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In the £105m WH2020 exchanges its Biden 62% – Trump 35% – politicalbetting.com

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Comments

  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    I think we can safely say that the conspiracy theories are out of the window.
  • I remember in 2000 a dead candidate won a Senate election.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,487
    edited October 2020
    kle4 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Robert Moore on ITV news says if Trump goes on a ventilator s25 of the constitution will be invoked and the formal powers of the Presidency temporarily passed to VP Pence

    Makes sense. People got into an absolutely ridiculous flap when Boris was out of action and we don't even have that kind of presidential system so legally it wasn't a problem, so for them such a formal move would be necessary.
    Yes the Queen still remained UK Head of State when Boris was on a ventilator, advised by the Cabinet, if Trump goes on a ventilator however there would be no acting US Head of State until Pence temporarily assumes the office.

    When Reagan was shot and underwent surgery VP Bush temporarily assumed presidential powers for that period, when JFK was assassinated LBJ took the oath of office in the plane carrying his coffin back to DC
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,775

    nico679 said:

    Trump off to hospital now

    Link?
    Reported on Sky News.

    Now updated on Graun website as well...

    The White House has confirmed that the president will go to Walter Reed medical center and stay there for “the next few days.”

    The full White House statement:

    “President Trump remains in good spirits, has mild symptoms, and has been working throughout the day. Out of an abundance of caution, and at the recommendation of his physician and medical experts, the President will be working from the presidential offices at Walter Reed for the next few days. President Trump appreciates the outpouring of support for both he and the First Lady.”
    Love the phrase “abundance of caution”.
    Senator Lee used just that phrase, as the video emerged of him hugging people at the White House.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,474

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    BBC news confirming Trump being taken by Marine One to a military hospital tonight

    Flying not good in hypoxia.
    Be a bit early to get the hypoxia surely Doc?

    Isn't that a thing that hits after a few days (as in five or more) of fighting the virus?
    Perhaps he has had it for 5 days.

    Shifting him by air transfer to hospital is quite a move. Perhaps he reacted badly to the antibody infusion.

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    Pulpstar said:

    This is Boris Johnson on fast forward. Quicker the virus develops the worse the prognosis I believe too...

    Maybe he's had it for days and there have just been two or three false negatives in his daily tests.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,509
    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    I hope Biden is ok but I fear he actually might be at significant risk. He also does not look like the most robust man to me (same with Trump).

    Kudos to those who took the Pence bet. Even if it does not come off, it will have been proven to have been a smart move.

    Re Trump, whatever you think of the man, no one should wish for someone else's death.

  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    Foxy said:

    HYUFD said:

    BBC news confirming Trump being taken by Marine One to a military hospital tonight

    Flying not good in hypoxia.
    Be a bit early to get the hypoxia surely Doc?

    Isn't that a thing that hits after a few days (as in five or more) of fighting the virus?
    How long do we think he's been ill already?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,706

    I remember in 2000 a dead candidate won a Senate election.

    First incorruptable member of the Senate?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    Biden and most of the sane world are now awaiting every one of the challenger's daily tests with extreme nerves I reckon.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    Pulpstar said:

    This is Boris Johnson on fast forward. Quicker the virus develops the worse the prognosis I believe too...

    Maybe he's had it for days and there have just been two or three false negatives in his daily tests.
    I read earlier that the White House testing regime uses a test that is well known for false negatives
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,775

    Message from David Herdson.

    'If [Trump] dies after I've finished my piece, I'll fucking kill him.'

    Sounds reasonable.
  • dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    He did.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,723
    Have there been any head to head Pence vs Harris polls?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,560

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Pence is already on the ticket I think as VP.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,345

    Message from David Herdson.

    'If [Trump] dies after I've finished my piece, I'll fucking kill him.'

    Jesus, just add a paragraph at the end man.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Who is Trump's physician? Is he any good?
  • dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    And we know nothing ever happens when he does...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,706
    Trump's hair looks grey in this photo from the BBC story. Lighting issue or out of hair dye?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-54396670
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Yokes said:

    Message from David Herdson.

    'If [Trump] dies after I've finished my piece, I'll fucking kill him.'

    Jesus, just add a paragraph at the end man.
    It's a joke!
  • Yokes said:

    dixiedean said:

    Sopel saying that there's already a fully equipped medical centre in the WH, so...

    Yep. You don't use a helicopter for a mild case or tests.
    Not even for POTUS.
    Doesn't he pretty much always travel by Marine One?
    You'd be right there, using a chopper is practical
    It is but its not really designed to be secretive is it? Cameras are surely bound to catch pictures of him shortly and how he looks getting into the chopper - and is he walking or in a wheelchair etc?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 49,474

    dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    He did.
    Anyone seen the giant asteroid?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405

    Message from David Herdson.

    'If [Trump] dies after I've finished my piece, I'll fucking kill him.'

    You are meant to write two pieces in these cases: one for survival and one for the grim reaper.
  • Pulpstar said:

    This is Boris Johnson on fast forward. Quicker the virus develops the worse the prognosis I believe too...

    Maybe he's had it for days and there have just been two or three false negatives in his daily tests.
    It seems increasingly likely he already had it at the debate ...
  • glwglw Posts: 9,987

    dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    He did.
    FFS!
  • alex_ said:

    Who is Trump's physician? Is he any good?

    I do remember one of Trump's physicians said back in 2017 that Trump was in peak physical health, and it was fake news to say Trump was overweight and obese.
  • dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    And we know nothing ever happens when he does...
    Both Mike and myself were on holiday last weekend, I was expecting the world to end last weekend.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,560
    One thing remains true:

    Hillary Clinton has no path to the Whitehouse.
  • alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,706
    Not a record you really want, to be honest. Though it seems he went on to a good career.

    Hence, John Ashcroft became the first ever U.S. Senate candidate, incumbent or otherwise, to be defeated by a dead person.

    It says the dead man's widow was appointed to the seat in his stead, which I feel is something I've see occur on various american TV shows over the years for posts big and small. I can see appointing to fill a vacancy can be difficult, but it seems strange to me to appoint the spouses of the deceased. There's no guarantee they will have any political acumen and they might not share all the views of their dearly departed or the local party machinery. And when it comes to the exercise of political power over the people it seems an odd place to let sympathy override any other factors.
  • I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Nothing postpones the election, it is set in stone.

    If he dies then the Trump/Pence ticket becomes a Pence/unknown ticket.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    I think this has successfully put me off a trip to the pub for another week.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    Newsnight wondering whether this will postpone the election.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    edited October 2020
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Yokes said:

    Its fair to say if you are being treated with essentially experimental treatments tested on hundreds, and your wife possibly isn't using these treatments, they are worried.

    The lack of a video address/tweeting suggested something was up

    Carting him to hospital makes sense

    His risk factor is far higher than hers.
    The experimental treatment in itself doesn’t really tell you all that much (on its own), as it’s intended to be given to patients before their condition becomes serious.
    The statement that it was, to paraphrase slightly "infused without incident" was eyebrow rasing.

    Who was expecting an incident?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,509
    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,987

    alex_ said:

    Who is Trump's physician? Is he any good?

    I do remember one of Trump's physicians said back in 2017 that Trump was in peak physical health, and it was fake news to say Trump was overweight and obese.
    Was that the one that said Trump could live to be 200 years old?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,757
    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Pelosi
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,345

    alex_ said:

    Who is Trump's physician? Is he any good?

    I do remember one of Trump's physicians said back in 2017 that Trump was in peak physical health, and it was fake news to say Trump was overweight and obese.
    His doc said earlier that Trump has no co-morbidities. That hes a fat bloke, never mind that.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Nothing postpones the election, it is set in stone.

    If he dies then the Trump/Pence ticket becomes a Pence/unknown ticket.
    Let's hope so. Because I'm afraid I wouldn't put up past this WH to lie about the whole thing to get a postponement.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,948

    dixiedean said:

    Didn't OGH just go on holiday?

    And we know nothing ever happens when he does...
    Both Mike and myself were on holiday last weekend, I was expecting the world to end last weekend.
    Ironically, that was the least disrupted of the last three Fridays, RBG having died some time after midnight the week before.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    I hope Biden is ok but I fear he actually might be at significant risk. He also does not look like the most robust man to me (same with Trump).

    Kudos to those who took the Pence bet. Even if it does not come off, it will have been proven to have been a smart move.

    Re Trump, whatever you think of the man, no one should wish for someone else's death.

    Not Pol Pot's or Mussolini's?

    No one should express the wish for someone else's death. However it is reasonable to point out that there is a major advantage if Trump loses this election by being dead or seriously incapacitated rather than just being outvoted, which is the potential buggering about between November and January it saves the USA from (which would have the potential to cost more than just the one life).
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Given that nobody believes any statements coming out of the White House any more, at least an outcome of all this might be to insist on improved standards for White House briefings?
  • alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Has ACB been formally nominated already? If they become temporarily incapacitated could she withdraw the nomination?
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    I remember in 2000 a dead candidate won a Senate election.

    Last night I dreamed a dreary dream,
    Beyond the Isle of Skye,
    I dreamed a dead man won a fight,
    And that dead man was I
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,706
    IshmaelZ said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    I hope Biden is ok but I fear he actually might be at significant risk. He also does not look like the most robust man to me (same with Trump).

    Kudos to those who took the Pence bet. Even if it does not come off, it will have been proven to have been a smart move.

    Re Trump, whatever you think of the man, no one should wish for someone else's death.

    Not Pol Pot's or Mussolini's?
    .
    There are exceptions to any rule when it comes to the extremes of humanity.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Supreme Court appointment is off in that case.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,948

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Nothing postpones the election, it is set in stone.

    If he dies then the Trump/Pence ticket becomes a Pence/unknown ticket.
    Not necessarily (but probably). See tomorrow.

    Actually, the bigger problem is if he dies after the election (or so close to it that the RNC can't nominate an alternative candidate).
  • alex_ said:

    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
    No, if they are incapacitated she still becomes acting President.

    She will need the cabinet to confirm that POTUS and VPOTUS are unable to discharge their duties.
  • Newsnight wondering whether this will postpone the election.

    image
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,239

    BF suspended again.

    BF suspended again.

    Forgive my lack of knowledge but what is the effect of a BF suspension as I have no knowledge of betting
    It pisses us all off
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,487
    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    As President Trump followed by President Pelosi is just what is needed to bring America together
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    I've read a learned opinion on this matter published via the Washington Post website. The suggestion is that, should Trump win but expire before the Electoral College has a chance to convene - either before or shortly after the general election - then the Republican National Committee would recommend a replacement, and it is highly likely that the Republican delegates in the Electoral College would back that person (though if this happened at very short notice I imagine the Republican electors would simply nominate Pence.)

    The only likely complication would be if the RNC were divided and more than one rival candidate emerged, in which case there might be no outright winner in the College and the President would have to be elected by the House instead.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    Russia made a move yet?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,706
    alex_ said:

    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
    If both are incapacitated then in effect it's the same as if they are dead, no one to take decisions, so I would not have thought so.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,948

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Although that provision of the Act might well be unconstitutional. Just saying.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,345

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Supreme Court appointment is off in that case.
    it might be in danger anyway if GOP senators start dropping like nine pins with Covid over the coming weeks
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,591

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Nothing postpones the election, it is set in stone.

    If he dies then the Trump/Pence ticket becomes a Pence/unknown ticket.
    Not necessarily (but probably). See tomorrow.

    Actually, the bigger problem is if he dies after the election (or so close to it that the RNC can't nominate an alternative candidate).
    Haven’t hundreds of thousands of people already (likely) voted for Trump?
  • alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Although that provision of the Act might well be unconstitutional. Just saying.
    So it might make the legal profession?

    Hoorah.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,239
    HYUFD said:

    Pulpstar said:
    Well I did say earlier Pence would effectively be acting President from today for the time being
    I took 85 on BF when markets came out of suspension early for a bit of insurance. And I already had a few quid on him months ago at lower odds.
  • alex_ said:

    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
    Die or become judged to be incapacitated. If Trump were to go on a ventillator then tradition is to hand powers to the Veep.

    Once that's happened, there'd be immense pressure not to see anything happen to Pence or acknowledge it as being serious given who would be next in line.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Seems to be a delay in the helicopter transfer. Suggests he can't get to the helicopter unaided?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    I remember in 2000 a dead candidate won a Senate election.

    First incorruptable member of the Senate?
    Not unless they embalmed him, no.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,509

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Has ACB been formally nominated already? If they become temporarily incapacitated could she withdraw the nomination?
    There was some talk of McConnell shutting the Senate.
    In case GOP Senators weren't able to make the vote.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,398
    Blimey. This has all the hallmarks of Boris situation... he's not that sick etc. until he suddenly is...

    Feeling a little dirty i took those Pence bets at 80/1 earlier.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,775
    Alistair said:



    Nigelb said:

    .

    Yokes said:

    Its fair to say if you are being treated with essentially experimental treatments tested on hundreds, and your wife possibly isn't using these treatments, they are worried.

    The lack of a video address/tweeting suggested something was up

    Carting him to hospital makes sense

    His risk factor is far higher than hers.
    The experimental treatment in itself doesn’t really tell you all that much (on its own), as it’s intended to be given to patients before their condition becomes serious.
    The statement that it was, to paraphrase slightly "infused without incident" was eyebrow rasing.

    Who was expecting an incident?
    I think this is fair:
    https://twitter.com/ZekeEmanuel/status/1312139711427735552

    As is this:
    https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1312140835861917696
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Supreme Court appointment is off in that case.
    She could cheekily put in an alternate nominee and challenge the Senate to stick to the timetable?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,239
    Jeez, Pence was down to 8 with BF when they suspended the market. That`s ridiculous unless Trump is way worse than is being reported.
  • chrisbchrisb Posts: 114

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    I've read a learned opinion on this matter published via the Washington Post website. The suggestion is that, should Trump win but expire before the Electoral College has a chance to convene - either before or shortly after the general election - then the Republican National Committee would recommend a replacement, and it is highly likely that the Republican delegates in the Electoral College would back that person (though if this happened at very short notice I imagine the Republican electors would simply nominate Pence.)

    The only likely complication would be if the RNC were divided and more than one rival candidate emerged, in which case there might be no outright winner in the College and the President would have to be elected by the House instead.
    According to Betfair's rules the market is settled "according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market."

    So if Trump's name is on the ballot as the presidential candidate, wouldn't he be the winner by Betfair's rules even if it's Pence who is eventually sworn in?
  • That not what CNN are saying. They say the press pack are waiting on the South Lawn and waiting to see if they will be able to ask questions.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    IshmaelZ said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    I hope Biden is ok but I fear he actually might be at significant risk. He also does not look like the most robust man to me (same with Trump).

    Kudos to those who took the Pence bet. Even if it does not come off, it will have been proven to have been a smart move.

    Re Trump, whatever you think of the man, no one should wish for someone else's death.

    Not Pol Pot's or Mussolini's?

    No one should express the wish for someone else's death. However it is reasonable to point out that there is a major advantage if Trump loses this election by being dead or seriously incapacitated rather than just being outvoted, which is the potential buggering about between November and January it saves the USA from (which would have the potential to cost more than just the one life).
    Do you really think Trump is the equivalent of Pol Pot? Really?

    I can (just about) see why people might see him as a Mussolini.

    Do you think if people came on here talking about Jeremy Corbyn being the reincarnation of Stalin, that would be acceptable?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,757
    alex_ said:

    Who is Trump's physician? Is he any good?

    No

    He said he was not obese
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,591

    That not what CNN are saying. They say the press pack are waiting on the South Lawn and waiting to see if they will be able to ask questions.
    Yeah that bloke has just deleted his tweet!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,757
    alex_ said:

    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
    No ITU on a ventilator would be enough
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Nigelb said:

    Alistair said:



    Nigelb said:

    .

    Yokes said:

    Its fair to say if you are being treated with essentially experimental treatments tested on hundreds, and your wife possibly isn't using these treatments, they are worried.

    The lack of a video address/tweeting suggested something was up

    Carting him to hospital makes sense

    His risk factor is far higher than hers.
    The experimental treatment in itself doesn’t really tell you all that much (on its own), as it’s intended to be given to patients before their condition becomes serious.
    The statement that it was, to paraphrase slightly "infused without incident" was eyebrow rasing.

    Who was expecting an incident?
    I think this is fair:
    https://twitter.com/ZekeEmanuel/status/1312139711427735552

    As is this:
    https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1312140835861917696
    What is the relevance of Ebola???
  • Is it bad I don't want to go to bed, this is starting to feel monumental.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,405
    rkrkrk said:

    Blimey. This has all the hallmarks of Boris situation... he's not that sick etc. until he suddenly is...

    Feeling a little dirty i took those Pence bets at 80/1 earlier.

    I'm on at 220. From March. In a plague year you need insurance.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,487
    edited October 2020
    Evangelicals in the US must be having mixed feelings tonight, ostensibly praying for Trump but also secretly knowing that in the event of his death Pence would take over and they would have one of their own in the White House
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    I presume the GE doesn't get postponed even if Trump is incapacitated? And if he dies? Is it Pence on the ticket?

    Nothing postpones the election, it is set in stone.

    If he dies then the Trump/Pence ticket becomes a Pence/unknown ticket.
    Not necessarily (but probably). See tomorrow.

    Actually, the bigger problem is if he dies after the election (or so close to it that the RNC can't nominate an alternative candidate).
    Haven’t hundreds of thousands of people already (likely) voted for Trump?
    Yes, BUT the effect of voting for the Republican candidate, should that individual obtain a majority in any given state (or district in Maine and Nebraska,) is to return a Republican delegate or delegates to the Electoral College. If they convene in circumstances where the Republican candidate has actually died then they are free to vote how they please (technically, in states where there is legislation to prohibit faithless electors, it's arguable that the delegates would still be obliged to vote for the dead candidate, but in practice one questions whether this would be enforced.)
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,239
    HYUFD said:

    Evangelicals in the US must be having mixed feelings tonight, ostensibly praying for Trump but also secretly knowing that in the event of his death Pence would take over and they would have one their own in the White House

    The way your mind works!
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,398

    rkrkrk said:

    Blimey. This has all the hallmarks of Boris situation... he's not that sick etc. until he suddenly is...

    Feeling a little dirty i took those Pence bets at 80/1 earlier.

    I'm on at 220. From March. In a plague year you need insurance.
    Very prescient. 80 was a steal given we knew he had the virus at this point.
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    Is it bad I don't want to go to bed, this is starting to feel monumental.
    It's a bit pointless, unless you feel like sticking around for the chat. If things are going to escalate it's not going to happen *that* quickly.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792
    edited October 2020
    Tomorrow’s Times looks like it has a good story about a vaccine...
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    Nigelb said:

    Alistair said:



    Nigelb said:

    .

    Yokes said:

    Its fair to say if you are being treated with essentially experimental treatments tested on hundreds, and your wife possibly isn't using these treatments, they are worried.

    The lack of a video address/tweeting suggested something was up

    Carting him to hospital makes sense

    His risk factor is far higher than hers.
    The experimental treatment in itself doesn’t really tell you all that much (on its own), as it’s intended to be given to patients before their condition becomes serious.
    The statement that it was, to paraphrase slightly "infused without incident" was eyebrow rasing.

    Who was expecting an incident?
    I think this is fair:
    https://twitter.com/ZekeEmanuel/status/1312139711427735552

    As is this:
    https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1312140835861917696
    Of course, this is Zeke, Rahm's brother, and Obama's Healthcare czar.
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578

    That not what CNN are saying. They say the press pack are waiting on the South Lawn and waiting to see if they will be able to ask questions.
    I'm assuming the WH Is not stupid in knowing that, if Marine One is on the lawn, it's going to be in full sight of the press pack. So I am kind of wondering whether he is going to come out walking and actually say something.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Regeneron must be praying that their treatment didn’t put him in hospital. Not a great look at the next shareholder meeting to accidentally kill the US President.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,509
    MrEd said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    MrEd said:

    LadyG said:

    I think Trump is political goner, and possibly a mortal goner (RIP - I hope I am wrong, he may be a bastard but every man's death diminishes me)

    WTF does that mean? Biden must also be at severe risk.

    2020 is just superb entertainment, however insane

    I hope Biden is ok but I fear he actually might be at significant risk. He also does not look like the most robust man to me (same with Trump).

    Kudos to those who took the Pence bet. Even if it does not come off, it will have been proven to have been a smart move.

    Re Trump, whatever you think of the man, no one should wish for someone else's death.

    Not Pol Pot's or Mussolini's?

    No one should express the wish for someone else's death. However it is reasonable to point out that there is a major advantage if Trump loses this election by being dead or seriously incapacitated rather than just being outvoted, which is the potential buggering about between November and January it saves the USA from (which would have the potential to cost more than just the one life).
    Do you really think Trump is the equivalent of Pol Pot? Really?

    I can (just about) see why people might see him as a Mussolini.

    Do you think if people came on here talking about Jeremy Corbyn being the reincarnation of Stalin, that would be acceptable?
    They regularly did.
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited October 2020

    Is it bad I don't want to go to bed, this is starting to feel monumental.
    It's a bit pointless, unless you feel like sticking around for the chat. If things are going to escalate it's not going to happen *that* quickly.
    Could do.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,239

    Is it bad I don't want to go to bed, this is starting to feel monumental.
    Exactly what I was thinking!
  • alex_ said:

    dixiedean said:

    alex_ said:

    So if both Pence and Trump were to become temporarily (not permanently) incapacitated, who acts as President?

    Nancy Pelosi.
    Yes really.
    Isn't that just if they die?
    No ITU on a ventilator would be enough
    Theoretically but there's no formal definition.

    If the President doesn't declare himself incapacitated then someone else authorised to do so would need to via the 25th Amendment. That's essentially either a supermajority of Congress or a majority of Trump's own Cabinet including the Veep.
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