certainly lower in the UK. Evidence is now in that 3 doses, or 2 + infection gives good immunity and we are a long way ahead of continental Europe on that.
Hospital admissions from the Omicron variant may reach at least 1,000 a day in England by the end of the year without extra restrictions being put in place, government advisers have said.
The numbers are contained in leaked minutes of a meeting of the government's scientific advisers held on Tuesday and seen by the BBC.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone. So many people have gone well I was felling ok, then I was in ICU in hours....it is because they won't have realised this as occurred.
Really. So many people, eh? I'll take your word for it.
Today's Opinium snap poll suggesting that 35% of 2019 Tory voters think Johnson should resign and only 49% think he shouldn't resign seems.... quite bad? I'm not sure how to contextualise this and don't think it's part of a regular sequence, but fewer than half of your voters at the last election being enthusiastic supporters of you carrying on in the job doesn't sound great. Can anyone put it into better (more informed) context?
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Denmark has great surveillance and sequencing. Omicron is doubling every two days there
"Michael Bang Petersen @M_B_Petersen · Dec 7 There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
Dominic Grieve: “I have no idea what to believe, because the PM has shown himself consistently to be a consummate liar.”
But thinks crown property may have been exempt from the regulations, as [thin] justification for the last week’s denials.
“This is a Prime Minister who is a serial liar..who will say anything that comes into his head at any moment to get himself off the hook”
“The PM is clearly not fit for office…the question is how long Conservative MPs will continue to put up with this.”
It must pain people like Grieve in the dark of the night to know that Boris Johnson’s premiership was directly precipitated by his anti democracy bandwagon over the referendum.
Still, BoJo has served his purpose. He pensioned off Corbyn and then delivered the exit from the EU. Time he’s moved on but he wouldn’t have been needed at all without Grieve.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
Probably lots of insight and wisdom in there (not that I understood a word of it) but I suspect, sadly, a rather ignorant audience on PB, which is probably largely outside the traditional demographic for styling tips.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone. So many people have gone well I was felling ok, then I was in ICU in hours....it is because they won't have realised this as occurred.
Really. So many people, eh? I'll take your word for it.
Just following doctors ordering on this one, but.....
Three Reasons Why COVID-19 Can Cause Silent Hypoxia
...One of the biggest and most life-threatening mysteries is how the virus causes “silent hypoxia,” a condition when oxygen levels in the body are abnormally low, which can irreparably damage vital organs if gone undetected for too long...Despite experiencing dangerously low levels of oxygen, many people infected with severe cases of COVID-19 sometimes show no symptoms of shortness of breath or difficulty breathing.
Today's Opinium snap poll suggesting that 35% of 2019 Tory voters think Johnson should resign and only 49% think he shouldn't resign seems.... quite bad? I'm not sure how to contextualise this and don't think it's part of a regular sequence, but fewer than half of your voters at the last election being enthusiastic supporters of you carrying on in the job doesn't sound great. Can anyone put it into better (more informed) context?
I'd like to know too, but I'd add another question on too: any breakdown on those figures? E.g. if the 35% strongly representative of established Conservative voters, new voters, young, old, north, south, etc?
Today's Opinium snap poll suggesting that 35% of 2019 Tory voters think Johnson should resign and only 49% think he shouldn't resign seems.... quite bad? I'm not sure how to contextualise this and don't think it's part of a regular sequence, but fewer than half of your voters at the last election being enthusiastic supporters of you carrying on in the job doesn't sound great. Can anyone put it into better (more informed) context?
So 65% of 2019 Tory voters do not want Boris to resign, that is key, he retains the support of most of his voters.
Unless Labour start to build a big poll lead and an alternative leader polls better v Starmer than Boris does or Boris is proved to have attended this party, Boris stays
Hospital admissions from the Omicron variant may reach at least 1,000 a day in England by the end of the year without extra restrictions being put in place, government advisers have said.
The numbers are contained in leaked minutes of a meeting of the government's scientific advisers held on Tuesday and seen by the BBC.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
Probably lots of insight and wisdom in there (not that I understood a word of it) but I suspect, sadly, a rather ignorant audience on PB, which is probably largely outside the traditional demographic for styling tips.
Wayward hair being the least of many PB’ers worries.
Seems a bit like Phil Woolas in Oldham East and Saddleworth.
Anything is fair game in an election advert - up to outright lies provided they aren't libel.
What's the key difference between this and Phil Woolas?
Phil Woolas did it to a candidate standing in the election.
All the same, it's at best an unproven extrapolation and at worst an outright lie. The Lib Dems do themselves no favours playing politics like that. No wonder no-one takes them seriously.
Mr Carmichael MP got in hot water over that [edit] sort of thing in an election, too, though in a different way.
That article has a tag on it saying it's "more than 6 years old" when it's clearly less then 6 years old.
It's a quirk caused by leap years.
What it does is count the number of actual days between publication day and today then divides it by 365.
Now leap years throws that off. As we've had two leap years since publication day it explains why it appears as more than six years old.
Ok, good explanation for why it's wrong. But it is wrong.
As someone who spent ages writing time and date munging code (including Julian date conversion etc), I'm always amused by this sort of thing. It gets *really* bad if you're writing code that has to work across different regions, and incredibly messy if you need to go back into history hundreds of years. The moment they made the latter a requirement I told them to (politely) eff off.
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
I'm getting nightmare flashbacks to the Russian Revolution. The October Revolution took place in which month again?
Julian or Gregorian calendar?
When I was at school. I could have done with an app to confirm that, say, today was III ante nones Decembri. That would have been really useful.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
Probably lots of insight and wisdom in there (not that I understood a word of it) but I suspect, sadly, a rather ignorant audience on PB, which is probably largely outside the traditional demographic for styling tips.
Wayward hair being the least of many PB’ers worries.
Especially after half a dozen DIY jobs with the electric clippers.
Dominic Grieve: “I have no idea what to believe, because the PM has shown himself consistently to be a consummate liar.”
But thinks crown property may have been exempt from the regulations, as [thin] justification for the last week’s denials.
“This is a Prime Minister who is a serial liar..who will say anything that comes into his head at any moment to get himself off the hook”
“The PM is clearly not fit for office…the question is how long Conservative MPs will continue to put up with this.”
It must pain people like Grieve in the dark of the night to know that Boris Johnson’s premiership was directly precipitated by his anti democracy bandwagon over the referendum.
Still, BoJo has served his purpose. He pensioned off Corbyn and then delivered the exit from the EU. Time he’s moved on but he wouldn’t have been needed at all without Grieve.
Grieve came only came in when May's position shifted to the possibility of endorsing a no-deal without any parliamentary assent for such an approach. Given what was offered and promised during the referendum, that was entirely anti-democratic, and so Grieve's action in this respect was actually entirely pro-democratic.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
Probably lots of insight and wisdom in there (not that I understood a word of it) but I suspect, sadly, a rather ignorant audience on PB, which is probably largely outside the traditional demographic for styling tips.
I am with @moonshine on this one. Serious mistake. AR needs to stick with the Burne Jones angel look.
Just had a look and I can't find my oximeter, which I bought at the start of the pandemic. There are now loads on Amazon, should one be worried about the quality of those, or is the tech even for cheap Chinese knock-offs good enough?
I wonder how many people have bought oximeters.
I don't know, but following Dr Foxy suggestion that there were a very sensible thing to purchase such that if you do contract COVID you can monitor the all important blood oxygen level stat.
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
Hmm it probably causes more problems/anxiety than not knowing, frankly.
I totally disagree. Dr Foxy has explained that the drop in blood oxygen level is a key indicator. Trying to rely on you feeling bad / ok can result in you waiting too long to seek urgent medical treatment and the likes of 111 can't tell you much over the phone. So many people have gone well I was felling ok, then I was in ICU in hours....it is because they won't have realised this as occurred.
Really. So many people, eh? I'll take your word for it.
The thing to consider is that there is a very large body of medical evidence that low oxygenation levels are strongly correlated with euphoria, poor decision making etc.
There is also a very considerable body of evidence that O2 levels are correlated to how a bad case of COVID is.
In addition, I have verified with several medical professionals that O2 levels are a key number in treating/managing COVID.
131 additional confirmed cases of the #Omicron variant of COVID-19 have been reported across the UK. The total number of confirmed COVID-19 Omicron cases in the UK is 568.
Increasing but not flying out of control, yet.
The curve flattens daily.
Yes, this is quite odd. That's a rather low increase.
Probably just noise.
Well according to my analysis (Google sheets exponent best fit) we're now on for 350,000 omicron cases by christmas day instead of 777,000. There'll be a tremendous amount of noise in daily figures though.
Denmark has great surveillance and sequencing. Omicron is doubling every two days there
"Michael Bang Petersen @M_B_Petersen · Dec 7 There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
The spread is almost certainly lower in the UK. Evidence is now in that 3 doses, or 2 + infection gives good immunity and we are a long way ahead of continental Europe on that.
We're ahead of Denmark in terms of boosters but behind on first and second doses.
Dominic Grieve: “I have no idea what to believe, because the PM has shown himself consistently to be a consummate liar.”
But thinks crown property may have been exempt from the regulations, as [thin] justification for the last week’s denials.
“This is a Prime Minister who is a serial liar..who will say anything that comes into his head at any moment to get himself off the hook”
“The PM is clearly not fit for office…the question is how long Conservative MPs will continue to put up with this.”
It must pain people like Grieve in the dark of the night to know that Boris Johnson’s premiership was directly precipitated by his anti democracy bandwagon over the referendum.
Still, BoJo has served his purpose. He pensioned off Corbyn and then delivered the exit from the EU. Time he’s moved on but he wouldn’t have been needed at all without Grieve.
Grieve is a repulsive character. And entirely unself-aware. Does he not possess a mirror?
If he did he might be surprised to see a malformed version of Boris staring back at him, a narcissist unable to comprehend his own flaws and terrible errors. And at least Boris is funny
Comments
Edit: ignore: TSE being very intelligent like me despite a lawyer has resolved it as well.
One philanderer to be displaced by another?
TBH, I think it probably would have been sensible for the government to come up with a COVID "prep" kit that they recommend people to have in their cupboard.
+2 on the Oximeter thing - get one, use it. Shout out to @Foxy for saving relative lives etc.
Steve Miller
@SteveMillerOC
·
1h
Severe Omicron cases in Gauteng hospitals on Dec 8
(changes in last week)
On Oxygen Support
165 Dec 1
280 Dec 8 (+70%)
In ICU
63 Dec 1
179 Dec 8 (+184%)
Ventilated
27 Dec 1
58 Dec 8 (+115%)
https://twitter.com/SteveMillerOC/status/1468569813035278339?s=20
Or see here. On these numbers, MIGHTY SWINGING OMICRON actually looks worse than Pathetic Dweeby Delta, tho there are so many confounding unknowns it is impossible to say with any certainty
I have taken the daily updates of COVID and hospital data from the incredible work of
@sugan2503
to chart the Gauteng Province hospital data from the beginning of the Delta wave to its peak & the recent #Omicron data. The rate of change of Hospital admissions and ICU are significant.
https://twitter.com/simonboxer/status/1468475093428801539?s=20
https://twitter.com/thhamilton/status/1468596118216925184
Or
Omicron does evade vaccines and so vaccine passports would achieve nothing.
For what it's worth, Fizzer press release strongly suggests option A - stock market nearing record highs, so outside of Downing st dead cat spin machine, there is not much real fear in the rest of the world.
Two jabs good. Three jabs better.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker
It's nowhere near as bad as getting leap years wrong, though. Although 2000 was a bad year for that if you forgot the 'extra' rule ...
This looks like a Prime Minister too weak to take any action one way or the other on Covid, combined with a collective don't-look-at-us among his cabinet and MP's about what to do next. There's a general distinct feel of a whole political class, or governing class, hiding in a fridge.
First thing leaping out at me - wow! Angela Rayners got her Party Hair on, that looked so tbh I don’t know how to describe it but it certainly proper stand up stand out moment. I have to be fair about this because I only have a few face on blown up pictures of it, but no, I don’t like it. I’ve deleted the line where I scream Mars Attacks! It’s almost two ideas in one, something for the office in the front, something of the night rising up behind. And still that fringe! I love bangs I do, but she had to try something different with that new look, maybe curtains. Or just rethink what she was doing and go for a plan B. Love to have her round my flat and give her a lob like mine.
I don’t know if it’s the mask which accentuate the eyes, but even Boris front bench had go stand in naughty corner I feel let down by you eyes when listening to him don’t you think? Sunak continually looked elsewhere when PM was speaking. When I am Prime Minister I will insist those on my bench look at and listen to me and nod when I’m fighting back against the enemy.
In the exchanges, Starmer had a decent moment when he invoked the leadership of the Queen in comparison to Downing Street parties.
Due to the greasy pole nature of politics, PM Boris will get millions of seasonal cards slipped between the cheeks of his arse but if he wasn’t PM I wonder just how many he would get this Christmas.
Going to catch up on Emmerdale now in the bath with a glass of wine 🙋♀️
It's too early to change it now.
Probably just noise.
Did someone say Chaos with Ed Miliband?
Important changes to our safety measures:
We are committed to protecting our audiences, artists and workforce, and want to ensure everyone feels safe at Glyndebourne. We are therefore asking all audience members to provide evidence of their COVID status when attending a performance this winter. When you arrive you’ll be asked to please present proof of one of the following: double vaccination, a negative lateral flow test (taken within 48 hours of the performance), or proof of natural immunity.
Are we going to have a Thick of It presser where they can’t talk about the thing it was arranged for so talk about something else?
Our deputy political editor @SamCoatesSky has the latest.
Read more here https://trib.al/BBc3TYV
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1468599782629326855?s=20
All the evidence so far is that the double vaccinated and those who have had their booster are much less likely to be in hospital if they catch Omicron than the unvaccinated are
Leon Leon Leon? Leon! Leon Leon.
"Michael Bang Petersen
@M_B_Petersen
·
Dec 7
There is now officially community transmission with omicron in Denmark. ~50 % increase per day for the past few days.
Remember: Denmark has a very high capacity for testing and variant detection and, hence, is without blindfolds.
The spread is likely similar in your country."
https://twitter.com/M_B_Petersen/status/1468237024939360273?s=20
There is a whole range of quality for covid death data for less democratic and developed states, which ranges from large discrepancies between the covid deaths and excess deaths (like Russia), through autocratic states that claim essentially no or very few covid deaths (like Turkmenistan), to states where deaths are simply not recorded in any systematic fashion by the state (like many nations in Africa).
Anyway the Economist think that 17.9 million people have now died due/from covid, over three times the official figure, and about 0.5 million up on the last time I looked about a couple of weeks ago.
Cabinet about to meet to discuss Plan B. Still expecting associated presser tonight.
The numbers are contained in leaked minutes of a meeting of the government's scientific advisers held on Tuesday and seen by the BBC.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-59581234
It is getting a bit stupid now, SAGE just leaks every meeting these days.
But thinks crown property may have been exempt from the regulations, as [thin] justification for the last week’s denials.
“This is a Prime Minister who is a serial liar..who will say anything that comes into his head at any moment to get himself off the hook”
“The PM is clearly not fit for office…the question is how long Conservative MPs will continue to put up with this.”
“I was a party member for over forty four years, but watching where this charlatan has been taking it [the Tory Party] over the past two years is a really painful thing to see…the simple fact is that this Prime Minister can’t be trusted on anything”
Which is it?
As long as Boris did not attend the party he does not need to resign, even if those who attended the party have to resign
Still, BoJo has served his purpose. He pensioned off Corbyn and then delivered the exit from the EU. Time he’s moved on but he wouldn’t have been needed at all without Grieve.
Three Reasons Why COVID-19 Can Cause Silent Hypoxia
...One of the biggest and most life-threatening mysteries is how the virus causes “silent hypoxia,” a condition when oxygen levels in the body are abnormally low, which can irreparably damage vital organs if gone undetected for too long...Despite experiencing dangerously low levels of oxygen, many people infected with severe cases of COVID-19 sometimes show no symptoms of shortness of breath or difficulty breathing.
https://www.bu.edu/articles/2020/3-reasons-why-covid-19-can-cause-silent-hypoxia/
Unless Labour start to build a big poll lead and an alternative leader polls better v Starmer than Boris does or Boris is proved to have attended this party, Boris stays
But let's not get back into all that again.
There is also a very considerable body of evidence that O2 levels are correlated to how a bad case of COVID is.
In addition, I have verified with several medical professionals that O2 levels are a key number in treating/managing COVID.
So apart from that.....
If he did he might be surprised to see a malformed version of Boris staring back at him, a narcissist unable to comprehend his own flaws and terrible errors. And at least Boris is funny