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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Keiran Pedley Ipsos-MORI podcast: Assessing the Cons
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Keiran Pedley Ipsos-MORI podcast: Assessing the Conservative Party under Boris Johnson
This week Kieran Pedley is joined by former Deputy Chief of Staff to David Cameron, Baroness Kate Fall and by Asa Bennett, Brexit Editor at the Daily Telegraph.
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FPT
Virtually certain to be a BIG spike in COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations & deaths in USA this weekend.
Why? Because Saturday is July 4th - Independence Day.
Traditionally the holiday is celebrated from sea to shining sea with fireworks and fire crackers, leading to numerous injuries and a few deaths. THIS year, this body count will be down, but the Creeping Crud will more than make up for the difference.
BTW when yours truly thinks about 4th of July, always remember the great scene from "The Great Escape" when trio of American POWs hosted (if that's the word) an epic Independence Day celebration for the mass of British POWs in Stalag Luft III. This scene was based on a true incident, as described in Paul Brickhill's classic book. At first the German guards thought a riot had broken out - then they realized it was one hell of an Anglo-American party, a real red-white-and-blue hooohaaa and brain fry.
SO this Independence Day, will be thanking you UKers - we couldn't have done it without you
Implies, almost unbelievably, people had been having larger gatherings than that previously.
Lewis Hamilton winning the championship at the last corner in 2008 and Liverpool winning the CL on penalties in 2005 stand out, the 2005 Ashes the runner up, but Jonny Wilkinson Drops for World Cup Glory, at 10am in the pub after about eight pints has to be the winner.
The one that’s not there, the 2012 Olympics as an event, especially that middle Saturday. It set out to inspire a generation and massively overachieved.
Look at Canada.
I don't, somehow, think that's a first! Nor will it be a last!
No uptake in infections from recent protests and beaches lack of social distancing
Will Trumpsky quit? Personally think answer is NO.
However, it is true that he's cut and run out of just about EVERYBODY that's trusted him with their money, malt or maidservant.
Just ask Ivana & Marla & residents of Atlantic City & hordes of less-than-satisfied investors & business partners.
SO cannot be ruled out. Except that his all-consuming hubris will make him believe he can rekindle the magic and fool the American people one more time.
Catholic pastor suspended for calling Black Lives Matter protesters 'maggots and parasites
https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/505787-catholic-priest-suspended-for-calling-black-lives-matter
..."The only lives that matter are their own and the only power they seek is their own," Rothrock wrote. "They are wolves in wolves clothing, masked thieves and bandits, seeking only to devour the life of the poor and profit from the fear of others. They are maggots and parasites at best, feeding off the isolation of addiction and broken families, and offering to replace and current frustration and anxiety with more misery and greater resentment. ...They are serpents in the garden, seeking only to uproot and replant a new species of human made in the likeness of men and not in the image of God,” the statement said. Rothrock added, “Their poison is more toxic than any pandemic we have endured.”....
...Rothrock on Tuesday apologized for the comments in a message sent to perishers (sic), the Indy Star reported. He said that it was "not my intention to offend anyone”...
wine
https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1279085326166827009?s=20
I'll get my coat.
For a world class orator, I am surprised Johnson reads directly from a script too.
I can get on board with that
May I also introduce PB to the concept of non-racist Maths, also known as Mathematx
https://twitter.com/Laurie_Rubel/status/1278250944250208256?s=20
Though I can understand that it might seem a little close to home.
I can explain the likely genesis of this article. It's the Guardian's regular wine writer, a white lady of a certain age (judging by her photo) looking nervously around at the Woke Mania, and thinking, Err, how do I assert my alliance with all these young Maoists, I know I'll do a fairly vapid article which will deliver an extremely Woke headline
...Jonny Wilkinson Drops for World Cup Glory, at 10am in the pub after about eight pints has to be the winner....
I am massively jealous that anyone got to witness such a re-enactment.
Seems to be about expanding the market.
It's much more likely to be a class related thing than race.
I thought you meant you saw the great man himself demonstrate the winning kick, after an early morning session.
The issues of encouraging Black winemakers in the Cape are pertinent too. The RSA wine industry has quite a long history of abusive labour practices, most notoriously paying the workers wages substantially in cheap rotgut wine in lieu of cash. This perpetuated a cycle of poverty and alcoholism in their workers.
Good to hear that things are looking up there. South Africans of all races are very friendly and welcoming, except too often to each other.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=RGHoQfSjsXY
Hint to the Conservative Party: you really ought to focus on fighting this pandemic in a more competent fashion and leave the childishness to a later date. I confidently predict that my advice will be ignored. Again.
But anyway - Friday night.
https://twitter.com/MercedesAMGF1/status/1279101398886559744
We’ll get a better idea when we see the results in the 2 constituencies next May. SLD to SNP Swing needed to gain:
Orkney 21.6
Shetland 7.8
If we fail to gain Shetland next year we can forget the Westminster seat.
(*embarrassingly, the former Lib-Con coalition cabinet member was confused for an SNP MP last week by Boris Johnson. He doesn’t even recognise an ally when he sees one.)
Man, would like for the main character - noted for her skill in cross-examination - to get stuck into His Foul Lowness Prince Andrew!
SO is the Great British Taxpayer footing the bill for his legal defense? Speaking of shysters, no doubt they are the finest mouth-pieces that a(n alleged) child-rapist & sex-trafficker could hope to rent.
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1279104967605878785?s=20
Zero evidence that ANY elector since 1789 has been bribed. A few have NOT voted for the candidate who won their state's popular vote, and for whom they were elected to vote. Indeed, there is case from WA State on this currently before SCOTUS - two Clinton electors who did NOT vote for her. Had similar instance in 1976 when WA went for Gerry Ford, and one GOP elector voted for Ronald Reagan.
Covid-19 is getting really bad in some American hospitals, BUT they have now developed treatments and protocols which means almost no one needs to die
***
But Dr Varon is convinced the real difference is with Maths+.
"No-one needs to die from coronavirus any more," he said.
"This won't cure you of coronavirus but it can stop the build-up of problems which can lead to you needing a ventilator and when that happens, your chances of survival are only about 20%.
"Putting someone on a ventilator is like signing their death warrant.
"Finally, we have an option and I think it's going to work."
***
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-houston-doctor-says-were-heading-to-pure-hell-as-covid-19-cases-spike-in-texas-12020307?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
1876 - Rutherford B. Hayes over Samuel Tilden (but election decided by special commission NOT EC) note- Democrats said eventual victor was "Rutherfraud B. Hayes)
1888 - Benjamin Harrison over Grover Cleveland
2000 - George W. Bush over Al Gore
2016 - Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton
In this part of the world, the big takedown was a Nigerian “Propertly Developer” caught with suitcases of cash from running fake bank websites harvesting personal data. He built up a social media following as one of these guys who drives around in Rolls Royces and Ferraris telling everyone how rich he is, and how rich you could be if you invest in his “business”.
He got put on a plane to the US, who plan on not letting him out for a long time
https://www.thenational.ae/uae/courts/instagram-celebrity-hushpuppi-extradited-to-the-us-after-arrest-in-dubai-1.1043211
Tell 'em SeaShanty sent yez! And bring your own fire-crackers!
As added incentive, Casino Royale will read full text of the Declaration of Independence.
https://www.npr.org/2020/07/03/883024992/npr-reads-the-declaration-of-independence