politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Leadsom quits the race. Big question now is whether May is

Leadsom quits race pic.twitter.com/KisrMlXyPg
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Leadsom quits race pic.twitter.com/KisrMlXyPg
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Marquee Mark 7:51AM
I'm hoping that God might yet have a quiet word with Mother Superior - and gets her to stand down.
If He is a merciful God, it would spare us all two months more of this.
A bit unfitting, but hey ho...
Leadsom has gone up in my estimations. Gracious and in the overwhelming interests of the Party and the country.
Well done.
And congratulations to our new PM, Theresa May. I wish her well. I think she will do well.
Labour - this is how you sort out leadership issues. The Tories are (the IDS saga aside) rather good at this.
Go Boris!!!
UKIP will be doing handsprings.
Labour have AWS, Tories just go for it.
Labour on the other hand..
What was significant about Leadsom’s statement was not just that she said she was withdrawing, but that she said that as a candidate with so little support amongst Tory MP she would not have been able to run a strong government.
As I write Iain Duncan Smith, a Leadsom supporter and former Tory leader, is saying he agrees. He says he wants to see May become PM as soon as possible.
After this is it hard to see how the 1922 committee could reopen the contest. Leadsom had the backing of 84 Tory MPs - 25% of the total. Michael Gove, who was in third place, got just 46 - or 14%.
For the ultra-Eurosceptic leave Tories, this has been a disaster. A majority of Tory members backed leave, three of the five original candidates were Brexiteer, but their champion has now backed out after just three days on the final shortlist.
Leadsom’s statement did not include anything about the pressure she has been under, which has reflected her relative inexperience. But it did not need to; it is clear that what she said about the importance of support amongst the parliamentary party, and about a nine-week campaign being too long (on Friday her team were saying nine weeks was just right) is at least in part just cover for the fact she did not want to go on.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2016/jul/11/andrea-leadsom-apologises-to-theresa-may-politics-live?CMP=twt_a-politics_b-gdnukpolitics
Theresa May's speech & now ascent to PM are great news for Jeremy Corbyn. Shifts the entire UK political trajectory significantly leftwards."
twitter.com/LabourEoin/status/752463990958202880
But that said, I think she might be really rather good. We should get some steer from her choice of Cabinet. I hope she starts with a clean sheet of paper.
I'm so going to enjoy the tweets of Mensch, Richards et al..
Righteous fury to follow.
Well I suppose, she couldn't go any lower! What on earth was she thinking of standing. Surely the support of IDS should have told her she had no chance.
Tories couldn;t have arranged this better....for UKIP.
What an opportunity.
Leadsom's departure still leaves quite a lot of Tory MPs with concerns about ensuring Brexit really happens. They'll be watching May closely
The only interests Theresa May ever thinks about are those of one T. May.
Good on the Tories if so.
Perhaps, but what about the Queensbury Rules? No hitting when your opponent's on the floor. And someone will replace them - either Ukip (if Art 50 hasn't been invoked) or a new electable Labour Party?
Leadson got a much greater percentage of CON MPs backing her than Corbyn has ever had from LAB MPs.
LOL
Er, no - now BBC backtrack: "he needs to consult as to whether she is"!
WTF?
That subscription is worth every penny, I'm never cancelling my subscription.
They may want to see how a May government deals with the fallout of Brexit.
@politicshome
NEW: 1922 C'ttee chair Graham Brady asked if any chance or reopening leadership contest: "None whatsoever." http://polho.me/29CD0U5
I don't think there is any parallel between that unopposed takeover and this open competition, even though Conservative members would have preferred to have had their say in the matter.
(edited to add: good afternoon, everyone)
Way to go, Gove. Way to fucking go....
It was a bit gutter press, but Rachel Sylvester deserves an OBE for her services to the country...
The country wants change.
The tories gave them fudger May.
They will not be forgiven.
So why would they help the Tories set aside the FTPA, just to let the Tories have a larger majority?
If we get Brexit that is indistinguishable from EU membership, and continued mass migration, then I think she will be seen as the Conservatives' Gordon Brown. If she plots a more radical path, then she may be another Thatcher.
This is the real downside with a referendum, Boris, Farage, Gove, now Leadsom have all washed their hands of implementing Brexit. It's a bloody disgrace that people who never wanted us to leave the EU are now left having to make the best of it as all the Leavers walk away. It really makes me angry but, as I said, entirely predictable from Leave.
I suspect they will now go back to carping on the sidelines again and blame any problems on the poor sods landed with implementing it. Not on ounce of political guts or integrity between the lot of them..
If only Corbyn had said that.
My list of reasons to support Theresa has not got any longer. I am suspicious of her authoritarian tendencies, her belief in government action, her failure of delivery at the Home Office and her narrow outlook on life. Having had the government that was probably closest to my own political views in my adult life under Cameron and Osborne I feel at most a semi detached supporter of this new government.
I hope for the best but fear the worst in a situation where we have no effective opposition. The sheer self indulgence of those people who nominated and voted for Corbyn makes me sick.
Looking at her track record, I am not optimistic.
The SNP are smart operators. They will see that Theresa wants to capitalise on her honeymoon period and Labour's woes. The SNP currently have 56 of the 59 MPs in Scotland, they have little to gain and a lot to lose.