politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The reports of high turnout might be down to the fact it’ll go
Comments
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Jesus.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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Looks like an Ice Warrior costume.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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Yoda has the same tailor as @AlastairMeeksFrancisUrquhart said:2 -
Or a power cut?MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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Magnificent.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:1 -
"There is no try" explains a lot in both cases.DecrepiterJohnL said:1 -
I have decided that the driver behind these movements, to NOM and against Tory Maj, and a lower pound.... is simply the reports of higher turnout. It can't be anything else?!IanB2 said:Suddenly the £ isn't very happy
And that could just be a function of the season and the weather.0 -
What are the Yorkshire Party's policies ?saddened said:Turnout, predictably, described as "brisk" when I voted about an hour ago in Harrogate. Ended up voting for the Yorkshire party, because I couldn't face spoiling my ballot, or voting for any of the usual clown shoes masquerading as serious politicians.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY4tD2Hbg_A2 -
Is that designed to minimise impact in a crash?AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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OK boomer.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Strong open on Wall St after Trump indicates China trade deal imminent.
FTSE 100 and 250 are moving in tandem so not election related.
Forex still doing nothing of note.0 -
It's a fucking monsoon hereIanB2 said:
It should be with you very shortlyAnabobazina said:
It’s barely drizzling. Hardly apocalyptic conditions.timmo said:There is a weather window coming into.London at about 5.30 tonight where its clearing up.
People even after being knocked up are saying on the doorstep they will wait for the rain to.ease..if it doesnt then the results could be pretty skewed as voters warm and snug in their homes decide to stay there0 -
New species of acorn discovered in Essex.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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I'm surprised Liverpool City Council are trying to delight Boris.TheScreamingEagles said:Boris Johnson will be delighted, another rootless cosmopolitan migrant is denied the vote.
https://twitter.com/amandinegarde/status/1205104516858875904?s=21
And do you get a medal for becoming a British citizen?0 -
I saw a poster for a book she's written about inspiring women from Boudicca to Yvette Cooper.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:
I think I got that right.0 -
Theory: Tory Fibs is using the Corbyn MRP and it’s actually showing holds/wins in those seats. But they want to shore up the vote.0
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hoho. Just keep following the herd if it makes you feel better.rpjs said:
OK boomer.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Or they are just making it up.CorrectHorseBattery said:Theory: Tory Fibs is using the Corbyn MRP and it’s actually showing holds/wins in those seats. But they want to shore up the vote.
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One of the elves has escaped from Santa's sweatshop.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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She does have excellent handlers doesn't she.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
There is a book titled "Larn Yersel' Geordie"peter_from_putney said:
MM - I rather suspect that "larn 'em" is an East Midlands rather than a Geordie expression.MarqueeMark said:
That's five years of pot-holes not getting fixed in Newcastle then.Gallowgate said:There was a nice anti-Boris banner on a bridge over the Central Motorway in Newcastle this morning. 👍
That should larn 'em.....0 -
Can. Not. Unsee.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
It was made into (or originated from - I am not sure which) a BBC radio series in the 70s. It was a cult listen when I was at university.SandyRentool said:
There is a book titled "Larn Yersel' Geordie"peter_from_putney said:
MM - I rather suspect that "larn 'em" is an East Midlands rather than a Geordie expression.MarqueeMark said:
That's five years of pot-holes not getting fixed in Newcastle then.Gallowgate said:There was a nice anti-Boris banner on a bridge over the Central Motorway in Newcastle this morning. 👍
That should larn 'em.....0 -
For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.0 -
How does that compare with 2015?FrancisUrquhart said:For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.0 -
I'd love to see some shots of some of those youth-populated queues outside voting stations from very early this morning, which as dusk descends I suspect are now totally deserted. *** Tumbleweed ***speedy2 said:Looking at all the turnout reports, turnout seems to be way up in London but not outside of London.
Beyond the M25 there is silence.
It's amazing really what little value the younger generation places on their time. They're clearly not destined to become plumbers or electricians in their mature years.0 -
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So it's a hung parliament then.FrancisUrquhart said:For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.0 -
What I don't get is why her parents are not protecting her from herself? She is clearly a vulnerable soul that has become a brand to be manipulated by cynical people. Like a female Scandanavian William Hague without the wit but with a better PR manager.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Free dog training for whippets, nationalisation of racing pigeon infrastructure abolishing the sale of soft southern lager. Then they get a bit silly.WhisperingOracle said:
What are the Yorkshire Party's policies ?saddened said:Turnout, predictably, described as "brisk" when I voted about an hour ago in Harrogate. Ended up voting for the Yorkshire party, because I couldn't face spoiling my ballot, or voting for any of the usual clown shoes masquerading as serious politicians.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY4tD2Hbg_A3 -
That really is a proper Christmas jumper! Respect.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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To add to the anecdotes:
Voted at 3PM, took a brolly as it is raining here. Polling station as quiet as usual, no other voters. Turnout apparently up slightly but staff thought this was due to people wanting to vote before it gets dark and the weather turns a little nastier.
This is in Amber Valley, a former bellwether that is now a safe Conservative seat. Not sure it tells us much other than people voting earlier than normal.
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My rule of thumb is adding 7% to the leader of the opposition on the preffered PM figures from Mori.FrancisUrquhart said:For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.
It worked really well last time, May was leading by 11, so it gave me a Conservative lead of 4.
Now it says Boris leads by 14, so I think the Conservative lead is 7.0 -
You think making 'The Church of the Latter Day Boycott' the established religion a bit silly?saddened said:
Free dog training for whippets, nationalisation of racing pigeon infrastructure abolishing the sale of soft southern lager. Then they get a bit silly.WhisperingOracle said:
What are the Yorkshire Party's policies ?saddened said:Turnout, predictably, described as "brisk" when I voted about an hour ago in Harrogate. Ended up voting for the Yorkshire party, because I couldn't face spoiling my ballot, or voting for any of the usual clown shoes masquerading as serious politicians.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jY4tD2Hbg_A1 -
Last election Liverpool smashed it in was 1983 and 1987.isam said:0 -
£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?0
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The final Survation in 2017 had a 1% Tory lead, the final Survation now has an 11% Tory lead.FrancisUrquhart said:For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.
In 2017 Yougov MRP forecast a hung parliament it now forecasts a Tory majority0 -
Steady on, she's a bit young for that sort of comment!saddened said:
She does have excellent handlers doesn't she.TheScreamingEagles said:1 -
I shouldn't worry. It probably just means all those people in queues are voting Labour.Gooey_Blob said:To add to the anecdotes:
Voted at 3PM, took a brolly as it is raining here. Polling station as quiet as usual, no other voters. Turnout apparently up slightly but staff thought this was due to people wanting to vote before it gets dark and the weather turns a little nastier.
This is in Amber Valley, a former bellwether that is now a safe Conservative seat. Not sure it tells us much other than people voting earlier than normal.0 -
Alastair, you are a fine fellow and a credit to this site. But you look like a pencil.AlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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Agree that 20+ will see her safe. 15 will see her safe but with grumbling. 12 or fewer she'll be gone.TudorRose said:
Good question! I'd say Corbyn would stay in those circumstances, Boris would be quickly and quietly replaced by the Saj (or equivalent) and Jo - if the LibDems do well as posited in the earlier question - then she'll be around as well. If the LibDems are sub-20 I think Jo will be gone by about this time tomorrow.ClippP said:
With the same leaders, would you say?TudorRose said:
I fear that denying an overall majority to both of them will pretty quickly end in us doing all this over again.ClippP said:
Logic failure, I think, Mr Rose. Another alternative is to deny an overall majority to both of them. If the Lib Dems do well today, and hold the balance of power, then neither the Tories nor Labour can run amok with their own pet - extremist - policies. This would be good for the country.TudorRose said:
I thought the whole point of voting tactically for LibDems was to deny the Tories a majority. In which case the only alternative is getting Corbyn as PM.alb1on said:Agreed, but given the reference was to Swinson we are talking Con/LD seats where Corbyn does not matter.
Betfair currently has Ed Davey and Layla Moran on similar odds for next leader - not really worth the bet IMO. Everyone else a long way behind, presumably reflecting the fact that Chuka looks unlikely to get elected right now.0 -
She certainly does. I always assumed she was a front for some eco organization but maybe it's just a revenue stream based on "brand Greta" they are interested in. Does anyone on here know what / who is behind her? Not just pushy parents presumably ...saddened said:
She does have excellent handlers doesn't she.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
No.Mexicanpete said:I am going to whisper this... but has anyone here done any work today?
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Not the brightest lamp on the street.TrèsDifficile said:
I'm surprised Liverpool City Council are trying to delight Boris.TheScreamingEagles said:Boris Johnson will be delighted, another rootless cosmopolitan migrant is denied the vote.
https://twitter.com/amandinegarde/status/1205104516858875904?s=21
And do you get a medal for becoming a British citizen?
She won't be such a smart ar$$ next time.0 -
You alright hun?HYUFD said:
The final Survation in 2017 had a 1% Tory lead, the final Survation now has an 11% Tory lead.FrancisUrquhart said:For the weak and wobbly....obviously not me....
On the eve of election last time around, the average Tory lead was 6.64%. In reality, the results came in with a Tory lead of just 2.4%, 64% lower than the average. If the percentage difference is the same between polls and reality this time, it will mean an eventual Tory lead of 3.5%.
In 2017 Yougov MRP forecast a hung parliament it now forecasts a Tory majority2 -
Turnout here in London is absolutely on fire! These are Labour voters not tory (ethnic minorities- could save Labour seats in the north/Midlands if repeated there)MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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BONG
15:51 - sunset, London. One second later than tomorrow, which is the earliest sunset of the year.0 -
NOM is 3.35 Lab 35-40% is 3.65. NOM won't happen without the latter so thats where the value is.1
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I've never heard it called that before!viewcode said:
Alastair, you are a fine fellow and a credit to this site. But you look like a pencil.AlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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The guy in the video was about 25 feet from the door and stopping people as they were going in.Chris said:
Outside "a circle with a radius of 250 metres from the main entrance of a polling station."Richard_Tyndall said:How far away from a polling station do you have to be to be allowed to handout political leaflets? There is some video this morning of Labour campaigners handing out vote Faiza Shaheen leaflets to people going in to vote at the entrance to a polling station in Redbridge.
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Being born an Englishman is already winning first prize in the lottery of life, so maybe they give out silver medals for being second?TrèsDifficile said:
I'm surprised Liverpool City Council are trying to delight Boris.TheScreamingEagles said:Boris Johnson will be delighted, another rootless cosmopolitan migrant is denied the vote.
https://twitter.com/amandinegarde/status/1205104516858875904?s=21
And do you get a medal for becoming a British citizen?0 -
We'll have the prospect of Leeds United storming it in 5 to 10 years !Mexicanpete said:0 -
I just walked the dog.Mexicanpete said:I am going to whisper this... but has anyone here done any work today?
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PC or not, the girls at my daughter's secondary school compete for the best Greta impressions, not complimentary.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
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In the rain!!!!Xtrain said:
I just walked the dog.Mexicanpete said:I am going to whisper this... but has anyone here done any work today?
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Had two in a meeting yesterday, it happens!Philip_Thompson said:
Flies in December? Very odd.murali_s said:Have done my civic duty and cast my vote here in Wimbledon. Polling station very empty. Staff chasing flies!
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This is the optimist's guide to potential results:
Tory landslide: Laugh at Corbyn
Small Tory majority: Laugh at Bozo for being in the same position as TMay
Hung parliament: Laugh at Boris fanbois
Corbyn win: laugh insanely and kill oneself!2 -
Girls can be cruel, especially 11-16ReggieCide said:
PC or not, the girls at my daughter's secondary school compete for the best Greta impressions, not complimentary.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
How dare they!ReggieCide said:
PC or not, the girls at my daughter's secondary school compete for the best Greta impressions, not complimentary.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:
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I had three years in Durham.SandyRentool said:
There is a book titled "Larn Yersel' Geordie"peter_from_putney said:
MM - I rather suspect that "larn 'em" is an East Midlands rather than a Geordie expression.MarqueeMark said:
That's five years of pot-holes not getting fixed in Newcastle then.Gallowgate said:There was a nice anti-Boris banner on a bridge over the Central Motorway in Newcastle this morning. 👍
That should larn 'em.....
You're going to ask aren't you - "which wing?"1 -
Byronic said:
I have decided that the driver behind these movements, to NOM and against Tory Maj, and a lower pound.... is simply the reports of higher turnout. It can't be anything else?!IanB2 said:Suddenly the £ isn't very happy
And that could just be a function of the season and the weather.
But may balance itself out if turnout drops this evening.1 -
The Scots want to send it to VARGabs3 said:
Being born an Englishman is already winning first prize in the lottery of life, so maybe they give out silver medals for being second?TrèsDifficile said:
I'm surprised Liverpool City Council are trying to delight Boris.TheScreamingEagles said:Boris Johnson will be delighted, another rootless cosmopolitan migrant is denied the vote.
https://twitter.com/amandinegarde/status/1205104516858875904?s=21
And do you get a medal for becoming a British citizen?0 -
What would be abnormal?FrancisUrquhart said:
And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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250 metres would exclude loads of area - sounds a bit extreme.Richard_Tyndall said:
The guy in the video was about 25 feet from the door and stopping people as they were going in.Chris said:
Outside "a circle with a radius of 250 metres from the main entrance of a polling station."Richard_Tyndall said:How far away from a polling station do you have to be to be allowed to handout political leaflets? There is some video this morning of Labour campaigners handing out vote Faiza Shaheen leaflets to people going in to vote at the entrance to a polling station in Redbridge.
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Do we have any evidence turnout is up outside big cities and university towns?Gooey_Blob said:To add to the anecdotes:
Voted at 3PM, took a brolly as it is raining here. Polling station as quiet as usual, no other voters. Turnout apparently up slightly but staff thought this was due to people wanting to vote before it gets dark and the weather turns a little nastier.
This is in Amber Valley, a former bellwether that is now a safe Conservative seat. Not sure it tells us much other than people voting earlier than normal.0 -
That's not a Christmas jumper - that's the top of somebody with super powers.Mexicanpete said:
That really is a proper Christmas jumper! Respect.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
Although, I'm not quite sure what powers Varicose Vein man would have....0 -
Just having a coffee pitsop knocking up for IDS and the landlord has given it on the house but charging Momentum full whack tonight.
IDS' son was out with us, a charming criminal barrister0 -
That will coincide with a three day week and the power cuts. Nah, Corbyn will be well gone after his third attempt...unless of course the lights go off because Boris' Brexit really is a shambles.Pulpstar said:
We'll have the prospect of Leeds United storming it in 5 to 10 years !Mexicanpete said:0 -
Had you forgotten to do them up?kle4 said:
Had two in a meeting yesterday, it happens!Philip_Thompson said:
Flies in December? Very odd.murali_s said:Have done my civic duty and cast my vote here in Wimbledon. Polling station very empty. Staff chasing flies!
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Maybe it is Baby Yodaridaligo said:
She certainly does. I always assumed she was a front for some eco organization but maybe it's just a revenue stream based on "brand Greta" they are interested in. Does anyone on here know what / who is behind her? Not just pushy parents presumably ...saddened said:
She does have excellent handlers doesn't she.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Well for example immediately after the vote to leave, the FTSE 100 index fell by 8% and £ lost 11% against the $.MightyAlex said:
What would be abnormal?FrancisUrquhart said:
And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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It's stopped.ReggieCide said:
In the rain!!!!Xtrain said:
I just walked the dog.Mexicanpete said:I am going to whisper this... but has anyone here done any work today?
Beautiful sky now but quite cold and windy.0 -
Yeah, cos that's so hurtful. Only genuine snowflakes believe it has the slightest impact. Hurty words tend not to bother anyone over 30.viewcode said:0 -
A small Tory majority is the same position as Cameron not MayNigel_Foremain said:This is the optimist's guide to potential results:
Tory landslide: Laugh at Corbyn
Small Tory majority: Laugh at Bozo for being in the same position as TMay
Hung parliament: Laugh at Boris fanbois
Corbyn win: laugh insanely and kill oneself!0 -
What crime was he convicted of?HYUFD said:Just having a coffee pitsop knocking up for IDS and the landlord has given it on the house but charging Momentum full whack tonight.
IDS' son was out with us, a charming criminal barrister0 -
More proof that brains always come from the mother not the fatherHYUFD said:Just having a coffee pitsop knocking up for IDS and the landlord has given it on the house but charging Momentum full whack tonight.
IDS' son was out with us, a charming criminal barrister0 -
That is true, much worse than boys.MightyAlex said:
Girls can be cruel, especially 11-16ReggieCide said:
PC or not, the girls at my daughter's secondary school compete for the best Greta impressions, not complimentary.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Indeed. I assume if Con Maj then there will be a slight fall tomorrow (buy on the rumour, sell on the fact) and then I'll trade out all that remains and I'll be done for the year.SunnyJim said:A little bit of weakness in GBP vs USD/EUR but well within a normal days trading range.
If the exit poll shows a HP there will an almighty plunge.0 -
sporting index Con seats ticked up to 343 from 3410
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I think mr meeks is great too, mostly, but I would not mistake him for JesusGallowgate said:
Jesus.AlastairMeeks said:
You’ll be pleased to know I’ve changed into my proper Christmas jumper now:MikeSmithson said:
I assume you got that suit in a saleAlastairMeeks said:On reflection, this is quite a suit statement for election day. I’m not sure quite how well it will go down in a rural north Essex polling station:
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T-minus 6 hours
BONG!!!!!0 -
There is plenty of evidence to the contrarysaddened said:
Yeah, cos that's so hurtful. Only genuine snowflakes believe it has the slightest impact. Hurty words tend not to bother anyone over 30.viewcode said:
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Premature bong. Happens to the best of us.numbertwelve said:T-minus 6 hours
BONG!!!!!0 -
How double dog dare they?isam said:
How dare they!ReggieCide said:
PC or not, the girls at my daughter's secondary school compete for the best Greta impressions, not complimentary.alb1on said:
She is somewhere on the autistic scale. One of my cricket colleagues is similarly diagnosed. He has a successful career but a similar personality. Managing him when I was skipper was a nightmare.Nigel_Foremain said:
How can someone so young become so arrogant and smug? I am begining to believe in reincarnation; she must have been an angry old man in a previous life.TheScreamingEagles said:0 -
Admitting to being the spawn of the idiotic IDS is criminal enoughMexicanpete said:
What crime was he convicted of?HYUFD said:Just having a coffee pitsop knocking up for IDS and the landlord has given it on the house but charging Momentum full whack tonight.
IDS' son was out with us, a charming criminal barrister0 -
A sign on the door saying "Dear Mr McDonnell, There is no money left. Merry Christmas, The City."MightyAlex said:
What would be abnormal?FrancisUrquhart said:
And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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Worth remembering Betfair vote shares are UK, whilst almost all polls are GB.Brom said:NOM is 3.35 Lab 35-40% is 3.65. NOM won't happen without the latter so thats where the value is.
Lab 35% on Betfair is very close to 36% GB.
I would have thought something like Con 41.5%, Lab 35.8% (GB) could give a Hung Parliament.0 -
Is it comparable? If turnout worries are influencing a small percentage of holders, would you expect a precipitous drop or a small decline over the next few hours?FrancisUrquhart said:
Well for example immediately after the vote to leave, the FTSE 100 index fell by 8% and £ lost 11% against the $.MightyAlex said:
What would be abnormal?FrancisUrquhart said:
And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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Perhaps it's just Yorkshire over 30's then.TheWhiteRabbit said:
There is plenty of evidence to the contrarysaddened said:
Yeah, cos that's so hurtful. Only genuine snowflakes believe it has the slightest impact. Hurty words tend not to bother anyone over 30.viewcode said:0 -
6 hours post sunset - unusually long voting window for the Undead. Which should boost tory turnout immeasurably.numbertwelve said:T-minus 6 hours
BONG!!!!!0 -
Au contraire. A small majority for Bozo will be exactly the same as no other party will touch the lying bastard with a barge poleHYUFD said:
A small Tory majority is the same position as Cameron not MayNigel_Foremain said:This is the optimist's guide to potential results:
Tory landslide: Laugh at Corbyn
Small Tory majority: Laugh at Bozo for being in the same position as TMay
Hung parliament: Laugh at Boris fanbois
Corbyn win: laugh insanely and kill oneself!0 -
Nah, Tory Party membership cards and bus passes too.Mexicanpete said:
I understand DWP state pension statements will be the only acceptable proof of identity from the 2024 election.TheScreamingEagles said:Boris Johnson will be delighted, another rootless cosmopolitan migrant is denied the vote.
https://twitter.com/amandinegarde/status/1205104516858875904?s=21
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I take it there is a lot of nervousness, but changes of < 1% happen every day. There are loads of bits of news that move the needle e.g. Trump has back on China Tariff stuff today.MightyAlex said:
Is it comparable? If turnout worries are influencing a small percentage of holders, would you expect a precipitous drop or a small decline over the next few hours?FrancisUrquhart said:
Well for example immediately after the vote to leave, the FTSE 100 index fell by 8% and £ lost 11% against the $.MightyAlex said:
What would be abnormal?FrancisUrquhart said:
And the FTSE is up 1.13%. These are very normal daily moves.MightyAlex said:£ -0.53%, somebody got people counting at polling stations?
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