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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jo Swinson wins the LD leadership contest

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    stodge said:

    Jo Swinson is of course Britain's answer to Jacinda Ardern except she had the baby before becoming prime minister whereas Jacinda became PM and then had the baby.
    Though the New Zealand Conservatives, the Nationals, won more seats than Ardern's Labour Party in the last election but as they failed to win a majority Ardern ended up doing a Deal with New Zealand First, the New Zealand version of the Brexit Party.

    Cannot see Swinson following suit
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    kle4 said:

    No danger of it happening again, the LDs would run a mile from helping the Tories in any capacity ever again in living memory.
    Whatever the truth of that , many will not be inclined to believe it!
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,562
    HYUFD said:

    Swinson may well lose her seat to the SNP at the next general election, especially if Tories stop tactically voting for her, in which case the LDs will be looking for a new leader even if they make gains in England
    The same could be said of BJ. if the new boundaries had been in place he'd have a seat where he didn't have a majority. He could easily lose the seat with a concerted effort by Labour
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    HYUFD said:

    Of course the pro Brexit Conservative Party of Canada is neck and neck with Trudeau's Liberals in the polls and if their leader Andrew Scheer becomes Canadian PM that likely change a things.

    Though even Trudeau has not ruled out a FTA with the UK eventually
    You don't get it do you. That's a real business employing people which is facing real problems which will affect their profits and those people's jobs and lives because of the insouciant indifference of the people you support who couldn't give a shit about the lives of ordinary people.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Ruth Davidson? She's the lesbo Scottish tory woman right.

    I don't watch FMQs, you'll have to try your moronic schtick with someone else.
    You need to calm down.

    As a pro Union supporter with a large Scottish Family in the North East of Scotland you are doing the cause of the Union no good at all
  • JBriskinindyref2JBriskinindyref2 Posts: 1,775
    edited July 2019

    You need to calm down.

    As a pro Union supporter with a large Scottish Family in the North East of Scotland you are doing the cause of the Union no good at all
    Ooooooh, someone been doing their research.

    Given I'm pretty much disowned by my family I would thank you not to mention them again.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518
    TOPPING said:

    Don't fall off the head of that pin.

    We are at the hardest of hard Brexits. Which was the aim of the ERG all along. Anything else is a compromise from what they really wanted which is what we have now.
    Didn't you repeatedly tell us that May's deal was going to pass ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    spudgfsh said:

    The same could be said of BJ. if the new boundaries had been in place he'd have a seat where he didn't have a majority. He could easily lose the seat with a concerted effort by Labour
    Hillingdon containing Uxbridge voted Leave and unless Corbyn wins an overall majority which he is miles from at the moment Boris will hold his seat.

    Swinson's seat though is largely reliant on Tories tactically voting LD to stop the SNP though so much more vulnerable at the moment
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Ooooooh, someone been doing their research.

    Given I'm pretty much disowned by my family I would thank you not to mention them again.
    I do not need to do research on all things Scots.

    I was in Edinburgh City Police in 1964, got married to a Lossiemouth quine that year, have had a lifetime connection with NE Scots Fishermen and love the Scots with a passion no matter that they divide over Independence

    I suggest you need to show more respect to the Scots
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    Cyclefree said:

    You don't get it do you. That's a real business employing people which is facing real problems which will affect their profits and those people's jobs and lives because of the insouciant indifference of the people you support who couldn't give a shit about the lives of ordinary people.
    No, we give a shot about regaining sovereignty, controlling our borders and ultimately doing our own trade deals as 17 million people voted for but I know you have no interest in respecting the biggest vote in post war UK history.

    As I pointed out if the Canadian Tories win November's election and beat Trudeau's Liberals a Canada UK FTA will likely be fasttracked and CETA rolled over anyway
  • hamiltonacehamiltonace Posts: 686
    spudgfsh said:

    The same could be said of BJ. if the new boundaries had been in place he'd have a seat where he didn't have a majority. He could easily lose the seat with a concerted effort by Labour

    Swinson’s stand on brexit will go down well with her constituency. I would also suggest that bj at much more risk which may be why he will not go for an early election.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,287
    Jaws! Expel him!

    (No "Moonraker" fans? Tough crowd... :) )
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    edited July 2019


    Swinson’s stand on brexit will go down well with her constituency. I would also suggest that bj at much more risk which may be why he will not go for an early election.
    It was Tory pro Brexit voters tactically voting LD in 2017 which saw Swinson gain the seat from the SNP, if there is tactical unwind as is likely as Tories to not want to vote for a diehard Remainer party leader then Swinson may well lose to the SNP.

    Given current polling Boris will hold his seat and even more so as leader when many Brexit Party voters return to the Tories
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    HYUFD said:
    John Major and Tony Blair voting LD at the next general election?
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,562
    HYUFD said:

    Hillingdon containing Uxbridge voted Leave and unless Corbyn wins an overall majority which he is miles from at the moment Boris will hold his seat.

    Swinson's seat though is largely reliant on Tories tactically voting LD to stop the SNP though so much more vulnerable at the moment
    But the scottish tories still have their 'anti-snp' asset of Ruth Davidson. They did significantly better in scotland because of her and the anti SNP vote will still break for the LibDems in her seat.
  • I do not need to do research on all things Scots.

    I was in Edinburgh City Police in 1964, got married to a Lossiemouth quine that year, have had a lifetime connection with NE Scots Fishermen and love the Scots with a passion no matter that they divide over Independence

    I suggest you need to show more respect to the Scots
    Sorry my bad - it's you with the big north east family? I think

    Regardless I do indeed have a lot of respect for the Scots - being one myself; it would be a little weird if I didn't
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    So, who should lead a government of national unity?
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331


    Swinson’s stand on brexit will go down well with her constituency. I would also suggest that bj at much more risk which may be why he will not go for an early election.
    I suspect BJ will hold on. The anti-Boris vote will split between Labour and a resurgent LD (who will do particularly well in London next time out). That same resurgence will see Jo Swinson comfortably hold her seat, btw - LDs are quite as capable of taking votes from Tory remainers as they are from Labour remainers.
  • So, who should lead a government of national unity?

    I think we all agreed on TMay the other day.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    HYUFD said:

    No, we give a shot about regaining sovereignty, controlling our borders and ultimately doing our own trade deals as 17 million people voted for but I know you have no interest in respecting the biggest vote in post war UK history.

    As I pointed out if the Canadian Tories win November's election and beat Trudeau's Liberals a Canada UK FTA will likely be fasttracked and CETA rolled over anyway
    Since I have told you repeatedly what my views are and you insist on ignoring what I write, quite clearly, there is very little point in engaging with you.

    You and those you support are quite prepared for others to suffer. It is utterly contemptible.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    HYUFD said:
    So guns before helpiing starving children. Sums up ERG sadly
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518
    HYUFD said:
    Since the UK adopted the 0.7% spending on Foreign Aid has any other country followed suit ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    Cyclefree said:

    Since I have told you repeatedly what my views are and you insist on ignoring what I write, quite clearly, there is very little point in engaging with you.

    You and those you support are quite prepared for others to suffer. It is utterly contemptible.
    No we believe in a sovereign Britain as the majority voted for and respecting the Leave victory unlike you
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331

    So, who should lead a government of national unity?

    Ken Clarke. It would be like Churchill returning in his country's hour of greatest need.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518

    So guns before helpiing starving children. Sums up ERG sadly
    So are you in favour of cutting the defence budget and spending the extra money on increasing Foreign Aid ?
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,562

    I suspect BJ will hold on. The anti-Boris vote will split between Labour and a resurgent LD (who will do particularly well in London next time out). That same resurgence will see Jo Swinson comfortably hold her seat, btw - LDs are quite as capable of taking votes from Tory remainers as they are from Labour remainers.
    All it'd take is the brexit party to take a couple of thousand votes from him and for the lib dems allow the labour party to squeeze them in the seat. (it'd be funny if it was with a libdem style graph!)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041
    spudgfsh said:

    But the scottish tories still have their 'anti-snp' asset of Ruth Davidson. They did significantly better in scotland because of her and the anti SNP vote will still break for the LibDems in her seat.
    In 2017 the Tories vote was up 14% across Scotland on 2015 but only 6% in East Dunbartonshire due to Tories tactically voting for Swinson
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited July 2019
    Cyclefree said:

    Since I have told you repeatedly what my views are and you insist on ignoring what I write, quite clearly, there is very little point in engaging with you.

    You and those you support are quite prepared for others to suffer. It is utterly contemptible.
    And HYUFD and myself are in the same party would you believe but for how long is debatable
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited July 2019
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/22/senior-tories-warn-boris-johnson-over-no-deal-brexit

    "...But several Conservative MPs said they will regard Johnson’s first speech to the nation and cabinet appointments as a test of whether he is capable of reaching out across parliament to find a majority for a plan to leave the EU that can find approval from Eurosceptics and more moderate Brexit supporters.

    If he does not, then organisation will start again in earnest to prevent him pursuing a no-deal Brexit, with some senior Tories already sending out feelers about the possibility of a “national unity” government with opposition MPs.

    The rebels are prepared to give Johnson the summer to see if he can make headway towards coming to a fresh agreement with the EU that avoids no deal but will make their moves against him after that if he takes the government full tilt towards a no-deal Brexit.

    One former minister said a “sizeable chunk” of the 42 Tories who voted against a no-deal Brexit last week are prepared to put their own careers on the line to stop Johnson pursuing that path – either through a legislative block on leaving the EU without a deal or a confidence vote if that proves impossible.

    He said what Johnson says on the steps of Downing Street on Wednesday will be crucial as his critics within the party will be infuriated and galvanised to action if he “tries to act like he has a majority of 150” or goes down the path of “Trumpian rhetoric” that forgets the country is split on Brexit."

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    So are you in favour of cutting the defence budget and spending the extra money on increasing Foreign Aid ?
    I am in favour of the 0.7 % aid being spent on exactly that, not guns or weapons

    No increase but no stealing from the mouths of starving children to increase our military
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    HYUFD said:

    In 2017 the Tories vote was up 14% across Scotland on 2015 but only 6% in East Dunbartonshire due to Tories tactically voting for Swinson
    You do know things have changed dramatically since 2017
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    spudgfsh said:

    All it'd take is the brexit party to take a couple of thousand votes from him and for the lib dems allow the labour party to squeeze them in the seat. (it'd be funny if it was with a libdem style graph!)
    Can't see the LDs soft-peddling anywhere in London. It'd be very foolish if they did. They've got a real chance of capitalising big on the palpable anger at both main parties over Brexit, as the London Euro results showed..
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    HYUFD said:

    No, we give a shot about regaining sovereignty, controlling our borders and ultimately doing our own trade deals as 17 million people voted for but I know you have no interest in respecting the biggest vote in post war UK history.

    As I pointed out if the Canadian Tories win November's election and beat Trudeau's Liberals a Canada UK FTA will likely be fasttracked and CETA rolled over anyway
    This is cloud cuckooland stuff. I assume you don't run a business? As I posted several days ago I recently retired but my company was only deregistered in June and only shortly before that did I deregister for VAT. So the Govt did not know I was going to cease trading yet in the last 3 years I have received not one word on what I am supposed to do re Brexit yet it would have impacted me considerably.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/22/senior-tories-warn-boris-johnson-over-no-deal-brexit

    "...But several Conservative MPs said they will regard Johnson’s first speech to the nation and cabinet appointments as a test of whether he is capable of reaching out across parliament to find a majority for a plan to leave the EU that can find approval from Eurosceptics and more moderate Brexit supporters.

    If he does not, then organisation will start again in earnest to prevent him pursuing a no-deal Brexit, with some senior Tories already sending out feelers about the possibility of a “national unity” government with opposition MPs.

    The rebels are prepared to give Johnson the summer to see if he can make headway towards coming to a fresh agreement with the EU that avoids no deal but will make their moves against him after that if he takes the government full tilt towards a no-deal Brexit.

    One former minister said a “sizeable chunk” of the 42 Tories who voted against a no-deal Brexit last week are prepared to put their own careers on the line to stop Johnson pursuing that path – either through a legislative block on leaving the EU without a deal or a confidence vote if that proves impossible.

    He said what Johnson says on the steps of Downing Street on Wednesday will be crucial as his critics within the party will be infuriated and galvanised to action if he “tries to act like he has a majority of 150” or goes down the path of “Trumpian rhetoric” that forgets the country is split on Brexit."

    Wise conservative mps - they have my full support
  • Torby_FennelTorby_Fennel Posts: 438
    HYUFD said:

    John Major and Tony Blair voting LD at the next general election?
    It'd tell you all you need to know about the state of both so-called main parties if they're not even broad enough coalitions to attract the votes of their former PMs.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518

    I am in favour of the 0.7 % aid being spent on exactly that, not guns or weapons

    No increase but no stealing from the mouths of starving children to increase our military
    Do you have any idea on what the Foreign Aid budget is spent on ?

    Can you guess which country is the biggest recipient of the UK's Foreign Aid spending ?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    HYUFD said:

    No we believe in a sovereign Britain as the majority voted for and respecting the Leave victory unlike you
    It's an interesting quirk of the English language these days that when your interlocutor uses the word "respect," whether as noun or verb, it's odds on that you are dealing with a semiliterate arsehole.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Apparently HMG turned down the opportunity to join Op Sentinel with the US Navy to protect shipping in the Gulf and is instead looking to establish a European reaction force.

    I don't have a take on that, but any mention of European military prompts me to segue into this footage of Belgian cadets marching.

    https://mobile.twitter.com/jamesdeeganMC/status/1153289372126588933
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Do you have any idea on what the Foreign Aid budget is spent on ?

    Can you guess which country is the biggest recipient of the UK's Foreign Aid spending ?
    Africa as far as I am aware but spending the money is upto the government.

    Diverting it to weapons is just not a starter
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    So guns before helpiing starving children. Sums up ERG sadly
    MoD should be capable of pissing that away in an afternoon
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041

    You do know things have changed dramatically since 2017
    Yes, the Brexit Party has taken Tory votes (the Brexit Party beat the Tories in Scotland in the European Parliament elections) and many of those voters may return to voting for a Boris led Tory Party, they will not be tactically voting for Swinson again
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Didn't you repeatedly tell us that May's deal was going to pass ?
    Yep. It still probably will.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658

    Africa as far as I am aware but spending the money is upto the government.

    Diverting it to weapons is just not a starter
    I thought they were diverting it to bribing developing countries to agree trade deals with us?

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041

    Africa as far as I am aware but spending the money is upto the government.

    Diverting it to weapons is just not a starter
    It isn't, see the Iranian situation today.

    We certainly need more funds for the navy, you can still provide overseas aid just not as much when it comes at the expense of defence
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,041

    It'd tell you all you need to know about the state of both so-called main parties if they're not even broad enough coalitions to attract the votes of their former PMs.
    Mind you Bush Snr voted for Hillary in 2016 so it is not unheard of
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Swinson, Johnson?, ... Watson???

    The next GE could be -son-tastic!
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518

    Africa as far as I am aware but spending the money is upto the government.

    Diverting it to weapons is just not a starter
    The largest recipient on UK Foreign Aid is Pakistan.

    https://fullfact.org/economy/uk-spending-foreign-aid/

    We also give many millions to India.

    Both Pakistan and India have their own nuclear weapons.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    HYUFD said:

    It isn't, see the Iranian situation today.

    We certainly need more funds for the navy, you can still provide overseas aid just not as much when it comes at the expense of defence
    0.7% is in law
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,107
    HYUFD said:

    Mind you Bush Snr voted for Hillary in 2016 so it is not unheard of
    That analogy does you no credit.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518
    TOPPING said:

    Yep. It still probably will.
    Well I hope it does but if so then we will not be getting the 'hardest of hard Brexits'.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    HYUFD said:

    No, we give a shot about regaining sovereignty, controlling our borders and ultimately doing our own trade deals as 17 million people voted for but I know you have no interest in respecting the biggest vote in post war UK history.

    As I pointed out if the Canadian Tories win November's election and beat Trudeau's Liberals a Canada UK FTA will likely be fasttracked and CETA rolled over anyway
    You have a touching belief that democratically elected political parties will prioritise the political interests of sister parties in other countries (which delivers no votes) above the political interests of their own parties in their own countries. Canada has refused to “roll over” CETA because they think they will get a much better deal with the Uk in a bilaterally negotiated treaty. And don’t even start on what America will agree to...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,107
    HYUFD said:

    Yes, the Brexit Party has taken Tory votes (the Brexit Party beat the Tories in Scotland in the European Parliament elections) and many of those voters may return to voting for a Boris led Tory Party, they will not be tactically voting for Swinson again
    You are not quoting the latest Scottish polling on the matter, for some mysterious reason?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    kjh said:

    This is cloud cuckooland stuff. I assume you don't run a business? As I posted several days ago I recently retired but my company was only deregistered in June and only shortly before that did I deregister for VAT. So the Govt did not know I was going to cease trading yet in the last 3 years I have received not one word on what I am supposed to do re Brexit yet it would have impacted me considerably.
    I'll give you another real life example of the damage this will cause. In 1993 I was taken on to project manager a bid in Cyprus. It was the final stage head to head for 2 large US companies with European headquarters in UK. It was 3 month project in which each bidder had to build a dummy 3 office branch network and also carry out a large number of technical tests. The demonstration lasted 3 weeks at the end of the development. We won the bid. The initial deal was worth $10m with considerable add on business over the years. The maintenance contract was worth $1m / annum.

    The project was a nightmare and during it we needed specialist equipment to be flown out from the UK. It got held up in customs for weeks. I know our opposition had the same issue because I chased customs everyday and on one occasion Cyprus customs got us mixed up (Unusual identical equipment at the same time so an obvious mistake).

    Jump forward to now where no such customs problems exist in the EU. You now lose that business to a company located in the EU or you move your European operation to the EU. I can tell you we would have lost because we were on the edge of failure as it was.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    Often, I hear the LDs scorned by tories and laborites for being uncommitted opportunists and generally wishy-washy. But, unlike the aforementioned, the LDs stance on brexit has been clear from the start. I'd like to see the Greens and LDs take over, starting with this country.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,720

    Africa as far as I am aware but spending the money is upto the government.

    Diverting it to weapons is just not a starter
    The latest commitment by Rory Stewart was £50m towards combatting the spread of Ebola.

    Better value than 1/20th of a Type 45, I suspect.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    HYUFD said:

    Mind you Bush Snr voted for Hillary in 2016 so it is not unheard of
    I think you mean Bush junior (actually I think he abstained) and it makes the point beautifully
  • ZephyrZephyr Posts: 438

    Well I hope it does but if so then we will not be getting the 'hardest of hard Brexits'.
    Absolutely. A mere hard brexit is now the warm and cuddly escapes from a no deal brexit.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,720
    Toms said:

    Often, I hear the LDs scorned by tories and laborites for being uncommitted opportunists and generally wishy-washy. But, unlike the aforementioned, the LDs stance on brexit has been clear from the start. I'd like to see the Greens and LDs take over, starting with this country.

    ‘Opportunists’... an interesting argument from a party about to select Johnson as their next leader.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    Ishmael_Z said:

    It's an interesting quirk of the English language these days that when your interlocutor uses the word "respect," whether as noun or verb, it's odds on that you are dealing with a semiliterate arsehole.
    I have decided that there is no point dealing with HYUFD since he is, at least as far as I'm concerned, incapable of understanding plain English words.

    These days if I have to deal with "semiliterate arseholes" I tend to ask for a lot of money to do so.

    :)
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    And HYUFD and myself are in the same party would you believe but for how long is debatable
    You have joined the Brexit Party?
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited July 2019
    Interesting - the text of the Guardian article below seems suddenly to have gained a new paragraph right after the mention of tory opponents talking of a "national unity" government if he goes for no deal.

    "One senior source on Johnson’s transition team said that, as the new Tory leader, he would immediately emphasise “unity” and the need to bring the party and the country back together."
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,090
    Scott_P said:
    Sunny Uplands , believe in Brexit , job done !
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    You have joined the Brexit Party?
    Not in a million years
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    I’m still yet to hear the reasons why HYUFD voted remain in 2016 since he seems to reject absolutely many of the main arguments put forward by the Remain campaign. I understand that he is a Tory loyalist, and even thinks that the vote must be followed through, but what does he actually believe would be best for the country?
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578
    Anyone else feeling their first tinge of political optimism, in about three years?

    OK, it's just me then. But fuck it. Even if Boris is a disaster he will be amusing (and we are in a disastrous position, anyhow). Also he is smart. He will probably be the smartest, best educated leader in the western world. Which comes as a relief after the national humiliation that was Theresa May, grimacing her awkward way across the world stage, like a mildly electrocuted praying mantis.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    Not in a million years
    Then I doubt you and he are in the same party. Mentally, he appears to have moved considerably towards the fringe :)
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Toms said:

    Often, I hear the LDs scorned by tories and laborites for being uncommitted opportunists and generally wishy-washy. But, unlike the aforementioned, the LDs stance on brexit has been clear from the start. I'd like to see the Greens and LDs take over, starting with this country.

    Problem with the Libdems is that they’ve so much seen their salvation coming from Brexit that they are in danger of being defined as a single issue party.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Then I doubt you and he are in the same party. Mentally, he appears to have moved considerably towards the fringe :)
    He has but there are many of us defending the moderate approach. (TM deal was ok)

    A no deal exit cuts that umbilical cord
  • ByronicByronic Posts: 3,578

    Once we've exited we can put the EU behind us in the rear view mirror and stop banging on about Europe.

    Europe will remain important to us and we will eventually get a trade deal, but it will be a much smaller part of our life.
    Even my most Remoanery friends have reached this stage. Acceptance and resignation, and a desire to Move On beyond Brexit (once it is done).
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    HYUFD said:

    In 2017 the Tories vote was up 14% across Scotland on 2015 but only 6% in East Dunbartonshire due to Tories tactically voting for Swinson
    How do you know that they were tactically voting, rather than pro-Remain, pro-Union converts to the Lib Dem cause? Is the view from Essex that clear?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Then I doubt you and he are in the same party. Mentally, he appears to have moved considerably towards the fringe :)
    Hey there! Good to see you back :smile:
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,720
    Byronic said:

    Anyone else feeling their first tinge of political optimism, in about three years?

    OK, it's just me then. But fuck it. Even if Boris is a disaster he will be amusing (and we are in a disastrous position, anyhow). Also he is smart. He will probably be the smartest, best educated leader in the western world. Which comes as a relief after the national humiliation that was Theresa May, grimacing her awkward way across the world stage, like a mildly electrocuted praying mantis.

    A pale imitation of the lamented SeanT.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited July 2019

  • ZephyrZephyr Posts: 438

    He has but there are many of us defending the moderate approach. (TM deal was ok)

    A no deal exit cuts that umbilical cord
    But it doesn’t stay no deal does it? It moves on from no deal to a deal not dissimilar to hard brexit, surely? So the main difference between no deal and hard brexit is a couple of months extra chaos (to a degree to be argued over) before both options result in pretty much the same destination?

    Explain why I have this wrong, because all those, and I can name you, who big up no deal are in fact making hard brexit deal sound like a compromise, when actually the destination is the same.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    alex. said:

    Problem with the Libdems is that they’ve so much seen their salvation coming from Brexit that they are in danger of being defined as a single issue party.
    Unlike, say, The Brexit Party. Or the Tory Party even.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    Byronic said:

    Even my most Remoanery friends have reached this stage. Acceptance and resignation, and a desire to Move On beyond Brexit (once it is done).
    They are obviously not @HYUFD's 'diehard Remainers' :wink:
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    HYUFD said:

    No, we give a shot about regaining sovereignty, controlling our borders and ultimately doing our own trade deals as 17 million people voted for but I know you have no interest in respecting the biggest vote in post war UK history.

    As I pointed out if the Canadian Tories win November's election and beat Trudeau's Liberals a Canada UK FTA will likely be fasttracked and CETA rolled over anyway
    What? When the Canadians are sitting sweet like that? Able to export tariff free and slap a lucrative tax on imports? You need to listen to the increasingly ranged Liam Fox, who made the exact point today. As Trade Secretary, he is beginning to learn. How long for everyone else?
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    Byronic said:

    Even my most Remoanery friends have reached this stage. Acceptance and resignation, and a desire to Move On beyond Brexit (once it is done).
    Get better friends. The campaign to rejoin starts the day we leave - if the leavers ever work out how to actually leave in the first place.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    alex. said:

    I’m still yet to hear the reasons why HYUFD voted remain in 2016 since he seems to reject absolutely many of the main arguments put forward by the Remain campaign. I understand that he is a Tory loyalist, and even thinks that the vote must be followed through, but what does he actually believe would be best for the country?

    Are you wholly discounting the notion that he might be getting paid?
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited July 2019
    Byronic said:

    Even my most Remoanery friends have reached this stage. Acceptance and resignation, and a desire to Move On beyond Brexit (once it is done).
    This is wishful thinking, among the population at large, and the polls don't support it.

    What they do show is an increasingly polarised desire either to cancel, or to exit with no-deal, in order to get to the aforementioned "getting over it".
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    kjh said:

    I'll give you another real life example of the damage this will cause. In 1993 I was taken on to project manager a bid in Cyprus. It was the final stage head to head for 2 large US companies with European headquarters in UK. It was 3 month project in which each bidder had to build a dummy 3 office branch network and also carry out a large number of technical tests. The demonstration lasted 3 weeks at the end of the development. We won the bid. The initial deal was worth $10m with considerable add on business over the years. The maintenance contract was worth $1m / annum.

    The project was a nightmare and during it we needed specialist equipment to be flown out from the UK. It got held up in customs for weeks. I know our opposition had the same issue because I chased customs everyday and on one occasion Cyprus customs got us mixed up (Unusual identical equipment at the same time so an obvious mistake).

    Jump forward to now where no such customs problems exist in the EU. You now lose that business to a company located in the EU or you move your European operation to the EU. I can tell you we would have lost because we were on the edge of failure as it was.
    Since 1993 customs procedures have been liberalised dramatically and IT systems have done more to speed up the process.

    Cyprus was not in the EU in 1993 so it did not have to follow harmonised EU procedures. Nowadays if they had rubbish procedures for customs you could import to another EU country first and then send on to Cyprus.

    i thought it was brexiteers that lived in the past.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited July 2019


    You have

    He has but there are many of us defending the moderate approach. (TM deal was ok)

    A no deal exit cuts that umbilical cord
    Odd analogy.

    I cut the umbilical cord for both of my daughters at their birth. No regrets.

    It denotes separation and in no deal, no regrets
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Get better friends. The campaign to rejoin starts the day we leave - if the leavers ever work out how to actually leave in the first place.
    It's a big 'if' that one.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Zephyr said:

    But it doesn’t stay no deal does it? It moves on from no deal to a deal not dissimilar to hard brexit, surely? So the main difference between no deal and hard brexit is a couple of months extra chaos (to a degree to be argued over) before both options result in pretty much the same destination?

    Explain why I have this wrong, because all those, and I can name you, who big up no deal are in fact making hard brexit deal sound like a compromise, when actually the destination is the same.
    Hang on.

    I do not big up no deal, I am appalled at the economic armageddon it would cause

    My position has always been TM deal or similar
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 20,172
    So will Hammond resign tomorrow or on Wednesday?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    alex. said:

    I’m still yet to hear the reasons why HYUFD voted remain in 2016 since he seems to reject absolutely many of the main arguments put forward by the Remain campaign. I understand that he is a Tory loyalist, and even thinks that the vote must be followed through, but what does he actually believe would be best for the country?

    That, at all costs, and under all circumstances, the Conservative Party should be in power. If they promised to seize the commanding heights of the economy for the workers Soviet, he'd be cheering it on.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    alex. said:

    Problem with the Libdems is that they’ve so much seen their salvation coming from Brexit that they are in danger of being defined as a single issue party.
    I would like to know what the Lib Dems big retail offer to the electorate that is not B2B.

    I do not have a clue and I follow politics.
  • StreeterStreeter Posts: 684

    Are you wholly discounting the notion that he might be getting paid?
    Well he certainly doesn’t have time to do any other paid work, he squats on here 24/7.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    So will Hammond resign tomorrow or on Wednesday?

    Wednesday
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    Hey there! Good to see you back :smile:
    Thanks. I only returned to join in the jollifications for the coronation of the Blond Buffoon. I imagine his acceptance speech will be remembered for decades ...

    Phwoar! Yes! Well! Blimey! Crikey! Err... Yes!!

    Absolutely!!!!
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    edited July 2019

    Unlike, say, The Brexit Party. Or the Tory Party even.
    I am perfectly happy to dismiss the Brexit Party as a single issue Party. And the current Tory party as a basket case that has forgotten what being a “party of government” under FPTP requires. When I am talking about the “ the danger” for the Lib Dem’s I am genuinely talking about them aspiring to be a party of Govt. why restrict your ambitions to preventing Brexit when there is such a gaping hole opening up as offering a sane alternative as a party of govt?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518
    Streeter said:

    Well he certainly doesn’t have time to do any other paid work, he squats on here 24/7.
    Maybe he's a lawyer and is posting here while billing his time to someone else :wink:
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    Hang on.

    I do not big up no deal, I am appalled at the economic armageddon it would cause

    My position has always been TM deal or similar
    Armageddon - "a dramatic and catastrophic conflict, especially one seen as likely to destroy the world or the human race."

    Those ERGers they are the extremists.
This discussion has been closed.