politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UK total up 47 to 163
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » UK total up 47 to 163
Coronavirus: 47 new cases confirmed – taking UK total to 163 https://t.co/kqwvbw7xPU
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
But there may be some truth in it, that it is raising some awareness of hygiene (regarding fomites particularly).
On a similar habit-changing note, I'd be tempted to go on a corona-related anti-smoking drive if I was in power. If you catch this thing - and even vigilant hand-washing can't guarantee you will avoid it forever - you definitely want your lungs in the best possible shape, and even a couple of months off the cigarettes gives them a bit of recovery time. (Though whether or not that would be clinically significant I don't know...) The UK's remaining smokers seem to be a fairly change-resistant bunch so an additional prod to kick the habit wouldn't go amiss - the NHS claims smoking leads to 78,000 deaths per year so still an important issue!
I mean if we’re going to hell in a handcart why not make it fun and the chance to win money.
#IDoNotHaveAGamblingProblem
Then I remember I have a few underlying health issues that Covid-19 likes.
https://twitter.com/_b_meyer/status/1235885735074500608
Anyone know where I can get some handgel to get rid of the germs from hoping United wins a game?
Oh come on, you'd be gutted too.
Look at today's payrolls numbers.
He had the US economy just where he wanted it going into 2020.
And then something nobody could do anything about really hove into view.
I was really only posting that for the sake of a bad pun....
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1235938839434350598
Not least how many of the family's welded in to there blocks of flats are being tested, treated or recorded?
https://twitter.com/jamescrisp6/status/1235816306529587201?s=21
The relationship we have with China is one of the conversations we may be having if and when we get a handle on this.
Look at the large and growing tory Huawei rebellion in the tory ranks.
But TBF Trump has had a good run of the balls.
And who knows, perhaps the public over there will equate 'nasty foreign virus' with 'nasty foreign people' and instinctively want more Insularity and Walls.
Completely off-topic, but I used to do a fair bit of work in Tower Hamlets back when Lutfur Rahman was mayor. His glowing face would beam down on me (or at least a very large, smart photograph of it would) from the temporary walls around all the construction sites and reconstruction projects, from advertising hoardings and so on, all proclaiming the various forms of progress coming to the borough courtesy of "Lutfur Rhaman, Mayor of Tower Hamlets". To reiterate, these were not party-political ads, merely helpful messages of information brought to me via the generosity of Tower Hamlets council and its fortuitous taxpayers who were kindly picking up the tab for informing me.
Felt a lot like I had ventured to some rather less democratic country and was being confronted wherever I looked by The Boss himself.
Now I am not even a fan of what Guido (partisanly, naturally) reports as Sadiq Khan’s been usurping TfL’s political advertising ban for months by plastering his name all over GLA information posters and highlighting his single ticket price freeze policy, described in large wording on posters as “part of the commitment by the Mayor, Sadiq Khan to make travel in London more affordable” but at least that doesn't feature his beaming mugshot. Annoys me every time I use the Tube nonetheless.
This isn't a partisan thing, politicians of any stripe doing it would tick me off. And we don't seem to tolerate the equivalent from our national politicians. We don't see giant signs proclaiming "Welcome to Peterborough City Hospital, Brought To You By The Inspirational Leadership of Matt Hancock In Fulfilment of His Wise Manifesto Commitments matthancocksbenevolentcheesygrinbeamsdownuponyou.jpeg"
Images of Gavin Williamson do not adorn our classrooms, "Ben Wallace Woz Ere As Part Of His Profoundly Personal Mission To Protect You All" is not inscribed upon the side of our tanks and frigates. We just wouldn't have it.
Yet Mayors now seem to be springing up everywhere, even of places that sound rather more like they should have a County Council Senior Officer than a Super Mayor. All the parties seem rather too enamoured with the concept and I fear it is going to make administrative politics ever more personal.
Is there any way we could depersonalise things to, maybe, "The Office of The Mayor Of London has committed to making travel affordable" and take names out of the stuff the public are paying for?
Do you have any more evidence of it ?
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.04.20031112v1.full.pdf
...Our findings indicate key pieces of information that are still required to know how the current SARS-CoV-2 outbreak will unfold. Most crucially, longitudinal serological studies from patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 could indicate whether or not immunity wanes, and at what rate. According to our projections, this rate is the key modulator of the total SARS-CoV-2 incidence in the coming years. While long-lasting immunity would lead to lower overall incidence of infection, it would also complicate vaccine efficacy trials by contributing to low case numbers when those trials are conducted, as occurred with Zika virus (31). Furthermore, our findings underscore the need to maintain SARS-CoV-2 surveillance even if the outbreak appears to die out after the first pandemic wave, as a resurgence in infection could be possible as late as 2025.
In summary, the total incidence of COVID-19 illness over the next five years will depend critically upon whether or not it enters into regular circulation after the initial pandemic wave, which in turn depends primarily upon the duration of immunity that SARS-CoV-2 infection imparts. The intensity and timing of pandemic and post-pandemic outbreaks will depend on the time of year when widespread SARS-CoV-2 infection becomes established and, to a lesser degree, upon the magnitude of seasonal variation in transmissibility and the level of cross- immunity that exists between the betacoronaviruses. Longitudinal serological studies are urgently required to determine the duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2, and epidemiological surveillance should be maintained in the coming years to anticipate the possibility of resurgence...
Very good point indeed and I totally agree. Elevation of the politician over policy is fascist. Also hate the fetishization of the People. For example, the "People's Government" attempted branding of this administration. That is fascist too.
"Boris" and his "People's Government".
No. No.
Edit: Yes!! See above. Craig Brown (the satirist, not the football manager) used to skewer Tony Blair over this, inserting "People's" all over the place in his versions of Blair's speeches.
Can you use it as after shave?
I'd strongly argue the case for fewer data.
'Avoid visiting elderly relatives' - Macron
On Friday, the French president called on people in France to limit trips to homes for the elderly.
"We must avoid visiting our elderly relatives as much as possible," Emmanuel Macron said on a visit to a retirement home in Paris.
Er?.... Presumably if they are not your relatives and you need a photo-opportunity it's just fine.
Alternatively, surely real aftershave will kill covid-19 too?
BTW in response to other posts about China's numbers and accuracy.
I understand that outside Hubei province they only test if there is a proven travel history involving Hubei.... now Hubei is locked down and this will exclude community outbreaks......
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8082899/Doctor-says-pandemic-quite-useful-killing-bed-blockers.html
But "People's Government" is a bit more (potentially) sinister than crass, self-serving euphemism.
I do not like it. It's not cricket.
That kills ALL known germs ... DEAD.
The problem is people looking at the data and trying to extrapolate and/or getting excited over small variations from that trend in either direction (these are still, statistically, small numbers from a random process, so noisy).
I think they're getting this right.
Moving from the medical to the economic, how is the coronavirus going to impact the economy in the next 6-12 months?
Flash data for February will no doubt start to tell a story of sorts though today's payroll data from the US was very strong.
What will it mean for Sunak and his economic plans? Back in 2008, Brown was derailed because his grandiose spending plans relied not only on borrowing but on strong growth to keep the revenue side strong primarily through tax receipts.
When the economy essentially stopped with the lack of liquidity in the banking sector and all that didn't flow, the collapse in income tax, VAT and corporation tax receipts was rapid and dramatic and left Brown's spending plans to be financed only by more borrowing.
The 2010 solution to the escalating deficit was to cut £5 of spending for every £1 raised by additional taxes.
In 2020, Sunak's problem stems from the notion the economy needs as such stimulus as possible to offset any potential economic dislocation resulting from our exit of the EU to WTO rules at the end of the year. Hence big capital spending projects and the like to create work to get in taxes - Keynes would be proud.
The problem is what will happen if the economy freezes up because of supply issues from abroad and sickness at home. It's entirely possible the dislocation will be temporary but could be severe.
The risk is the interruption to revenue will force deficit expenditure higher (with additional expenditure likely to be incurred combating the coronavirus) so a higher debt meaning more borrowing.
Will this mean capital expenditure projects are put on hold for 6-12 months or will we be looking at tax cuts to try to re-stimulate the economy (not effective in this situation) or tax rises? It's a dilemma and I suspect even by Budget time Sunak won't have real clarity as to the impacts of this "black swan" event.
See also: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Of course I know it's not the full picture - there will an unknown number of unreported infections, and probably unreported deaths too. But still, them's the numbers we have.
PS: We also don't know how many of the cutrrently unrecovered cases will result in further deaths.
https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1235946635047374849?s=20
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1235952805581447173?s=20
We’re seeing a political obituary written tweet by tweet
At least dogs are taking this virus risk seriously. But are their owners also going to cancel?
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2020/mar/06/crufts-brexit-fewer-dogs-kennel-club
One billion Android devices at risk of hacking
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-51751950
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ryanhatesthis/trump-supporters-coronavirus-deep-state-qanon
I don't agree with his rationale as to why the right has produced such poor satire of the left. I think it's simply a matter of the quality of the writers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MxJDobrrOYA
The unnamed patient in his 80s is thought to have succumbed to COVID-19 last night while being treated at Milton Keynes Hospital, Bucks.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/coronavirus-uk-news-cases-latest-update-covid-19-live/
4:00pm
Fifth person dies in Spain
A fifth patient has died from Covid-19 in Spain as the number of people infected with coronavirus jumped overnight by 102 case to 365, according to the country’s health officials.
All the victims so far in the country have been people in high-risk categories, elderly or suffering from a pre-existing condition, AFP quoted Fernando Simon of the Spanish health ministry as saying.
Madrid and the surrounding area has the highest concentration of cases, at 137, after health officials found clusters at two elderly care centres. Both have since been closed.
3:58pm
Coronavirus is unlikely to disappear in summer, says WHO
Speaking at the World Health Organization's daily briefing, Dr Mike Ryan said it is "a false hope" that coronavirus will just disappear in the summer like flu.
The James O'Brien critique of "Patriotic Breakfast" earlier this week is one that bugged me. I dont know of anyone who really thinks Brexit means the UK becoming a self sufficient nation like Tom and Barbara from The Good Life, where any non UK products are prohibited. I reckon O'Brien is probably clever enough to know that, his schooling cost enough, yet he went in feet first in the manner of a Brexiteer convinced that remaining a member of the EU meant compulsory German lessons, and people lapped it up
I actually spoke to him on the phone a few years ago, and when I started to rubbish Russell Brand, who he had clashed with many times on tv around that time, he started to be a lot more positive about RB than I had ever heard him before! So, a contrarian no doubt.
https://twitter.com/IpsosMORI/status/1235961685611024390?s=20
This is just irresponsible nonsense and it does make you wonder what happens when reality kicks in
Another Princess ship of the coast of California is in quarantine and prohibited from landing with over 2,000 guests on board. I really would not book a cruise at present under any circumstances
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1235963710939844610?s=20