Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
I am seriously hoping that not being Trump will be enough long enough to get see the Dems win the mid-terms. A Trump-led GOP victory next year would be an unmitigated disaster.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
He was elected because he had no fatal negatives, not because he had any striking positives.
Given that it wasn’t a total walkover, that was probably the right choice.
Like the Tories who put a clown in Downing Street solely to beat Corbyn and see Brexit done, there’s a price for having such narrow horizons.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
To me this is the key. As that wonderful spoof advert from the Now Show said, ‘what he is, what he has always been, and what he will be as your next President, is Not Donald Trump. And that is what makes Joe Biden acceptable, under the circumstances.’
Of course, that was always going to be a bit of a problem when he had to deal with the very large problems Trump had left behind. And the fact he is not dealing with them very well - to put it mildly - suggests he isn’t really what was needed. Equally, of course, what was needed - somebody truly brilliant, charismatic, imaginative, energetic and decisive - wasn’t available. Buttigieg might have been closest to it, but given his youth and inexperience he wasn’t close.
I still think he will only serve one term. The key therefore is to make sure both parties move on from their current awful selection of leaders next time.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
This is good news for Starmer overall. Nailed on now though that the party conference will be close to a challenge.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
He was elected because he had no fatal negatives, not because he had any striking positives.
Given that it wasn’t a total walkover, that was probably the right choice.
Like the Tories who put a clown in Downing Street solely to beat Corbyn and see Brexit done, there’s a price for having such narrow horizons.
The idea that he should never have won a primary is crazy imho. The good folk of S Carolina saw that he could beat Trump and had decades of experience. They went for the right man at the right time for the problem in front of them.
The only other candidate who came close imho was Buttigieg. He's very impressive. But would he have beaten Trump?
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
Incidentally these BBC highlights package are absolutely pathetic. I am not interested in seeing the reactions of a has-been like Agnew reacting to the events of two years ago. When 10 wickets have fallen in the day there should be plenty of action to occupy half an hour.
Media watchdog Ofcom quits Stonewall diversity scheme
Hundreds of private and public organisations - including the BBC - are members of the Diversity Champions scheme.
In return for an annual payment, members receive advice on issues such as the use of personal pronouns at work, and whether single-sex toilets should be accessible to people from the opposite sex, but who identify as trans.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
That said the Dems are on course to pass two incredibly popular pieces of legislation in the next month or so as long as Congressional Dems don't fuck it up.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
Part of why some progressives dont like him presumably - having done that how dare he seek to govern his way?
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Biden is the second oldest living President. The third being Trump. Clinton, Bush and Obama are all younger than both of them. So clearly it wasn't always so.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
Len consider himself Corbyn's deputy leader and chief of staff as far as I could see.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Oldest PMs by age of departure from office
Gladstone 84 Palmerston 80 Churchill 80 Disraeli 75 Lord John Russell 73 Lord Salisbury 72 Campbell Bannerman 71 Neville Chamberlain 71 The Duke of Portland 71 Lord Aberdeen 71 Earl Grey 70
It is to my mind rather striking that only one of those was elected via a general election in the age of universal suffrage.
Equally, of course, Palmerston probably would have won elections under any franchise even in his seventies.
(And to be controversial, Chamberlain would easily have won an election in October 1938, although fortunately he had more sense than to call one.)
It looks like the government has taken such a beating from the “yeah but no but yeah but no” nature of its previous travel policy reviews that tomorrow’s announcement - the last of this year’s holiday season - isn’t expected to change anything much?
That said the Dems are on course to pass two incredibly popular pieces of legislation in the next month or so as long as Congressional Dems don't fuck it up.
This is why Biden, while a bit unlikely to have a second term, isn't a clear lay. Too long tying up the money, and not short enough odds. It's far from impossible that he runs again.
Along with any attempt to enforce mask wearing on the tube.
I’ve been taking some trips along the Cambrian line north from Machynlleth. They’ve had marshalls going along enforcing mask wearing.
However, that was only on full services. When I was travelling from Barmouth, they were active. When I was on a near-empty train north of Harlech, they weren’t bothered.
Strange, when you consider in a pressurised environment with recirculating air distance would make no actual difference.
That said the Dems are on course to pass two incredibly popular pieces of legislation in the next month or so as long as Congressional Dems don't fuck it up.
This is why Biden, while a bit unlikely to have a second term, isn't a clear lay. Too long tying up the money, and not short enough odds. It's far from impossible that he runs again.
Biden was the right person at the right time to defeat Trump . I don’t see him trying to go for another term . The Dems best chance of staying in the WH is for Trump to become the GOP nominee.
As much as many seem to like Buttigieg including myself there is the elephant in the room . Would the USA vote in a gay President . I can’t see it myself.
Biden was the right person at the right time to defeat Trump . I don’t see him trying to go for another term . The Dems best chance of staying in the WH is for Trump to become the GOP nominee.
As much as many seem to like Buttigieg including myself there is the elephant in the room . Would the USA vote in a gay President . I can’t see it myself.
Well, they already have, although I suppose there was a don’t ask, don’t tell element to his career.
As his presidency ended in a civil war it perhaps isn’t exactly a happy precedent either.
That said the Dems are on course to pass two incredibly popular pieces of legislation in the next month or so as long as Congressional Dems don't fuck it up.
This is why Biden, while a bit unlikely to have a second term, isn't a clear lay. Too long tying up the money, and not short enough odds. It's far from impossible that he runs again.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Oldest PMs by age of departure from office
Gladstone 84 Palmerston 80 Churchill 80 Disraeli 75 Lord John Russell 73 Lord Salisbury 72 Campbell Bannerman 71 Neville Chamberlain 71 The Duke of Portland 71 Lord Aberdeen 71 Earl Grey 70
It is to my mind rather striking that only one of those was elected via a general election in the age of universal suffrage.
Equally, of course, Palmerston probably would have won elections under any franchise even in his seventies.
(And to be controversial, Chamberlain would easily have won an election in October 1938, although fortunately he had more sense than to call one.)
You'd probably want to lop off about 5 years to their modern equivalents. Some of these were awful.
The problem isn't being 78 per se. There are lots of people that age who are still as sharp as ever.
I doubt there are many people who reach 78 who are still quite as mentally agile as they were at 30. My dad notices it with his driving: he used to drive massive distances each year between sites (I think 30k miles) and was an excellent driver. He now tries not to drive at night, because he finds it tiring, and he admits his driving skills are not as polished as they were.
Yet to talk to him, he is just as sharp as he ever was.
Biden was the right person at the right time to defeat Trump . I don’t see him trying to go for another term . The Dems best chance of staying in the WH is for Trump to become the GOP nominee.
As much as many seem to like Buttigieg including myself there is the elephant in the room . Would the USA vote in a gay President . I can’t see it myself.
If Biden was only about defeating Trump then I'd prefer Trump. I dislike Trump.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
I don't want to see Labour detach from the unions. The union link keeps them grounded and in touch with their roots. Labour without the unions would be like the kid who leaves his blue collar town for a top uni and doesn't go home for Christmas.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It's interesting, the Republicans have a number of young, charismatic players who one could easily see in the White House in the decade - Hawley or DeSantis from the Trump wing of the Party, Sasse from the sane side.
The Democrats, for a while at least, did not. But I think that is beginning to change. Buttigieg was the star of the Democratic Primary season, but Jon Ossoff looks equally impressive.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
I don't want to see Labour detach from the unions. The union link keeps them grounded and in touch with their roots. Labour without the unions would be like the kid who leaves his blue collar town for a top uni and doesn't go home for Christmas.
I would gently suggest that the whole problem under Corbyn - who was in effect a stooge for the unions and certainly far more in thrall to them than any leader for fifty years - was exactly that Labour had completely lost touch with their roots.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
I don't want to see Labour detach from the unions. The union link keeps them grounded and in touch with their roots. Labour without the unions would be like the kid who leaves his blue collar town for a top uni and doesn't go home for Christmas.
"Labour and the unions" is the horror story. A story of bad men, bad ideas, and a complete raid on the UK.
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
In London on holiday last week and mask wearing 60% at best on the tube. No attempts observed to encourage conpliance.
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
In London on holiday last week and mask wearing 60% at best on the tube. No attempts observed to encourage compliance.
Of course nobody's trying to enforce it. With that many passengers and such a large proportion refusing, how would they go about making a reasonable attempt to do so?
Joe Biden's problem has nothing to do with his age. He seems remarkably clear sighted in his determination to get out of Afghanistan. The problem is poor intelligence and planning, which he is taking the hit for. Nevertheless if people perceive age to be an issue, it is a problem for him.
He is about 8 percentage points more popular than Trump was at this point of his presidency. In fact he is still more popular than Trump was at any point - but we need to bear in mind the Republicans get a big bias from the electoral system.
29% for the next Democrat nomination looks value to me, but I am hopeless at reading American politics.
I think having Biden as low as 20% for WH2024 is a major, if entirely predictable, overreaction to current news by the betting markets.
Sure, things could potentially go from bad to worse in Afghanistan but the whole Afghan thing could just as easily drift off the American political radar quite quickly.
If the US get all or virtually American citizens and a good proportion of their Afghan aides out by 31 August and exit as per Biden's plan, and if the Taliban avoid committing any major atrocities, a lot of this could be very old news by the end of the year and a non-issue by 2024. Indeed, it's still possible that BIden could come out of this looking quite strong by September.
None of the above is certain but equally I think it more likely than not - which makes Biden a 60% chance of getting the nomination and >40% chance of winning imo.
(None of which is to diminish the awfulness of the way this Afghan exit has been managed.)
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
I don't want to see Labour detach from the unions. The union link keeps them grounded and in touch with their roots. Labour without the unions would be like the kid who leaves his blue collar town for a top uni and doesn't go home for Christmas.
If you look at the reality that only 10% of Unite members voted in the election of Sharon Socialist-Worker, one might deduce that the Union is out of touch with its roots.
Len taught me that the connection between the Labour Party and Union Barons is an unhealthy one. If and when Labour return to power, perhaps after Johnson retires aged 100, in Government they should push for publicly funded political parties.
The Labour Party can't be trusted either to behave with money from McCluskey or Ecclestone, and let's face it where do we start with Conservative Party financial patronage/ rabid corruption?
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
He was elected because he had no fatal negatives, not because he had any striking positives.
Given that it wasn’t a total walkover, that was probably the right choice.
Like the Tories who put a clown in Downing Street solely to beat Corbyn and see Brexit done, there’s a price for having such narrow horizons.
It is a bit off, if parties are beginning to go for leaders because they will win elections, rather than because they have much to say about their plans. (If BoJo were to GoGo mid term, his successor would be the third PM in a row chosen by MPs not the general public.)
But, let's be optimistic. Suppose Biden's plan is to do the things that need doing but can't do because they're thinking about reelection. Or their Veep is. What else should be in the bucket list?
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
In London on holiday last week and mask wearing 60% at best on the tube. No attempts observed to encourage compliance.
Of course nobody's trying to enforce it. With that many passengers and such a large proportion refusing, how would they go about making a reasonable attempt to do so?
It was merely a comment on an observation, not suggesting they should. What irritates me is pontificating politicians such as Sadiq Khan making it a Condition of Carriage knowing he isn't able to follow through. This just brings authority into disrepute. Mind you, he's not unique in that.
I had my first "supply chain" issue today when I couldn't buy Bisto gravy granules at the CO!
Shortage of diced chicken in convenient-sized packets in Tesco.
It's devastating, but somehow I shall survive.
That's my experience - whenever I go to my local Sainsbury's there are disguised gaps with individual lines missing, never anything very important and there's usually an alternative if you need it now. I'm usually coming back without 1 or 2 items of 20 or so, but they are always there next time and something else will have run out instead.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Union bosses will to some degree have to get involved in national politics, but some of the recent ones give the impression theyd much rather be politicians than it just being part of the job.
I don't want to see Labour detach from the unions. The union link keeps them grounded and in touch with their roots. Labour without the unions would be like the kid who leaves his blue collar town for a top uni and doesn't go home for Christmas.
Aside from not being Trump, I'm unsure what Biden has to offer. He seems a bit of a blank canvas and rather uninspiring.
Then again, I'm not an American voter.
He offers to get America out of Afghanistan. The exit may be messy and it certainly isn't nice for the Afghans, but few Americans seriously want to stay there any longer.
I had my first "supply chain" issue today when I couldn't buy Bisto gravy granules at the CO!
The lads will be along shortly to explain why you're wrong.
You must have imagined it...
PB Herd = see no empty shelves, hear no empty shelves, say no empty shelves, ra ra ra, god save Mrs Sachsen Coborg und Gotha.
In fairness, empty shelves can only be reported from personal experience (as distinct from rumours circulating in newspapers) if there are empty shelves for one to experience in the first place.
So far I've encountered a minor poultry shortage, and my favourite brand of cereal snack bar-type things for work is apparently out of stock until an estimated delivery date of September 1st. Slightly irritating, but it's not exactly a return to the dark days of the March 2020 panic buying phenomenon.
I think having Biden as low as 20% for WH2024 is a major, if entirely predictable, overreaction to current news by the betting markets.
Sure, things could potentially go from bad to worse in Afghanistan but the whole Afghan thing could just as easily drift off the American political radar quite quickly.
If the US get all or virtually American citizens and a good proportion of their Afghan aides out by 31 August and exit as per Biden's plan, and if the Taliban avoid committing any major atrocities, a lot of this could be very old news by the end of the year and a non-issue by 2024. Indeed, it's still possible that BIden could come out of this looking quite strong by September.
None of the above is certain but equally I think it more likely than not - which makes Biden a 60% chance of getting the nomination and >40% chance of winning imo.
(None of which is to diminish the awfulness of the way this Afghan exit has been managed.)
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Biden is the second oldest living President. The third being Trump. Clinton, Bush and Obama are all younger than both of them. So clearly it wasn't always so.
I think it’s because Clinton, H torched her potential rivals.
You were either loyal to her or you were cast into the outer darkness
It means there are relatively few presidential-grade democrats in their 50s and 60s
I think having Biden as low as 20% for WH2024 is a major, if entirely predictable, overreaction to current news by the betting markets.
Sure, things could potentially go from bad to worse in Afghanistan but the whole Afghan thing could just as easily drift off the American political radar quite quickly.
If the US get all or virtually American citizens and a good proportion of their Afghan aides out by 31 August and exit as per Biden's plan, and if the Taliban avoid committing any major atrocities, a lot of this could be very old news by the end of the year and a non-issue by 2024. Indeed, it's still possible that BIden could come out of this looking quite strong by September.
None of the above is certain but equally I think it more likely than not - which makes Biden a 60% chance of getting the nomination and >40% chance of winning imo.
(None of which is to diminish the awfulness of the way this Afghan exit has been managed.)
That’s the reason they were all behind Remain - they want to pay Eastern Europeans minimum wage to do hard graft/unsociable jobs! Stuart Rose let it slip didn’t he? Wages will go up if we leave.
They’ve been basically arbing the European and UK Labour markets for 15 years and are upset it’s all over. Who wouldn’t be?!
Time to pay up, big business leaders - use the money you’ve saved since 2004
I had my first "supply chain" issue today when I couldn't buy Bisto gravy granules at the CO!
The lads will be along shortly to explain why you're wrong.
You must have imagined it...
PB Herd = see no empty shelves, hear no empty shelves, say no empty shelves, ra ra ra, god save Mrs Sachsen Coborg und Gotha.
In fairness, empty shelves can only be reported from personal experience (as distinct from rumours circulating in newspapers) if there are empty shelves for one to experience in the first place.
So far I've encountered a minor poultry shortage, and my favourite brand of cereal snack bar-type things for work is apparently out of stock until an estimated delivery date of September 1st. Slightly irritating, but it's not exactly a return to the dark days of the March 2020 panic buying phenomenon.
I can’t help it if the only empty shelves I’ve seen in Upminster/Hornchurch are sparkling water in Waitrose. Maybe we’ve just been lucky
Maybe the Stones song of the today is ‘You can’t Always Get What You Want’!
I had my first "supply chain" issue today when I couldn't buy Bisto gravy granules at the CO!
The lads will be along shortly to explain why you're wrong.
You must have imagined it...
PB Herd = see no empty shelves, hear no empty shelves, say no empty shelves, ra ra ra, god save Mrs Sachsen Coborg und Gotha.
In fairness, empty shelves can only be reported from personal experience (as distinct from rumours circulating in newspapers) if there are empty shelves for one to experience in the first place.
So far I've encountered a minor poultry shortage, and my favourite brand of cereal snack bar-type things for work is apparently out of stock until an estimated delivery date of September 1st. Slightly irritating, but it's not exactly a return to the dark days of the March 2020 panic buying phenomenon.
Well, following on from the conversation this morning, I have another shortage to report. We called in at McDonalds this evening, our first visit for over eighteen months. The little 'un was very excited. There were no bottled drinks to be had at all - so I guess the McD shortage story is anecdotally true.
And you know what? That burger tasted wonderful. I know it's cr@p food, and home-made burgers are healthier and tastier, but absence makes the heart grow fonder. I loved it. But if I were to have another one tomorrow, I wouldn't feel the same way about it.
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
In London on holiday last week and mask wearing 60% at best on the tube. No attempts observed to encourage compliance.
Of course nobody's trying to enforce it. With that many passengers and such a large proportion refusing, how would they go about making a reasonable attempt to do so?
It was merely a comment on an observation, not suggesting they should. What irritates me is pontificating politicians such as Sadiq Khan making it a Condition of Carriage knowing he isn't able to follow through. This just brings authority into disrepute. Mind you, he's not unique in that.
Yeah sorry, I wasn't having a go, I got what you meant. And I entirely agree that imposing regulations that are basically unenforceable (or inflicted at random upon small numbers of individuals who are unlucky enough to get picked upon) merely serves to bring the law/the authorities into needless disrepute.
There's been a lot of that during Covid: we ought not to forget in a hurry when people were persecuted for taking a walk whilst daring to sip a cup of coffee, or for sitting on a park bench.
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Oldest PMs by age of departure from office
Gladstone 84 Palmerston 80 Churchill 80 Disraeli 75 Lord John Russell 73 Lord Salisbury 72 Campbell Bannerman 71 Neville Chamberlain 71 The Duke of Portland 71 Lord Aberdeen 71 Earl Grey 70
It is to my mind rather striking that only one of those was elected via a general election in the age of universal suffrage.
Equally, of course, Palmerston probably would have won elections under any franchise even in his seventies.
(And to be controversial, Chamberlain would easily have won an election in October 1938, although fortunately he had more sense than to call one.)
You'd probably want to lop off about 5 years to their modern equivalents. Some of these were awful.
No really awful ones. Russell and Campbell Bannermann weren’t great. Chamberlain had a lot of potential but was found wanting against a v tough test
Biden is an awful President who should never have won a primary let alone an election.
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Only Biden could have beaten Trump imho.
That was his one last job.
I think the problem (and I’ve said this before) come aback to the lack of profile among Democratic candidates. All three of Obama’s two Secretaries of State and vice-President were in their 60s/70s in 2016. There were simply no younger candidates forcing their way through. Of those three, apart from age, Kerry was already a failed candidate and Hilary Clinton was incredibly divisive. That left Biden carrying the torch. And he did it very well - he said all the right things - but he’s not showing what’s needed now to sort things out.
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
It is striking how US voters are willing to tolerate candidates way beyond the age at which most European countries would look for someone with a bit more energy.
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Oldest PMs by age of departure from office
Gladstone 84 Palmerston 80 Churchill 80 Disraeli 75 Lord John Russell 73 Lord Salisbury 72 Campbell Bannerman 71 Neville Chamberlain 71 The Duke of Portland 71 Lord Aberdeen 71 Earl Grey 70
It is to my mind rather striking that only one of those was elected via a general election in the age of universal suffrage.
Equally, of course, Palmerston probably would have won elections under any franchise even in his seventies.
(And to be controversial, Chamberlain would easily have won an election in October 1938, although fortunately he had more sense than to call one.)
The big one - in my view the greatest post-War Western leader of them all, Konrad Adenauer became Federal Chancellor of Germany at, I think, 74 years old and went on for another 13 years.
I had my first "supply chain" issue today when I couldn't buy Bisto gravy granules at the CO!
The lads will be along shortly to explain why you're wrong.
You must have imagined it...
PB Herd = see no empty shelves, hear no empty shelves, say no empty shelves, ra ra ra, god save Mrs Sachsen Coborg und Gotha.
In fairness, empty shelves can only be reported from personal experience (as distinct from rumours circulating in newspapers) if there are empty shelves for one to experience in the first place.
So far I've encountered a minor poultry shortage, and my favourite brand of cereal snack bar-type things for work is apparently out of stock until an estimated delivery date of September 1st. Slightly irritating, but it's not exactly a return to the dark days of the March 2020 panic buying phenomenon.
Well, following on from the conversation this morning, I have another shortage to report. We called in at McDonalds this evening, our first visit for over eighteen months. The little 'un was very excited. There were no bottled drinks to be had at all - so I guess the McD shortage story is anecdotally true.
And you know what? That burger tasted wonderful. I know it's cr@p food, and home-made burgers are healthier and tastier, but absence makes the heart grow fonder. I loved it. But if I were to have another one tomorrow, I wouldn't feel the same way about it.
Is it that crap? You wouldn't say that of home cooked spaghetti bol, presumably, which is about the same combination of minced beef, white flour and slightly dubious veg. And it is, as you say, delicious.
Yesterday I took the two lines into town just after rush hour and home again at the tail end, with most seats taken but only one or two standing for the most part, I'd say the vast majority were wearing masks, and mostly but not always covering mouth and nose.
My observation on this topic - District Line (spacious walk through carriages, lots of space) mask wearing 80%+. Central Line (ancient crowded trains, standing room only) 50% masks tops. Dropping in both cases though.
Comments
Still infinitely better than Trump. But the Democrats need to think hard on the primaries for 2024 or the GOP really will have an easy ride then (so long as they don't choose Trump again).
Given that it wasn’t a total walkover, that was probably the right choice.
Like the Tories who put a clown in Downing Street solely to beat Corbyn and see Brexit done, there’s a price for having such narrow horizons.
That was his one last job.
"Ms Graham said she has 'simple beliefs' that trade unions exist to fight bad employers and the way to do that is to build the strength of the union at the workplace first.
She said: I have built Unite through the organising department, at the workplace, across industries, fighting bad bosses."
D Mail
Of course, that was always going to be a bit of a problem when he had to deal with the very large problems Trump had left behind. And the fact he is not dealing with them very well - to put it mildly - suggests he isn’t really what was needed. Equally, of course, what was needed - somebody truly brilliant, charismatic, imaginative, energetic and decisive - wasn’t available. Buttigieg might have been closest to it, but given his youth and inexperience he wasn’t close.
I still think he will only serve one term. The key therefore is to make sure both parties move on from their current awful selection of leaders next time.
The only other candidate who came close imho was Buttigieg. He's very impressive. But would he have beaten Trump?
Somewhere, a younger candidate in their fifties should have been brought forward, perhaps by Biden or Kerry resigning and being replaced by somebody younger, somebody being groomed for the succession. Bad oversight by Obama that he didn’t do it.
Hundreds of private and public organisations - including the BBC - are members of the Diversity Champions scheme.
In return for an annual payment, members receive advice on issues such as the use of personal pronouns at work, and whether single-sex toilets should be accessible to people from the opposite sex, but who identify as trans.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-58336116
It sounds rather like a bit of a shake down.
"A-level result parties fuel 'astonishing' Covid surge in historic market town in Leicester, health chiefs warn"
Mail
https://courtnewsuk.co.uk/grenfell-tower-worker-blamed-jews-for-the-fire/
I really don’t know whether the US clings onto some excessive respect for those with decades of experience, or whether the $-driven nature of US politics makes it difficult to get to the top of the greasy pole without decades of greasing the right palms and dispensing the right pork.
Just 0.98% of participants in an ONS study have been reinfected with Covid
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9925255/Just-1-Covid-survivors-Britain-reinfected-half-likely-symptoms.html
Ouch - a joke that hits a nerve
So clearly it wasn't always so.
Gladstone 84
Palmerston 80
Churchill 80
Disraeli 75
Lord John Russell 73
Lord Salisbury 72
Campbell Bannerman 71
Neville Chamberlain 71
The Duke of Portland 71
Lord Aberdeen 71
Earl Grey 70
It is to my mind rather striking that only one of those was elected via a general election in the age of universal suffrage.
Equally, of course, Palmerston probably would have won elections under any franchise even in his seventies.
(And to be controversial, Chamberlain would easily have won an election in October 1938, although fortunately he had more sense than to call one.)
It's far from impossible that he runs again.
However, that was only on full services. When I was travelling from Barmouth, they were active. When I was on a near-empty train north of Harlech, they weren’t bothered.
Strange, when you consider in a pressurised environment with recirculating air distance would make no actual difference.
As much as many seem to like Buttigieg including myself there is the elephant in the room . Would the USA vote in a gay President . I can’t see it myself.
As his presidency ended in a civil war it perhaps isn’t exactly a happy precedent either.
Just.
Yet to talk to him, he is just as sharp as he ever was.
The Democrats, for a while at least, did not. But I think that is beginning to change. Buttigieg was the star of the Democratic Primary season, but Jon Ossoff looks equally impressive.
Then again, I'm not an American voter.
It's devastating, but somehow I shall survive.
You must have imagined it...
He is about 8 percentage points more popular than Trump was at this point of his presidency. In fact he is still more popular than Trump was at any point - but we need to bear in mind the Republicans get a big bias from the electoral system.
29% for the next Democrat nomination looks value to me, but I am hopeless at reading American politics.
Sure, things could potentially go from bad to worse in Afghanistan but the whole Afghan thing could just as easily drift off the American political radar quite quickly.
If the US get all or virtually American citizens and a good proportion of their Afghan aides out by 31 August and exit as per Biden's plan, and if the Taliban avoid committing any major atrocities, a lot of this could be very old news by the end of the year and a non-issue by 2024. Indeed, it's still possible that BIden could come out of this looking quite strong by September.
None of the above is certain but equally I think it more likely than not - which makes Biden a 60% chance of getting the nomination and >40% chance of winning imo.
(None of which is to diminish the awfulness of the way this Afghan exit has been managed.)
Len taught me that the connection between the Labour Party and Union Barons is an unhealthy one. If and when Labour return to power, perhaps after Johnson retires aged 100, in Government they should push for publicly funded political parties.
The Labour Party can't be trusted either to behave with money from McCluskey or Ecclestone, and let's face it where do we start with Conservative Party financial patronage/ rabid corruption?
But, let's be optimistic. Suppose Biden's plan is to do the things that need doing but can't do because they're thinking about reelection. Or their Veep is. What else should be in the bucket list?
You'd be better off with Bovril.
(Though the availability of tights is subject to American Airmen, which may be a problem right now.)
I hope that you..
So far I've encountered a minor poultry shortage, and my favourite brand of cereal snack bar-type things for work is apparently out of stock until an estimated delivery date of September 1st. Slightly irritating, but it's not exactly a return to the dark days of the March 2020 panic buying phenomenon.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2WlAHojl90
I didn’t get on it myself, sadly
You were either loyal to her or you were cast into the outer darkness
It means there are relatively few presidential-grade democrats in their 50s and 60s
That’s the reason they were all behind Remain - they want to pay Eastern Europeans minimum wage to do hard graft/unsociable jobs! Stuart Rose let it slip didn’t he? Wages will go up if we leave.
They’ve been basically arbing the European and UK Labour markets for 15 years and are upset it’s all over. Who wouldn’t be?!
Time to pay up, big business leaders - use the money you’ve saved since 2004
Maybe the Stones song of the today is ‘You can’t Always Get What You Want’!
And you know what? That burger tasted wonderful. I know it's cr@p food, and home-made burgers are healthier and tastier, but absence makes the heart grow fonder. I loved it. But if I were to have another one tomorrow, I wouldn't feel the same way about it.
There's been a lot of that during Covid: we ought not to forget in a hurry when people were persecuted for taking a walk whilst daring to sip a cup of coffee, or for sitting on a park bench.
Yesterday, Matt Chorley said shadow foreign secretary Lisa Nandy had never mentioned Afghanistan in the House of Commons until last week.
He now admits he got it wrong... it's actually a lot worse than that.
@MattChorley
https://twitter.com/TimesRadio/status/1430473447210115076?s=20