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  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972

    I wonder if OGH has ever thought of offering PB as a giant focus group to politicians.

    We would be a better and cheaper sounding board than their arselicking spads.

    I was thinking that very thought moments ago.

    How do so many fuckwits get so far in politics? Is it because the sane amongst us can't be arsed?
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    I wonder if OGH has ever thought of offering PB as a giant focus group to politicians.

    We would be a better and cheaper sounding board than their arselicking spads.

    Yes if they ever want a a gene pool of aggressive Nats, Osbornite arse lickers or ex-pat millionaire Corbyn fans they know where to come.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    edited May 2017

    Yes, but the other side of the coin is that, regardless of our legal system, the Commission has to follow the EU's legal system. We need two sides to negotiate.
    All the treaty required is that A50 was declared "in accordance with its own constitutional requirements". That has been done.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    Scott_P said:

    Look at the next PM markets. And TM exit dates :smile:
    I have no idea about the Next PM market. There's a good article to be written after the GE about it but so much depends on the result and the reshuffle (assuming there is one), not to mention the timing of a vacancy. There is no Tory heir apparent at the moment.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    Barnesian said:

    Andrew Neil, who will be now preparing for this interview, has a big problem.

    It is in his power to utterly destroy May's reputation credibility and leave the way open for a minority government led by Corbyn.

    Or pull his punches and destroy his own reputation and credibility.

    What is he to do?
    He'll go really hard on Mrs May, as he should.

    He'll also be going really hard on Mr Corbyn, and a u-turn on social care is small beer compared to support for the IRA.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,000


    And what is Lynton Crosby up to? Has somebody put something in his tea, or are they just not listening to him?

    Manifesto was never put in front of Lynton I bet before publication. He'd have spotted this a mile off.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    1006th btw, is this the longest evah thread?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,282
    Ishmael_Z said:

    1006th btw, is this the longest evah thread?

    That's election night length.
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    Couple of points.

    Democracy in action I guess, the people have blown a raspberry and the (current) powers that be have gone into an emergency handbrake turn. So "good" in that narrow sense.

    You give the impression (even unwittingly, and out of good intentions) of threatening people's homes in this country, and you won't last to the next news cycle. It engendered a "flight or fight" response - all parties will note that.

    By far the most shambolic few days I can ever remember in any general election. Ever, from anyone. Even fictional.

    This what happens when govts think they have no serious opposition. Sloppy proposals come out. It was "brave", it does try to tackle something that we all need to resolve, and this will now shoot right up the agenda for whoever is in No 10 on June 9th. But you do not insert into your manifesto very complex policy and detail like this on the hoof 21 days before an election.

    Whoever is responsible in Tory HQ is, I assume, searching the sits vac for a whelk stall to run.

    Meanwhile Labour are running up the country's bar bill like a drunk that's left his wallet at home but still wants to buy everyone a round.





  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    chestnut said:

    The Tories are not losing votes to Labour - they are losing some to 'not sure' and 'might not bother'. They are fortunate that UKIP are not around.

    Definitely not true unless people are fibbing on the doorstep
  • CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    RoyalBlue said:

    What an utter disaster. Not only has she capitulated to media pressure (which ruins the 'strong and stable' and 'tough but necessary' campaign themes); by not stating what the cap will be, she ensures that this farrago will run and run.

    Maybe working on a collective farm won't be so bad. Like a gap year on a kibbutz, for the rest of your life.

    "Après nous, le déluge"?

    Cue Tories shouting "Without us, it'll be communism" as their "strong, stable" balloon plummets. All Labour needed was for the spotlight to be put on the government.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    I'm not even sure this u turn solves the issue. People aren't concerned about a cap, they are pissed at the prospect of having to pay at all. Whatever the realities of the situation, they are trying to sell a cup of sick. Should have avoided.

    Exactly. A lot of the problem wasn't the plan, it was highlighting (and therefore taking ownership of) the existing set up.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748
    Sandpit said:

    He'll go really hard on Mrs May, as he should.

    He'll also be going really hard on Mr Corbyn, and a u-turn on social care is small beer compared to support for the IRA.
    And his anti Trident I will not push the button stance
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,005

    I wonder if OGH has ever thought of offering PB as a giant focus group to politicians.

    We would be a better and cheaper sounding board than their arselicking spads.

    True, the reactions on here are so quick and the political mix ensures that all sides of the argument get an airing.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,266

    Not so, for the very obvious reason that Theresa May and the Tories are the only game in town. Labour aren't even pretending to be a credible alternative government.
    I suspect Labour's ever-growing list of spending promises will not do it any good.

    There's a tipping point where people switch from being greedy to being suspicious and then cynical and then angry.

    The trick is to make the maximum number of promises that people will believe but not to go so far you start losing more votes from the extra promises than they bring in.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited May 2017
    TGOHF said:

    Deep down the frothers know its not going to change the result much.


    I backed under 177.5 Labour seats on Betfair at EVS trying to swim against the tide, it was tipped up as shrewd to be on under 160 not a fortnight ago.

    Mind you its 11/10 now!
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,005

    Very low, even allowing for the fact that in the Tory Party, you don't 'challenge' for the leadership. It's not 1990.

    The problem that May has is that she's not really suited to electioneering. That skillset, however, is very different from the one needed to run a government or lead negotiations.
    Damage limitation.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643

    True, the reactions on here are so quick and the political mix ensures that all sides of the argument get an airing.
    i think some of us on here were saying this was a disaster within about ten secs of her speaking about it during her launch.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,250

    And his anti Trident I will not push the button stance

    Renew it, but never ever use it. Basically a worse policy than unilateral disarmament.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748

    I suspect Labour's ever-growing list of spending promises will not do it any good.

    There's a tipping point where people switch from being greedy to being suspicious and then cynical and then angry.

    The trick is to make the maximum number of promises that people will believe but not to go so far you start losing more votes from the extra promises than they bring in.
    The IFS manifesto review tomorrow wil be interesting especially on tax raising, including corporation tax
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Exactly. A lot of the problem wasn't the plan, it was highlighting (and therefore taking ownership of) the existing set up.
    :+1::+1::+1::+1::+1:
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972

    You told me this was a none issue at the Weekend so your view doesnt count
    It won't be me asking the questions.

    And not a non-issue - just brave, to do what is fair.

    If Corbyn's Labour had a positive, easily-understood alternative, he might have been able to make some hay. But if you are worried about your inheritance, you are even more worried about how COrbyn's Labour are looking at umpteen ways to milk you.

    I also find it a tad ironic that you are cheer-leading for a party full of people who had more sympathy with the aims of the attacker on that Tunisian beach, than you, holed up in that hotel.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Is there an election on? FIVE days now without any communication from any parties
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    RobD said:

    All the treaty required is that A50 was declared "in accordance with its own constitutional requirements". That has been done.
    :+1:
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,266

    True, the reactions on here are so quick and the political mix ensures that all sides of the argument get an airing.
    Indeed, the political mix here is vital.

    Compare with politicians who prefer to surround themselves with like-minds, arse-lickers and the self-serving.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    Ishmael_Z said:

    1006th btw, is this the longest evah thread?

    No, I remember one that hit 1350. There may have been even longer ones.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    isam said:

    I backed under 177.5 Labour eats on Betfair at EVS trying to swim against the tide, it was tipped up as shrewd to be on under 160 not a fortnight ago.

    Mind you its 11/10 now!
    Will probably go higher as the polls will lag a bit - some value probably coming.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,170
    Ishmael_Z said:

    1006th btw, is this the longest evah thread?

    Nope. We got over 2,000 when I did the 2015 exit poll thread.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,266

    I have no idea about the Next PM market. There's a good article to be written after the GE about it but so much depends on the result and the reshuffle (assuming there is one), not to mention the timing of a vacancy. There is no Tory heir apparent at the moment.
    Out of curiosity may I ask where you were canvassing the other day ?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    chestnut said:

    The Tories are not losing votes to Labour.

    Yes, they are. Or at least, losing votes they would have had; I've not seen any Con(2015) to Lab switching.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Ministers now saying they were only talking about Dilnot's cap when they rejected it

    So the cap is greater than £78k then.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,020
    bobajobPB said:

    I am starting to think that Theresa May is a Corbynista plant. Not in his wildest dreams could Big Jezza have imagined how pisspoor a campaigner she would be.


    They knew what they were doing when they kept her away from a televised debate that's for sure.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,148

    I'm not even sure this u turn solves the issue. People aren't concerned about a cap, they are pissed at the prospect of having to pay at all. Whatever the realities of the situation, they are trying to sell a cup of sick. Should have avoided.

    Politically it was bad but financially we have to pay more for personal social care at home, not just residential care, it was just a sledgehammer was used to crack a nut, hence the u turn
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643

    Ministers now saying they were only talking about Dilnot's cap when they rejected it

    So the cap is greater than £78k then.

    Of course. The question is how much bigger.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    SeanT said:

    Hmm. Remember: most people only listen to the soundbites and the headlines. They don't do political detail.

    What's the big story of today? - TORY U-TURN. That precise phrase is trending number one on Twitter. So everyone will now think "Oh that horrible Tory policy has been ditched", and their anger will abate. TORY U-TURN is the meme that the Tories want out there, and they want it constantly repeated, and Labour are doing that job for them.

    It won't be nice for Tory egos, but TORY U-TURN will drain the poison of DEMENTIA TAX - another simple, slightly deceitful and very powerful meme.

    HMS TMay has taken some incoming, she's not holed below the waterline, yet.
    He who fights and runs away
    Lives to fight another day.

    I think I am glad she has done it, but this is no one's finest hour.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    marke09 said:

    Is there an election on?

    I have a feeling that view is quite widely shared outside of PB.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    chestnut said:

    The Tories are not losing votes to Labour - they are losing some to 'not sure' and 'might not bother'. They are fortunate that UKIP are not around.

    Exactly, and many of them will still turn out and vote Tory. It is the opposite of the Labour DNV effect.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748
    SeanT said:

    Hmm. Remember: most people only listen to the soundbites and the headlines. They don't do political detail.

    What's the big story of today? - TORY U-TURN. That precise phrase is trending number one on Twitter. So everyone will now think "Oh that horrible Tory policy has been ditched", and their anger will abate. TORY U-TURN is the meme that the Tories want out there, and they want it constantly repeated, and Labour are doing that job for them.

    It won't be nice for Tory egos, but TORY U-TURN will drain the poison of DEMENTIA TAX - another simple, slightly deceitful and very powerful meme.

    HMS TMay has taken some incoming, she's not holed below the waterline, yet.
    It may also bring into play labour and lib dems proposals, their cap, and how they would pay for it
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    It won't be me asking the questions.

    And not a non-issue - just brave, to do what is fair.

    If Corbyn's Labour had a positive, easily-understood alternative, he might have been able to make some hay. But if you are worried about your inheritance, you are even more worried about how COrbyn's Labour are looking at umpteen ways to milk you.

    I also find it a tad ironic that you are cheer-leading for a party full of people who had more sympathy with the aims of the attacker on that Tunisian beach, than you, holed up in that hotel.
    All shootings are wrong, whether they be Islamic terrorists killing British holidaymakers, or tragedies like the death of Osama Bin Laden
  • PeterMannionPeterMannion Posts: 712
    Pulpstar said:

    Manifesto was never put in front of Lynton I bet before publication. He'd have spotted this a mile off.
    Absolute bollocks, as Emily Thornberry might say.

    Why is Crosby thought of as infallible on here?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643
    SeanT said:

    Hmm. Remember: most people only listen to the soundbites and the headlines. They don't do political detail.

    What's the big story of today? - TORY U-TURN. That precise phrase is trending number one on Twitter. So everyone will now think "Oh that horrible Tory policy has been ditched", and their anger will abate. TORY U-TURN is the meme that the Tories want out there, and they want it constantly repeated, and Labour are doing that job for them.

    It won't be nice for Tory egos, but TORY U-TURN will drain the poison of DEMENTIA TAX - another simple, slightly deceitful and very powerful meme.

    HMS TMay has taken some incoming, she's not holed below the waterline, yet.
    I agree. This is a bad day at the office for May, but will be forgotten by end of the week as we move onto other matters.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,641
    edited May 2017
    SeanT said:

    Hmm. Remember: most people only listen to the soundbites and the headlines. They don't do political detail.

    What's the big story of today? - TORY U-TURN. That precise phrase is trending number one on Twitter. So everyone will now think "Oh that horrible Tory policy has been ditched", and their anger will abate. TORY U-TURN is the meme that the Tories want out there, and they want it constantly repeated, and Labour are doing that job for them.

    It won't be nice for Tory egos, but TORY U-TURN will drain the poison of DEMENTIA TAX - another simple, slightly deceitful and very powerful meme.

    HMS TMay has taken some incoming, she's not holed below the waterline, yet.
    U-TURN can be good, as you say. "PARTIAL AND UNCLEAR U-TURN WHICH THEY SAY ISN'T A U-TURN", not so much.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748

    Of course. The question is how much bigger.
    Thought Dilnot was at £72,000
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,148

    The big one will be over a second EU referendum. There's no other way to get off the massive hook the government is on.
    The LDs complete failure this election on a second referendum platform means that is now dead, if May wins it is Brexit and no free movement, no single market membership and no €100 billion to the EU
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    Of course. The question is how much bigger.
    and is the same definition applying re hotel costs not counting towards the cap or not....
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Alistair said:

    Exactly, and many of them will still turn out and vote Tory. It is the opposite of the Labour DNV effect.
    Sorry the Conservatives are losing pensioners votes to Labour directly over the WFA .
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,524

    No, I remember one that hit 1350. There may have been even longer ones.
    AV threads go on for ever.
  • CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    Sandpit said:

    He'll also be going really hard on Mr Corbyn, and a u-turn on social care is small beer compared to support for the IRA.

    Really? The thing about 1983 and 1992 when the Tories also ran very negative campaigns against the leader of the opposition was that they focused on the opposition manifesto.

    In 2017 the IRA isn't even mentioned in the Labour manifesto, which isn't surprising since it hasn't existed for many years. Moreover, practically everyone thinks that the eventual cooperation between Ian Paisley and Martin McGuinness was a good thing, and much better than people getting killed. Ken Livingstone was actually right when he said there would come a day when IRA leaders would shake hands with the queen. Never mind that Corbyn talked crap about the IRA in the 1980s, or even that they were a murderous gangster organisation (which they were) - who cares?

    I'd be really surprised if the "Corbyn IRA" line from the Tories was properly tested in focus groups against other issues.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    SeanT said:

    She also really REALLY needs to widen her circle of advisors. She HAS to learn from this disaster. Get out of the bunker, put Timothy and Hill back in their box, get some smart people who will answer back or correct her.

    This debacle all comes from her reliance on a tiny group of wonks that have been with her for yonks. Not healthy.
    True. And worse, her advisors don't have the broad policy or political background that a LotO would take into No 10. The demands of the Home Office are much more limited, not only in policy (obviously) but also in political leadership. That applies to the private office as much as to the politician.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107

    Out of curiosity may I ask where you were canvassing the other day ?
    Which other day? I've been out a lot this last month.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643

    U-TURN can be good, as you say. "PARTIAL AND UNCLEAR U-TURN WHICH THEY SAY ISN'T A U-TURN", not so much.
    This is a good u-turn, as long as the cap is something that people can feel is not ridiculous, such as £500K or whatever.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972
    isam said:

    All shootings are wrong, whether they be Islamic terrorists killing British holidaymakers, or tragedies like the death of Osama Bin Laden
    Thank you for calling the show, Jeremy from North London there.....
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Where is todays ICM?

    Usually out my midday I thought?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643
    SeanT said:

    Sure. It's a botch job, a stupid, avoidable mess, but the alternative is Prime Minister Jeremy Corbyn.

    I've come to my senses and realised that No, I couldn't ever vote for him. No matter how shit the Tories might be. And there IS a real risk, if the trend continues, that he could be leader of the largest party, and thus PM, in Coalition with Sturgeon. The worst of all worlds.

    We have to hold our noses and give TMay the job.
    Lab - most seats has dropped to 15.5 on BF.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    "Where are they all flocking from?"
    At the time I said that I was sure Brown had misheard her and was embarrassed that a Labour voter had used the f word on live TV
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748

    U-TURN can be good, as you say. "PARTIAL AND UNCLEAR U-TURN WHICH THEY SAY ISN'T A U-TURN", not so much.
    In fairness Nick the question will now be asked of labour. Are they in favour of lifetime security of tenure, increasing the capital to £100,000 and what cap they would apply and, as important, how would it be paid for
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    True. And worse, her advisors don't have the broad policy or political background that a LotO would take into No 10. The demands of the Home Office are much more limited, not only in policy (obviously) but also in political leadership. That applies to the private office as much as to the politician.
    It's time for the PB Tories to take over! DH can be PM, RobD can have 'spreadsheet Phil's' job and SeanT gets to do foreign affairs! TSE can be Lynton if he wants....
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,266

    Which other day? I've been out a lot this last month.
    Any day but the more info the more it would be appreciated.

    It might be of interest betting wise :wink:
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,005
    HYUFD said:

    Politically it was bad but financially we have to pay more for personal social care at home, not just residential care, it was just a sledgehammer was used to crack a nut, hence the u turn
    What is really needed is a cross party consensus on this subject.

    "A cross-party commission should be set up to review the future of the NHS and social care in England, a trio of former health ministers say.
    Ex-health secretaries Stephen Dorrell and Alan Milburn and Lib Dem MP Norman Lamb say without radical change, the future looks bleak.
    Mr Lamb will raise the issue in Parliament on Wednesday, warning that the systems could crash without action."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35233346
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,000
    I'm expecting Lib -> Lab swing in both the ICM and the Welsh poll.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748

    This is a good u-turn, as long as the cap is something that people can feel is not ridiculous, such as £500K or whatever.
    She says it will be consulted on so no doubt Dilnot and other experts will present their views
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643

    and is the same definition applying re hotel costs not counting towards the cap or not....
    Indeed. One of the problems they have now, is that people have rapidly been bought up to speed on the issue that very few voters had thought about before.

    In my own case, I am seeing my solicitor later in the week!
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972
    It does look like one weird version of Family Fortunes.

    Fingers on buzzers....
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    The Stable door has been shut too late . The Strong horse is galloping away to the Labour ranch next door .
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,558
    TudorRose said:

    It's time for the PB Tories to take over! DH can be PM, RobD can have 'spreadsheet Phil's' job and SeanT gets to do foreign affairs! TSE can be Lynton if he wants....
    Who plays Priti?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,144

    I've decided to spoil my ballot paper by writing 'Bring back Dave and George'

    Just not sure which constituency to do it in.

    Could you be convicted of an offence if you spoiled a ballot in more than one constituency ?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972

    True. And worse, her advisors don't have the broad policy or political background that a LotO would take into No 10. The demands of the Home Office are much more limited, not only in policy (obviously) but also in political leadership. That applies to the private office as much as to the politician.
    A very sharp observation. Plus, I assume she wasn't part of the inner circle for either election 2015 or the EU Referendum?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,804

    Absolute bollocks, as Emily Thornberry might say.

    Why is Crosby thought of as infallible on here?
    Dunno. His campaign in Canada was piss poor, as was the last London mayor. He got the last election right, but had years to focus group it.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,170
    edited May 2017
    TudorRose said:

    It's time for the PB Tories to take over! DH can be PM, RobD can have 'spreadsheet Phil's' job and SeanT gets to do foreign affairs! TSE can be Lynton if he wants....
    Someone a few days called me 'A pound shop Lynton Crosby'
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,748

    The Stable door has been shut too late . The Strong horse is galloping away to the Labour ranch next door .

    From the lib dems yes
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,144

    I agree. This is a bad day at the office for May, but will be forgotten by end of the week as we move onto other matters.
    I think some will be blowing raspberries and taking the piss for a bit longer than that.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,020

    Oh, I think Labour's position might just come under scrutiny next.... and their hypocrisy.
    No one doubts that the Tories are going to win so Labour are largely irrelevant right now, what is more important to our future for the next couple is whether we are going to get "strong and stable" or "weak and wobbly" and it's not looking good as we speak.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    On the bright side, the stories highlighting the risk of losing 6 seats might lead to a Corbyn Govt now don't look quite as far fetched....

    cunning I call it...

    and hopefully finally something will be done on social care funding post election.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,000
    dixiedean said:

    as was the last London mayor.

    Well Zac is hardly easy material to work with, neither is May for that matter...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    Lab - most seats has dropped to 15.5 on BF.
    No chance TMICIPM (Increased Majority) Nailed On.

    From my point of view betting wise anything under 399.5 seats will pay for 6 months social care under current rules or 2.5 weeks under Tory proposals
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,148

    What is really needed is a cross party consensus on this subject.

    "A cross-party commission should be set up to review the future of the NHS and social care in England, a trio of former health ministers say.
    Ex-health secretaries Stephen Dorrell and Alan Milburn and Lib Dem MP Norman Lamb say without radical change, the future looks bleak.
    Mr Lamb will raise the issue in Parliament on Wednesday, warning that the systems could crash without action."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35233346
    Hopefully that will emerge now
  • CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited May 2017
    SeanT said:

    All people will hear is the words "TORY U-TURN". Which is all they want to hear, as they REALLY don't want to vote for Jeremy. They want an excuse to forgive their bumbling prime minister, and trust her again, as the alternative is too scary and bearded.
    When was the last time a party with a leader who was perceived to be bumbling got re-elected?

    And if people engage their intellects, which many won't, they'll realise that any more U-turns that would be welcome from the Tories will be much harder to extract if they win the election.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    SeanT said:

    Dominic Cummings should be at the heart of the Tory election machine. His Leave campaign was genius.
    He said so himself!
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464

    Indeed. One of the problems they have now, is that people have rapidly been bought up to speed on the issue that very few voters had thought about before.

    In my own case, I am seeing my solicitor later in the week!
    Yes. This is the killer fact. Few knew of this issue outside of Westminster and the wonks and fewer still were going to worry about it before June 8th. As soon as it became general knowledge that your house was up for grabs no amount of logic was going to sway folk. Flight or fight. The policy was not bonkers per se at all but as soon as you point out people's houses are in play (even if the detail says that's exactly what you are avoiding happening), it's pure raw emotional response.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    TudorRose said:

    It's time for the PB Tories to take over! DH can be PM, RobD can have 'spreadsheet Phil's' job and SeanT gets to do foreign affairs! TSE can be Lynton if he wants....
    TSE wants to run the Evening Standard, and would do it very well.
  • PeterMannionPeterMannion Posts: 712

    No chance TMICIPM (Increased Majority) Nailed On.

    From my point of view betting wise anything under 399.5 seats will pay for 6 months social care under current rules or 2.5 weeks under Tory proposals
    This guy is good!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,148
    edited May 2017
    Cyan said:

    When was the last time a party with a leader who was perceived to be bumbling got re-elected?

    And if people engage their intellects, which many won't, they'll realise that any more U-turns that would be welcome from the Tories will be much harder to extract if they win the election.

    John Major in 1992
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    edited May 2017

    Indeed. One of the problems they have now, is that people have rapidly been bought up to speed on the issue that very few voters had thought about before.

    In my own case, I am seeing my solicitor later in the week!
    I think a better use of your time is to consult the charities like Alzheimers UK or Parkinsons UK or Age Concern. They’ll probably answer your questions & give you the same advice that a solicitor will, but for free.

    In the case of my mother, I have to say I found Parkinson’s Uk absolutely invaluable. We gave a donation to the charity from her estate after she passed away.

    Overall, though, there has to be more money coming in to Social Care, other wise it will collapse. Identifying where that money will come from should be the main aim of everyone.


  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DPJHodges: May's U-turn won't have much impact on the election. But in terms of how her party and cabinet engage with her post election, it's seismic.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972
    SeanT said:

    Dominic Cummings should be at the heart of the Tory election machine. His Leave campaign was genius.
    Labour Leave should be at the heart of the Tory election machine - they were much better than this!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,170

    NEW THREAD

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,144
    Did they ask Donald if he was up for fondling some globes ?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107
    One group of people who will have paid close attention to the U-turn under pressure will be the Eurosceptic parliamentary group. Getting a Brexit deal through the Commons just got harder.
  • JasonJason Posts: 1,614
    The public must surely start becoming deeply suspicious of Corbyn's brazen attampts at bribery today, writing off billions of pounds of debts and promising policies, on student loans/maintenance fees, costing an eye watering 11 billion quid. He is chucking around money that he does not have and will never have, because it will go straight onto the tab.

    On top of all the other fantastic promises, why oh why oh why hasn't their manifesto been dismantled piece by piece? I believe it has not come under anything like the scrutiny it would have if people genuinely believed they could be the next government. This has to change, because even if there is a million to one chance of Corbyn becoming PM, the consequences must be explained in great detail.

    By the way, I thought May actually did pretty well in that speech. She had to do something, I suppose, and I guess even a U turn, embarrassing as it is, will be worth the short term damage in the end.

    This last few days has rocked the Tories to the core, there's no point denying that now, but Corbyn & co offer them all the ammunition they could ever wish for in an opposition party, and they have to - must do - and I believe will do - expalin to the public what the catastrophc consequences of a Corbyn government would do to this country.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,000
    @bigjohnowls Theresa May isn't nailed on if you're finding door after door of Con -> Lab switchers though (In Dronfield say). Are you ?
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    SeanT said:

    Sure. It's a botch job, a stupid, avoidable mess, but the alternative is Prime Minister Jeremy Corbyn.

    I've come to my senses and realised that No, I couldn't ever vote for him. No matter how shit the Tories might be. And there IS a real risk, if the trend continues, that he could be leader of the largest party, and thus PM, in Coalition with Sturgeon. The worst of all worlds.

    We have to hold our noses and give TMay the job.
    No we don't , you vote for a donkey wearing a blue rosette if you want and get a government of asses Many think the country deserves better
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,420
    Pulpstar said:

    I'm expecting Lib -> Lab swing in both the ICM and the Welsh poll.

    Fingers crossed.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    edited May 2017
    I thought the Bow Group were a Right Wing Think Tank

    https://twitter.com/LabourEoin/status/866213350799179777
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 18,107

    No we don't , you vote for a donkey wearing a blue rosette if you want and get a government of asses Many think the country deserves better
    The alternatives are Farron and Corbyn. Better isn't on offer.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,643
    welshowl said:

    Yes. This is the killer fact. Few knew of this issue outside of Westminster and the wonks and fewer still were going to worry about it before June 8th. As soon as it became general knowledge that your house was up for grabs no amount of logic was going to sway folk. Flight or fight. The policy was not bonkers per se at all but as soon as you point out people's houses are in play (even if the detail says that's exactly what you are avoiding happening), it's pure raw emotional response.
    I certainly had no idea there was such a lottery in local councils and whether they snatched your home immediately, or deferred the snatch until you die.

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    TudorRose said:

    It's time for the PB Tories to take over! DH can be PM, RobD can have 'spreadsheet Phil's' job and SeanT gets to do foreign affairs! TSE can be Lynton if he wants....
    SeanT Minister for Women & Equalities, surely?
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    SeanT Minister for Women & Equalities, surely?
    He can combine it with his foreign affairs...
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683

    Who plays Priti?
    Are you volunteering?
This discussion has been closed.