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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marg

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  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,027
    ydoethur said:

    She clearly thought she would never be caught or challenged, because of who she was. But to put it mildly that was foolish. Precisely because she was high profile she would attract more attention.

    Put it this way, if this is a sample of her approach I'm glad she wasn't my solicitor. Mine is very meticulous and plays it absolutely by the book - which is what I look for in a solicitor.
    We are lucky to live in a country where it works that way. In many - indeed most, probably - a politician probably would be able to get away with such stuff.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647

    I’m fed up with Brexiters pissing on my leg and telling me it’s raining.

    The country is in a state of political and cultural enervation unknown in a generation.

    We are openly talking about about the likelihood of independence for Scotland *and* Irish unification, and I note that in the case of a kamikaze (aka No Deal) Brexit all bets on Gibraltar are off.

    I’m happy to use the disintegration metaphor.
    Yeah agree but that was a(n albeit weak) joke from @Charles.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Just out of interest: Livingstone and Corbyn... but who are the other two?
    Gerry Adams. I don't know the other guy
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    That bears little to no relation to what happened. Previously dead constituencies sprung to life. Some constituencies ballooned to massive membership numbers and even most of the biggest critics of Corbyn and momentum after the election came out and praised them and the other new young members work for helping produce the result.

    You had individual constituency campaigns getting more volunteers coming in than they knew what to do with.
    Where do you actually live? Because round here I'd say it's the reverse. Labour in Staffordshire seem to be literally dying off.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    ydoethur said:

    Don't be sure. A year and she will almost certainly appeal. The judge will not want that. A lower sentence might come into play for that reason.
    There is also the fact that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts.

    However I think the fact she is a sitting MP and a legal professional should mean that an example is made.

    No matter the sentence, she cannot be allowed to remain in Parliament. And I don't honestly care who wins the by-election - she has to go.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,181
    edited December 2018
    Charles said:

    Nothing to do with your race - that’s the only distinguishing feature I know about you. I could have equally said “North Londoner”

    It was meant to be an obvious generalisation about obviously generalising.

    But I forgot you were a humourless fuckwit. For the avoidance of doubt, that’s just you and has nothing to do with your race, colour, religion or sexual preferences
    That’s two fuckwits from you in one night.
    I thought the noblesse were supposed to be obliging?!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,495
    edited December 2018

    There is also the fact that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts.

    However I think the fact she is a sitting MP and a legal professional should mean that an example is made.

    No matter the sentence, she cannot be allowed to remain in Parliament. And I don't honestly care who wins the by-election - she has to go.
    Do you have a link for your assertion that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts?
  • NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,329
    notme2 said:

    its very urban focussed and its' not that motivated. The people going out are the same old hands who have always gone out and a few newbies. The membership on paper bears no relationship to the people who come out to help.
    Labour are experts at racking up votes where they don’t need them. Whilst there were a few surprise gains in the last election labour racked up votes in safe seats and got 100 less seats for the same number of votes.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,027


    But The Labour manifesto promised to implement Brexit in 2017 Mike. Why vote for that if you are anti Brexit?
    There was a more Brexit party and a less Brexit party, which was as far as most people got, or needed to go. I would however have expected OGH to have done a bit more research.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046
    ydoethur said:

    Don't be sure. A year and she will almost certainly appeal. The judge will not want that. A lower sentence might come into play for that reason.
    You normally get 1/3 off for an early plea. Plus as a solicitor she is an officer of the court which is a further aggravation (Huhne, of course was aggravating in a variety of ways but not that).
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    There is also the fact that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts.

    However I think the fact she is a sitting MP and a legal professional should mean that an example is made.

    No matter the sentence, she cannot be allowed to remain in Parliament. And I don't honestly care who wins the by-election - she has to go.
    I would agree with every word in your last three sentences. I'm just not convinced they will happen.
  • There is also the fact that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts.

    However I think the fact she is a sitting MP and a legal professional should mean that an example is made.

    No matter the sentence, she cannot be allowed to remain in Parliament. And I don't honestly care who wins the by-election - she has to go.
    She can only be kicked out of the sentence is more than 12 months in gaol.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201

    She can only be kicked out of the sentence is more than 12 months in gaol.
    Peterborough Telegraph said that if the sentence is less than 12 months then it goes to recall. Then the good people of Peterborough get their say.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    Do you have a link for your assertion that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts?
    Try here, page 74:

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/380090/women-cjs-2013.pdf

    Although it isn't conclusive.
  • Life in Tory Britain, where a homeless man can be found dying metres away from the entrance to Parliament. He had a job, but couldn't afford to live in London on what he was earning. He collapsed near the revolving doors into Parliament, a victim of the cold. Died in hospital.

    https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/homeless-man-dies-metres-from-westminster-entrance_uk_5c1a621de4b0432554c6a3b6

    I think we should remember this man, when a Tory MP next tells us we have "record numbers of people in employment".

    This man was part of those record numbers.

    For some reason you didn't mention this fact:

    ' The man, believed to be a 45-year-old Hungarian national called Gyula Remef '
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Just out of interest: Livingstone and Corbyn... but who are the other two?
    Gerry Adams is second from left
  • She can only be kicked out of the sentence is more than 12 months in gaol.
    No, there's also the Recall Act.
  • ydoethur said:

    If I read the evidence correctly - which I may not be - she lied on both occasions she was caught speeding. So technically she kept a clean licence. Which makes her conduct still more baffling.

    Now I cannot honestly say I've never broken the speed limit and I'm sure you will tell me that's true of every driver. I've been lucky in that so far I've never been caught. But I hope that if (when) I am caught I will see a slap on the wrist and a small fine that will not stop me driving as preferable to a long prison sentence that would destroy my career.
    It's not an unusual trait for people to find it hard to admit to an error. We see a lot of such stubbornness here, for example. Clearly the MP took that to an extreme, but I was married to someone worse for a while.

    Everything was always someone else's fault. Why then accept a fine?
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,342

    Not Status Quo lyrics again?!

    PS Good evening to you too! :smile:
    Who or what is Status Quo? (That's a joke, I do read PB regularly even if I don't listen to music.)
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I think we all know it was a joke... don't slip into full-on Streisand mode. :wink:
    @Gardenwalker has form of accusing me of racism
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046

    Do you have a link for your assertion that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts?
    I don't but it is certainly consistent with my experience. There are always exceptions of course.

    My dear wife's very first plea in mitigation before an irascible Sheriff in Dundee where her client was guilty of shoplifting. She mentioned that the accused had a young child. Explosion on the bench. "I am sick of women coming to this court and trying to hide behind their babies". (addressing the accused directly) "And you can tell your thieving friends that as well!".
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    Do you have a link for your assertion that women, on the whole, get lower sentences for the same level of offence as their male counterparts?
    I don't have access to all the data on this - but http://library.college.police.uk/docs/hofindings/r10.pdf

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/380090/women-cjs-2013.pdf

    There is plenty more to show significant disparity between sentencing trends between male and female offenders.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    ydoethur said:

    If I read the evidence correctly - which I may not be - she lied on both occasions she was caught speeding. So technically she kept a clean licence. Which makes her conduct still more baffling.

    Now I cannot honestly say I've never broken the speed limit and I'm sure you will tell me that's true of every driver. I've been lucky in that so far I've never been caught. But I hope that if (when) I am caught I will see a slap on the wrist and a small fine that will not stop me driving as preferable to a long prison sentence that would destroy my career.
    I got caught doing 79 mph on the A1 some years ago, by a fixed camera.
    I believe they give you 10% over to make sure of a conviction.
    I was returning from London after visiting my daughter.
    They do send a letter initially requesting the registered keeper,who was driving the vehicle.
    I was offered the speed awareness course, which I took to avoid the points.

    North Yorkshire Police never had fixed speed cameras
    However the PCC has invested heavily in mobile speed camera vans.
    Which change locations every day.
    I am told they are very profitable.

    I
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    She can only be kicked out of the sentence is more than 12 months in gaol.
    I know that is the case. But she should resign no matter how she is sentenced. We cannot have someone convicted of perverting the course of justice sitting in Parliament.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    edited December 2018
    notme2 said:

    They happened a lot more, homelessness was much higher then.
    Yes it was for much of that period but between 2003 and 2010 it was reduced by 70%. It has sadly risen back up again by over 45% since then (figures for England only)

    https://fullfact.org/economy/homelessness-england/

    image
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Are all 17 million who voted Leave in that referendum baddies, or are you just some sort of generalising fuckwit?
    It’s quite funny though, the idea of it slowly dawning on Leavers that they’re the baddies.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn1VxaMEjRU
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227

    Peterborough Telegraph said that if the sentence is less than 12 months then it goes to recall. Then the good people of Peterborough get their say.
    Labour have already asked her to resign according to Order-Order. I am not sure how much pressure they can put on her though.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    Anazina said:

    It’s quite funny though, the idea of it slowly dawning on Leavers that they’re the baddies.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hn1VxaMEjRU
    And that is a brilliant sketch!
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    Labour have already asked her to resign according to Order-Order. I am not sure how much pressure they can put on her though.
    I suspect she will be encouraged to go and then a cushy job will be arranged working for a Union or pressure group after a couple of months.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    Labour have already asked her to resign according to Order-Order. I am not sure how much pressure they can put on her though.
    Not enough (cf O'Mara and Hopkins, or for that matter Field and Mann).
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227

    I know that is the case. But she should resign no matter how she is sentenced. We cannot have someone convicted of perverting the course of justice sitting in Parliament.
    I doubt you'll find anyone who disagrees (apart from maybe Onasanya herself) but parliament needs to change the law, that was itself introduced on the back of Bobby Sands winning election while on hunger strike in The Maze.

    If she tries to hang on I suspect that will provoke a law change - though of course there is no time for anything but Brexit at present.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,027

    That bears little to no relation to what happened. Previously dead constituencies sprung to life. Some constituencies ballooned to massive membership numbers and even most of the biggest critics of Corbyn and momentum after the election came out and praised them and the other new young members work for helping produce the result.

    You had individual constituency campaigns getting more volunteers coming in than they knew what to do with.
    In London for sure, but then London accounts for a remarkably high percentage of the membership (I can't remember the figure). Hornsey and Wood Green has the highest membership and as I recall something like 20% of the adult population in that seat are Labour members (yet the LibDems still manage to do very well there).
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487



    I can't say I've noticed much of that. Note an English person saying 'little Englanders' is not xenophobic. Also not sure if you were hinting at it but gammon is not racist.
    There was a bizarre episode on PB for a while whereby Morris Dancer and others continually referred to French people as Frogs but took great exception to the phrase Little Englander.

    Funny old world.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    Anazina said:

    There was a bizarre episode on PB for a while whereby Morris Dancer and others continually referred to French people as Frogs but took great exception to the phrase Little Englander.

    Funny old world.
    Well, it is a bit harsh on frogs. :smile:
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227

    I suspect she will be encouraged to go and then a cushy job will be arranged working for a Union or pressure group after a couple of months.
    ...or maybe a few more months than that if she is otherwise occupied :wink:
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,027

    Labour have already asked her to resign according to Order-Order. I am not sure how much pressure they can put on her though.
    Especially as I believe they have thrown her out.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046

    Yes it was for much of that period but between 2003 and 2010 it was reduced by 70%. It has sadly risen back up again by over 45% since then (figures for England only)

    https://fullfact.org/economy/homelessness-england/

    image
    The population has of course increased by more than 10% since 2004, almost exclusively as a result of immigration. Given our housebuilding record over that period and that influx it is frankly surprising that homelessness has not increased by more.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Charles said:

    Gerry Adams is second from left
    Is the other guy Art Garfunkel?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,008
    It never ceases to amaze me the stupidity of some people . Why on earth risk jail and being disbarred as a solicitor over a speeding offence.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    That’s two fuckwits from you in one night.
    I thought the noblesse were supposed to be obliging?!
    One of my duties is to call it as I see it
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    nico67 said:

    It never ceases to amaze me the stupidity of some people . Why on earth risk jail and being disbarred as a solicitor over a speeding offence.

    And one who was in the fast lane to success.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    IanB2 said:

    In London for sure, but then London accounts for a remarkably high percentage of the membership (I can't remember the figure). Hornsey and Wood Green has the highest membership and as I recall something like 20% of the adult population in that seat are Labour members (yet the LibDems still manage to do very well there).
    20% of adults in Hornsey are Labour members? Really?!? That’s a truly remarkable stat if true.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    ...or maybe a few more months than that if she is otherwise occupied :wink:
    She can write a prison diary column for Skwawkbox
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    ydoethur said:

    Well, it is a bit harsh on frogs. :smile:
    I think I first heard about the German term for Brits - 'Island Monkeys' - on PB (the things you learn on here!)

    I know it's supposed to be a derogatory term but I actually quite like it. Our sense of 'islandness' is deep-rooted in the British psyche (if that's not a sweeping generalisation :)), and we are primates after all, so it seems like a resonable epithet!
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    DavidL said:

    The population has of course increased by more than 10% since 2004, almost exclusively as a result of immigration. Given our housebuilding record over that period and that influx it is frankly surprising that homelessness has not increased by more.
    Not everything is about immigration David. That increase and those dates correlate quite well with our military escapades abroad and the flow of returning and retiring soldiers who are over represented amongst the homeless.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    Scott_P said:
    Her brother runs people’s vote... good job there isn’t an elite clique of people taking the piss.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    notme2 said:

    Her brother runs people’s vote... good job there isn’t an elite clique of people taking the piss.
    Scott_P said:
    I genuinely don’t grasp what the issue is here. If they can’t get a deal through parliament, what other option is there? General election I suppose, at a stretch. But Rudd is really only stating the bleeding obvious.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    edited December 2018

    Yes it was for much of that period but between 2003 and 2010 it was reduced by 70%. It has sadly risen back up again by over 45% since then (figures for England only)

    https://fullfact.org/economy/homelessness-england/

    image
    Laughable that you have produced a chart that clearly shows homelessness is but a fraction of what it was only a 12 years ago. Even a 45% increase on the low point classes as virtually s record low.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    Scott_P said:
    Seeing that there is a plausible argument is absolutely not the same as agreeing with that argument or advocating it as the way forward. And it is clear she does not agree with holding a second referendum and thinks it is up the Parliament to resolve this not the people.

    So this is not big news. It is stating the obvious and not what TND wants to mean.

  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,591
    IanB2 said:





    In London for sure, but then London accounts for a remarkably high percentage of the membership (I can't remember the figure). Hornsey and Wood Green has the highest membership and as I recall something like 20% of the adult population in that seat are Labour members (yet the LibDems still manage to do very well there).

    I don't think it's as high as 20% of the population, that would imply more than 10,000 members. IIRC it's closer to 4,000.

    However it's true that Labour membership has increased dramatically since 2016, my own CLP has increased more than threefold and I think that's quite typical.
  • Anazina said:

    20% of adults in Hornsey are Labour members? Really?!? That’s a truly remarkable stat if true.
    Former PBer IOS boasted about Labour having 1,600 activists working in Hornsey in 2015.

    He also gave us some reports from a Crouch End coffee shop.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    Anazina said:

    I genuinely don’t grasp what the issue is here. If they can’t get a deal through parliament, what other option is there? General election I suppose, at a stretch. But Rudd is really only stating the bleeding obvious.
    Either

    a) deal; or
    b) A50 extension and deal/remain referendum.

    No other options.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006

    She can only be kicked out of the sentence is more than 12 months in gaol.
    But she can be kicked out even if that sentence is suspended.
  • ralphmalphralphmalph Posts: 2,201
    notme2 said:

    Her brother runs people’s vote... good job there isn’t an elite clique of people taking the piss.
    Peoples vote is Blair, Campbell and their mates money behind it. Any Tory MP should avoid the organisation like the plague. I can remember gullible Tory MP's turning up to Open Britain )The umbrella organisation of PV) to learn that a load of die hard labour and lib dems were only goint to Target Tory Leaver MP seats.
    Gullible is a word that is insufficiently strong for these Tory MP's that are getting involved in this.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    notme2 said:

    But she can be kicked out even if that sentence is suspended.
    I thought we abolished suspended sentences? Or am I late with the noose?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,368
    Donny43 said:

    What is ridiculous is people still thinking after Scotland 2015 and 2017 that there is such a thing as an inherently safe seat.
    Most places have not gone the way Scotland has recently.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    edited December 2018
    How many MPs have been sent to prison since the war?

    I can think of two Aitken and Huhne.

    Bobby Sands of course was in prison when elected.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046
    TOPPING said:

    Not everything is about immigration David. That increase and those dates correlate quite well with our military escapades abroad and the flow of returning and retiring soldiers who are over represented amongst the homeless.
    Whilst it is a depressing fact that too many ex service men end up homeless the numbers of our forces are just too small to explain changes like that. Did we not have 8k in Afghanistan for most of that period? Obviously on rotation but out of something like 80k in all. You are talking hundreds (which is far too many of course).

    What we also had was approximately 3.5m eastern Europeans, many of them low paid, young, not a little vulnerable and away from family support networks. It is unusual to find a beggar in Edinburgh with English as a first language.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006

    Former PBer IOS boasted about Labour having 1,600 activists working in Hornsey in 2015.

    He also gave us some reports from a Crouch End coffee shop.
    There was an area branch set up in a little market town, always solidly Tory. They had a lot of retired public sector, Corbynites seemingly most of them. The always seemed to be doing coffee mornings and petitions etc. But Rory still ended up with a 16,000 majority.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    kle4 said:

    Most places have not gone the way Scotland has recently.
    Which is as well. Any democracy that sees 95% of seats go to one party would be a democracy in its way to an unpleasant death. Fortunately it didn't matter hugely in Scotland because it was only 9% of the total seats in the country, but I wouldn't want to see either or indeed party have such a stranglehold on national politics.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487

    Former PBer IOS boasted about Labour having 1,600 activists working in Hornsey in 2015.

    He also gave us some reports from a Crouch End coffee shop.
    I don’t doubt it’s a heartland, I live close to there and can confirm that north London is very red. But 20% of the adult population strikes me as fake news.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    How many MPs have been sent to prison since the war?

    I can think of two Aitken and Huhne.

    Bobby Sands of course was in prison when elected.

    I thought Aitken had left Parliament before his court case?

    If we're including ex-MPs Stonehouse needs to be included, surreal though that case was.
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    DavidL said:

    Whilst it is a depressing fact that too many ex service men end up homeless the numbers of our forces are just too small to explain changes like that. Did we not have 8k in Afghanistan for most of that period? Obviously on rotation but out of something like 80k in all. You are talking hundreds (which is far too many of course).

    What we also had was approximately 3.5m eastern Europeans, many of them low paid, young, not a little vulnerable and away from family support networks. It is unusual to find a beggar in Edinburgh with English as a first language.
    Street beggars are rarely homeless (except in some of the large urban areas), no forces people should be sleeping rough, they are entitled to priority status.

    There’s been lots of sensible changes over the last couple of years in how local authorities handle homelessness. The automatic response used to be when someone turns up and says the landlord is evicting them, stay put and if you leave before the courts order you out you’ll be classed as intentionally homeless and not entitled to support.

    Such a situation. Is bad for the landlord, fudges up the credit and background checks for the tenant. This is no longer the case.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046

    How many MPs have been sent to prison since the war?

    Not enough.
  • AnazinaAnazina Posts: 3,487
    Talking of north London, that is one hell of a cool finish by Alli in the derby.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    edited December 2018

    How many MPs have been sent to prison since the war?

    I can think of two Aitken and Huhne.

    Bobby Sands of course was in prison when elected.

    Aitken was no longer an MP at the time of his conviction

    Simon Thomas is another former MP to be convicted after leaving the house - recently receiving a suspended sentence for some very unpleasant images

    And we mustn't forget Denis MacShane - who, of course, ended up in a relationship with Huhne's ex...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    ydoethur said:

    I thought Aitken had left Parliament before his court case?

    If we're including ex-MPs Stonehouse needs to be included, surreal though that case was.
    You had McShane on that list too, of course.

    Jeffrey Archer and those two peers caught fiddling their expenses are also technically members of Parliament, just not of the House of Commons.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,477

    Aitken was no longer an MP at the time of his conviction

    Simon Thomas is another former MP to be convicted after leaving the house - recently receiving a suspended sentence for some very unpleasant images

    And we mustn't forget Denis MacShane - who, of course, ended up in a relationship with Huhne's ex...
    John Stonehouse?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    DavidL said:

    Whilst it is a depressing fact that too many ex service men end up homeless the numbers of our forces are just too small to explain changes like that. Did we not have 8k in Afghanistan for most of that period? Obviously on rotation but out of something like 80k in all. You are talking hundreds (which is far too many of course).

    What we also had was approximately 3.5m eastern Europeans, many of them low paid, young, not a little vulnerable and away from family support networks. It is unusual to find a beggar in Edinburgh with English as a first language.
    Estimates are around 6,000 - 13,000.

    So potentially a large slug of the 20,000 increase since 2009.

    Afghan kicked off again in 2006 and that (a 3-5 year engagement) would correlate with the 2009 increase.

    I have no firm stats on that. Are there stats on immigrant homelessness?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    edited December 2018
    ydoethur said:

    I thought Aitken had left Parliament before his court case?

    If we're including ex-MPs Stonehouse needs to be included, surreal though that case was.
    Yes, sorry, you're right. If we include ex-MPs we'd need to add Archer too.

    Thorpe came close, but not guilty is not guilty :-)
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,845

    John Stonehouse?
    I was just going on the ones I can remember happening - the Stonehouse thing is something I know very little about.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046
    notme2 said:

    Street beggars are rarely homeless (except in some of the large urban areas), no forces people should be sleeping rough, they are entitled to priority status.

    There’s been lots of sensible changes over the last couple of years in how local authorities handle homelessness. The automatic response used to be when someone turns up and says the landlord is evicting them, stay put and if you leave before the courts order you out you’ll be classed as intentionally homeless and not entitled to support.

    Such a situation. Is bad for the landlord, fudges up the credit and background checks for the tenant. This is no longer the case.
    I agree that there has been some progress. But in a civilised society we really should be trying harder.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    Yes, sorry, you're right. If we include ex-MPs we'd need to add Archer too.
    So is Huhne the only serving MP at this moment to be jailed since the war?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    notme2 said:

    Street beggars are rarely homeless (except in some of the large urban areas), no forces people should be sleeping rough, they are entitled to priority status.

    There’s been lots of sensible changes over the last couple of years in how local authorities handle homelessness. The automatic response used to be when someone turns up and says the landlord is evicting them, stay put and if you leave before the courts order you out you’ll be classed as intentionally homeless and not entitled to support.

    Such a situation. Is bad for the landlord, fudges up the credit and background checks for the tenant. This is no longer the case.
    There are enough beds for everyone "homeless". But it is more than the availability of beds that causes people to sleep rough.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,181
    Charles said:

    @Gardenwalker has form of accusing me of racism
    Fake news!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,495
    edited December 2018
    ydoethur said:

    So is Huhne the only serving MP at this moment to be jailed since the war?
    Eric Illsley and Terry Fields too.
  • Ok, fair point. I've made a bit of a tit of myself. Most anti English sentiment in here does come from the English. Still, it's a jolly poor show to call all Leavers bad. You remainers have got Tony Blair and Al Campbell on your side, so how bad does that make you?
  • notme2notme2 Posts: 1,006
    TOPPING said:

    There are enough beds for everyone "homeless". But it is more than the availability of beds that causes people to sleep rough.
    Most certainly. But when help is offered and refused they stop being a victim and become a nuisance that need moved on.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227
    ydoethur said:

    I thought we abolished suspended sentences? Or am I late with the noose?
    Gallows humour?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,368
    Anorak said:
    I think all PMQs should be watched that way.
  • Ok, fair point. I've made a bit of a tit of myself. Most anti English sentiment in here does come from the English. Still, it's a jolly poor show to call all Leavers bad. You remainers have got Tony Blair and Al Campbell on your side, so how bad does that make you?

    I'd take those two over Putin and Farage.

    Close run thing but still.
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486

    Seeing that there is a plausible argument is absolutely not the same as agreeing with that argument or advocating it as the way forward. And it is clear she does not agree with holding a second referendum and thinks it is up the Parliament to resolve this not the people.

    So this is not big news. It is stating the obvious and not what TND wants to mean.

    It's treated as news because most politicians refuse to engage with hypotheticals even where it's obvious they are about to become a reality.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158

    Eric Illsley and Terry Fields too.
    Let me put it another way - for non-political crimes?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,223
    edited December 2018

    Eric Illsley and Terry Fields too.
    Weren’t four MPs jailed over expenses ?

  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    I don't know if you guys have seen this, but this is very special.

    We have hit rock Brexit bottom: Brendan O'Neill delivering the *worst possible* take on Brexit that can ever be and will ever be.

    image
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,227

    Ok, fair point. I've made a bit of a tit of myself. Most anti English sentiment in here does come from the English. Still, it's a jolly poor show to call all Leavers bad. You remainers have got Tony Blair and Al Campbell on your side, so how bad does that make you?

    You're missing a trick there Twisted, you forgot we've also got Adonis on our side! :lol:
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,368

    I doubt you'll find anyone who disagrees (apart from maybe Onasanya herself) but parliament needs to change the law, that was itself introduced on the back of Bobby Sands winning election while on hunger strike in The Maze.

    If she tries to hang on I suspect that will provoke a law change - though of course there is no time for anything but Brexit at present.
    I am curious why the law that was introduced made allowances for people to remain an MP despite being convicted in the first place? It surely cannot have envisaged people staying on after being found guilty of perverting the course of justice, so what crimes did they think had short enough custodial sentences that it was permissible that they remain in office?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,046
    TOPPING said:

    Estimates are around 6,000 - 13,000.

    So potentially a large slug of the 20,000 increase since 2009.

    Afghan kicked off again in 2006 and that (a 3-5 year engagement) would correlate with the 2009 increase.

    I have no firm stats on that. Are there stats on immigrant homelessness?
    Not aware of any. Shelter provide some analysis but it is hardly startling: https://england.shelter.org.uk/campaigns_/why_we_campaign/tackling_homelessness/What_causes_homelessness
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    "I think we should bring back hanging for politicians."
    "Really? For what crime?"
    "What do you mean, for what crime?"
  • TOPPING said:

    Estimates are around 6,000 - 13,000.

    So potentially a large slug of the 20,000 increase since 2009.

    Afghan kicked off again in 2006 and that (a 3-5 year engagement) would correlate with the 2009 increase.

    I have no firm stats on that. Are there stats on immigrant homelessness?
    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/682001/Rough_Sleeping_Autumn_2017_Statistical_Release_-_revised.pdf
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,223
    ydoethur said:

    Let me put it another way - for non-political crimes?
    Aren’t all crimes committed by elected representatives in some sense political ?

    And anyway, fiddling expenses can be criminal even if you aren’t an MP.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    edited December 2018
    Populus poll incoming

    "How would you vote if the choice was between the government EU deal and staying in the EU?" Remain: 53% (+5) Leave: 47% (-5) +/- with 2016 Brexit vote Fieldwork: 24/10/18-06/11/18 Sample: 8,154

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500449376153608

    Not quite the C U R S E D N U M B E R S but close.
  • Nigelb said:

    Weren’t four MPs jailed over expenses ?

    Only one of them was a serving MP, Eric Illsley.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,158
    edited December 2018
    Nigelb said:

    Weren’t four MPs jailed over expenses ?

    After leaving parliament.

    Edit - OK, I was misunderstanding about Illsley. So we have Fields (tough one, but there, he deliberately broke the law and paid the penalty) Illsley, Huhne and now Onasanya.

    I think she holds the distinction of being the first female MP or ex-MP to face porridge though (Moran having somehow dodged it).
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,647
    notme2 said:

    Most certainly. But when help is offered and refused they stop being a victim and become a nuisance that need moved on.
    A lot of them can't just snap out of it.

    You sound like a Tory.

    😉
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,894

    Populus poll incoming

    "How would you vote if the choice was between the government EU deal and staying in the EU?" Remain: 53% (+5) Leave: 47% (-5) +/- with 2016 Brexit vote Fieldwork: 24/10/18-06/11/18 Sample: 8,154

    https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1075500449376153608

    Not quite the C U R S E D N U M B E R S but close.

    24 Oct to 6 Nov? Why so late? Sentiment may have moved significantly since then.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,614

    I don't know if you guys have seen this, but this is very special.

    We have hit rock Brexit bottom: Brendan O'Neill delivering the *worst possible* take on Brexit that can ever be and will ever be.

    You know he used to be an IRA apologist?

    https://medium.com/@JRogan3000/brendan-oneill-brexit-and-irish-republicanism-6687c83a8760
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,368
    dixiedean said:

    24 Oct to 6 Nov? Why so late? Sentiment may have moved significantly since then.
    If it has moved more to leave I will be astonished.
  • grabcocquegrabcocque Posts: 4,234
    TOPPING said:


    A lot of them can't just snap out of it.

    You sound like a Tory.
    😉

    Around 75% of rough sleepers have serious psychosis and subtsance abuse issues, and therefore probably aren't really capable of just "snapping out of it".

    And the rest will tend to develop them very quickly. Sleeping rough is not healthy for one's mental wellbeing.
This discussion has been closed.