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With a week to go Scottish LAB and its leader edge up in latest Savanta ComRes poll – politicalbetti

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  • FossFoss Posts: 1,394
    rpjs said:

    I suspect you will be disappointed. Here in the US the CDC has now dropped the mask mandate outdoors for those fully vaccinated except in “crowded” conditions and NY state has endorses that. Yet walking around the very much not crowded streets of Tarrytown yesterday lunchtime, either no-one else got the memo, or nobody at all has been fully vaccinated yet (in fact 1/3 of the state has been) as mask-wearing was as prevalent as before.

    As I’ve said before, even after the pandemic is over, I plan to carry a mask with me when travelling on public transport, especially in the winter, and will don it if I’m feeling sniffly or I observe such symptoms in others, as in common practice in East Asia. It’s been wonderful not having had a single cold this last eighteen months.
    Outdoor masking was never a big thing around where I was and, since the start of easement, it's pretty much dead.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,096
    felix said:

    Don't tell Roger - he thinks Hartlepool is only in the UK! :smiley:
    I wonder how many people here, have spotted the pictures of Le Vieux Maréchal*, when visiting a home - sometimes with a black band on the corner... surprisingly common in some parts of France....

    And no, they are generally not celebrating his Verdun command.

    *https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philippe_Pétain
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    I agree with this analysis. Is there anyone who doesn't dislike masks? Most people I speak to consider them a necessary evil but are very keen to get rid of them. Interestingly, I was at the pub on Saturday and nobody was wearing masks bar the waiting staff, who presumably have to do so. I suspect this was the case in most places.
    I detest the masks. I hate having to wear one while moving in mostly empty corridors at work. I hate wearing them in the supermarket. I cannot wait to ditch them forever. I suspect some will want to cling to them as some kind of universal nostrum.
    I'd love to have seen some proper science around their use - one town uses them and another doesn't and we compare how infections spread. I suspect their use does have some impact on viral spread - spread seems mostly through the air, not from surfaces so it makes sense. I do wonder if they are so important right now, with most MSOA areas seeing hardly any evidence of the virus, and well over 60% of adults having had at least one jab.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Cookie said:

    I suspect Europe will have just as good a summer as us, because they will relax restrictions to a less ultra-cautious timetable than us, and will be largely fine.
    Indeed, and by the time August rolls around (the only month that matters to our continental friends) they'll be mostly through their vax programmes. And jolly good too – the gloating thing is a bit off TBH.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    More recent BMG shows a 4-point Tory lead (up 2), while the latest Savanta shows it as 7 points (down 2). Both well below the stratospheric 11-13 leads from other pollsters of a week or two back, and taken before yesterday's firestorm. Tories clearly still ahead, but...
    True Nick, but as ever with polls they are best treated as another data point. Next week will be interesting, as we all know that elections are far more reliable than opinion polls.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,612
    kjh said:

    You complain about Brexshitter, which I have never heard, yet use the term remoaner. Irony obviously not your thing?
    But Remoaner is a useful word. It captures the kind of Remainer who has strayed into irrationality. Someone with Strasbourg Syndrome.

    I’d put Nigel Formain, on here, in that category. Maybe Mr Meeks, tho he has a more severe case

    ‘Remainiac’ should be reserved for Remainers who have gone completely postal. Outright lunacy. A C Grayling springs to mind.

    Does ‘Brexshitters’ usefully identify a type of Brexiteer? I don’t believe it does. It’s just an unfunny insult. Used by Remoaners
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,096
    Cookie said:

    Some people are clearly very fond of their masks. They are very definitely in a minority but not a tiny one -you will see about one in twenty people on our local high street with them on their faces. Very broadly, they tend to fall into three categories: the very scared (mostly old people who MUST have been double jabbed by now - if they're not demasking now, when will they ever?); the self-righteous-looking virtue signaller (most of the time, surely, I'm projecting here - but some people just look smug and angry when wearing a mask); and the forgetful (how can people forget they still have the horrid things on their faces? Some just do. My mother in law for one).
    If they must carry on, fair enough, as long as the rest of us don't have to.
    You're missing a large category there - the vulnerable. Quite a lot of people (millions) have conditions/treatments that make them especially vulnerable to COVID.

    One of the triumphs off modern medicine is that many of these people have no outward sign of illness - they take their pills/injections and live their lives.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,390
    malcolmg said:

    Sturgeon is not interested in independence, she bumps her gums but is interested in herself. She will not last much longer, the chickens are coming home to roost.
    This is a bit like those Lefties who contantly claim that only the keepers of the true Socialist flame have any right to govern from the left. Truth is that the SNP is all you´ve got and if they fail, then that is the end of Indy, not just for now, but forever. What Alba is doing is unleashing the inner Judean Peoples Front of the Nationalist movement. Right now Scotland is split 50-50 about Indy as it is. As the Nats start tearing chunks off each other as to who is the true keeper of the nationalist flame, support for Indy itself is falling. Sturgeon won´t be pushed out because she is insufficiently nationalist, she will go because the supporters of separatism start a civil war amongst themselves. So you and Wings and the various other enemies of Sturgeon are totally wrong headed if you think removing her will help your cause. In fact I judge that she is the only one who can now deliver a separate Scotland and the numbers are not breaking her or your way. Across Scotland we are hearing that on the ground the Nat vote is soft. The Tories are down too of course so there is a deal of uncertainty, but Salmond´s party is just reminding a lot of folk what they most dislike about the Nats in general and that is not helping the SNP either.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    JPJ2 said:

    the false claim that an independent Scotland could not have achieved this on its own.

    It couldn't have if it had followed the policy the SNP government advocated and bought from the EU scheme. The only reason Malta (and Hungary) are ahead of the rest of the EU is they bought outside the EU scheme.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    edited April 2021
    JPJ2 said:

    the demographics are utterly crushing for unionism.

    They're also utterly crushing for the Tories - and have been for very many decades.

    But curiously, the Tories are in power.....
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699
    Sandpit said:

    Keep on rockin’ in the free world!
    https://youtube.com/watch?v=fFw7q-BLxLA
    Great artist. Great song.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204

    You're missing a large category there - the vulnerable. Quite a lot of people (millions) have conditions/treatments that make them especially vulnerable to COVID.

    One of the triumphs off modern medicine is that many of these people have no outward sign of illness - they take their pills/injections and live their lives.
    There's one more vulnerable group that hasn't broadly been done yet
    https://www.bmj.com/company/newsroom/pregnant-women-with-covid-19-are-less-likely-to-have-symptoms-and-may-more-likely-need-intensive-care/
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782
    edited April 2021
    kinabalu said:

    Of course some people will continue with certain aspects (eg masks in crowded spaces). Why on earth dispute something that's undeniably true?

    Nigelb, for example, has said he possibly will. Ditto Nick Palmer, I bet. Plus a few others on here. Also some people I know in flesh & blood have said they intend to. These folk are not "weirdos". Don't be so ridiculous. You're projecting your own attitude onto everyone else.

    I seem to bring out the worst out in you, Philip. You come out with an enormous amount of crap when talking to me. Your usual quotient is about 40% but it's at least double that when yours truly is your conversational partner. Ah well. I'm used to it.
    Instinctively, emotionally, I'm with Philip. I am slightly cross when I see someone wearing a mask outside where there is no requirement to do so (nor any conceivable benefit). My emotional reaction is that these people are why we have been pushed into these excessive, illiberal restrictions in the first place.
    And yet, rationally - and rational wins, in the end - I know I am not them, and they may have 101 things going on in their heads which have lead them to the decision they have, from horrible personal experiences of losing loved ones down to the level of not actually finding masks that physically uncomfortable. Indeed, some of these people are my friends (albeit friends whom in pre-pandemic times we laughed about for being hilariously over-cautious.)

    As long as post Jun 21 there is no law requiring me to wear a mask, I will be happy. And I can reenter the world and get a new pair of glasses and a mobile phone and all the other things I have been putting off doing for the best part of a year until I can do it maskless.

    On another note, I plan to go to a pub tomorrow. I look forward to seeing how much or little they care about who I am. If they insist on QR codes or the NHS app, I won't be going; quite aside from any libertarian arguments, I need a new phone.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559
    edited April 2021
    ..
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,612

    Indeed, and by the time August rolls around (the only month that matters to our continental friends) they'll be mostly through their vax programmes. And jolly good too – the gloating thing is a bit off TBH.
    Yes, gloating is bad. It is also mis-advised. Almost every country that has publicly gloated about its covid response has then gone on to have a nasty date with Covid.

    Ireland. Czechia. Sweden. Hungary. Germany. India. Russia.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    597,025 new vaccinations registered in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 103,352 1st doses / 394,152 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 6,832 / 41,682
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 16,023 / 17,218
    NI 7,933 / 9,833

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1387755330281611267
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Open letter by pro-European luminaries calling for EU-UK relations to enter a new competitive phase in which both sides pro-actively seek each other’s dissolution:

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1387749270154092544?s=20
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    Carlotta Vance. It must be disappointing for you that your publicising of the vaccination statistics confirms that Scotland, as in independent EU member, could have achieved a successful vaccination rollout. Opponents of independence have claimed that was impossible. You have evidenced that it was entirely possible.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699
    kjh said:

    You complain about Brexshitter, which I have never heard, yet use the term remoaner. Irony obviously not your thing?
    I'd never heard Brexshitter either. Obviously didn't catch on - which is a pity because, like Remoaner, it hits the spot. Remainers did do a fair bit of moaning. And Leavers don't half talk utter utter shit.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782

    You're missing a large category there - the vulnerable. Quite a lot of people (millions) have conditions/treatments that make them especially vulnerable to COVID.

    One of the triumphs off modern medicine is that many of these people have no outward sign of illness - they take their pills/injections and live their lives.
    Well yes - but for me they fall into the category of the very scared. If they're vulnerable, presumably they've been jabbed. And more to the point, out in the street, masks benefit you just about not at all. If they won't demask now, when will they?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699

    My preferred watering hole has put John Smith’s up by 15p to £2 a pint. Bloody daylight robbery.
    Oh no. Now that's a much bigger issue in my book than having to give contact details.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,809
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. It must be disappointing for you that your publicising of the vaccination statistics confirms that Scotland, as in independent EU member, could have achieved a successful vaccination rollout. Opponents of independence have claimed that was impossible. You have evidenced that it was entirely possible.

    "Could" doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Would PM Nicola have ignored the EU scheme and bought externally to it? A yes or no will suffice.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559
    kinabalu said:

    I'd never heard Brexshitter either. Obviously didn't catch on - which is a pity because, like Remoaner, it hits the spot. Remainers did do a fair bit of moaning. And Leavers don't half talk utter utter shit.
    I think Brexshitter tends to be on .. er .. Twatter.

    Popular with commenters under Comedy Dave.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. It must be disappointing for you that your publicising of the vaccination statistics confirms that Scotland, as in independent EU member, could have achieved a successful vaccination rollout. Opponents of independence have claimed that was impossible. You have evidenced that it was entirely possible.

    No - your counterfactual involves the SNP government doing something it argued against.

    The top 3 European countries ran their own vaccination purchase schemes - the UK on its own, completely, Malta and Hungary in addition to the EU scheme.

    If you want a comparison, why not pick a country that did what the SNP government advocated - like Austria or Denmark - with less than half the UK's vaccination rate.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    felix said:

    I thought the same - maybe he's from there?
    Presumably it was to show how other voting systems are better (depending on pov).
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782
    kjh said:

    You complain about Brexshitter, which I have never heard, yet use the term remoaner. Irony obviously not your thing?
    If an insult is hard to say, it loses its sting. Brexshitter is hard to say. You need a little pause after the 'Brex'. That's why it doesn't work.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I agree with this analysis. Is there anyone who doesn't dislike masks? Most people I speak to consider them a necessary evil but are very keen to get rid of them. Interestingly, I was at the pub on Saturday and nobody was wearing masks bar the waiting staff, who presumably have to do so. I suspect this was the case in most places.
    As someone who’s been wearing one compulsorily outside his own home, including the office, for more than a year now, it’s actually not too bad if you get a decent washable cloth one.

    Given the choice of either having people wear masks indoors or take half the seats out, businesses are going to choose the former all day long. Hopefully June 21st will see the end of regulations though, and it will be up to individual businesses how they want to deal with it.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    AlistairM said:

    597,025 new vaccinations registered in 🇬🇧 yesterday

    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 103,352 1st doses / 394,152 2nd doses
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 6,832 / 41,682
    🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 16,023 / 17,218
    NI 7,933 / 9,833

    https://twitter.com/HugoGye/status/1387755330281611267

    Excellent numbers again
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,199
    eek said:

    It would tell us that Labour have a big problem in places where they won in 2019 due to Farage taking votes that may have otherwise voted Tory.

    And that Labour are both very lucky not to have far fewer seats and have a serious problem if they wish to stand still let alone start to claw things back.
    It does, assuming nothing changes and the Johnson saved the nation narrative remains.

    I am back in the saddle as it were, and although I am picking up work which is a hangover for work we would otherwise have got last year, I don't see it compensating for work already lost. I am being pro-active (speculate to accumulate) and I am setting on a Rep to generate business that in previous years would have developed organically, through my business partners and myself being out and about.

    It looks very scary to me. I know business confidence generally has never been higher, and yes one sees "career vacancies" signs all over the place, but the number of closed shops, pubs and businesses is worrying. What happens when the jobs retention scheme closes? If the V shaped recovery looks more like an "M" the politics will change too. As a natural pessimist, I don't see how we avoid a difficult few years.
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    Carlotta Vance. You are fully entitled to delude yourself on the demographics issue. The overwhelming support for Scottish independence among the younger age groups is primarily due to younger people having only had a vote during the existence of Holyrood. They therefore support their own parliament over WM-that will not be changing materially any time soon.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276

    You're missing a large category there - the vulnerable. Quite a lot of people (millions) have conditions/treatments that make them especially vulnerable to COVID.

    One of the triumphs off modern medicine is that many of these people have no outward sign of illness - they take their pills/injections and live their lives.
    They are part of Cookie's "very scared" category I presume.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Charles said:

    Although outside?
    Yep it's all outside so yes.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696
    edited April 2021
    Stocky said:

    Just been shopping for carpet. Mrs Stocky has her eyes on £75 per metre stuff. How can carpet cost that much?

    Her new nickname = Carrie.

    Easy - it costs what they can charge for it.

    And that's cheap the stuff we want for the stairs is £140 per metre and we need 20 metres of it

    I will be hitting ebay and elsewhere to hunt for offcuts
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,096
    Cookie said:

    Well yes - but for me they fall into the category of the very scared. If they're vulnerable, presumably they've been jabbed. And more to the point, out in the street, masks benefit you just about not at all. If they won't demask now, when will they?
    Have you considered that for many people, the marginal cost of wearing a mask is zero? "just about not at all" - is not exactly true, either. There are proven cases of someone chating to someone in the street for a few minutes, leading to transmission.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,194
    MattW said:

    If we can keep our cake, and eat their's as well...

    Though personally I think there is a crisis of governance coming in the EU, about whether evolves to be able to run a gang of 27, or whether the existing establishment goes further down the rabbithole.

    Reform or Die. With options of Looser or Tighter on Reform.
    There ought to be a crisis of governance.
    But I can’t easily see it happening.

    Not unless Le Pen wins the Presidency (v v unlikely), or perhaps that Bavarian guy becomes Chancellor.

    The EU sits in that bucket of “flawed, but not worth expending energy on outside an utter crisis”.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    This'll help:

    Paris prosecutors specializing in health-related investigations have opened an involuntary manslaughter probe into three deaths that occurred following Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccinations, AFP reported on Wednesday. They are taking over and combining three investigations from local prosecutors that began on a regional level following complaints from the families of the deceased.

    https://www.politico.eu/article/manslaughter-probe-into-deaths-following-astrazeneca-vaccines-launched-by-french-prosecutors/

    Just as well France hasn't got a problem with vaccine scepticism...
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,194
    felix said:

    I thought the same - maybe he's from there?
    I am.
    As is my profile pic.

    I do the NZ thing to implicitly point out how terrible the system used in Scotland and Wales are.

    It’s Blairite Labour’s fault, but they’ve saddled the two nations with disastrous systems.
  • BromBrom Posts: 3,760

    Open letter by pro-European luminaries calling for EU-UK relations to enter a new competitive phase in which both sides pro-actively seek each other’s dissolution:

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1387749270154092544?s=20

    Has there ever been a worthless Guardian petition that Brian Eno hasn’t signed? Maybe he lives nextdoor to their offices or something
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    If everyone gets their vaccines we should get to zero Covid I think. You just need proof of vaccination & a negative test as a condition of entry to the country.
  • kinabalu said:

    Oh no. Now that's a much bigger issue in my book than having to give contact details.
    I know. How very dare they. I can feel a very, very strongly worded email indeed coming on. It’s left me in a right fluffery buffery, I’m not afraid to admit.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. You are fully entitled to delude yourself on the demographics issue. The overwhelming support for Scottish independence among the younger age groups is primarily due to younger people having only had a vote during the existence of Holyrood. They therefore support their own parliament over WM-that will not be changing materially any time soon.

    So people's views don't change over time?

    Got it.

    I guess Labour will be in power forever then?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276

    Have you considered that for many people, the marginal cost of wearing a mask is zero? "just about not at all" - is not exactly true, either. There are proven cases of someone chating to someone in the street for a few minutes, leading to transmission.
    How can you prove that?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    edited April 2021
    eek said:

    Easy - it costs what they can charge for it.

    And that's cheap the stuff we want for the stairs is £140 per metre and we need 20 metres of it

    I will be hitting ebay and elsewhere to hunt for offcuts
    A good carpet can last decades, as costs go its probably worth getting decent stuff.

    I used to think the people laying it were carpeters, but I dont think they go by that.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    BREAKING: Sir Simon Stevens is to be made a peer after he steps down as chief executive of NHS England at the end of July.

    Latest: https://trib.al/GvBZrcJ https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1387758466358468610/video/1
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. It must be disappointing for you that your publicising of the vaccination statistics confirms that Scotland, as in independent EU member, could have achieved a successful vaccination rollout. Opponents of independence have claimed that was impossible. You have evidenced that it was entirely possible.

    Possible, perhaps, but plausible? Given the SNP's response when it was announced the UK would be going it alone I think not.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782

    Have you considered that for many people, the marginal cost of wearing a mask is zero? "just about not at all" - is not exactly true, either. There are proven cases of someone chating to someone in the street for a few minutes, leading to transmission.
    Well yes I have - see my comment earlier about rationally I know some have a reason to be scared, and others, weirdly, don't seem to mind the horrid things (i.e. the marginal cost is near zero). Rationally I do try not to judge, because everybody is different.

    To be clear, I hate them. I have been putting up with slightly blurry vision for the last year and a phone with a battery which lasts less than 30 minutes, because my price of wearing a mask is very high, and I will wait until I can replace phone and glasses without having to do so. But I get that some people don't seem to mind them. Weirdos. *note tongue is in cheek!*
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,199

    My preferred watering hole has put John Smith’s up by 15p to £2 a pint. Bloody daylight robbery.
    Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423

    It’s left me in a right fluffery buffery, I’m not afraid to admit.
    I'd be afraid to admit that, out of uncertainty of how bad it was.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336

    Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
    The name might be a bit of a giveaway there.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    Leon said:

    But Remoaner is a useful word. It captures the kind of Remainer who has strayed into irrationality. Someone with Strasbourg Syndrome.

    I’d put Nigel Formain, on here, in that category. Maybe Mr Meeks, tho he has a more severe case

    ‘Remainiac’ should be reserved for Remainers who have gone completely postal. Outright lunacy. A C Grayling springs to mind.

    Does ‘Brexshitters’ usefully identify a type of Brexiteer? I don’t believe it does. It’s just an unfunny insult. Used by Remoaners
    I disagree. Remoaner is an insult, as is Brexshitter, although to be honest I reckon you have just made this one up.

    Brexiteer is not insulting.

    I rather like Remainiac and doesn't feel like an insult to me, although can appreciate how some might take it as so.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
    porque no los dos
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    Open letter by pro-European luminaries calling for EU-UK relations to enter a new competitive phase in which both sides pro-actively seek each other’s dissolution:

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1387749270154092544?s=20

    Open letter by pro-European luminaries calling for EU-UK relations to enter a new competitive phase in which both sides pro-actively seek each other’s dissolution:

    https://twitter.com/b_judah/status/1387749270154092544?s=20

    Normally the grauniad is so aware of the day the polls turned! They seem to be lagging a little rather like the EU Vaccine rollout.
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    edited April 2021
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. You are fully entitled to delude yourself on the demographics issue. The overwhelming support for Scottish independence among the younger age groups is primarily due to younger people having only had a vote during the existence of Holyrood. They therefore support their own parliament over WM-that will not be changing materially any time soon.

    Your post is an example of the classic demographics argument that Labour (particularly under Corbyn) have relied so heavily upon of late. It's a mistake to assume that young people will continue voting in a radical manner permanently.

    The young do have little to lose by voting for radical change, but once people get families, stable jobs and homes they become more interested in preserving those over big risky change. It doesn't always pan out that way (see Brexit) but it's more of a factor than you think.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,612
    edited April 2021
    Brom said:

    Has there ever been a worthless Guardian petition that Brian Eno hasn’t signed? Maybe he lives nextdoor to their offices or something
    Ian McEwan has been refiled under the category ‘Remainiac’. Was a Remoaner
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,096
    Stocky said:

    How can you prove that?
    IIRC in several cases (in several countries including China), the only contact in the time period for the infection was such a chat. The probability seems to be much lower than indoors/confined spaces, but it is not non-existent.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,096
    Pulpstar said:

    If everyone gets their vaccines we should get to zero Covid I think. You just need proof of vaccination & a negative test as a condition of entry to the country.

    Your last sentence will really enthuse a section of Guardian commentariate....
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,486

    They're also utterly crushing for the Tories - and have been for very many decades.

    But curiously, the Tories are in power.....
    It’s bizarre, it’s almost as if people’s views change over time.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559

    Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
    Is that profiteering or the VAT Return?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276

    IIRC in several cases (in several countries including China), the only contact in the time period for the infection was such a chat. The probability seems to be much lower than indoors/confined spaces, but it is not non-existent.
    Could have been airborne from distance, through a window, touching post - who knows? Not non-existent but you can never know. Only zero Covids would argue for non-existent risks anyway. We have the vaccines and inevitable boosters - now we live with it.
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    Carlotta Vance. You have to explain why you think those who are currently younger people, who overwhelmingly support being governed by their own Edinburgh based parliament, are going over time, in a majority, to wish Westminster to govern them.
    Enjoy your leap of unionist faith, which, again ironically, will fade to cult status :-)
  • Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
    Beautiful West Yorkshire. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knottingley
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,782
    Pulpstar said:

    If everyone gets their vaccines we should get to zero Covid I think. You just need proof of vaccination & a negative test as a condition of entry to the country.

    Is that realistic?
    I agree that if everyone - or even if a sufficiently large number of people - get their vaccine then covid has nowhere to go and dies out in the UK. (Though of course we would still get thousands of positive tests a week on current numbers of testing).
    But how many people come in to the UK each day? Can we insist all of those have negative tests? Can we rely on the accuracy of those negative tests? And somewhere there has to be a frontier. Even NZ - which is much more able than us to seal itself off - kept getting cases reintroduced.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699

    Some people will and they will be the weird exceptions, just like in the past when you'd see eg Japanese shoppers in the Trafford centre wearing a mask. It just looks weird, but it always happened and you'll continue to get it with some weirdos going forwards. And I stand by the term, people voluntarily doing it when its not required or mandated will be very much the exception not the norm.

    But more important than whether a few weirdos do stuff that doesn't affect anyone else, is whether businesses demand it. I couldn't care less if individuals want to wear a mask when they're not required to, I couldn't care less about other people's fashion choices. But if businesses are still demanding it that's a different matter, that's where its continuing, and if its not required by law there'll be little incentive for businesses to mandate it.
    "Weirdos" is a silly - and tbh a rather crass and offensive - term to apply to what will almost certainly be the non-trivial minority of people who will be sufficiently risk-averse (having lived through this harrowing public health crisis which has lasted so long and wreaked such havoc) to continue on a voluntary basis with certain virus mitigation practices (eg masks in crowded spaces) after the legal compulsion to do so has been dropped. These people shoud not be viewed or described as weirdos. I trust we will not see it from you again in this context.

    But I sense you know you've been a bit "argue for argues sake" on this point and are seeking to focus on what businesses will do. Ok. That is an interesting and important question. Will many businesses (in order to make their clientele feel ultra safe and increase turnover) impose covid restrictions even though they don't have to? I think no. I'm sure there will be pockets of it, and maybe in certain situations it might make commercial sense, but by and large - no. Post 22 June will usher in a new normal that for most things will resemble the old normal.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,199
    RobD said:

    The name might be a bit of a giveaway there.
    Thick as a brick I may be, but remarkably I had worked that bit out for myself. It was perhaps too grammatically clumsy for my piercing wit to hit the target. Sorry.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Blimey! £2 a pint? Do you live in the North or the 1990s?
    I was paying seven sheets a pint in EC1 last week – even made this long-term London dweller's eyes water.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,336
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. You have to explain why you think those who are currently younger people, who overwhelmingly support being governed by their own Edinburgh based parliament, are going over time, in a majority, to wish Westminster to govern them.
    Enjoy your leap of unionist faith, which, again ironically, will fade to cult status :-)

    You could ask the same question about why young Labour voters would ever change to voting for the evil Tories.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. You have to explain why you think those who are currently younger people, who overwhelmingly support being governed by their own Edinburgh based parliament, are going over time, in a majority, to wish Westminster to govern them.
    Enjoy your leap of unionist faith, which, again ironically, will fade to cult status :-)

    Now you explain why what happened in Quebec can't/won't happen in Scotland :smile:
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559
    kle4 said:

    A good carpet can last decades, as costs go its probably worth getting decent stuff.

    I used to think the people laying it were carpeters, but I dont think they go by that.
    Carpet-layers.

    They like the sexual connotation.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696

    Beautiful West Yorkshire. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knottingley
    Southern Softie...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Cookie said:

    Is that realistic?
    I agree that if everyone - or even if a sufficiently large number of people - get their vaccine then covid has nowhere to go and dies out in the UK. (Though of course we would still get thousands of positive tests a week on current numbers of testing).
    But how many people come in to the UK each day? Can we insist all of those have negative tests? Can we rely on the accuracy of those negative tests? And somewhere there has to be a frontier. Even NZ - which is much more able than us to seal itself off - kept getting cases reintroduced.
    Some people will slip through the net and present symptons later, but the virus is being dropped into a vaccinated population; it can't proliferate because it can't find hosts.
    New Zealand has an issue because it has a ~ zero antibody population.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,612
    kjh said:

    I disagree. Remoaner is an insult, as is Brexshitter, although to be honest I reckon you have just made this one up.

    Brexiteer is not insulting.

    I rather like Remainiac and doesn't feel like an insult to me, although can appreciate how some might take it as so.
    A term can be insulting AND useful and insightful. Remoaner is one such term. Remainers who moan, endlessly. We’ve all encountered them, sometimes on here

    As for ‘brexshitters’ -

    ‘How many Brexshitters went or are going skiing in Europe? How many own second homes there? What EU wines do they drink? We must be told.’

    https://twitter.com/y_alibhai/status/947441565953388544?s=21

    Cringefest
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276
    kinabalu said:

    "Weirdos" is a silly - and tbh a rather crass and offensive - term to apply to what will almost certainly be the non-trivial minority of people who will be sufficiently risk-averse (having lived through this harrowing public health crisis which has lasted so long and wreaked such havoc) to continue on a voluntary basis with certain virus mitigation practices (eg masks in crowded spaces) after the legal compulsion to do so has been dropped. These people shoud not be viewed or described as weirdos. I trust we will not see it from you again in this context.

    But I sense you know you've been a bit "argue for argues sake" on this point and are seeking to focus on what businesses will do. Ok. That is an interesting and important question. Will many businesses (in order to make their clientele feel ultra safe and increase turnover) impose covid restrictions even though they don't have to? I think no. I'm sure there will be pockets of it, and maybe in certain situations it might make commercial sense, but by and large - no. Post 22 June will usher in a new normal that for most things will resemble the old normal.
    What about in the public sector?

    Re wierdos, agree that this is not helpful. But if people continue to drag their heels in helping get us out of this awfulness by continuing on a voluntary basis with certain virus mitigation practices then they are part of the problem. Logic and science please, not irrational maths-illiterate fear.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Stocky said:

    Just been shopping for carpet. Mrs Stocky has her eyes on £75 per metre stuff. How can carpet cost that much?

    Her new nickname = Carrie.


    I had to steer Mrs Anabob away from such products. I found an almost identical version at CarpetRight for half the price...
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,456
    Leon said:

    A term can be insulting AND useful and insightful. Remoaner is one such term. Remainers who moan, endlessly. We’ve all encountered them, sometimes on here

    As for ‘brexshitters’ -

    ‘How many Brexshitters went or are going skiing in Europe? How many own second homes there? What EU wines do they drink? We must be told.’

    https://twitter.com/y_alibhai/status/947441565953388544?s=21

    Cringefest
    Milton Jones had a good line, when he said "Leave missed a trick in not calling them Remainians...."
  • eek said:

    Southern Softie...
    Now, now, play nicely. The place is rammed with Scots and Geordies and their offspring cos of the pits so we’re super northern in these parts.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,199

    Beautiful West Yorkshire. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knottingley
    Small world. I used to work out of Kinsley.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance. You have to explain why you think those who are currently younger people, who overwhelmingly support being governed by their own Edinburgh based parliament, are going over time, in a majority, to wish Westminster to govern them.
    Enjoy your leap of unionist faith, which, again ironically, will fade to cult status :-)

    How do you explain the Tories - who face a similar demographic challenge being re-elected?

    The 60 year olds who voted for Mrs Thatcher in 1979 are now 102......
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696

    Now, now, play nicely. The place is rammed with Scots and Geordies and their offspring cos of the pits so we’re super northern in these parts.
    My very simple viewpoint

    South of the Tees - Southern poncey
    North of the Tyne - there be monsters...
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Going to GBNews?

    SCOOP: @jonsnowC4 is leaving @Channel4News. Announcement from the broadcaster shortly.

    https://twitter.com/amolrajan/status/1387760225437065228?s=20
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,856
    Leon said:

    A term can be insulting AND useful and insightful. Remoaner is one such term. Remainers who moan, endlessly. We’ve all encountered them, sometimes on here

    As for ‘brexshitters’ -

    ‘How many Brexshitters went or are going skiing in Europe? How many own second homes there? What EU wines do they drink? We must be told.’

    https://twitter.com/y_alibhai/status/947441565953388544?s=21

    Cringefest
    It's Brexshit (an amorphous pile of crap) Which has a ring, just as Remoaner has.

    I don't use either.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,696


    I had to steer Mrs Anabob away from such products. I found an almost identical version at CarpetRight for half the price...
    I suspect it wasn't almost identical - it's remarkable how many identical carpets have variations on brand and range name.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,199

    Going to GBNews?

    SCOOP: @jonsnowC4 is leaving @Channel4News. Announcement from the broadcaster shortly.

    https://twitter.com/amolrajan/status/1387760225437065228?s=20

    Ironic post of the day. Well done!
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,487
    Taz said:

    It’s bizarre, it’s almost as if people’s views change over time.
    Or as if the Conservatives have evolved their policies to deal with the changes? Or both.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,884
    edited April 2021
    JPJ2 said:

    Interesting to see how the EU member state Malta (described by the British press as totally incapable financially of being an independent state shortly before their independence), has the highest vaccination rate by at least one measure (see Carlota Vance table earlier).

    I find this ironic, as I think the pull back from Yes to No seems mainly due to the vaccination achievement of the UK, and the false claim that an independent Scotland could not have achieved this on its own.

    I ceased to worry about whether or not Scotland would become independent a while back, as the demographics are utterly crushing for unionism. The end of the Union can be delayed but not prevented.

    A couple of points rebutting nonsense comments on the election by some PBers:- Sturgeon is not going to lose her constituency seat to the privately educated millionaire Sarwar, and the SNP are not going to lose Moray, a seat that Ross was afraid to stand in at this election.

    It will be interesting to see if Labour can hold any of their 3 constituency seats currently held on tiny or small majorities, Dumbarton, East Lothian and Edinburgh Southern. The last named seems their best bet to me due to tactical voting for Labour by Tory supporters.

    Nearly forgot-Angus Robertson will gain Edinburgh Central from the Conservatives. Baroness Davidson has fled that scene having employed her usual tactic of dodging her constituents :-)

    Nothing is certain at all and no the demographics are no worse for Unionism than they are for the Tories, otherwise on your logic given under 30s comfortably voted for Corbyn there would always ultimately be Labour governments. People also always get more conservative as they age.

    Sarwar will get a significant swing from Sturgeon and the SNP will likely lose Moray, Ross won it in 2019 at the general election and it is the most Leave seat in Scotland and today's Comres has a clear swing to the SCons from the SNP. As party leader Ross just stood on the list to ensure his election.

    Today's poll also showed a swing from the SNP to Labour since 2016 so Labour will likely hold all their Holyrood constituency seats and gain some on the list.

    Angus Robertson may well also fail to gain Edinburgh Central, Scottish Conservative voters from 2016 are more likely to vote for Sarwar's SLab if they are anti Brexit than the SNP
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Can we have Brextenders (other PBers might suggest a neater portmanteau) – those who are unhappy winners, the sorts of tiresome culture warriors who keep referring back to Brexit having WON, by way of a social wedge?

    Actually not many of them on PB these days – my old Brexit adversaries such as Philip and Mortimer seem rather gracious in victory.

    But the Brextenders are OUT THERE. Goodwin is their poster boy.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    The majority of SNP voters (55%) would be disappointed if victory in the Holyrood elections came at the cost of a coalition with Alba.

    Most (72%) would be happy joining up with Scottish Greens, however


    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1387763924188254208?s=20
  • JPJ2JPJ2 Posts: 380
    Carlotta Vance:
    I make no claim to understand the voters of England, who after all elected loony tune Boris Johnson to PM. To be fair though, that was only on 43% of the vote and as you know, using FPTP in Scotland would give the SNP around 107 of the 129 seats even on this Savant poll ;-)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Cookie said:

    I suspect Europe will have just as good a summer as us, because they will relax restrictions to a less ultra-cautious timetable than us, and will be largely fine.
    I suspect they’ll relax restrictions far too much, especially in the summer tourist resorts, and get totally screwed by it before the vaccine rollout finishes late.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    eek said:

    I suspect it wasn't almost identical - it's remarkable how many identical carpets have variations on brand and range name.
    Okay, it was identical to the naked eye and to the touch. Even she accepted this – and she is woman not known for concessions to thriftiness.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699
    eek said:

    It would tell us that Labour have a big problem in places where they won in 2019 due to Farage taking votes that may have otherwise voted Tory.

    And that Labour are both very lucky not to have far fewer seats and have a serious problem if they wish to stand still let alone start to claw things back.
    Yes - but remember Hartlepool is a special case with that 26% BXP vote at GE19.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    eek said:

    My very simple viewpoint

    South of the Tees - Southern poncey
    North of the Tyne - there be monsters...
    As a child in Scotland whose neighbours went to the outlandish extravagance of going all the way South to Whitley Bay - which as any fule no is practically on the Equator....or in the tropics, at least....
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559

    Ironic post of the day. Well done!
    Gloria de Piero has...
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243
    eek said:

    Southern Softie...
    There's a place not far outside the York ring road where I was astounded to get charged £3.20 for two pints a couple of years back. I'm in North Yorkshire, so definitely not a southern jessie.

    Not sure I'd describe Knottingley as beautiful :wink: Some nice villages thereabouts though and houses as cheap as the beer. We seriously thought about buying a house in Beal...
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    JPJ2 said:

    Carlotta Vance:
    I make no claim to understand the voters of England, who after all elected loony tune Boris Johnson to PM. To be fair though, that was only on 43% of the vote and as you know, using FPTP in Scotland would give the SNP around 107 of the 129 seats even on this Savant poll ;-)

    But you remain convinced that:

    Scottish voters won't change their views over time, while English (Welsh & Irish) evidently do?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,194

    Can we have Brextenders (other PBers might suggest a neater portmanteau) – those who are unhappy winners, the sorts of tiresome culture warriors who keep referring back to Brexit having WON, by way of a social wedge?

    Actually not many of them on PB these days – my old Brexit adversaries such as Philip and Mortimer seem rather gracious in victory.

    But the Brextenders are OUT THERE. Goodwin is their poster boy.

    @MarqueeMark is probably the archetypal Brextender.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,456

    @MarqueeMark is probably the archetypal Brextender.
    Only because it still triggers....
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,559
    Selebian said:

    There's a place not far outside the York ring road where I was astounded to get charged £3.20 for two pints a couple of years back. I'm in North Yorkshire, so definitely not a southern jessie.

    Not sure I'd describe Knottingley as beautiful :wink: Some nice villages thereabouts though and houses as cheap as the beer. We seriously thought about buying a house in Beal...
    North Yorkshire is where the Southern Jessies have their weekend cottages.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,699
    Cookie said:

    Some people are clearly very fond of their masks. They are very definitely in a minority but not a tiny one -you will see about one in twenty people on our local high street with them on their faces. Very broadly, they tend to fall into three categories: the very scared (mostly old people who MUST have been double jabbed by now - if they're not demasking now, when will they ever?); the self-righteous-looking virtue signaller (most of the time, surely, I'm projecting here - but some people just look smug and angry when wearing a mask); and the forgetful (how can people forget they still have the horrid things on their faces? Some just do. My mother in law for one).
    If they must carry on, fair enough, as long as the rest of us don't have to.
    I think you may indeed be projecting a touch with that "smug" there! But, yes, that's about it. And I do recommend that we don't call all these people "weirdos". And of course it will drop off in time.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,456

    Going to GBNews?

    SCOOP: @jonsnowC4 is leaving @Channel4News. Announcement from the broadcaster shortly.

    https://twitter.com/amolrajan/status/1387760225437065228?s=20

    Maybe just going out to grass. He's 73.
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