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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Branding the Tories totally around Theresa has made it easier for LAB>UKIP voters to move to the blues
We are not hearing the name Lynton Crosby much at the moment but he is playing the central role in the massive resurgence of the Conservatives that we are currently seeing.
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That's Sir Lynton Crosby.0
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I reckon Sir Lynton has been working for the Scottish Tories.0
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@murdo_fraser: Tory vote up 12.2% in Carse of Gowrie, SNP down 13.4%. Swing to @ScotTories of 12.8%!0
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@BradenDavy: Labour lose their finance convenor in Aberdeen city council! #Council17 #ToryGain0
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Track the England councils here - https://goo.gl/uzcozl
UKIP had their first win of the night in Northamptonshire! A gain from the Tories no less.0 -
Theresa May has the appeal of Delia Smith (who is, ironically, a Labour supporter). She is awkward on TV, obviously very prepared, determinedly unflashy and seemingly more interested in the public than in herself. Right now that presses a lot of the right buttons for the public, especially in contrast to the Leader of the Opposition, who you wouldn't trust to boil an egg.0
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Tories missing targets in Notts so far, though two Labour seats in Arnold West are looking shaky.0
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FPT: Mr. B2, that is one way these results might actually affect the General Election vote, north of the border.
If the narrative is that the Conservatives are doing well and the Lib Dems/Labour are on their back, any unionist voting tactically will gravitate towards the blues.
That *may* happen and prove helpful in a few seats.
On-topic: very interesting observation, Mr. Smithson. UKIP's collapse is perfectly timed to coincide with this.0 -
There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame0 -
RobD, I've just looked at your spreadsheet and, unless I'm mistaken, you have the Bourne Ward of West Sussex as Conservative when it was held by UKIP up to 4 May. (result still awaited)0
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I hope that people didn't hold off for the local election results before placing their "unders" bets on the Lib Dems. The current Ladbrokes midpoint is 17.5. That still seems slightly on the high side to me but I got enough in beforehand not to need to be greedy.0
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In view of his earlier statement how long before Paul Nuttall resigns.
Later today, tomorrow or before nominations0 -
got to be worth a downfall spoof!Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame0 -
Third? Like The Rubbish Party, or Fourth like SLAB?0
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See np-exmp post....Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame0 -
@TimesSpeaker: First shock as Meghan Gallacher wins Motherwell West seat for Conservative, elected with Paul Kelly (Lab) & Annette Valentine (SNP)0
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So she'll chant 'Let's be havin' you' at Tory supporters at some point ?AlastairMeeks said:Theresa May has the appeal of Delia Smith (who is, ironically, a Labour supporter). She is awkward on TV, obviously very prepared, determinedly unflashy and seemingly more interested in the public than in herself. Right now that presses a lot of the right buttons for the public, especially in contrast to the Leader of the Opposition, who you wouldn't trust to boil an egg.
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@Alan_Cochrane: Scotland's becoming a two party state - and one of them aint Labour! Amazing Tory gains.0
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Labour seems to have a faith in canvassing that defies all logic.Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame0 -
That's very close to the football ground. I wonder if that scandal is having an impact?RobD said:Track the England councils here - https://goo.gl/uzcozl
UKIP had their first win of the night in Northamptonshire! A gain from the Tories no less.0 -
FPT, seen elsewhere, one East Ayrshire ward was won by The Rubbish Party. Labour came fourth on first preferences, beaten by the SNP, the Conservatives, and The Rubbish Party.0
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Eck:
Salmond says Tories have 'eliminated Ukip by becoming Ukip'
Alex Salmond, the former SNP leader and former Scottish first minister, has just told BBC News that the Conservatives have “eliminated Ukip by becoming Ukip”.
One very interesting trend, when you see the disappearance of Ukip, from English politics, and Welsh politics for that matter, is the extent to which the Conservative party have actually become Ukip. They’ve eliminated Ukip by becoming Ukip. The sort of extreme language that Theresa May used in Downing Street the other day, that could have come from Nigel Farage. So the Conservative party have managed to beat Ukip, assimilate their votes, but they’ve done it by becoming Ukip. And as that message sinks home I think a lot of people will think twice before endorsing this type of Conservative party.
So, is that what's happening in Scotland, Mr Salmond?0 -
"Slowly but surely, English is losing its importance in Europe...."
Jean-Claude Juncker demonstrating his Luddite credentials.....0 -
Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off0 -
A similar "LET'S BE 'AVIN YOU" ahead of the Brexit negotiations would be epic ...AlastairMeeks said:Theresa May has the appeal of Delia Smith (who is, ironically, a Labour supporter). She is awkward on TV, obviously very prepared, determinedly unflashy and seemingly more interested in the public than in herself. Right now that presses a lot of the right buttons for the public, especially in contrast to the Leader of the Opposition, who you wouldn't trust to boil an egg.
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Orkney Islands Council result - IND HOLD:
Independent 20 (−1)
Green 1 (+1)0 -
Crosby is clearly no fool. But neither is he a genius. He's had a couple of major recent flops (in Canada and London) where he badly misjudged the theme.
In this case, I think it's abundantly clear he has got it spot on, although he's hardly the only person to have pointed out that making the election May v Corbyn, order v chaos, might be wise. The polls have scarcely been ambiguous on that point.0 -
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Huw Edwards just used the S word.0
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Interfering in the UK GE again...Boosting the Tory vote share.Big_G_NorthWales said:Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off0 -
@LJ_Skipper: #Clackmannanshire looks like a straight switch from Labour to the Tories. #CorbynEffect....0
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You can hear Tusk & Barnier grinding their teeth from here.....MarqueeMark said:"Slowly but surely, English is losing its importance in Europe...."
Jean-Claude Juncker demonstrating his Luddite credentials.....0 -
https://twitter.com/therubbishpartyRobert_Of_Sheffield said:FPT, seen elsewhere, one East Ayrshire ward was won by The Rubbish Party. Labour came fourth on first preferences, beaten by the SNP, the Conservatives, and The Rubbish Party.
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Recount in a seat in Notts. Currently Labour. Retford E0
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The first draft of her Downing Street address the other day was, "Where are EU? Let's be 'avin' EU?"AlastairMeeks said:Theresa May has the appeal of Delia Smith (who is, ironically, a Labour supporter). She is awkward on TV, obviously very prepared, determinedly unflashy and seemingly more interested in the public than in herself. Right now that presses a lot of the right buttons for the public, especially in contrast to the Leader of the Opposition, who you wouldn't trust to boil an egg.
Edit: Beaten to it!0 -
The black and white ones might prove to be difficult to source in such large numbers. Will people accept red pandas in Scottish zoos instead?0
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LOL!!!RobinWiggs said:Third? Like The Rubbish Party, or Fourth like SLAB?
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Red pandas are adorableMarqueeMark said:The black and white ones might prove to be difficult to source in such large numbers. Will people accept red pandas in Scottish zoos instead?
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@Mike_Blackley: SNP starting to look like they may struggle to secure a majority in Glasgow. #council170
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Canvassing is good if you have something to sell.IanB2 said:
Labour seems to have a faith in canvassing that defies all logic.Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame
Maybe those with a higher contact rate fared worse?0 -
Needs a 5% Tory swing.rottenborough said:Recount in a seat in Notts. Currently Labour. Retford E
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@davieclegg: Clackmannanshire result:
SNP 8 (0)
Conservative 5 (+4)
Labour 5 (−3)
Independent 0(−1) #Council170 -
Holograms?MarqueeMark said:The black and white ones might prove to be difficult to source in such large numbers. Will people accept red pandas in Scottish zoos instead?
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@DGStandard: 4 councillors have been elected in Annandale North
Douglas Fairbarn (Con)
Gail Macgregor (Con)
Stephen Thompson (SNP)
Adam Wilson (Lab)0 -
"Jessica ElgotVerified account @jessicaelgot 19m
Lib Dem source says Tories in the lead for the West Midlands mayoralty. Their intel is usually good."0 -
@murdo_fraser: Great to see @ScotTories candidate Colin Stewart take a SNP seat in Strathmore ward, @PerthandKinross
Keyboard player looking for a band to join...0 -
but but but they're the largest political party of membership like evah!!Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame
Or do the millenials not like any hard work?0 -
How dare you claim Crosby is anything other than the smartest political operative to have ever walked on Planet Earth!SirNorfolkPassmore said:Crosby is clearly no fool. But neither is he a genius. He's had a couple of major recent flops (in Canada and London) where he badly misjudged the theme.
In this case, I think it's abundantly clear he has got it spot on, although he's hardly the only person to have pointed out that making the election May v Corbyn, order v chaos, might be wise. The polls have scarcely been ambiguous on that point.
Did you not get the memo?0 -
Which party leader would youu most trust to boil you an egg? May and Farron would both be up to the test, though I suspect Farron's egg would be rather runny for my taste and May's rather too hard-boiled. I'm not sure egg-boiling falls within the remit of Green Party activities. Nicola Sturgeon might boil you an egg, or might just angrily hurl the unboiled egg at you - best not to take the risk. I would be entertained to see in which way Jeremy Corbyn would contrive to mess up the task.AlastairMeeks said:I hope that people didn't hold off for the local election results before placing their "unders" bets on the Lib Dems. The current Ladbrokes midpoint is 17.5. That still seems slightly on the high side to me but I got enough in beforehand not to need to be greedy.
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What retweeting doesn't count?Slackbladder said:
but but but they're the largest political party of membership like evah!!Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame
Or do the millenials not like any hard work?0 -
Yep - in a contest between mediocre and catastrophically bad, mediocre will always win. The Tory challenge will be keeping its coalition together once the election season is over and the hard decisions have to be made. May has made a series of promises about negotiating a very good Brexit deal and improving living standards. She will need to deliver on them.AlastairMeeks said:Theresa May has the appeal of Delia Smith (who is, ironically, a Labour supporter). She is awkward on TV, obviously very prepared, determinedly unflashy and seemingly more interested in the public than in herself. Right now that presses a lot of the right buttons for the public, especially in contrast to the Leader of the Opposition, who you wouldn't trust to boil an egg.
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Tories gain Eastwood from LibDems - this is the seat where I had to pull out as I'd moved out of the County boundary.
David Griffiths - Labour - 721
Tony Harper - Conservative - 1,180
Keith Longdon - Liberal Democrat - 861
Pat Morton - Green Party - 84
Paul Tordoff - UKIP - 219
First change, Tony Harper has taken the Liberal Democrat seat from Keith Longdon
Read more at http://www.nottinghampost.com/live-updates-from-the-county-council-elections-in-nottinghamshire/story-30313347-detail/story.html#ezwUT5Jzm7ro1EU2.990 -
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"VOTE FOR SALLY FOR A BETTER VALLEY"IanB2 said:
https://twitter.com/therubbishpartyRobert_Of_Sheffield said:FPT, seen elsewhere, one East Ayrshire ward was won by The Rubbish Party. Labour came fourth on first preferences, beaten by the SNP, the Conservatives, and The Rubbish Party.
Who needs Saatchi & Saatchi?0 -
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-39815561
US and South Korean agents are plotting to kill North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, state media report.-1 -
@BBCPhilipSim: First three declarations in Glasgow - and Labour have officially lost overall control of the council. Can't now win a majority.0
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Rhondda so far
Lab 28
Plaid 3
Ind 1
LD 1
There are 75 Cllrs. So majority is at 38.
Unless Labour start to lose almost every seat left to declare, they will retain overall control.0 -
Corbyn would give you scrambled eggs.Cookie said:
Which party leader would youu most trust to boil you an egg? May and Farron would both be up to the test, though I suspect Farron's egg would be rather runny for my taste and May's rather too hard-boiled. I'm not sure egg-boiling falls within the remit of Green Party activities. Nicola Sturgeon might boil you an egg, or might just angrily hurl the unboiled egg at you - best not to take the risk. I would be entertained to see in which way Jeremy Corbyn would contrive to mess up the task.AlastairMeeks said:I hope that people didn't hold off for the local election results before placing their "unders" bets on the Lib Dems. The current Ladbrokes midpoint is 17.5. That still seems slightly on the high side to me but I got enough in beforehand not to need to be greedy.
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This may be the most 'presidential' election campaign we've ever had. Even the other PMs who played to their personality still tied it to the party more than May has (it wasn't just Blair, it was New Labour. Cameron contrasting his stable conservatives with a Labour SNP mess). It seems she has taken a leaf out of Ruth Davidson's book on that front. And why not, it clearly seems to be working.
Of all what we've seen in the results so far, it is the LD situation that is most surprising (and disappointing). Local elections are where the party should be shining. Pavement politics is their bread and butter. Looks like the Tory tsunami has submerged them as well as Labour.
The potentially optimistic argument is that the LDs are no longer seen as a local party, having made the national issue of brexit their main theme. In that situation you could imagine votes for them in a GE where it may seem pointless in locals.
Either way, I think my LDs under 18.5 seats is a surefire win come June 8th.
This may end up meaning Corbyn finishes on a surprisingly good result (still crap of course, but not obliterated) if Lab voters are not tempted to peel to LDs. Which increases the risk he will stay on post election loss.0 -
In light of the above - I am sure someone has done this before - these are the 67 (Yes 67) Labour seats where the Conservative + UKIP is greater than the GE2015 labour vote. Sorted by last number which is the number of votes above the last labour vote
1 Newcastle-under-Lyme 6602
2 Mansfield 6535
3 Walsall North 6185
4 Stoke-on-Trent South 5759
5 North East Derbyshire 5748
6 Dagenham and Rainham 5512
7 Wakefield 5249
8 Hartlepool 5232
9 Dewsbury 5198
10 Halifax 5193
11 Dudley North 4932
12 Hyndburn 4754
13 Stoke-on-Trent North 4706
14 Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland 4667
15 Birmingham, Northfield 4597
16 Barrow and Furness 4275
17 City of Chester 4055
18 Penistone and Stocksbridge 4015
19 Bridgend 3984
20 Heywood and Middleton 3969
21 Gedling 3944
22 Alyn and Deeside 3917
23 Great Grimsby 3877
24 Eltham 3788
25 Ilford North 3766
26 Bolton North East 3740
27 Rother Valley 3648
28 Copeland 3584
29 Wolverhampton South West 3509
30 Bishop Auckland 3507
31 Wrexham 3241
32 Delyn 3220
33 Scunthorpe 3195
34 Bristol East 3172
35 Clwyd South 3078
36 Enfield North 3047
37 Blackpool South 3028
38 Batley and Spen 3023
39 Workington 2852
40 Lancaster and Fleetwood 2795
41 Brentford and Isleworth 2738
42 Newport West 2624
43 Bradford South 2607
44 Coventry North West 2592
45 Oldham East and Saddleworth 2555
46 Coventry South 2521
47 Chorley 2465
48 Wirral West 2355
49 Darlington 2234
50 Hove 2029
51 Stoke-on-Trent Central 1829
52 Newport East 1761
53 Southampton, Test 1756
54 Worsley and Eccles South 1742
55 Ealing Central and Acton 1652
56 Ynys Môn 1643
57 Birmingham, Edgbaston 1448
58 Bury South 1377
59 Ashfield 1330
60 Bristol South 1253
61 Don Valley 1078
62 Stalybridge and Hyde 1034
63 Wolverhampton North East 1029
64 Birmingham, Erdington 911
65 West Bromwich West 623
66 Walsall South 533
67 Hampstead and Kilburn 394
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LibDem gain Abingdon North from Con0
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He's just found out what the sound of his surname means in English.Big_G_NorthWales said:Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off0 -
In this climate it is crassSeanT said:
Actually, if you watch the full clip, it's clearly a sardonic joke. A little dig at the English, but a joke nonetheless. He knows the reality of English language hegemony.Big_G_NorthWales said:Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off
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BBC panel is a total shit show.0
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Labour lost overall control of Glasgow0
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SecondedFrancisUrquhart said:BBC panel is a total shit show.
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You would think that they wouldn't want to go and talk to voters and remind him how bad Corbyn is - wouldn't it be funny if the higher the contact rate the worse they did!!!Slackbladder said:
but but but they're the largest political party of membership like evah!!Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame
Or do the millenials not like any hard work?0 -
Enough of Juncker and Abbott on the telly for the next five weeks and I reckon the Tories will just give up campaigning. What's the point when they can't improve on perfection for them really?MarqueeMark said:"Slowly but surely, English is losing its importance in Europe...."
Jean-Claude Juncker demonstrating his Luddite credentials.....
On a serious point though, Juncker clearly hates our guts because we've had the temerity to preserve our democracy by pissing on his chips of his continental Euro bureaucracy dream. Fair enough if that's how he feels, but for hopes of a sensible deal for all, it's probably best he (and eminence grise Selmayr) were sidelined and Barnier/Tusk ( and probably Verhofstadt) takeover totally.
It's a bit like us sticking BoJo in as lead negotiator just to piss the continentals off deliberately otherwise.0 -
And in the last Australian federal election where he was outsmarted by the ALP with their "Mediscare" campaign. He had no effective counter and lost a lot of NSW and QLD seats for the LNP. He brought piss to a shit fight.SirNorfolkPassmore said:Crosby is clearly no fool. But neither is he a genius. He's had a couple of major recent flops (in Canada and London) where he badly misjudged the theme.
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I've just had a nibble on Clive Lewis at 8/13. Norwich Labour vote holding up very well and Tories well adrift in Bowthorpe. They can't win it on New Costessey alone.0
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@abowie4WAK: Quick update. @ScotTories top the poll in Turriff. 1802 votes.0
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Feeling a bit nauseous now about my LibDem constituency bets.0
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LDs doing well in Buckinghamshire. Up 2 in Aylesbury.0
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Remember it isn't just crosby, it is Messina as well...The man who know that much about key voters he knows what you had for breakfast and when you are most likely to take a dump.0
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I'm getting a semi thinking about my SCon bets.rottenborough said:Feeling a bit nauseous now about my LibDem constituency bets.
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Eastwood, the birthplace of the best railway company in the world: the Midland!NickPalmer said:Tories gain Eastwood from LibDems - this is the seat where I had to pull out as I'd moved out of the County boundary.
(Snip)
(Born at a meeting at the Sun Inn in 1832).0 -
@C_JBuchan: Looks like another swing to the Conservatives (away from SNP) in Blairgowrie. Result soon0
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He's like a euro-duke of Edinburgh - le foot dans mouthBig_G_NorthWales said:Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off0 -
Laura K seemed rattled by Sam G!Big_G_NorthWales said:Labour lost overall control of Glasgow
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There will be something very wrong in this world if Clive lewis holds on while Norman lamb loses his seat.0
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The only way this campaign changes now is if Labour voters switch to the LibDems as the sensible opposition in large swathes of Tory BritainParistonda said:This may be the most 'presidential' election campaign we've ever had. Even the other PMs who played to their personality still tied it to the party more than May has (it wasn't just Blair, it was New Labour. Cameron contrasting his stable conservatives with a Labour SNP mess). It seems she has taken a leaf out of Ruth Davidson's book on that front. And why not, it clearly seems to be working.
Of all what we've seen in the results so far, it is the LD situation that is most surprising (and disappointing). Local elections are where the party should be shining. Pavement politics is their bread and butter. Looks like the Tory tsunami has submerged them as well as Labour.
The potentially optimistic argument is that the LDs are no longer seen as a local party, having made the national issue of brexit their main theme. In that situation you could imagine votes for them in a GE where it may seem pointless in locals.
Either way, I think my LDs under 18.5 seats is a surefire win come June 8th.
This may end up meaning Corbyn finishes on a surprisingly good result (still crap of course, but not obliterated) if Lab voters are not tempted to peel to LDs. Which increases the risk he will stay on post election loss.0 -
That's a nice old-school kind of slogan.Pong said:
"VOTE FOR SALLY FOR A BETTER VALLEY"IanB2 said:
https://twitter.com/therubbishpartyRobert_Of_Sheffield said:FPT, seen elsewhere, one East Ayrshire ward was won by The Rubbish Party. Labour came fourth on first preferences, beaten by the SNP, the Conservatives, and The Rubbish Party.
Who needs Saatchi & Saatchi?0 -
Another one we were worried about in Notts is held easily - West Bridgford North (boundary changes make comparisons hard). Tories piling up big leads in seats they held before, but struggling to make gains so far - Labour (and in Collingham Independent) defences holding...up to now.-1
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That suggests he wants to find something, anything to blame the losses on.Scott_P said:There are no words...
@paulwaugh: I'm told Corbyn has asked for data on voter-contact rate in each council seat lost. That suggests he thinks lack of doorknocking to blame
Lick all good socialists, can run anything but know experts in knowing haw to blame others.0 -
Interesting given the constituency.IanB2 said:LibDem gain Abingdon North from Con
Also of interest to North Norfolk discussion on previous thread. Lib Dem gain Mundesley from Tories in what I believe is first declaration in that seat.0 -
That would be the Varoufakis factor. Corbyn should give him a big role in the national campaign.FrancisUrquhart said:There will be something very wrong in this world if Clive lewis holds on while Norman lamb loses his seat.
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Norwich results so far very strong (relatively) for Labour. Green candidate in my ward was very gloomy about the GE and I can't see where Tories get the numbers they needFrancisUrquhart said:There will be something very wrong in this world if Clive lewis holds on while Norman lamb loses his seat.
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Worth noting that verbal jokes rarely work as well when written down and vice versa. You'd have thought a 'politician' as experienced as J-C Juncker would know this and take care at such a sensitive time, just days after his loose language had already put him on the naughty step.SeanT said:
Actually, if you watch the full clip, it's clearly a sardonic joke. A little dig at the English, but a joke nonetheless. He knows the reality of English language hegemony.Big_G_NorthWales said:Juncker's crass comments about English language just shown live on BBC.
Someone needs to hook him off0 -
Just looking at the Notts live results - seems an independent has won in Ashfield. Is that a change?NickPalmer said:Another one we were worried about in Notts is held easily - West Bridgford North (boundary changes make comparisons hard). Tories piling up big leads in seats they held before, but struggling to make gains so far - Labour (and in Collingham Independent) defences holding...up to now.
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And of D. H Lawrence. He's probably slowly rotating under the sod at having a Tory councillor.....JosiasJessop said:
Eastwood, the birthplace of the best railway company in the world: the Midland!NickPalmer said:Tories gain Eastwood from LibDems - this is the seat where I had to pull out as I'd moved out of the County boundary.
(Snip)
(Born at a meeting at the Sun Inn in 1832).0 -
He comes unstuck when he gets involved in the seedier side which I think has more appeal in his native Australia than in the UK. Zak's racist campaign in london and Michael Howard's in the whole country being two infamous examples. An appeal to the ugly side seems to be his first port of call if the contest looks tight which this one doesn'tSirNorfolkPassmore said:Crosby is clearly no fool. But neither is he a genius. He's had a couple of major recent flops (in Canada and London) where he badly misjudged the theme.
In this case, I think it's abundantly clear he has got it spot on, although he's hardly the only person to have pointed out that making the election May v Corbyn, order v chaos, might be wise. The polls have scarcely been ambiguous on that point.0 -
Now expecting to lose the 25/1 on Olney in Richmond Park - and also the nets on Bath going Yellow. They were still both excellent value bets, mind, and hedged my bullish Tory constituency bets...rottenborough said:Feeling a bit nauseous now about my LibDem constituency bets.
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Another tied vote in Wales - the Indy is the lucky guy, PC unlucky0
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I think this is free money. Labour making gains (from Greens) in Norwich.dyedwoolie said:I've just had a nibble on Clive Lewis at 8/13. Norwich Labour vote holding up very well and Tories well adrift in Bowthorpe. They can't win it on New Costessey alone.
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Likewise Bath. I am also on Cheadle and Burnley.Mortimer said:
Now expecting to lose the 25/1 on Olney in Richmond Park - and also the nets on Bath going Yellow. They were still both excellent value bets, mind, and hedged my bullish Tory constituency bets...rottenborough said:Feeling a bit nauseous now about my LibDem constituency bets.
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If you'd put some more on a detached with garage might have been achievableGeoffM said:
I'm getting a semi thinking about my SCon bets.rottenborough said:Feeling a bit nauseous now about my LibDem constituency bets.
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Hm, maybe UKIP didn't win that seat. The Northamptonshire website now shows no seats declared...0
