There's a right wing/pro Brexit vote of 50% in this seat. This rumour should be ignored.
Yeah, but the guy isn't popular, SeanF. He was a dishonest Mayor with a very indifferent track record. Londoners tend to remember that sort of thing.
I really wouldn't be that surprised if he lost. If the overall result is fairly close - say Tories in with a majority of 20 to 40, I'm not sure he would scrape through.
Seriously.
Uxbridge is not representative of London. I'm not saying that Conservative majority/Johnson defeat does not have something to be said for it, but it won't happen.
I would focus on the 2. The one you tried to get rid of in Edinburgh and the lucky sod in Kirkcaldy where the SNP candidate proved even more repugnant than usual.
10 seems somewhat fanciful, given last night's Survation. and, y'know, reality.
I’d never be able to look my children in the eye if I did!
You'll have a harder time explaining why you were happy to load hundreds of billions of pounds of YOUR spending on to their (and their childrens) future taxes.
I wasn’t but then I never saw it as a binary choice between two incompetent liers
The other thing that helps Boris is the sheer number of candidates. If Buckethead and Binface pick up 300 votes between them that is 300 that haven't gone to Labour
That is correct. A lot of candidates will split the protest vote.
Yes, there's a lot of competition for the buffoon vote in Uxbridge.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
Sources (twitter journalists) Tories leading in Dagenham, Putney, Chingford, Wimbledon. Diverting resources to Battersea from Putney. Bishop Auckland is a ‘cast iron gain’. Rother Valley, Derby North, Bolsover and Bassetlaw will go blue. West Midlands - tough fight in Birmingham northfield and two Coventry seats.
Labour - Paul sweeney looks doomed in Glasgow northeast. Watford, Battersea, Uxbridge, Chingford, Enfield Finchley and Kensington are where they still are canvassing. Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well. Stroud looks bad for labour due to split vote.
Paul Sweeney was sounding a bit demented on LBC last night, so I would think he's almost certainly out.
That commentary doesn't really scream "landslide" to me
Eh? I'm not a Tory, I'm an SNP voter in rural Scotland. Just trying to help prepare you for Paul Sweeney, a fairly unpopular MP up here, losing his seat.
Oh, one more anecdote for the pile. I asked the opinion of The Oracle on this election this morning (The Oracle is a stranger to PB but managed to call Trump, Brexit and the 2017 Hung Parliament correctly.)
Even he wasn't sure this time. Said that Labour might do surprisingly well, but qualified this with the statement that he was probably just being contrary to the polls for the sake of it. The Oracle pays little attention to the polls, but was dimly aware that they were meant to be showing some sort of Tory lead. After I gave a brief rundown of the polls he ventured the suggestion that we might be headed for another Hung Parliament, but without any degree of conviction.
If even The Oracle is unsure about this election then a very odd tale could be about to unfold.
Why the fuck does anyone in this benighted country ever travel by train? The useless bastards have delayed my train so that I won’t be at home by the exit poll. I hate them. Yes I may have had a drink. But it does not excuse their incompetence.
Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well.
There's both tory and labour seats there. Do you mean the incumbents there are all likely to hold their seats, or that the tories are performing well in all 4 and thus could take High Peak and Grimsby?
I would focus on the 2. The one you tried to get rid of in Edinburgh and the lucky sod in Kirkcaldy where the SNP candidate proved even more repugnant than usual.
10 seems somewhat fanciful, given last night's Survation. and, y'know, reality.
2 is bloody fortunate and requires a degree of rationality on the part of SNP supporters which the evidence does not warrant. It may not happen.
I discovered a friend of mine had voted SNP today in the borders on a tactical basis to defeat a Tory on the basis that he was crap. Like that is any excuse. He's still a friend. Just.
Oh, one more anecdote for the pile. I asked the opinion of The Oracle on this election this morning (The Oracle is a stranger to PB but managed to call Trump, Brexit and the 2017 Hung Parliament correctly.)
Even he wasn't sure this time. Said that Labour might do surprisingly well, but qualified this with the statement that he was probably just being contrary to the polls for the sake of it. The Oracle pays little attention to the polls, but was dimly aware that they were meant to be showing some sort of Tory lead. After I gave a brief rundown of the polls he ventured the suggestion that we might be headed for another Hung Parliament, but without any degree of conviction.
If even The Oracle is unsure about this election then a very odd tale could be about to unfold.
Did he managed to get through all of that without mentioning Jezza and the Jews?
Sources (twitter journalists) Tories leading in Dagenham, Putney, Chingford, Wimbledon. Diverting resources to Battersea from Putney. Bishop Auckland is a ‘cast iron gain’. Rother Valley, Derby North, Bolsover and Bassetlaw will go blue. West Midlands - tough fight in Birmingham northfield and two Coventry seats.
Labour - Paul sweeney looks doomed in Glasgow northeast. Watford, Battersea, Uxbridge, Chingford, Enfield Finchley and Kensington are where they still are canvassing. Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well. Stroud looks bad for labour due to split vote.
Paul Sweeney was sounding a bit demented on LBC last night, so I would think he's almost certainly out.
That commentary doesn't really scream "landslide" to me
Eh? I'm not a Tory, I'm an SNP voter in rural Scotland. Just trying to help prepare you for Paul Sweeney, a fairly unpopular MP up here, losing his seat.
Sorry, you've misunderstood or I've not been clear. I meant your commentary doesn't indicate landslide, it seems very mixed. But Paul Sweeney out is fair enough.
If there is any truth that Uxbridge is even close just imagine what would have happened if Labour had put up a decent candidate without a dodgy past. If Johnson wins this by a small margin those responsible for choosing Ali Milani should be defenestrated.
The Tory vote will probably hold firm in Uxbridge but Labour will get close because of switchers from the LDs.
As others have pointed out, with only 3.9% last time there are next to no LDs available to switch. A good Labour candidate (or all party backing for an indie) could have secured backing from anti-Boris Tories.
There's a right wing/pro Brexit vote of 50% in this seat. This rumour should be ignored.
Yeah, but the guy isn't popular, SeanF. He was a dishonest Mayor with a very indifferent track record. Londoners tend to remember that sort of thing.
I really wouldn't be that surprised if he lost. If the overall result is fairly close - say Tories in with a majority of 20 to 40, I'm not sure he would scrape through.
Seriously.
Londoners see Bozo's last minute decision to support Leave the same way as Cameron did.
Sources (twitter journalists) Tories leading in Dagenham, Putney, Chingford, Wimbledon. Diverting resources to Battersea from Putney. Bishop Auckland is a ‘cast iron gain’. Rother Valley, Derby North, Bolsover and Bassetlaw will go blue. West Midlands - tough fight in Birmingham northfield and two Coventry seats.
Labour - Paul sweeney looks doomed in Glasgow northeast. Watford, Battersea, Uxbridge, Chingford, Enfield Finchley and Kensington are where they still are canvassing. Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well. Stroud looks bad for labour due to split vote.
Paul Sweeney was sounding a bit demented on LBC last night, so I would think he's almost certainly out.
That commentary doesn't really scream "landslide" to me
Eh? I'm not a Tory, I'm an SNP voter in rural Scotland. Just trying to help prepare you for Paul Sweeney, a fairly unpopular MP up here, losing his seat.
Sorry, you've misunderstood or I've not been clear. I meant your commentary doesn't indicate landslide, it seems very mixed. But Paul Sweeney out is fair enough.
Frankly I will be happy with an SNP landslide.
I went through all the seats last week, and got to SNP 43 on a 'reasonable' night. Hearing big turnout in Edinburgh, but not sure about elsewhere.
All the publicity is on the few London seats due to the media centric nature but the real story is in the unfashionable and unknown (to the media) north- Don Valley , bassetlaw - eh up me duck land!
Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well.
There's both tory and labour seats there. Do you mean the incumbents there are all likely to hold their seats, or that the tories are performing well in all 4 and thus could take High Peak and Grimsby?
All the publicity is on the few London seats due to the media centric nature but the real story is in the unfashionable and unknown (to the media) north- Don Valley , bassetlaw - eh up me duck land!
I saw a tweet a few days ago and one journo thought Bassetlaw was an actual town.
I would focus on the 2. The one you tried to get rid of in Edinburgh and the lucky sod in Kirkcaldy where the SNP candidate proved even more repugnant than usual.
10 seems somewhat fanciful, given last night's Survation. and, y'know, reality.
2 is bloody fortunate and requires a degree of rationality on the part of SNP supporters which the evidence does not warrant. It may not happen.
I discovered a friend of mine had voted SNP today in the borders on a tactical basis to defeat a Tory on the basis that he was crap. Like that is any excuse. He's still a friend. Just.
A good night for SLab would be 5, their vote has been in freefall.
Edin Sth Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath Coatbridge
Should be holds. Midlothian and Glasgow NE gone, from what I hear.
There's a right wing/pro Brexit vote of 50% in this seat. This rumour should be ignored.
Yeah, but the guy isn't popular, SeanF. He was a dishonest Mayor with a very indifferent track record. Londoners tend to remember that sort of thing.
I really wouldn't be that surprised if he lost. If the overall result is fairly close - say Tories in with a majority of 20 to 40, I'm not sure he would scrape through.
Seriously.
Uxbridge is not representative of London. I'm not saying that Conservative majority/Johnson defeat does not have something to be said for it, but it won't happen.
ISTR that Boris promised to oppose the third runway at Heathrow when he first stood in Uxbridge, where it's a very unpopular policy. He had an urgent appointment in Kabul and missed the vote on the runway back in 2018 and has done nothing to reverse the decision since becoming PM so maybe he's being punished for that?
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
I agree. It is a shame certain posters (Lab and Con)did not apply the same rule to Jo Swinson.
There's a right wing/pro Brexit vote of 50% in this seat. This rumour should be ignored.
Yeah, but the guy isn't popular, SeanF. He was a dishonest Mayor with a very indifferent track record. Londoners tend to remember that sort of thing.
I really wouldn't be that surprised if he lost. If the overall result is fairly close - say Tories in with a majority of 20 to 40, I'm not sure he would scrape through.
Seriously.
Londoners see Bozo's last minute decision to support Leave the same way as Cameron did.
The Acuri thing would also have been noted. He can fuck who he likes, when he likes, but at his own expense please, not the voters.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
She suffers from massively overweight syndrome. Which arguably accounts for the Type 2 and also indicates that she is unable to control herself. Can she see her feet to worry about her shoes?
Why the fuck does anyone in this benighted country ever travel by train? The useless bastards have delayed my train so that I won’t be at home by the exit poll. I hate them. Yes I may have had a drink. But it does not excuse their incompetence.
Amen
Honestly, I think we should recognise that running a train service is just too difficult for us and just close it down making everyone employed in it redundant. I went to see my daughter in Gronnigan last year. It involved a change of trains about half way from Amsterdam. There was 2 minutes between the trains. I suggested that was a bit tight. The person selling the tickets, who spoke perfect English, looked bewildered. Why would that be a problem? It wasn't.
Ah, I did get the photo wrong. My mistake, hold my hands up then.
So she did have odd shoes?
Looks like it yes.
That's a member of Corbyn's cabinet right there. But you'll still vote for them
How Diane Abbot looks, particularly if she is looking unwell really shouldn’t be a factor in casting your vote. Her politics, yes, but not how she looks in a photo.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
All the publicity is on the few London seats due to the media centric nature but the real story is in the unfashionable and unknown (to the media) north- Don Valley , bassetlaw - eh up me duck land!
They say duck just down the road from where I live, but never here.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
The issue is, from a Labour perspective, if she's sufficiently unwell to know that her shoes don't match and they're on the wrong feet, then should she be putting herself up to be shooed in in a solid Labour constituency
Why the fuck does anyone in this benighted country ever travel by train? The useless bastards have delayed my train so that I won’t be at home by the exit poll. I hate them. Yes I may have had a drink. But it does not excuse their incompetence.
Amen
I assume that the delay is caused by Notwork Rail rather than the operator, since most delays (ex Guard strikes) are down to signalling, track work, lack of track capacity etc - all of which are managed by the only nationalised part of the operation.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
The issue is, from a Labour perspective, if she's sufficiently unwell to know that her shoes don't match and they're on the wrong feet, then should she be putting herself up to be shooed in in a solid Labour constituency
There's a right wing/pro Brexit vote of 50% in this seat. This rumour should be ignored.
Yeah, but the guy isn't popular, SeanF. He was a dishonest Mayor with a very indifferent track record. Londoners tend to remember that sort of thing.
I really wouldn't be that surprised if he lost. If the overall result is fairly close - say Tories in with a majority of 20 to 40, I'm not sure he would scrape through.
Seriously.
Londoners see Bozo's last minute decision to support Leave the same way as Cameron did.
Really? They see it as revenge for Sam choosing Dave over Boris?
My postal proxy ballot arrived at 4pm today. After the first one “got lost in the mail”. Third election in a row (second general) the council disenfranchised me.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
All the publicity is on the few London seats due to the media centric nature but the real story is in the unfashionable and unknown (to the media) north- Don Valley , bassetlaw - eh up me duck land!
They say duck just down the road from where I live, but never here.
"Me duck" is widely used when talking Lestah, but not "eh up".
Finally voted in Bury South, in my marginal straight Lab/Tory ward. "Steady" was the word used to describe activity today. It seemed slightly quieter than when I last voted there around the same time in 2015 - although that was a pleasantly warm May evening not biting December drizzle.
With sweaty palms and a heavy remainer-ish heart, I voted Tory. As always. I felt choked as I left at the thought I've just dived in with those of insane Brexit mind like Boris, Mogg and Foster et al. But Corbyn and McDonnell turn my stomach and will do until hopefully around 3-4am tonight when I can turn in safe and sleep.
Brexit will go on and on and won't get done. And I suspect the next Labour Govt in 5 years will probably quickly hold a new referendum and turn the ongoing transition period into EU re-entry. But in the meantime, at least a fairly moderate Tory PM can steady the ship otherwise.
Assuming he doesn't lose his seat tonight and we end up with Rees Mogg or some other horror.
I've lived here for 9 years and been waiting for it to go back blue but it never has. So tonight it might if all the polls and predictions are right. I can't really see it, but I might for the first time since I started voting in 1997 actually have voted for a winning GE candidate tonight.
Interestingly, I realised driving home that I didn't know where my polling station was. I had a postal vote in 2017, and the library has been closed since 2015 (Labour council cuts). I googled "find my polling station" and clicked on Labour's own site. I was urged by Jez himself to go to the place I voted at in the locals in May.
Wrong. Back to the library (now a community hub). What's one more untruth from Corbyn to finish the campaign.... :-)
I've been voting since 1997 too and pretty certain I've kept up my record of failing to vote for a winner.
Where's the original Tweet then? Why has it been deleted?
Because the Labour supporter who tweeted it realised what it showed perhaps?
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
I agree. It is a shame certain posters (Lab and Con)did not apply the same rule to Jo Swinson.
My wife, who is as centrist as is it is possible to be, has had one comment on Swinson - she needs a professional bra fitting and stop the sagging. Other than that, Ms Swinson is wallpaper I’m afraid.
Edit - iOS loves correcting Swinson to Swindon. Bland? Dull?
Comments
Uxbridge is not representative of London. I'm not saying that Conservative majority/Johnson defeat does not have something to be said for it, but it won't happen.
Go Chuka!
Actually I think nobody should be making capital out of this on either side. She does not look well and that is something I have a huge amount of sympathy with right now. Disagreeing with her politics is fine (and I do) but not how she looks or dresses.
Lab under 206.5 has just cratered in, nothing available to back above 6/4.
This is not going to be 2015 again for me.
https://twitter.com/benatipsosmori/status/1205224501094559755
Even he wasn't sure this time. Said that Labour might do surprisingly well, but qualified this with the statement that he was probably just being contrary to the polls for the sake of it. The Oracle pays little attention to the polls, but was dimly aware that they were meant to be showing some sort of Tory lead. After I gave a brief rundown of the polls he ventured the suggestion that we might be headed for another Hung Parliament, but without any degree of conviction.
If even The Oracle is unsure about this election then a very odd tale could be about to unfold.
2 is bloody fortunate and requires a degree of rationality on the part of SNP supporters which the evidence does not warrant. It may not happen.
I discovered a friend of mine had voted SNP today in the borders on a tactical basis to defeat a Tory on the basis that he was crap. Like that is any excuse. He's still a friend. Just.
Frankly I will be happy with an SNP landslide.
I realise that's probably been done already...
The real problem was the lack of Kippers, though.
Somebody knows something.
Edin Sth
Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath
Coatbridge
Should be holds. Midlothian and Glasgow NE gone, from what I hear.
She’s campaigned like a warrior and the Tory isn’t bothered.
2.12 is looking awfully tempting.
For evermore such an event through the sands of time, would be known as A BORIS JOHNSON MOMENT.
Maybe BBC World or CNN on the local cable TV might have something.
Edit: Actually, they've unblocked it for tonight. Thanks!
And yet it would be so typical of his career - amazing successes trumped by even more spectacular disasters.
Not doing election things at the moment but I guess they'll get to it.
Edit: I know why there's no exit poll, I'm an hour off...
.....things.
Edit - iOS loves correcting Swinson to Swindon. Bland? Dull?