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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A big rumour to get everyone going before the exit poll at 10p

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,424
    CorrectHorseBattery said:

    If this is right, Corbyn has to resign immediately.

    Along with the rest of the Shadow Cabinet.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,814
    Can we just take a moment to give a huge round of applause for Robert Smithson? Pretty much called it on the nose.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,231
    ralphmalph said:

    MarqueeMark said:

    SNP 55!

    Means Swinson gone,
    The LDs have lucked out, then.

    The irony is that Tory Leave voters in East Dumbartonshire now may end up out of the UK and in the EU.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Foxy said:

    looks like no reverse ferret needed by Foxy,

    360/201/42/21 not too far out.

    I thought SNP would do well so should be some good constituency bets there, sadly including East Dunbartonshire.

    Looks like Indy Scotland nailed on now.

    Good shout Foxy

    Shame about the Lib Dems though - I would love to see them become the opposition - I could vote for them
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    Well, that is the UK f****d
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,609
    Fenster said:

    - Two Mayoral wins in lefty London
    - A Brexit win against the establishment
    - A big majority in the face of widespread tactical voting

    You've got to hand it to Boris.

    I was REALLY worried about tactical voting.

    But those results in deep Labour-land are going to be horrific for them.

    Heh!
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    AramintaMoonbeamQC said:

    tlg86 said:

    SWINSON gone?!

    If its 55, she's toast.

    Holy hell, a night of Portillo moments.

    Also, what if Boris loses in Uxbridge?
    Boris safe. 2017: 5,000maj 2019: 8,000 maj
  • JBriskinindyref2JBriskinindyref2 Posts: 1,775
    Foxy said:



    Looks like Indy Scotland nailed on now.


    Nope SNP still below their high point - it s just what happens with a split unionist vote
  • dellertronicdellertronic Posts: 133
    Casino_Royale said:

    Sean_F said:

    MarqueeMark said:

    SNP 55!

    Not good. It implies intense bitterness between England and Scotland.
    It means the Union probably won’t last.
    Good
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    What's amazing is that the Tories must have eaten quite a few losses in Scotland for the SNP to be on 55. Those have been made up _massively_ in England …... Sunderland Central anyone?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,123
    RobD said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    I think we have safely say Labour aren't on 36%.

    Interesting that Thrasher said Tories were winning from pretty much straight out the gate.

    You okay, hun? :)

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,113
    CorrectHorseBattery said:

    If this is right, Corbyn has to resign immediately.

    Beth Rigby of Sky just said so
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    NEW THREAD (although not yet on vanilla!)
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    speedy2 said:

    Remainer seats voted LAB LD SNP.
    Leaver seats voted CON.

    As simple as that.

    That 52/48 was very efficient.

    Yes, the failure to co-operate between Liberals and Labour looked disastrous from the start. Corbyn and Swinson would share responsibility for that, if this is correct - and both be rapidly disappeared stage right.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited December 2019
    I'm not totally surprised by the result except for the Scottish bit, which seems weird given all the polling we have seen.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Con 100 majority and Scotland gone would be a perfect storm.

    RIP Corbynism.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    RobD said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    I think we have safely say Labour aren't on 36%.

    Interesting that Thrasher said Tories were winning from pretty much straight out the gate.

    You okay, hun? :)

    Love it!
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    I bet Layla has thrown her laptop at something!
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    A lot of the exit poll constituency predictions were wrong last time I remember
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    Sedgefield and Hartlepool. Jesus wept.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    Pressure for ScotRef 2 will be intense.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    TOPPING said:

    kingbongo said:

    ahahahahaha marxist racists fucked ahahahaha best news of the decade - fewer Cummings jokes in future - thought I didn't care but I do - almost lost trust in the british public but should have known better

    Yes. Yes. Yes.

    Anti-semitic racist fucker out on his ear and rightly so. Go hang your head in shame you anti Semitic sympathising arseholes.

    The country is a million miles better than you.
    Well said sir, well said
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    AlastairMeeks said:

    Byronic said:

    AlastairMeeks said:

    Democracy in this country was nice while it lasted. It won’t be recognisable in five years’ time as such with this mob.

    hahahaha
    We’ve already seen this government launch a full frontal assault on democracy when it didn’t have a majority. Once it has full command of the levers, it will convert Britain into a Hungarian-style pseudo-democracy.
    Well you live in Hungary so you've clearly no problem with that
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,291
    Wonder whether Labour is starting to regret not passing Theresa's deal now... ;)
  • kjohnw1kjohnw1 Posts: 95
    said it would be a 1935 result 😀
  • nunu2nunu2 Posts: 1,453
    ydoethur said:

    Priti Patel looking truly unbearably smug.

    C’mon voters of Uxbridge, do your duty.

    We Leavers will be smug. We have a right to be.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Fair play to Boris and Cummings.

    Tactics and messaging spot on. As evidenced by the likely results.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    And Durham NW
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    55? Errr... please give me permission to await a real result or two.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,729
    Big_G_NorthWales said:

    CorrectHorseBattery said:

    If this is right, Corbyn has to resign immediately.

    Beth Rigby of Sky just said so
    Its only one head of the many headed monster
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
    NEW THREAD
  • nunu2nunu2 Posts: 1,453
    Take that Remainiacs. Fuck you! Just fuck you.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Con 368
    Lab 191

    Bang on my forecast.

    :smiley:
    That's why he's paid the big bucks.

    I promise you I genuinely don't have enough beer for tonight. Torn between (1) braving a force 10 storm to the pub until closing to preserve stocks and (2) endlessly refreshing the 'literally shaking' levels of internet autism on my FB timeline.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited December 2019
    Exit poll says LD lose all Scottish seats including Orkney.

    In 2015 it was also predicted to fall as the only seat not falling to the SNP.
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    Floater said:

    Ha ha ha Bercow - he is hating it

    it's a joy to watch his face
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,880
    2019 ELBOW compared to 2017 ELBOW

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/1205146378135101440

    https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/872797587413360640
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    In terms de Gaulle would understand: we’ve chosen the open sea.

    If this is right please for the good of us all can the Labour Party elect someone sensible now or half the MPs bugger off and set a new party up on masse.

    That would be a real victory for all of us.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    nunu2 said:

    Take that Remainiacs. Fuck you! Just fuck you.

    The route to messing up this country, and this site.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Barry Gardiner on Sky - you know its shit then
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    So Boris is keeping his seat then, yeah?
  • LucyMoralesLucyMorales Posts: 45
    I wonder if Swinson regrets demanding the election.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,864
    SNP on 55? Fuck.
  • dellertronicdellertronic Posts: 133
    Philip_Thompson said:

    Con 100 majority and Scotland gone would be a perfect storm.

    RIP Corbynism.

    Con 100 and Scotland gone would be perfect
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951
    Jonathan said:

    Pressure for ScotRef 2 will be intense.

    The fastest way to Scottish independence is to let the English have a vote on it.

    Doubly so after tonight.
  • kingbongokingbongo Posts: 393
    GIN1138 said:

    Wonder whether Labour is starting to regret not passing Theresa's deal now... ;)

    hehe
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,222
    edited December 2019
    LucyMorales said:

    I wonder if Swinson regrets demanding the election.

    Well, they were riding high at the time. I`m hoping LDs get more than 13 seats (as predicted by exit poll). A crumb of comfort will be if the party achieves second place in many more constituencies to provide a platform from which to build.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,222
    SNP 55! This will sink my SNP Over/Under bets.
  • TommyShelbyTommyShelby Posts: 24
    I’m leaving the country.

    Thank you Jo Swinson
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    GIN1138 said:

    Wonder whether Labour is starting to regret not passing Theresa's deal now... ;)

    If they had they'd have been competitive in 2022. Now they're uncompetitive, and waiting until 2024.
This discussion has been closed.