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The May 6th Welsh Senedd election is starting to look very tight – politicalbetting.com

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  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    And Nus Ghani! Well, well, good for Nus. A badge of honour if ever there was one.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    The Belgians know that their Pfizer production line is as best slowed up, and at worst closed down, by any silly EU games with the U.K.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    edited March 2021
    deleted, duplicate
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Re this vaccination passport issue.

    It's going to come, but not in a wholesale way. Some sectors will find it beneficial to introduce (see already cruise companies); others won't.

    We can forget any government-led inititive, beyond facilitatind vaccination/testing evidence - they just won't be able to organise it.

    But we shouldn't underestimate the residual caution that will exist amongst the wider population, even after most have been vaccinated. I supect public demand will drive the application of an effictive passport for many areas.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    Yes, point 2 is crucial. As I understand the anti-card view, it's that the world is divided between the elderly (who may die) and everyone else (who will be fine even if infected). It's simply not true.

    * The disease can ruin your life at any age
    * If you crowd together indoors with lots of unvaccinated people, the disease WILL spread again
    * If the disease starts spreading again, we'll end up with another lockdown.

    Why does anyone want that??? For the sake of not carrying a card so nobody can track how we use it, when most of us use credit cards all the time and any competent intelligence agency can track us far better with those?

    Not often that Leon and Richard and I totally agree! Government of National Unity...
    There aren't going to be lots of unvaccinated people. There's no problem here for vaccine cards to fix.
    Indeed. It is a (terrible) solution in search of a problem. I am utterly staggered that sensible people can't see this....
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    Dura_Ace said:



    It's cause you're on Twitter, which I've now come off and am much calmer as a result.

    No-one in the real world is talking incessantly about flags. Everyone on Twitter is.

    Confession: I have a flegpole.

    It came with the house when we bought it and I initially thought I was going to take it out but it endures.

    I have on occasion flown the following flegs:

    Leeds United Smiley
    Jolly Roger
    Naval ensign of the Soviet Union
    Bisected Black and Red flag as popularised by the anarchists of the Bologna Insurrection
    Green and white of Fermanagh
    You need signal flags. Think of the fun.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,706

    OK, so just because some people don't want to show a card demonstrating they've been jabbed, I'm not allowed to go to a venue with like-minded people who are happy to show such a card, and who want the confidence that everyone else there has also been jabbed or tested.

    How the hell is that arguable on civil liberty grounds?

    I don't care about the vaccine passport per se, I just don't understand what people think they will achieve.

    I'm not arguing against them on civil liberties grounds, I'm arguing against them on common sense grounds.
    From the discussion in this thread it appears their only real purpose is to act as a mental salve for a significant proportion of people who, even when vaccinated themselves and with a massive fraction of society voluntarily vaxxed at the first opportunity, are still going to feel paranoid about going back to normal, despite the data about the efficacy of the vaccines in preventing hospitalisations and death. Conflating that with the efficacy in preventing any symptoms at all is one of the mistakes here.

    It doesn't seem to achieve any more than that.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    Re this vaccination passport issue.

    It's going to come, but not in a wholesale way. Some sectors will find it beneficial to introduce (see already cruise companies); others won't.

    We can forget any government-led inititive, beyond facilitatind vaccination/testing evidence - they just won't be able to organise it.

    But we shouldn't underestimate the residual caution that will exist amongst the wider population, even after most have been vaccinated. I supect public demand will drive the application of an effictive passport for many areas.

    Not sure if anyone has tried booking a decent restaurant, or nice pub garden, or haircut, or hotel, recently. I'll give you a clue; if you haven't already, you're going to be waiting a while BECAUSE THEY'RE ALL FULLY BOOKED.....
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    Who's dying in your scenario? An unvaccinated person?

    That's a risk they've taken by refusing a vaccine.

    If you're suggesting that vaccinated people are endangered by non-vaccinated people, please show your working because I don't get it.

    You're vaccinated. You have almost 100% protection against severe disease and 70%+ protection against any symptoms at all. An unvaccinated person with COVID, as unlikely as that will be in a highly vaccinated population, is of little risk to you.
    Meanwhile there's a potentially emerging health disaster in this country as hospitals are still nowhere near offering a full service, cancer referrals have dropped through the floor (with no underlying reason to think incidence of actual cancer has declined). But Covid.

    There was a time when HIV/Aids was a literal death sentence. Now it is not at all. Covid the disease is only as dangerous as the (lack of) tools we have to counter it. When it ceases to have a status above any other circulating disease, then there is no justification in overthrowing decades of public health policy and thousands of years of civil liberties - on a permanent basis, don't anyone pretend otherwise - to counter it.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,429

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    Yes, point 2 is crucial. As I understand the anti-card view, it's that the world is divided between the elderly (who may die) and everyone else (who will be fine even if infected). It's simply not true.

    * The disease can ruin your life at any age
    * If you crowd together indoors with lots of unvaccinated people, the disease WILL spread again
    * If the disease starts spreading again, we'll end up with another lockdown.

    Why does anyone want that??? For the sake of not carrying a card so nobody can track how we use it, when most of us use credit cards all the time and any competent intelligence agency can track us far better with those?

    Not often that Leon and Richard and I totally agree! Government of National Unity...
    lol. Imagine this, ten years ago. Me, you and Richard

    Perhaps it is just age?

    Still, let us man the trenches of the Sensible Front Line
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
  • Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Put it this way. I don’t expect it to ever happen. I do expect it to be a useful national debate for a few months. Nobody will care once there’s no deaths being reporting and everything is open.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Leon said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    Yes, point 2 is crucial. As I understand the anti-card view, it's that the world is divided between the elderly (who may die) and everyone else (who will be fine even if infected). It's simply not true.

    * The disease can ruin your life at any age
    * If you crowd together indoors with lots of unvaccinated people, the disease WILL spread again
    * If the disease starts spreading again, we'll end up with another lockdown.

    Why does anyone want that??? For the sake of not carrying a card so nobody can track how we use it, when most of us use credit cards all the time and any competent intelligence agency can track us far better with those?

    Not often that Leon and Richard and I totally agree! Government of National Unity...
    lol. Imagine this, ten years ago. Me, you and Richard

    Perhaps it is just age?

    Still, let us man the trenches of the Sensible Front Line
    You weren't on here 10 years ago @Leon! 😜
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    Nor I on the same side as @Leon!
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    Rather depends on the virus, doesn't it? I'm all in favour of positive thinking and getting back to normal life. That's exactly why I'm potentially in favour of a measure which would make that more possible. At the moment I can't go to the theatre or the opera, or a restaurant. How is that 'normal life'?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    If its down to individual business to choose I don't have a problem with it
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,429

    Leon said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    Yes, point 2 is crucial. As I understand the anti-card view, it's that the world is divided between the elderly (who may die) and everyone else (who will be fine even if infected). It's simply not true.

    * The disease can ruin your life at any age
    * If you crowd together indoors with lots of unvaccinated people, the disease WILL spread again
    * If the disease starts spreading again, we'll end up with another lockdown.

    Why does anyone want that??? For the sake of not carrying a card so nobody can track how we use it, when most of us use credit cards all the time and any competent intelligence agency can track us far better with those?

    Not often that Leon and Richard and I totally agree! Government of National Unity...
    lol. Imagine this, ten years ago. Me, you and Richard

    Perhaps it is just age?

    Still, let us man the trenches of the Sensible Front Line
    You weren't on here 10 years ago @Leon! 😜
    lol. I *feel* like I was

    Perhaps a past life?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    Rather depends on the virus, doesn't it? I'm all in favour of positive thinking and getting back to normal life. That's exactly why I'm potentially in favour of a measure which would make that more possible. At the moment I can't go to the theatre or the opera, or a restaurant. How is that 'normal life'?
    Which makes me wonder, when are theatres, opera etc going to re-open?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    Andy_JS said:

    Having GPS hasn't helped much in terms of keeping the Suez Canal unblocked.

    There’s not much that can help, when 220,000 tonnes of ship runs aground sideways in your canal.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    What I find fascinating is how quickly people forget that we were far closer to normality last summer, without any vaccinations, than we are now, with half the population vaccinated.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    Left and right is pretty meaningless these days. I thought George Galloway was a left-winger but he doesn't seem to be so much these days.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,314
    So today the EU decided to tear up the rule of law.

    Not to be outdone the British government is proposing an assault on our civil liberties.

    Meanwhile, the Lib Dems have rediscovered a bit of their spine and will vote against the Coronavirus Act.

    Have I missed anything?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Well quite - this is one of the most ridiculous arguments i've heard. There is no evidence at all at present that the young (and others) won't take up the vaccine in significant numbers. To impose such a policy on the back of a suspicion that they might not is absurd. Wait for it to happen first, and then think about it if you must.

    I fear it's going to happen though. People have lost all sense of proportion and assessment of risk. And the Civil Service, as they always have been, are gagging for the idea and won't miss the chance to push it through.

    I get more and more depressed hearing Johnson on the subject. Every time it gets raised he starts off pretending that he has great moral objections to the idea and there are great "complexities", but within no more than a few days he takes us closer to it and it's clear that he's just saying that to set up an argument to overrule such objections.
  • alex_ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    Quite.

    I am honestly mystified by the outrage at the idea we might have to flash our phone at a bouncer for 5 seconds, to get in a pub, when we have all endured being locked down at home FOR MOST OF A YEAR without demur

    These apps and passports are an exit route. They are not ideal, but plagues are not ideal. Hopefully, in a year or so, we can junk them, and return to normality, or something close

    People have to accept we have been through a history-changing event, like a world war. Liberties are infringed in wars, to ensure national survival. Necessarily. And then they are re-won when we earn the Peace.
    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.
    The vaccines are not 100% effective. There is still a risk, non trivial, of nasty illness. We don't have enough data yet to assess how much is *truly* risked

    As an interim measure, to help us unlockdown, vaccine passports are a good idea. If you haven't got one, get a negative test

    FFS we are all commenting here, from our homes, where we have been isolated by government decree for the best part of 12 months. And people are whinging about a possible app, temporary and expedient, that might let us out!

    It is bewildering. The perfect is the enemy of the LET ME HAVE A DRINK WITH MY FRIENDS

    Get over it. If the government makes the app mandatory for years, that is the time to march on parliament. Right now I just want to get out of my home, with a QR code if required
    The Government doesn't seem to be proposing "vaccine passports" in the next few months. Only once everyone has been offered a vaccine. At which point, what is the point?
    To make the last few holdouts choose between not being vaccinated and the pub/theatre/cinema.
    If you need a passport for the pub, will you need one for the public transport (you mustn't drink and drive) and one for the kebab shop afterwards?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    Cruise companies and airlines are already deciding; others will follow.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Cyclefree said:

    So today the EU decided to tear up the rule of law.

    Not to be outdone the British government is proposing an assault on our civil liberties.

    Meanwhile, the Lib Dems have rediscovered a bit of their spine and will vote against the Coronavirus Act.

    Have I missed anything?

    I am very proud that my Tory MP voted against the Covid laws extension today.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    Cruise companies and airlines are already deciding; others will follow.
    Repeat after me, conditions for foreign travel are a lot different to everyday restrictions
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Mortimer said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    What I find fascinating is how quickly people forget that we were far closer to normality last summer, without any vaccinations, than we are now, with half the population vaccinated.

    Clearly, we were nowhere near normality last summer... we were just in a delusion. The autumn and winter proved that.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,671
    edited March 2021
    What worries me about the unvaccinated is not necessarily that they will have 3 times the risk of catching the virus given the same exposure as a vaccinated person, but that they are also likely to be hanging around with other unvaccinated people and thus multiplying the risk further.

    The one refusenik I know (healing crystals type, in her 70s) is definitely not following lockdown rules and mixes frequently with other refuseniks.

    Of course, she's bound to get some immunity sooner or later and I'm amazed she hasn't already. Perhaps those crystals really do work.


    On the other hand, I'm not installing any tracking apps (except Strava or equivalent).

    I wonder is Boris is feeling guilty about previous decisions and is allowing himself to be captured by the overly cautious?

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,692
    Oakland is going to run a guaranteed income scheme with a racial requirement, and the mayor is calling for it to be adopted at the federal level.
    https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1374941387435687938
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    edited March 2021
    Former LD MP David Alton hasn't been in the news for about 30 years, but that changed tonight when China named him in the tweet mentioned earlier, along with Neil O'Brien, Tim Loughton, Tim Tugendhat and Nus Ghani.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127

    Mortimer said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    What I find fascinating is how quickly people forget that we were far closer to normality last summer, without any vaccinations, than we are now, with half the population vaccinated.

    Clearly, we were nowhere near normality last summer... we were just in a delusion. The autumn and winter proved that.
    Had a lovely holiday, long before the mask rule was brought in. Shopping, drinking, eating inside, staying in hotels.

    The risk was minimal. Case levels were remarkably low.

    That was without vaccinations

    With vaccinations they'll not only stay low, but continue to fall. Because that is how epidemiology works....
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    edited March 2021
    Sandpit said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Having GPS hasn't helped much in terms of keeping the Suez Canal unblocked.

    There’s not much that can help, when 220,000 tonnes of ship runs aground sideways in your canal.
    Did much the same 40 years ago on the Grand Union canal in a narrowboat. Very tricky.

    Fortunately, no twitter in those days, so I avoided major embarrassment.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    edited March 2021

    Oakland is going to run a guaranteed income scheme with a racial requirement, and the mayor is calling for it to be adopted at the federal level.
    https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1374941387435687938

    How isn't this allegedly racist?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,083
    edited March 2021

    Oakland is going to run a guaranteed income scheme with a racial requirement, and the mayor is calling for it to be adopted at the federal level.
    https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1374941387435687938

    The Asians getting screwed again...Why not just make it based on being low income?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited March 2021
    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    The arguments are already being set up against this. It is almost official Labour policy already. "It must be made mandatory because if the Government think it's a good idea they shouldn't leave it in the hands of the pub owners, and those that choose to implement it shouldn't be punished through relative loss of trade as a result".

    It's one thing to think it won't happen because there won't be a public health need for it. But this is looking at it from the wrong angle. If the Government want it to happen (for reasons which have nothing to do with Covid) then they will use Covid as the excuse to make it happen. They control the messaging on public health. If they say there is a public health need, then it will be difficult if not impossible to resist.

    The other point that of course isn't mentioned is (if you are using apps etc, rather than photo identity cards) is how you prevent people sharing/borrowing others certification? I'm not at all sure...
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877

    Sandpit said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Having GPS hasn't helped much in terms of keeping the Suez Canal unblocked.

    There’s not much that can help, when 220,000 tonnes of ship runs aground sideways in your canal.
    Sandpit said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Having GPS hasn't helped much in terms of keeping the Suez Canal unblocked.

    There’s not much that can help, when 220,000 tonnes of ship runs aground sideways in your canal.
    Did much the same 40 years ago on the Grand Union canal in a narrowboat. Very tricky.

    Fortunately, no twitter in those days, so I avoided major embarrassment.
    Yours also probably wasnt visible from space, makes it harder to cover up
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,314

    Badge of honour. Can they do me next please? I’m Spartacus.
    And me.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,429
    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Well quite - this is one of the most ridiculous arguments i've heard. There is no evidence at all at present that the young (and others) won't take up the vaccine in significant numbers. To impose such a policy on the back of a suspicion that they might not is absurd. Wait for it to happen first, and then think about it if you must.

    I fear it's going to happen though. People have lost all sense of proportion and assessment of risk. And the Civil Service, as they always have been, are gagging for the idea and won't miss the chance to push it through.

    I get more and more depressed hearing Johnson on the subject. Every time it gets raised he starts off pretending that he has great moral objections to the idea and there are great "complexities", but within no more than a few days he takes us closer to it and it's clear that he's just saying that to set up an argument to overrule such objections.
    Just to say that if a few fearful oldies try to ruin life indefinitely with pettifogging rules, there will be far greater risks to the vaccinated than the vanishingly unlikely chances of catching a bad cold.

    1) economic stagnation
    2) social disorder
    3) prolonged mental health difficulties
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    edited March 2021

    What worries me about the unvaccinated is not necessarily that they will have 3 times the risk of catching the virus given the same exposure as a vaccinated person, but that they are also likely to be hanging around with other unvaccinated people and thus multiplying the risk further.

    The one refusenik I know (healing crystals type, in her 70s) is definitely not following lockdown rules and mixes frequently with other refuseniks.

    Of course, she's bound to get some immunity sooner or later and I'm amazed she hasn't already. Perhaps those crystals really do work.


    On the other hand, I'm not installing any tracking apps (except Strava or equivalent).

    I wonder is Boris is feeling guilty about previous decisions and is allowing himself to be captured by the overly cautious?

    I agree that people who've been offered the vaccine and refused to have it can't be allowed to wreck things for everyone else. That isn't acceptable, even to libertarians.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    The arguments are already being set up against this. It is almost official Labour policy already. "It must be made mandatory because if the Government think it's a good idea they shouldn't leave it in the hands of the pub owners, and those that choose to implement it shouldn't be punished through relative loss of trade as a result".

    It's one thing to think it won't happen because there won't be a public health need for it. But this is looking at it from the wrong angle. If the Government want it to happen (for reasons which have nothing to do with Covid) then they will use Covid as the excuse to make it happen. They control the messaging on public health. If they say there is a public health need, then it will be difficult if not impossible to resist.
    The way to resist it is to boycott pubs , restaurants, theatres etc.....then their economic recovery goes awry
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    Besides there are better places to visit than europe.....would far rather go visit the ruins in chile or vietnam than see the arc de triomphe
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    I have found this one of the very few pleasures of this pandemic. Being on the same side as BluestBlue, MaxPB, Leon, yourself and FrancisUrquhart amongst others on most of the Covid issues.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,083
    edited March 2021
    AstraZeneca lost £21 BILLION in profits from selling Covid vaccine cheaply...

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9404353/AstraZeneca-lost-21-BILLION-profits-selling-Covid-vaccine-cheaply.html

    And all we got was this shitty t-shirt hail of smears and abuse.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Pagan2 said:

    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    The arguments are already being set up against this. It is almost official Labour policy already. "It must be made mandatory because if the Government think it's a good idea they shouldn't leave it in the hands of the pub owners, and those that choose to implement it shouldn't be punished through relative loss of trade as a result".

    It's one thing to think it won't happen because there won't be a public health need for it. But this is looking at it from the wrong angle. If the Government want it to happen (for reasons which have nothing to do with Covid) then they will use Covid as the excuse to make it happen. They control the messaging on public health. If they say there is a public health need, then it will be difficult if not impossible to resist.
    The way to resist it is to boycott pubs , restaurants, theatres etc.....then their economic recovery goes awry
    60-70% of the population will be in favour of it. Pubs will go bust. The latter won't change the minds of the former. The former will prevail.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Pagan2 said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    Besides there are better places to visit than europe.....would far rather go visit the ruins in chile or vietnam than see the arc de triomphe
    No one's going to be getting to any of those sites without a vaccine, just saying.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,410
    Andy_JS said:

    Former LD MP David Alton hasn't been in the news for about 30 years, but that changed tonight when China named him in the tweet mentioned earlier, along with Neil O'Brien, Tim Loughton, Tim Tugendhat and Nus Ghani.

    Is he still with us? Had no idea.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    dixiedean said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    I have found this one of the very few pleasures of this pandemic. Being on the same side as BluestBlue, MaxPB, Leon, yourself and FrancisUrquhart amongst others on most of the Covid issues.
    There are things that matter above quibbles about equality and redistribution. In this case retaining a liberal democracy where everything not explicitly forbidden is allowed
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    AstraZeneca lost £21 BILLION in profits from selling Covid vaccine cheaply...

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9404353/AstraZeneca-lost-21-BILLION-profits-selling-Covid-vaccine-cheaply.html

    And all we got was this shitty t-shirt hail of smears and abuse.

    Highly misleading though. They never had the option of selling it more expensively. Selling it at cost was the price they paid to have a vaccine at all.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,083
    Rutgers becomes first university to mandate ONLY vaccinated students will be allowed back this fall

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9403689/Rutgers-allow-fully-vaccinated-students-campus-Fall-2021-semester.html
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,429
    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Mortimer said:

    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Well quite - this is one of the most ridiculous arguments i've heard. There is no evidence at all at present that the young (and others) won't take up the vaccine in significant numbers. To impose such a policy on the back of a suspicion that they might not is absurd. Wait for it to happen first, and then think about it if you must.

    I fear it's going to happen though. People have lost all sense of proportion and assessment of risk. And the Civil Service, as they always have been, are gagging for the idea and won't miss the chance to push it through.

    I get more and more depressed hearing Johnson on the subject. Every time it gets raised he starts off pretending that he has great moral objections to the idea and there are great "complexities", but within no more than a few days he takes us closer to it and it's clear that he's just saying that to set up an argument to overrule such objections.
    Just to say that if a few fearful oldies try to ruin life indefinitely with pettifogging rules, there will be far greater risks to the vaccinated than the vanishingly unlikely chances of catching a bad cold.

    1) economic stagnation
    2) social disorder
    3) prolonged mental health difficulties
    I think you'll find it's the government you voted for that is going to push this through.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,314

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    Rather depends on the virus, doesn't it? I'm all in favour of positive thinking and getting back to normal life. That's exactly why I'm potentially in favour of a measure which would make that more possible. At the moment I can't go to the theatre or the opera, or a restaurant. How is that 'normal life'?
    Then you should be badgering your Tory MP to stop the extension of the Coronavirus Act for a further 6 months. Remove that Act and the restrictions under it and you can go to as many theatres, operas and restaurants as you want.

    Incidentally, it's notable that in all the discussion about vax passports no-one mentions the staff who are overwhelmingly young and unvaccinated. How anyone expects any hospitality venue to open if vax passports are needed when the staff will be unvaccinated is a mystery.

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    alex_ said:

    Pagan2 said:

    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Would you want to stop individual business turning unvaccinated people away?
    I don't expect it to become necessary, and I think the issue will be avoided by the govt refusing to issue anything official.
    The arguments are already being set up against this. It is almost official Labour policy already. "It must be made mandatory because if the Government think it's a good idea they shouldn't leave it in the hands of the pub owners, and those that choose to implement it shouldn't be punished through relative loss of trade as a result".

    It's one thing to think it won't happen because there won't be a public health need for it. But this is looking at it from the wrong angle. If the Government want it to happen (for reasons which have nothing to do with Covid) then they will use Covid as the excuse to make it happen. They control the messaging on public health. If they say there is a public health need, then it will be difficult if not impossible to resist.
    The way to resist it is to boycott pubs , restaurants, theatres etc.....then their economic recovery goes awry
    60-70% of the population will be in favour of it. Pubs will go bust. The latter won't change the minds of the former. The former will prevail.
    shrugs then pubs, theatres, cinemas etc go bust because they complied and reduced their footfall by 30%. They should have sat up and said No Boris
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,672
    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    Spot on.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    Nope. Don't accept them. Have some faith and understand the science.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,995

    Dura_Ace said:



    It's cause you're on Twitter, which I've now come off and am much calmer as a result.

    No-one in the real world is talking incessantly about flags. Everyone on Twitter is.

    Confession: I have a flegpole.

    It came with the house when we bought it and I initially thought I was going to take it out but it endures.

    I have on occasion flown the following flegs:

    Leeds United Smiley
    Jolly Roger
    Naval ensign of the Soviet Union
    Bisected Black and Red flag as popularised by the anarchists of the Bologna Insurrection
    Green and white of Fermanagh
    You need signal flags. Think of the fun.
    Those flags are sending a message..
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,671
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    How can the EU agree it when half the populace are saying they will refuse the jab in some countries?

    We haven't reached the stage where refuseniks are a problem given the lack of supply, but it will be interesting to see what happens when the supply is available. It is possible that the UK might already have vaccinated a higher proportion of the population than France is ever going to.

    Perhaps take up will increase as the effects become ever more obvious.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,486
    Sandpit said:

    The Belgians know that their Pfizer production line is as best slowed up, and at worst closed down, by any silly EU games with the U.K.
    Remember what I have been saying since Monday. The much-vaunted European export ban won’t happen. Some sort of fudge will be found.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    No sorry not accepting them nor is my phone moving off my desk. If I cant go to a pub we will just gather in each others houses and nothing of value is lost to us. Will only be lost to people like you that can't do without a pub when it goes bust because too many people are opting out
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Cyclefree said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    Rather depends on the virus, doesn't it? I'm all in favour of positive thinking and getting back to normal life. That's exactly why I'm potentially in favour of a measure which would make that more possible. At the moment I can't go to the theatre or the opera, or a restaurant. How is that 'normal life'?
    Then you should be badgering your Tory MP to stop the extension of the Coronavirus Act for a further 6 months. Remove that Act and the restrictions under it and you can go to as many theatres, operas and restaurants as you want.

    Incidentally, it's notable that in all the discussion about vax passports no-one mentions the staff who are overwhelmingly young and unvaccinated. How anyone expects any hospitality venue to open if vax passports are needed when the staff will be unvaccinated is a mystery.

    A very good point.

    I am staggered how many MPs voted through the extension today. Not a single one will be receiving any donations from me in the future.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    The EU may well introduce rules for travel. Most countries will. But that is not a serious imposition to civil liberties, albeit it is unfortunate for those who won't get vaccinated (although it seems there may still be alternatives in the way of negative tests). But i can't see the EU (or most European countries) introducing domestic passports of the sort that is being contemplated here. And if they did, i think that they will quickly become ignored. European countries are often like that.

    It is only really in the EU where if rules are set people feel obliged to follow them.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,486
    Mortimer said:

    Re this vaccination passport issue.

    It's going to come, but not in a wholesale way. Some sectors will find it beneficial to introduce (see already cruise companies); others won't.

    We can forget any government-led inititive, beyond facilitatind vaccination/testing evidence - they just won't be able to organise it.

    But we shouldn't underestimate the residual caution that will exist amongst the wider population, even after most have been vaccinated. I supect public demand will drive the application of an effictive passport for many areas.

    Not sure if anyone has tried booking a decent restaurant, or nice pub garden, or haircut, or hotel, recently. I'll give you a clue; if you haven't already, you're going to be waiting a while BECAUSE THEY'RE ALL FULLY BOOKED.....
    Yes, was very surprised (and disappointed) to discover this week that I couldn’t find a table at J Sheekey on a Thursday night in June!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    That isn’t worth what amounts to a National ID card scheme.

    The young will sort themselves out, when they need to use their actual passport.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    edited March 2021
    O/T

    This is on a blog dedicated to one of the best essayists around at the moment, Theodore Dalrymple.


    "Humility on a Cellular Level
    By David Seri on March 19, 2021
    The good doctor attempts to come to terms with his mobile phone dependence in this week’s Takimag column.

    A sensible person does not have to be permanently contactable, and indeed, when I look back, some of my happiest times have been the months in which I was totally incommunicado. My recent dependence on my phone, however, has revealed to me that I am exactly like others in my folly, no worse but no better. I am humbled, if not humiliated, by my phone."

    http://www.skepticaldoctor.com
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    I think judging by comments the government if it tries to mandate this is going to receive a lot of pushback, those on the side of no vaxports are a diverse crowd so are those supporting them. However does still seem to me there are more opposers than supporters
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    alex_ said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    So?

    The 'non-vulnerable' may also get run over by a bus on the way to the pub.

    Like other people have said, our vaccine uptake is going to be circa 90% anyway. If the odd person in a pub is unvaccinated, it simply doesn't matter.

    I just can't wrap my head around why this is necessary in any way and why pub owners would even want this.
    Pub owners might not want it. But if the alternative is that they either stay closed altogether, or have to impose draconian social distancing rules, then they might prefer this solution.

    Think about theatres, a better example than pubs. At the moment they are closed completely. Some of them hope to re-open, but with social distancing it's extremely hard to make it viable. Why wouldn't they prefer to have a full house with punters showing their eligibility?

    To be clear, this is a temporary intermediate stage between full lockdown and unlimited, restriction-free re-opening. If we are very lucky indeed, we might be able to go straight to the latter. In which case, great. But if not....?
    The vast majority of the punters in pubs or theatres or whatever are going to be vaccinated, regardless of whether they have a "vaccine passport" or not. That number grows by the day.

    Therefore I remain unconvinced that vaccine passports will make any significant difference to our COVID death count.

    As stated by others, it seems to be a solution in search of a problem.
    They may not make a significant difference to the overall death count but they would have made a very significant difference to anyone who dies as a result of their absence.

    What, honestly, is the objection? When I go to a pub or a restaurant I would like to feel reasonably sure that that I am not going to be exposed to covid.

    Is that really so outrageous?
    After herd immunity has kicked in, your desire to be a minuscule bit safer is a) not worth the civil liberties imposition that either continued restrictions on individuals lives and b) not significant enough to change behaviour encouraging business to impose it.
    I think it’s more complex than that. You’re right in principle, but in practice I see a role for the threat of using vaccine passports to ensure the young (who don’t feel in danger and might not get round to both jabs) take the time to get done, thus ensuring that herd immunity happens.
    I am 34. Every single person I know aged 18-40 can't wait for their jabs. A couple of hundred people.

    Similarly we have opinion polling showing HUGE take up.

    Instituting a costly and ongoing civil liberty breaching absurdity is not the way to achieve an almost non problem (non-take up of vaccine amongst a tiny proportion of the young) - £10 Amazon vouchers are the way...
    Well quite - this is one of the most ridiculous arguments i've heard. There is no evidence at all at present that the young (and others) won't take up the vaccine in significant numbers. To impose such a policy on the back of a suspicion that they might not is absurd. Wait for it to happen first, and then think about it if you must.

    I fear it's going to happen though. People have lost all sense of proportion and assessment of risk. And the Civil Service, as they always have been, are gagging for the idea and won't miss the chance to push it through.

    I get more and more depressed hearing Johnson on the subject. Every time it gets raised he starts off pretending that he has great moral objections to the idea and there are great "complexities", but within no more than a few days he takes us closer to it and it's clear that he's just saying that to set up an argument to overrule such objections.
    Dare I say it, but we need Dominic Cummings back, to tell the “Civil” service to go f*** themselves.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,206
    Former liberal Democrat mp on China sanctions list.

    That's the real headline, surely?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,429
    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    Nope. Don't accept them. Have some faith and understand the science.
    Alright, let's put it another way

    South Korea had, in effect, Vaccine Passport Apps from the beginning, because they are a hi-tech. well-educated society, and because they'd endured the sobering effects of SARS. As soon as Covid arrived, they turned on the apps, and the government monitored the citizens, warning them when they were near an outbreak, and telling them to stay away and so forth

    South Korea has multiple connections with China, it had a big early cluster of Covid, it was unwarned about this particular virus, it is densely populated, it should have suffered terribly. The result?

    It has 100,000 cases TOTAL and 1,700 deaths TOTAL. Orders of magnitude less than the UK - where we had more warning, weeks in advance

    As a result, South Korea's economy has NOT shrunk by 10% and it has NOT taken on debt equivalent to 100% of GDP and it is now leading a virtually normal life. 130,000 Koreans did not die.

    The idea we will not copy what worked for Korea, so well, is intriguingly dim. Of course we will. We will use the apps.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    rcs1000 said:

    Former liberal Democrat mp on China sanctions list.

    That's the real headline, surely?
    Someone notices a lib dem mp.....that should be front page news just so we realise in the uk some exist
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,486
    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    The left-right axis has lost all its potency since COVID 19. I think liberty and safety are more visceral instincts for most people.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    Pagan2 said:

    I think judging by comments the government if it tries to mandate this is going to receive a lot of pushback, those on the side of no vaxports are a diverse crowd so are those supporting them. However does still seem to me there are more opposers than supporters

    One thing that has been consistent through this is that the public does not trust the rest of the public to keep them safe - hence the strong support for lockdown and blaming the public over the government for lockdown two and three.

    The public will therefore most likely support vaccine cards because they don't trust the rest of the public to be vaccinated and keep them safe.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    Nope. Don't accept them. Have some faith and understand the science.
    Alright, let's put it another way

    South Korea had, in effect, Vaccine Passport Apps from the beginning, because they are a hi-tech. well-educated society, and because they'd endured the sobering effects of SARS. As soon as Covid arrived, they turned on the apps, and the government monitored the citizens, warning them when they were near an outbreak, and telling them to stay away and so forth

    South Korea has multiple connections with China, it had a big early cluster of Covid, it was unwarned about this particular virus, it is densely populated, it should have suffered terribly. The result?

    It has 100,000 cases TOTAL and 1,700 deaths TOTAL. Orders of magnitude less than the UK - where we had more warning, weeks in advance

    As a result, South Korea's economy has NOT shrunk by 10% and it has NOT taken on debt equivalent to 100% of GDP and it is now leading a virtually normal life. 130,000 Koreans did not die.

    The idea we will not copy what worked for Korea, so well, is intriguingly dim. Of course we will. We will use the apps.
    Buy shares in non smartphones then....the idea we would accept the sort of tracking the koreans do is naive
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877

    Pagan2 said:

    I think judging by comments the government if it tries to mandate this is going to receive a lot of pushback, those on the side of no vaxports are a diverse crowd so are those supporting them. However does still seem to me there are more opposers than supporters

    One thing that has been consistent through this is that the public does not trust the rest of the public to keep them safe - hence the strong support for lockdown and blaming the public over the government for lockdown two and three.

    The public will therefore most likely support vaccine cards because they don't trust the rest of the public to be vaccinated and keep them safe.
    While there was no vaccine no of course we didnt because most of us know some of the public. Once vaccination has run its course though covid comes down to the same level as seasonal flu then we arent going to tolerate lockdown
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,486

    Mortimer said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    What I find fascinating is how quickly people forget that we were far closer to normality last summer, without any vaccinations, than we are now, with half the population vaccinated.

    Clearly, we were nowhere near normality last summer... we were just in a delusion. The autumn and winter proved that.
    I enjoyed camping with my friends and walking to lovely country pubs every day. The memory keeps me sane.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Chameleon said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
    Some of us oldies will be meeting up in private homes too, advantages being we dont need to endure the overloud jukebox, drive home, have to bother with closing time

    What a lot of us will do if pubs put in vax ports, in fact I will probably get a vax port just so if a pub demands it I can wave it in their face and say yes I have one but you arent getting any money off me for demanding it
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Of course the other thing being hardly discussed is the issues of enforcement. How do you prevent people sharing/borrowing other people’s vaccine passports?

    So of course there will be another opportunity for a new offence with a £10k fine (copyright: Priti Patel) to be introduced.

  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    alex_ said:

    Of course the other thing being hardly discussed is the issues of enforcement. How do you prevent people sharing/borrowing other people’s vaccine passports?

    So of course there will be another opportunity for a new offence with a £10k fine (copyright: Priti Patel) to be introduced.

    I was thinking about this earlier. But, also, how do you stop people sharing phones with each other? Or perhaps this is a sign of being out of date: today most people would rather do anything than share their phone with someone else.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Chameleon said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
    So it’s gone from a voluntary scheme (for pubs who feel they need to introduce it to reassure their customers) to a mandatory scheme in little more than 24 hours. Quel surprise.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,599
    edited March 2021
    I’m still unconvinced that any suggestion of vaccine passports for pubs can deal with tourists, given that those enforcing rules will be nightclub bouncers rather than customs or immigration officers who understand the documents they look at.

    The whole thing is bollocks, but we all need to tell our MP that we know it’s bollocks.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    Andy_JS said:

    alex_ said:

    Of course the other thing being hardly discussed is the issues of enforcement. How do you prevent people sharing/borrowing other people’s vaccine passports?

    So of course there will be another opportunity for a new offence with a £10k fine (copyright: Priti Patel) to be introduced.

    I was thinking about this earlier. But, also, how do you stop people sharing phones with each other? Or perhaps this is a sign of being out of date: today most people would rather do anything than share their phone with someone else.
    Before covid when we went down the pub we had a no phone rule because it got to the point that some would spend all their time on the phone while in the pub posting on facebook and the ones who didnt said look either we stop going or we leave the phones home
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Andy_JS said:
    Gets complicated if you want to go out every night.

  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,877
    alex_ said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Gets complicated if you want to go out every night.

    and puts a definite crimp on bumping into some you havent seen for a while on a platform and saying lets go for a pint
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Chameleon said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
    This is actually another point. If the Govt is going to introduce rules for accessing pubs and other venues which minimise social distancing then how can they lift rules for social mixing in private homes? Or at other venues? Weddings? Hotels? (does there have to be a bouncer manning the doors of the hotel bar?) They can’t. It’s totally inconsistent and illogical.

  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Pagan2 said:

    Chameleon said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
    Some of us oldies will be meeting up in private homes too, advantages being we dont need to endure the overloud jukebox, drive home, have to bother with closing time

    What a lot of us will do if pubs put in vax ports, in fact I will probably get a vax port just so if a pub demands it I can wave it in their face and say yes I have one but you arent getting any money off me for demanding it
    Pubs voluntarily asking for it I’m not concerned about. The answer is they won’t. A voluntary scheme will rapidly wither and die. The problem is the Govt will make it mandatory to ensure it happens. Then it won’t be the pub’s fault.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,083
    BBC News - Covid-19: Dutch sign up for test holiday on Greek island
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56528112
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    "Education Secretary condemns threats to Batley teacher amid Prophet Mohammed cartoon row

    Suspended schoolmaster at the centre of the controversy is understood to be receiving police protection after parents protest"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/03/25/protest-yorkshire-school-cartoon-muhammed-shown-class/
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    alex_ said:

    Pagan2 said:

    Chameleon said:

    Andy_JS said:
    Obviously Baker has an incentive to exaggerate, but if true us younguns' will just meet up in private homes, with cheap booze and no closing hours. No party like a house party.

    Either that or in an act of petty rebellion I'm going to make sure that I'm permanently able to go to the pub, if that means the Govt is going to be spending £100+/week on LFTs, so be it.

    If the Govt wants to encourage the young to get their vaccine, offer £20 for a first jab, £30 for a second. The distribution system already exists (ONS survey which I'm part of).
    Some of us oldies will be meeting up in private homes too, advantages being we dont need to endure the overloud jukebox, drive home, have to bother with closing time

    What a lot of us will do if pubs put in vax ports, in fact I will probably get a vax port just so if a pub demands it I can wave it in their face and say yes I have one but you arent getting any money off me for demanding it
    Pubs voluntarily asking for it I’m not concerned about. The answer is they won’t. A voluntary scheme will rapidly wither and die. The problem is the Govt will make it mandatory to ensure it happens. Then it won’t be the pub’s fault.
    And who is going to enforce this?

    Not sure if anyone noticed, but lots of places weren't applying the rules last year.

    If they think its going to happen after herd immunity has kicked in, they're having a laugh.

    By July Covid will be largely eliminated. Why are so many worrywarts fixated on rules for a non problem?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,586
    edited March 2021
    What a coincidence that today's In Our Time with Melvyn Bragg was on David Ricardo.

    "At a time when nations preferred to be self-sufficient, to produce all their own food and manufacture their own goods, and to find markets for export rather than import, Ricardo argued for free trade even with rivals for the benefit of all."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000tfjk
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,127
    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Mortimer said:

    Leon said:

    Sandpit said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Can anyone explain to me why a certificate showing you've been jabbed or tested is a major infringement of your civil liberties, but a card shown by a youngster to prove they're over 18, or a bus pass to prove you're over 65, or an Oyster card, isn't?

    The nature of what they're asking for is the issue. They want to do it with the existing app which essentially allows the state to track your movements in very high detail without the judicial protections that come with criminal investigations and warrants necessary to do it otherwise.

    It's something dreamt up by Priti Patel and the public health people who think they know what's best for us and would have everyone stay home all the time forever.
    OK, but if it was a physical card, like youngsters have to show to get into a pub or nightclub, that would be OK, yes? If not, why not?
    Yeah no issue if it was like a driver's license. It's the idea of the app that is awful for me. I'm not sure we'll need it given overall vaccination rates and I'm also not sure how it will handle tourism, do foreign nationals not get to enjoy the nation's pubs and bars?
    100 times this. They’re not dealing with a closed system, there’s two hundred countries out there, with two hundred standards for vaccine approvals and certificates. Before we start on people like me, who will be in the U.K. on a U.K. passport having been vaccinated abroad.
    This is one area where the EU will prevail. AKA the Brussels Effect, and we will feel it.

    They are already talking about an EU-wide VaxPass app. It will probably happen, because the EU is so reliant on mass tourism, including huge EU countries like France, Italy and Spain

    Once the EU agrees its vaccine passport, it will, perforce, be adopted by the UK (tho we might give it another name to save face). That will then become the accepted app - possibly copied around the world, given that the EU drives so much global tourism - and that's it. There we are. That's the new worldwide standard. It will then be taken up by private UK business, as they so decide, is my guess...

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-56427830

    If the EU is unable to agree this, it is finished. For that reason, they will agree it. I think
    So how will that work for my parents who can't use a smartphone?

    I'll give you a clue.

    It won't be required.
    My mum can't use a smartphone. But she doesn't really go anywhere. She's in her 80s.

    Look, this is shitty and unideal. But this is a plague. Plagues are unideal. I sincerely believe these apps are coming and denying it is futile and counter-productive, they are, however, a means of opening up economies faster, so they will happen

    People of a libertarian bent (like me) have to accept this, and work to make sure they disappear ASAP, like the virus
    Nope. Don't accept them. Have some faith and understand the science.
    Alright, let's put it another way

    South Korea had, in effect, Vaccine Passport Apps from the beginning, because they are a hi-tech. well-educated society, and because they'd endured the sobering effects of SARS. As soon as Covid arrived, they turned on the apps, and the government monitored the citizens, warning them when they were near an outbreak, and telling them to stay away and so forth

    South Korea has multiple connections with China, it had a big early cluster of Covid, it was unwarned about this particular virus, it is densely populated, it should have suffered terribly. The result?

    It has 100,000 cases TOTAL and 1,700 deaths TOTAL. Orders of magnitude less than the UK - where we had more warning, weeks in advance

    As a result, South Korea's economy has NOT shrunk by 10% and it has NOT taken on debt equivalent to 100% of GDP and it is now leading a virtually normal life. 130,000 Koreans did not die.

    The idea we will not copy what worked for Korea, so well, is intriguingly dim. Of course we will. We will use the apps.
    One word.

    Vaccine.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,052

    Pagan2 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    No.

    The vaccine itself is the exit route.

    What's the rational reason for requiring a vaccine to go into a pub? Once the vulnerable are vaccinated the NHS is no longer in any danger of collapse. At that point refusing a vaccine is just a personal choice, and a personal risk.

    1. The vaccines won't give 100% protection, just a mere 90+% [if we're lucky]. If everyone going to the venue is vaccinated, you've got the mathematical product of the protection factor for each chain of potential infection (90% protection one stage, 99% two stages, 99.9% three stages, etc); if lots of them aren't, then you've lost that.

    2. The 'non-vulnerable' might still have their lives wrecked by the disease.
    No, it's time to end this way of thinking. We need to get back to normal life, with all the risk-taking that entails.
    One thing that has been interesting is this does not seem to be a left right divide. I never thought I would be on the same side as kinablu or gallowgate for example
    The left-right axis has lost all its potency since COVID 19. I think liberty and safety are more visceral instincts for most people.
    The instinct for liberty in general terms has been confined to a small minority, though many have disregarded instructions they find too annoying. The government's strategy to spread fear has worked only too well.
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