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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Macron wins by an estimated 65.5 to 34.5%

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  • chrisbchrisb Posts: 115

    Mark Stone of Sky who seems to support the EU just said that Macron's choice of 'ode to joy ' to walk to the stage was very strange as it would have angered as many as supported it.

    Is this really going to unite France or prove to be divisive within the Country

    Well today just happens to be the 193rd anniversary of the premiere performance of Beethoven's ninth.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,831
    HYUFD said:
    Yet Betfair has LP<35% as clear favourite with very good odds on >35%?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    Blimey FN representative for North America. That's a smaller club than the Hartlepool Corbyn fanclub.
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Where has all the blue gone?

    http://presidentielle.lepoint.fr/
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    IanB2 said:

    Yet Betfair has LP<35% as clear favourite with very good odds on >35%?
    It'll be close imo, but Macron will be about 65.5% due to Paris.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,925
    edited May 2017

    At CPAC he was talking about 'exciting elections in Europe this year.' It looks like none of them will actually go the way he wants them to when all is said and done.
    For someone whose career was built on freeing Britain from the yoke of foreign influence, he spends most of his time sticking his nose into the affairs of other countries.
  • gettingbettergettingbetter Posts: 573
    IanB2 said:

    Yet Betfair has LP<35% as clear favourite with very good odds on >35%?
    about 82% of the votes are in. it will be very close on the 35% band
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Mark Stone of Sky who seems to support the EU just said that Macron's choice of 'ode to joy ' to walk to the stage was very strange as it would have angered as many as supported it.

    Is this really going to unite France or prove to be divisive within the Country

    Brilliant choice of music in that dramatic entrance. They ended by singing La Marseillaise.

    The message is simple. I'm French and European. May not be music to many ears in Britain.
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    IanB2 said:

    Yet Betfair has LP<35% as clear favourite with very good odds on >35%?
    Ignore this. It's not 99% of votes. 99 western isles with London to come.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,779
    surbiton said:

    Brilliant choice of music in that dramatic entrance. They ended by singing La Marseillaise.

    The message is simple. I'm French and European. May not be music to many ears in Britain.
    Well for sure I am not French no matter how you cut it
  • DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106

    We last fought the French in Nov 42 in Operation Torch. There were significant casualties on both sides.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/books/bookreviews/6121052/Englands-Last-War-Against-France-Fighting-Vichy-1940-1942.html
    Fascist sympathisers and opportunists are not the real France. The real France is the France that carried on fighting with the Allies until the end - the resistance and the Free French.

    Now if you want a bit more of a grey area, try Italy which actually (and understandably) actually did a 180% turn and helped the Allies. Though I am convinced that the vast majority of Italians never wanted to be involved with Germany in the first place (though that could be bias on my part because I love Italy also).
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,831
    OUT said:

    Ignore this. It's not 99% of votes. 99 western isles with London to come.
    Ok thx. Clearly the betting markets expect her share to fall.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Cyclefree said:

    Liberalism in the French context is not the same as liberalism in the UK. There is very little tradition of classic liberalism in French politics. Don't assume that the same word means the same thing in a different context.

    What I do find odd is that Macron is on record as saying that he does not think there is any such thing as French culture or even French art. A curious thing for a French politician to say. And how do you "include" people into a country if you do not think there is something for them to be included into.

    A country is more than simply a geographical entity.

    As Seamus Heaney put it in 2013:

    “We are not simply a credit rating or an economy but a history and a culture, a human population rather than a statistical phenomenon.”

    Surely that applies - in spades - to France?
    The word Liberalism, can and has meant so many different things to different people at different times, Thant it is now best hyphenated i.e. classical liberalism social liberalism. That is partly why the word Libertarianism was created, and some Of us self identify that way rather than just liberal.

    I don't know a great deal about Macron, but the way you describe him he is sounding more and more like a Librarian to me.

    Obviously the economically liberal AND Socially liberal, but more deeply what you quote him saying about art and culture, suggests he understands individualism on a more fundamental level. But hay I may be wrong.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240
    edited May 2017
    Though I would have preferred Melenchon or Hamon to this Blairite!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,779
    Listening to the reporting it does seem to give a picture of a very divided country
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240
    surbiton said:

    Brilliant choice of music in that dramatic entrance. They ended by singing La Marseillaise.

    The message is simple. I'm French and European. May not be music to many ears in Britain.
    France never wanted the UK in the EU in the first place, which is why De Gaulle vetoed UK entry into the EU. There is no love lost between France and the UK and there will be none in the Brexit talks either
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,936
    maquereau homophone
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240
    Pulpstar said:

    Blimey FN representative for North America. That's a smaller club than the Hartlepool Corbyn fanclub.

    In Alabama or West Virginia I am not so sure!
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    BigRich said:

    The word Liberalism, can and has meant so many different things to different people at different times, Thant it is now best hyphenated i.e. classical liberalism social liberalism. That is partly why the word Libertarianism was created, and some Of us self identify that way rather than just liberal.

    I don't know a great deal about Macron, but the way you describe him he is sounding more and more like a Librarian to me.

    Obviously the economically liberal AND Socially liberal, but more deeply what you quote him saying about art and culture, suggests he understands individualism on a more fundamental level. But hay I may be wrong.
    I have to ask: did you mean Librarian or Libertarian?

    I hope it was Librarian...
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003

    about 82% of the votes are in. it will be very close on the 35% band
    I don't think it will be.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited May 2017
    Almost everything bar Paris & met. cities left to report. Looks like 30-35 is the winner.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,766
    edited May 2017
    Cyclefree said:

    Liberalism in the French context is not the same as liberalism in the UK. There is very little tradition of classic liberalism in French politics. Don't assume that the same word means the same thing in a different context.

    What I do find odd is that Macron is on record as saying that he does not think there is any such thing as French culture or even French art. A curious thing for a French politician to say. And how do you "include" people into a country if you do not think there is something for them to be included into.

    A country is more than simply a geographical entity.

    As Seamus Heaney put it in 2013:

    “We are not simply a credit rating or an economy but a history and a culture, a human population rather than a statistical phenomenon.”

    Surely that applies - in spades - to France?

    The context for his comments was against claims to French culture being used to divide people from each other. He was promoting values of multiculturalism that are somewhat unfashionable in these shores now. I found the last debate between Le Pen and Macron fascinating because despite the insults, there was a real battle of visions between the two candidates. This wasn't politicians manufacturing differences. Anyway, here's the full quote:

    «You can't simply place our culture under house arrest. Then you wouldn't have a culture of all sorts. You wouldn't have this wonderful French wealth because you would have to deny a part of it. In any case there isn't a French culture. There is culture in France. A culture that is diverse and is multifaceted. I don't want to exclude particular authors, musicians and artists on the grounds that they come from somewhere else.»
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Pulpstar said:

    I don't think it will be.
    66.5 i reckon
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,554
    surbiton said:

    Brilliant choice of music in that dramatic entrance. They ended by singing La arrangement
    The message is simple. I'm French and European. May not be music to many ears in Britain.
    I'm British and European.

    Just as I don't have to vote Tory to be a British patriot I don't have to be in favour of the EU to be a proud European.

    Only the small-minded or the illiberal think that a country or continent can only be represented by one particular political party or political/bureaucratic arrangement.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    isam said:

    @foxinsoxuk seems confident he is on the right side of it... but wont up the stakes. I will increase them by any amount he likes, and the offer is open to everybody else on the site
    What are the terms of the bet? I'm curious but missed it.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264

    66.5 i reckon
    Add 3.5 onto that and I'd be buying myself a nice new watch tomorrow.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    What are the terms of the bet? I'm curious but missed it.
    Will UKIP get 15% in any constituency?
  • MonikerDiCanioMonikerDiCanio Posts: 5,792

    Mark Stone of Sky who seems to support the EU just said that Macron's choice of 'ode to joy ' to walk to the stage was very strange as it would have angered as many as supported it.

    Is this really going to unite France or prove to be divisive within the Country

    The first gaffe. A sad night for Francophiles.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Chameleon said:

    Almost everything bar Paris & met. cities left to report. Looks like 30-35 is the winner.

    The market thinks so. It's shortened right back again.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Cyclefree said:

    I'm British and European.

    Just as I don't have to vote Tory to be a British patriot I don't have to be in favour of the EU to be a proud European.

    Only the small-minded or the illiberal think that a country or continent can only be represented by one particular political party or political/bureaucratic arrangement.
    Good for you.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    I have to ask: did you mean Librarian or Libertarian?

    I hope it was Librarian...

    LOL, the curses of Dyslexia sticks again!! it was meant to be Libertarian, but I admit Librarian would have been more amusing.
  • DisraeliDisraeli Posts: 1,106
    Cyclefree said:

    I'm British and European.

    Just as I don't have to vote Tory to be a British patriot I don't have to be in favour of the EU to be a proud European.

    Only the small-minded or the illiberal think that a country or continent can only be represented by one particular political party or political/bureaucratic arrangement.
    :+1:
    Hear! Hear!
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    isam said:

    Will UKIP get 15% in any constituency?
    What are the odds?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    What are the odds?
    Even money
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,142
    Cyclefree said:

    I'm British and European.

    Just as I don't have to vote Tory to be a British patriot I don't have to be in favour of the EU to be a proud European.

    Only the small-minded or the illiberal think that a country or continent can only be represented by one particular political party or political/bureaucratic arrangement.
    And only the bloody-minded think that leaving the prevailing political manifestation of European identity to make a futile point about sovereignty has anything to do with patriotism.
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    Chameleon said:

    Add 3.5 onto that and I'd be buying myself a nice new watch tomorrow.
    If it is 66.5 I could buy a new watch too. But it would be from Argos and not v nice at all.
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Good to see Betfair settled Next President promptly.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,305
    Tim Farron has crossed off a friend from the Christmas card list.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2017-05-07/tim-farron-denies-he-was-a-thatcher-fan-as-a-teenager/
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,666
    Back in November, I was on Macron at 25/1. Thanks PB!!!!! Vive La France
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003

    66.5 i reckon
    The batches coming in are around 75% Macron. That'll increase as slow old Paris comes in to in the 80s. Plenty, the estimate was correct.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Is there a market on who makes the most cringeworthy humblebrag regarding betting success on the French presidency?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    QUite sure the exit has underestimated Macron. He will end up just over 66%.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,666

    Good to see Betfair settled Next President promptly.

    :+1:
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,672
    dr_spyn said:

    Tim Farron has crossed off a friend from the Christmas card list.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2017-05-07/tim-farron-denies-he-was-a-thatcher-fan-as-a-teenager/

    Sounds like Tim might have been the original #MaggieThatcherFan

    Whatever happen MTF on here anyway? ;)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,672
    Will Jezza be "working" with Macron? When and on what one wonders...
  • paulyork64paulyork64 Posts: 2,507
    isam said:

    Is there a market on who makes the most cringeworthy humblebrag regarding betting success on the French presidency?

    I've learnt a new word. Thank you
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,168
    The Sunil on Sunday ELBOW (Electoral LeaderBoard Of the Week) for week ending 7th May 2017.

    8 polls, average:

    Con 46.88 (+0.55)
    Lab 28.50 (+0.39)
    LD 9.75 (-0.47)
    UKIP 6.75 (+0.08)

    Tory lead 18.38 (+0.16)
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    isam said:

    Even money
    I'll pass thanks. I expect UKIP will fail to get 4% nationally but there may be the odd seat where they scrape 18%. I'd shake on a tenner evens odds at 20% if you're interested?
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    MTimT said:

    He is the author of one of the prime texts on negotiation, Getting to Yes, and has written multiple other books on negotiation, including 'Getting Past No: Negotiating with Difficult People', and 'The Power of A Positive No'

    Having been a negotiator with the FCO for a number of years before going to business school where I studied his work, I can attest that I found many of the ideas from the academic study of negotiation analysis to have been profoundly useful, and wish I had known them earlier. Subsequently, in dealing with the Iraqis and their wmd programmes, I found his works again extremely useful and practical in dealing with Tariq Aziz, Gen Amer Rashid and Comical Ali.

    I have no doubt that British Civil Servants could find a lot to learn from this gentleman.
    Well, that is a better list of what is in his CV and looks promising. I like the "Getting to yes" "getting past no" and "The power of a positive no" or as I would prefer to tell Juncker right now, "F*** off!" :)
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,769
    edited May 2017
    Cyclefree said:

    Only the small-minded or the illiberal think that a country or continent can only be represented by one particular political party or political/bureaucratic arrangement.

    I looked at that sentence and once I got thru the clauses I had to ask: are you seriously proposing the Queen cannot represent the UK? (...a country...can[not] only be represented by one...political/bureaucratic arrangement...). I assume this wasn't the interpretation you meant.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    BigRich said:


    LOL, the curses of Dyslexia sticks again!! it was meant to be Libertarian, but I admit Librarian would have been more amusing.
    I know, and I sympathise as my spelling is sufficiently bad that I frequently have to turn to my students to ask them how to spell a word on the board. Autocorrect is a real double-edged sword, but I would be stuffed without it.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    Disraeli said:

    "Enemy" .......FFS man, we have been Allies against the "bad guys" for over a 100 years!
    Our last major conflict was the Napoleonic War over 200 years ago.

    Vive La France!
    Rivals yes but enemies, really.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,666
    HYUFD said:

    Though I would have preferred Melenchon or Hamon to this Blairite!
    Precisely. Why doesn't Macron, just f-off and join the Tories.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 64,666
    isam said:

    Is there a market on who makes the most cringeworthy humblebrag regarding betting success on the French presidency?

    Really I had no idea what I was doing when a won some cash tonight, I just got lucky.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,769
    isam said:

    Is there a market on who makes the most cringeworthy humblebrag regarding betting success on the French presidency?

    I wasn't making a humblebrag. I was bragging. Because I had a bet on it and I won. I may not have mentioned it enough... :)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,672
    edited May 2017

    The Sunil on Sunday ELBOW (Electoral LeaderBoard Of the Week) for week ending 7th May 2017.

    8 polls, average:

    Con 46.88 (+0.55)
    Lab 28.50 (+0.39)
    LD 9.75 (-0.47)
    UKIP 6.75 (+0.08)

    Tory lead 18.38 (+0.16)

    Put the Tories +2 and Labour -2 and we're looking at a 20%+ Con victory on election night! :open_mouth:
  • ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,844
    I hope this isn't anyone on the forum?!

    https://twitter.com/ryxnf/status/861299791099174912
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,959
    edited May 2017
    GIN1138 said:

    Will Jezza be "working" with Macron? When and on what one wonders...
    I didn't know Macron was into jam making.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240
    edited May 2017
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Scott Sinclair - Scottish footballer of the year - dear god, how bad must the game be up there?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,959
    edited May 2017
    dr_spyn said:

    Tim Farron has crossed off a friend from the Christmas card list.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2017-05-07/tim-farron-denies-he-was-a-thatcher-fan-as-a-teenager/

    Was it Thatchers Section 28 policy that Farron liked?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    Strongest batch yet for Macron, 78.7% !
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,959
    chestnut said:

    Scott Sinclair - Scottish footballer of the year - dear god, how bad must the game be up there?

    Well it isn't so much Scottish Footballer of the Year, rather Celtic player of the year under a different name.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,961

    I hope this isn't anyone on the forum?!

    https://twitter.com/ryxnf/status/861299791099174912

    The thirteen year old you mean?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240

    Precisely. Why doesn't Macron, just f-off and join the Tories.
    Macron is certainly far too rightwing for Corbyn Labour
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    I'll pass thanks. I expect UKIP will fail to get 4% nationally but there may be the odd seat where they scrape 18%. I'd shake on a tenner evens odds at 20% if you're interested?
    I think it's probably a bet but I'll hold on to see if @foxinsoxuk wants to up the stakes at 15%... he seems confident so he probably will when he sees this
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    edited May 2017
    HYUFD said:
    Isn't it 99% of communes reporting some results, but not necessarily final results? They may not have finished all counting. According to the Interior ministry site 86% of the count is complete.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    HYUFD said:
    You are making exactly the same mistake you made in the 1st round. Why do you think under 35% is 1,03 on Betfair?
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    Isn't it 99% of communes reporting some results, but not necessarily final results? They may not have finished all counting. According to the Interior ministry site 86% of the count is complete.

    yes, with most of it in Paris. She is going down to 34% looks like.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,018
    edited May 2017

    The thirteen year old you mean?
    I'm sure no one here can think of any poster(s) who could be mistaken for a thirteen year old.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    When oh when are the bookmakers going to settle the Macron to win with over 60% of the vote/Trump to be POTUS//Leave to get 50-55%/Leicester for the 15/16 Prem quadruple? I'm fed up of waiting
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,779

    I didn't know Macron was into jam making.
    Macron wants to reduce corporation tax from 35% to 25% just as Corbyn wants to put ours up to 28%.

    Corbyn's corporation tax proposals are about to hit the buffers
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,936
    isam said:

    When oh when are the bookmakers going to settle the Macron to win with over 60% of the vote/Trump to be POTUS//Leave to get 50-55%/Leicester for the 15/16 Prem quadruple? I'm fed up of waiting

    O come, O come, Emmanuel.
    God with us Emmanuel!
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2017
    isam said:

    Is there a market on who makes the most cringeworthy humblebrag regarding betting success on the French presidency?

    I have had a very good election. I was on Macron as long as 23, and at an average of 11, and tipped him to top the first round. I re-invested that profit on the second round, weighted heavily onto the 30-35% band. I look to be up about £800.

    On top of that nice little earner, which goves me stake money for the GE, the winner is a politician that I actually like, and I have learned a lot about French politics.

    In terms of turning back the tide of the alt.right "This is not the end. it is not even the beginning of the end, but it is perhaps the end of the beginning"

    Can I claim the prize?

    PS, many thanks to @Chris_from_Paris whose late night tips made it all possible.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,961
    Questions to which the answer is don't hold your breath.

    https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/861332377192235009
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited May 2017

    I have had a very good election. I was on Macron as long as 23, and at an average of 11, and tipped him to top the first round. I re-invested that profit on the second round, weighted heavily onto the 30-35% band. I look to be up about £800.

    On top of that nice little earner, which goves me stake money for the GE, the winner is a politicoan that I actually like, and I have learned a lot about French politics.

    In terms of turning back the tide of the alt.right "This is not the end. it is not even the beginning of the end, but it is perhaps the end of the beginning"

    Can I claim the prize?
    No, that's not a humblebrag

    But you can invest all of it with me at Even money, ukip not to get 15% in any seat if you like
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    nunu said:
    I blame the parents.... :)
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    No, that's not a humblebrag

    But you can invest all of it with me at Even money, ukip not to get 15% in any seat if you like
    No thanks, I need my stake money for the GE.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,554
    FF43 said:

    The context for his comments was against claims to French culture being used to divide people from each other. He was promoting values of multiculturalism that are somewhat unfashionable in these shores now. I found the last debate between Le Pen and Macron fascinating because despite the insults, there was a real battle of visions between the two candidates. This wasn't politicians manufacturing differences. Anyway, here's the full quote:

    «You can't simply place our culture under house arrest. Then you wouldn't have a culture of all sorts. You wouldn't have this wonderful French wealth because you would have to deny a part of it. In any case there isn't a French culture. There is culture in France. A culture that is diverse and is multifaceted. I don't want to exclude particular authors, musicians and artists on the grounds that they come from somewhere else.»
    I was thinking of an earlier quote, on 22 February, to an audience in London when he said: "French culture does not exist, there is a culture in France and it is diverse".

    And: "French art? I never met it!"

    That is just vacuous and historical nonsense. The fact that some artists, writers etc may have been born elsewhere does not detract from the fact that there is French culture, French mores, French traditions, a certain French approach to intellectual thought, which makes France what it is - France, rather than, say, Ireland.

    A culture is enriched in many ways but it is nonetheless a recognisable and coherent culture which makes a nation.

    Multiculturalism - in its rather superficial "Isn't a rainbow lovely?" way - is a nonsense because rather than seeing a country as a home where all are part of the family, with a shared history, shared traditions, shared - if unspoken assumptions - about how we behave and with obligations to look after each other because we are "family" even (especially) if we don't like each other, sees a country as a hotel where people come and go, barely interact with each other and simply avail themselves of its services in return for financial contributions only.

    I don't - as should be clear - share Le Pen's view of the world but I fear that Macron's tolerance is little more than an unwillingness to address the challenges which France faces from those who simply refuse to accept the idea of France at all and that this is motivated by fear and cowardice, however much people may like to dress it up. Easy to criticise Le Pen. Much harder to come up with a way of addressing the issues she raises. "We must be / are diverse" is trite banality, not an answer or a policy.

    Macron needs to be something more than simply "not Le Pen".
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    nunu said:

    yes, with most of it in Paris. She is going down to 34% looks like.

    He's on 64.66% with 89% counted. If the rest is mainly Paris likely he'll finish on just over 65%, I guess.

  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Bloody foreigners....coming here and not speaking English.....
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,240
    edited May 2017

    You are making exactly the same mistake you made in the 1st round. Why do you think under 35% is 1,03 on Betfair?
    I just posted the results without comment, that is precisely what they are and it makes zero difference in reality whether Le Pen is on 34% or 35% beyond a few betters on it of whom I am not one
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,003
    81.3% batch in for Macron !

    At least 66% I think
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,078
    GIN1138 said:

    Will Jezza be "working" with Macron? When and on what one wonders...
    Who knows?

    4 weeks to go - the CPS yet to come....

    (Long shot I know but never say never!)
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    nunu said:

    Bloody foreigners....coming here and not speaking English.....
    We've no idea is he can speak English, appears to be lacking in spelling though.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,018
    Pulpstar said:

    81.3% batch in for Macron !

    At least 66% I think

    2/3, a nice marker to hit indeed.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    No thanks, I need my stake money for the GE.
    It's on credit so you still have your stake money
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    Cyclefree said:



    I was thinking of an earlier quote, on 22 February, to an audience in London when he said: "French culture does not exist, there is a culture in France and it is diverse".

    And: "French art? I never met it!"

    That is just vacuous and historical nonsense. The fact that some artists, writers etc may have been born elsewhere does not detract from the fact that there is French culture, French mores, French traditions, a certain French approach to intellectual thought, which makes France what it is - France, rather than, say, Ireland.

    A culture is enriched in many ways but it is nonetheless a recognisable and coherent culture which makes a nation.

    Multiculturalism - in its rather superficial "Isn't a rainbow lovely?" way - is a nonsense because rather than seeing a country as a home where all are part of the family, with a shared history, shared traditions, shared - if unspoken assumptions - about how we behave and with obligations to look after each other because we are "family" even (especially) if we don't like each other, sees a country as a hotel where people come and go, barely interact with each other and simply avail themselves of its services in return for financial contributions only.

    I don't - as should be clear - share Le Pen's view of the world but I fear that Macron's tolerance is little more than an unwillingness to address the challenges which France faces from those who simply refuse to accept the idea of France at all and that this is motivated by fear and cowardice, however much people may like to dress it up. Easy to criticise Le Pen. Much harder to come up with a way of addressing the issues she raises. "We must be / are diverse" is trite banality, not an answer or a policy.

    Macron needs to be something more than simply "not Le Pen".

    It's not that long ago that most people in France didn't speak French. Multiculturalism can also mean Basque, Flemish, Provencal, Gascon, Corsican, Breton, Catalan etc Have you read The Discovery of France? If not, I really recommend it.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,018
    murali_s said:

    Who knows?

    4 weeks to go - the CPS yet to come....

    (Long shot I know but never say never!)
    I maintain he'd find it easier if there are no charges - he can rail against a system rigged to let the Tories off, rather than be restricted in how much he can say if charges are brought.

    But from what we hear about Thanet, I'd be amazed if there are no charges at all.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    Macron wants to reduce corporation tax from 35% to 25% just as Corbyn wants to put ours up to 28%.

    Corbyn's corporation tax proposals are about to hit the buffers
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UDqVDw9qfH4
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Was it Thatchers Section 28 policy that Farron liked?
    Farron was 9 years old, and when Maggie was at the height of her powers, he joined the Liberal party in 1986.

    Being a Maggie fan doesn't really match what we know of him.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    kle4 said:

    2/3, a nice marker to hit indeed.
    The French want him, they need him, but there ain't no way they're ever going to love him.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited May 2017
    isam said:

    It's on credit so you still have your stake money
    No thanks. Keeping gambling from becoming an addiction is all about sticking to one's limits.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,998
    64.82% with 90% counted.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    HYUFD said:

    Macron is certainly far too rightwing for Corbyn Labour
    TBH so was Lenin :-)
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658

    English is probably the best language in the world!
    You are Jeremy Clarkson and I claim my £5.
This discussion has been closed.