Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starmer overtakes Johnson in latest YouGov leader ratings

135

Comments

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    Mr. Sandpit, given where they are, Sainz might be more likely to follow orders if it comes to that.

    Ricciardo's strongly shown he doesn't want to be a de facto number two. Sainz has never had a top tier seat.

    Mr. W, when cars are much safer than public transport it would be 'brave' to increase the cost of running them.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706
    Probably a fifth measure of reviewing the Barnet formula as part of a devolution review.

    Is not the Scottish Subsidy the best part of 10bn a year now?

    *innocent face*
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706

    It's all kite flying. The government would be mad to do anything other than turn current emergency covid-19 spending into very long term debt. The bigger issue is going to be funding increased - and entirely essential - spending in areas like health, social care and eduction once the immediate crisis ends.

    Absolutely.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    ydoethur said:

    Ummm, Joff...I think there might be a flaw in your reasoning there.

    It's early, so can you expain what it is?



  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,578

    It's early, so can you expain what it is?
    You have implied the government will take a course of action because ‘they would be mad’ to do anything else.

    This does however start from the premise that they are pragmatic and/or sane.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,540
    edited May 2020
    Sandpit said:

    Surely the biggest question today is who gets the vacant Ferrari drive for 2021?

    I reckon Ricciardo, but the coverage is suggesting Sainz Jr is favourite.
    https://twitter.com/MBrundleF1/status/1260167385673281536
    https://twitter.com/MrJordanSDean/status/1260167608931946496
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,418
    Chris said:

    I advise you not to make it quite so obvious when you're trying to wind people up. It's not so effective then.
    I'm not trying to wind people up. It's my sincerely held view. Deal with it.

    There will be lots of others that agree with me. They won't be saying so on here because they fear abuse from the likes of you and others (like "Eadric") but masks are both wildly unpopular and disliked.

    My wife and I have struggled with our mental health during this lockdown. One of our few pleasures has been to get out and about and see another face. We've stopped to talk to old ladies, single mums, middle-aged gentlemen and shopkeepers (always from 2-3m away) and seen smiles, laughs and smirks (both from a distance and up close) that have truly brightened our day. We've felt people being both open and approachable, where we've felt those with masks cowering and fearful - neither wanting to speak to or interact with anyone.

    Mass maskwearing is a dark place. I think it's unnecessary, ineffective and socially isolating and makes society a worse rather than a better place.

    I know my points are chiming home because those who oppose them are responding with personal abuse, which is always a sign you're onto something.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    Interesting paper out by Nic Lewis today, didn't understand it all but he's come to the conclusion (using plenty of maths) that an inhomogenous population achieves herd immunity better than a homogeneous one.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,366
    edited May 2020
    MattW said:

    Probably a fifth measure of reviewing the Barnet formula as part of a devolution review.

    Is not the Scottish Subsidy the best part of 10bn a year now?

    *innocent face*

    It would be quite the break with precedent if Unionist parties stopped showing their decades long cowardice over looking at their own back-of-a-fag-packet convention.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706


    Mr. W, when cars are much safer than public transport it would be 'brave' to increase the cost of running them.

    Interesting thought.

    But I think that reduction in distance travelled, increased use of e-cars which are cheaper to run (eg my solar panels alone generate the 'lecky that would cover 20k miles a year), and the intended transition to walking / using bikes would compensate many times over.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706

    It would be quite the break with precedent if Unionist parties stopped showing their decades long cowardice over looking at their own back-of-a-fag-packet convention.
    Personally I'd certainly be up for a review looking towards a more federal structure.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    ydoethur said:

    You have implied the government will take a course of action because ‘they would be mad’ to do anything else.

    This does however start from the premise that they are pragmatic and/or sane.

    Ha, ha - I need more sleep!!

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    Mr. W, walking/bikes aren't suitable for longer journeys.

    Raising living costs for people by hiking petrol duty would be foolhardy, both politically and economically.
  • northern_monkeynorthern_monkey Posts: 1,640

    I daresay you don't get that many folk from the West of Scotland getting as far as the south west, but if you did..

    https://twitter.com/wully1960/status/1259863859726295041?s=20

    Edit: NSFW and probably not safe for your mental health if WFH.
    Jesus Christ, I tell no word of a lie, this is my hometown. I know exactly where this was filmed. My other half knows the people!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235
    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.27.20081893v2.full.pdf+html

    Here's the key paper Nic Lewis uses in his argument. It's not been peer reviewed yet mind
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,366
    MattW said:

    Personally I'd certainly be up for a review looking towards a more federal structure.
    I'd also take it as a constructive step, unfortunately long years of experience have taught me that UK politicians only talk federalism when they're out of power.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,597

    I'm not trying to wind people up. It's my sincerely held view. Deal with it.

    There will be lots of others that agree with me. They won't be saying so on here because they fear abuse from the likes of you and others (like "Eadric") but masks are both wildly unpopular and disliked.

    My wife and I have struggled with our mental health during this lockdown. One of our few pleasures has been to get out and about and see another face. We've stopped to talk to old ladies, single mums, middle-aged gentlemen and shopkeepers (always from 2-3m away) and seen smiles, laughs and smirks (both from a distance and up close) that have truly brightened our day. We've felt people being both open and approachable, where we've felt those with masks cowering and fearful - neither wanting to speak to or interact with anyone.

    Mass maskwearing is a dark place. I think it's unnecessary, ineffective and socially isolating and makes society a worse rather than a better place.

    I know my points are chiming home because those who oppose them are responding with personal abuse, which is always a sign you're onto something.
    Sympathise. It's not a good, or friendly look. Neither party needs a mask, of course, when talking with people the other side of the road, or even from footpath to the middle of the road, but if one is likely to be closer, one does. Up until now I've not felt threatened in my locality, but now I've come across someone locally who has actually suffered with the virus, I'm beginning to think that it might be an idea. Yes, I know it's to stop me transmitting, but how, without a test, do I know I'm not a symptom-free transmitter?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    A bit less alcohol and a bit more exercise is the best way to lose weight in my experience.
    No fun though
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,355

    I'm not trying to wind people up. It's my sincerely held view. Deal with it.

    There will be lots of others that agree with me. They won't be saying so on here because they fear abuse from the likes of you and others (like "Eadric") but masks are both wildly unpopular and disliked.

    My wife and I have struggled with our mental health during this lockdown. One of our few pleasures has been to get out and about and see another face. We've stopped to talk to old ladies, single mums, middle-aged gentlemen and shopkeepers (always from 2-3m away) and seen smiles, laughs and smirks (both from a distance and up close) that have truly brightened our day. We've felt people being both open and approachable, where we've felt those with masks cowering and fearful - neither wanting to speak to or interact with anyone.

    Mass maskwearing is a dark place. I think it's unnecessary, ineffective and socially isolating and makes society a worse rather than a better place.

    I know my points are chiming home because those who oppose them are responding with personal abuse, which is always a sign you're onto something.
    Traveling in Japan (in the good old days- remember than?) I found the mask wearing to be offensively anti-social. Yet, when Bozza tells me to wear one because the science dictates it would be anti social not to wear one.
  • BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884
    edited May 2020
    Pulpstar said:
    The main issue I have with this model is that the final 'stable' state isn't really stable.

    Think of it as the survivors locked in the mall, with the zombies outside.

    All you need is one* mixing event - such as my trip to Tescos on a busier Monday afternoon, rather than a Monday morning - and you have that guy with a scratch and a fever insisting that they're fine.


    *I mean, really you need more than one and I'm just going back to my house, so it won't be that. However, you get the point**. So mass gatherings, sporting events, celebrations, congas etc will be what I'd look out for.

    ** no, wait, team FACTOR OF TWO won't. -_-
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    For all you dislike Boris I am surprised that you do not recognise she is not his mistress, but fiancee and they are due to be married shortly

    Boris has lots of faults but maybe more respect for Carrie and his son would not go amiss
    G , it is impossible to polish a turd I am afraid.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    MattW said:

    Personally I'd certainly be up for a review looking towards a more federal structure.

    I would like to see the case for a more federal structure, but in the end it is up to the peoples of the various parts of these islands to determine their own futures. Those who want to keep the UK together need to do a far better job of selling that than they are doing at the moment. We do not have a written consitution that can keep the lid on separation, everything depends on consent. That, ultimately, is a good thing.

  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,366
    edited May 2020

    Jesus Christ, I tell no word of a lie, this is my hometown. I know exactly where this was filmed. My other half knows the people!
    Golly.

    Sorry, didn't mean to bring your past flooding back in quite this way!
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Not something that's been on the news I suspect....

    https://twitter.com/chrisg0000/status/1260251879705108480?s=20
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    I am sure they can find a really ugly one.
    You think that would make a difference
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,540
    Scott_xP said:
    You know it's serious when the ONS feels the need to publish before the markets open.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,311

    Right, so you don't have an argument. You just want to row in behind whoever you think is better able to make it on this site than you are.

    Social distancing (or isolation if infected) is far more effective in managing infection risk that than mask wearing.

    I'm far more worried about people with crap sweaty masks constantly touching their face, adjusting them and then touching surfaces thereafter.

    Is there a place for masks? Sure: in very specific close proximity situations representing high risk.

    But not in general - no - where they take away far more than they add, and even subtract something.
    I am fairly sceptical about public use of masks.

    There is a genuine issue of supply, and poor technique is very frequent.

    While they may have some benefit in preventing transmission, they have limited effect on protecting the individual.

    They are banned in non patient facing areas of our hospital (where social distancing is also problematic!).

    They do have 2 useful social effects though: to keep people mindful of other aspects of hygiene; and also do seem to give people the confidence to venture out into a hazardous environment. Both of these effects will be useful for normal service to resume in the economy.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    eadric said:

    We will Brexit on December 31 or thereabouts because any delay means we could be on the hook for the inevitable huge corona bail outs. Over which we will have no say.

    Moreover it looks like the eurozone is headed for an epochal bust up thanks to the German courts. We will flee for the exit when there is still time
    Conversely they would be responsible for our massive deficit which will likely be the biggest and best in EU, more likely they will be locking the doors and drawing up the bridge.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    Scott_xP said:
    A lot of that will be to do with when we went into full lockdown. It was basically the last week in March, wasn't it? Although clearly things had been slowing down before that.

  • TGOHF666TGOHF666 Posts: 2,052
    Looks like Sir Keith is now being forensically woke.

    https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1260289651220320258?s=21
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,540
    Foxy said:

    I am fairly sceptical about public use of masks.

    There is a genuine issue of supply, and poor technique is very frequent.

    While they may have some benefit in preventing transmission, they have limited effect on protecting the individual.

    They are banned in non patient facing areas of our hospital (where social distancing is also problematic!).

    They do have 2 useful social effects though: to keep people mindful of other aspects of hygiene; and also do seem to give people the confidence to venture out into a hazardous environment. Both of these effects will be useful for normal service to resume in the economy.
    If they allowed fans to attend football, but only if they were wearing masks, I wouldn't go.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    ydoethur said:

    I assumed that was a reference to Braveheart’s recreation of Stirling Bridge.
    That is my breakfast back up then.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706
    edited May 2020

    Mr. W, walking/bikes aren't suitable for longer journeys.

    Raising living costs for people by hiking petrol duty would be foolhardy, both politically and economically.

    However most journeys are short, and the annual mileage has decreased substantially over the last years to under 8k. I'm not convinced that an increase in fuel duty - even a "hike" - would be that significant.

    Higher mileages are mainly in corporate or company vehicles, which would be distributed across the cost of everything.

    Even the "average" (their word not mine) commuter journey in the UK is only around 10 miles, says the RAC Foundation.
    https://www.racfoundation.org/motoring-faqs/mobility#a26

    10 miles is well under an hour on a pushbike, even if only moderately fit - less on an e-bike. Needs a change of perspective and a resolute move to adjust infrastructure if it is to stick, though.

    For example, photo taken yesterday. Putting a modern set of 5 in would cost about £500.

    https://twitter.com/mattwardman/status/1260460077263224834
  • northern_monkeynorthern_monkey Posts: 1,640

    Golly.

    Sorry, didn't mean to bring your past flooding back in quite this way!
    I’m only about a mile and a half from that spot now. I did move away but, somewhat to my surprise, ended up back here.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    ydoethur said:

    Blimey. Somebody got out of bed the wrong side this morning.

    Do you have a preferred choice of root vegetable to use as a ballistic weapon? Turnips are already taken.
    Not a fit person to be allowed near a turnip.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    tlg86 said:

    You know it's serious when the ONS feels the need to publish before the markets open.
    Indeed so. I also suspect that the revisions are going to make the numbers worse with time, rather than better as usually happens. Also remember that this is only the data until the end of March, Q2 is going to be a whole lot worse.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    Foxy said:

    I am fairly sceptical about public use of masks.

    There is a genuine issue of supply, and poor technique is very frequent.

    While they may have some benefit in preventing transmission, they have limited effect on protecting the individual.

    They are banned in non patient facing areas of our hospital (where social distancing is also problematic!).

    They do have 2 useful social effects though: to keep people mindful of other aspects of hygiene; and also do seem to give people the confidence to venture out into a hazardous environment. Both of these effects will be useful for normal service to resume in the economy.

    Yep, that makes sense. Again, in HK what seems to happen is that people wear them outside as a matter of course, but less so inside. In our office, apparently, just about everyone removes them once they are at their desks, though a few do not.

  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    Just got to work, no traffic whatsoever,no sign of a big return to work
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    TGOHF666 said:

    Looks like Sir Keith is now being forensically woke.

    ttps://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1260289651220320258?s=21

    I’d love to know how many non-Muslim politicians attending Iftar gatherings are actually doing the day’s fasting beforehand?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,240
    TGOHF666 said:

    Looks like Sir Keith is now being forensically woke.

    https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1260289651220320258?s=21

    I'm pretty sure you will find MPs from all parties taking part in this and, for that matter, all sorts of interfaith events throughout the year.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    It would be quite the break with precedent if Unionist parties stopped showing their decades long cowardice over looking at their own back-of-a-fag-packet convention.
    Imagine they had to show the real numbers instead of their pretendy ones.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,578
    malcolmg said:

    That is my breakfast back up then.
    I didn’t mean to cause you pain. Indeed, I hoped people would laugh and it would Gibson pleasure.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,311
    edited May 2020
    Andy_JS said:

    "Coronavirus: Second wave of deadly virus described as ‘very unlikely’ by Professor Hugh Pennington"

    https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/politics/scottish-politics/2175148/coronavirus-second-wave-of-deadly-virus-described-as-very-unlikely-by-expert/

    I am a bit doubtful over a second wave. All along we have been bedevilled by trying to stick to a Flu Plan, when this isn't the flu.

    I expect this to change from being epidemic to being endemic. The number of inpatients in my Trust has stuck at 150 odd for about 10 days, or 6 wards full. I suspect that will slowly reduce, but that we will smoulder on over most of the summer with patient 3-4 wards full, and 3 figure daily mortality nationally. I see this as one peak with a long fat tail.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,540

    Yep, that makes sense. Again, in HK what seems to happen is that people wear them outside as a matter of course, but less so inside. In our office, apparently, just about everyone removes them once they are at their desks, though a few do not.

    That's utterly ridiculous. Surely they should be worn inside more than outside?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,168

    A lot of that will be to do with when we went into full lockdown. It was basically the last week in March, wasn't it? Although clearly things had been slowing down before that.

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1260456279941709825
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,578
    malcolmg said:

    Imagine they had to show the real numbers instead of their pretendy ones.
    Now come on Malc. When has any economist or politician ever had real numbers to share on anything?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    Jesus Christ, I tell no word of a lie, this is my hometown. I know exactly where this was filmed. My other half knows the people!
    Spill the beans then , where is it.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    tlg86 said:

    That's utterly ridiculous. Surely they should be worn inside more than outside?

    Not according to Dr Fox.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,578
    edited May 2020
    tlg86 said:

    That's utterly ridiculous. Surely they should be worn inside more than outside?
    Speaking purely personally, as a deaf man who lip reads a lot it’s a right bloody pain to have everyone wearing face masks.

    Therefore, if they became entrenched in schools it would be impossible to do my job.

    Speaking of which, have a good morning.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109

    I would like to see the case for a more federal structure, but in the end it is up to the peoples of the various parts of these islands to determine their own futures. Those who want to keep the UK together need to do a far better job of selling that than they are doing at the moment. We do not have a written consitution that can keep the lid on separation, everything depends on consent. That, ultimately, is a good thing.

    Westminster will never ever go federal , they make wild promises ( ie lies ) when they are in trouble but always welch on it, just need to look at result after the referendum which they only won due to promising federalism and the gullible mugs fell for it only to be kicked in the face yet again.
    It will end up in an acrimonious break for certain.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    Scott_xP said:

    https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1260456279941709825

    What those numbers seem to indicate is how quickly things fall off a cliff once lockdown does kick in. The Q2 figures everywhere are going to be utterly horrific, except in China, where they will just be horrible. .

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    ydoethur said:

    Now come on Malc. When has any economist or politician ever had real numbers to share on anything?
    That is for sure , I would bet my shirt on them being unable to show any real numbers.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,168
    edited May 2020
    On taxes I'm with HYUFD on this one. Taxes are not going up before the next general election.

    They won't put up taxes while we're still dealing with the immediate Coronacrisis.

    They won't put up taxes immediately the medical crisis has passed, as they'll be focused on creating as complete an economic rebound as possible.

    They won't put up taxes in the period immediately before the next general election, because that would be politically courageous.

    Even on the most optimistic timescale for dealing with the virus and the economic recovery where is the window of opportunity to increase taxes before the spring 2024 general election?
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780

    I would like to see the case for a more federal structure, but in the end it is up to the peoples of the various parts of these islands to determine their own futures. Those who want to keep the UK together need to do a far better job of selling that than they are doing at the moment. We do not have a written consitution that can keep the lid on separation, everything depends on consent. That, ultimately, is a good thing.

    If you substituted "looser" for "more federal" and "the EU" for "the UK" and "these islands" would you stick by those principles?

    Not that I think that there's any chance of the EU slamming on the brakes to ever closer union, let alone reversing course. I think it will instead suffer further fragmentation as it tries to pursue that course with what's left becoming increasingly dysfunctional. There are many on the left who convinced themselves that it was better to stay in the EU and reform it, indulging in the fantasy that reform was possible rather than face up to a difficult choice.
  • TGOHF666TGOHF666 Posts: 2,052

    I'm pretty sure you will find MPs from all parties taking part in this and, for that matter, all sorts of interfaith events throughout the year.
    “Unlike most years”

    “Friends in the community “

    How many pious humblebrags can one tweet take ?

    Why not wish his constituents daft enough to believe in this nonsense a happy Hannukkah or whatever and move on ?

    Continuity Corbyn lives.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    F1: Sainz is 1.4 on Ladbrokes to be Ferrari's second 2021 driver. Ricciardo is 4.5.
  • coachcoach Posts: 250

    Hope this isn't true, it's about the only part of BBC tv that I can be arsed with.

    https://twitter.com/JANUSZCZAK/status/1260289666009509890?s=20

    If its true its because nobody watches it. Set up a pay to view arts channel rather than expect the rest of us to fund something that very few are interested in.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,697
    You can't trust the French, on the flip side I think I know how I'm getting to and back from my summer holiday.

    https://twitter.com/charleshymas/status/1260454560054808580
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,077
    tlg86 said:

    That's utterly ridiculous. Surely they should be worn inside more than outside?
    Agree, in Berlin it seems that almost everyone is wears masks when indoors but not at home, and make that 100% in hospitals, GPs practices and pharmacists. Go outdoors and this drops to less than 50% wearing masks.

    Mind you I have not seen whether people in normal offices are wearing masks the whole day.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,280
    malcolmg said:

    Spill the beans then , where is it.
    That`s brilliant. A welcome bit of hedonism.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,487
    The GDP means sod all right now, for reasons already stated by others.

    Dr. Foxy, reckon face coverings are useful or not when going out shopping (at neither a huge supermarket nor a pokey corner shop, but somewhere in between)?

    When I've been shopping the main measure I've taken is to properly wash my hands both before and after, as well as maintaining distance wherever possible.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017

    If you substituted "looser" for "more federal" and "the EU" for "the UK" and "these islands" would you stick by those principles?

    Not that I think that there's any chance of the EU slamming on the brakes to ever closer union, let alone reversing course. I think it will instead suffer further fragmentation as it tries to pursue that course with what's left becoming increasingly dysfunctional. There are many on the left who convinced themselves that it was better to stay in the EU and reform it, indulging in the fantasy that reform was possible rather than face up to a difficult choice.

    I am so over Brexit! I think it was in the UK's national interest to remain in the EU, but we always retained the right to leave and we did. I wish the case for remaining had been made better. It wasn't, so we are where we are.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,311
    tlg86 said:

    If they allowed fans to attend football, but only if they were wearing masks, I wouldn't go.
    I would.

    Indeed it wouldn't surprise me to see King Power branded facemasks with my new season ticket! Our Thai owners are great, but must be squeezed financially. Their business is Duty Free shops.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422

    You can't trust the French, on the flip side I think I know how I'm getting to and back from my summer holiday.

    If you're travelling outside France do you know how you are going to get back into it?
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Stocky said:

    That`s brilliant. A welcome bit of hedonism.
    Can someone summarise for those of us not willing to visually experience it?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Rating the pollsters.....I see Comedy Results appropriately ranked...

    https://twitter.com/326Pols/status/1260294587941359616?s=20
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    Scott_xP said:
    The economy dropping 5.8% in March, when lockdown began at the end of the month is kind of scary.

  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,280
    Foxy said:

    I am a bit doubtful over a second wave. All along we have been bedevilled by trying to stick to a Flu Plan, when this isn't the flu.

    I expect this to change from being epidemic to being endemic. The number of inpatients in my Trust has stuck at 150 odd for about 10 days, or 6 wards full. I suspect that will slowly reduce, but that we will smoulder on over most of the summer with patient 3-4 wards full, and 3 figure daily mortality nationally. I see this as one peak with a long fat tail.
    "I expect this to change from being epidemic to being endemic." I said that from day one. We`ve got to learn to live with this thing.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706

    You can't trust the French, on the flip side I think I know how I'm getting to and back from my summer holiday.

    https://twitter.com/charleshymas/status/1260454560054808580

    Perhaps France could close all their other borders under the emergency measures in Shengen :-)

    (Or not)
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,789
    Good to see England going back to work

    Someone has to pay so the Irish, Scots and Welsh can sit at home.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,240
    TGOHF666 said:

    “Unlike most years”

    “Friends in the community “

    How many pious humblebrags can one tweet take ?

    Why not wish his constituents daft enough to believe in this nonsense a happy Hannukkah or whatever and move on ?

    Continuity Corbyn lives.
    Because Hanukkah is the one near Christmas, and we have just had Pesach aka Passover aka the one near Easter.

    Clicking #HomeIftar in the embedded tweet brings up more, and three of the first four are from Brandon Lewis, Zac Goldsmith and Alan Mak from the blue team.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017

    Rating the pollsters.....I see Comedy Results appropriately ranked...

    https://twitter.com/326Pols/status/1260294587941359616?s=20

    How far ICM has fallen!

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Agree - I doubt its any more than a standard scoping exercise, the response will be deeply political:

    https://twitter.com/DuncanWeldon/status/1260464542871625728?s=20
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017

    Good to see England going back to work

    Someone has to pay so the Irish, Scots and Welsh can sit at home.

    Still very quiet in the Spa. Apropos of nothing, I queued for half an hour to get into the butchers on Saturday, then found out I had actually been in the queue for the coffee shop next door.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,697

    If you're travelling outside France do you know how you are going to get back into it?
    My summer holiday this year will be Blackpool, or if I'm feeling really adventurous, Leith.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,697

    How far ICM has fallen!

    Well ICM have never been the same since Martin Boon left to form Deltapoll.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,340
    TGOHF666 said:

    “Unlike most years”

    “Friends in the community “

    How many pious humblebrags can one tweet take ?

    Why not wish his constituents daft enough to believe in this nonsense a happy Hannukkah or whatever and move on ?

    Continuity Corbyn lives.
    5% of the UK is muslim. Starmer ignores them at his peril.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,540
    Foxy said:

    I would.

    Indeed it wouldn't surprise me to see King Power branded facemasks with my new season ticket! Our Thai owners are great, but must be squeezed financially. Their business is Duty Free shops.
    I don't expect to be faced with that choice anytime soon. London clubs won't be having fans at games for a long time.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,240
    Stocky said:

    "I expect this to change from being epidemic to being endemic." I said that from day one. We`ve got to learn to live with this thing.
    Trouble with living with it is that social distancing renders many social, cultural and commercial activities difficult if not impossible. We still need more research on how the coronavirus actually spreads rather than educated guesswork about how it might theoretically spread. In other words, what are the necessary precautions and which can we junk?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,789

    Still very quiet in the Spa. Apropos of nothing, I queued for half an hour to get into the butchers on Saturday, then found out I had actually been in the queue for the coffee shop next door.

    Deathly quiet my side of Warwickshire, nothing open bar the supermarkets. Though my local garage sells petrol at 95.7p,unfortunately there's nowhere to travel to.

    Mrs B desperate for the garden centres to open as it will give he something to do.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,280
    Freggles said:

    Can someone summarise for those of us not willing to visually experience it?
    Old woman wantonly and unnecessarily gets her massive floppy jugs out to much hilarity - a kind of hedonistic, symbolic VE Day tribute to those that perished.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,280

    Trouble with living with it is that social distancing renders many social, cultural and commercial activities difficult if not impossible. We still need more research on how the coronavirus actually spreads rather than educated guesswork about how it might theoretically spread. In other words, what are the necessary precautions and which can we junk?
    Agreed.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,240

    Still very quiet in the Spa. Apropos of nothing, I queued for half an hour to get into the butchers on Saturday, then found out I had actually been in the queue for the coffee shop next door.

    Losing your sense of smell is a symptom of Covid-19. :smile:
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,706
    TGOHF666 said:

    Looks like Sir Keith is now being forensically woke.

    https://twitter.com/keir_starmer/status/1260289651220320258?s=21

    Around here Ramadan started on 23rd April...
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    edited May 2020
    ERROR
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,340
    TGOHF666 said:



    Can someone summarise for those of us not willing to visually experience it?

    Bloated old she hun gets her dugs out causing distress to the viewer. Suspect drink had been taken.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,077
    Foxy said:

    I am a bit doubtful over a second wave. All along we have been bedevilled by trying to stick to a Flu Plan, when this isn't the flu.

    I expect this to change from being epidemic to being endemic. The number of inpatients in my Trust has stuck at 150 odd for about 10 days, or 6 wards full. I suspect that will slowly reduce, but that we will smoulder on over most of the summer with patient 3-4 wards full, and 3 figure daily mortality nationally. I see this as one peak with a long fat tail.
    I misunderstood what you meant at first by "I am a bit doubtful over a second wave". You're not meaning that this will die out in the next months, but that the "wave" aspect of the "second wave" won't be there.

    AFAIU a "second wave" will be a result of one of two things. One is that the contagiousness of this Corona virus rises and falls with the seasons/temperatures. I find this mostly based on optimism rather than evidence. So far the pattern of outbreaks seems to be related to socio-political rather than temperature. The second reason for a wave is relaxing too quickly after a strong lockdown. It seems so far that most European governments are keen to avoid going down this route.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017

    Deathly quiet my side of Warwickshire, nothing open bar the supermarkets. Though my local garage sells petrol at 95.7p,unfortunately there's nowhere to travel to.

    Mrs B desperate for the garden centres to open as it will give he something to do.

    I am still running on the tank I filled up at the start of March!

  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    Freggles said:

    Can someone summarise for those of us not willing to visually experience it?
    Some unionists having a street party and one of their grannies with breasts to her knees had them out and dancing to 17th century religious songs ( the breasts that is ) as they all cheered and sang.
  • northern_monkeynorthern_monkey Posts: 1,640
    malcolmg said:

    Spill the beans then , where is it.
    All I will say is that it is a small town in Yvette Cooper's constituency.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,613
    Scott_xP said:
    Which would make him a braver and more reasonable man than I'd credited him for. We will see. I expect fireworks over the triple lock.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,623

    You can't trust the French, on the flip side I think I know how I'm getting to and back from my summer holiday.

    https://twitter.com/charleshymas/status/1260454560054808580

    Does this apply to the Baltic States as well? They are planning to open their boundaries with each other.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,138
    R4 Grant Shapps says the crisis "has a long tail ahead of it".
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,109
    Stocky said:

    Old woman wantonly and unnecessarily gets her massive floppy jugs out to much hilarity - a kind of hedonistic, symbolic VE Day tribute to those that perished.
    It was for their 17th century hero
  • coachcoach Posts: 250
    Dura_Ace said:

    Bloated old she hun gets her dugs out causing distress to the viewer. Suspect drink had been taken.
    God forbid anybody should enjoy themselves while harming nobody else
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    TGOHF666 said:

    Looks like Sir Keith ... forensically woke

    Why do you persist in calling him that? It makes you look neither funny nor clever.

    p.s. That's an incorrect use of the word forensic.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,280

    All I will say is that it is a small town in Yvette Cooper's constituency.
    Is it Pontefract Road in Normanton?
This discussion has been closed.