politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The online polls all have LEAVE ahead
Comments
-
4.5 now.
The Ipsos Mori poll out tomorrow finished their field work at 9pm tonight0 -
Of course. There is some serious money involved here.FrancisUrquhart said:
Told you insider trading going on. Well Com Res have put their balls on the line there, as everybody else is saying basically 50/50.HYUFD said:
Someone will have texted his mate somewhere who will have texted someone else... Etc.0 -
-
Wow! Will Self said something succinctly?!surbiton said:As Will Self put it succinctly, not all Brexiters are racists, but all racists will be voting for Brexit.
Did he manage to do it without looking/sounding like a self important pompous git as well? (Actually I enjoy his articles by and large, but good lord he bloviates).
He's also wrong, although naturally I only have anecdote - I know two definite racists who say they're voting Remain - they think Boris will be a disaster, the EU will punish us hard and we'll suffer economically, and apparently even the promise of cutting immigration isn't enough to overcome that.0 -
Maybe you are.tyson said:
What do I see......oh yes......I seem some clutching and straws......Sean_F said:
There's Survation 1% Remain and ICM 6% Leave as well.Scott_P said:@MSmithsonPB: The final three phone polls
BMG 6% REMAIN lead
ORB 8% REMAIN lead
ComRes 8% REMAIN led
Just Ipsos to come
There seems to be a widespread view that:-
1. Online polls are crap.
2. Telephone polls that don't put Leave well ahead are crap.
That seems the very definition of confirmation bias.0 -
you can get thousands at 4.5 now... oops 4.6 now..4.7...Mortimer said:Darn, I only managed to get £120 on at 4.3-4.4
0 -
His reputation will be the same as Blair's in a few years though. Of course he probably won't care anymore than Blair does.HYUFD said:
I will vote Remain but I hope the final result is closer to yougov than Comres, still tighter than the final indyref though so UKIP still has hope of a mini SNP revival if Remain do win. Still could change tomorrow night but it looks like Cameron will bow out as a lucky git...yet again, 2 election wins and 3 referendum wins even better than Blair (albeit no landslides apart from the AV ref!)SeanT said:It's over. Pack your bags. I will vote LEAVE tomorrow confident in the knowledge that my vote means nothing, and the successful REMAIN referendum campaign will reinforce the value of my Primrose Hill (borders) flat
lol0 -
It was a good call to put Khan and O'Grady up for the main BBC debate. Leave can't win if that's anywhere near accurate.DanSmith said:ComRes has the Labour vote going 80-20 to Remain...
0 -
So either Online (Leave) or Phone (Remain) wins. We'll know soon enough.
One thing the polls can't allow for (IUIC) is that the postal votes were actioned when LEAVE were at the height of their polling popularity. So Leave may already have a decent lead that REMAIN could struggle to overturn.0 -
NEW THREAD NEW THREAD
0 -
Maybe 14% was right...DanSmith said:ComRes has the Labour vote going 80-20 to Remain...
0 -
You Gov online poll has Remain ahead (just)stjohn said:So either Online (Leave) or Phone (Remain) wins. We'll know soon enough.
One thing the polls can't allow for (IUIC) is that the postal votes were actioned when LEAVE were at the height of their polling popularity. So Leave may already have a decent lead that REMAIN could struggle to overturn.0 -
Betfair Brexit market will hit 50 million in next couple of hours0
-
Was it him who said it about Moslems and terrorists too?surbiton said:As Will Self put it succinctly, not all Brexiters are racists, but all racists will be voting for Brexit.
0 -
I haven't got a clue what the result will be tomorrow. Then again neither does Dave - and that will leave him curled up overnight clutching his teddy as he has repeated nightmares about his "legacy".
Politics. Always good times0 -
I wonder how much the nature of the campaign has had on those who will vote leave.
But not when asked on a logged call...0 -
That's such idiotic thinking, and it's actually similar to racist thinking: "not all young black males in Brixton are muggers", etc. Damned right they're not!surbiton said:As Will Self put it succinctly, not all Brexiters are racists, but all racists will be voting for Brexit.
I still can't understand the betting prices. People are willing to risk entire pots of money for a chance that they will get them back wih 25% interest added if Remain win. How can they be so sure?0 -
Too trueRichard_Tyndall said:
His reputation will be the same as Blair's in a few years though. Of course he probably won't care anymore than Blair does.HYUFD said:
I will vote Remain but I hope the final result is closer to yougov than Comres, still tighter than the final indyref though so UKIP still has hope of a mini SNP revival if Remain do win. Still could change tomorrow night but it looks like Cameron will bow out as a lucky git...yet again, 2 election wins and 3 referendum wins even better than Blair (albeit no landslides apart from the AV ref!)SeanT said:It's over. Pack your bags. I will vote LEAVE tomorrow confident in the knowledge that my vote means nothing, and the successful REMAIN referendum campaign will reinforce the value of my Primrose Hill (borders) flat
lol0
