Friends, countrymen, lend me your Keirs, this is going to be a long night but who does this higher than expected turnout favour? – politicalbetting.com
Blimey @joncraig saying on @SkyNews Hartlepool result could be as late as 7am
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Kitty Brewster (Northumberland) council result:
Con: 51.1% (+21.2)
Lab: 43.3% (-1.8)
LDem: 5.6% (-1.7)
No UKIP (-17.7) as prev.
Con GAIN from Lab
Con eating the UKIP vote whole and then some.
Flag Quote · Off Topic Like
Which is going to result in a terrrrrrrible night for both Labour and the LDs.
Wowsers, the tectonic plates have really shifted.
Alex Cole-Hamilton 🔶
@agcolehamilton
2h
Key take away from the last hour:
In our best areas turnout is at 2014 independence referendum levels. In the SNP’s best areas turnout is absolutely cratering.
#SP21
Standard pumping tweet I expect. Would be nice if true - I can certainly see why Nat enthusiasm may be low.
Simon John AYRE (Conservative Party) 377
Helmut IZAKS (Green Party) 110
Martin MOORE (UKIP) 75
Dale Michael MORDEY (Labour and Co-operative Party) 849
Ciaran Joseph MORRISSEY (Liberal Democrat) 1029
LD gain.
LD polled 6% in 2019
ISABELLA
Anna Watson (LAB) - 482
Alice May Levy (CON) - 340
LAB HOLD
2017
Gordon Webb Lab 515 63.9%
John Moore UKIP 130 16.1%
Stephen Mallam C 120 14.9%
Sandra Stanger LD 41 5.1%
Croft
Kath Nisbet (LAB) - 556
Martin Tulip (CON) - 293
Mark Peart (REF) - 49
Paul Edward Taylor (IND) - 28
LAB HOLD
2017
Kath Nisbet Lab 514 59.6%
Scott Lee C 164 19.0%
Robert Erskine UKIP 122 14.1%
Peter Stanger LD 63 7.3%
LDem: 42.2% (+34.8)
Lab: 34.8% (-30.2)
Con: 15.5% (-4.8)
Grn: 4.5% (-2.9)
UKIP: 3.1% (+3.1)
Bloody Brexiters...
Newcastle starting to announce results.
South Jesmond (Newcastle)
Tom Appleby (LD) - 252
Tim Downson (GRN) - 344
Martin Evison (Reform UK) - 36
Charlie Gray (LAB) - 1062
Brian Moore (North East Party) - 72
Olly Scargill (CON) - 393
LAB HOLD
But because the Conservatives will have consolidated the UKIP/Conservative vote, they'll be up more, and you'll see the Conservatives make some pretty big gains.
The more interesting question for the LDs will to see if they manage to fight off the Greens in urban and Southern England.
Lab 752
Con 462
Green 243
Ind 242
Ind 114
2019 was Lab 44% Green 30% Con 26%
https://twitter.com/IainDale/status/1390431460650323968
https://www.twitch.tv/britainelects
Love it!!!
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2021/05/lib-dem-fightback-comes-brexitland
... and now back to 1.03.
Lab: 50.8% (-10.0)
Con: 31.7% (+16.7)
UKIP: 7.2% (-10.9)
LDem: 5.8% (+2.4)
Grn: 4.4% (+1.8)
Lab HOLD
Audrey Elizabeth Fay Labour Party 1264 Yes
John Bede Cullen Independent 643
Holly May Wright Conservative Party 290
Kelly Louise Hill Green Party 69
Paul D'Ambrosie Independent 61
Labour lost to an Independent in 2019
A new analysis from scientists at the University of Washington suggests 6.9 million people worldwide have died from COVID-19, more than double the official death toll.
The study from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimates the total number of U.S. deaths at more than 905,000 — about 60 percent higher than the 561,594 deaths currently reported by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
In India, where the disease has overwhelmed the health care system, the UW group estimates more than 650,000 people have been killed by the virus, nearly three times the official count. In Russia, the true number is likely five times higher than reported.
“This analysis just shows how challenging it has been during the pandemic to accurately track the deaths,” IHME Director Dr. Christopher Murray said Thursday in a media briefing. “By focusing on COVID’s total death rate, we bring to light just how much greater the impact of COVID has been already and may be in the future.” . . .
Imagine that in a GE
Lab: 49.2% (+12.2)
Con: 18.2% (+2.6)
Grn: 15.9% (-10.7)
LDem: 11.7% (-7.9)
Reg: 3.3% (+3.3)
Oth: 1.7% (+0.4)
Every NE poster has been trying to tell everyone else.
Naebody teks us on like.
Southwick
Kelly CHEQUER (Labour Party) 1,208
Liam Christopher RITCHIE (Conservative Party) 754
Stephen Thomas HARRISON (UKIP) 171
Norman Martin DENT (Liberal Democrat) 138
Morgan Joseph SEED (Green Party) 105
2019 was Lab 39% UKIP 22% Ind 14 Con 13
Take 2019, give 70% BXP to the Tories, and apply new boundaries. Ouch, Labour. Ouch.
https://twitter.com/wallaceme/status/1390449419594645514?s=21
Big swing. Greens shock. Loads had them doing well. Tiny subsample, early days...
Lab: 33.9% (-14.0)
Con: 30.1% (+13.9)
Ind: 25.8% (+13.6)
Grn: 10.2% (+10.2)
No UKIP (-22.7) as prev.
Lab HOLD
oof close. Bet the Ind was a Kipper type
https://vote-2012.proboards.com/posts/recent
The numbers are off the charts” in South Blyth apparently - looking good for another gain in Northumberland
Cramlington North (Northumberland) council result:
Con: 76.8% (-14.6)
Lab: 23.2% (+15.9)
Con HOLD
Con: 54.5% (+12.8)
Lab: 45.5% (-3.1)
No UKIP (-8.1) as prev.
Con GAIN from Lab
For that reason the Leave voters trust him the way they would never trust a Theresa May type
I’ve been struck by the number of photos, in this campaign, of Boris in a pub, with voters looking at him with big smiles. You can’t fake these shots. If you could, we’d see similar images of sir Kir Royale being adored. We don’t.
Boris his still got the ability to charm. It’s quite important
Con gain from NoC more than nailed on.
First time Con has had a majority on Northumberland.
LDem: 37.6% (-7.4)
Con: 32.2% (+19.4)
Lab: 26.0% (-2.3)
Oth: 4.3% (+2.5)
LDem HOLD
Hadddaway and catch on man.
Ind was a former coucillor for that ward for the Progressives. Must have lost in 2010
You understand why it feels incredible
This is an historic realignment. I think it’s good for the country. Entrenched political fiefdoms are bad. No democratic politician should feel smugly safe, forever
Labour have to go away and rethink what they want to be. From the ground up. As Jonathan said earlier
I'm guessing they won't update that until there's enough declarations that its mathematically guaranteed to be Con overall control, rather than just as it stands?
Lab: 42.6% (-8.3)
Con: 40.8% (+24.2)
Grn: 6.8% (+1.6)
LDem: 5.2% (+2.2)
UKIP: 4.7% (-18.8)
Lab HOLD
Richard DUNN (Conservative Party) 1,610
Rebecca Sarah ATKINSON (Labour Party) 1,367
Tim ELLIS (Liberal Democrat) 201
Alyson KORDBARLAG (Green Party) 158
Con gain.
Won also in 2019 (36 to 30%)
https://twitter.com/ALDC/status/860418039073918977
Hartlepool is a write off, I was confident from day 1 of a Con win sub 2k margin. I got the first part correct but it increasingly looks like the second part wrong.
Lab +5.1
Con +21.3
Jane Carter (LAB) - 1,300
Daniel Fisher (Reform) - 63
Ian Forster (CON) - 1,673
David Herbert (GRN) - 450
CON GAIN
Lab: 44.1% (+7.0)
LDem: 41.6% (-7.5)
Grn: 10.0% (+0.6)
Con: 4.3% (+1.1)
Lab GAIN from LDem
Maybe a Labour of subsidies for higher education, European integration, and international development is a good thing. But it isn't what the Labour Party has historically been about, and that's consequential.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1390424257906282501
https://twitter.com/BritainElects/status/1390453425704419330
LAB: 3 (-4)
LDM: 2 (+2)
CON: 2 (+2)
Tory gain.
Unless Ponteland, Hexham and Berwick go trot...
Usman Ali (CON) - 1,411
Ellen Ball (LAB and CO-OP) - 1,230
Marek Filipkowski (UKIP) - 233
CON GAIN
Tory sources now predicting a majority in Hartlepool "of several thousand".
Lab: 49.5% (-15.5)
Ind: 22.4% (+22.4)
Con: 20.8% (+0.1)
Grn: 7.2% (-6.0)
Lab HOLD