Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
But they only go into more detail about things people had already knew or had guessed. There was no killer revelation there as far as I could see. Cummings was like a battleship turning all his guns on HMS Boris, and Boris has sailed on basically unaffected, for the moment anyway.
Well indeed. Cummings at worst was only 'confirming' what people already took to be true anyway.
It was chaotic and a mess in March. I don't think anyone would say otherwise - nor would it be any different with any other PM.
As I said on the day Cummings spoke, I believed ~90% of what he said though I think he exaggerated personal issues especially regarding Hancock. But it doesn't change anything and its all pretty much open secrets anyway.
If its all baked in to public opinion anyway, why would voting intention change now?
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
There's nothing that Cummings said which we didn't know or didn't suspect already.
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that. That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that. That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that. That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
I have only been to one Catholic wedding, a friend of mine from medical school, who chose a Non-Conformist as his best man.
Never have I seen a Best man's speech go down so badly.
Best man: I was so pleased to see the Papal blessing for David and his wife, I didn't know that you could still buy them...
Well the BM is meant to be a bit edgy.
It was a great wedding. The only one that I have been to with a fight, with someone being thrown out, and pretty much everyone drunk. I woke up with a very sore head, and have never found my own wedding ring since. Fortunately Mrs Foxy was in an equally bad state.
She'd mislaid her's as well, and you decided the best thing was to call it a wash?
No, but at least she was there to know that I had not mislaid mine in an extramarital bit of dodginess.
I think I lost it when the Groom, Best man, myself and another were doing our imitation of the Chippendales on the dance floor.
Weddings are fun, good to have them back.
Was this many years ago, then, or last week?
About 25 years ago. Since then my six-pack has been replaced by a party keg.
If he is expelled Roberts would presumably stand in the subsequent by-election. Doubt he'd get more than a trickle of votes, but I think he needs to for the parachute payment (if he's been there long enough to get it).
"Brave" of the Tories to be so keen on triggering a by-election that Labour really ought to be favourites for.
Why? 80 seat majority — who cares about 1 seat, really?
It doesn't matter and being brave here is the right thing to do.
But gifting the opposition a probably winnable seat is not something you'd expect government's to do very often. Kudos to them if they do here.
It's not brave.
Calling a by-election they have absolutely no need to call? Where they could legitimately just expel him from the party permanently and say they'd fix the loophole so this never happens again while leaving him ostracised on the opposition benches without the whip otherwise?
In a seat that was Labour 1992-2019? That only needs a 1.2% swing to be lost and there's more LD and PC votes to be squeezed than BXP votes?
In fairness Philip said "Brave" rather than brave.
Politically doing something you don't have to, and which will cost you, is 'brave' in the Yes Minister sense. But here there's not that much of a downside - they're unlikely to let him back in, so the seat is lost to them now anyway (even if in practical terms he might well vote with them most of the time anyway).
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
But they only go into more detail about things people had already knew or had guessed. There was no killer revelation there as far as I could see. Cummings was like a battleship turning all his guns on HMS Boris, and Boris has sailed on basically unaffected, for the moment anyway.
Well indeed. Cummings at worst was only 'confirming' what people already took to be true anyway.
It was chaotic and a mess in March. I don't think anyone would say otherwise - nor would it be any different with any other PM.
As I said on the day Cummings spoke, I believed ~90% of what he said though I think he exaggerated personal issues especially regarding Hancock. But it doesn't change anything and its all pretty much open secrets anyway.
If its all baked in to public opinion anyway, why would voting intention change now?
It depends how this drip feeds into public opinion
Sky tonight spoke to the scientist who was named by Cummings (and they made a big point of it) as the one who gave the lockdown advice which Boris is alleged to have ignored and he was again warning of early lockdown, which for Sky is par for the course
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
If he is expelled Roberts would presumably stand in the subsequent by-election. Doubt he'd get more than a trickle of votes, but I think he needs to for the parachute payment (if he's been there long enough to get it).
Is he the 2019 intake's Jared O'Mara?
The more important issue is that it would create a line of unacceptable behaviour; something so awful that the government responds by punishing one of its own MPs. Johnson has been PM for 2 years now, and has studiously avoided setting such a line.
For that reason alone, expelling Roberts would be a good thing, even if one might want to question whether that line is being set much much much too low. (And it's not happened yet!)
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Lusting after people consensually is fair enough.
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Not sure if you are alleging Boris is lusting after younger party members and I would have thought the accusation unwise to be honest
"Brave" of the Tories to be so keen on triggering a by-election that Labour really ought to be favourites for.
Why? 80 seat majority — who cares about 1 seat, really?
It doesn't matter and being brave here is the right thing to do.
But gifting the opposition a probably winnable seat is not something you'd expect government's to do very often. Kudos to them if they do here.
It's not brave.
Calling a by-election they have absolutely no need to call? Where they could legitimately just expel him from the party permanently and say they'd fix the loophole so this never happens again while leaving him ostracised on the opposition benches without the whip otherwise?
In a seat that was Labour 1992-2019? That only needs a 1.2% swing to be lost and there's more LD and PC votes to be squeezed than BXP votes?
How's that not brave?
Plus Labour won Delyn in the Senedd elections less than a month ago
If he is expelled Roberts would presumably stand in the subsequent by-election. Doubt he'd get more than a trickle of votes, but I think he needs to for the parachute payment (if he's been there long enough to get it).
Is he the 2019 intake's Jared O'Mara?
The more important issue is that it would create a line of unacceptable behaviour; something so awful that the government responds by punishing one of its own MPs. Johnson has been PM for 2 years now, and has studiously avoided setting such a line.
For that reason alone, expelling Roberts would be a good thing, even if one might want to question whether that line is being set much much much too low. (And it's not happened yet!)
You might also consider whether MPs in other parties are wondering "So, which of us do they have in their sights next?"
Well, knock me dahn wiv a feather. And there was nick palmer XMP, on this here website, just last night calling me a nutter for entertaining the theory
In other news, the whole UFO/UAP flap really IS an enormous mystery, with potentially momentous consequences
I have only been to one Catholic wedding, a friend of mine from medical school, who chose a Non-Conformist as his best man.
Never have I seen a Best man's speech go down so badly.
Best man: I was so pleased to see the Papal blessing for David and his wife, I didn't know that you could still buy them...
Well the BM is meant to be a bit edgy.
It was a great wedding. The only one that I have been to with a fight, with someone being thrown out, and pretty much everyone drunk. I woke up with a very sore head, and have never found my own wedding ring since. Fortunately Mrs Foxy was in an equally bad state.
The second most edgy Best Man's speech was at my Brothers wedding near Kiel in North Germany.
Best Man: Welcome to this wedding in Schwelsig-Holstein, a most beautiful part of Germany, formerly Denmark...
Not a fan of the warmer weather, especially at night.
Key is to wear something light and floaty.
Or not to wear something light and floaty...
Yes, but I didn't want to go there and make the person I was talking to uncomfortable. And in fact if he happens to be lying on a leather sofa it's better to have something on. Can get sticky otherwise.
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Lusting after people consensually is fair enough.
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
If we stopped lusting after fertile members of the opposite gender the species would go instinct
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Lusting after people consensually is fair enough.
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
If we stopped lusting after fertile members of the opposite gender the species would go instinct
Next: banning erections
Phew! Thank God - for a moment there I thought you said "banning elections".
Can you imagine - this place would go into meltdown!
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
If he is expelled Roberts would presumably stand in the subsequent by-election. Doubt he'd get more than a trickle of votes, but I think he needs to for the parachute payment (if he's been there long enough to get it).
Is he the 2019 intake's Jared O'Mara?
The more important issue is that it would create a line of unacceptable behaviour; something so awful that the government responds by punishing one of its own MPs. Johnson has been PM for 2 years now, and has studiously avoided setting such a line.
For that reason alone, expelling Roberts would be a good thing, even if one might want to question whether that line is being set much much much too low. (And it's not happened yet!)
You might also consider whether MPs in other parties are wondering "So, which of us do they have in their sights next?"
Of course. And in the Tory Party too. Too low a bar for me. Recall being allowed to proceed? Sure. Straightforward expulsion should be reserved for jail time imho.
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
There's nothing that Cummings said which we didn't know or didn't suspect already.
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that. That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that. That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that. That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
The question used to be whether SKS or the Sunday papers could trawl through Cummings' seven hours of he said, she said and find something.
But leaving that aside, if Cummings had sewn doubts about whether Boris was saving lives or seeing "his girlfriend" then does today's wedding play into that narrative? Marginal stuff, perhaps.
Wait for the Nats to whinge if it doesn’t go to Scotland because the yards are full of MOD orders.
Should go to Birkenhead. Cammell Laird.
My late uncle worked in Cammell Lairds and he was arranging for us to attend the launch of the HMS Ark Royal in 1950 when he suddenly died in the yard and we did not get to go
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Those who want an extension to the restrictions can stay in their own homes if they choose.
Why are we debating the minutiae of a wedding that we do not yet know was a wedding? Aren't we where we were with Megan and Harry - lots of speculating about an assertion by Megan that turned out to be wrong.
It could have been a blessing after a Civil Marriage, for all we know.
The commentary on Times Radio has crossed over into bitchiness - 'The thought of Boris Johnson kissing makes me cringe', which might be OK for Cosmo, but not for decent radio. Rapidly losing patience with that channel.
Has anyone accused Boris yet of deliberately holding it in secret so he can get more attention? In 5 .. 4 .. 3 ..
If anyone wants an RC church in all it's gorgeousness, then try St Giles, Cheadle. Designed by Pugin, who went berserk with the decoration. Good selection of piccies on Wikipedia.
Highnam is excellent because it is a group of Church, Priest's House, School and more built in one setting at the same time.
On the Banns, it may just not have been noticed. It wasn't for Gordon Brown.
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Lusting after people consensually is fair enough.
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
If we stopped lusting after fertile members of the opposite gender the species would go instinct
Next: banning erections
I'm struggling to believe any man or woman alive can resist the charm and good looks of Rob Roberts
He has to go no matter the possible loss of the seat
He is a disgrace to the party and his career should end now
I am a bit surprised that the Tories are so shocked at an older man lusting after younger party workers. It is almost as if they operate double standards, where the cult leader can do as he chooses.
Lusting after people consensually is fair enough.
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
If we stopped lusting after fertile members of the opposite gender the species would go instinct
Next: banning erections
I'm struggling to believe any man or woman alive can resist the charm and good looks of Rob Roberts
Maybe @Leon can stick with just Drakeford rather than going for them both?
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Thinking further there are multiple groups:
1) Those who want fewer restrictions and would make use of the extra freedoms 2) Those who want fewer restrictions but don't want to use the extra freedoms 3) Those who want more restrictions and would accept the extra restrictions 4) Those who want more restrictions but would ignore the extra restrictions
There are also subgroups for example:
1) Those who want more restrictions in this country but want fewer restrictions on international travel 2) Those who want fewer restrictions in this country but want more restrictions on international travel
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Thinking further there are multiple groups:
1) Those who want fewer restrictions and would make use of the extra freedoms 2) Those who want fewer restrictions but don't want to use the extra freedoms 3) Those who want more restrictions and would accept the extra restrictions 4) Those who want more restrictions but would ignore the extra restrictions
There are also subgroups for example:
1) Those who want more restrictions in this country but want fewer restrictions on international travel 2) Those who want fewer restrictions in this country but want more restrictions on international travel
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
It may be Corbynites who push for the leadership challenge most vigorously, but if there is a leadership election, I suspect a more centrist will come out with the crown. and probably one not so tied to stopping Brexit.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
P.S. All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative wins. Just saying.
Delivering Tory votes in two nations to advance the Socialist cause? Shall I be your pussy?
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
P.S. All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative wins. Just saying.
Delivering Tory votes in two nations to advance the Socialist cause? Shall I be your pussy?
I was alarmed by your statement, and then I remembered Rula Lenska.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
You said you didn’t know what @AndyJS point was, as most of the 10 polls he cited for the average Tory lead of 11 were conducted pre Cummings. But the 4 conducted afterwards also have an average lead of 11
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
You said you didn’t know what @AndyJS point was, as most of the 10 polls he cited for the average Tory lead of 11 were conducted pre Cummings. But the 4 conducted afterwards also have an average lead of 11
And I am telling you, fairly plainly it would seem, that in my opinion it is too early to measure the effect of Cummings. I will say this for the third time, if the leads remain in double figures in a months time,Cummings will have had no effect. I don't think I can be any clearer.
Come back to me in a month and laugh at me if Johnson has had no ill- effects from Cummings.
FPT - in response to @Malmesbury who said: "I assume that plumbers have only a 50:50 chance of turning up on the day that they say, let alone the time, so it doesn't surprise me that diners might be no-shows.
Sadly this is a nearly universal phenomenon - it relates to how people use communication. So it is entirely standard in recruitment, for example, that not getting the job means that no-one will ever call/email you. Just silence.
One entertaining version of this is that when you hire people - and I mean at a serious job level, banks, high end iT etc - a certain percentage will simply not turn up on their designated first day. Or ever...."
That has recently happened to my youngest. He got to the final round to get into a graduate training programme with a government agency. Prepared for it hard - a day long event by Zoom etc. Was told that everyone would be contacted to be told whether they were on the programme or not by a certain date. The day came and went. Nothing heard so he rang to find out what was happening and was told that it was all taking much longer than expected, not to worry, he would hear in due course. Weeks have passed. Nothing has been heard. He emailed them a couple of weeks back. No reply.
It is so rude. So disheartening. He's 22 for heaven's sake. He has worked hard for his good degree from a prestigious university and graduated just before Covid struck. He has been working, applying for all sorts of jobs, has done an unpaid internship for which he got commended and commented on in the trade press etc. And these bastards can't even drum up the courtesy to give him an answer having promised they would do so.
I am furious on his behalf. How dare people attack this generation for being lazy or entitled when people who should know better behave with such callous rudeness.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
You said you didn’t know what @AndyJS point was, as most of the 10 polls he cited for the average Tory lead of 11 were conducted pre Cummings. But the 4 conducted afterwards also have an average lead of 11
And I am telling you, fairly plainly it would seem, that in my opinion it is too early to measure the effect of Cummings. I will say this for the third time, if the leads remain in double figures in a months time,Cummings will have had no effect. I don't think I can be any clearer.
Come back to me in a month and laugh at me if Johnson has had no ill- effects from Cummings.
Why did you say “ Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is” if it wasn’t to draw a line between pre and post? Even though they’re the same
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
There's nothing that Cummings said which we didn't know or didn't suspect already.
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that. That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that. That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that. That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
The question used to be whether SKS or the Sunday papers could trawl through Cummings' seven hours of he said, she said and find something.
But leaving that aside, if Cummings had sewn doubts about whether Boris was saving lives or seeing "his girlfriend" then does today's wedding play into that narrative? Marginal stuff, perhaps.
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Those who want an extension to the restrictions can stay in their own homes if they choose.
I doubt they will though.
I know quite a few who plan to do that, but it's not really the point. Few if any positively want longer restrictions, but most would favour them, reluctantly, if the Government advised that they were necessary to avoid a major resurgence. If there's a major risk, then our personal preferences are seen as irrelevant.
I've switched personally to being relaxed about it all and go shopping, have meals out, etc. But if the Government advised that this was becoming risky, then I'd stop, and would want that to be a national policy. Just leaving it to our individual judgment would abdicate responsibility - few of us have enough information to make a solid judgment.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
You said you didn’t know what @AndyJS point was, as most of the 10 polls he cited for the average Tory lead of 11 were conducted pre Cummings. But the 4 conducted afterwards also have an average lead of 11
And I am telling you, fairly plainly it would seem, that in my opinion it is too early to measure the effect of Cummings. I will say this for the third time, if the leads remain in double figures in a months time,Cummings will have had no effect. I don't think I can be any clearer.
Come back to me in a month and laugh at me if Johnson has had no ill- effects from Cummings.
Why did you say “ Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is” if it wasn’t to draw a line between pre and post? Even though they’re the same
Why are you picking a fight with me? I am an old man, you'd easily beat the **** out of me.
But before you do so, I will confirm 6 of the 10 were post Cummings, one of the 4, I believe was mid Cummings, and I am telling you, like I implied to @Andy_JS that if 11 points remains the differential in a month @Andy_JS has something to crow about.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
Apart from the political results Opinium is also interesting on extending lockdown - 43% want to extend, 34% want to relax in June as planned, 10% think we should have relaxed sooner. Delicately balanced but certainly no great pressure to get on with it at all costs, as some here have been suggesting.
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
Those who want an extension to the restrictions can stay in their own homes if they choose.
I doubt they will though.
I know quite a few who plan to do that, but it's not really the point. Few if any positively want longer restrictions, but most would favour them, reluctantly, if the Government advised that they were necessary to avoid a major resurgence. If there's a major risk, then our personal preferences are seen as irrelevant.
I've switched personally to being relaxed about it all and go shopping, have meals out, etc. But if the Government advised that this was becoming risky, then I'd stop, and would want that to be a national policy. Just leaving it to our individual judgment would abdicate responsibility - few of us have enough information to make a solid judgment.
Blimey. I can’t imagine ever thinking like that . It’s my life to live how I like, not to wait for other people to tell me
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is. If the average is still 11 points in a month's time I think you have something to crow about.
What’s the average Tory lead in post Cummings polls?
It depends on the polling dates. Isn't the most recently polled, Tories +6?
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
There have been 4 polls, all conducted 27-28 May and the average Tory lead is 11
Like I said. If the lead is anything like 11 points in a month, Cummings will have had no effect.
You said you didn’t know what @AndyJS point was, as most of the 10 polls he cited for the average Tory lead of 11 were conducted pre Cummings. But the 4 conducted afterwards also have an average lead of 11
And I am telling you, fairly plainly it would seem, that in my opinion it is too early to measure the effect of Cummings. I will say this for the third time, if the leads remain in double figures in a months time,Cummings will have had no effect. I don't think I can be any clearer.
Come back to me in a month and laugh at me if Johnson has had no ill- effects from Cummings.
Why did you say “ Considering most of those polls were pre-Cummings, I am not sure what your point is” if it wasn’t to draw a line between pre and post? Even though they’re the same
Why are you picking a fight with me? I am an old man, you'd easily beat the **** out of me.
But before you do so, I will confirm 6 of the 10 were post Cummings, one of the 4, I believe was mid Cummings, and I am telling you, like I implied to @Andy_JS that if 11 points remains the differential in a month @Andy_JS has something to crow about.
Just seemed a strange thing to say when the post and pre averages were both 11. I don’t want a fight!
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
There's nothing that Cummings said which we didn't know or didn't suspect already.
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that. That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that. That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that. That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
The question used to be whether SKS or the Sunday papers could trawl through Cummings' seven hours of he said, she said and find something.
But leaving that aside, if Cummings had sewn doubts about whether Boris was saving lives or seeing "his girlfriend" then does today's wedding play into that narrative? Marginal stuff, perhaps.
Here's another perspective - from today's Survation:
Of the following people, do you believe that they do or do not generally tell the truth? (Net) Johnson: -18 Cummings: -51 Sunak: +18 Gove: -22 Hancock: -24
I think there's one clear outlier there....
Yet the main things that Cummings was saying are believed.
There's nothing that Cummings said which we didn't know or didn't suspect already.
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that. That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that. That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that. That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
The question used to be whether SKS or the Sunday papers could trawl through Cummings' seven hours of he said, she said and find something.
But leaving that aside, if Cummings had sewn doubts about whether Boris was saving lives or seeing "his girlfriend" then does today's wedding play into that narrative? Marginal stuff, perhaps.
Do we know who paid for the wedding yet?
I am hoping it is courtesy of Cadbury's Flake, like Anthea Turner's wedding to Grant Bovey.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Why are you obsessed with Burgon?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Why are you obsessed with Burgon?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
No charisma
No policies
No By Election wins
No hope of improvement
No point voting Labour
Your last statement has summed up why Labour are permanently stuck up a gumtree. It is the "if my candidate isn't in charge, promoting unwinnable left wing idealogy I'd rather see Boris Johnson as Prime Minister" attitude.
I am very disappointed in Starmer, but then, although I have grave doubts about Burnham's abilities, if electing him leader would see the back of a Johnson Government, I'd say give him a go. But it is unlikely we will be in a position where Burnham is even eligible to be Labour Leader before 2024, which means Johnson is in power until at least 2028, should Starmer or his interim replacement lose in 2024.
So in the meantime you, and those from the Corbyn wing are desperate for Starmer to be humiliated at every opportunity. And be careful what you wish for, Burgon, and RLB will try for the leadership, and bearing in mind Corbyn got the gig once, anything is possible.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Why are you obsessed with Burgon?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
No charisma
No policies
No By Election wins
No hope of improvement
No point voting Labour
Your last statement has summed up why Labour are permanently stuck up a gumtree. It is the "if my candidate isn't in charge, promoting unwinnable left wing idealogy I'd rather see Boris Johnson as Prime Minister" attitude.
I am very disappointed in Starmer, but then, although I have grave doubts about Burnham's abilities, if electing him leader would see the back of a Johnson Government, I'd say give him a go. But it is unlikely we will be in a position where Burnham is even eligible to be Labour Leader before 2024, which means Johnson is in power until at least 2028, should Starmer or his interim replacement lose in 2024.
So in the meantime you, and those from the Corbyn wing are desperate for Starmer to be humiliated at every opportunity. And be careful what you wish for, Burgon, and RLB will try for the leadership, and bearing in mind Corbyn got the gig once, anything is possible.
The public are going to get fed up with Johnson eventually. It's just that it's difficult to predict exactly when that will happen. Probably within 3 years or so.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Why are you obsessed with Burgon?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
No charisma
No policies
No By Election wins
No hope of improvement
No point voting Labour
Your last statement has summed up why Labour are permanently stuck up a gumtree. It is the "if my candidate isn't in charge, promoting unwinnable left wing idealogy I'd rather see Boris Johnson as Prime Minister" attitude.
I am very disappointed in Starmer, but then, although I have grave doubts about Burnham's abilities, if electing him leader would see the back of a Johnson Government, I'd say give him a go. But it is unlikely we will be in a position where Burnham is even eligible to be Labour Leader before 2024, which means Johnson is in power until at least 2028, should Starmer or his interim replacement lose in 2024.
So in the meantime you, and those from the Corbyn wing are desperate for Starmer to be humiliated at every opportunity. And be careful what you wish for, Burgon, and RLB will try for the leadership, and bearing in mind Corbyn got the gig once, anything is possible.
The public are going to get fed up with Johnson eventually. It's just that it's difficult to predict exactly when that will happen. Probably within 3 years or so.
The question is, will the Labour Party be in a position to capitalise on this when it happens, or will the Tories re-invent themselves again while remaining in power, as happened in 2019 with the transition from Mrs May to Johnson?
The public are going to get fed up with Johnson eventually. It's just that it's difficult to predict exactly when that will happen. Probably within 3 years or so. The question is, will the Labour Party be in a position to capitalise on this when it happens, or will the Tories re-invent themselves again while remaining in power, as happened in 2019 with the transition from Mrs May to Johnson?
The ability of the Tories to reinvent themselves since 2005 has been nothing short of astonishing - perhaps the greatest political evolution in our lifetimes.... Labour/LibDems etc need to learn bloody fast as it is the Blues most powerful attribute.
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
Ian Lavery preparing Corbynites for a leadership challenge if Starmer loses Batley and Spen
Wasn't that Gorgeous George's justification for fighting Batley and Spen? Deliver a Conservative victory* to oust Starmer and replace him with a true hero of the left, who can exceed Corbyn's magnificent and victorious minus 80 seat majority in December 2019.
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
SKS is delivering Tory victories in areas where even Corbyn won.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
If he loses Delyn (if it happens) I'll concede to you, and we can have magnificent minus 100 seat Richard Burgon victories between now and the end of time.
Why are you obsessed with Burgon?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
No charisma
No policies
No By Election wins
No hope of improvement
No point voting Labour
Your last statement has summed up why Labour are permanently stuck up a gumtree. It is the "if my candidate isn't in charge, promoting unwinnable left wing idealogy I'd rather see Boris Johnson as Prime Minister" attitude.
I am very disappointed in Starmer, but then, although I have grave doubts about Burnham's abilities, if electing him leader would see the back of a Johnson Government, I'd say give him a go. But it is unlikely we will be in a position where Burnham is even eligible to be Labour Leader before 2024, which means Johnson is in power until at least 2028, should Starmer or his interim replacement lose in 2024.
So in the meantime you, and those from the Corbyn wing are desperate for Starmer to be humiliated at every opportunity. And be careful what you wish for, Burgon, and RLB will try for the leadership, and bearing in mind Corbyn got the gig once, anything is possible.
The public are going to get fed up with Johnson eventually. It's just that it's difficult to predict exactly when that will happen. Probably within 3 years or so.
Depends if his big projects to level up the Midlands and the North capture the public's mood. If so, then he can leave on a high, at a time of his choosing.
His premiership was meant to be a transition from Brexit to these works. Covid royally buggered that up - and took much of the money too. The question now is: can the private sector still make them happen? If so, it will be a bigger shift from public to private works than even Cummings could have envisioned.
Comments
But gifting the opposition a probably winnable seat is not something you'd expect government's to do very often. Kudos to them if they do here.
Delyn counld be tricky.
He has to go and if the seat is lost so be it
It was chaotic and a mess in March. I don't think anyone would say otherwise - nor would it be any different with any other PM.
As I said on the day Cummings spoke, I believed ~90% of what he said though I think he exaggerated personal issues especially regarding Hancock. But it doesn't change anything and its all pretty much open secrets anyway.
If its all baked in to public opinion anyway, why would voting intention change now?
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/mar/10/snp-chief-whip-steps-down-sexual-harassment-complaint-patrick-grady
Or this one?
https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/scottish-news/7004191/snp-mp-patricia-gibson-sexual-harassment-claim-criticised/
So what's the big revelation ?
That Boris is not a details man ? We knew that.
That the pandemic plan was crap ? We knew that.
That politicians don't like to upset people ? We knew that.
That the government is crap at border control ? We knew that.
Is he the 2019 intake's Jared O'Mara?
https://twitter.com/Revolution_IRL/status/1398756236208783364
In a seat that was Labour 1992-2019? That only needs a 1.2% swing to be lost and there's more LD and PC votes to be squeezed than BXP votes?
How's that not brave?
Politically doing something you don't have to, and which will cost you, is 'brave' in the Yes Minister sense. But here there's not that much of a downside - they're unlikely to let him back in, so the seat is lost to them now anyway (even if in practical terms he might well vote with them most of the time anyway).
Sky tonight spoke to the scientist who was named by Cummings (and they made a big point of it) as the one who gave the lockdown advice which Boris is alleged to have ignored and he was again warning of early lockdown, which for Sky is par for the course
For that reason alone, expelling Roberts would be a good thing, even if one might want to question whether that line is being set much much much too low. (And it's not happened yet!)
Lusting after people and harassing them after they say No is not.
In other news, the whole UFO/UAP flap really IS an enormous mystery, with potentially momentous consequences
"I lost my wedding ring...
...inside another woman"
Next: banning erections
Can you imagine - this place would go into meltdown!
“Exclusive: Only a fifth of English voters oppose Scottish independence, Telegraph poll reveals”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/05/28/exclusive-fifth-english-voters-oppose-scottish-independence/
https://twitter.com/mattholehouse/status/1398758821074509828?s=20
Silverware is what counts.
'This has ever happened to me before but in this case it's only cos it's been banned.'
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1398763026984095749?s=20
I trust they make a better job of it than the SNP has done with their ferries…
The hate is ridiculous.
"God, I hope there's video of it sinking one day."
Too low a bar for me. Recall being allowed to proceed? Sure.
Straightforward expulsion should be reserved for jail time imho.
38% of English voters also want border checks with Scotland if it ever votes for independence in the poll
I think most people would be OK with an extension of a few weeks or longer if necessary. If it was extended for a short period and then extended again they'd find that irritating. If Johnson said "until 90% of willing adults have been vaccinated" or something like that, I think people would sigh but go along with it.
But leaving that aside, if Cummings had sewn doubts about whether Boris was saving lives or seeing "his girlfriend" then does today's wedding play into that narrative? Marginal stuff, perhaps.
Boaty McBoatface was made by Cammell Laird so auspicious history. 😉
Jeremy Corbyn's allies are 'preparing to oust Sir Keir Starmer'
I doubt they will though.
They've not thought through the consequences of removing Scottish MPs from Parliament. 😂
Glad to see that I'm in the 1 in 4 backing Scottish independence, versus 1 in 3 opposing it.
It could have been a blessing after a Civil Marriage, for all we know.
The commentary on Times Radio has crossed over into bitchiness - 'The thought of Boris Johnson kissing makes me cringe', which might be OK for Cosmo, but not for decent radio. Rapidly losing patience with that channel.
Has anyone accused Boris yet of deliberately holding it in secret so he can get more attention? In 5 .. 4 .. 3 ..
If anyone wants an RC church in all it's gorgeousness, then try St Giles, Cheadle. Designed by Pugin, who went berserk with the decoration. Good selection of piccies on Wikipedia.
Highnam is excellent because it is a group of Church, Priest's House, School and more built in one setting at the same time.
On the Banns, it may just not have been noticed. It wasn't for Gordon Brown.
I'm staying off Popes and their Pretensions.
1) Those who want fewer restrictions and would make use of the extra freedoms
2) Those who want fewer restrictions but don't want to use the extra freedoms
3) Those who want more restrictions and would accept the extra restrictions
4) Those who want more restrictions but would ignore the extra restrictions
There are also subgroups for example:
1) Those who want more restrictions in this country but want fewer restrictions on international travel
2) Those who want fewer restrictions in this country but want more restrictions on international travel
I wonder if the RN have been caught napping and landed with the cost of operating the RFA Flagshag.
Night all
*All of Momentum's wizard wheezes seem to deliver Conservative victories. Just saying.
This includes the new surveys today. Almost no swing compared to the general election.
Shall I be your pussy?
Honestly think the 2 wings of the Labour Party have but one true enemy. And it ain't the Tories.
I am not sure the Cummings effect will be immediate, which is why I have suggested a month.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
Come back to me in a month and laugh at me if Johnson has had no ill- effects from Cummings.
"I assume that plumbers have only a 50:50 chance of turning up on the day that they say, let alone the time, so it doesn't surprise me that diners might be no-shows.
Sadly this is a nearly universal phenomenon - it relates to how people use communication. So it is entirely standard in recruitment, for example, that not getting the job means that no-one will ever call/email you. Just silence.
One entertaining version of this is that when you hire people - and I mean at a serious job level, banks, high end iT etc - a certain percentage will simply not turn up on their designated first day. Or ever...."
That has recently happened to my youngest. He got to the final round to get into a graduate training programme with a government agency. Prepared for it hard - a day long event by Zoom etc. Was told that everyone would be contacted to be told whether they were on the programme or not by a certain date. The day came and went. Nothing heard so he rang to find out what was happening and was told that it was all taking much longer than expected, not to worry, he would hear in due course. Weeks have passed. Nothing has been heard. He emailed them a couple of weeks back. No reply.
It is so rude. So disheartening. He's 22 for heaven's sake. He has worked hard for his good degree from a prestigious university and graduated just before Covid struck. He has been working, applying for all sorts of jobs, has done an unpaid internship for which he got commended and commented on in the trade press etc. And these bastards can't even drum up the courtesy to give him an answer having promised they would do so.
I am furious on his behalf. How dare people attack this generation for being lazy or entitled when people who should know better behave with such callous rudeness.
I've switched personally to being relaxed about it all and go shopping, have meals out, etc. But if the Government advised that this was becoming risky, then I'd stop, and would want that to be a national policy. Just leaving it to our individual judgment would abdicate responsibility - few of us have enough information to make a solid judgment.
But before you do so, I will confirm 6 of the 10 were post Cummings, one of the 4, I believe was mid Cummings, and I am telling you, like I implied to @Andy_JS that if 11 points remains the differential in a month @Andy_JS has something to crow about.
How shit must SKS be given Corbyn was apparently shockingly poor?
He is even shittier than SKS.
Why don't you want the King of the North to replace the man who is performing far worse than even Corbyn
No charisma
No policies
No By Election wins
No hope of improvement
No point voting Labour
I am very disappointed in Starmer, but then, although I have grave doubts about Burnham's abilities, if electing him leader would see the back of a Johnson Government, I'd say give him a go. But it is unlikely we will be in a position where Burnham is even eligible to be Labour Leader before 2024, which means Johnson is in power until at least 2028, should Starmer or his interim replacement lose in 2024.
So in the meantime you, and those from the Corbyn wing are desperate for Starmer to be humiliated at every opportunity. And be careful what you wish for, Burgon, and RLB will try for the leadership, and bearing in mind Corbyn got the gig once, anything is possible.
The public are going to get fed up with Johnson eventually. It's just that it's difficult to predict exactly when that will happen. Probably within 3 years or so.
The question is, will the Labour Party be in a position to capitalise on this when it happens, or will the Tories re-invent themselves again while remaining in power, as happened in 2019 with the transition from Mrs May to Johnson?
The ability of the Tories to reinvent themselves since 2005 has been nothing short of astonishing - perhaps the greatest political evolution in our lifetimes.... Labour/LibDems etc need to learn bloody fast as it is the Blues most powerful attribute.
His premiership was meant to be a transition from Brexit to these works. Covid royally buggered that up - and took much of the money too. The question now is: can the private sector still make them happen? If so, it will be a bigger shift from public to private works than even Cummings could have envisioned.