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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview May 18th 2017 (T-21 days until Elect

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  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,095



    You will be electing a sick National Death Lottery Candidate in NE Derbyshire though.

    Hah & the economy will be in smoke if Corbyn gets in. Farron is utter mince, operation save Clegg next weekend.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,583
    GeoffM said:

    The best way to combat this rather tedious attack line is to actually destroy the NHS.

    You could argue that's overkill but it'd mean that someone would have to think up a new negative strategy for the first time in almost a century.
    The best solution is to reform it for the 21st century
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    SeanT said:

    Agreed. I think this is the final end of the Lib Dems, as a serious force, for a generation, or maybe forever.
    I think the LibDems' main problem, since they fell to such a low base in 2015, is an old-fashioned squeeze. In most seats, a LibDem vote is a wasted/spoiler vote. And unfortunately this squeeze will also have an impact in those few seats where they do have a realistic chance of winning. In effect, the LibDems have returned to the electoral position they faced many years ago. I think this is sad, and they will rise again (perhaps quite soon if there are major ructions in Labour, or if Brexit bombs), but third-party politics is always going to be a tough proposition with the electoral system we've got.


  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,183
    Apparently the Norwich Millenium Library is the busiest in the country. QT audience don't have talk some guff.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    Three choices for elderly care:

    1. Those with means are made to pay for it
    2. Money comes from general taxation - throwing the burden on everybody including the young and the poor, just so that large estates can be passed on to children intact
    3. Don't bother, leave people to sit in their own piss

    There is a choice number 4 - create a proper insurance scheme for elderly care which could help to deal with the tsunami wave of ageing baby boomers - but since Theresa May doesn't have a Tardis, and cannot, therefore go back and persuade Harold Wilson to set such a thing up, I think we can let her off for not going down that route.

    Absent choice 4, choice 1 is the least worst option. There are a finite number of taxpayers, who already have to deal with high living costs and a fairly heavy burden of taxation. The Government has to make a lot of difficult choices about what it can afford to pay for and what it can't.
    I will go for number 2 a national health and social care service.The young also get old .
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,787
    edited May 2017
    GeoffM said:

    Natalie Bennett.

    Natalie Wood was Robert Wagner's wife.
    Drowned in 1981, nobody convicted of the (probable) murder.
    I read a book about that years ago. She was on a boat with her husband (Robert Wagner) and her alleged lover (Christopher Walken) and drowned in mysterious circumstances.

    Very odd set-up...
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,622
    Yorkcity said:

    I agree the pooled scheme has much more sense.Surely as a society we could do this .
    But under the neo-Thatcher there is no such thing as society, so it is down to the individual.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    edited May 2017
    It's like some sick National Death lottery. The pooled scheme was a much better proposal.

    again - this is a step forward compared to where people are placed today, it needs refining I'm sure but it's still grasping a nettle that has been left for far too long and there's no utopian solution - anything but, there's no votes in this and fair play for May in trying to finally do something on this.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,314
    Dadge said:

    I think the LibDems' main problem, since they fell to such a low base in 2015, is an old-fashioned squeeze. In most seats, a LibDem vote is a wasted/spoiler vote. And unfortunately this squeeze will also have an impact in those few seats where they do have a realistic chance of winning. In effect, the LibDems have returned to the electoral position they faced many years ago. I think this is sad, and they will rise again (perhaps quite soon if there are major ructions in Labour, or if Brexit bombs), but third-party politics is always going to be a tough proposition with the electoral system we've got.


    If Labour get even close to 35 (high 20s early 30s is my current guess) and circa 200 seats, they aren't splitting. Why would any serious number of non-Corbynite MPs abandon the Labour brand which will have proven itself so strong it could survive Corbyn and an openly divided party? The whispers were that they'd barely break away even if reduced to 150 and Corbyn doesn't go.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,095
    Tory most seats @ 1.04 and Tory Maj at 1.08 must be far too close bettingwise.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    .
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,314
    Yorkcity said:

    The young also get old .
    You're telling me this now!? Shit, I should have exercised more.
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    SeanT said:

    He's drunk on the weird high of political Twitter-approval. For someone used to the intellectually dull life of football commentary, it must be quite intoxicating.

    I wonder if he will come a cropper.
    It's a bit sad when intelligent people get agitated about famous people giving their opinions. You're only jealous that they have easy access to the oxygen of publicity, and the fact that you're not ignoring them just makes things worse, not better.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    surbiton said:

    They phoned for a mini cab.
    Just round the corner...
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382

    But under the neo-Thatcher there is no such thing as society, so it is down to the individual.
    Agreed but this Mayism lark is a bit confusing .
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052
    Betting question: anyone now chancing a few of their quid on Labour getting 200 seats?
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    TGOHF said:

    Evan Davies is having a meltdown on Newsnight.

    Why?
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    GIN1138 said:

    I read a book about that years ago. She was on a boat with her husband (Robert Wagner) and her alleged lover (Christopher Walken) and drowned in mysterious circumstances.

    Very odd set-up...
    That I didn't know. I knew she died very young but wasn't aware of the circumstances. Shiver down the spine.
  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506
    kle4 said:

    Well if they go down to 4 MPs (which is possible), for a start they might not survive as a party, and if they do they cannot go any further backwards for at least 5 years (pending by-elections or another early election call).
    There is a vacancy for an economically liberal party, which the Liberals used to be, now that the Conservatives have abandoned it.

    Lib Dems should occupy this position.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,967
    Newsnight making a complete hash of this report from Hartlepool, mixing up the captions for Labour and UKIP candidates
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,622
    Why did nobody tell me who was representing the Tories on Question Time?!?
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Alistair said:

    The Conservative tweet is fucking bizarre though "After 7 years of Conservatives in power things are a bit shit" was my take away message.
    Yes, that is quite weird. Albeit true.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,398


    But under the neo-Thatcher there is no such thing as society, so it is down to the individual.

    I think we have gone through a period when too many children and people have been given to understand “I have a problem, it is the Government's job to cope with it!” or “I have a problem, I will go and get a grant to cope with it!” “I am homeless, the Government must house me!” and so they are casting their problems on society and who is society? There is no such thing! There are individual men and women and[fo 29] there are families and no government can do anything except through people and people look to themselves first. It is our duty to look after ourselves and then also to help look after our neighbour and life is a reciprocal business and people have got the entitlements too much in mind without the obligations, because there is no such thing as an entitlement unless someone has first met an obligation and it is, I think, one of the tragedies in which many of the benefits we give, which were meant to reassure people that if they were sick or ill there was a safety net and there was help, that many of the benefits which were meant to help people who were unfortunate—“It is all right. We joined together and we have these insurance schemes to look after it”. That was the objective, but somehow there are some people who have been manipulating the system and so some of those help and benefits that were meant to say to people: “All right, if you cannot get a job, you shall have a basic standard of living!” but when people come and say: “But what is the point of working? I can get as much on the dole!” You say: “Look” It is not from the dole. It is your neighbour who is supplying it and if you can earn your own living then really you have a duty to do it and you will feel very much better!”

    There is also something else I should say to them: “If that does not give you a basic standard, you know, there are ways in which we top up the standard. You can get your housing benefit.”

    But it went too far. If children have a problem, it is society that is at fault. There is no such thing as society.[fo 30] There is living tapestry of men and women and people and the beauty of that tapestry and the quality of our lives will depend upon how much each of us is prepared to take responsibility for ourselves and each of us prepared to turn round and help by our own efforts those who are unfortunate.


    M. H. Thatcher interviewed by Woman's Own, 1987.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Dadge said:

    Betting question: anyone now chancing a few of their quid on Labour getting 200 seats?

    No. But I'm backing them to hold in selected seats. I said they wouldn't fall as low as 150. But I also think 180 is their upper limit.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,314
    Dadge said:

    Betting question: anyone now chancing a few of their quid on Labour getting 200 seats?

    Yes. A few quid though -Currently expecting 180-190.

    Why did nobody tell me who was representing the Tories on Question Time?!?

    Assumed you'd be focused on that already.

    There is a vacancy for an economically liberal party, which the Liberals used to be, now that the Conservatives have abandoned it.

    Lib Dems should occupy this position.
    Is there a vacancy though? The course of this election is showing that, perhaps, there is not room for another party anymore, even if a group is not being ideologically served at present.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Remembering 2015.

    Cameron was lacklustre, the polls tightened and he won a majority.

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,967
    bobajobPB said:

    Yes, that is quite weird. Albeit true.
    Modelling herself on Blair telling everyone how sh*t Old Labour used to be
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2017

    No. But I'm backing them to hold in selected seats. I said they wouldn't fall as low as 150. But I also think 180 is their upper limit.
    I think that is a good tactic. The value is in Labour, but have to pick the seats.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    cough ... no leveson 2 etc .... cough
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Twitter
    Britain Elects‏ @britainelects 5m5 minutes ago
    Labour HOLD Newtown (Stockton-on-Tees).
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    I think we have gone through a period when too many children and people have been given to understand “I have a problem, it is the Government's job to cope with it!” or “I have a problem, I will go and get a grant to cope with it!” “I am homeless, the Government must house me!” and so they are casting their problems on society and who is society? There is no such thing! There are individual men and women and[fo 29] there are families and no government can do anything except through people and people look to themselves first. It is our duty to look after ourselves and then also to help look after our neighbour and life is a reciprocal business and people have got the entitlements too much in mind without the obligations, because there is no such thing as an entitlement unless someone has first met an obligation and it is, I think, one of the tragedies in which many of the benefits we give, which were meant to reassure people that if they were sick or ill there was a safety net and there was help, that many of the benefits which were meant to help people who were unfortunate—“It is all right. We joined together and we have these insurance schemes to look after it”. That was the objective, but somehow there are some people who have been manipulating the system and so some of those help and benefits that were meant to say to people: “All right, if you cannot get a job, you shall have a basic standard of living!” but when people come and say: “But what is the point of working? I can get as much on the dole!” You say: “Look” It is not from the dole. It is your neighbour who is supplying it and if you can earn your own living then really you have a duty to do it and you will feel very much better!”

    There is also something else I should say to them: “If that does not give you a basic standard, you know, there are ways in which we top up the standard. You can get your housing benefit.”

    But it went too far. If children have a problem, it is society that is at fault. There is no such thing as society.[fo 30] There is living tapestry of men and women and people and the beauty of that tapestry and the quality of our lives will depend upon how much each of us is prepared to take responsibility for ourselves and each of us prepared to turn round and help by our own efforts those who are unfortunate.


    M. H. Thatcher interviewed by Woman's Own, 1987.
    Thank you Sonil,

    I sometimes wonder if I should memorise the full quote to repeat back to these who try to quote her.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314
    So.. when are the next polls due? Asking for a friend....
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    The Labour Party appear to have cloned Pauline Calf.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,183
    Jonathan said:

    Remembering 2015.

    Cameron was lacklustre, the polls tightened and he won a majority.

    We live in a small c Conservative country, luckily...
  • DadgeDadge Posts: 2,052

    No. But I'm backing them to hold in selected seats. I said they wouldn't fall as low as 150. But I also think 180 is their upper limit.
    Hmm. If Labour really are at 32% then 200 seats seems likely, so a flutter at 9/2 seems wise. But... I think Labour have a problem with the way their vote is spread around the country, and there will be a lot of wasted Labour votes at this election. And maybe things seem worse to me because I'm in Birmingham - Labour seem to have really dropped in popularity here and could lose four seats in the city alone.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    kle4 said:

    You're telling me this now!? Shit, I should have exercised more.
    Exercise? Meh.
    Nobody ever lies on their deathbed and wishes they'd drunk and shagged less.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,430
    RobD said:

    So.. when are the next polls due? Asking for a friend....

    Saturday.

    Deffo having a YouGov and Opinium.

    Likely to see ORB and ICM.

    I'm hoping we might see at least one Scotland only poll. But that maybe next week.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited May 2017
    Dacre is fully on board.

    Will he take his readers with him?
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    RobD said:

    So.. when are the next polls due? Asking for a friend....

    None until Saturday now unless the good lord has something up his sleeve, I guess.
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    I completely forgot there was the tv debate tonight, what's the consensus? Is it worth watching?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314

    Saturday.

    Deffo having a YouGov and Opinium.

    Likely to see ORB and ICM.

    I'm hoping we might see at least one Scotland only poll. But that maybe next week.
    Let me prepare the klaxon.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Another luvvie speaks.... his photo pic is deliciously apt

    https://twitter.com/prodnose/status/865324197408636928
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507

    I think that is a good tactic. The value is in Labour, but have to pick the seats.
    I'm on the labour 30-35pc vote band too. Think they'll fall short but if they can hold at 32 for a while I hope to be able to cover 25-30 at at better price than currently on offer.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Another luvvie speaks.... his photo pic is deliciously apt

    https://twitter.com/prodnose/status/865324197408636928

    I'm not even sure who he used to be.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,622

    I completely forgot there was the tv debate tonight, what's the consensus? Is it worth watching?

    Worth it for Nataliegate alone.
  • HaroldOHaroldO Posts: 1,185
    I just see his name and think about how every left wing cause he has supported has failed. Then i wonder how he keeps writing such shit.
  • NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 738
    Pulpstar said:

    Poor. Getting sacked in 20 days.
    Day before the election? Seems harsh.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,505
    GeoffM said:

    I'm not even sure who he used to be.
    A Daz salesman.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,767
    The Sun's tone has certainly changed from when they went crazy about raising self-employed NI.

    May has dropped the pledge on IT and NI - paving the way to raise self-employed NI - and yet The Sun is now in fully supportive mode.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    A Daz salesman.
    Cheers - yes, that's it..
    Thought I remembered him from somewhere.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited May 2017
    To be fair to the Mail, at least they've never made any bones about the fact they're unashamed Conservative propagandists. Rather that than the Telegraph in recent years, or the Evening Standard during the 2016 mayoral election -- papers which still seemed to think of themselves as "serious" and "objective" whilst pumping out partisan rubbish.
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,767
    Every paper bar Mirror and Guardian is positive for May.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Quick polling question. Are the headline figures they quote adjusted for likelihood to vote or is that something we need to make our own personal adjustments for?
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    It is getting impossible to see who to vote for

    Tory centre left
    Labour loon left
    lib dems no idea what they stand for except they are left of labour
    Greens absolutely stupidly left

    As a socially liberal (classic sense) and economic liberal(classic sense) there is no party here for me
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,398
    Jonathan said:

    Remembering 2015.

    Cameron was lacklustre, the polls tightened and he won a majority.

    Even the exit poll predicted a hung parliament, albeit with the Tories north of 300 seats.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Quick polling question. Are the headline figures they quote adjusted for likelihood to vote or is that something we need to make our own personal adjustments for?

    IPSOS-MORI applies a turnout weighting.

    Without that weighting, Labour would've been at 37%, with the Tories having "only" a 9-point lead.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    bobajobPB said:

    Just round the corner...
    And we wonder why Uber is so popular....
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,183
    MikeL said:

    Every paper bar Mirror and Guardian is positive for May.

    Yup. And apparently the focus groups say the same thing. Teflon Theresa.

    David who?
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Quick polling question. Are the headline figures they quote adjusted for likelihood to vote or is that something we need to make our own personal adjustments for?

    The headline VI in polls includes turnout adjustments. Some polls also publish the figures without those, if you want to compare. These are typically better for Labour, who poll better among younger and poorer voters - who also turnout less.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,131
    edited May 2017
    GeoffM said:

    Cheers - yes, that's it..
    Thought I remembered him from somewhere.
    To be fair, he is the brains behind Chris Evans success...he is the one that thought up the funny bits in shows like TFI Fridays while Chris was too drunk to have a bloody clue what was going on.

    Just look what happened when Chris decided to do a show with all his own ideas....I believe it was called Reverse Ratings (working title- how to lose £100 million franchise in 9 episodes or less) or something...
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Danny565 said:

    IPSOS-MORI applies a turnout weighting.

    Without that weighting, Labour would've been at 37%, with the Tories having "only" a 9-point lead.
    Gotcha. Thanks Danny.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    Dadge said:

    Betting question: anyone now chancing a few of their quid on Labour getting 200 seats?

    No, but I had £300 on a Con majoriity of over 100 until this afternoon when I decided to cash out for a tiny (£3.50) loss. A truly lacklustre manifesto and what now look like a series of unforced errors by May, combined with an impressively resilent Labour core vote makes me think a Con majority of around 50 is far more likely than 150 now. There's still a lot to play for, but the direction of travel is clear.

    I am very fortunate to have taken the advice offered here a couple of weeks ago and will still be quids in so long as the Lib Dems are < 20 seats.
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    I think this election is a good reason to keep trident and whatever the result nuke westminster and get rid of the fuckers
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Quincel said:

    The headline VI in polls includes turnout adjustments. Some polls also publish the figures without those, if you want to compare. These are typically better for Labour, who poll better among younger and poorer voters - who also turnout less.
    Cheers Q. Just the sort of info I need.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    "LIBERAL Democrat leader Tim Farron was dubbed “a s*** candidate” today – by a school kid he tried to high-five.

    The party boss, who has watched his support in the polls drop to as little as 8 per cent, smiled for the cameras and glad-handed local officials.

    He then turned to a group of kids from the local primary in Staveley, Cumbria, and began high-fiving them.

    But there were giggles from the youngsters when one of them loudly announced: “He’s a s*** candidate.”"


    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3597721/lib-dem-leader-tim-farron-branded-a-s-candidate-by-a-primary-school-kid-he-tried-to-high-five/
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,767
    edited May 2017
    Mortimer said:

    Yup. And apparently the focus groups say the same thing. Teflon Theresa.

    David who?
    I still think that the vast majority of people see May as continuity Cameron in terms of broad policy.

    But she's not (so) posh and rich so some "ordinary" people are more comfortable with her.

    All the differences talked up on here (and the stuff which gets the right-wing throwing toys out of their pram) are things the average person doesn't notice or care about.
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Did I mention that May is a curtain-twitching, illiberal, meddling, anti-metropolitan dullard?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    The labour MP on QT clapped the Green man ranting on about tuition fees and ditching them. How progressive.
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    bobajobPB said:

    Did I mention that May is a curtain-twitching, illiberal, meddling, anti-metropolitan dullard?

    Do you think Corbyn is any better

    though probably will vote labour now
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,314
    bobajobPB said:

    Did I mention that May is a curtain-twitching, illiberal, meddling, anti-metropolitan dullard?

    You missed out something about mile wide and inch deep.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,314
    edited May 2017
    Pagan said:

    I think this election is a good reason to keep trident and whatever the result nuke westminster and get rid of the fuckers

    So you prefer Loon left to centre left, per your earlier assessment?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,967
    If true that would be dramatic, given how safe it was for Labour last time. But the local paper could easy have got some guff from some bystander wanting to spin a line.
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    kle4 said:

    So you prefer Loon left to centre left, per your earlier assessment?
    when all the choices are to the left sometimes you have to let the country burn so people see what a left wing government means so maybe it will rise from the ashes
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    And we wonder why Uber is so popular....
    Yep, it's the lack of uncertainty - the prices help - but the reason it is so popular is that you can see your ride rather than relying on a sketchy call to an indifferent cab operator.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,095

    Saturday.

    Deffo having a YouGov and Opinium.

    Likely to see ORB and ICM.

    I'm hoping we might see at least one Scotland only poll. But that maybe next week.
    For the first time today I'm glad I've not got a big open buy position on the Tory spreads. First big error day from the Tories this election imo the wheel of Dementia lottery.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Pagan said:

    It is getting impossible to see who to vote for

    Tory centre left
    Labour loon left
    lib dems no idea what they stand for except they are left of labour
    Greens absolutely stupidly left

    As a socially liberal (classic sense) and economic liberal(classic sense) there is no party here for me

    There is the libertarian party UK

    https://libertarianpartyuk.com/

  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Ed Balls
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    Pagan said:

    Do you think Corbyn is any better

    though probably will vote labour now
    RobD said:

    You missed out something about mile wide and inch deep.
    I can add that in if you insist Rob?
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    BigRich said:

    There is the libertarian party UK

    https://libertarianpartyuk.com/

    yes used to be a member when chris mounsie was in charge then andrew withers took over and he was a crook

  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    bobajobPB said:

    Ed Balls

    his moment of the week is Len's comment that 200 MPs is a good Labour outcome - as this shows it's ok to vote Labour for those Labour voters who don't want Jezza as PM.....

    erm
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    Pagan said:

    yes used to be a member when chris mounsie was in charge then andrew withers took over and he was a crook in my opinion (editted for mr smithsons sake)

  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Pagan said:

    yes used to be a member when chris mounsie was in charge then andrew withers took over and he was a crook

    I don't know very much about the party, expt they seem more minarchists that anarchist, they don't seem to be presenting themselves very well. but as I'm not a member I'm not going to critaissi to much.

    I think the old Liberals (those who did not join the libdems) are still around I think they are sound, but probably wont be standing in many places.
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    BigRich said:

    I don't know very much about the party, expt they seem more minarchists that anarchist, they don't seem to be presenting themselves very well. but as I'm not a member I'm not going to critaissi to much.

    I think the old Liberals (those who did not join the libdems) are still around I think they are sound, but probably wont be standing in many places.
    they were largely a joke after chris stepped down
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Is this Delingpole guy sane?
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    Pulpstar said:

    For the first time today I'm glad I've not got a big open buy position on the Tory spreads. First big error day from the Tories this election imo the wheel of Dementia lottery.
    I kinda regret closing my con seats buy @ 388. It was too soon. Could have doubled my 10x stake profit if I'd have left it until after the locals/mayorals.

    Oh well.

    I have a suspicion the con manifesto damage will hit con safe seats while making next to no difference in the new marginals.
  • DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106
    Was that when he became a Eurosceptic? :innocent:
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042
    edited May 2017
    Mortimer said:

    Yup. And apparently the focus groups say the same thing. Teflon Theresa.

    David who?
    May's cunning plan is to bore her opponents to death. Strong and stable. Strong and stabzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
  • bobajobPBbobajobPB Posts: 1,042

    Is this Delingpole guy sane?

    No.
  • PaganPagan Posts: 259
    100% of people are insane enough to vote for left wing parties why should he be different
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,398
    Danny565 said:

    "LIBERAL Democrat leader Tim Farron was dubbed “a s*** candidate” today – by a school kid he tried to high-five.

    The party boss, who has watched his support in the polls drop to as little as 8 per cent, smiled for the cameras and glad-handed local officials.

    He then turned to a group of kids from the local primary in Staveley, Cumbria, and began high-fiving them.

    But there were giggles from the youngsters when one of them loudly announced: “He’s a s*** candidate.”"


    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3597721/lib-dem-leader-tim-farron-branded-a-s-candidate-by-a-primary-school-kid-he-tried-to-high-five/

    Why is "shit" asterisked??? :lol:
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Pagan said:

    they were largely a joke after chris stepped down
    Pity, I am getting so frustrated with both the con and LibDems, I could just about see myself standing as a Libertarian Party so that I could at lest once in a my life vote for a position I fully believed in.
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