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  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Georgia is a spectacular exit poll for Clinton. Just 1% behind. She could win it.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    Are these states TCTC or Too early to call?
    There is a bit of difference since it might be that they don't have enough info to make the call rather than it is too close.
  • Dadge
    Dadge Posts: 2,052
    Ignore this TCTC BS. Ever since 2000, they delay calling states that are within +/-10%. They'll call SC and GA as soon as they have 2% of precincts reporting.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    Saltire said:

    Are these states TCTC or Too early to call?
    There is a bit of difference since it might be that they don't have enough info to make the call rather than it is too close.

    Early, on CNN.
  • Saltire said:

    Are these states TCTC or Too early to call?
    There is a bit of difference since it might be that they don't have enough info to make the call rather than it is too close.

    One of the news channels said they are being more cautious with calling states after mess ups in the past
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717

    If South Carolina is TCTC then Trump is toast

    It's over Clinton has won.
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327

    If South Carolina is TCTC then Trump is toast

    But then so is Virginia which means Clinton is toast! WTF!?!
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807

    If South Carolina is TCTC then Trump is toast

    Isn't it more they don't have any numbers from the state as yet rather than it's too close?
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    edited November 2016
    Obama only won VA by 4% - no chance of it being called.
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905

    If South Carolina is TCTC then Trump is toast

    Theyre not saying TCTC though, just too soon to make a projection. If any doubt They like a couple of % of votes counted.
  • GIN1138
    GIN1138 Posts: 22,938
    rcs1000 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Virginia TCTC

    Oh.
    But 'early Clinton lead'.

    It's over. Clinton has won.

    Virginia too EARLY to call.
    Time to turn in then?
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Romney won GA by 8 and SC by 10.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    CNN's own result website has S.Carolina even 47-47% with women and 54-38 with men to Trump on the exit poll.
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807
    MikeL said:

    They are cautious - I think entirely possible a state could be end up being won by 10% but not called at poll closing. Maybe even 12%?


    Yes – that was my assumption. Pretty rubbish exit poll though. Where is CNN's projection?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Georgia exit poll:

    Trump 48.2%
    Clinton 46.8%

    Women — 55% of voters.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    There is a lot of panic going on here...
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    AndyJS said:

    Here's a spreadsheet — it doesn't contain anything original.

    "2012 Exit Polls and Results, 2016 FiveThirtyEight forecast"

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hI_1LTbzxMspAHp7TovZPZ1AU5Pc8qGI-QXzpTQisTU/edit#gid=0

    AndyJS said:

    Here's a spreadsheet — it doesn't contain anything original.

    "2012 Exit Polls and Results, 2016 FiveThirtyEight forecast"

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hI_1LTbzxMspAHp7TovZPZ1AU5Pc8qGI-QXzpTQisTU/edit#gid=0

    AndyJS said:

    Here's a spreadsheet — it doesn't contain anything original.

    "2012 Exit Polls and Results, 2016 FiveThirtyEight forecast"

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hI_1LTbzxMspAHp7TovZPZ1AU5Pc8qGI-QXzpTQisTU/edit#gid=0

    AndyJS....bloody good stuff....but can you please draw out any anomalies when they come up/ I'm a man, and am incapable of going more than one task at any one time...
  • brokenwheel
    brokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Pulpstar said:

    Vermont got called tremendously quickly.

    It's Vermont, how else is it going to vote?
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    AndyJS said:

    Georgia is a spectacular exit poll for Clinton. Just 1% behind. She could win it.

    I did say that HC would do well in the South and Sunbelt, less well in the Great Lakes.

    I did call GA very tightly for Trump on my 270to win.
  • jonny83
    jonny83 Posts: 1,273
    CNN seems to have the best coverage, liking these detailed county maps and analysis of them.
  • This is just the time I expected Betfair to come in.

    But it isn't. Clinton still at 1.19
  • Frank Luntz ‏@FrankLuntz 22m22 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
    In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets:

    Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    Georgia CNN exit poll.

    Trump 48
    Hillary 47 (Women are a very high 55% of voters there)

    Virginia
    Hillary 51
    Trump 43

    S.Carolina

    Trump 50
    Hillary 43

    Indiana

    Trump 54
    Hillary 40

    Kentucky

    Trump 62
    Hillary 35
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
  • houndtang said:

    i just realised it must be almost exactly 12 years since I first stumbled on politicalbetting.com. as it was at the time of the Bush/Kerry election. An infrequent poster, and infrequent gambler at that but must have visited every week, almost every day, since then. All the best to Mike Smithson for his great work.

    houndtag - I think you and I must have joined the PB.com community at around the same time. perhaps I beat you by a few months.
    Veterans then. Must be a quite a few old timers from 2004 on here though.

  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    Trump just tightened to 5.3 very quickly...
  • Frank Luntz ‏@FrankLuntz 22m22 minutes ago Manhattan, NY
    In case I wasn't clear enough from my previous tweets:

    Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States.

    He must be seeing horrific numbers for trump in key areas.
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807

    Jobabob said:

    Jobabob said:

    Luntz has called it for Hillary

    They are clearly seeing numbers we haven't yet, and they are clearly definitive looking. 10 mins and I guess we will see what they are.

    Yes it does suggest they have seen new numbers. Luntz would be unlikely to stake his whole reputation on such an early call otherwise (I would assume).

    How is the 24 hour room service sir? Enjoying the night?
    Think you are confusing me with another poster. I am at home...no fancy hotel for me this evening.
    Apologies. Yes, I was confusing you with @Mortimer.

    Hope your home wine cellar is suitably stocked sir!
  • rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    Bloody hell you seem confident. I really hope you're right.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059
    Nate Silver says exit polls have Trump leading 48-47 in Georgia.
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    And back out to 5.7....
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Georgia CNN Exit looks very, very good for Clinton.
  • DanSmith
    DanSmith Posts: 1,215
    SC and VA are not at all close, should be called.

    Georgia is close though.
  • nunu
    nunu Posts: 6,024
    AndyJS said:

    Georgia exit poll:

    Trump 48.2%
    Clinton 46.8%

    Women — 55% of voters.

    Wow its over.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    Trump still leading in the Georgia exit poll. It could just be evidence of Clinton's inefficient vote distribution.
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,310
    Speedy said:

    Georgia CNN exit poll.

    Trump 48
    Hillary 47 (Women are a very high 55% of voters there)

    Virginia
    Hillary 51
    Trump 43

    S.Carolina

    Trump 50
    Hillary 43

    Indiana

    Trump 54
    Hillary 40

    Kentucky

    Trump 62
    Hillary 35

    Commentator on BBC making the point that there have been big moves of African Americans from north to south because of differential living costs.
  • Saltire
    Saltire Posts: 525
    South Carolina was not called until 12:55 GMT last time according to Andy's spreadsheet so no great surprise that it has not been called right away tonight.
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327
    Jump in Sterling just now. Meaningful?
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    If South Carolina is TCTC then Trump is toast

    It's over Clinton has won.
    I agree.

    If Hillary is winning Virginia by 8 then the USA has embraced one of the two bullets of this election.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited November 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    That's true — unless Trump sweeps the Rust Belt. And it would have to be everything: Wisconsin and Michigan as well as Ohio and Pennsylvania.
  • Andrew Neil explains that political colors Red and Blue actually means the opposite of what it does in the rest of the world :)
  • rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    It's still too early to call, lets wait 30 mins.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059
    Based on the two calls, the 538 model is now giving Trump a 27% chance of winning.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    That's true — unless Trump sweeps the Rust Belt.
    Swing is swing. Clinton is outperforming Obama.

    It's over.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    Bloody hell you seem confident. I really hope you're right.
    Young voters came out to vote, 18-29 are 2% more than 65+ of the electorate in Georgia according to the CNN exit poll.
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,310
    edited November 2016
    Interesting that apparently the US parties had no particular colours but they were chosen for them by a tv channel to illustrate their results map in the early days of colour tv, and they stuck.

    In the UK parties used all sorts of different colours in different locations, which gradually harmonised with the spread of mass media.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Men only 45% of voters in Georgia. If you don't vote, you can't complain about the result.
  • Thrak
    Thrak Posts: 494
    Notably high female vote in a number of states if the exit polls by CNN are correct.
  • Dadge
    Dadge Posts: 2,052

    Andrew Neil explains that political colors Red and Blue actually means the opposite of what it does in the rest of the world :)

    I got the impression when the colours decision was made (20 years ago?) that the GOP wanted to be red because it was a more American colour. In the end the Dems were probably not too unhappy since being blue means they aren't associated with international socialism/communism.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    That's true — unless Trump sweeps the Rust Belt.
    Swing is swing. Clinton is outperforming Obama.

    It's over.
    The swing won't be uniform. The electoral map will shift. We expected Clinton to run closer in some unexpected places - doesn't mean she's won.
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    Not at all, some accurate calls were made for Leave very early on in the evening which helped a lot of us make a lot of money. Same was true (albeit to a lesser extent) with GE2015.
  • FrankBooth
    FrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    That's true — unless Trump sweeps the Rust Belt.
    Swing is swing. Clinton is outperforming Obama.

    It's over.
    There isn't a UNS though. Perhaps we've just seen more Clinton friendly states so far.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    No she is not, in Indiana and Kentucky for example she is doing worse
  • rcs1000
    rcs1000 Posts: 60,717
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    Clinton is outperforming Obama. It's over.
  • Chameleon
    Chameleon Posts: 4,265
    rcs1000 said:

    AndyJS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    That's true — unless Trump sweeps the Rust Belt.
    Swing is swing. Clinton is outperforming Obama.

    It's over.
    Except that this election has a whole load of other factors (such a a Rep appealing to completely different demographics than usual). Calm down a bit, we need a lot more before we can make a call.
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    HYUFD said:
    Well it will be the first time ever that they are wrong and by so much.
  • rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    Yup, I called a Leave victory before midnight and a Tory majority at 1.52am, hours before the lamestream media
  • JennyFreeman
    JennyFreeman Posts: 488
    edited November 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    Clinton is outperforming Obama. It's over.
    You are talking hogwash. Just stop ramping up on here and bide your time.
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807
    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    Bloody hell you seem confident. I really hope you're right.
    Young voters came out to vote, 18-29 are 2% more than 65+ of the electorate in Georgia according to the CNN exit poll.
    Speedy finally gets off the Trump train.

    Looking like it is indeed over as Robert says.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    Oddly enough Betfair has responded by moving in Trump's direction slightly.
  • IanB2
    IanB2 Posts: 52,310
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    No she is not, in Indiana and Kentucky for example she is doing worse
    Sunderland was a counted result. This is just extrapolation from a hastily conducted poll.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Florida 2% in Senate
    Rubio 67%
    Murphy 28%
  • MaxPB
    MaxPB Posts: 40,327

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    Yup, I called a Leave victory before midnight and a Tory majority at 1.52am, hours before the lamestream media
    Nuneaton?
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    No she is not, in Indiana and Kentucky for example she is doing worse
    Sunderland was a counted result. This is just extrapolation from a hastily conducted poll.
    No it's extrapolation from real votes
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Speedy said:

    HYUFD said:
    Well it will be the first time ever that they are wrong and by so much.
    Yes, they have picked the president in 15 of the most recent presidential elections
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    edited November 2016
    A big reason, actually the only reason why Hillary won is because young voters came out more than pensioners.

    The share of young voters is higher than that of Pensioners, a complete reversal from normal.
  • Jobabob said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    Bloody hell you seem confident. I really hope you're right.
    Young voters came out to vote, 18-29 are 2% more than 65+ of the electorate in Georgia according to the CNN exit poll.
    Speedy finally gets off the Trump train.

    Looking like it is indeed over as Robert says.
    Come on Georgia!!
  • JennyFreeman
    JennyFreeman Posts: 488
    edited November 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.

    She isn't. You are talking hogwash. Just bide your time.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,722
    edited November 2016
    HYUFD said:

    Florida 2% in Senate
    Rubio 67%
    Murphy 28%

    I wonder how Rubio would have done up against Clinton?
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    Anyone care to open a book on how many times CNN will show that annoying Key Race Alert!!!! graphic tonight?
  • MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    Yup, I called a Leave victory before midnight and a Tory majority at 1.52am, hours before the lamestream media
    Nuneaton?
    Yeah, to be fair I was texting some people in Matthew Parker Street for most of the evening.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,608
    Must. Get. To. Telly.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    Clinton is outperforming Obama. It's over.
    No she is not, as posted in Indiana and Kentucky she is underperforming Obama
  • Anyone care to open a book on how many times CNN will show that annoying Key Race Alert!!!! graphic tonight?

    In association with Audi...
  • Mortimer
    Mortimer Posts: 14,229
    Looks good for Clinton - but looks closer in swing states.
  • tyson
    tyson Posts: 6,122
    i luv CNN....It rocks,,,,CNN rules OK and is good
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    How do I see the headline numbers (rather than broken down by sex, age, ethnicity etc etc)?
  • Dadge
    Dadge Posts: 2,052
    IanB2 said:

    Speedy said:

    Georgia CNN exit poll.

    Trump 48
    Hillary 47 (Women are a very high 55% of voters there)

    Virginia
    Hillary 51
    Trump 43

    S.Carolina

    Trump 50
    Hillary 43

    Indiana

    Trump 54
    Hillary 40

    Kentucky

    Trump 62
    Hillary 35

    Commentator on BBC making the point that there have been big moves of African Americans from north to south because of differential living costs.
    Also a lot of tech companies and college-educated people are migrating down the eastern seaboard - it's becoming more like California - the whole coast will be blue states within a generation. The GOP are possibly getting PA and MI in return, though the Dems are pushing back.
  • RobD said:

    Must. Get. To. Telly.

    Watch CNN, really informative tonight
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289

    Anyone care to open a book on how many times CNN will show that annoying Key Race Alert!!!! graphic tonight?

    The graphic isn't so bad. It's the jingle and the announcement that annoys.
  • Floater
    Floater Posts: 14,207
    Are we there yet?
  • Trump 19 electors
    Clinton 3

    According to BBC :)
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807

    Anyone care to open a book on how many times CNN will show that annoying Key Race Alert!!!! graphic tonight?

    A 'key race' alert in Vermont made me chuckle.

    Now the joke is wearing somewhat thin.
  • FF43
    FF43 Posts: 18,213
    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    We had this kind of nonsense on GE2015 night and on Brexit night. Just hold your horses.
    No. On Brexit night, after Sunderland and Newcastle we knew.

    We know now.

    Clinton is outperforming Obama (2012). It's over.
    Outperforming in the south and underperforming in the north.
  • CapXVerified account ‏@CapX 1m1 minute ago

    Florida early count (2% counted): Donald Trump 58.5 Hillary Clinton 30.2%
  • Speedy
    Speedy Posts: 12,100
    HYUFD said:

    Florida 2% in Senate
    Rubio 67%
    Murphy 28%

    Caution about the early Florida vote, they dump all the early postal vote first.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059
    538:
    We’re getting reports that voting hours will be extended for anywhere from 20 to 60 minutes in a number of Durham, North Carolina, polling places. There were problems with voting machines in this area earlier today — computers broke down and some voting had to be done on paper — and polling officials are likely trying to account for this delay.
  • williamglenn
    williamglenn Posts: 56,289

    CapXVerified account ‏@CapX 1m1 minute ago

    Florida early count (2% counted): Donald Trump 58.5 Hillary Clinton 30.2%

    That's underperforming Rubio based on votes counted so far.
  • Jobabob
    Jobabob Posts: 3,807
    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    Clinton is outperforming Obama. It's over.
    No she is not, as posted in Indiana and Kentucky she is underperforming Obama
    In states where the Democrats didn't even contest...
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited November 2016
    Exit poll in Indiana is indicating a 2% swing to the GOP compared to 2012. And also a 2% swing to the GOP in Kentucky.
  • Monksfield
    Monksfield Posts: 2,905
    Dadge said:

    IanB2 said:

    Speedy said:

    Georgia CNN exit poll.

    Trump 48
    Hillary 47 (Women are a very high 55% of voters there)

    Virginia
    Hillary 51
    Trump 43

    S.Carolina

    Trump 50
    Hillary 43

    Indiana

    Trump 54
    Hillary 40

    Kentucky

    Trump 62
    Hillary 35

    Commentator on BBC making the point that there have been big moves of African Americans from north to south because of differential living costs.
    Also a lot of tech companies and college-educated people are migrating down the eastern seaboard - it's becoming more like California - the whole coast will be blue states within a generation. The GOP are possibly getting PA and MI in return, though the Dems are pushing back.
    The GOP will be playing Mad Max in flyover country...
  • Dadge said:

    IanB2 said:

    Speedy said:

    Georgia CNN exit poll.

    Trump 48
    Hillary 47 (Women are a very high 55% of voters there)

    Virginia
    Hillary 51
    Trump 43

    S.Carolina

    Trump 50
    Hillary 43

    Indiana

    Trump 54
    Hillary 40

    Kentucky

    Trump 62
    Hillary 35

    Commentator on BBC making the point that there have been big moves of African Americans from north to south because of differential living costs.
    Also a lot of tech companies and college-educated people are migrating down the eastern seaboard - it's becoming more like California - the whole coast will be blue states within a generation. The GOP are possibly getting PA and MI in return, though the Dems are pushing back.
    If magicLeap becomes as big as the backers hope, Florida could become one massive tech hub.
  • nunu
    nunu Posts: 6,024
    MikeL said:

    Georgia CNN Exit looks very, very good for Clinton.

    where is the exit poll? I was watching cnn and cant see it.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    Jobabob said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andrew said:

    Hmm.. If Georgia and South Carolina are close, I don't think Trump will make it.

    Georgia not surprising, was only Trump+4, but SC was Trump+7....
    SC too EARLY to call, Trump leading.

    SC, Trump.
    Looks like Georgia is going for Clinton based on the demographics.

    It's over guys. Clinton won, 330-350 EVs.
    No, Trump has won Georgia according to the exit poll, although it is tight. A few polls had Clinton actually winning Georgia
    How do I see the headline numbers (rather than broken down by sex, age, ethnicity etc etc)?
    Georgia 1% in
    Trump 75%
    Clinton 22%
    http://edition.cnn.com/election/results/states/georgia
This discussion has been closed.