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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him d

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    kamski said:

    When Tulsi Gabbard becomes president and starts meetings with Hindu prayers we'll have a chance to see if anyone mocks her
    Probably not. But we should hopefully get to a place where it would be just as comfortable to do so if people wanted to. Whether it would be funny either way bring a separate matter
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,083
    Sandpit said:

    The actual number of cases is coming down, or the growth rate of the number of cases is coming down? I suspect the latter.
    The way they are reporting the figures, the total number of cases cannot come down. You have to deduct the dead and the recovered to deduce the number of live infected cases.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    TOPPING said:

    You're very serious this morning.
    I'm serious every morning, as I'm not a morning person so I get grouchy.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    I think posting tweets from random doctors, curiously many of whom seem to be posting from Emilia Reggio, should receive the same amount of opprobrium as posting a tweet about Domino's Hawaiian Special.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,422
    HYUFD said:
    Blimey.

    Chancellor must do something for small businesses, especially pubs, cafes etc
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    kle4 said:

    I'm serious every morning, as I'm not a morning person so I get grouchy.
    Bah!
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited March 2020
    It seems unclear so far whether the situation in the original epicentre in Lombardy is finally beginning to stabilise or still getting worse, but the answer may obviously turn out to be very important.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    kamski said:

    Not sure about the UK, but Germany is still way too complacent. Everyone is just carrying on as normal.
    My wife (a senior doctor in a NRW emergency room) was in almost in tears yesterday arguing on the phone with her boss because she wants to test everyone who comes in with possible Coronavirus symptoms not just those with travel to "hotspots" or contact with known cases - which is what the RKI guidelines say. It's especially stupid because NRW itself is a by now pretty much a hotspot.
    One argument the hospital used is that if people are tested they have to be put in isolation until the result comes back, and there isn't enough space to put all those people in isolation. Which also seems stupid. The answer surely isn't to not test people.
    Thank you for this story.

    That argument from the hospital is just stupid. A person with mild symptoms who has been tested should be allowed to go home and self isolate there, at least until the result is known.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,220

    Blimey.

    Chancellor must do something for small businesses, especially pubs, cafes etc
    Anything for renters? Or are they expected to further subsidise the asset holders after a decade of QE?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Blimey.

    Chancellor must do something for small businesses, especially pubs, cafes etc
    A business rates holiday, and possibly an employer NI holiday for small businesses, are apparently being considered, from reports over the weekend.
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    TOPPING said:

    I think posting tweets from random doctors, curiously many of whom seem to be posting from Emilia Reggio, should receive the same amount of opprobrium as posting a tweet about Domino's Hawaiian Special.

    Really? Why should I trust your opinion on all things medical than a doctor in Italy?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,083
    Sandpit said:

    A business rates holiday, and possibly an employer NI holiday for small businesses, are apparently being considered, from reports over the weekend.
    Hammond was on the radio today floating an NI holiday
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,083

    Anything for renters? Or are they expected to further subsidise the asset holders after a decade of QE?
    Yes, in relation to the Italian announcement, it's worth noting that most families have a family home that they've had for generations that is free of any mortgage, and people in the cities mostly rent flats. I bet the number of mortgages is small compared to the UK, and it is odd that they have been singled out.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    eristdoof said:

    Really? Why should I trust your opinion on all things medical than a doctor in Italy?
    I'm not giving a medical opinion
  • eristdooferistdoof Posts: 5,076
    TOPPING said:

    I'm not giving a medical opinion
    Teling people to ignore medical advice is a type of medical advice!
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,454
    Mr. Borough, the self-employed with irregular incomes and who need to work in person (so remote working just isn't an option) like brickies and electricians etc are going to be amongst the trickiest groups.

    With a regular salary you can try and cover that, or a percentage of it. But if someone's weekly/monthly income varies a lot, being fair is much more difficult.

    Does remind me a bit of Ed Miliband's never-explained promise for the self-employed to also have workplace pensions.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    eristdoof said:

    Teling people to ignore medical advice is a type of medical advice!
    I am telling people to ignore Twitter, not medical advice.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537

    Probably not 60% !

    The only alcohol strong enough to be a disinfectant is things like Overproof Rum. Somehow I'm doubting that communion wine is as strong as Wray & Nephew's Overproof Rum.

    If it is, that's a religion I might be able to get into! ;)
    Bought some Bundaberg rum in Oz many years ago. Neat alcohol with a little Burnt Sugar colouring!
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,083
    NEW THREAD
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,319
    eristdoof said:

    Thank you for this story.

    That argument from the hospital is just stupid. A person with mild symptoms who has been tested should be allowed to go home and self isolate there, at least until the result is known.
    Yes, although some of these people have ended up in the emergency department because they do need treatment, whether or not they have coronavirus, so might not be appropriate to tell them to go home. But it should be possible to test them and decide which ones most need to be quarantined before the result.
  • GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    kamski said:

    Not sure about the UK, but Germany is still way too complacent. Everyone is just carrying on as normal.
    My wife (a senior doctor in a NRW emergency room) was in almost in tears yesterday arguing on the phone with her boss because she wants to test everyone who comes in with possible Coronavirus symptoms not just those with travel to "hotspots" or contact with known cases - which is what the RKI guidelines say. It's especially stupid because NRW itself is a by now pretty much a hotspot.
    One argument the hospital used is that if people are tested they have to be put in isolation until the result comes back, and there isn't enough space to put all those people in isolation. Which also seems stupid. The answer surely isn't to not test people.
    There is a pre-virus which has infected much of the Western world.

    The signs and symptoms of the pre-virus include: comparisons to normal cold and flu, an unrealistic confidence in the health care system, belief that these things don't happen over here and that the Italians/Chinese are thickies.

    In some carriers, the pre-virus rapidly switches to blind-panic and anger at why we weren't sufficiently prepared. In some others the pre-virus never progresses from the early signs and symptoms.

    Eventually the coronavirus starts doing its thing across everyone, irrespective of whether they had early signs and symptoms of the pre-virus.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,537
    edited March 2020
    kle4 said:

    Probably not. But we should hopefully get to a place where it would be just as comfortable to do so if people wanted to. Whether it would be funny either way bring a separate matter
    Many years ago the hospital where I was working employed a pre-registration pharmacy graduate who was a very devout Muslim, and insisted on 'prayer time'. We carefully explained the problems involved, but allowed him, and another Muslim whom he persuaded to support him, to have their times, in a storeroom which more or less faced East, but the time was knocked off otherwise allocated meal breaks.
    Seemed to work OK, but after he qualified he went elsewhere. Which wasn't unusual.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    IanB2 said:

    Yes, in relation to the Italian announcement, it's worth noting that most families have a family home that they've had for generations that is free of any mortgage, and people in the cities mostly rent flats. I bet the number of mortgages is small compared to the UK, and it is odd that they have been singled out.
    It costs the government nothing to tell banks to offer a moratorium on debt repayments. The banks won’t mind too much either, they’ll still be making interest on the missed payments.

    This is going to test the Euro to breaking point though.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Nate Silver is being accused of all sorts by Bernie Bros.

    https://twitter.com/AaronLangeTenor/status/1237259303309856768
    https://twitter.com/JPNessFant/status/1237262575907123200

    Seems they don't like his forecast much.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    What does she know?

    The decision to delay closing schools and introduce other strict measures to combat coronavirus has been defended by England's deputy chief medical officer.
    Dr Jenny Harries said experts are assessing new cases on an hourly basis to achieve a "balanced response".

    She told BBC Breakfast new measures could follow as UK cases begin to rise rapidly over the next two weeks. In the UK, five people with the virus have died. There were 319 confirmed cases as of 09:00 GMT on Monday.

    Dr Harries said the vast majority of those diagnosed with coronavirus in Britain are "pretty well" but that they may "feel rough for a few days".

    She said cancelling big outdoor events like football matches would not necessarily be guided by science. "The virus will not survive very long outside," she said. "Many outdoor events, particularly, are safe."


    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51812326

    Bring on the armchair epidemiologists, I say!

    I saw that interview on the Beeb this morning.

    Dr Harries strikes me as a serious person for a serious time. Very impressive.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,050
    TGOHF666 said:

    Eire and the West of Scotland have a he potential for the same effect.
    I doubt West of Scotland Catholic population is in any way comparable with those countries , will be miniscule in comparison.
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