politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If TMay survives a confidence vote she’d be immune from anothe
Comments
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Party politicalPulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
What on earth is she doing while he is saying that?RochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
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Completely agree. The deal would give us back control over some but not all of the economy and 100% control over immigration . Which is a pretty satisfactory outcome that reflects. The result of the referendum.Theo said:
Only idiots would describe this as vassalage. We regain control over 80% of our economy, immigration and plenty else.Beverley_C said:
As a remainer, I hate to agree with the Brexit loons, but vassalage does sound very close to what the deal promises. I still believe we are better off in the EU compared to any other option available.Theo said:
May delivered a deal that showed Brexit was possible while maintaining economic access and controlling immigration. It was acceptable to 80% of people on here. The ERG, Labour and the SNP have united to screw the rest of us over.Beverley_C said:
It all might come to nothing, but I hugely enjoyed myself today watching the Brexit Delusion crumble. All we need now for the Tory Party to complete the first phase of its Phoenix-like rebirth is JRM or Ms Patel for leader and marching us into the WTO wilderness.TheScreamingEagles said:
Actually, I am not sure a phoenix would recover from that conflagration....
Scum, scum, scum.
Brexit is complete nonsense unless we are willing to take a massive economic dislocation (and that would be complete madness)
But no one cares about the actual facts. People just care about pushing silly analogies and talking points so they can be self righteous over the other lot.
My country has become full of self indulgent puerile t***s. Any sense of doing the right thing, dealing with practical realities, making measured necessary compromises has gone. I am ashamed to be British right now.
Most importantly of all it would keep us out of all the barmy further integration projects like the EU army Merkel and Macron have been pushing for this week.
It's a good deal. Is it the best deal? No. Is it better than no deal, car crash Brexit? Yes. Is it better than ever closer union? Undoubtedly.0 -
Remember what happened last time? She moved a motion to dissolve and dared Labour to vote it down, they duly supported it.kle4 said:
Nothing stops her from call for one, but no she cannot just call one.Slackbladder said:
I would question if she has the authority to call a GE.Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...
This time, it's Labour policy. If she wanted an election she could have one within the hour.0 -
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Bullied by the EU and bullied by the DUP.ralphmalph said:
I think the important consideration is have the DUP pulled support from TM but not the Tory Govt led by somebody else. This would cause a lot of Tory MP's to have a good think.RochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
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In theory it means that she is likely to be speaking as Leader of the Conservative Party, rather than as Prime Minister of HM Government.Pulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...
(Makes it more likely to be VONC / Resignation)0 -
She doesn't. There has to be a vote in parliament.Slackbladder said:
I would question if she has the authority to call a GE.Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
Her statement is not from the office of PM (i.e. it's a political announcement - like a general election).Pulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
I find the fact that the EU is predictably playing hardball (as I have always predicted) a reason to leave in itself. If we 'bend the knee' now, you will see an acceleration towards a European state.
To be clear, the EU has every right to do this, and their UK supporters every right to cheer it on, but I just wish there was honesty about it.0 -
You need the crest to announce an election - according to R4 yesterday.Pulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
I'm a remainer too, and I agree it could be seen as vassalage. But like the Irish Treaty of 1922, it offers a route for the leavers to move to what they want, if they're willing to play the long game and work for it. But no, like the Anti-Treaty IRA they'd rather burn everything down in the hope they'd preside over the ruins.Beverley_C said:
As a remainer, I hate to agree with the Brexit loons, but vassalage does sound very close to what the deal promises. I still believe we are better off in the EU compared to any other option available.Theo said:
May delivered a deal that showed Brexit was possible while maintaining economic access and controlling immigration. It was acceptable to 80% of people on here. The ERG, Labour and the SNP have united to screw the rest of us over.Beverley_C said:
It all might come to nothing, but I hugely enjoyed myself today watching the Brexit Delusion crumble. All we need now for the Tory Party to complete the first phase of its Phoenix-like rebirth is JRM or Ms Patel for leader and marching us into the WTO wilderness.TheScreamingEagles said:
Actually, I am not sure a phoenix would recover from that conflagration....
Scum, scum, scum.
Brexit is complete nonsense unless we are willing to take a massive economic dislocation (and that would be complete madness)0 -
:eyes:tlg86 said:
Her statement is not from the office of PM (i.e. it's a political announcement - like a general election).Pulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
I have felt that way for two years....Theo said:My country has become full of self indulgent puerile t***s. Any sense of doing the right thing, dealing with practical realities, making measured necessary compromises has gone. I am ashamed to be British right now.
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I'd like to see a pause and try again at Brexit option:CD13 said:Seriously, could anyone talk me through a route to a second referendum which saw a narrow Remain victory and see us playing happily together afterwards.
Withdraw article 50 and commit not to invoke again at least until end of 2024 budget cycle
Seek dual membership of both EU and EFTA with any associated dual costs.
Gradually transfer our EU undertakings to our EFTA membership.
Prepare the Irish border etc directly for the post transition / backstop state as envisioned by the current deal.
Once all ready but the button on A50 for our few residual remaining EU undertakings, which will be much simpler.
Once in EFTA only, use any additional EFTA FoM controls at our disposal
If, in the mean time, EU and EFTA relationship changes to a more genuine twin track EU, welcome that as a way out of the political integrationist track.
Not going to happen though.0 -
This is the PB position. It's a shame the general public are so out of touch with uskyf_100 said:
Completely agree. The deal would give us back control over some but not all of the economy and 100% control over immigration . Which is a pretty satisfactory outcome that reflects. The result of the referendum.Theo said:
Only idiots would describe this as vassalage. We regain control over 80% of our economy, immigration and plenty else.Beverley_C said:
As a remainer, I hate to agree with the Brexit loons, but vassalage does sound very close to what the deal promises. I still believe we are better off in the EU compared to any other option available.Theo said:
May delivered a deal that showed Brexit was possible while maintaining economic access and controlling immigration. It was acceptable to 80% of people on here. The ERG, Labour and the SNP have united to screw the rest of us over.Beverley_C said:
It all might come to nothing, but I hugely enjoyed myself today watching the Brexit Delusion crumble. All we need now for the Tory Party to complete the first phase of its Phoenix-like rebirth is JRM or Ms Patel for leader and marching us into the WTO wilderness.TheScreamingEagles said:
Actually, I am not sure a phoenix would recover from that conflagration....
Scum, scum, scum.
Brexit is complete nonsense unless we are willing to take a massive economic dislocation (and that would be complete madness)
But no one cares about the actual facts. People just care about pushing silly analogies and talking points so they can be self righteous over the other lot.
My country has become full of self indulgent puerile t***s. Any sense of doing the right thing, dealing with practical realities, making measured necessary compromises has gone. I am ashamed to be British right now.
Most importantly of all it would keep us out of all the barmy further integration projects like the EU army Merkel and Macron have been pushing for this week.
It's a good deal. Is it the best deal? No. Is it better than no deal, car crash Brexit? Yes. Is it better than ever closer union? Undoubtedly.0 -
A la John Major.old_labour said:
Could be a "dental appointment".Big_G_NorthWales said:
If it is a genuine family issue that is an ill considered commentold_labour said:
Sarah Vine would be a problem for anybody.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky reporting Gove has a genuine family problem today
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I do not know but a dental appointment is unlikely to be a family matter.old_labour said:
Could be a "dental appointment".Big_G_NorthWales said:
If it is a genuine family issue that is an ill considered commentold_labour said:
Sarah Vine would be a problem for anybody.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky reporting Gove has a genuine family problem today
Why not give him the benefit of doubt0 -
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
The good of the country comes before the good of the party - if any MP thought the deal is the best we can do then the prospect of losing the support of the DUP and the government falling is the price they would have to pay, or indeed for a Labour MP the chance the government gets to continue (though how it would I don't see given the DUP would not support it) would be the price.ralphmalph said:
I think the important consideration is have the DUP pulled support from TM but not the Tory Govt led by somebody else. This would cause a lot of Tory MP's to have a good think.RochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
If they didn't like the deal then the DUP's threat is irrelevant anyway.0 -
We'd probably get Peter Bone as leader.RochdalePioneers said:If she is about to retire to run through fields of wheat what happens next? How quickly can the Tory MPs sift through the various cretins who want the job? How quickly can they put the final pair to the membership? What if the membership decide the pair put to them aren't batshit enough and write in Rees-Mogg on the ballot paper?
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Actually the choreography of this is not impossible for May. She needs to survive the VONC, then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties. Mogg and the crazy gang cannot touch her after that. They are history and can be safely ignored. Let them form another party if they must.
So she should be getting ready for short swift VONC and getting those votes from the sane Tories.0 -
Yes, exactly. It's the best of possible implementation of Brexit (and, tellingly, all the bits people are complaining and resigning about are temporary features of the withdrawal agreement, not the final relationship).Theo said:
And we have a deal that gets what the public want in immigration while maintaining economic access.Richard_Nabavi said:
Because the People's Vote was won by the Leave campaign on a platform of ending freedom of movement.Xenon said:Why exactly hasn't the government been asking these questions already in the last two years?
Still, we've been here before with Cameron's renegotiation. Ironically, the polling now seems to be turning back towards the realisation that remaining on those terms was better than anything else. It's a funny old world!0 -
Other way around surely? There was no crest when she called the election last year.welshowl said:
You need the crest to announce an election - according to R4 yesterday.Pulpstar said:
What does "no crest" mean ?Carolus_Rex said:
Some official spots this and thinks "Oh shit, I forgot the crest" while the markets go nuts...Scott_P said:BBC just showed a live shot of the podium at No10 for the presser.
It did not appear to have the PM seal on it...0 -
It means whatever May is talking about is going to be party political business, not government business.0
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When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
Anyone you havent blamed todayshiney2 said:Just watched Tusk chortling on Sky.
Is it possible to re-target Trident on a single individual?
Its Tin Eared Tessie to blame GE20170 -
Yep.David_Evershed said:
A la John Major.old_labour said:
Could be a "dental appointment".Big_G_NorthWales said:
If it is a genuine family issue that is an ill considered commentold_labour said:
Sarah Vine would be a problem for anybody.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky reporting Gove has a genuine family problem today
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Gove edging towards favourite in the next Tory leader market.0
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There is no more comfortable position for has-beens than to be able to whinge and snipe from the sidelines year after year. They would be back in their comfort zone.Sean_F said:
That seems to be their intention.Pulpstar said:
Probably around a third or so ?murali_s said:
Some of the 14% should break for Remain if it became a binary choice though. This poll looks to me as a *big* swing to remain.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Twisting a poll is a disingenious. It is 54 -32 - 14.williamglenn said:32% support an option that isn't deliverable. If they are presented with a forced choice between Remain and the deal, you'd end up with Remain winning by around 65/35.
You cannot ignore the 46 who do not want remain
Perhaps 57-43 to remain maybe. The ERG are doing spectacular damage to the leave cause today.0 -
That worked well for Boris.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I do not know but a dental appointment is unlikely to be a family matter.old_labour said:
Could be a "dental appointment".Big_G_NorthWales said:
If it is a genuine family issue that is an ill considered commentold_labour said:
Sarah Vine would be a problem for anybody.Big_G_NorthWales said:Sky reporting Gove has a genuine family problem today
Why not give him the benefit of doubt0 -
He's giving you what you want though - he's taking away the prospect of a deal. Short term pain for long term gain, remember, so his being the villain of the piece is for the greater good, surely.TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
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Ramsey McMay? .. that worked so well last time for the then Governing party.Jonathan said:
She should be spending the afternoon talking to Starmer and be getting ready for the mother of all U turns. She does not have much time.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
Er, no.TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
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q: Who would you most trust to lead the country through Brexit?
Theresa May 31%
Jeremy Corbyn 25%
Jacob Rees-Mogg 18%
Boris Johnson 17%
Dominic Raab 10%
hmmm0 -
Get in the queue.....TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
Not whilst there is a viable respecting the referendum deal out there.kle4 said:
He's giving you what you want though - he's taking away the prospect of a deal. Short term pain for long term gain, remember, so his being the villain of the piece is for the greater good, surely.TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
I think Yougov had a similar result ?Tykejohnno said:0 -
Brexit is a curse, it has destroyed just about everyone who reached the top in the Tory Party in the last 25 years, Its victims include Major, Clarke, Cameron, Osborne, May, Davis, IDS, and Johnson. You could add Thatcher to that list though her downfall had other causes as well as her attitude to Europe. It has transformed Jeremy Corbyn from a ridiculed no-hoper to a likely future prime minister. It could yet destroy the Tory Party completely. And the impact on the UK economy and international standing has been serious, and could get much worse if we head for no deal.Beverley_C said:
As a remainer, I hate to agree with the Brexit loons, but vassalage does sound very close to what the deal promises. I still believe we are better off in the EU compared to any other option available.Theo said:
May delivered a deal that showed Brexit was possible while maintaining economic access and controlling immigration. It was acceptable to 80% of people on here. The ERG, Labour and the SNP have united to screw the rest of us over.Beverley_C said:
It all might come to nothing, but I hugely enjoyed myself today watching the Brexit Delusion crumble. All we need now for the Tory Party to complete the first phase of its Phoenix-like rebirth is JRM or Ms Patel for leader and marching us into the WTO wilderness.TheScreamingEagles said:
Actually, I am not sure a phoenix would recover from that conflagration....
Scum, scum, scum.
Brexit is complete nonsense unless we are willing to take a massive economic dislocation (and that would be complete madness)
Future historians will shake their heads and wonder how it all was allowed to happen.0 -
Get ready Brenda......0
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Geoffrey Cox 34-55 in the Betfair next Tory leader market.0
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But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
The other parties that have been completely irresponsible in trying to support a deal?Jonathan said:Actually the choreography of this is not impossible for May. She needs to survive the VONC, then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties. Mogg and the crazy gang cannot touch her after that. They are history and can be safely ignored. Let them form another party if they must.
So she should be getting ready for short swift VONC and getting those votes from the sane Tories.
May's best chance is to make a direct argument to the British people, pointing out how this deal gets all the best bits of Remain and Leave, and ridicule the claims about vassalage.0 -
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Shame.JohnO said:
Er, no.TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
After all, he is a black belt...JohnO said:
Er, no.TheScreamingEagles said:
When you next bump into Dom Raab can you call him a ‘F*cking c*nt who deserves a red hot poker up his arse’ on my behalf please.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
A u-turn is essential, yes. After the vote fails, not before. It gives too many people an out later, if a failure to secure a deal leads to chaos, if they point out they never actually got to vote on it.JohnO said:For those of us who would support for May in the confidence vote (and the chances must still be that she will prevail) but accept the inevitability that her Deal will not pass the Commons, what then? Presumably, she goes back to the EU in the hope of better terms but that seems a remote possibility (or is it?); then how can there be any other outcome than No Deal with all that entails, unless she does indeed do the Mummy of All U turns and legislates for a referendum.
I was going to write that there is no way the govt would give up the ghost and face annihilation at a snap election. But then this is my party we're discussing.0 -
Surely a VONC is also a party political matter?0
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The lectern has a white square where the crest would be.
It might just be to allow the broadcasters to white balance their cameras, and the crest is underneath0 -
Jeremy might be tidying up his allotment as this is all going on.0
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I've just talked up this site to my friends who wanted to know the best way to see hot tweets in real time. They always seem to get posted on here thanks to your good selves0
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I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
Tease.Scott_P said:The lectern has a white square where the crest would be.
It might just be to allow the broadcasters to white balance their cameras, and the crest is underneath0 -
I bet what's under the white square is a photo of Dom Raab with the word TWAT scrawled on his forehead in permanent marker.0
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No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:0 -
I assume they are waiting for the new EU-approved vassal-state crest.grabcocque said:I bet what's under the white square is a photo of Dom Raab with the word TWAT scrawled on his forehead in permanent marker.
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Paddy Power makes it 4/9 that TMay will be replaced as Tory leader this year.0
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CarlottaVance said:
Rory batting for the deal:
https://twitter.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1063108089510019073
One of very few MPs to go up in my estimation today.0 -
Sorry Mr G, as one who is married to a Lancastrian, indeed a Rochdalian, I think Mr P is right, If they were from the North East it would be 'pet'.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
You're on particularly excellent form today.Richard_Nabavi said:
I assume they are waiting for the new EU-approved vassal-state seal.grabcocque said:I bet what's under the white square is a photo of Dom Raab with the word TWAT scrawled on his forehead in permanent marker.
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she's 1.66 BFold_labour said:Paddy Power makes it 4/9 that TMay will be replaced as Tory leader this year.
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I can endorse your last paragraphJonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
actual lolRichard_Nabavi said:
I assume they are waiting for the new EU-approved vassal-state crest.grabcocque said:I bet what's under the white square is a photo of Dom Raab with the word TWAT scrawled on his forehead in permanent marker.
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Thanks, but there's plenty of material!JohnO said:
You're on particularly excellent form today.Richard_Nabavi said:
I assume they are waiting for the new EU-approved vassal-state seal.grabcocque said:I bet what's under the white square is a photo of Dom Raab with the word TWAT scrawled on his forehead in permanent marker.
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I practice equality. I call my brother LoveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
Ed Conway (@EdConwaySky)
Second @Skydata poll q: Would you support or oppose a referendum choosing between the draft Brexit deal proposed by Theresa May, Brexit without a deal, or remaining in the EU?
Strongly support 44%
Tend to support 11%
Tend to oppose 7%
Strongly oppose 28%
Don’t know 10%
November 15, 2018
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THAT's her best chance? Oh she's really screwedTheo said:
The other parties that have been completely irresponsible in trying to support a deal?Jonathan said:Actually the choreography of this is not impossible for May. She needs to survive the VONC, then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties. Mogg and the crazy gang cannot touch her after that. They are history and can be safely ignored. Let them form another party if they must.
So she should be getting ready for short swift VONC and getting those votes from the sane Tories.
May's best chance is to make a direct argument to the British people, pointing out how this deal gets all the best bits of Remain and Leave, and ridicule the claims about vassalage.0 -
That sounds like the makings of a deal, possibly with a policy win for Labour - big changes to Universal Credit for example?Jonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
Fully agree. The ERG have really overplayed their hand....Jonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
Lecturn has the crest0
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His manner with a hostile panel on Victoria Derbyshire was very creditable.Andrew said:CarlottaVance said:Rory batting for the deal:
https://twitter.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1063108089510019073
One of very few MPs to go up in my estimation today.0 -
"Nothing has changed"0
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I wish those "people's vote" types would bugger off.0
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PhewBig_G_NorthWales said:Lecturn has the crest
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But May won't do that. If they want that, they'd have to ditch her. Though not sure how they'd get a replacement who would do that eitherBig_G_NorthWales said:
I can endorse your last paragraphJonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
You can have a nice cup of tea now.Big_G_NorthWales said:Lecturn has the crest
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Its OK Brenda, stand down....0
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I do agree to an extent but not if my wife was PMOldKingCole said:
Sorry Mr G, as one who is married to a Lancastrian, indeed a Rochdalian, I think Mr P is right, If they were from the North East it would be 'pet'.Big_G_NorthWales said:
I was born in Whitefield but still respect the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:
1. I'm from Lancashire. Everyone is loveBig_G_NorthWales said:
I do not think you have learnt much about how much your comment will infuriate the ladiesRochdalePioneers said:At which point does Phillip May put his arm round her shoulders and say "come on love, time to stop"
2. Were it the other way round it would have been Theresa putting her arm round HIS shoulders and saying "come on love".
In a marriage, sometimes its only your better half who can point out the futility of the destructive course of action you have set upon.0 -
#Crestgate no more.Big_G_NorthWales said:Lecturn has the crest
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Crestfallen
CrestfallenSandyRentool said:
#Crestgate no more.Big_G_NorthWales said:Lecturn has the crest
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If the British people see the possibility of parliament approving / moving forward with a centrist proposal and moving beyond this; suspect their support will follow.....Theo said:
The other parties that have been completely irresponsible in trying to support a deal?Jonathan said:Actually the choreography of this is not impossible for May. She needs to survive the VONC, then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties. Mogg and the crazy gang cannot touch her after that. They are history and can be safely ignored. Let them form another party if they must.
So she should be getting ready for short swift VONC and getting those votes from the sane Tories.
May's best chance is to make a direct argument to the British people, pointing out how this deal gets all the best bits of Remain and Leave, and ridicule the claims about vassalage.
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If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
Rydw i a @NicolaSturgeon wedi anfon llythyr ar y cyd at y Prif Weinidog yn galw am gyfarfod brys o'r Cyd-bwyllgor Gweinidogion
Don't worry John Redwood can translate for the hard Brexiteers0 -
Yeah this "haven't read it" line is very weird. What exactly is this secret small print that is going to change everyone's mind after they hear the main points? I've never heard anyone apply this standard to other legislation.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
Nice use of the word "different" in the lead, as if 48 letters from Mr Mogg might otherwise count.
She will survive the vote; the only question is whether by a clear margin, or as damaged goods like Mrs T in her first round against Heseltine.0 -
What changes do the other parties want to the Brexit deal?Jonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
Right, just got in from work - everyone's resigned and everything's a shambles, but Gove's been offered DExEU?0
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Whereas the real problem in such a circumstance would clearly be the Board.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0 -
Could the Beeb have postponed the weather just this once....?0
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The problem is that by overplaying their hand, they're taking down Brexit and the Conservative Party along with them.tottenhamWC said:
Fully agree. The ERG have really overplayed their hand....Jonathan said:
But if May survives a VONC she is safe as Tory leader for 12 months. She can treat the ERG as another party. They aren't really proper Conservatives anyway.TGOHF said:
They have already told her to do one.Jonathan said:then she is free to ditch the ERG completely and come up with a plan with other parties.
So the sane Tory plan should be to back May, win the VONC and swing hard to a centrist plan that gives enough to other parties with a referendum with Remain as option if required.0 -
It follows I have no future with the company. Somebody else has to get the deal.rpjs said:
If the deal is vital for the comany's future, then it follows that if the Board rejects it the company has no future.MarqueeMark said:
But the bad bits are so bad as to make it unacceptable.kle4 said:
No one's commenting on it because it doesn't matter. The good bits don't matter, only the bad bits and the naiive assumption that things could be better very quickly.CarlottaVance said:
If I had negotiated a deal for two years that was utterly vital for the company's future, that included clauses I knew full well that the Board could never accept, I would not expect to be in employment.0