politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Great 2014 Euro Elections Polling Race
Comments
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It seems the height of cultural centrism to judge the existence of a God of the universe basd on the goings on of one rock in billions.ZenPagan said:I am a pagan, my father was a pagan and his father before him a pagan etc...back into the mists of time it is sort of a family tradition
I happen to accredit much of the state of the universe to a girl god
When atheists say "look around how can you believe in god when you look at the state of the world" I can say god is a girl and I happen to know she has a fondness for Tequila
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One thing's for sure - turnout will top the 23% of 1999 - the first election held with the closed party lists.0
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@Richard_Tyndall
I think it would be very favourable to UKIP for the major four parties to come in the order of how eurosceptic they are.0 -
How many other states have this rotten party list system for the Euros? It wouldn't surprise me if votes decided to raise two fingers to LDs, Cons & Labour.
Heard some of the UKIP list speak, aural equivalent of watching drying paint and plaster. Wouldn't have thought it was possible to work out which was the least appealing candidate. If anything the List System is a conspiracy by the political parties to reward the hacks and least talented candidates. It looks like a rotten system designed to produce a very a rotten institution.0 -
Can anyone explain why the TUSC candidate in Northwood Hills was able to beat all 3 LD candidates and the Green with 364 votes? His name is Wally Kennedy:
http://www.hillingdon.gov.uk/article/28195/Northwood-Hills-ward-results-20140 -
Higher than expected turnout could be due to mobilisation of the anti-ukip vote. Mike may, after all, be right about this one?0
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Reading East MP: "Reading count all over but result not till 10pm. Guessing at the trays it's Labour 1st, Conservative 2nd UKIP 3rd Green 4th then Lib Dems."
2009 was Con 28.8 Lab 18.9 Greens 14.5 LD 13.4 UKIP 12.80 -
Not just a high English population, but also a very mobile international population due to the oil and gas industry. I live in just about the most rural Tory patch of Aberdeenshire, and that bed rock of their support in this patch is very much due to the local farming community.Richard_Tyndall said:
It also has an extremely large 'English' population as a result of the Oil industry.fitalass said:It has a real mix of strong pockets of SNP/Libdem &Tory voters as its a big sprawling rural area.
Pulpstar said:
Is Aberdeenshire an SNP area ?fitalass said:Twitter
AberdeenshireCouncil @Aberdeenshire 41s
Turnout in @Aberdeenshire in the European Election is 32.63% - up from the 29.11% last time. Counting of ballot papers about to start.0 -
I'd quite like to see the Conservatives <20%, the story being a repeat of the rise of the Reform Party of Canada.Richard_Tyndall said:So if (and I only say if) UKIP do win tonight, who do you think they would prefer to see come second?
Personally I think they would rather the Tories came second. It would go some way to defeating the idea that a UKIP vote would split the Right and so let Labour in whilst also putting a lot more pressure on Miliband to move towards a referendum pledge.
Thoughts?
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Chocolatier[sp] Poroshenko has claimed victory in Ukraine:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-27569057
He's a billionaire and pro-EU.0 -
Even though his consigliere has been round the studios supporting Clegg,if he is to go,it will be Dom Pants-Down who makes him an offer he just cannot refuse.0
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Rangers and Hibs in the same division again is a nightmare, particularly after Glasgow Central a couple of years back.malcolmg said:
Should be excellent and may be some bargain season tickets from Rangers, half price season ticket fire sale would be nice.SandyRentool said:Good to see that the Hibbies would rather have some derby games next season than play in the top flight. Hearts, Rangers and Hibs - should be the better division!
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If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
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Catastrophic exit poll for the ruling Moderate Party (CON) of Sweden. Just 13% (!!), in 3rd place behind the Greens.
Feminist Initiative and Sweden Democrats (both 7%) both look set to get their first MEPs.0 -
Hillingdon, popular votes:
Con 32,555 (36.03%)
Lab 25,216 (27.91%)
UKIP 16,059 (17.77%)
Green 6,668 (7.38%)
LD 3,302 (3.65%)
Ind 2,717 (3.01%)
TUSC 2,260 (2.50%)
Changes since 2010 locals:
Con -7.43%
Lab -1.10%
UKIP +17.30%
Green +3.97%
LD -14.08%
Ind -0.04%
TUSC +2.50%0 -
Is that a profession or an unusual first name?Morris_Dancer said:Chocolatier[sp] Poroshenko has claimed victory in Ukraine:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-27569057
He's a billionaire and pro-EU.0 -
I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.
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Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that covers several times over any EP14 losses assuming I have them.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
At least I've the bottle to announce my bets before outcomes are known
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seen a tweet saying Danish TV are covering the results from Southampton and asked Sunderland when they expect to declare - answer was not until after 10pm but we usually first0
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Mr. Corporeal, profession. It's less silly than Goodluck Jonathan.0
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-eu-27535855
Yet again, the EU is blamed for something they did not do.
The ban on exit polls is a UK law - not a Euro one.0 -
Has he been named ?MikeSmithson said:
Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that cover several times over any EP14 losses.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
If so that's great news ! Another winner at Paddy Power0 -
You've got to be kidding — Hounslow council haven't bothered to say which party the candidates belong to, which means the process will take twice as long:
http://elections.hounslow.gov.uk/elections/results_by_polling_place/160 -
Swedish Exit poll - SVT (= BBC)
Social Democrats (LAB) 24% (n/c)
Environment Party (GRN) 17% (+6)
Moderates (CON) 13% (-6)
Peoples' Party (LD) 10% (-4)
Left Party (RESPECT) 8% (+2)
Sweden Democrats (UKIP) 7% (+3)
Feminist Initiative 7% (+5)
Centre Party (LD) 6% (n/c)
Christian Democrats (CON) 5% (n/c)
Pirate Party 3% (-4)
others 1% (-3)0 -
I guess turnout will be slightly higher overall. Both Labour vote and UKIP vote up in the cities outside London; in some of the northern areas, it'll be a two-horse race. UKIP should win by a clear margin outside the major urban conurbations. In places like Bristol, Cambridge, Oxford, Manchester, Leicester and London, Labour will probably do quite well, but it won't be enough to compensate for the UKIP surge. Norwich may have as strong a Green showing as Labour.
If (and it's a big "if" ) UKIP are 3rd in Reading, neck-and-neck in Leeds and it's "too close to call" in Wales, then it's all over and Labour have lost the national vote.0 -
Portugal exit poll
Socialists - 33%
PSD/CDS (main centre-right): 27%
Communists: 12.8%
MPT (Earth Party): 7.3%
Far Left but not communists: 5.5%.
LiVRE (something Greenish): 2%0 -
All but named in S Times this morning:-Pulpstar said:
Has he been named ?MikeSmithson said:
Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that cover several times over any EP14 losses.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
If so that's great news ! Another winner at Paddy Power
"DAVID CAMERON has told ministers that he will send Andrew Lansley, the leader of the Commons, to Brussels as Britain’s next EU commissioner.
Lansley is seen as a safe pair of hands who is Eurosceptic enough not to enrage Tory backbenchers but will be able to win the approval of Nick Clegg, who has publicly claimed that he would veto the appointment of anyone too extreme.
One ministerial aide said: “Cameron is telling ministers that it will be Lansley. He has said it to several people.” A second senior government source confirmed: “It’s basically decided. It’s Lansley.”
Britain will give up the role of EU high representative for foreign affairs, the post held at present by Baroness Ashton, and will instead seek an economic portfolio in the new European Commission where Lansley will be expected to fight for deregulation and business-friendly changes to the single market.
Appointing Lansley will also create a cabinet post that will enable the prime minister to promote a younger colleague before the summer recess.
Cameron had considered appointing Andrew Mitchell, the former chief whip, to Brussels. But outstanding court action over the Plebgate affair that had forced Mitchell to resign has ruled him out.
Another official said: “Lansley has his flaws but he’s capable of engaging with big, complicated issues. He’s not a zealot.”
Under one idea being discussed, the Tories would avoid a by-election with Lansley remaining an MP until the general election while starting his job as a commissioner in January."
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Survation's EU Parliament poll was: UKIP 32%, Lab 27%, Con 23%.Swiss_Bob said:I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.
Their local election poll was taken the same day. UKIP and the Conservatives over performed their local election predictions, and Labour under performed.0 -
Nice one, wish I had more on now - but then again I wish that with all winners ^_~MikeSmithson said:
All but named in S Times this morning:-Pulpstar said:
Has he been named ?MikeSmithson said:
Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that cover several times over any EP14 losses.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
If so that's great news ! Another winner at Paddy Power
"DAVID CAMERON has told ministers that he will send Andrew Lansley, the leader of the Commons, to Brussels as Britain’s next EU commissioner.
Lansley is seen as a safe pair of hands who is Eurosceptic enough not to enrage Tory backbenchers but will be able to win the approval of Nick Clegg, who has publicly claimed that he would veto the appointment of anyone too extreme.
One ministerial aide said: “Cameron is telling ministers that it will be Lansley. He has said it to several people.” A second senior government source confirmed: “It’s basically decided. It’s Lansley.”
Britain will give up the role of EU high representative for foreign affairs, the post held at present by Baroness Ashton, and will instead seek an economic portfolio in the new European Commission where Lansley will be expected to fight for deregulation and business-friendly changes to the single market.
Appointing Lansley will also create a cabinet post that will enable the prime minister to promote a younger colleague before the summer recess.
Cameron had considered appointing Andrew Mitchell, the former chief whip, to Brussels. But outstanding court action over the Plebgate affair that had forced Mitchell to resign has ruled him out.
Another official said: “Lansley has his flaws but he’s capable of engaging with big, complicated issues. He’s not a zealot.”
Under one idea being discussed, the Tories would avoid a by-election with Lansley remaining an MP until the general election while starting his job as a commissioner in January."0 -
Looks like only the Germans have voted for the mainstream...
Maybe Italy too - though their politics is always bonkers.0 -
Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 3m
#RUMOUR Greens beat Lib Dems into fourth place at Reading count. [according to Reading MP]0 -
Hmm someones just stuck up £1124 @ 1.16 to lay for UKIP.0
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If you think it's evens, you'd best put some money down on Betfair quick. Really great odds for you.Swiss_Bob said:I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.
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Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 3m
#RUMOUR Labour neck and neck with UKIP at 30% in Wales. [according to campaign managers at the count]0 -
Shit!! You are kidding?marke09 said:Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 3m
#RUMOUR Labour neck and neck with UKIP at 30% in Wales. [according to campaign managers at the count]0 -
Betting on Lansley is a sure-fire route to riches.Pulpstar said:
Has he been named ?MikeSmithson said:
Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that cover several times over any EP14 losses.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
If so that's great news ! Another winner at Paddy Power
It is just a pity that Pork is not present to share in the joys of our success.0 -
The Reading local government election result was:AndreaParma_82 said:Reading East MP: "Reading count all over but result not till 10pm. Guessing at the trays it's Labour 1st, Conservative 2nd UKIP 3rd Green 4th then Lib Dems."
2009 was Con 28.8 Lab 18.9 Greens 14.5 LD 13.4 UKIP 12.8
Lab 36.1%, Con 23.6%, Green 12.6%, UKIP 8.3%, LD 8.2%.
http://www.reading.gov.uk/elections/election/10/shareOfVote/
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Congrats, Mr. Smithson.
Utterly different subjects, of course, but it does sharpen the mind when you know a successful or failed tip is made public.0 -
BETFAIR IN-PLAY MARKETS ARE SHUT.Casino_Royale said:
If you think it's evens, you'd best put some money down on Betfair quick. Really great odds for you.Swiss_Bob said:I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.0 -
I try not to react too much to things like that. It's probably a punter trying to lay off onto "all green".Pulpstar said:Hmm someones just stuck up £1124 @ 1.16 to lay for UKIP.
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Have you piled on Labour winning in Wales or something ?Stuart_Dickson said:
Shit!! You are kidding?marke09 said:Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 3m
#RUMOUR Labour neck and neck with UKIP at 30% in Wales. [according to campaign managers at the count]
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Probably a traderPulpstar said:Hmm someones just stuck up £1124 @ 1.16 to lay for UKIP.
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No, but I just cannot believe that Welsh Labour could lose to UKIP.Pulpstar said:
Have you piled on Labour winning in Wales or something ?Stuart_Dickson said:
Shit!! You are kidding?marke09 said:Britain Elects 2014 @britainelects 3m
#RUMOUR Labour neck and neck with UKIP at 30% in Wales. [according to campaign managers at the count]0 -
If UKIP are neck-and-neck in Wales they've definitely topped the poll overall IMO.0
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Welsh Labour were 1/33 to win most votes at Hills (IIRC).0
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Most votes isn't !Stuart_Dickson said:
BETFAIR IN-PLAY MARKETS ARE SHUT.Casino_Royale said:
If you think it's evens, you'd best put some money down on Betfair quick. Really great odds for you.Swiss_Bob said:I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.0 -
Is this UKIPalypse now?0
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Lord Ashcroft EP Exit Poll: 1st UKIP 29%, 2nd Conservatives 24%, 3rd Labour 21%, 4th Lib Dems 8%. Conservatives beat Labour to 2nd place0
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Then they have changed the url. Do you have the link??Pulpstar said:
Most votes isn't !Stuart_Dickson said:
BETFAIR IN-PLAY MARKETS ARE SHUT.Casino_Royale said:
If you think it's evens, you'd best put some money down on Betfair quick. Really great odds for you.Swiss_Bob said:I think the smear campaign had an effect so I think it's somewhere around evens as to whether UKIP or Labour will top the poll.
Being a little sceptical of Labour's honesty I would bet, if I had to, on Labour topping the poll.0 -
Well I hope Labour has held on in bloody London !Stuart_Dickson said:Welsh Labour were 1/33 to win most votes at Hills (IIRC).
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Would he be allowed to? Ashton had to take leave of absence from the Lords fairly immediately (bit of a cop-out as far as I am concerned, she should have been made to renounce her stupid title).MikeSmithson said:
Under one idea being discussed, the Tories would avoid a by-election with Lansley remaining an MP until the general election while starting his job as a commissioner in January."
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UKIP were 4th in 2009 in Wales. If that's true, UKIP are +17% and Labour around +9%. Or, put it another way, Labour vote up around 50% and UKIP vote more than doubling.
2009 Wales results
Conservative 21.2%
Labour 20.3%
Plaid Cymru 18.5%
UK Independence Party 12.8%
Liberal Democrats 10.7%
Green Party 5.6%
British National Party 5.4%0 -
BBC Wales Politics @WalesPolitics · ora
Plaid sources say the party's polling across Wales points to UKIP and Labour running neck and neck ^NS.
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@MikeSmithson well done to you and @Pulpstar for a great bet. Ukip likely to top the poll this evening, but, as you say, at least you have the balls to stake your claim before the winners come in.MikeSmithson said:
Given the news this morning about Andrew Lansley I can gloat over my 16/1 bet on next EU Commissioner - that covers several times over any EP14 losses assuming I have them.Pulpstar said:
If UKIP don't win, several PBers are out of pocket, and Mike will be able to rightly gloat all he likes !maaarsh said:
Do you think OGH will mention his position on this at all, and if he does, will he be able to avoid referencing his Obama bet to justify it?Pulpstar said:Labour on the drift on Betfair, 5-1 available now - buit if they haven't been able to take Wales convincingly I can't see it.
At least I've the bottle to announce my bets before outcomes are known0 -
I note someone just said Betfair in play markets were closed, I have put some money where my mouth is and bet that Labour will garner most votes:
Labour
Most Votes 5.6 £2.00
£9.20
Ref: 3771291xxxxM Matched: 21:23 25-May-140 -
PS I'll be happy to lose that money.0
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41/42% turnout in Italy at 7 PM0
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If Labour lose Wales to UKIP then Miliband would have to resign. Astonishing how the EU election has become a referendum on Ed's leadership.0
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Credit to you. I am also a small stakes gambler. Nothing wrong with that either. I don't have the nerve for the big time!Swiss_Bob said:I note someone just said Betfair in play markets were closed, I have put some money where my mouth is and bet that Labour will garner most votes:
Labour
Most Votes 5.6 £2.00
£9.20
Ref: 3771291xxxxM Matched: 21:23 25-May-140 -
Astonishing.AndreaParma_82 said:BBC Wales Politics @WalesPolitics · ora
Plaid sources say the party's polling across Wales points to UKIP and Labour running neck and neck ^NS.0 -
Yep stunningly poor. There's only so long a biased electoral system can save them and they're starting to hit very low numbers very consistently.RodCrosby said:
UNSmaaarsh said:Lord Ashcroft EP Exit Poll: 1st UKIP 29%, 2nd Conservatives 24%, 3rd Labour 21%, 4th Lib Dems 8%. Conservatives beat Labour to 2nd place
25/21/17/2
disastrous for Labour, if true. Quids in for me, also...0 -
If ( stress if ) true a kicking for the Plaid leader who made a real dismissive swipe at UKIP. The Valleys breakdown of largely wwc votes will be interesting. Still no results yet, just rumours.AndreaParma_82 said:BBC Wales Politics @WalesPolitics · ora
Plaid sources say the party's polling across Wales points to UKIP and Labour running neck and neck ^NS.
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Ed is in the brown stuff if that Ashcroft poll is correct.0
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As I said, I sold Labour at 26% and would have sold them down to 24%. I think that's a bit low and would prob put them around 23%, but nothing would surprise me to be honest.RodCrosby said:
UNSmaaarsh said:Lord Ashcroft EP Exit Poll: 1st UKIP 29%, 2nd Conservatives 24%, 3rd Labour 21%, 4th Lib Dems 8%. Conservatives beat Labour to 2nd place
25/21/17/2
disastrous for Labour, if true. Quids in for me, also...
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Mr. Dawning, I must say I think that's a bit silly. It's very hard to see anything political causing Ed Miliband's downfall.0
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I think UKIP were about 10/1 at Hills for Most Votes in Wales.AndyJS said:
I don't believe it — I've been going on about the possibility of UKIP coming first in Wales!corporeal said:BBC Wales Politics @WalesPolitics 11m
John Atkinson, campaign manager for UKIP in Wales says party will get 30% of the vote and is neck and neck with Labour ^NS.
That'd be pretty incredible.0 -
53% for Con + UKIP in GB? What will it be in England...0
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That would be an absolute shocker for EdM, if true.0
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If labour come 3rd its an utter utter disaster for them0
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Mr. Royale, indeed, nothing wrong with small stakes. It's a source of mild amusement to me that I may well make less than anyone who actually follows my F1 tips.0
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Alot of Labour -> Green switchers in the Euros will have done for Labour.
He won the locals so I think he'll be ok...0 -
Agreed.Slackbladder said:If labour come 3rd its an utter utter disaster for them
If LAB come in 3rd place, the INDYREF market is gonna be fun.
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Mr. LP, be fair, it was the Norwegians not the Swedes that banned Life of Brian.0
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Certainly, but how high? 60%?Stuart_Dickson said:0 -
:-) I am winning and losing hundreds on...... cricket, living in Switzerland does not make for good UK political psephology but a small flutter makes the result more interesting.Casino_Royale said:
Credit to you. I am also a small stakes gambler. Nothing wrong with that either. I don't have the nerve for the big time!Swiss_Bob said:I note someone just said Betfair in play markets were closed, I have put some money where my mouth is and bet that Labour will garner most votes:
Labour
Most Votes 5.6 £2.00
£9.20
Ref: 3771291xxxxM Matched: 21:23 25-May-140 -
Despite farting on about it for many days, I didn't put a bet on it. Stupid me.Stuart_Dickson said:
I think UKIP were about 10/1 at Hills for Most Votes in Wales.AndyJS said:
I don't believe it — I've been going on about the possibility of UKIP coming first in Wales!corporeal said:BBC Wales Politics @WalesPolitics 11m
John Atkinson, campaign manager for UKIP in Wales says party will get 30% of the vote and is neck and neck with Labour ^NS.
That'd be pretty incredible.0 -
It's their last laugh, certainly.Morris_Dancer said:Is this UKIPalypse now?
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I do wish I had the "frame" of Mike Smithson, Rod Crosby or Peter from Putney though. I would be a lot wealthier!Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Royale, indeed, nothing wrong with small stakes. It's a source of mild amusement to me that I may well make less than anyone who actually follows my F1 tips.
I'm on the edge of my seat here. Great fun!0 -
Should be 30 mins till election count night on sky if my memory serves me right.0
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Now 4.3Swiss_Bob said:I note someone just said Betfair in play markets were closed, I have put some money where my mouth is and bet that Labour will garner most votes:
Labour
Most Votes 5.6 £2.00
£9.20
Ref: 3771291xxxxM Matched: 21:23 25-May-140 -
For what it's worth, several people now saying there was no Ashcroft exit poll...0
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Fredrik Reinfeldt's party got 13% of the vote.AveryLP said:
The Germans, Austrians and Swedes have all voted sensibly.Pulpstar said:Looks like only the Germans have voted for the mainstream...
Maybe Italy too - though their politics is always bonkers.
It is the countries with a sense of humour that have gone on a frolic.
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Hey. I'm in France and EE have just blocked my access to PB because it is deemed an adult site. Also I can't access UK bookies.
Thank god for Vanilla.0 -
Polish dictator Jaruzelski has died
http://www.lefigaro.fr/international/2014/05/25/01003-20140525ARTFIG00126-jaruzelski-le-dictateur-qui-se-voulait-patriote.php0 -
All very exciting isn't it ?0
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Same here. A score on UKIP @ 5/4 and a fiver on the tricast UKIP/CON/LAB @ 7'sCasino_Royale said:
Credit to you. I am also a small stakes gambler. Nothing wrong with that either. I don't have the nerve for the big time!Swiss_Bob said:I note someone just said Betfair in play markets were closed, I have put some money where my mouth is and bet that Labour will garner most votes:
Labour
Most Votes 5.6 £2.00
£9.20
Ref: 3771291xxxxM Matched: 21:23 25-May-14
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I had a feeling Labour would come third. It will clearly put Ed's leadership under huge pressure. But I'm not sure what real significance the result actually has on anything. The GE will look very different. It would be nice if UKIP scored under 30%.0
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Found those Betfair markets!
UKIP Most Votes 1.18
UKIP Most Seats 1.150 -
Someone just matched at 400 for Con on betfair... they're trying to lay it off at 65s now.0
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Made me smile.Morris_Dancer said:Is this UKIPalypse now?
Did you win on the GP today.
I only had a loss on the qualy, Nico screw ed me :-(0
