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Trump’s reluctance to concede could hinder his party in the Georgia Runoffs – politicalbetting.com
Trump’s reluctance to concede could hinder his party in the Georgia Runoffs – politicalbetting.com
We are all aware of the mighty election battle that takes place in Georgia on January 5th in the runoff elections that could determine whether the Republicans or the Democrats control the Senate. If the Republicans hold the seats then they retain a majority. If the Democratic party wins both seats then with the casting vote of the Vice President, Kamala Harris they will have control albeit by narrowest of margins.
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https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54953677
Erhhh.....what do you think the Vaccine Task Force and JCVI remit is?
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/priority-groups-for-coronavirus-covid-19-vaccination-advice-from-the-jcvi-25-september-2020/jcvi-updated-interim-advice-on-priority-groups-for-covid-19-vaccination
No, definite no plan...
The UK Government has ordered 65m syringes from one manufacturer as part of preparations for a potential Covid-19 vaccine, due for delivery by mid-September.
https://www.pulsetoday.co.uk/news/clinical-areas/immunology-and-vaccines/government-orders-65m-syringes-ahead-of-potential-covid-19-vaccine/
A major trial of a vaccine to protect against Covid-19 has launched in the UK - the third such trial in the country.
The jab - designed by the Belgian company Janssen - uses a genetically modified common cold virus to train the immune system.
https://www.bbc.com/news/health-54951650
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8951969/Rishi-Sunak-considers-plan-charge-motorists-mile-drive-Britains-roads.html
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1328093294782509060?s=21
So I do think they can run with "Trump won the election" and "Stop the Democrats getting the one ring to rule them all" simultaneously.
A bigger problem for the GOP is that Trump has effectively told his people not to do mail-in voting, which is OK for him (as his base will crawl to the polls over broken glass for him) but may not be so great for minor GOP senators. Given that both sides are going to have basically unlimited money and volunteers, I'm sure they'd rather turn them out over 3 weeks rather than relying on everyone finding time on the day.
Biden 1.07
Democrats 1.06
Biden PV 1.03
Biden PV 49-51.9% 1.04
Trump PV 46-48.9% 1.05
Trump ECV 210-239 1.08
Biden ECV 300-329 1.08
Biden ECV Hcap -48.5 1.04
Biden ECV Hcap -63.5 1.06
Trump ECV Hcap +81.5 1.01
AZ Dem 1.03
GA Dem 1.05
MI Dem 1.04
NV Dem 1.04
PA Dem 1.05
WI Dem 1.06
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1328200072987893762?s=21
I'm on Ossoff at 2/1 with Betfair Sportsbook.
Speaking of Betfair, they are still not settling up on Biden 300-329 ECVs. I think this is really poor and I have complained. What with this and the kind of shenanigans that Mike highlights I am not impressed with them right now.
Any scheme would need to be clearly revenue neutral, and require existing taxes on motoring to be scrapped rather than built on - and no massive spyware or tracking databases.
Maybe, after the pandemic effects susbside, a Conservative chancellor might start taking a very hard look at what the government is spending, rather than simply how to raise more money in taxes.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=3VAq7SB8t0I
There is no sane or ethical justification for them failing to settle this market. It's sharp practice and leaves a bad smell.
When they do finally pay out, put everything of Lewis Hamilton for the Sports Personality award, he’s 1.85 on Betfair at the moment, but who else has any significant sporting achievements this year?
Remember: winners are never happy, and loser complain incessantly, so hard to see the upside.
I think Ossoff will beat Perdue but that Loeffler will beat Warnock in the other to leave it 49-51.
David Perdue has declined any further debates with Jon Ossoff after the latter so memorably eviscerated him in a video which went viral.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/15/politics/david-perdue-jon-ossoff-debate-georgia-runoff-election/index.html
Re. the markets, that's a non argument. 'It's settled when the results are final' are weasel-words, and you know it. Trump will go on whingeing until 2024 or the day he dies, whichever is the later. Perhaps Betfair will continue to use that as a shield to shirk their responsibilities. The result is now sorted beyond reasonable doubt.
And, incidentally, I'm referring to their Sportsbook market so it is their actions as bookmaker not broker to which I refer.
It's rubbish and unjustifiable.
No excuse for Betfair. None.
Is he going for the zombie apocalypse as well?
Any scheme that simply adds more costs to the motorist (ie doesn’t scrap VED or make petrol noticeably cheaper at the same time) will be nearly as popular as the Poll Tax in Scotland.
It will be interesting to see how Labour react to this proposal though. For all their love of environmentalism, the very last people to buy EVs are those who currently run an old banger that’s essential for them to get to a low-paid job
It’s like expecting fidelity from Ryan Giggs. Touching but naive.
The other thing we should all be aware of is that a significant chunk of our road network is now upwards of 60 years old, is carrying far more traffic at far greater weight than it was designed for and the concrete is crumbling. There’s going to have to be a huge renewal programme for things like bridges over the next 20 years and it ain’t gonna be cheap.
Yes, there’s a lot of road renewal required, and while huge sections of the M1 and M6 have been done in recent years there’s an awful lot more that will need doing soon.
That isn’t going to improve the road maintenance/renewal, as you originally noted. It will probably see the Severn Bridge closed to vehicle traffic, for a start.
https://twitter.com/billmaher/status/1327478205733687297
If contact patches are 25% bigger on average, that would even it out, no?
(Of course, contact patches on vehicles like the i3 and the Prius are probably smaller.)
Have they stopped talking about the Brynglas tunnels yet, and started digging? It’s nearly 25 years now, since the second bridge opened and shifted the bottleneck a few miles west.
The shoes that do the most damage to a wooden floor are ladies’ stilettos.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-48512697
It still carries a fair amount of traffic. Enough that closing it altogether wouldn’t help congestion in Bristol.
Tyson Fury but he's not fought since his heavyweight title win in February so memories may have faded.
Two I've previously suggested are worth looking at are Marcus Rashford and Hollie Doyle.
Rashford is 3.65 to win but 2.32 to be in the top three, which is unusually generous. The question with Rashford is whether he is nominated. There are not many other footballers to choose from, though I leave to you to judge if HMG will lean on the BBC. I think the opposition to Rashford came from Gove and Cummings, so this may be less of a fear now the latter has departed.
The BBC will want some women on the shortlist and I think Hollie Doyle (she is a jockey) has the best claim here. She has just ridden more than 100 winners for the second season running and blah blah blah -- I'm not trying to convince a jury to vote for her. Racing is an ITV sport, though, if that still matters. She is 48 on Betfair and 40/1 with Hills.
Given that the DVLA will already sell your name and address to any cowboy parking firm who gives them a number place, who’s to say this wouldn’t turn into a police state fanatic’s wet dream? (and result in a huge uptick in car thefts by people not wanting to be tracked, for whatever nefarious reason).
Policymakers inevitably live and work in London or close to a station, and have never worked shifts in a low-paid job that required a car.
The person who would benefit the most from any such scheme, is the rich guy who has to decide which of the fleet he’s going to take that day - he currently pays thousands in road tax.
I can’t see a Rashford nomination making it past Tim Davie: it would be making the whole event political the week before Christmas, and give huge ammunition to those opposed to the BBC. I can see them giving him the Gary Linekar Woke award or something similar, or have him collect something on behalf of all sportsmen protesting racism this year.
Guess it would be bad for your new business but from a policy point of view it would:
make compliance automatic so no more uninsured drivers and related societal costs and govt subsidies for them
reduce the generational wealth gap and increase employment mobility for the young
reduce red tape giving both cost savings at govt level and save time for drivers
possibly good for the environment, by making the price per mile more tangible and transparent
But I do think that uncertainty is why Rashford's top three price is so generous. Rashford is 2.32 to place: both Fury and O'Sullivan are odds-on to place despite being several times Rashford's win price.
Tyson Fury was long odds in February whilst Hollie Doyle is a viable longshot if the BBC publicise what is involved in her success.In France female jockeys are given positive discrimination with a gender weight allowance .In Britain they are not.
So we’ve got a flat race between three horses and a car, that the car will win if it’s allowed to compete.
I’m betting on Hamilton for now, or rather topping up small bets from earlier in the year, then waiting for the nominations.
It may be in a car but F1 is definitely a sport if risk to life is part of the definition.
Otherwise the only sports are those which don't use any tools at all - which would rule out golf and tennis, for example.
F1 certainly requires levels of fitness, reflexes, natural talent and expertise as great as any other professional sport.
Comedians in general have been good on this stuff, see also Dave Chapelle. They were among the first people to realise the power of Trump, as they toured the small towns of the country and saw a very different world to that in NY and CA.
The analysis of what just happened says that people voted for not-Trump, but didn’t vote positively for Democrats elsewhere.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superstars#World_Superstars
And Jenson Button was (is?) a very competitive triathlete.
Since humans started making cars, there have been competitions to see who could build the fastest one! Today’s F1 drivers are genuinely athletic, they spend several hours a day in the gym and can lose a couple of kilos as sweat during a race. They’re putting their life on the line each time they get into the car, although thankfully fewer get killed or injured now than in the past.
Meets most definitions of sport to me, as I’m sure your dinner party neighbour agreed.
You can also bet on it, which I’m sure meets your approval and is why the subject comes up for discussion on your forum.
Not to mention that tens of thousands of people work in the multi-billion pound motorsport industry, and the U.K. leads the world in the cutting edge technology. Mercedes might be a German company, but the F1 outfit is entirely British, 1,500 highly-skilled people getting two cars ready to race every other Sunday.
While it's true that its use in Hispanic communities is relatively rare, it's a term of self-identification for some.
https://www.history.com/news/hispanic-latino-latinx-chicano-background
I take the view that you call people what they want to be called. No doubt the Democrats will come round to that in time.
It's a principle that seems quite antipathetic to Trump's version of Republicanism.
All the evidence has been around for months and months that when in indoor spaces it is not sufficient to simply stay 2 metres apart from everyone. Masks and good ventilation and not spending too long in the same place are also crucial.
And then we get pictures of Johnson having meetings with casual contacts where they don't even do the 2m thing.
It's almost as if they've made no serious investigations/not taken on board research into how the virus actually spreads, or how it's most likely to spread.
It's no wonder we are still stuck with the implementing the crude blunt instruments of blanket lockdowns, which only keep certain activities open on the basis of need and not on the basis of risk.
As a general rule - votes must have consequences. Brexit I think has frayed that social compact but ultimately it has been respected. The resentment at the Brexit vote being ignored must be drained by actually implementing Brexit.
So in one sense, I actually feel more confident about British democracy, even if I feel much less confident about Johnson. At some point the public will judge him on results. And his excuses of unelected judges, the BBC, the courts will start to fall flat. I hope.
https://twitter.com/bbcmartynoates/status/1327958985614495744?s=21
But the manager of the team in second is muttering darkly about points deductions despite there being no reason whatsoever to imagine that will happen.
As MR says, there is no excuse.
The people involved aren't really grownups.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8951241/Coronavirus-emerged-Italy-earlier-thought-Italian-study-shows.html
https://old.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/juabvy/unexpected_detection_of_sarscov2_antibodies_in/