politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s quitting but not quite yet as Blair’s old seat goes t

speedy2 said:

numbertwelve said:

When was the last time a leader of the 3 parties lost their seat?

1935
Liberals again.

They did it several times - 1918, 1924, 1935 and 1945.

Lab holding Reading East while losing circa 100 seats is a great example of the re-alignment going on.

Pulpstar said:

Belfast going really really badly for DUP

DUP held East Belfast

HYUFD said:

Gabs3 said:

speedy2 said:

So who is going to be next LD leader?

Ed Davey is deputy.

Layla Moran more likely

Oh God, really? How awful.

Question to LibDem members who had a vote - think what tonight could have been HAD YOU VOTED FOR ED DAVEY

rcs1000 said:

HYUFD said:

Gabs3 said:

speedy2 said:

So who is going to be next LD leader?

Ed Davey is deputy.

Layla Moran more likely

I think the LDs would be wise to look to Luciana, if she's elected.

Yes please.

numbertwelve said:

When was the last time a leader of the 3 parties lost their seat?

Are the Liberal Democrats one of the 3 parties still? Surely the SNP are the third party?

I think Pidcock losing might be a blessing for Labour in the same way that Benn losing Bristol E was in 83. Means there is no clear Corbynite heir apparent now.

Gabs3 said:

rcs1000 said:

Artist said:

Why didn't Scottish Tories save Swinson

I think it was the foolishness of the "revoke" policy. If the LDs had gone on "Bollocks to Brexit but it must be via a referendum on Deal vs Revoke" then they would have kept soft Tories on side.

The whole bollocks to Brexit slogan undermined their attempt to be the adult in the room.

No, it was ruling out working with Labour to force revocation and a snap election.

And hair.

CON HOLD WIMBLEDON

Wimbledon Con hold

Con +34 already

Forecast +47 looks low

Though lots of Scotland to come

Tories have a 9-point lead in GB so far, and there are many rural Tory seats to come.

Philip_Thompson said:

numbertwelve said:

When was the last time a leader of the 3 parties lost their seat?

Are the Liberal Democrats one of the 3 parties still? Surely the SNP are the third party?

The LDs will get 2.5x the SNP's votes.

Not a good look from Sturgeon there.

rcs1000 said:

Philip_Thompson said:

numbertwelve said:

When was the last time a leader of the 3 parties lost their seat?

Are the Liberal Democrats one of the 3 parties still? Surely the SNP are the third party?

The LDs will get 2.5x the SNP's votes.

But not seats.

HYUFD said:

Gabs3 said:

speedy2 said:

So who is going to be next LD leader?

Ed Davey is deputy.

Layla Moran more likely

I don't think so. Ed Davey is deputy so gets the post for now. Lets see how things go over the next months before deciding. There is no hurry and Davey is a strong performer.

Pity, I quite liked Jo, but she was a bit too inexperienced. Good speech, and right that many on both sides of the border are fearful.

St Alban's Kerching !

The vote shares seem to settle at:
CON 45
LAB 33
LD 11
BRX 3
GRN 3

Opinium might win the award of best pollster of the election.
Mori, Deltapoll, Survation and Kantar were also very very close.

Lol, Jeremy's Chosen One loses her own seat! Bye bye Laura, you won't be missed.

Labour hold Enfield Southgate

Mansfield Con hold

RochdalePioneers said:

Question to LibDem members who had a vote - think what tonight could have been HAD YOU VOTED FOR ED DAVEY

Ed Davey would have run a more sensible, defensive campaign. It would have been far less about the personality of Ms Swinson, and it would have avoided the foolishness of the Revoke policy. (Which gained them exactly no votes, and lost them a bunch.)

But he would still have been squeezed. The LDs would have gotten 15% rather than 11-12%, and would have got 18 seats rather than 12-13.

Who is this lunatic talking about Corbyn being a success?

Bob__Sykes said:

Big 5k Tory majority in Berwickshire R&S.

Exit poll forecast said too close to call, leaning Tory.

Hope for other Tory holds then?

I did say! Calum Kerr was a good candidate, but Tory vote very solid in BRS.

Foxy said:

HYUFD said:

Gabs3 said:

speedy2 said:

So who is going to be next LD leader?

Ed Davey is deputy.

Layla Moran more likely

I don't think so. Ed Davey is deputy so gets the post for now. Lets see how things go over the next months before deciding. There is no hurry and Davey is a strong performer.

Pity, I quite liked Jo, but she was a bit too inexperienced.

To be honest, it had to be Jo last time. I hate this fact but the Lib Dems had to vote for a female leader. Now it's been done (and Labour will have the same issue by the way) the next leader can be voted for on their merits and not just because of their gender.

Bob__Sykes said:

Big 5k Tory majority in Berwickshire R&S.

Exit poll forecast said too close to call, leaning Tory.

Hope for other Tory holds then?

Banf, West Aberdeenshire, Dumfriesshire maybe Dumfries.

I think Paul Mason could do with a lie down.

Bolsover?? What’s going on there?

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

I think Paul Mason could do with a lie down.

Oh, is that who it is?

Andy_JS said:

Tories get twice as many votes as Labour in Bassetlaw.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000546

That is utterly huge

ydoethur said:

Fleet_of_Worlds said:

I think Paul Mason could do with a lie down.

Oh, is that who it is?

Yup

2 recounts in Coventry

Good God:

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205336087465463808

FrancisUrquhart said:

More bitter than Jezza....

https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1205262038945140736

As lies go, that’s as unconvincing as Jeffrey Archer’s defence.

ozymandias said:

Bolsover?? What’s going on there?

They've always been very slow counters there.

tlg86 said:

Good God:

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205336087465463808

lol

Artist said:

Still no Pidcock footage.

Has Pidcock's seat actually declared?

Brom said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

More bitter than Jezza....

https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1205262038945140736

Complete idiot, not sure if he posts on ukpolling but he just sets out to mislead and get lucky. Sucked a lot of fools in.

He had a rather nasty meltdown one night. The mask slipped, a bit like Jezza.

Pidcock lost by 1,144 votes.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000856

FrancisUrquhart said:

Brom said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

More bitter than Jezza....

https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1205262038945140736

Complete idiot, not sure if he posts on ukpolling but he just sets out to mislead and get lucky. Sucked a lot of fools in.

He had a rather nasty meltdown one night. The mask slipped, a bit like Jezza.

I’m enjoying some of the meltdowns. Tonight feels like a weight lifted off my shoulders. Don’t even care most of my bets lost!

ozymandias said:

Bolsover?? What’s going on there?

Dunno

Itv coverage good

Andy_JS said:

Pidcock lost by 1,144 votes.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000856

*Mr Burns voice, rubbing hands together*

Excellent

Brom said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

Brom said:

FrancisUrquhart said:

More bitter than Jezza....

https://twitter.com/centrist_phone/status/1205262038945140736

Complete idiot, not sure if he posts on ukpolling but he just sets out to mislead and get lucky. Sucked a lot of fools in.

He had a rather nasty meltdown one night. The mask slipped, a bit like Jezza.

I’m enjoying some of the meltdowns. Tonight feels like a weight lifted off my shoulders. Don’t even care most of my bets lost!

The only disappointment is I put in all this work on this live data stuff, expecting it to be close and lots of betting opportunities.

RobD said:

Andy_JS said:

Tories get twice as many votes as Labour in Bassetlaw.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000546

That is utterly huge

The Corbynites ousted the CLP's choice of candidate, if you remember, and installed some zoomer.

A lot of their activists sat it out.

Labour hold Cambridge easily

RobD said:

tlg86 said:

Good God:

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1205336087465463808

lol

great result for my fantasy election XI

Artist said:

North West Durham obviously didn't want a Corbyn loving, socialist MP.

Remember when she cried at the manifesto launch? Divot.