politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A big rumour to get everyone going before the exit poll at 10p

Pulpstar said:

Time for one last evacuation before the exit.

Too much info Pulps

egg said:

Right I’m calling it. The poll average is nearly ten. It’s something close to a landslide.
Calling all Tories. Well done.
Fine win, fought and won fair and square on right issues of health, education and improving the lot of the poorer in our society, hence you have won them over - they turned out to vote for you in droves; you deserve the chance to govern. But this isn’t the end of the hard work, just the start, isn’t it?

You now have some of the poorest most disadvantaged in our society placing their trust and hope in your promises and your Brexit, brexit to free us from the wasteful costs of being in EU, free that money to health, 40 more hospitals opening not more closures, a one nation Brexit not merely making Mogg, Baker and Tory donors much richer, and the UK’s long lost freedom bringing growth and hundreds of billions of inward investment to improve the lives of voters feeling forgotten and ignored for so long.

Not one of these voters expects marvels overnight, but once out the free market that allowed millions of foreigners to just walk in and stay, at last there will be control of immigration so public services will improve, there will be more homes for voters children and grandchildren.

And a new, exciting Prime Minister very different from the out of touch, untrustworthy and economically illiterate buffoon Corbyn would have been.

Don’t let these people down, will you?

I’m off now. See you over the holidays.

Have a good night.

Fair points

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

If it's on Radio 5, I think that would be the fastest?

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

Analog radio will save you a few milliseconds.

Waiting for Bercow face...he won't be able to hide if he knows it.

Smug = Hung Parliament
Face like Thunder = Solid Tory Majority

Pound shooting up

FrancisUrquhart said:

Time_to_Leave said:

You have to admire the integrity of the exit poll guys. I’d be placing thousands.

My understanding is only 3 people actually know the result though (is that correct)? And they all make a career of doing that. They would never work again if they leaked it.

That makes sense.

DavidL said:

Seriously does anyone know if the exit poll will be on R5?

They won't reveal it any earlier than the other shows, at 10pm.

TommyShelby said:

Bernie sanders will watching the result with interest tonight. Bernie and the progressives in America are watching as we speak.

I'd seriously consider voting for Sanders as he does actually want to go after billionaires and not anyone with more than 250 odd k in assets as Labour here do. There is light years between him and Corbyn

BONG minus 10 mins!

I did say yesterday, the difference in the polling was Labour on 32-33% or 35-36%. If the later and Tory can't get a majority.

Worth noting that the last two GE exit polls slightly underestimated the final number of Con seats, as I recall.

Foxy said:

Worth noting that the last two GE exit polls slightly underestimated the final number of Con seats, as I recall.

Thanks in advance for those straws.

Casino_Royale said:

Tense.

Serene.

36.2 won’t be a hung parliament particularly if their vote is up in safe seats. I predicted they would get around this but I also think Con over 43

Mysticrose said:

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

If the Conservatives are on 43/44 that would give a result like 1979.

Mysticrose said:

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

The fact that they go to even I decimal shows that it is rubbish I can’t see how they can calculate that from turnout at polling stations unless they did their own exit poll.

CorrectHorseBattery said:

https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1205243478768263168

Hey-ho, my prediction could be in exactly the right zone if that's right.

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

BBC News Channel live on iPlayer?

FrancisUrquhart said:

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

BBC News Channel live on iPlayer?

I thought that was delayed?

By like two minutes

RobinWiggs said:

Mysticrose said:

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

Fuck..... surely not. I was calm again until then....

If TND is correct 3.9 is a cracking NOM BET

C'mon you Great British people. Connect to your better side and kick this awful man out! 🙏

rcs1000 said:

Drutt said:

DISASTER. Just got to the cottage and the telly is down - probably the weather but no signal. No Sky in the Fire Stick so will miss Bercow looking glum.

Polling station anecdote. Just me and a bloke I kind of vaguely know in there, and the same polling and presiding officers there always are, one of whom I know professionally, although that was about six years ago.
Me, like a complete dick: "Thank you for staying open just for us!"
presiding officer, wearily "have you got your polling card"
Etc.
Anyway, went outside and there was a guy parking his range rover pretty much sideways across a one way street.

Important details from your man on the ground in North Cornwall (Con 1/3, LD 2/1)

Anyone who put money on the LDs in North Cornwall is an idiot.

Nothing like Radio 4 when all else fails.

FrancisUrquhart said:

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

BBC News Channel live on iPlayer?

I thought that was delayed?

Analog radio?

If the Tories win a majority of say 10, it is still going to be a huge amount of stalemate for everything.

Mysticrose said:

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

The decimal place tells you this is nonsense

My prediction

Tories 360
Labour 212
SNP 42
Libdem 13

FrancisUrquhart said:

AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

BBC News Channel live on iPlayer?

I thought that was delayed?

Least delayed

Analog radio
Digital tv
Digital radio
Internet

Most delayed

I am ready, man! Ready to get it on!

IanB2 said:

Mysticrose said:

https://twitter.com/tnewtondunn/status/1205242626548674563?s=20

The decimal place tells you this is nonsense

Phew. Calm again.

Sky Youtube stream 25 seconds behind the clock on the screen.

MilesPartridge said:

Can i just leave a thank you to all the editors and contributors of Political Betting, your hard work if truly fantastic at times like this.

Nahh, we're shit really. But thank you...

Are they using the 2017 credits? Rubbish.

Good to see the old music back

viewcode said:

I gotta go pee. Tell Curtice to wait ten minutes. I'm sure he won;t mind

Get your prostrate checked if it takes that long!

viewcode said:

I gotta go pee. Tell Curtice to wait ten minutes. I'm sure he won;t mind

Fecking hell? How long does it take you to pee?

I must admit I'll struggle to contain some smugness if my revised 0-15 prediction comes in.

Oh no not Jeremy Bloody Vine.

CNN on local cable about 20 seconds behind. Getting slowly closer to real time.

I think I prefer Richard Quest to John Bercow.

RobD said:

Philip_Thompson said:

What's the best way to stream the exit poll live without delays?

If it's on Radio 5, I think that would be the fastest?

Nick Eardley (BBC) says exit poll on Radio 5 at 10pm.

I'll go for a Tory maj of 50.

Tory landslide. Overall majority of 120. Election after election, they say there has been a massive turnout and it usually comes to naught.

No Maitliss
And the map is back outside Broadcasting House

no idea maybe hp

I’m getting flashbacks to 2017