politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And now the fourth Presidential Inauguration since PB was foun
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Talking of coke users....Angus Deaton has got a new gig on the BBC, unfortunately not back as HIGNFY host, as host of what is left of GBBO on BBC.0
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When are you signing up?tyson said:
A Jihadi worried? Trump is going to be the best recruiter and motivator for global Jihad we have seen. He is an ISIS wet dream...they have just seen all their Christmases come home at once.SeanT said:Big_G_NorthWales said:
No matter what that was a forceful patriotic speechMorris_Dancer said:Only heard bits of the speech, but no healing the wounds yet.
Come on, Trump!
It's somehow more effective for being apparently unscripted and partly improvised, complete with misspeaks, elisions, bombast and absurd non sequiturs. Instead you get the *feeling*
If I were a liberal Left American, or a jihadi, I'd be worried now, or even suicidal. If I was a working class American Trump voter, I'd be delighted. As a Brexiteer Brit European, I reserve judgement.
At least it's fun.0 -
The new administration's position on trade deals:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/trade-deals-working-all-americans
It's not immediately obvious that he's planning to shower the UK with favours.0 -
Obama was not a protectionist, Obama was committed to NATO, Obama was in favour of a strong European Union. All three are of these policies are critically important to the UK, as set out by Theresa May in her speech earlier this week. Trump opposes them. He likes the Queen, but his administration will pursue a strategy that is diametrically opposed to Britain's interests in a way that no US administration has done in living memory.RobD said:
So how can that be more anti-British than "back of the queue"?SouthamObserver said:
It has and it will be happy to do one whose terms it dictates.RobD said:
Hasn't the incoming administration already been talking about doing a trade deal with the UK?SouthamObserver said:That trade deal Europe-hating, right wing British Atlanticists have been fantasising is dying a million deaths. Trump may be the most anti-British president ever. His priorities are diametrically opposed to ours in almost every way.
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In that post I was referring to Obama's popularity in the UK.Tim_B said:
Obama is personally popular, yes. But 3 out of 4 Americans think his policies took the US in the wrong direction. That's the Obama dichotomy. He is popular but his policies are not.The_Apocalypse said:
Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....SouthamObserver said:Trump could well kill conservatism in many different ways.
@SeanT Obama is pretty popular in this country. Trump isn't.
I think Pew has found that Americans overall are pretty divided on Obama's legacy. Personally, I think that Trump is going to make Obama look like a great president. Just like George W. Bush made Bill Clinton look great.0 -
LOL!foxinsoxuk said:
In the sense of dementia?Mortimer said:Reaganesque speech.
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I believe Reagan would have been very unhappy with the current state of US-Russian relations and would have pursued bold policies to change things. How that would have looked we'll never know. How it plays out under Trump remains to be seen so I wouldn't prejudge anything.The_Apocalypse said:
So you believe that Reagan would have approved of Trump's cosy relationship with Vladimir Putin? Really?williamglenn said:
That's simply wrong. Reagan hated communism but he was quite affectionate towards Russia and the Russian people. He even used to collect their jokes.The_Apocalypse said:Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....
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Mischievous @MarqueeMark might think so, I couldn't possible comment ....MarqueeMark said:
Those of a mischievous nature might suggest it has great hair-restorative properties....JackW said:
Clearly not in the OGH repertoire ....MikeSmithson said:
I often wonder whether his hair is helped by having golden showersMarqueeMark said:His hair is standing up to the rain remarkably well. I wonder what hair product he uses?
Anyway, just off to watch "There's Something About Mary".....
Great to see you back, JackW!0 -
Point of order! Islamists are not keen on Christmas.tyson said:
A Jihadi worried? Trump is going to be the best recruiter and motivator for global Jihad we have seen. He is an ISIS wet dream...they have just seen all their Christmases come home at once.SeanT said:Big_G_NorthWales said:
No matter what that was a forceful patriotic speechMorris_Dancer said:Only heard bits of the speech, but no healing the wounds yet.
Come on, Trump!
It's somehow more effective for being apparently unscripted and partly improvised, complete with misspeaks, elisions, bombast and absurd non sequiturs. Instead you get the *feeling*
If I were a liberal Left American, or a jihadi, I'd be worried now, or even suicidal. If I was a working class American Trump voter, I'd be delighted. As a Brexiteer Brit European, I reserve judgement.
At least it's fun.0 -
@peterwalker99: Ah well, with the US heading firmly for protectionist, at least we've got a massive, tariff-free market right on our doorstep.0
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To which we say 'no thanks'. Let's hold fire on the doom and gloom. Remember the old fable; perhaps, one day, the horse will learn to sing.SouthamObserver said:
This is the trade deal, Mrs May. You will open up your markets to us, we will not open up our markets to you. Sign here.TOPPING said:Oof.
I think we are all quite clear what the aims of a US-UK negotiation will be for the US. And it sure as hell isn't to give Tezza an easy next few years.SouthamObserver said:That trade deal Europe-hating, right wing British Atlanticists have been fantasising is dying a million deaths. Trump may be the most anti-British president ever. His priorities are diametrically opposed to ours in almost every way.
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On the bright side about America, surprisingly, nobody shot President Obama. Which may have shocked some....0
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Hannan, along with McMullin and other Conservatives are proof it's not just a small coterie of liberal-lefties who are critical of Trump. Many are not here for his protectionist agenda, nor are they here for his foreign policy.0
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Stop taking the p*ss ....Richard_Nabavi said:The new administration's position on trade deals:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/trade-deals-working-all-americans
It's not immediately obvious that he's planning to shower the UK with favours. 0 -
Obama left with 60 ! % approval ratings, he seems to have achieved a ranking of 18th amongst presidents on the wikipedia entries and he was undoubtedly charismatic. He might well have won a third term if he was allowed, Hillary was amazing at racking up coastal votes - Obama won Iowa! that'll seem like a distant dream for the Democrats now for a good while.The_Apocalypse said:
In that post I was referring to Obama's popularity in the UK.Tim_B said:
Obama is personally popular, yes. But 3 out of 4 Americans think his policies took the US in the wrong direction. That's the Obama dichotomy. He is popular but his policies are not.The_Apocalypse said:
Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....SouthamObserver said:Trump could well kill conservatism in many different ways.
@SeanT Obama is pretty popular in this country. Trump isn't.
I think Pew has found that Americans overall are pretty divided on Obama's legacy. Personally, I think that Trump is going to make Obama look like a great president. Just like George W. Bush made Bill Clinton look great.0 -
You buying a Belgian smart phone then ?Scott_P said:@peterwalker99: Ah well, with the US heading firmly for protectionist, at least we've got a massive, tariff-free market right on our doorstep.
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With that head of hair you are sporting in your avatar, JackW, I think we can make our own assumptions....JackW said:
Mischievous @MarqueeMark might think so, I couldn't possible comment ....MarqueeMark said:
Those of a mischievous nature might suggest it has great hair-restorative properties....JackW said:
Clearly not in the OGH repertoire ....MikeSmithson said:
I often wonder whether his hair is helped by having golden showersMarqueeMark said:His hair is standing up to the rain remarkably well. I wonder what hair product he uses?
Anyway, just off to watch "There's Something About Mary".....
Great to see you back, JackW!0 -
I'm not sure that Britain has a good handle on its true national interests. We should take this opportunity, and the period of uncertainty as we approach Brexit, to think about it more fundamentally than we have done for a long time.SouthamObserver said:He likes the Queen, but his administration will pursue a strategy that is diametrically opposed to Britain's interests in a way that no US administration has done in living memory.
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And for this challenge, the Judges would like you to make 12, identical hash brownies. BAKE!FrancisUrquhart said:Talking of coke users....Angus Deaton has got a new gig on the BBC, unfortunately not back as HIGNFY host, as host of what is left of GBBO on BBC.
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Okay then....williamglenn said:
I believe Reagan would have been very unhappy with the current state of US-Russian relations and would have pursued bold policies to change things. How that would have looked we'll never know. How it plays out under Trump remains to be seen so I wouldn't prejudge anything.The_Apocalypse said:
So you believe that Reagan would have approved of Trump's cosy relationship with Vladimir Putin? Really?williamglenn said:
That's simply wrong. Reagan hated communism but he was quite affectionate towards Russia and the Russian people. He even used to collect their jokes.The_Apocalypse said:Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....
Somehow I think Reagan would've been very critical of Vladimir Putin. I think he would have been a lot more aggressive towards Russia than the last two administrations have been, and definitely wouldn't have been all friendly with Putin the way 'the Donald' has been.0 -
If Trump's speech sounded extremely jingoistic and ultra-nationalist then I suggest you haven't seen much of Sturgeon and Salmond.
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Awful speech from Trump.0
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Yep, I agree. Obama's approval ratings are not too far behind Clinton's and Reagan's. I think Obama would certainly have run Trump a lot more closer in the electoral college than Hillary did. Obama had the 'common touch', in a way that Hillary did not.Pulpstar said:
Obama left with 60 ! % approval ratings, he seems to have achieved a ranking of 18th amongst presidents on the wikipedia entries and he was undoubtedly charismatic. He might well have won a third term if he was allowed, Hillary was amazing at racking up coastal votes - Obama won Iowa! that'll seem like a distant dream for the Democrats now for a good while.The_Apocalypse said:
In that post I was referring to Obama's popularity in the UK.Tim_B said:
Obama is personally popular, yes. But 3 out of 4 Americans think his policies took the US in the wrong direction. That's the Obama dichotomy. He is popular but his policies are not.The_Apocalypse said:
Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....SouthamObserver said:Trump could well kill conservatism in many different ways.
@SeanT Obama is pretty popular in this country. Trump isn't.
I think Pew has found that Americans overall are pretty divided on Obama's legacy. Personally, I think that Trump is going to make Obama look like a great president. Just like George W. Bush made Bill Clinton look great.
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How on earth can the BBC avoid entering a long period of grieving0
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How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
Obama flies to airport on "Executive One"0
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It is interesting that Trump has such a low bar to perform against. He will win again in 2020, assuming he does not blow the world up, get impeached or cause a problem for the US economy.
In his speech he showed he has no understanding of economics or why the last recession occurred. He said something along the lines of "wealth was ripped from US housing and spread around the world". In fact the opposite was the case in that mortgage back securities were packaged up and sold to the world, these securities became worthless as property prices fell in the US. They palmed off huge debts on unwitting investors! You would think that he as a real-estate multi billion would understand this?
Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. Trump is not trying to help the UK as some sort of benevolent gift, he is acting in US interests. I don't think UK politicians and supporters realise they are being used. Some people are really gullible, when it comes to Trump and his agenda.0 -
They've been in one for months. In fact, they've completely lost the plot, managing simultaneously to give us hours of 'news' about Trump with very little actual content. Lots of idiotic vox pops, and yet hardly anything (other than rants) about the Trump appointees and likely policies.Big_G_NorthWales said:How on earth can the BBC avoid entering a long period of grieving
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It's one of OGH's castoffs from his days as a high functionary of the LibDems. He was for two years the Grand Plenipotentiary for EU Sandal Trade (Bedford Branch)MarqueeMark said:
With that head of hair you are sporting in your avatar, JackW, I think we can make our own assumptions....JackW said:
Mischievous @MarqueeMark might think so, I couldn't possible comment ....MarqueeMark said:
Those of a mischievous nature might suggest it has great hair-restorative properties....JackW said:
Clearly not in the OGH repertoire ....MikeSmithson said:
I often wonder whether his hair is helped by having golden showersMarqueeMark said:His hair is standing up to the rain remarkably well. I wonder what hair product he uses?
Anyway, just off to watch "There's Something About Mary".....
Great to see you back, JackW!0 -
I think we're all missing the big picture of what's happened today.
My latest anthology is up for pre-order:
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B01MUCON9Q/
[As an aside, it's quite nice to have a story in an anthology with rather more established names, including some award nominees and at least one winner (Adrian Tchaikovsky)].0 -
https://twitter.com/ladpolitics/status/822495596581978114The_Taxman said:It is interesting that Trump has such a low bar to perform against. He will win again in 2020, assuming he does not blow the world up, get impeached or cause a problem for the US economy.
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Maryam is someone important in Islam. So, to be fair, is Jesus, he's a significant prophet.foxinsoxuk said:
Point of order! Islamists are not keen on Christmas.tyson said:
A Jihadi worried? Trump is going to be the best recruiter and motivator for global Jihad we have seen. He is an ISIS wet dream...they have just seen all their Christmases come home at once.SeanT said:Big_G_NorthWales said:
No matter what that was a forceful patriotic speechMorris_Dancer said:Only heard bits of the speech, but no healing the wounds yet.
Come on, Trump!
It's somehow more effective for being apparently unscripted and partly improvised, complete with misspeaks, elisions, bombast and absurd non sequiturs. Instead you get the *feeling*
If I were a liberal Left American, or a jihadi, I'd be worried now, or even suicidal. If I was a working class American Trump voter, I'd be delighted. As a Brexiteer Brit European, I reserve judgement.
At least it's fun.0 -
Just like every other broadcaster then in this era of 24 hour rolling news.Richard_Nabavi said:
They've been in one for months. In fact, they've completely lost the plot, managing simultaneously to give us hours of 'news' about Trump with very little actual content. Lots of idiotic vox pops, and yet hardly anything (other than rants) about the Trump appointees and likely policies.Big_G_NorthWales said:How on earth can the BBC avoid entering a long period of grieving
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I watched a TV program yesterday where they tried to compare Trump to Reagan. I don't think this is right. It must be remembered that Trump has never been a governor where as Reagan was a successful twice elected Governor of California. There are some parallels but Reagan had an agenda that Trump is trying to mimic down to the slogan making America great again!The_Apocalypse said:
So you believe that Reagan would have approved of Trump's cosy relationship with Vladimir Putin? Really?williamglenn said:
That's simply wrong. Reagan hated communism but he was quite affectionate towards Russia and the Russian people. He even used to collect their jokes.The_Apocalypse said:Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....
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Plenty of immigrants ready to serve lunch. I hope they are all legal!0
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But also out of the way of floods coming down the hill at you, as at Boscastle 2004.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
The "heart" of your smartphone will be British (ARM), the power management German (infineon), the radio US or Swedish, the a flash memory and panel Korean, the glass German, and s tiny bit of Labour at the end is ChineseTGOHF said:0 -
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particularly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays out in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
I can see logic in your comments and even the real possibility that he wants to destabilise Europe.The_Taxman said:It is interesting that Trump has such a low bar to perform against. He will win again in 2020, assuming he does not blow the world up, get impeached or cause a problem for the US economy.
In his speech he showed he has no understanding of economics or why the last recession occurred. He said something along the lines of "wealth was ripped from US housing and spread around the world". In fact the opposite was the case in that mortgage back securities were packaged up and sold to the world, these securities became worthless as property prices fell in the US. They palmed off huge debts on unwitting investors! You would think that he as a real-estate multi billion would understand this?
Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. Trump is not trying to help the UK as some sort of benevolent gift, he is acting in US interests. I don't think UK politicians and supporters realise they are being used. Some people are really gullible, when it comes to Trump and his agenda.
However it is much better to be onside with the US and our politicians need to take the opportunity that may well present itself0 -
Anyone recommend factual evaluations to read elsewhere (not nutjob scares) of the first key things in next 100 days that Trump is likely to do and their impacts?
I note below the climate change policy - which presumably will lower energy costs for all and boost energy intensive manufacturing (eventually).
But what has also been mooted are, for example -
i) Major cutback in Govt spending, starting with hiring freeze
ii) Ending all public service broadcasting
iii) tax incentives for repatriation of billions back to USA
others?0 -
EU28 for at least two years. It will make it harder, not easier to execute Brexit as the months roll by.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particualrly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
The attitude on the right seems to be that anything is good if it annoys lefties. What they have yet to absorb is that what Trump stands for is the opposite of what is in the UK's interests. Trump is smart - he has recruited some lickspittle apologists like Farage and Gove, and has said nice things about the Queen and Winston Churchill - but his direction of travel is profoundly anti-British. We want a strong NATO, a strong EU and open markets around the world. He doesn't.The_Taxman said:It is interesting that Trump has such a low bar to perform against. He will win again in 2020, assuming he does not blow the world up, get impeached or cause a problem for the US economy.
In his speech he showed he has no understanding of economics or why the last recession occurred. He said something along the lines of "wealth was ripped from US housing and spread around the world". In fact the opposite was the case in that mortgage back securities were packaged up and sold to the world, these securities became worthless as property prices fell in the US. They palmed off huge debts on unwitting investors! You would think that he as a real-estate multi billion would understand this?
Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. Trump is not trying to help the UK as some sort of benevolent gift, he is acting in US interests. I don't think UK politicians and supporters realise they are being used. Some people are really gullible, when it comes to Trump and his agenda.
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Not voodoo - its socialism by another name - and its followers protect it in the style of Scientologists.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:
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FrancisUrquhart said:
Talking of coke users....Angus Deaton has got a new gig on the BBC, unfortunately not back as HIGNFY host, as host of what is left of GBBO on BBC.
Angus, leave it alone, it's icing sugar...
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Yep - especially that Prince Charles. A socialist to his core.TGOHF said:
Not voodoo - its socialism by another name - and its followers protect it in the style of Scientologists.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:
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Listening to all the "America First" rhetoric I found myself thinking when did America ever not puts its own interest first?
Perhaps the rest of the world should be putting their countries first and look how best to penalise the tax-dodging US multi-nationals operating all over the world.
My final thought was good luck to those expecting a great post-Brexit trade deal with this guy. Be interesting to see how it all pans out in the real world.0 -
The headline policies are already outlined on the White House website (some quotes here already). Nothing too detailed as yet.NewsTaker said:Anyone recommend factual evaluations to read elsewhere (not nutjob scares) of the first key things in next 100 days that Trump is likely to do and their impacts?
I note below the climate change policy - which presumably will lower energy costs for all and boost energy intensive manufacturing (eventually).
But what has also been mooted are, for example -
i) Major cutback in Govt spending, starting with hiring freeze
ii) Ending all public service broadcasting
iii) tax incentives for repatriation of billions back to USA
others?0 -
We are leaving the EU - end offwilliamglenn said:
EU28 for at least two years. It will make it harder, not easier to execute Brexit as the months roll by.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particualrly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
True. Just stunned at the ineptness. Trump does have some change announcements that are, for most americans, up beat and positive. He just dwelled on attacking all and sundry.Nigelb said:
Best (most honest) bit was the rabbi saying "may Justice dwell in the wilderness"...NewsTaker said:Awful speech from Trump.
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"British (ARM)"rcs1000 said:
The "heart" of your smartphone will be British (ARM), the power management German (infineon), the radio US or Swedish, the a flash memory and panel Korean, the glass German, and s tiny bit of Labour at the end is ChineseTGOHF said:
Not any more.
And you missed out Taiwan.0 -
Obama would have secured a higher turnout among African Americans. That is what lost it for Hillary.The_Apocalypse said:
Yep, I agree. Obama's approval ratings are not too far behind Clinton's and Reagan's. I think Obama would certainly have run Trump a lot more closer in the electoral college than Hillary did. Obama had the 'common touch', in a way that Hillary did not.Pulpstar said:
Obama left with 60 ! % approval ratings, he seems to have achieved a ranking of 18th amongst presidents on the wikipedia entries and he was undoubtedly charismatic. He might well have won a third term if he was allowed, Hillary was amazing at racking up coastal votes - Obama won Iowa! that'll seem like a distant dream for the Democrats now for a good while.The_Apocalypse said:
In that post I was referring to Obama's popularity in the UK.Tim_B said:
Obama is personally popular, yes. But 3 out of 4 Americans think his policies took the US in the wrong direction. That's the Obama dichotomy. He is popular but his policies are not.The_Apocalypse said:
Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....SouthamObserver said:Trump could well kill conservatism in many different ways.
@SeanT Obama is pretty popular in this country. Trump isn't.
I think Pew has found that Americans overall are pretty divided on Obama's legacy. Personally, I think that Trump is going to make Obama look like a great president. Just like George W. Bush made Bill Clinton look great.
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Prince Charles will be the Corbyn King in favourability polling - watch this space.SouthamObserver said:
Yep - especially that Prince Charles. A socialist to his core.TGOHF said:
Not voodoo - its socialism by another name - and its followers protect it in the style of Scientologists.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
One step forward and two steps back.Big_G_NorthWales said:
We are leaving the EU - end offwilliamglenn said:
EU28 for at least two years. It will make it harder, not easier to execute Brexit as the months roll by.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particualrly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
Anti-Trumpers, like Remoaners (they are usually one and the same, with notable exceptions), are far more worried about being proved wrong than being proved right. Transparent.0
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In other words, we will be worse off and more closely tied to an America we dislike. Sounds like a dream scenario. At least we will have a free trade agreement with New Zealand.SeanT said:
Yes, but equally I suspect the Trump presidency will make the Anglosphere nations, the Five Eyes, hug each other closer, as the world divides along new fault lines. We may wince as we do so, but no doubt the Greeks, Poles and Italians will wince as they are forced to embrace even closer with the Germans.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this ia a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
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@MyStephanomics: New White House website - "America 1st foreign policy includes "if partners refuse renegotiation, the president will..withdraw from NAFTA"0
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I'm trying to imagine how I would react to that speech if I was an out-of-work car worker from Detroit who had voted for him. I'm trying to get into his head. Quite difficult from Richmond Park!
I think I would feel - "Good - now let's see you do it." I think I would be focused on what's in for me. When will I be better off? And I might feel proud to be an American. Respect.
The problem for Trump is how is he going to deliver to those expectations because I suspect he isn't. I think Trump genuinely wants to be a great President. I'm not cynical about that.
But he has an ego the size of the planet. The problem for us is how is he going to react when he doesn't succeed. Obviously he'll blame others and feel he has to punish them in some way. Congress? The media? China? What will he do?0 -
There's a small, but not completely negligible, chance that burning all accessible fossil fuels will turn the Earth into another Venus. Our descendants may have some difficulties adapting to that.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
But on who's terms?, I think you are going to be very disappointed if you think we will get any sort of fair deal. He's knows we are desparate and Fox, Farage, Gove et all will lick his boots for any type of deal. They have trumpeted how easy and great it's going to be - Trump would be a fool not to take full advantage, "America First" and all that.RobD said:
Hasn't the incoming administration already been talking about doing a trade deal with the UK?SouthamObserver said:That trade deal Europe-hating, right wing British Atlanticists have been fantasising is dying a million deaths. Trump may be the most anti-British president ever. His priorities are diametrically opposed to ours in almost every way.
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@JananGanesh: Yer man Liam Fox versus the US farm lobby, US insurance lobby, US energy lobby, US bank lobby, under this president.0
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The tax-dodging US multinationals are precisely what Trump is angry about, he wants them to pay more tax in the US, rather than hoarding cash offshore.OllyT said:Perhaps the rest of the world should be putting their countries first and look how best to penalise the tax-dodging US multi-nationals operating all over the world.
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@kurteichenwald: As of now, America has no ambassadors in countries everywhere. Trump fired them all as of 12:01 for no comprehensible reason.0
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Why should Trump want to hug us more closely (in economic terms)? OK, I'm sure that security cooperation will continue, but, apart from that, what have we got to offer to someone whose principal economic policy is protectionism?SeanT said:Yes, but equally I suspect the Trump presidency will make the Anglosphere nations, the Five Eyes, hug each other closer, as the world divides along new fault lines. We may wince as we do so, but no doubt the Greeks, Poles and Italians will wince as they are forced to embrace even closer with the Germans.
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Agreed. It is the lack of serious analysis of the policies he is likely to pursue. The beeb has adopted a leftie tabloid shock horror approach to Trump, repeated by Sky, ITV and of course C4 News. Although C4's Matt Frei did a stand out report into Trump's likely impact on mining the other night.Richard_Nabavi said:
They've been in one for months. In fact, they've completely lost the plot, managing simultaneously to give us hours of 'news' about Trump with very little actual content. Lots of idiotic vox pops, and yet hardly anything (other than rants) about the Trump appointees and likely policies.Big_G_NorthWales said:How on earth can the BBC avoid entering a long period of grieving
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I think the big win for America with Brexit is with agriculture. The EU is protectionist in this area so the UK can offer something to the US that it doesn't have now. The key thing is tariff quotas that limit the amount of each product that can be imported at a realistic tariff and result in produce prices being at least 30% higher than world market prices. The thing is, Trump and other foodstuff exporting countries could probably get these swept away as part of the WTO schedule negotiations and doesn't even need a PTA to do it. British farmers would face a lot more competition and farm gate prices that are least 30% less than now. There will be a lot of farm bankruptcies.Richard_Nabavi said:The new administration's position on trade deals:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/trade-deals-working-all-americans
It's not immediately obvious that he's planning to shower the UK with favours.
Incidentally, the UK would be outside the EU tariff quotas and effectively locked outside that market unless the UK and the EU sign a fully comprehensive trade agreement. They both have incentives to do so. The EU has a big trade surplus with the UK on foodstuffs, while the EU represents 80% of the UK agricultural exports.0 -
Aren't those sort of offices that expire with a new President?Scott_P said:@kurteichenwald: As of now, America has no ambassadors in countries everywhere. Trump fired them all as of 12:01 for no comprehensible reason.
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That's such a parochial and atavistic attitude. That policy applied when Europe was to all intents and purposes our world, and then during the age of empire when the balance of world power was determined by the balance of power in Europe. That era has gone and isn't coming back.SeanT said:Why the fuck do we want a strong EU? We want it to break up, and then prosper again as individual nations. That's always been Britain's objective: a balance of power on the continent.
Of course we have to *pretend* we want their ludicrous Project to succeed, but that's just diplo-speak.0 -
*ofBig_G_NorthWales said:
We are leaving the EU - end offwilliamglenn said:
EU28 for at least two years. It will make it harder, not easier to execute Brexit as the months roll by.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particualrly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
Richard_Nabavi said:
Why should Trump want to hug us more closely (in economic terms)? OK, I'm sure that security cooperation will continue, but, apart from that, what have we got to offer to someone whose principal economic policy is protectionism?SeanT said:Yes, but equally I suspect the Trump presidency will make the Anglosphere nations, the Five Eyes, hug each other closer, as the world divides along new fault lines. We may wince as we do so, but no doubt the Greeks, Poles and Italians will wince as they are forced to embrace even closer with the Germans.
Because our economies are similar.
It's economies that undermine the US that he wants to be protectionist about.
The US will still need friends around the world.
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And the huge chunk of American IP , software and innovation..Nigelb said:
"British (ARM)"rcs1000 said:
The "heart" of your smartphone will be British (ARM), the power management German (infineon), the radio US or Swedish, the a flash memory and panel Korean, the glass German, and s tiny bit of Labour at the end is ChineseTGOHF said:
Not any more.
And you missed out Taiwan.0 -
The president that Donald Trump currently most resembles is Teddy Roosevelt. The resemblance is that of an elephant and a hyrax.0
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I've mentioned this before, but a chip we designed in the UK was fabricated in China, sent to Austria for packaging, then to the US for finishing (can't remember what was done there), from where they were sent to the manufacturers back in China, with engineering and sales samples being sent to the UK.Nigelb said:
"British (ARM)"rcs1000 said:
The "heart" of your smartphone will be British (ARM), the power management German (infineon), the radio US or Swedish, the a flash memory and panel Korean, the glass German, and s tiny bit of Labour at the end is ChineseTGOHF said:
Not any more.
And you missed out Taiwan.
And that was just one RF chip, although it may have been somewhat exceptional.
Supply chains are truly global.0 -
Zing!Freggles said:
*ofBig_G_NorthWales said:
We are leaving the EU - end offwilliamglenn said:
EU28 for at least two years. It will make it harder, not easier to execute Brexit as the months roll by.Richard_Nabavi said:
Yes, this is a key point, and one which of course our EU friends are very well aware of. Anyone who thinks that the election of Trump means that the EU is more likely to fall apart is completely out with the fairies - the obvious effect of Trump's 'America First' protectionism on the EU27 will be to strengthen their unity. Particualrly for countries like France, where the EU has always been seen first and foremost as an explicit counterbalance to US hegemony.The_Taxman said:Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. ...
Quite how Brexit plays in this shifting of the world power and economic landscape is anyone's guess.0 -
If he lasts 20 years as King we may have become a Republic. Hopefully.TGOHF said:
Prince Charles will be the Corbyn King in favourability polling - watch this space.SouthamObserver said:
Yep - especially that Prince Charles. A socialist to his core.TGOHF said:
Not voodoo - its socialism by another name - and its followers protect it in the style of Scientologists.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:
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Locked out eh? That explains the total absence of New world wine, African coffee, Swiss chocolate, and all bananas from supermarket shelves.FF43 said:
I think the big win for America with Brexit is with agriculture. The EU is protectionist in this area so the UK can offer something to the US that it doesn't have now. The key thing is tariff quotas that limit the amount of each product that can be imported at a realistic tariff and result in produce prices being at least 30% higher than world market prices. The thing is, Trump and other foodstuff exporting countries could probably get these swept away as part of the WTO schedule negotiations and doesn't even need a PTA to do it. British farmers would face a lot more competition and farm gate prices that are least 30% less than now. There will be a lot of farm bankruptcies.Richard_Nabavi said:The new administration's position on trade deals:
https://www.whitehouse.gov/trade-deals-working-all-americans
It's not immediately obvious that he's planning to shower the UK with favours.
Incidentally, the UK would be outside the EU tariff quotas and effectively locked outside that market unless the UK and the EU sign a fully comprehensive trade agreement. They both have incentives to do so. The EU has a big trade surplus with the UK on foodstuffs, while the EU represents 80% of the UK agricultural exports.0 -
Yep - Trump won Rust Belt states by relatively small % margin. Hopefully four years of Trump will mobilise African Americans to come out and vote in 2020.SouthamObserver said:
Obama would have secured a higher turnout among African Americans. That is what lost it for Hillary.The_Apocalypse said:
Yep, I agree. Obama's approval ratings are not too far behind Clinton's and Reagan's. I think Obama would certainly have run Trump a lot more closer in the electoral college than Hillary did. Obama had the 'common touch', in a way that Hillary did not.Pulpstar said:
Obama left with 60 ! % approval ratings, he seems to have achieved a ranking of 18th amongst presidents on the wikipedia entries and he was undoubtedly charismatic. He might well have won a third term if he was allowed, Hillary was amazing at racking up coastal votes - Obama won Iowa! that'll seem like a distant dream for the Democrats now for a good while.The_Apocalypse said:
In that post I was referring to Obama's popularity in the UK.Tim_B said:
Obama is personally popular, yes. But 3 out of 4 Americans think his policies took the US in the wrong direction. That's the Obama dichotomy. He is popular but his policies are not.The_Apocalypse said:
Apparently he's just like Regan though. Even though the way he loves Russia would have Regan spinning in his grave right now....SouthamObserver said:Trump could well kill conservatism in many different ways.
@SeanT Obama is pretty popular in this country. Trump isn't.
I think Pew has found that Americans overall are pretty divided on Obama's legacy. Personally, I think that Trump is going to make Obama look like a great president. Just like George W. Bush made Bill Clinton look great.0 -
And now in deep trouble...JosiasJessop said:Supply chains are truly global.
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LMAOScott_P said:@JananGanesh: Yer man Liam Fox versus the US farm lobby, US insurance lobby, US energy lobby, US bank lobby, under this president.
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The damage to the British economy that a collapse of the EU would do is huge. It would cause massive and long-lasting harm to millions and millions of British people. Is annoying Guardian readers really worth that? I actually think it is to some on the right.SeanT said:
Why the fuck do we want a strong EU? We want it to break up, and then prosper again as individual nations. That's always been Britain's objective: a balance of power on the continent.SouthamObserver said:
The attitude on the right seems to be that anything is good if it annoys lefties. What they have yet to absorb is that what Trump stands for is the opposite of what is in the UK's interests. Trump is smart - he has recruited some lickspittle apologists like Farage and Gove, and has said nice things about the Queen and Winston Churchill - but his direction of travel is profoundly anti-British. We want a strong NATO, a strong EU and open markets around the world. He doesn't.The_Taxman said:It is interesting that Trump has such a low bar to perform against. He will win again in 2020, assuming he does not blow the world up, get impeached or cause a problem for the US economy.
In his speech he showed he has no understanding of economics or why the last recession occurred. He said something along the lines of "wealth was ripped from US housing and spread around the world". In fact the opposite was the case in that mortgage back securities were packaged up and sold to the world, these securities became worthless as property prices fell in the US. They palmed off huge debts on unwitting investors! You would think that he as a real-estate multi billion would understand this?
Anyway, looking at the new POTUS and Brexit. Why does he want the EU to fail? Because it is a rival economic power block. If the EU fails then it makes the job for the US easier in terms of changing the rules of trade. A big economy like the US has more clout against a single French or German economy in contrast to a block of 20 odd developed countries. Trump is not trying to help the UK as some sort of benevolent gift, he is acting in US interests. I don't think UK politicians and supporters realise they are being used. Some people are really gullible, when it comes to Trump and his agenda.
Of course we have to *pretend* we want their ludicrous Project to succeed, but that's just diplo-speak.
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We will have to see whether the Trump regime can be trusted with intelligence matters. We know that the government has already asked for reassurances on that front.Richard_Nabavi said:
Why should Trump want to hug us more closely (in economic terms)? OK, I'm sure that security cooperation will continue, but, apart from that, what have we got to offer to someone whose principal economic policy is protectionism?SeanT said:Yes, but equally I suspect the Trump presidency will make the Anglosphere nations, the Five Eyes, hug each other closer, as the world divides along new fault lines. We may wince as we do so, but no doubt the Greeks, Poles and Italians will wince as they are forced to embrace even closer with the Germans.
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Is this unusual? All Presidents in recent years have, for example, replaced the Ambassador to the UK with their own choice/friend.Scott_P said:@kurteichenwald: As of now, America has no ambassadors in countries everywhere. Trump fired them all as of 12:01 for no comprehensible reason.
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Obama speaking - again.0
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What does a "strong EU" mean - powerful enough to ratchet up further it's protectionist barriers to trade with nations outside the union ?williamglenn said:
That's such a parochial and atavistic attitude. That policy applied when Europe was to all intents and purposes our world, and then during the age of empire when the balance of world power was determined by the balance of power in Europe. That era has gone and isn't coming back.SeanT said:Why the fuck do we want a strong EU? We want it to break up, and then prosper again as individual nations. That's always been Britain's objective: a balance of power on the continent.
Of course we have to *pretend* we want their ludicrous Project to succeed, but that's just diplo-speak.
Ask the banana growers of the 3rd world how much they love a "strong EU"
http://www.eurofresh-distribution.com/news/bananas-10-years-import-regime-eu
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Just remember that every lump of coal, every barrel of oil and every tonne of chalk, limestone and marble contains carbon dioxide that was once in the earth's atmosphere and was 'fixed' by living organisms.SeanT said:
There's a considerably greater chance that we are headed for another humanity-crushing Ice Age, judging by climatological history, so put that in you coal fired power station, and smoke it.FeersumEnjineeya said:
There's a small, but not completely negligible, chance that burning all accessible fossil fuels will turn the Earth into another Venus. Our descendants may have some difficulties adapting to that.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
No, there isn't. The large swings in temperature associated with the ice ages were driven by greenhouse gas feedback. CO2 was at about 180 ppm during the depths of the ice age, rising to about 280 ppm during interglacial periods. It's now just over 400 ppm and rising rapidly. We've already far more than cancelled the next ice age.SeanT said:
There's a considerably greater chance that we are headed for another humanity-crushing Ice Age, judging by climatological history, so put that in you coal fired power station, and smoke it.FeersumEnjineeya said:
There's a small, but not completely negligible, chance that burning all accessible fossil fuels will turn the Earth into another Venus. Our descendants may have some difficulties adapting to that.SeanT said:
Good. Climate change is economic voodoo. We will adapt. The best periods for life on earth - a provable fact in terms of species variety - have been the warmer periods.FeersumEnjineeya said:
How utterly depressing. That quite possibly means the end of the Paris Climate Agreement and, with it, the last real change of limiting carbon emissions. If you want your descendants to inherit the family home, best make sure it's on high ground!Scott_P said:0 -
Iain Martin
✔
@iainmartin1
President Trump's dire inauguration speech disgraced America. (My take for Reaction @reactionlife) http://reaction.life/president-trumps-dire-inauguration-speech-disgraced-america/ …0 -
But....but....only the liberal left are concerned about Trump....NewsTaker said:Iain Martin
✔
@iainmartin1
President Trump's dire inauguration speech disgraced America. (My take for Reaction @reactionlife) http://reaction.life/president-trumps-dire-inauguration-speech-disgraced-america/ …0 -
Split screen - Obama speaking at Andrews, and Trump waiting to sign some executive orders.0
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It really isn't a problem - we touched on this a few days ago. I find the public comments completely baffling. 'Need to know' is as old as the hills.SouthamObserver said:
We will have to see whether the Trump regime can be trusted with intelligence matters. We know that the government has already asked for reassurances on that front.Richard_Nabavi said:
Why should Trump want to hug us more closely (in economic terms)? OK, I'm sure that security cooperation will continue, but, apart from that, what have we got to offer to someone whose principal economic policy is protectionism?SeanT said:Yes, but equally I suspect the Trump presidency will make the Anglosphere nations, the Five Eyes, hug each other closer, as the world divides along new fault lines. We may wince as we do so, but no doubt the Greeks, Poles and Italians will wince as they are forced to embrace even closer with the Germans.
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Does Trump's America First make an EU/UK deal more likely? The EU will want to keep a good free trade relationship with U.K. if the US becomes more protectionist.0
