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McConnell’s impeachment move means Trump looks set to serve a full term and there’ll be no President

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 66,769
    edited January 2021

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    The fact that Trump is an arch-capitalist almost disqualifies him from being a fascist on its own. True fascists despise capitalism because it operates independent of their authority and isn't controllable. But of course people use the word as a synonym for "a really bad person".

    Given his litany of bankruptcies and the fact the state generally picked up the tab it is fair to say Trump is a socialist.
    He was also running a fiscal deficit close to 5% of GDP at the top of the economic cycle, pre Covid, which looks weird for a normal centre right politician.
    Just like Gordon Brown.

    Further proof that Trump is a socialist.
    Well about twice as much as Gordon Brown, and at a stronger point in the economic cycle. Since it has been proven (by repeated assertion on PB) that Brown's spending was reckless and out of control Leftist madness then Trump must basically be Lenin.
    I'm a believer in the horseshoe theory.

    It is why I also hate communists as much as the far right.
    Leaders of communist and far right movements are usually as bad as each other. But lots of decent people get swept up by communism, whose stated motivation is basically good (but is foolish utopian madness peddled by frauds and demagogues). Far right supporters (who buy into ideas of racial superiority) are all scum.
    Also, if the equivalent of Soviet communists took over this country, I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest.
    I suggest you read some history of the development of Fascism. Plenty of followers were ordinary decent people, before they joined the cause. Just like Communism. In fact quite a few went straight from Communism to the Brown Shirts. Literally. They saw Fascism as another Utopian world building project.....

    "I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest."

    Hmmm. I suggest you read the stories of Stalins purges. Plenty of people thought they were "safe" because they were good Communists. In fact they were first against the wall. Bit like the "Night of the Long Knifes" where a number of those murdered died shouting "Heil Hitler".
    Mussolini and Mosley were both Socialists at one point."

    *Grabs tinfoil hat and ducks*

    "Hitler was not a Socialist. He was a police spy on a Socialist group, hence the name. It rapidly ditched Socialism once he joined properly and took it over.
    The tinfoil hat I can understand. But why did you grab the ducks as well?
    They're good at resisting eggsplosions.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,480
    edited January 2021
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    MrEd said:

    Nigelb said:

    HYUFD said:

    Less than 5% of GOP representatives voted to impeach Trump last night, unless a significantly bigger proportion of GOP Senators vote to convict him, the conviction will fall short of the 2/3 majority required.

    However it is possible that Trump could be disbarred from seeking public office again if that passes with just a simple majority once the Democrats take control of the Senate next week.

    That, though, would be a far more dangerous precedent to set.
    Agreed. A much easier way to knock out potential rivals.

    Yes, not sure how it can be justified to prevent him from seeking office if it is considered he has not done enough to be convicted. If they want the former they really have to do the latter.

    That many who might convict think there's a chance they don't need to do thta to prevent him running, that events will do that for them, is another reason conviction will likely fail. Why stick your neck out if you think the problem will take care of itself?
    Money? Whilst Trumps base might largely fund his and his surrogates activities, the likes of McConnell rely on corporate donors who are not going to play with Trumpism still around, at least for the next 2 years.
    Money and the worry that Trump will continue to be a force in the party are the only reasons I could see most of them deciding to convict. The latter they might think they can deal with over time anyway, so the former really needs to be strong in their minds, and the belief that the corporate doners won't change their tune over time.
    The Republicans are now in the bizarre situation where the Congressional party is moving increasingly against him, but about 70%, or more, of their voters still think he's great. It can't last for long without some sort of cratering.
  • kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    MrEd said:

    Nigelb said:

    HYUFD said:

    Less than 5% of GOP representatives voted to impeach Trump last night, unless a significantly bigger proportion of GOP Senators vote to convict him, the conviction will fall short of the 2/3 majority required.

    However it is possible that Trump could be disbarred from seeking public office again if that passes with just a simple majority once the Democrats take control of the Senate next week.

    That, though, would be a far more dangerous precedent to set.
    Agreed. A much easier way to knock out potential rivals.

    Yes, not sure how it can be justified to prevent him from seeking office if it is considered he has not done enough to be convicted. If they want the former they really have to do the latter.

    That many who might convict think there's a chance they don't need to do thta to prevent him running, that events will do that for them, is another reason conviction will likely fail. Why stick your neck out if you think the problem will take care of itself?
    Money? Whilst Trumps base might largely fund his and his surrogates activities, the likes of McConnell rely on corporate donors who are not going to play with Trumpism still around, at least for the next 2 years.
    Money and the worry that Trump will continue to be a force in the party are the only reasons I could see most of them deciding to convict. The latter they might think they can deal with over time anyway, so the former really needs to be strong in their minds, and the belief that the corporate doners won't change their tune over time.
    The third is for Pence, its personal, Trump whipped up a crowd to kill him and they reached his security detail who had to kill someone to stop them. I would not be at all surprised if Pence goes after Trump with everything he has as soon as he has left office, if he does that will tip the Senate.
  • kle4 said:

    MrEd said:

    Nigelb said:

    HYUFD said:

    Less than 5% of GOP representatives voted to impeach Trump last night, unless a significantly bigger proportion of GOP Senators vote to convict him, the conviction will fall short of the 2/3 majority required.

    However it is possible that Trump could be disbarred from seeking public office again if that passes with just a simple majority once the Democrats take control of the Senate next week.

    That, though, would be a far more dangerous precedent to set.
    Agreed. A much easier way to knock out potential rivals.

    Yes, not sure how it can be justified to prevent him from seeking office if it is considered he has not done enough to be convicted. If they want the former they really have to do the latter.

    That many who might convict think there's a chance they don't need to do that to prevent him running, that events will do that for them, is another reason conviction will likely fail. Why stick your neck out if you think the problem will take care of itself?
    I am not sure whether having a criminal record or bankruptcy are reasons for disbarment under US constitution, but I would thing there is a greater chance of one of those two being successful against Trump than the impeachment process which correctly requires a high bar. Trump is clearly in my mind a fascist, so I hope he is disbarred. What US lawmakers have to be careful of is not to use any tool to disbar him that can be seen as descending to his despicable level.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,274
    edited January 2021
    Nigelb said:

    As this points out, provoking media storms over the minutiae of the PM’s exercise habits is not just irrelevant, but crowds out discussion and messaging on the single thing which would make the most difference.
    And which government policy has barely addressed, compared to all their other efforts.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349468460238172160

    The same day the media were losing their shit over Boris biking, Whitty released a clear important statement about how we should treat daily decisions (regardless of rules or guidance). It got vritually no coverage.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,603
    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    That's self reported as well which is going to have an element of people lying to themselves saying that trip to Tesco doesn't count because it was necessary, or that walk where they didn't meet anyone definitely doesn't count. If we did it with GPS tracking after a positive test we'd actually see isolation at closer to 10-15%.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,630

    Andy_JS said:

    The fact that Trump is an arch-capitalist almost disqualifies him from being a fascist on its own. True fascists despise capitalism because it operates independent of their authority and isn't controllable. But of course people use the word as a synonym for "a really bad person".

    Given his litany of bankruptcies and the fact the state generally picked up the tab it is fair to say Trump is a socialist.
    He was also running a fiscal deficit close to 5% of GDP at the top of the economic cycle, pre Covid, which looks weird for a normal centre right politician.
    Just like Gordon Brown.

    Further proof that Trump is a socialist.
    Well about twice as much as Gordon Brown, and at a stronger point in the economic cycle. Since it has been proven (by repeated assertion on PB) that Brown's spending was reckless and out of control Leftist madness then Trump must basically be Lenin.
    I'm a believer in the horseshoe theory.

    It is why I also hate communists as much as the far right.
    Leaders of communist and far right movements are usually as bad as each other. But lots of decent people get swept up by communism, whose stated motivation is basically good (but is foolish utopian madness peddled by frauds and demagogues). Far right supporters (who buy into ideas of racial superiority) are all scum.
    Also, if the equivalent of Soviet communists took over this country, I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest.
    I suggest you read some history of the development of Fascism. Plenty of followers were ordinary decent people, before they joined the cause. Just like Communism. In fact quite a few went straight from Communism to the Brown Shirts. Literally. They saw Fascism as another Utopian world building project.....

    "I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest."

    Hmmm. I suggest you read the stories of Stalins purges. Plenty of people thought they were "safe" because they were good Communists. In fact they were first against the wall. Bit like the "Night of the Long Knifes" where a number of those murdered died shouting "Heil Hitler".
    I put our chances of making it through communism about 80%, I wouldn't describe that as safe! But for the crime of race mixing I am pretty sure the Nazis would be putting us in a camp PDQ.
    Plenty of ordinary people supported the Nazis. But decent? Not convinced. Hitler's ideology was obvious from the start. There are a lot of bad people out there, just waiting to get activated by the right bad leader.
    The fact you are interested in talking about politics puts your survival in Stalins idea of Utopia at about 50% - just as a start.

    I need to dig the book off my shelf - actually recommended it the other day. Chap went to Germany after the war and befriended some small town people. Got them talking about their trajectory. The way they disconnected from/ignored the "bad" bits of the program has a resonance in the way people talk(ed) about the "good" bits of Stalinism and ignored the whole gulag thing.

    50%>0% still.
    As a start, Comrade. As a start.

    Then we have to actually consider your participation at Party Meetings. I think you were first to stop applauding the report of The Leaders speech on Thursday. {Sucks teeth. Makes mark on list}
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,941

    Nigelb said:

    As this points out, provoking media storms over the minutiae of the PM’s exercise habits is not just irrelevant, but crowds out discussion and messaging on the single thing which would make the most difference.
    And which government policy has barely addressed, compared to all their other efforts.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349468460238172160

    The same day the media were losing their shit over Boris biking, Whitty released a clear important statement about how we should treat daily decisions (regardless of rules or guidance). It got vritually no coverage.
    I'm shocked.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 47,789
    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
  • eek said:

    Have we seen this yet

    https://twitter.com/fishingforleave/status/1347450935472254977

    Yes we voted for leave and granted you are not involved in fishing but it's remain's fault that we have problem exporting fish.

    My two wishes for Brexit.

    1 - Its a roaring success
    2 - If not the people who campaigned for Brexit and led the post vote govts are held responsible

    I am not expecting either wish to come true.
    The desperation of the Brexit apologists to shift blame from themselves for the inevitable disruption is pathetic.
  • That Trump video was painful to watch. Sat so still that he almost looked chained to his chair. Hands tightly clasped together. Occasionally cocking his head over in disbelief at what was on the autocue.

    The Senate trial doesn't matter now. He has already be de facto removed from office and is facing an avalanche of legal problems next week. Federal investigation into sedition and incitement. Potentially federal investigation into treason (over Russia). New York State investigation into his dodgy finances. DC investigation into last week's failed coup.

    His brand is trash. His lines of credit pulled with hundreds of millions of Dollars owed. A fire sale of assets at the very least. And Giuliani will sue him for non-payment of his legal fees.

    And all because a Capitol Police shot Ashli Babbitt...

    My fear is the millions of Trump supporters who are armed and ready to continue this battle and every move against Trump, warranted as it is, will only prolong the bitter and dangerous division

    Vengeance may satisfy some, but at what cost to the many who are desperate to turn the page on this catastrophic Trump period
    But it isn't just vengeance, it is justice that should be sought. The man incited an attempted coup. A coup attempt which left five people dead.

    What is wrong with you people who are suggesting he walks free, in the interests of "peace". to continue as a shadow President, a President in waiting who can spew his seditious propaganda to the angry and disenchanted?

    Donald Trump makes the angry, angrier. The louder his voice, the greater the division.

    Lock him up to shut him up!
    You are letting your emotions takeover from a course that I support in as far as preventing him ever standing again has to be utmost in people's minds and I am not suggesting he should not face due process, but be careful for what you wish for, it could just ignite the issue for years to come
    Allowing Trump to continue spouting his propaganda at will, leads down a dark road. Free speech is one thing "propagandagepezete" leads us to rioting in the Reichstag, or the Capitol Building.

    He has done something very bad. Punishment rather than retribution is required, that will shut him up too.
    He has been worst than very bad, but how you balance justice v peace is the issue for Americans to decide, and the key word is balance

    Personally I would be delighted if we never heard another word from him
    Your view is the view of Neville Chamberlain.
    Now that is silly
    If the insurgents had lynched Pence, Pelosi and several dozen Democrat Senators and Representatives, and a few dissenting GOP lawmakers to boot, make no mistake, Trump would have taken it.
    I do not want to pardon, excuse or in any way whatsoever give Trump a get out card

    Maybe I am naively remembering 'blessed are the peacemakers'
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    AlistairM said:

    I made a comment yesterday that there were likely to be big geographical differences in vaccination rates. Just heard another anecdote.

    My parents (78 and 72) are in Berkshire near Reading and they haven't been contacted yet about their vaccines. They have a friend who is closer to Reading who is 71 and has their vaccination scheduled for today. Meanwhile my 84 year old father in law in Buckinghamshire has not heard anything.

    If this situation goes further out of line then I can see this becoming an issue. Particularly if some locations get through the top 4 priority groups and then start on the rest whilst some parts of the country are still well behind.

    Especially if it turns out that the North is missing out or that certain deprived postcodes aren't getting supplies and so on.

    A lot of it depends on how proactice surgeries are. In Southampton some surgeries have got through their 80+ people and are now moving on to their 75+ . Others have barely done any.
    Currently I think it's logistics that are the issue as Pfizer has complex requirements.

    From memory Southampton University Hospital is a hub so moving that vaccine around Southampton is so much easier than say South Cumbria where the nearest hub is Carlisle.
    The difference between neighbouring surgeries in Southampton is remarkable.
    As with so much with the NHS. You need pointy elbows and to shout loudly to get just about anything done.

    I would bet those surgeries with the vaccine were pro-active; those without were/are still waiting to be contacted.
    If you are elderly and turn up looking confused or weak many places will assume you are always like that.

    A friend had a treatable bone cancer but turned up in a bit of a state due to a calcium imbalance. She was given a week or so by the first doctor and effectively consigned to the bin. Once her daughter turned up and pointed out that, no, this wasn't her normal state someone actually looked and found the problem. She is still going 2 years later, as once the treatment started the service was fine.

    A similar thing happened to my Dad when he had an infection (which often causes dementia-like symptoms). I had to be there to say - no, this isn't normal, look again.

    Not everywhere is like that, but...
    Sorry to be late responding but abso-bloody-lutely. Sadly a very familiar-type story.

    Mine was that my mother (89yrs old at the time) had water on the brain. Which for all the world presents like a doddering, dementia-y 89yr old. It rapidly deteriorated so she was unable to walk/talk/etc. Dementia/age they said. Except there were key symptoms and causes. Which the NHS simply did not (choose to?) address.

    It was left to my sister and google overnight (literally for 10 hours) to unpick the condition, the symptoms and then make a diagnosis. We then took that to the doctors and after *a lot* of pushing, quite nasty at times tbh, they accepted it, took action, and finally treated her for it. She is now playing chess with me in person and with her granddaughters online and still has the odd game of online scrabble with her scrabble club.

    Time and time again left to its own devices the NHS will simply not bother, or does not have the organisational structure to make the extra effort.
    Yikes.

    I don't know if it is institutional, individuals, or just that doctors and staff are too busy. I'd like to believe the 'too busy' explanation but I'm not convinced. It seems to be discrimination based on prejudice.

    In a horrible piece of irony, the (not terribly old) doctor that gave the friend a week to live died of Covid. Never send to know...
    Yes I've no idea. I'd like to believe the too busy reason also but then one wonders what they are there in the first place for. Perhaps like in an exam if you panic and end up doing half of all of the questions rather than all of half of them.

    What I saw in my incident (and in many other tales, such as your own, and those of friends - poke, and many people have them) was a disinclination to take more time to think about what *else* it could be, given that a straightforward diagnosis was available and acting on that diagnosis would mean minimising further effort and resource.

    Now, I'm sure that in aggregate, thinking about what else a seemingly straightforward condition could be would be expensive and wasteful. But...what if you or I hadn't been there for our father and mother. They would have been left to rot. Almost literally.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860

    Andy_JS said:

    The fact that Trump is an arch-capitalist almost disqualifies him from being a fascist on its own. True fascists despise capitalism because it operates independent of their authority and isn't controllable. But of course people use the word as a synonym for "a really bad person".

    Given his litany of bankruptcies and the fact the state generally picked up the tab it is fair to say Trump is a socialist.
    He was also running a fiscal deficit close to 5% of GDP at the top of the economic cycle, pre Covid, which looks weird for a normal centre right politician.
    Just like Gordon Brown.

    Further proof that Trump is a socialist.
    Well about twice as much as Gordon Brown, and at a stronger point in the economic cycle. Since it has been proven (by repeated assertion on PB) that Brown's spending was reckless and out of control Leftist madness then Trump must basically be Lenin.
    I'm a believer in the horseshoe theory.

    It is why I also hate communists as much as the far right.
    Leaders of communist and far right movements are usually as bad as each other. But lots of decent people get swept up by communism, whose stated motivation is basically good (but is foolish utopian madness peddled by frauds and demagogues). Far right supporters (who buy into ideas of racial superiority) are all scum.
    Also, if the equivalent of Soviet communists took over this country, I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest.
    I suggest you read some history of the development of Fascism. Plenty of followers were ordinary decent people, before they joined the cause. Just like Communism. In fact quite a few went straight from Communism to the Brown Shirts. Literally. They saw Fascism as another Utopian world building project.....

    "I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest."

    Hmmm. I suggest you read the stories of Stalins purges. Plenty of people thought they were "safe" because they were good Communists. In fact they were first against the wall. Bit like the "Night of the Long Knifes" where a number of those murdered died shouting "Heil Hitler".
    I put our chances of making it through communism about 80%, I wouldn't describe that as safe! But for the crime of race mixing I am pretty sure the Nazis would be putting us in a camp PDQ.
    Plenty of ordinary people supported the Nazis. But decent? Not convinced. Hitler's ideology was obvious from the start. There are a lot of bad people out there, just waiting to get activated by the right bad leader.
    Most ordinary people just tend to go along with whatever will give them an easy life. It takes a special sort of person to stick their head above the parapet when you risk getting it blown off.

    I've heard many stories from my German MIL about how people generally just accepted what their leaders told them. In particular, the characterisation of other nationalities and races as being inferior to Germans was, by many, simply thought of as normal. It's not as if the belief in the superiority of one's own culture is such an unusual trait, and from there it's not a long step towards the dehumanisation of others.
    After the liberation, ordinary Germans were made to go and look at the concentration camps and watch footage of the atrocities carried out there. They were then told to tell others what they had seen. I've always found this to be quite thought provoking. I can think of instances today - big lies that need exposing - where such an exercise could be considered.
  • Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,933
    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.
  • kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Surely the point is that fascism has always been a disputed category unless applied to Mussolini and his party? Were Salazar, Franco, Peron etc fascists? Trump certainly belongs to that basket of deplorables to whom the question can be applied.
    The point Evans makes is that Fascist ideology subsumes the individual into the war making state - none of which applies to Trump. Populist amoral demagogue, yes, warmaking big state trampler of individual liberties, no.
    The "point" is purest wankery and bollocks. There tends to be at least one individual who is not subsumed into the state - the supreme leader. Donald J Trump in this case. There is no question he views himself that way. War making? Trampler of individual liberties? In all probability Yes and Yes if he had succeeded in staying in power despite losing the election. He is a wannabe fascist. Or (ok, Nigel) an incipient fascist. This much is undeniable. He has not become the genuine article because the coup did not work out. Fascism follows successful fascist coups not failed ones.
    Anybody who consciously marshals fascists for their own political gain deserves the label.
    Mmm.
    Not a fascist. Just that he tries to overturn an election using white supremacist violence.
    Not a racist. Just that every racist thinks he is and loves him.
    Not a misogynist. Just that he thinks women are second order creatures.
    Wonder what else he isn't?
    I usually roll my eyes at the tendency of some of the more histrionic gauchistes to label anything to the right of Mao as fascist - even David Cameron (!) received the label from time to time. Worst of all are the ones who spell it 'facist', usually in the same sentence as 'priviledge'.

    But is there any doubt in my mind that Trump is some form (proto-/incipient-/wannabe-/preschool-) of fascist? Not in the slightest. If his IQ were 20-30 points higher, the United States' experiment with democracy might be over now.
    Ditto the tendency of some to refer to anyone to the left of Pinochet as Marxist.
    I've seen the Lib Dems described as Communist. The Lib fucking Dems!

    You on the right are as bad as them on the left.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,630
    MaxPB said:

    4% first doses (includes those who have had a second dose as well)

    First doses - 2,639,309
    Total population from ONS data - 66,796,807

    It's 5% of the the 53m that are eligible.
    Ah yes. True. Thanks.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 14,916

    Andy_JS said:

    The fact that Trump is an arch-capitalist almost disqualifies him from being a fascist on its own. True fascists despise capitalism because it operates independent of their authority and isn't controllable. But of course people use the word as a synonym for "a really bad person".

    Given his litany of bankruptcies and the fact the state generally picked up the tab it is fair to say Trump is a socialist.
    He was also running a fiscal deficit close to 5% of GDP at the top of the economic cycle, pre Covid, which looks weird for a normal centre right politician.
    Just like Gordon Brown.

    Further proof that Trump is a socialist.
    Well about twice as much as Gordon Brown, and at a stronger point in the economic cycle. Since it has been proven (by repeated assertion on PB) that Brown's spending was reckless and out of control Leftist madness then Trump must basically be Lenin.
    I'm a believer in the horseshoe theory.

    It is why I also hate communists as much as the far right.
    Leaders of communist and far right movements are usually as bad as each other. But lots of decent people get swept up by communism, whose stated motivation is basically good (but is foolish utopian madness peddled by frauds and demagogues). Far right supporters (who buy into ideas of racial superiority) are all scum.
    Also, if the equivalent of Soviet communists took over this country, I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest.
    I suggest you read some history of the development of Fascism. Plenty of followers were ordinary decent people, before they joined the cause. Just like Communism. In fact quite a few went straight from Communism to the Brown Shirts. Literally. They saw Fascism as another Utopian world building project.....

    "I would reckon my family would have about an 80% chance of living through it. Under the Nazis it would be about zero. So for me it's no contest."

    Hmmm. I suggest you read the stories of Stalins purges. Plenty of people thought they were "safe" because they were good Communists. In fact they were first against the wall. Bit like the "Night of the Long Knifes" where a number of those murdered died shouting "Heil Hitler".
    I put our chances of making it through communism about 80%, I wouldn't describe that as safe! But for the crime of race mixing I am pretty sure the Nazis would be putting us in a camp PDQ.
    Plenty of ordinary people supported the Nazis. But decent? Not convinced. Hitler's ideology was obvious from the start. There are a lot of bad people out there, just waiting to get activated by the right bad leader.
    The fact you are interested in talking about politics puts your survival in Stalins idea of Utopia at about 50% - just as a start.

    I need to dig the book off my shelf - actually recommended it the other day. Chap went to Germany after the war and befriended some small town people. Got them talking about their trajectory. The way they disconnected from/ignored the "bad" bits of the program has a resonance in the way people talk(ed) about the "good" bits of Stalinism and ignored the whole gulag thing.

    50%>0% still.
    As a start, Comrade. As a start.

    Then we have to actually consider your participation at Party Meetings. I think you were first to stop applauding the report of The Leaders speech on Thursday. {Sucks teeth. Makes mark on list}
    To be fair I am a hopeless borgeoise grown fat on capitalist exploitation and I am sure that the Party would get hold of Facebook spats with vile Corbynistas as evidence of my ideological impurity, so I might be heading for a Gulag. On the other hand the Nazis might be carrying out experiments on my children. I would still take my chance with the Soviets to be honest.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,301
    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.
  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    That was written by experts and one main point of the Brexit campaign was that we shouldn't listen to experts. (there may be some sarcasm in that response)
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    Off topic, the reporting season so far for UK companies has been incredibly strong - a lot beating expectations, although that might be because of deliberately low guidance. But looks reassuring so far.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 66,769
    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 61,590
    .
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    AlistairM said:

    I made a comment yesterday that there were likely to be big geographical differences in vaccination rates. Just heard another anecdote.

    My parents (78 and 72) are in Berkshire near Reading and they haven't been contacted yet about their vaccines. They have a friend who is closer to Reading who is 71 and has their vaccination scheduled for today. Meanwhile my 84 year old father in law in Buckinghamshire has not heard anything.

    If this situation goes further out of line then I can see this becoming an issue. Particularly if some locations get through the top 4 priority groups and then start on the rest whilst some parts of the country are still well behind.

    Especially if it turns out that the North is missing out or that certain deprived postcodes aren't getting supplies and so on.

    A lot of it depends on how proactice surgeries are. In Southampton some surgeries have got through their 80+ people and are now moving on to their 75+ . Others have barely done any.
    Currently I think it's logistics that are the issue as Pfizer has complex requirements.

    From memory Southampton University Hospital is a hub so moving that vaccine around Southampton is so much easier than say South Cumbria where the nearest hub is Carlisle.
    The difference between neighbouring surgeries in Southampton is remarkable.
    As with so much with the NHS. You need pointy elbows and to shout loudly to get just about anything done.

    I would bet those surgeries with the vaccine were pro-active; those without were/are still waiting to be contacted.
    If you are elderly and turn up looking confused or weak many places will assume you are always like that.

    A friend had a treatable bone cancer but turned up in a bit of a state due to a calcium imbalance. She was given a week or so by the first doctor and effectively consigned to the bin. Once her daughter turned up and pointed out that, no, this wasn't her normal state someone actually looked and found the problem. She is still going 2 years later, as once the treatment started the service was fine.

    A similar thing happened to my Dad when he had an infection (which often causes dementia-like symptoms). I had to be there to say - no, this isn't normal, look again.

    Not everywhere is like that, but...
    Sorry to be late responding but abso-bloody-lutely. Sadly a very familiar-type story.

    Mine was that my mother (89yrs old at the time) had water on the brain. Which for all the world presents like a doddering, dementia-y 89yr old. It rapidly deteriorated so she was unable to walk/talk/etc. Dementia/age they said. Except there were key symptoms and causes. Which the NHS simply did not (choose to?) address.

    It was left to my sister and google overnight (literally for 10 hours) to unpick the condition, the symptoms and then make a diagnosis. We then took that to the doctors and after *a lot* of pushing, quite nasty at times tbh, they accepted it, took action, and finally treated her for it. She is now playing chess with me in person and with her granddaughters online and still has the odd game of online scrabble with her scrabble club.

    Time and time again left to its own devices the NHS will simply not bother, or does not have the organisational structure to make the extra effort.
    Yikes.

    I don't know if it is institutional, individuals, or just that doctors and staff are too busy. I'd like to believe the 'too busy' explanation but I'm not convinced. It seems to be discrimination based on prejudice.

    In a horrible piece of irony, the (not terribly old) doctor that gave the friend a week to live died of Covid. Never send to know...
    Yes I've no idea. I'd like to believe the too busy reason also but then one wonders what they are there in the first place for. Perhaps like in an exam if you panic and end up doing half of all of the questions rather than all of half of them.

    What I saw in my incident (and in many other tales, such as your own, and those of friends - poke, and many people have them) was a disinclination to take more time to think about what *else* it could be, given that a straightforward diagnosis was available and acting on that diagnosis would mean minimising further effort and resource.

    Now, I'm sure that in aggregate, thinking about what else a seemingly straightforward condition could be would be expensive and wasteful. But...what if you or I hadn't been there for our father and mother. They would have been left to rot. Almost literally.
    Had a very similar experience a decade or so back when my father got bacteraemia.
    I had hoped things might have improved.
  • Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    Not heard anyone gloating. Is controlling Islamic extremist terror revenge or common sense? Please answer why it is different for Trump terror?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.
  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    dixiedean said:

    eek said:

    dixiedean said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Surely the point is that fascism has always been a disputed category unless applied to Mussolini and his party? Were Salazar, Franco, Peron etc fascists? Trump certainly belongs to that basket of deplorables to whom the question can be applied.
    The point Evans makes is that Fascist ideology subsumes the individual into the war making state - none of which applies to Trump. Populist amoral demagogue, yes, warmaking big state trampler of individual liberties, no.
    The "point" is purest wankery and bollocks. There tends to be at least one individual who is not subsumed into the state - the supreme leader. Donald J Trump in this case. There is no question he views himself that way. War making? Trampler of individual liberties? In all probability Yes and Yes if he had succeeded in staying in power despite losing the election. He is a wannabe fascist. Or (ok, Nigel) an incipient fascist. This much is undeniable. He has not become the genuine article because the coup did not work out. Fascism follows successful fascist coups not failed ones.
    Anybody who consciously marshals fascists for their own political gain deserves the label.
    Mmm.
    Not a fascist. Just that he tries to overturn an election using white supremacist violence.
    Not a racist. Just that every racist thinks he is and loves him.
    Not a misogynist. Just that he thinks women are second order creatures.
    Wonder what else he isn't?
    I usually roll my eyes at the tendency of some of the more histrionic gauchistes to label anything to the right of Mao as fascist - even David Cameron (!) received the label from time to time. Worst of all are the ones who spell it 'facist', usually in the same sentence as 'priviledge'.

    But is there any doubt in my mind that Trump is some form (proto-/incipient-/wannabe-/preschool-) of fascist? Not in the slightest. If his IQ were 20-30 points higher, the United States' experiment with democracy might be over now.
    Think it's his EQ that was really lacking.
    It's worth being clear here.

    If Trump had stopped for 30 seconds and realized that encouraging early voting gave more opportunities for his voters to vote he would have won the election.
    True. There are numerous smaller examples too.
    Here's one. John McCain.
    All he had to do was pay gracious tribute to a war hero and lifelong Republican.
    But he couldn't. Because he was Donald Trump.
    Had he done so, it is easy to see how he held Arizona on that alone. It is also possible that his denigration of the military lost him the other States necessary.
    He didn't have a proper plan. Because he's Donald Trump.
    The list is a long one but nothing beats his decision to deny Covid instead of accepting the science and leading the country through it.

    He could have won a landslide.
    Yep - the thing here and it's visible multiple times is that if he was a bit brighter he could have recognised what he needed to really do in each circumstances.

    Instead (as with Boris) he blustered on without stopping to think.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,082

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    AlistairM said:

    I made a comment yesterday that there were likely to be big geographical differences in vaccination rates. Just heard another anecdote.

    My parents (78 and 72) are in Berkshire near Reading and they haven't been contacted yet about their vaccines. They have a friend who is closer to Reading who is 71 and has their vaccination scheduled for today. Meanwhile my 84 year old father in law in Buckinghamshire has not heard anything.

    If this situation goes further out of line then I can see this becoming an issue. Particularly if some locations get through the top 4 priority groups and then start on the rest whilst some parts of the country are still well behind.

    Especially if it turns out that the North is missing out or that certain deprived postcodes aren't getting supplies and so on.

    A lot of it depends on how proactice surgeries are. In Southampton some surgeries have got through their 80+ people and are now moving on to their 75+ . Others have barely done any.
    Currently I think it's logistics that are the issue as Pfizer has complex requirements.

    From memory Southampton University Hospital is a hub so moving that vaccine around Southampton is so much easier than say South Cumbria where the nearest hub is Carlisle.
    The difference between neighbouring surgeries in Southampton is remarkable.
    As with so much with the NHS. You need pointy elbows and to shout loudly to get just about anything done.

    I would bet those surgeries with the vaccine were pro-active; those without were/are still waiting to be contacted.
    If you are elderly and turn up looking confused or weak many places will assume you are always like that.

    A friend had a treatable bone cancer but turned up in a bit of a state due to a calcium imbalance. She was given a week or so by the first doctor and effectively consigned to the bin. Once her daughter turned up and pointed out that, no, this wasn't her normal state someone actually looked and found the problem. She is still going 2 years later, as once the treatment started the service was fine.

    A similar thing happened to my Dad when he had an infection (which often causes dementia-like symptoms). I had to be there to say - no, this isn't normal, look again.

    Not everywhere is like that, but...
    Sorry to be late responding but abso-bloody-lutely. Sadly a very familiar-type story.

    Mine was that my mother (89yrs old at the time) had water on the brain. Which for all the world presents like a doddering, dementia-y 89yr old. It rapidly deteriorated so she was unable to walk/talk/etc. Dementia/age they said. Except there were key symptoms and causes. Which the NHS simply did not (choose to?) address.

    It was left to my sister and google overnight (literally for 10 hours) to unpick the condition, the symptoms and then make a diagnosis. We then took that to the doctors and after *a lot* of pushing, quite nasty at times tbh, they accepted it, took action, and finally treated her for it. She is now playing chess with me in person and with her granddaughters online and still has the odd game of online scrabble with her scrabble club.

    Time and time again left to its own devices the NHS will simply not bother, or does not have the organisational structure to make the extra effort.
    Yikes.

    I don't know if it is institutional, individuals, or just that doctors and staff are too busy. I'd like to believe the 'too busy' explanation but I'm not convinced. It seems to be discrimination based on prejudice.

    In a horrible piece of irony, the (not terribly old) doctor that gave the friend a week to live died of Covid. Never send to know...
    It sounds like individual incompetence rather than specifically NHS, as I have seen similar tales from the private sector and from other lands.

    It is an old medical saw that you should listen to the patient as they are trying to tell you the diagnosis.

    I have also seen people being assertive enough to be over investigated into a mess of iatrogenic disease. Perhaps the worst was a person given a brain stem stroke by an unnecessary angiography.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 9,653
    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    Yes, and though I support masks it links to my residual concern about mask-wearing: people WITH symptoms may feel that have more license to go out and about as long as they are wearing one.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,004
    edited January 2021

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
  • Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    Since it's behind a paywall, it might help enlighten us all if we know what punishment Aaronovitch has in mind.
  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    That's a 2 year old tweet regarding something we are discussing here.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 3,853
    edited January 2021
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
    We have 2-3 inches of snow now. Even in the lowlands.

    I'd get the cross-country skis out but I'm not sure Whitty would approve.
  • eek said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    That's a 2 year old tweet regarding something we are discussing here.
    Brexit is being drowned out by covid no matter how anyone tries to make issue with it
  • Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    It would be enormously to my personal satisfaction if the bastard were ground into the dirt but I am sure it would assist Joe Biden and the Democrats far more to have him hanging around like a bad smell for the next few years. So a minimal slap on the wrists would do just fine.
  • BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 9,653
    edited January 2021
    NHS England daily deaths still rising, adjusted for actual day of death are now well over 50% of the April peak.

    That lad David Paton should be honoured for his tireless work. Every day since this all started.

    https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1349356902237564928/photo/1
  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    Since it's behind a paywall, it might help enlighten us all if we know what punishment Aaronovitch has in mind.
    A very quick summary

    Punish Trump for his lies but don't make it a witchhunt.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 49,963

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    If not royalty, indeed....
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,405

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    Just refer to everyone as 'Comrade'. It's the best way!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,301

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
    We have 2-3 inches of snow now. Even in the lowlands.

    I'd get the cross-country skis out but I'm not sure Whitty would approve.
    20mm of cold rain expected in London today. Though in actuality what we have right now is ‘heavy sleet’

    I am still in bed
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860
    MrEd said:

    Off topic, the reporting season so far for UK companies has been incredibly strong - a lot beating expectations, although that might be because of deliberately low guidance. But looks reassuring so far.

    "off topic" - good call, Ed.
  • eek said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    That's a 2 year old tweet regarding something we are discussing here.
    Brexit is being drowned out by covid no matter how anyone tries to make issue with it
    Seems like you've spent most of your recent posts talking about the application or otherwise of legal remedies to people who try to overthrow democracy.

    If it's ok for you to talk about things other than Covid-19, it's ok for others too.
  • anothernickanothernick Posts: 3,547

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    Quite, but this will be a slow burn that will continue for the forseeable future. People will gradually hear more about it as businesses incur more costs and, in some cases, close down completely as they can no longer sell profitably to the EU. And of course many significant areas of economic activity, like financial services, are now at the EU's mercy since the terms of future trading are largely unknown and subject to side agreements over which the UK has no leverage.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,257
    edited January 2021

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    We do (according to autocomplete after @, which offers - I think - only 5 suggestions) have 5+ knights, 5+ lords, 2 ladies, 1 duke and even 1 prince. Exalted company indeed.

    Plus those - such as myself - who consider it too vulgar to include Viscount etc in our handles :wink:

  • eekeek Posts: 24,797

    eek said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    That's a 2 year old tweet regarding something we are discussing here.
    Brexit is being drowned out by covid no matter how anyone tries to make issue with it
    Yep - which is why Boris wanted it done now.

    Meanwhile whole sectors of the economy (fish farming for instance) will be destroyed with Covid being blamed for things that have everything to do with Brexit and nothing to do with Covid at all.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 14,774
    What I will say about the government, for all the criticism I've had over them on isolating the infectious, and myriad other cruel or incompetent policies, they have been very successful/fortunate in ensuring that the media narrative is on individual compliance with the rules, rather than their failures.

    That's a key competence when it comes to winning the next election, of course.

    Blame exporters rather than the government who bungled Brexit negotiations. Blame the unemployed rather than the government who didn't support businesses through the pandemic.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    Foxy said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    AlistairM said:

    I made a comment yesterday that there were likely to be big geographical differences in vaccination rates. Just heard another anecdote.

    My parents (78 and 72) are in Berkshire near Reading and they haven't been contacted yet about their vaccines. They have a friend who is closer to Reading who is 71 and has their vaccination scheduled for today. Meanwhile my 84 year old father in law in Buckinghamshire has not heard anything.

    If this situation goes further out of line then I can see this becoming an issue. Particularly if some locations get through the top 4 priority groups and then start on the rest whilst some parts of the country are still well behind.

    Especially if it turns out that the North is missing out or that certain deprived postcodes aren't getting supplies and so on.

    A lot of it depends on how proactice surgeries are. In Southampton some surgeries have got through their 80+ people and are now moving on to their 75+ . Others have barely done any.
    Currently I think it's logistics that are the issue as Pfizer has complex requirements.

    From memory Southampton University Hospital is a hub so moving that vaccine around Southampton is so much easier than say South Cumbria where the nearest hub is Carlisle.
    The difference between neighbouring surgeries in Southampton is remarkable.
    As with so much with the NHS. You need pointy elbows and to shout loudly to get just about anything done.

    I would bet those surgeries with the vaccine were pro-active; those without were/are still waiting to be contacted.
    If you are elderly and turn up looking confused or weak many places will assume you are always like that.

    A friend had a treatable bone cancer but turned up in a bit of a state due to a calcium imbalance. She was given a week or so by the first doctor and effectively consigned to the bin. Once her daughter turned up and pointed out that, no, this wasn't her normal state someone actually looked and found the problem. She is still going 2 years later, as once the treatment started the service was fine.

    A similar thing happened to my Dad when he had an infection (which often causes dementia-like symptoms). I had to be there to say - no, this isn't normal, look again.

    Not everywhere is like that, but...
    Sorry to be late responding but abso-bloody-lutely. Sadly a very familiar-type story.

    Mine was that my mother (89yrs old at the time) had water on the brain. Which for all the world presents like a doddering, dementia-y 89yr old. It rapidly deteriorated so she was unable to walk/talk/etc. Dementia/age they said. Except there were key symptoms and causes. Which the NHS simply did not (choose to?) address.

    It was left to my sister and google overnight (literally for 10 hours) to unpick the condition, the symptoms and then make a diagnosis. We then took that to the doctors and after *a lot* of pushing, quite nasty at times tbh, they accepted it, took action, and finally treated her for it. She is now playing chess with me in person and with her granddaughters online and still has the odd game of online scrabble with her scrabble club.

    Time and time again left to its own devices the NHS will simply not bother, or does not have the organisational structure to make the extra effort.
    Yikes.

    I don't know if it is institutional, individuals, or just that doctors and staff are too busy. I'd like to believe the 'too busy' explanation but I'm not convinced. It seems to be discrimination based on prejudice.

    In a horrible piece of irony, the (not terribly old) doctor that gave the friend a week to live died of Covid. Never send to know...
    It sounds like individual incompetence rather than specifically NHS, as I have seen similar tales from the private sector and from other lands.

    It is an old medical saw that you should listen to the patient as they are trying to tell you the diagnosis.

    I have also seen people being assertive enough to be over investigated into a mess of iatrogenic disease. Perhaps the worst was a person given a brain stem stroke by an unnecessary angiography.
    Foxy anecdata abounds about this (three on this board so far have mentioned it) in the NHS. No idea about private, perhaps it does perhaps it doesn't.

    And as I said, if you poke, you will find many people you know with a similar experience. Now of course it's also a numbers game. The NHS is the only show in town and hence of course there are going to be issues. A 99.9% success rate with the millions of people it treats means there will be a substantial number of problems.

    But the problems all seem to have a similar theme - conditions being overlooked and that's only the ones that we are aware of. When I visited my mother in her ward full of super-oldies there were visitors there I would say for about 20% of patients. What about them? Had one of those had water on the brain, say, they would have been written off and no one would have been any the wiser.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 49,963
    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    Well, when they are casting for that political epic we've all been waiting for, "The Life of David Miliband - the International Rescue Years"......
  • eek said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    That's a 2 year old tweet regarding something we are discussing here.
    Brexit is being drowned out by covid no matter how anyone tries to make issue with it
    Seems like you've spent most of your recent posts talking about the application or otherwise of legal remedies to people who try to overthrow democracy.

    If it's ok for you to talk about things other than Covid-19, it's ok for others too.
    You miss the point completely
  • eek said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    Since it's behind a paywall, it might help enlighten us all if we know what punishment Aaronovitch has in mind.
    A very quick summary

    Punish Trump for his lies but don't make it a witchhunt.
    That seems a little.. odd.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860
    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
  • YorkcityYorkcity Posts: 4,382
    Phil said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    If there are no consequences, what’s to stop politicians trying again in the future? After all, they learned that nothing would happen to them if they failed the first time, so it makes it even more likely that they’ll try again.

    No. Inciting armed insurrection against the democratic transfer of power is a step to far for the "lets all forget about it and move forward" option. There have to be consequences, or else we’ll be going through all this again, but worse in the future.

    (Frankly, I suspect we’ll be going through this again anyway, but it’ll be /worse/ if we don’t start showing some backbone, so best to get on with it.)
    I agree Philip good post.
    Surely the threat to democracy is to great just to leave it.
    It would encourage an even bigger threat with a cleverer autocratic leader.
    If it can happen in an long term democracy like the USA , with all its checks and balances with a written constitution , it could happen anywhere.
    Hope our country would never let a coup go without taking action.
    I know in the the 1970s there was talk of Mountbatten trying to overthrow an Electted government of Labours Harold Wilson.
    So we should never be to smug or complacent.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,405
    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,257

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    If not royalty, indeed....
    I've often wondered whether you are in fact Marquess Mark and either modest or with fat fingers
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    edited January 2021
    Selebian said:

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    We do (according to autocomplete after @, which offers - I think - only 5 suggestions) have 5+ knights, 5+ lords, 2 ladies, 1 duke and even 1 prince. Exalted company indeed.

    Plus those - such as myself - who consider it too vulgar to include Viscount etc in our handles :wink:

    You sign PB as you sign your letters, I see.
  • FPT
    Andy_JS said:

    RobD said:

    It's funny. The supreme leader of Iran is allowed a twitter account, but not the president of the US.
    That says more about the President than it does about Twitter.

    If the Supreme Leader of Iran had coordinated and triggered a physical attack on the US Capitol using Twitter then I suspect his account would have been removed too.
    The Supreme Leader of Iran has called for the destruction of Israel on Twitter. Shouldn't he have been banned for that?
    In my opinion? Yes. Definitely 100%.

    Though using Twitter's logic I can see that they didn't ban Trump while he was calling for things until the violence actually turned real. They closed the stable door after the horse had already bolted. He was only banned when the attack had already happened and there was an immediate threat of an imminent follow up attacks.

    No attack on Israel by Iran has actually happened. No imminent attack on Israel by Iran is expected.

    So in the sense of expecting an imminent threat of violence the President of the United States of America is worse than the Supreme Ayatollah of Iran.

    Which in itself is absolutely remarkable and tragic.
  • Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    A very good point but the public expect it to happen overnight
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,842

    dixiedean said:

    eek said:

    dixiedean said:

    kinabalu said:

    kinabalu said:

    Surely the point is that fascism has always been a disputed category unless applied to Mussolini and his party? Were Salazar, Franco, Peron etc fascists? Trump certainly belongs to that basket of deplorables to whom the question can be applied.
    The point Evans makes is that Fascist ideology subsumes the individual into the war making state - none of which applies to Trump. Populist amoral demagogue, yes, warmaking big state trampler of individual liberties, no.
    The "point" is purest wankery and bollocks. There tends to be at least one individual who is not subsumed into the state - the supreme leader. Donald J Trump in this case. There is no question he views himself that way. War making? Trampler of individual liberties? In all probability Yes and Yes if he had succeeded in staying in power despite losing the election. He is a wannabe fascist. Or (ok, Nigel) an incipient fascist. This much is undeniable. He has not become the genuine article because the coup did not work out. Fascism follows successful fascist coups not failed ones.
    Anybody who consciously marshals fascists for their own political gain deserves the label.
    Mmm.
    Not a fascist. Just that he tries to overturn an election using white supremacist violence.
    Not a racist. Just that every racist thinks he is and loves him.
    Not a misogynist. Just that he thinks women are second order creatures.
    Wonder what else he isn't?
    I usually roll my eyes at the tendency of some of the more histrionic gauchistes to label anything to the right of Mao as fascist - even David Cameron (!) received the label from time to time. Worst of all are the ones who spell it 'facist', usually in the same sentence as 'priviledge'.

    But is there any doubt in my mind that Trump is some form (proto-/incipient-/wannabe-/preschool-) of fascist? Not in the slightest. If his IQ were 20-30 points higher, the United States' experiment with democracy might be over now.
    Think it's his EQ that was really lacking.
    It's worth being clear here.

    If Trump had stopped for 30 seconds and realized that encouraging early voting gave more opportunities for his voters to vote he would have won the election.
    True. There are numerous smaller examples too.
    Here's one. John McCain.
    All he had to do was pay gracious tribute to a war hero and lifelong Republican.
    But he couldn't. Because he was Donald Trump.
    Had he done so, it is easy to see how he held Arizona on that alone. It is also possible that his denigration of the military lost him the other States necessary.
    He didn't have a proper plan. Because he's Donald Trump.
    The list is a long one but nothing beats his decision to deny Covid instead of accepting the science and leading the country through it.

    He could have won a landslide.
    If you elect someone because he "isn't a politician", don't be surprised when it turns out that he isn't great at politics.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,094
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
    Here it is warm (for January), wet and miserable.

    But we already have half an hour more daylight than we did in the depths of December
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,346
    Stocky said:

    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    Yes, and though I support masks it links to my residual concern about mask-wearing: people WITH symptoms may feel that have more license to go out and about as long as they are wearing one.
    Exactly!!
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,884

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    Just refer to everyone as 'Comrade'. It's the best way!
    Comrade is party members only. Everyone else is 'Citizen'.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,301

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    Quite, but this will be a slow burn that will continue for the forseeable future. People will gradually hear more about it as businesses incur more costs and, in some cases, close down completely as they can no longer sell profitably to the EU. And of course many significant areas of economic activity, like financial services, are now at the EU's mercy since the terms of future trading are largely unknown and subject to side agreements over which the UK has no leverage.
    Or, there will be a period of quite severe hassle and cost, followed by a couple of years of wearisome readjustment, then we will adapt and realise there are actually some serious benefits and new opportunities - which there will be. And Brexit will recede forever.

    The best analogy is a painful divorce from an unhappy but long lasting marriage. You have to split the house. All those shared possessions. Who gets them? Ugh. You move somewhere smaller. You miss the big garden. You don’t miss the endless bickering...

    Then you realise you are now free. Self reliant. You meet someone else. You have fun again.



  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
    Moving on to Serpent now. Saw Ep.1 and it was a bit grim but will continue.

    Have been making my way steadily through Black Mirror these past few months and if ever there's a tv series not to watch right now...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    IanB2 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
    Here it is warm (for January), wet and miserable.

    But we already have half an hour more daylight than we did in the depths of December
    Snowing outside. Binned off my lunchtime ride.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,630

    Stocky said:

    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    Yes, and though I support masks it links to my residual concern about mask-wearing: people WITH symptoms may feel that have more license to go out and about as long as they are wearing one.
    Exactly!!
    Any thought on the people (38%) isolating for more than 21 days?

    Is this long COVID - people isolating because they *still* have symptoms?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,603

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    Quite, but this will be a slow burn that will continue for the forseeable future. People will gradually hear more about it as businesses incur more costs and, in some cases, close down completely as they can no longer sell profitably to the EU. And of course many significant areas of economic activity, like financial services, are now at the EU's mercy since the terms of future trading are largely unknown and subject to side agreements over which the UK has no leverage.
    At the mercy of the EU? Pull the other one.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 49,963
    Leon said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    Quite, but this will be a slow burn that will continue for the forseeable future. People will gradually hear more about it as businesses incur more costs and, in some cases, close down completely as they can no longer sell profitably to the EU. And of course many significant areas of economic activity, like financial services, are now at the EU's mercy since the terms of future trading are largely unknown and subject to side agreements over which the UK has no leverage.
    Or, there will be a period of quite severe hassle and cost, followed by a couple of years of wearisome readjustment, then we will adapt and realise there are actually some serious benefits and new opportunities - which there will be. And Brexit will recede forever.

    The best analogy is a painful divorce from an unhappy but long lasting marriage. You have to split the house. All those shared possessions. Who gets them? Ugh. You move somewhere smaller. You miss the big garden. You don’t miss the endless bickering...

    Then you realise you are now free. Self reliant. You meet someone else. You have fun again.
    And realise "Why have I been putting up with terrible/no sex for so long?"
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860

    Nigelb said:

    As this points out, provoking media storms over the minutiae of the PM’s exercise habits is not just irrelevant, but crowds out discussion and messaging on the single thing which would make the most difference.
    And which government policy has barely addressed, compared to all their other efforts.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349468460238172160

    The same day the media were losing their shit over Boris biking, Whitty released a clear important statement about how we should treat daily decisions (regardless of rules or guidance). It got vritually no coverage.
    Bad Media for doing that. Bad Boris for giving Bad Media a reason to do it. But Good Whitty for that Message. Moral Duty trumps Rules & Guidance. People must take heed!

    Since we agreed yesterday that Trump is a great communicator, I'm taking a leaf.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,724

    Andy_JS said:

    "This isn’t a moment for gloating and revenge
    Trump should be punished for inciting the Capitol violence but Democrats would be wise to prioritise national healing
    David Aaronovitch" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/comment/this-isn-t-a-moment-for-gloating-and-revenge-rptt07wpg

    And that has been my argument this morning
    It would be enormously to my personal satisfaction if the bastard were ground into the dirt but I am sure it would assist Joe Biden and the Democrats far more to have him hanging around like a bad smell for the next few years. So a minimal slap on the wrists would do just fine.
    And let Deutsche Bank and the State tax people do their worst. And assorted other creditors.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,842
    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    12 hours and counting of snow. Not hard but persistent here.
    Youngest unhappy there is no snow day when the schools are Online.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,301
    TOPPING said:

    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
    Moving on to Serpent now. Saw Ep.1 and it was a bit grim but will continue.

    Have been making my way steadily through Black Mirror these past few months and if ever there's a tv series not to watch right now...
    The Serpent is a great disappointment. Such potential. Cracking true story. Love the locations.

    But the narrative leaps about like a live bat in a red hot wok. Absurdly over complicated. And the accents...

    Shame.
  • Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 49,963
    Selebian said:

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    If not royalty, indeed....
    I've often wondered whether you are in fact Marquess Mark and either modest or with fat fingers
    Just modest with fat fingers.....
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860
    edited January 2021

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    It seems to be your mission to smother every story today! What are we to talk about?
  • Stocky said:

    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    Yes, and though I support masks it links to my residual concern about mask-wearing: people WITH symptoms may feel that have more license to go out and about as long as they are wearing one.
    Exactly!!
    Any thought on the people (38%) isolating for more than 21 days?

    Is this long COVID - people isolating because they *still* have symptoms?
    A number of those will be people not sure of what the right answer is, overestimating. I don't expect everyone replying to that survey was honest and the reality is probably worse than even those figures portray.
    Or maybe I'm being too cynical.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,941

    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
    They've already started administering it.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,842
    edited January 2021
    The "thousand a week" requirement should be dropped from pharmacies. Obviously it made sense when we only had Pfizer but we've got Oxford too now. If you bring in say 2000 extra pharmacies doing 250 a week, well that's a half million extra a week on top of current capacity.
    All adds up.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 31,724
    TOPPING said:

    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
    Moving on to Serpent now. Saw Ep.1 and it was a bit grim but will continue.

    Have been making my way steadily through Black Mirror these past few months and if ever there's a tv series not to watch right now...
    Not going to watch the documentary on the Murders tonight? Might give a different angle.
  • RobD said:

    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
    They've already started administering it.
    But why only in 6 pharmacies if we are getting vets and other volunteers involved?
  • Premier League: Aston Villa v Everton postponed because of Covid outbreak - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/55644144
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950
    Leon said:

    TOPPING said:

    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
    Moving on to Serpent now. Saw Ep.1 and it was a bit grim but will continue.

    Have been making my way steadily through Black Mirror these past few months and if ever there's a tv series not to watch right now...
    The Serpent is a great disappointment. Such potential. Cracking true story. Love the locations.

    But the narrative leaps about like a live bat in a red hot wok. Absurdly over complicated. And the accents...

    Shame.
    I was pondering setting up a spreadsheet and that was only Ep.1. Two years back...20 years forward..24 years back...two years forward...

    sheesh.
  • RobD said:

    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
    They've already started administering it.
    But why only in 6 pharmacies if we are getting vets and other volunteers involved?
    Supplies are limited.
  • BBC News - Covid: Infections levelling off in some areas - scientist
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-55659065
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,301
    As predicted by me, and others. Even if there is no official ‘vaccine visa’ there will be unofficial requirements for one, everywhere - work, travel, play

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/14/pimlico-plumbers-to-introduce-no-jab-no-job-work-contracts-covid?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
  • kinabalu said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    It seems to be your mission to smother every story today! What are we to talk about?
    How bad Drakeford is, is usually acceptable!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 58,941

    RobD said:

    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
    They've already started administering it.
    But why only in 6 pharmacies if we are getting vets and other volunteers involved?
    I don't know. I don't think there will only be six though.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,688
    Selebian said:

    Dr. Blue, damn it.

    Sorry.

    No problem - that's why we all go by weird handles on here, after all.

    Though I do live in hope that PB is host to a coterie of peers of the realm who have for years patiently borne the over-familiarity of being addressed as 'you helm' and other friendly hypocoristics.
    We do (according to autocomplete after @, which offers - I think - only 5 suggestions) have 5+ knights, 5+ lords, 2 ladies, 1 duke and even 1 prince. Exalted company indeed.

    Plus those - such as myself - who consider it too vulgar to include Viscount etc in our handles :wink:

    Strange that English with all its words doesn't have a similar word to the Japanese 'san'.

    (I should perhaps point out the despite my handle I'm in fact not a Duke - he's just my favourite fictional character. When the call comes though, as surely it must, I may well try to adopt it)
  • RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Yesterday our niece started work in the Blackburn vaccination centre. In the cathedral crypt. Day one was a training day - jabbing should start on Monday.

    She is a dentist, so hopefully won't try and inject folk in the gum, rather than the arm.

    It made me take a step back and think about how much work is going in to setting up the centres, staffing them up, getting people trained, setting up logistical chains, contacting the public.

    Good for her, curiously though these steps are happening before we let our pharmacies, who do millions of flu jabs every year, get involved. (I think the first 6 pharmacies are just about to start).
    They've already started administering it.
    But why only in 6 pharmacies if we are getting vets and other volunteers involved?
    I don't know. I don't think there will only be six though.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55649947
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 49,963
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    Thread on why lockdown rules, even with a high rate of compliance, aren’t working very effectively.

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349460083424567299

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349466181518970883

    https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1349467287754076160

    Which is what @MaxPB and others were banging on about months ago.

    That's self reported as well which is going to have an element of people lying to themselves saying that trip to Tesco doesn't count because it was necessary, or that walk where they didn't meet anyone definitely doesn't count. If we did it with GPS tracking after a positive test we'd actually see isolation at closer to 10-15%.
    We have gone from 40% --> 60% complete compliance at a time when the rates of covid in the population have gone through the roof.

    Either we have a small number of prodigious super-spreaders - or people are getting Covid when they do their on-line shopping....
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,860

    Ms. Blue, if Trump were as competent as Agathocles of Syracuse he would've retained the presidency.

    For this purpose I'd go with the amusingly-named Magas of Cyrene, who managed to make himself king in a manner that The Donald would envy.

    p.s. I don't usually insist on titles, but if anything, it's 'Dr.' (formerly 'Mr.'), not 'Ms.'!
    I'm afraid Dr Blue sounds like a Bond villain or a Hollywood pill peddler. So I will not be using it.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,044
    Pulpstar said:

    The "thousand a week" requirement should be dropped from pharmacies. Obviously it made sense when we only had Pfizer but we've got Oxford too now. If you bring in say 2000 extra pharmacies doing 250 a week, well that's a half million extra a week on top of current capacity.
    All adds up.

    Absolutely. :+1:
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 40,950

    TOPPING said:

    kinabalu said:

    TOPPING said:

    off topic

    Finished watching The Pembrokeshire Murders last night. Not a bad police procedural but simply couldn't get over Luke Evans' spooky resemblance to David Milliband.

    I liked it too. Solid. Low key. Did the job. Just like the investigation it featured.
    Moving on to Serpent now. Saw Ep.1 and it was a bit grim but will continue.

    Have been making my way steadily through Black Mirror these past few months and if ever there's a tv series not to watch right now...
    Not going to watch the documentary on the Murders tonight? Might give a different angle.
    Oh. Didn't know it was on. Yes will absolutely.

    What's the scoop on them? Different to the tv prog?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,603
    It's got to be more than six pharmacies, there's two starting COVID jabs next week within walking distance of my parents. I highly doubt that a tiny part of Enfield has got 33% of the pilot programme.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,842

    Premier League: Aston Villa v Everton postponed because of Covid outbreak - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/55644144

    This is the second one we've had postponed due to the other team. We've not had a single positive.
    Play youth team as in FA Cup. Or forfeit.
    There seems to be no punishment or sanction.
    Meanwhile, we've got a fixture pile up.
    Unfair!
  • StockyStocky Posts: 9,653
    Leon said:

    As predicted by me, and others. Even if there is no official ‘vaccine visa’ there will be unofficial requirements for one, everywhere - work, travel, play

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/jan/14/pimlico-plumbers-to-introduce-no-jab-no-job-work-contracts-covid?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

    Government needs to get hold of this. Recall all the guff about GDPR that blighted our lives about trivial matters - are private companies going to be allowed to request details about our health record? I do agree with @Charles the other day when he said this should be legislated against. Dictate by elected government is one this, by a private company is another.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 12,884
    TOPPING said:

    IanB2 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    The next two weeks are going to be exceptionally grim. Peak deaths, peak hospitalisations, peak winter cold, peak horror death pits. And at the end, the tax bill.

    I find this cheering. Just two more weeks. Then you start to notice the slightly brighter evenings.

    Tomorrow is meteorological midwinter.

    It's cold, wet and miserable in Cannock. I've got two heaters on in my office and I'm still snuggled in a blanket.
    Here it is warm (for January), wet and miserable.

    But we already have half an hour more daylight than we did in the depths of December
    Snowing outside. Binned off my lunchtime ride.
    You need these on your 'snow' bike - I use a BMC URS 01.

    https://www.universalcycles.com/shopping/product_details.php?id=31425

    Riding in snow is magnificent. You can pretend to be Hinault in the '81 Liège - Bastogne - Liège.
  • kinabalu said:

    eek said:

    TOPPING said:

    eek said:

    The killer issue here is that no-one understood how bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.

    Say what?

    Small children in Dumbarton knew exactly how the fuck bad the introduction of paperwork was going to be.
    Our Government didn't otherwise we wouldn't be in this mess.
    We all knew. Have you forgotten about the famous impact reports that spelt out how the impact of non tariff barriers was greater than the impact of tariffs?

    https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/971719855182434306
    If Faisal, Scott, or anyone else thinks this is getting any traction with the public while this covid crisis is utterly dominating everyone at present then they are deluded
    It seems to be your mission to smother every story today! What are we to talk about?
    I think you miss the point

    We are politically engaged on here but the public are only interested in one subject and that is covid, hence why EU issues only resonate with the political elite, not the public at large
This discussion has been closed.