Got to feel for SKS with Arsenal getting knocked out too. Going to be a tough night. Only crumb of comfort for Labour is I would hazard a guess that the Northeast is the region where we’ll see the biggest Lab to Con swings.
Hartlepool is a write off, I was confident from day 1 of a Con win sub 2k margin. I got the first part correct but it increasingly looks like the second part wrong.
It does seem that the biggest twunts in British politics all seem to support Arsenal. Kier, Jezza, Piers Morgan, Gollum all support Arsenal. Coincidence?
Got to feel for SKS with Arsenal getting knocked out too. Going to be a tough night. Only crumb of comfort for Labour is I would hazard a guess that the Northeast is the region where we’ll see the biggest Lab to Con swings.
Hartlepool is a write off, I was confident from day 1 of a Con win sub 2k margin. I got the first part correct but it increasingly looks like the second part wrong.
Got to feel for SKS with Arsenal getting knocked out too. Going to be a tough night. Only crumb of comfort for Labour is I would hazard a guess that the Northeast is the region where we’ll see the biggest Lab to Con swings.
Hartlepool is a write off, I was confident from day 1 of a Con win sub 2k margin. I got the first part correct but it increasingly looks like the second part wrong.
It does seem that the biggest twunts in British politics all seem to support Arsenal. Kier, Jezza, Piers Morgan, Gollum all support Arsenal. Coincidence?
Osama bin Laden? Not British. But confirms the trend.
There was that shocking footage from 2-3 weeks ago, seeming routine traffic stop, guy gets out the car, semi-auto rifle, guns the officer down.
The fundamental issue in the US is the public have easy access to guns, so criminals have easy access to guns, so the police must be armed....which results in lots of shooting.
How about like a Keir in the headlights? Keir and Loathing in ....? I like the idea of some labourites having Keir goggles on - all problems are attractively blamed on Keir.
How about like a Keir in the headlights? Keir and Loathing in ....? I like the idea of some labourites having Keir goggles on - all problems are attractively blamed on Keir.
Sonya Dickie Labour Party 871 Peter Crompton Jackson Conservative Party Candidate 354 David Gilson Fawcett Liberal Democrat 178 Neil Campbell Grant Green Party 115
Labour polled 64% in 2019
Saltwell
Denise Marianne Robson Labour Party 877 Leanne Mary Brand Liberal Democrat 590 Alan Bond Conservative Party Candidate 320 Rachel Mary Cabral Green Party 185 Craig Edward Gallagher Save Us Now 18
Labour polled 51% in 2019
Wardley and Leam Lane
Linda Green Labour Party 1266 John Robert McNeil Conservative Party Candidate 590 Amanda Renee Wintcher Liberal Democrat 136 John Michael Aspinall Green Party 131
Just took 93-year-old mum to vote, she's registered blind. In a loud voice, she said, "which box for war with France?" A cheer went up from waiting voters.
IIRC May's last locals didn't look too bad at first as Tories did well in the north, then had some horror results come morning in the south. Labour had better hope for a repeat over the weekend.
But I'm supposed to be up at 6, so must try to put this excitement out of my mind.
Another Con gain in Sunderland. Labour are losing about 2 in every 3 seats they're defending. Sunderland NOC?
Only a third up for election. How many would they need to lose for it to go NOC?
Ah good point, I forgot that 2021 was supposed to be an election fallow year, and assumed that 2/3rds were up. However 13 losses out of 22 seats defending would do it, and so far it looks very close.
They have about 5 seats, and have lost about 6, so on course for it being a very close call.
We'll see. The NE is swinging like an unhappily married, newly vaccinated couple fresh out of lockdown. The rest of the UK lacks data.
Hah. Excellent analogy
Also. You’re drunk
Astute. And 100% correct.
Hartlepool will be interesting - if Tories swallow up entire Brexit vote, and labour stay home, they could get a majority of 5k plus. That would dwarf any negative council stories from South.
Starmer deserves to take a great deal of flak for Hartlepool - a by election that did not need to be held at all at this time. It also reflects badly on the Chief Whip and Regional Party Officers who surely provided advice. It does not augur well for his political psephological nous. Of course, the poor results in Sunderland were going to happen anyway.
I do wonder how disadvantaged Labour are by the fact only oldies are fully vaccinated. How many people thought I might just give that trip to the polling station a miss and hadn't organized a postal vote.
Starmer deserves to take a great deal of flak for Hartlepool - a by election that did not need to be held at all at this time. It also reflects badly on the Chief Whip and Regional Party Officers who surely provided advice. It does not augur well for his political psephological nous. Of course, the poor results in Sunderland were going to happen anyway.
I am not sure it would have mattered when it was held. The general narrative isn't going to be any different in a few weeks, vaccine boost will still be there (in fact might be stronger as even more people get double stabbed) and everybody has heard the old about Boris wallpaper and mates getting COVID contracts.
Starmer deserves to take a great deal of flak for Hartlepool - a by election that did not need to be held at all at this time. It also reflects badly on the Chief Whip and Regional Party Officers who surely provided advice. It does not augur well for his political psephological nous. Of course, the poor results in Sunderland were going to happen anyway.
He couldn't have moved it by that much, so I doubt it makes that much difference.
I do wonder how disadvantaged Labour are by the fact only oldies are fully vaccinated. How many people thought I might just give that trip to the polling station a miss and hadn't organized a postal vote.
It isn't just that. The under 30s are just not going to be voting full stop. Like I said earlier, almost all of my friends haven't bothered to vote and most of them are Labour or Lib Dem supporters.
To be honest the results are better than I expected so far.
Has any opposition leader had a poor first election and gone on to win a general election? I believe Thatcher, Blair and Cameron all did rather well (and I can’t be arsed to trawl further back than that).
I would imagine it’s an ominous sign, if you’re associated with being a loser early on it becomes hard to shake that label.
I do wonder how disadvantaged Labour are by the fact only oldies are fully vaccinated. How many people thought I might just give that trip to the polling station a miss and hadn't organized a postal vote.
It isn't just that. The under 30s are just not going to be voting full stop. Like I said earlier, almost all of my friends haven't bothered to vote and most of them are Labour or Lib Dem supporters.
To be honest the results are better than I expected so far.
The NE, as the most efficient, hard working and go getting part of the UK, gets its results out lickety split. Thus shaping the narrative as ever. The rest of the UK can only gaze in awe. And hope that its ward results may one day be pored over with such reverence.
I do wonder how disadvantaged Labour are by the fact only oldies are fully vaccinated. How many people thought I might just give that trip to the polling station a miss and hadn't organized a postal vote.
It isn't just that. The under 30s are just not going to be voting full stop. Like I said earlier, almost all of my friends haven't bothered to vote and most of them are Labour or Lib Dem supporters.
To be honest the results are better than I expected so far.
If the results continue like this then Boris is going to be walking on water.
I suspect the results we are seeing mostly form the NE are going to be out-liars, to the rest of the nation, probably more modest gains or even losses elsewhere.
Has any opposition leader had a poor first election and gone on to win a general election? I believe Thatcher, Blair and Cameron all did rather well (and I can’t be arsed to trawl further back than that).
I would imagine it’s an ominous sign, if you’re associated with being a loser early on it becomes hard to shake that label.
They might have to go the full Angela Rayner. Provincial working class giantess.
I do wonder how disadvantaged Labour are by the fact only oldies are fully vaccinated. How many people thought I might just give that trip to the polling station a miss and hadn't organized a postal vote.
It isn't just that. The under 30s are just not going to be voting full stop. Like I said earlier, almost all of my friends haven't bothered to vote and most of them are Labour or Lib Dem supporters.
To be honest the results are better than I expected so far.
Comments
Lab: 57.9% (+3.9)
Con: 22.2% (+17.2)
Grn: 14.6% (+5.2)
LDem: 5.3% (+1.2)
No UKIP (-16.5) as prev.
Lab HOLD
In Fulwell, LAbour was pushed to third by LibDems
Labour had no reason to go to the polls - tick
Tories have got out their 2019 vote - tick
Tories to make 200-250 gains? - maybe.....
@TyneWearElects
GREEN GAIN FROM LAB - Beacon and Bents (STH TYN)"
https://twitter.com/TyneWearElects/status/1390455174746025986
https://twitter.com/mayor_jlo/status/1389953413622992897
Maggie Birkmyre (CON) - 188
Joseph Eldridge (NEWC IND) - 110
Daniel Gilmore (TUSC) - 16
Shehla Naqvi (GRN) - 123
Stephen Powers (LAB) - 1031
Tahir Siddique (LD) - 58
LAB HOLD
The fundamental issue in the US is the public have easy access to guns, so criminals have easy access to guns, so the police must be armed....which results in lots of shooting.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57016110
The rest of the UK lacks data.
Also. You’re drunk
Daniel James Car (CON) 1,114
Rachel Edge (LAB) 270
Alisdair Lindsey Gibbs-Barton (LD) - 114
CON GAIN
That's an OBLITERATION.....
Maybe as South Hams does, Britain does....
Oh, wait.
LD/Con/Lab/KIP 150
This time
Con 74%
LD 7%,
so a roughly 34% swing. Not bad.
The voters: "Nice wallpaper, Boris...."
Labour will have 1 seat. Islington
South Blyth, Northumberland:
2017 result:
LD 357 28.9%
C 356 28.8%
Lab 305 24.7%
UKIP 216 17.5%
2021 result:
C 1,114 74.4%
Lab 270 18.0%
LD 114 7.6%
Edit. No need this time...
Felling
Sonya Dickie Labour Party 871
Peter Crompton Jackson Conservative Party Candidate 354
David Gilson Fawcett Liberal Democrat 178
Neil Campbell Grant Green Party 115
Labour polled 64% in 2019
Saltwell
Denise Marianne Robson Labour Party 877
Leanne Mary Brand Liberal Democrat 590
Alan Bond Conservative Party Candidate 320
Rachel Mary Cabral Green Party 185
Craig Edward Gallagher Save Us Now 18
Labour polled 51% in 2019
Wardley and Leam Lane
Linda Green Labour Party 1266
John Robert McNeil Conservative Party Candidate 590
Amanda Renee Wintcher Liberal Democrat 136
John Michael Aspinall Green Party 131
Labour polled 54% in 2019
https://twitter.com/wallaceme/status/1390390809531494406
Tory source in Sunderland describes Labour’s situation as “atrocious
Alexander Brown
@AlexofBrown
Westminster correspondent
@TheScotsman
https://twitter.com/AlexofBrown/status/1390203853522489346?s=20
Lab: 54.7% (+1.2)
Con: 41.8% (+25.3)
LDem: 3.6% (-13.4)
Lab HOLD
Paul Gibson (LD) - 1,510
Thomas Johnston (LAB and CO-OP) - 797
Auburn Langley (GRN) - 110
John Wiper (CON) - 684
LD GAIN
https://twitter.com/jonnyross05/status/1390459090116173824
Lib Dem GAIN Doxford (Sunderland) from Labour.
But I'm supposed to be up at 6, so must try to put this excitement out of my mind.
A mistake by BritainElects?
They have about 5 seats, and have lost about 6, so on course for it being a very close call.
Portishead East (North Somerset) council result:
PtsInd: 40.3% (-29.7)
Con: 32.1% (+15.0)
LDem: 16.1% (+16.1)
Lab: 11.5% (+3.4)
Portishead Independents HOLD
More:
Susan Elizabeth Dungworth (LAB & CO-OP) - 868
David Ferguson (CON) - 869
Anita Cynthia Romer (LD) 105
CON GAIN (by 1 vote)
Scott Lee (IND) - 420
Maureen Levy (CON) - 188
Ian Carr Fry Swithenbank (LAB) - 386
IND GAIN
He's ensured unity between Tory and UKIP voters. 😂
Why would anyone vote for them? What are they for? What’s the point of them?
https://twitter.com/GuyOpperman/status/1390460187870470150
They need to keep 9 of the 22 seats they're defending in order to keep control of the council. Will be very close.
To be honest the results are better than I expected so far.
I would imagine it’s an ominous sign, if you’re associated with being a loser early on it becomes hard to shake that label.
Thus shaping the narrative as ever.
The rest of the UK can only gaze in awe.
And hope that its ward results may one day be pored over with such reverence.
If that doesn’t work, disband