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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marg

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  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    TOPPING said:

    A lot of them can't just snap out of it.

    You sound like a Tory.

    😉
    And the ones from the rest of the Eu (40% of London roigh sleepers from Eu) should be deported.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006

    Around 75% of rough sleepers have serious psychosis and subtsance abuse issues, and therefore probably aren't really capable of just "snapping out of it".

    And the rest will tend to develop them very quickly. Sleeping rough is not healthy for one's mental wellbeing.
    Just be clear. I never said ‘snap out if it’.
  • TOPPING said:

    Estimates are around 6,000 - 13,000.

    So potentially a large slug of the 20,000 increase since 2009.

    Afghan kicked off again in 2006 and that (a 3-5 year engagement) would correlate with the 2009 increase.

    I have no firm stats on that. Are there stats on immigrant homelessness?
    What's changed to correlate military service with homelessness ?

    It didn't happen after the World Wars.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited December 2018

    I don't know if you guys have seen this, but this is very special.

    We have hit rock Brexit bottom: Brendan O'Neill delivering the *worst possible* take on

    The rest of your post is supeflous. O'Neill always delivers the worst take on any subject, although I will treause his worst possible take on the Conservative-DUP alliance.

    I genuinely want to know why the Living Marxism crowd have such ludicrous outsized influence in the UK media.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,888

    Around 75% of rough sleepers have serious psychosis and subtsance abuse issues, and therefore probably aren't really capable of just "snapping out of it".

    And the rest will tend to develop them very quickly. Sleeping rough is not healthy for one's mental wellbeing.
    Living in a hostel is not that great either. Rough sleeping is more a result of unsuitable mental health provision than a lack of beds.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234


    What's changed to correlate military service with homelessness ?

    It didn't happen after the World Wars.

    After the war we had adequate social housing provision and a functional social safety net.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,983
    edited December 2018

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/682001/Rough_Sleeping_Autumn_2017_Statistical_Release_-_revised.pdf
    Thanks. If we assume that 3/4 of the 8% who refused to disclose their nationality were non British that would suggest that 26% of the rough sleepers were non UK nationals, massively disproportional to their numbers overall.
  • After the war we had adequate social housing provision and a functional social safety net.
    There was massive shortage of housing after each of the World Wars and the welfare state was far less developed back then.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Alistair said:

    The rest of your post is supeflous. O'Neill always delivers the worst take on any subject, although I will treause his worst possible take on the Conservative-DUP alliance.

    I genuinely want to know why the Living Marxism crowd have such ludicrous outsized influence in the UK media.
    Did it turn out recently that O'Neill is bankrolled by Koch Media?

    From Living Marxism to Nazi Billionaires in two decades. Quite the journey for our Brendan.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006

    After the war we had adequate social housing provision and a functional social safety net.
    A lot less came back than went out.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    DavidL said:

    Thanks. If we assume that 3/4 of the 8% who refused to disclose their nationality were non British that would suggest that 26% of the rough sleepers were non UK nationals, massively disproportional to their numbers overall.
    Why does their nationality matter so much? Human beings, on the streets of London, human beings on the streets of Edinburgh, human beings on the streets of Paris.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234

    There was massive shortage of housing after each of the World Wars and the welfare state was far less developed back then.
    I don't know the true answer, but I suspect it might be "because we locked people with PTSD away in asylums instead of letting them die of hypothermia and heroin overdoses in Westminster gutters".
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,983

    Around 75% of rough sleepers have serious psychosis and subtsance abuse issues, and therefore probably aren't really capable of just "snapping out of it".

    And the rest will tend to develop them very quickly. Sleeping rough is not healthy for one's mental wellbeing.
    There is a cause and effect problem there but care in the community has been a disaster for many of the least capable of our society.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    edited December 2018
    Anazina said:

    Why does their nationality matter so much? Human beings, on the streets of London, human beings on the streets of Edinburgh, human beings on the streets of Paris.
    That shouldnt be here. We’ve always had beggars, itinerants and vagrants. The opening of borders made us a magnet for the ones from Eastern Europe.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,367
    Anazina said:

    Why does their nationality matter so much? Human beings, on the streets of London, human beings on the streets of Edinburgh, human beings on the streets of Paris.
    I would think nationality matters only in so much as if there is disproportion we need to get to the bottom of why that is in order to try to do something about it.

  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    I don't know if you guys have seen this, but this is very special.

    We have hit rock Brexit bottom: Brendan O'Neill delivering the *worst possible* take on Brexit that can ever be and will ever be.

    image

    I realised long ago that O’Neill is a spoof commentator, a satirist masquerading as a journalist.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    edited December 2018

    What's changed to correlate military service with homelessness ?

    It didn't happen after the World Wars.
    The support network (now often left to the regiments themselves) and, sadly, the scale and type of combat. The UK was engaged in war fighting for over ten years. Prior to that it was low intensity operations. The latter took its toll but not in as great a number.

    Edit: I think also the world wars were "all inclusive" events. Not a dirty little secret.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Populus poll incoming

    "How would you vote if the choice was between the government EU deal and staying in the EU?" Remain: 53% (+5) Leave: 47% (-5) +/- with 2016 Brexit vote Fieldwork: 24/10/18-06/11/18 Sample: 8,154

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500449376153608

    Not quite the C U R S E D N U M B E R S but close.


    Old poll. I’d expect a more recent survey to have shown a more pronounced shift.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,133

    What's changed to correlate military service with homelessness ?

    It didn't happen after the World Wars.

    It did. It's just been forgotten about.

    One of the reasons the Attlee government struggled in 1950 was that it had failed to build enough houses to meet demand, although more recent scholarship has suggested the perception they failed on this was a bit unfair (and certainly they faced an impossible task given the huge extent of the war damage and the growth in households). Twenty thousand people squatted in army barracks in 1946, for want of anywhere better.

    And after World War One, matters were far worse - even though the physical damage was less.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    Anazina said:


    Why does their nationality matter so much? Human beings, on the streets of London, human beings on the streets of Edinburgh, human beings on the streets of Paris.

    If we don't otherise and dehumanise immigrants, we might stop hating them and start treating them with compassion and dignity, and frankly that sort of behaviour has no place in Global Britain.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    For some reason you didn't mention this fact:

    ' The man, believed to be a 45-year-old Hungarian national called Gyula Remef '
    I wonder how much of the increase in homelessness is due to freedom of movement from Eastern Europe. In my part of London there were hardly any homeless and now there are dozens sleeping near the canals etc all from Eastern Europe.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200
    Anazina said:


    Old poll. I’d expect a more recent survey to have shown a more pronounced shift.
    Even that poll has changed already (!)...

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500678947188739
  • I don't know the true answer, but I suspect it might be "because we locked people with PTSD away in asylums instead of letting them die of hypothermia and heroin overdoses in Westminster gutters".
    Yet we didn't lock hundreds of thousands with PTSD away in asylums after the World Wars did we.

    Now I wonder if the people who join the military now are already susceptible to the potential problems which lead to homelessness.

    Whereas when the military was raised from mass conscription the number of ex servicemen with these potential problems was proportionally much, much smaller.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    I just don't get the point of Populus publishing a poll whose fieldwork is a month and a half out of date.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    notme2 said:

    That shouldnt be here. We’ve always had beggars, itinerants and vagrants. The opening of borders made us a magnet for the ones from Eastern Europe.
    #leavergrammar
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,562
    Anazina said:


    Old poll. I’d expect a more recent survey to have shown a more pronounced shift.
    The most recent poll is 63/37 among those certain to vote according to Kellner.

    https://infacts.org/polling-shows-growing-support-for-staying-in-eu/
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    nunuone said:

    I wonder how much of the increase in homelessness is due to freedom of movement from Eastern Europe. In my part of London there were hardly any homeless and now there are dozens sleeping near the canals etc all from Eastern Europe.
    30% of all rough sleeping in London is accounted for by the accession countries of the east.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Even that poll has changed already (!)...

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500678947188739

    Lol! There’s no stopping us now :smiley:
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,133

    Even that poll has changed already (!)...

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500678947188739
    Misleading to compare it with the result. Should be with the last Populous poll before the referendum really, depending on the methodology.

    Unfortunately that showed 55/45 Remain, so this would suggest no significant shift.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200

    I just don't get the point of Populus publishing a poll whose fieldwork is a month and a half out of date.

    ... and then still getting it wrong and having to re-publish it a minute later.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787

    Did it turn out recently that O'Neill is bankrolled by Koch Media?

    From Living Marxism to Nazi Billionaires in two decades. Quite the journey for our Brendan.
    I have seen a theory that the LM clique are still really True Believers but have decided the best way to advance the Revolution is to do everything they can from within capitalism to make it so unbearable that the proles finally revolt.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Comfortable win for my son’s club Spurs in the derby. Watch them draw City in the semi.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006

    Yet we didn't lock hundreds of thousands with PTSD away in asylums after the World Wars did we.

    Now I wonder if the people who join the military now are already susceptible to the potential problems which lead to homelessness.

    Whereas when the military was raised from mass conscription the number of ex servicemen with these potential problems was proportionally much, much smaller.
    PTSD was very common after ww2. It wasnt called that of course. Iirc my own grandfather ended up admitted for a period of time for whatever euphemism it was given at the time.
  • If Jez went for A50 revocation instead....


    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1075356582291140608
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,133
    notme2 said:

    PTSD was very common after ww2. It wasnt called that of course. Iirc my own grandfather ended up admitted for a period of time for whatever euphemism it was given at the time.
    The official word used was 'neurasthenia.'
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,562
    rpjs said:

    I have seen a theory that the LM clique are still really True Believers but have decided the best way to advance the Revolution is to do everything they can from within capitalism to make it so unbearable that the proles finally revolt.
    The Times’ Brussels correspondent is also from the LM clique and has consistently written rubbish about the EU being ready to concede on everything.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    If Jez went for A50 revocation instead....


    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1075356582291140608

    Lots of ifs and buts there! I don’t see how the government loses a vonc.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,133

    If Jez went for A50 revocation instead....


    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1075356582291140608

    Surely he would have to pass a vote of confidence before he could pass a law repealing A50? Or even extending it?
  • VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,555

    I just don't get the point of Populus publishing a poll whose fieldwork is a month and a half out of date.

    Probably a private poll which has partially been released?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,317

    If Jez went for A50 revocation instead....


    https://twitter.com/DavidHerdson/status/1075356582291140608

    One for the ECJ? :smiley:
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    notme2 said:

    PTSD was very common after ww2. It wasnt called that of course. Iirc my own grandfather ended up admitted for a period of time for whatever euphemism it was given at the time.
    “Shell shock” I think
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,328

    There was massive shortage of housing after each of the World Wars and the welfare state was far less developed back then.
    What we didn't have then was a lot of the legislation about fire regulations and minimum standards etc.
  • Anazina said:

    Comfortable win for my son’s club Spurs in the derby. Watch them draw City in the semi.

    And then Man Utd pinch their manager !!!!!
  • daodaodaodao Posts: 821
    ydoethur said:

    And one who was in the fast lane to success.
    Maybe Corbyn was thinking of her when he made his sotto voce comment at PMQ.
  • daodaodaodao Posts: 821
    edited December 2018
    TOPPING said:

    Either

    a) deal; or
    b) A50 extension and deal/remain referendum.

    No other options.
    The decision to leave has already been made on 23/6/18 and confirmed by the HoC in March 2017 when A50 was invoked. The choice now is between May's deal or no deal, and if there is to be a referendum (which I hope there won't be), these should be the options on the ballot paper.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,995
    daodao said:

    The decision to leave has already been made on 23/6/18 and confirmed by the HoC in March 2017 when A50 was invoked. The choice now is between May's deal or no deal, and if there is to be a referendum (which I hope there won't be), these should be the options on the ballot paper.
    How many times do we have to point out that MPs will never put no deal on the ballot paper.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    edited December 2018

    And then Man Utd pinch their manager !!!!!
    Well it is called the Theatre of Dreams. Man U's temp managers record in the Premiership. Played 18 won 3.
    Man U sacked the wrong person. The investment banker should have gone as well.

    Edit: They should have hired Wenger for the temp period. Pogba, Martial etc he would have understood and been able to handle their sulks.
  • Well it is called the Theatre of Dreams. Man U's temp managers record in the Premiership. Played 18 won 3.
    Man U sacked the wrong person. The investment banker should have gone as well.
    I am very content tonight that Ole is back. I was in Barcelona on that magic night
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,806
    Well they do say revenge is a dish best served cold...


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFaTL7b5Hns&t=2s
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    I am very content tonight that Ole is back. I was in Barcelona on that magic night
    His record as a manager in the premier league is not great.
    The appointment suggest they have give up on getting a top four place.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200

    I am very content tonight that Ole is back. I was in Barcelona on that magic night
    A win at Cardiff would be good :) But the style of play is more important!
  • daodaodaodao Posts: 821
    IanB2 said:

    How many times do we have to point out that MPs will never put no deal on the ballot paper.
    The government can block any "remain" option being on the ballot paper. No deal is the default position if May's deal is not ratified.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,995

    Former PBer IOS boasted about Labour having 1,600 activists working in Hornsey in 2015.

    He also gave us some reports from a Crouch End coffee shop.
    Yet Anazina is right to challenge the figure - doing some digging, the membership appears to have peaked at around 5,000, and is now about 4,500. Which is about 6-7%. Maybe I picked up the higher figure from one of the wards; apologies for any misleading. Nevertheless it's still an impressive figure.
  • Yorkcity said:

    His record as a manager in the premier league is not great.
    The appointment suggest they have give up on getting a top four place.
    I think that is impossible to achieve and expect Europa league next year

    But I want attacking football back in the tradition of the club
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    A win at Cardiff would be good :) But the style of play is more important!
    The only award Man U will be winning for stylish play is "most stylish retrieval of football from back of ones own net."
  • A win at Cardiff would be good :) But the style of play is more important!
    Indeed it is.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,995
    edited December 2018
    daodao said:

    The government can block any "remain" option being on the ballot paper. No deal is the default position if May's deal is not ratified.
    That is a different point. If there is a referendum, it won't include no deal. Because it is vague and ill-defined, because it is damaging, but most obviously because there is a clear majority against it.

    Edit/ and since a referendum requires legislation, and legislation can be amended, no, the government cannot block any particular option.
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    TOPPING said:

    Either

    a) deal; or
    b) A50 extension and deal/remain referendum.

    No other options.
    Well, I don't think there'll be a referendum, just as I don't think there'll be "no deal". But WA or extension are the options.
  • Hard to believe UKIP wouldn’t field a candidate in Peterbrough. That might be important.
  • I am very content tonight that Ole is back. I was in Barcelona on that magic night
    As a United hater, I'm very content that you've gone for Ole too!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200

    The only award Man U will be winning for stylish play is "most stylish retrieval of football from back of ones own net."
    Your jokes are as hilarious as your opinions are sound! :wink:
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,367

    Hard to believe UKIP wouldn’t field a candidate in Peterbrough. That might be important.

    What about the Farage's rumoured NewKip?
  • Yet we didn't lock hundreds of thousands with PTSD away in asylums after the World Wars did we.

    Now I wonder if the people who join the military now are already susceptible to the potential problems which lead to homelessness.

    Whereas when the military was raised from mass conscription the number of ex servicemen with these potential problems was proportionally much, much smaller.
    I wonder if part of the issue today is not with the men themselves but with the fact they make up such a tiny proportion of the population. After the two world wars practically every man had served in some capacity or other and so understood what their fellow soldiers had experienced. Every family had had men serving and dying or at least knew neighbours and friends who had. As such there was a communal understanding of what these men had experienced.

    One of the common refrains today from ex service men who have seen combat is that no one in the community at large understands what they have been through. They feel isolated from society and so are more likely to suffer from mental issues and drop out of normal life.

    Whatever the cause I believe it is incumbent upon us as a country to do far more to help these men.
  • As a United hater, I'm very content that you've gone for Ole too!
    I hope you are not a Spurs supporter as they lose their manager to United in the summer
  • daodaodaodao Posts: 821
    IanB2 said:

    That is a different point. If there is a referendum, it won't include no deal. Because it is vague and ill-defined, because it is damaging, but most obviously because there is a clear majority against it.

    Edit/ and since a referendum requires legislation, and legislation can be amended, no, the government cannot block any particular option.
    Governments often hold plebiscites with one of the options being unpalatable and/or unlikely to win, in order to confirm their preferred option in a pseudo-democratic manner.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    Hard to believe UKIP wouldn’t field a candidate in Peterbrough. That might be important.

    They have a policy or had, that they do not stand against Leavers. As I understand it the proposed Tory candidate is a leaver.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200
    edited December 2018
    kle4 said:

    What about the Farage's rumoured NewKip?
    If Farage starts up NewKIP, UKIP will become FewKIP, and may well be ThroughKIP.
  • They have a policy or had, that they do not stand against Leavers. As I understand it the proposed Tory candidate is a leaver.

    Not sure that would still be the case - especially if the Tory backed May’s deal.

  • I hope you are not a Spurs supporter as they lose their manager to United in the summer
    Nah, I've seriously fallen out of love with the Premier league. Don't really support the England men's team either. I've taken up support of Melton Rugby Club instead!
  • Nah, I've seriously fallen out of love with the Premier league. Don't really support the England men's team either. I've taken up support of Melton Rugby Club instead!
    I can see some sense in that
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,864
    edited December 2018

    I hope you are not a Spurs supporter as they lose their manager to United in the summer
    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
  • RobD said:

    One for the ECJ? :smiley:
    Eh? Surely until Jezza has won a vote of confidence a Labour "government" could not enact or carry out anything?
  • Pidcock is a class act isn't she?
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138

    ... and then still getting it wrong and having to re-publish it a minute later.
    Stupid people........
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    At a minimum it is a 5 year rebuilding job, not the team but the whole club and more like 10 years and this requires Woodward to go now.
    The Utd stars now send their kids to the City academy, you could not get a bigger indication of how far they have fallen.
  • Yellow_SubmarineYellow_Submarine Posts: 647
    edited December 2018
    I think there has quite rightly been some push back against the ex Services ' Homeless " trope. Ex Services *are* over represented in homeless populations especially rough sleeping but it's not as dramatic as you think. You also have to control for the demographics who join the services in the first place. Disproportionately younger men with lower levels of formal qualifications from poorer areas of BritIan who are attracted to a highly regimented lifestyle. Once you take real figures and control for demographics the gap us still there but not huge. So why ? I don't know but the anecdata suggests under treated PTSD following two high intensity morally opaque wars we lost is part of it.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,317

    Eh? Surely until Jezza has won a vote of confidence a Labour "government" could not enact or carry out anything?
    I'll admit, it's a convenient way to get a two year extension for the A50 process. :p
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,668
    Anazina said:

    I don’t doubt it’s a heartland, I live close to there and can confirm that north London is very red. But 20% of the adult population strikes me as fake news.
    Yes, it was 4400 last year, which I'd guess is about 6% of the electorate.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/the-corbyn-surge-labour-s-members-tend-to-be-older-middle-class-and-gender-balanced-a8173141.html

    It was the first place I canvassed as a teenager (Jeremy Corbyn was the agent), back in 1966. A key issue in those days was Cyprus - there was a big Greek-descended community there and a significant Turkish one too. Canvassers were strictly told to avoid taking sides, and both communities used to help Labour, with a certain rivalry - I remember a feisty Greek with a bushy moustache asking me fiercely, "Where are the Turkish comrades!?" But even in those days there was fervent engagement from middle-class and young voters - I remember going round on an open-topped bus and people leaning out of their windows to cheer us on. Romantic times!
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679
    IanB2 said:

    In London for sure, but then London accounts for a remarkably high percentage of the membership (I can't remember the figure). Hornsey and Wood Green has the highest membership and as I recall something like 20% of the adult population in that seat are Labour members (yet the LibDems still manage to do very well there).
    Well knowing a zealous partisan for a particular cause doesn't always make you keen to support that cause.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,200
    edited December 2018
    Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    Been there, done that, it's no fun at all...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973–74_Manchester_United_F.C._season

    More chance of the Tories splitting irrevocably. (Oh... )
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    IanB2 said:

    Yet Anazina is right to challenge the figure - doing some digging, the membership appears to have peaked at around 5,000, and is now about 4,500. Which is about 6-7%. Maybe I picked up the higher figure from one of the wards; apologies for any misleading. Nevertheless it's still an impressive figure.
    Yes, still a remarkably high number!
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    Ha! Well as a Forest man I wouldn’t wish that on my worst enemies! Sharp analysis, by the way!
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,328
    Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    Man City's part in their demise has been underrated. United have to overtake City to be considered a success and while Pep lives that isn't going to happen. Much better for Poch to stay at Spurs and go for best of the rest
  • Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    Seems he is close to Fergie and looks like he wants the job. We will see
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,864

    Been there, done that, it's no fun at all...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973–74_Manchester_United_F.C._season

    More chance of the Tories splitting irrevocably. (Oh... )
    It sorts the wheat from the chaff. I enjoyed Leicester in League 1 more than I expected, new teams, and getting back to winning ways. It's another teams turn in the sun.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    As a United hater, I'm very content that you've gone for Ole too!

    The PB Scousers are far more annoying - no discernible Merseyside heritage. It’s as if they woke up one morning in Surrey and decided to support LFC.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794
    Foxy said:

    They said that about Harry Maguire last summer. Many other clubs are as rich as Man U now, with no need to sell.

    Spurs won't sell Poch, and he would be crazy to go. Man U manager is a cursed job that destroys the careers of all who take it. Man U is at risk of becoming another Forest.
    Poch will use the Man U offer as leverage to get multi-year transfer budget committments from Levy, in return Levy signs him to another 5 year deal that will cost £70m+ to buy out taking both Man U and Real Madrid out of the running.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,864

    Seems he is close to Fergie and looks like he wants the job. We will see
    ManU will never improve with SAF as a back seat driver. That is part of the problem, he recommended the last 3 managers as I recall.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,794

    Seems he is close to Fergie and looks like he wants the job. We will see
    Manure fans clutching at straws lol. You're a second rate club now and the job is a poisoned chalice.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    MaxPB said:

    Poch will use the Man U offer as leverage to get multi-year transfer budget committments from Levy, in return Levy signs him to another 5 year deal that will cost £70m+ to buy out taking both Man U and Real Madrid out of the running.
    Yep and if he buys well, Spurs have a great future.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,864
    edited December 2018
    Anazina said:


    The PB Scousers are far more annoying - no discernible Merseyside heritage. It’s as if they woke up one morning in Surrey and decided to support LFC.
    Sheffield rather than Surrey, I believe :)

    I am Lancastrian by birth, Leicester by adoption, but there is nothing more Leicester than that.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    Seems he is close to Fergie and looks like he wants the job. We will see
    When Pep took a year off from management after Bayern he moved to NY and his neighbour was SAF. His neighbour for a year. Worked out well for City, why is SAF so toxic to other managers joining?
  • The next question re Homelessness is what do we mean by the term. It covers everything from the minimilist rough sleeping to maximilist insecurely housed. Even blue chip housing charities who spend 11 months of the year educating on the ' Iceberg ' effect of homelessness run corporate comms around rough sleeping in December because they know it's what the media, donors and the public want.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Yes, it was 4400 last year, which I'd guess is about 6% of the electorate.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/the-corbyn-surge-labour-s-members-tend-to-be-older-middle-class-and-gender-balanced-a8173141.html

    It was the first place I canvassed as a teenager (Jeremy Corbyn was the agent), back in 1966. A key issue in those days was Cyprus - there was a big Greek-descended community there and a significant Turkish one too. Canvassers were strictly told to avoid taking sides, and both communities used to help Labour, with a certain rivalry - I remember a feisty Greek with a bushy moustache asking me fiercely, "Where are the Turkish comrades!?" But even in those days there was fervent engagement from middle-class and young voters - I remember going round on an open-topped bus and people leaning out of their windows to cheer us on. Romantic times!
    Ha! Great story. We are a few miles away where it is far more mixed politically.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,282

    If Farage starts up NewKIP, UKIP will become FewKIP, and may well be ThroughKIP.
    But Farage will never get to lead BlueKIP. Which is where the power and the votes will be.....
  • Anazina said:


    The PB Scousers are far more annoying - no discernible Merseyside heritage. It’s as if they woke up one morning in Surrey and decided to support LFC.
    Klopp's passion and visible love for football draws players and fans in - I'm not a football fan but if I was I'd be drawn by that too
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Foxy said:

    Sheffield rather than Surrey, I believe :)

    I am Lancastrian by birth, Leicester by adoption, but there is nothing more Leicester than that.
    You live there though? That’s plenty cause enough.

    P.S. I was actually rooting for you in the match last night. What the hell happened with the pens? It must rank as one of the worst shoot outs in history!
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    But Farage will never get to lead BlueKIP. Which is where the power and the votes will be.....

    I always thought You Kip was a description of most members’ afternoons
  • TheJezziahTheJezziah Posts: 3,840
    United should have stuck with LVG for a bit longer, he had turned things around to an extent and was bringing through young players. We had a great record against the biggest teams we just needed a window or two to bring in star players to steamroll the bottom 12 teams in the league. The style of play wasn't great but overall I would argue it was the best of the 3 managers post Fergie although I might be biased towards big games.
This discussion has been closed.