Could Trump ditch Pence? The sort of thing he does, but all the more so if he is suffering in the polls.
I think the more desperate his situation in the polls, and thus the more desperate to find someone else to blame he gets, the more unpredictable will be his actions.
Like others I cannot confidently think of Trump's defeat given last time. Damn Clinton.
I wonder if the first episode of Blackadder II will pass muster, where Blackadder falls for what he thinks (despite it being obvious not the case) is his male manservant, given the exended scene of the doctor mocking him for possibly being gay. He wasn't the good guy in the scene, but one cannot be too careful.
I am gay and I do find that scene somewhat cringeworthy, but I wouldn't want it banned. It was of its time, and most of that show is still great fun (though FWIW if you were being a hardcore SJW killjoy you could write the whole thing off for its comic dismissal of the oppression of the working class by the feckless aristocracy.)
Generally speaking there's too much of a rush to judgement and the atmosphere around these issues is far too censorious. We need better to distinguish between situations where people make mistakes of which they repent, where there are honest differences of opinion on difficult topics, and where people are wilfully offensive and discriminatory. This whole culture wars bollocks involves people branding each other as members of the latter category whenever they say something that doesn't fit *precisely* into their own worldview. It's crude and destructive and I wish it would stop.
About the only thing to be said in favour of Chinese-style despotism is at least one of the first acts of the speculative dictator thereof would be to put Twitter behind an impenetrable firewall, never to be seen again.
A thoughtful view. Not welcome.
Personally I come at some of these issues acknowledging that due to history and culture we're not in a place where issues of gender, sexuality and race etc are unworthy of comment or that there are no issues to address, I cannot simply dismiss things by believing that they are better now than they used to be, but I have this lingering concern that we presently are becoming so hyper aware of specific charactertistics that it becomes a little self defeating. It feels like we are creating ever more tribes with their own sub-tribes - with people expected to think and feel things for their tribe and sub-tribe - rather than working toward some utopian star trek future of all peoples in harmony. Heck, even star trek doesn't have that anymore.
I don't know what the solution is, and to get change sometimes there needs to be disruption aggression, but some of the aggression at present feels a little inefficiently directed, and one note with all sins being equally outrageous.
But at the end of the day the more aggressive will win, as I don't have the will to fight it.
Around June 11 2016 Clinton led 5-12 point in the polls and still lost.
She wasn't facing an incumbent dealing with 30m unemployed, a pandemic not under control and massive demos and disorder. And obviously totally out of his depth. And she was Hilary. So yes, he could still win but the situation is very different.
The West India Quay one is more interesting, because Mayor Sadiq seems to have taken pride in committing a criminal offence carrying a potential 2 years in jail and unlimited fine.
Would it be impossible to implement some kind of law that said that if a product is sold in a country, the workers who made it must be paid that country's minimum wage?
It would do wonders for the UK garment industry. If, for example, Bangladeshi garment workers had to be paid the British minimum wage for clothes sold in Britain, then the competitive advantages of offshoring the manufacture of clothes would be removed. Might as well make them in the UK again and dispense with the costs of shipping them halfway round the world.
Of course, it would also make the clothes a lot more expensive and serve to highlight just how hard up, relative to the UK average, a lot of families in this country really are. The news for them would be that formerly cheap clothes from the likes of Primark or the local supermarket would now be priced at mid-market level, so if you want something new to wear you probably can't afford it anymore. Instead, it's an exciting opportunity to rummage through other peoples' castoffs in the charity shops.
There's an important question here. For most of us, if our clothes cost twice as much and we kept them for twice as long, would we really be worse off?
We'd be morally better off if we paid the slave labour we keep out of sight the going rate
It is quite interesting to see, around the world, how invariant the productivity cost of labour is. That is, the actual labour cost against stuff produced.
With some exceptions - mainly things like the garment industry, where simple skills combine with automation - this is a function of education, cultural, legal stability, societal structures etc.
An old favourite - in the 1980s, the Economist found that German steel workers cost 19x as much as their Indian counterparts. The German workers were making 22x as much steel, though.
The whole get-a-PHd-for-50p-a-day thing is exaggerated and is long gone, in any case. Chinese wages have rocketed for example - many have come acropper assuming that outsourcing is cheaper, just because. Much of their advantage now is being current incumbent...
If you imposed UK minimum wages on imports, then, quite simply you would be closing off imports from the non-first world. You would be launching a trade war with most of the human race.
The next decade is likely to see middle class service sector jobs outsourced to cheaper countries in the same way that working class manufacturing ones were.
Attempts to stop it will be made under the guise of 'maintaining standards'.
I work in high end IT - its been tried a number of times.
The productivity cost keeps on wacking the managers in the back of the head.
Yes, I can get developers for x% of London wages. But it doesn't work out cheaper. In fact, one company where I worked, which had development sites around the world, actually worked out the real cost of software development. Cheapest to most expensive -
1) London / Eastern Europe
The first 2 were basically a dead heat
2) US 3) Canada 4) India
India was dead last on every metric. When you go and see how things work there, it is easy to understand.
The biggest issue in London is getting the really good people.
Around June 11 2016 Clinton led 5-12 point in the polls and still lost.
She wasn't facing an incumbent dealing with 30m unemployed, a pandemic not under control and massive demos and disorder. And obviously totally out of his depth. And she was Hilary. So yes, he could still win but the situation is very different.
It helps that Americans haven't been trained to hate Biden for 24 years. Versus a guy who had years of a TV show about how great he was, him and Chavez. All the senility memes can't beat that difference among the average American voter.
Around June 11 2016 Clinton led 5-12 point in the polls and still lost.
She wasn't facing an incumbent dealing with 30m unemployed, a pandemic not under control and massive demos and disorder. And obviously totally out of his depth. And she was Hilary. So yes, he could still win but the situation is very different.
It helps that Americans haven't been trained to hate Biden for 24 years. Versus a guy who had years of a TV show about how great he was, him and Chavez. All the senility memes can't beat that difference among the average American voter.
Sleepy Joe is a terrible nickname too. He's used them to encapsulate his opponents in ways which struck home. Lying Ted, Little Marco. But.
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
Would it be impossible to implement some kind of law that said that if a product is sold in a country, the workers who made it must be paid that country's minimum wage?
It would do wonders for the UK garment industry. If, for example, Bangladeshi garment workers had to be paid the British minimum wage for clothes sold in Britain, then the competitive advantages of offshoring the manufacture of clothes would be removed. Might as well make them in the UK again and dispense with the costs of shipping them halfway round the world.
Of course, it would also make the clothes a lot more expensive and serve to highlight just how hard up, relative to the UK average, a lot of families in this country really are. The news for them would be that formerly cheap clothes from the likes of Primark or the local supermarket would now be priced at mid-market level, so if you want something new to wear you probably can't afford it anymore. Instead, it's an exciting opportunity to rummage through other peoples' castoffs in the charity shops.
There's an important question here. For most of us, if our clothes cost twice as much and we kept them for twice as long, would we really be worse off?
We'd be morally better off if we paid the slave labour we keep out of sight the going rate
It is quite interesting to see, around the world, how invariant the productivity cost of labour is. That is, the actual labour cost against stuff produced.
With some exceptions - mainly things like the garment industry, where simple skills combine with automation - this is a function of education, cultural, legal stability, societal structures etc.
An old favourite - in the 1980s, the Economist found that German steel workers cost 19x as much as their Indian counterparts. The German workers were making 22x as much steel, though.
The whole get-a-PHd-for-50p-a-day thing is exaggerated and is long gone, in any case. Chinese wages have rocketed for example - many have come acropper assuming that outsourcing is cheaper, just because. Much of their advantage now is being current incumbent...
If you imposed UK minimum wages on imports, then, quite simply you would be closing off imports from the non-first world. You would be launching a trade war with most of the human race.
The next decade is likely to see middle class service sector jobs outsourced to cheaper countries in the same way that working class manufacturing ones were.
Attempts to stop it will be made under the guise of 'maintaining standards'.
I work in high end IT - its been tried a number of times.
The productivity cost keeps on wacking the managers in the back of the head.
Yes, I can get developers for x% of London wages. But it doesn't work out cheaper. In fact, one company where I worked, which had development sites around the world, actually worked out the real cost of software development. Cheapest to most expensive -
1) London / Eastern Europe
The first 2 were basically a dead heat
2) US 3) Canada 4) India
India was dead last on every metric. When you go and see how things work there, it is easy to understand.
The biggest issue in London is getting the really good people.
I worked with a startup developing an app. They've always used Indian developers, but have to spend much of their management time on planes to make sure the Indians they use understand what's needed of them. They have a disconcerting tendency to say they understand things when they don't.
Their best people are excellent, though, when they know what they've got to do, and for less than per hour I pay my cleaner.
The West India Quay one is more interesting, because Mayor Sadiq seems to have taken pride in committing a criminal offence carrying a potential 2 years in jail and unlimited fine.
I thought we already discussed this and established that the Docklands statue is not included in the listed building status of the nearby building as it was erected almost fifty years after the building was listed?
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
Interesting. If Trump were to lose on the issue, could he accept he'd lost or would he try to whip up (surely unsuccessfully) a military rebellion over it?
The West India Quay one is more interesting, because Mayor Sadiq seems to have taken pride in committing a criminal offence carrying a potential 2 years in jail and unlimited fine.
I thought we already discussed this and established that the Docklands statue is not included in the listed building status of the nearby building as it was erected almost fifty years after the building was listed?
It all sounded a bit of a grey area from what I could make out. We shouldn't have to wait long for matters to be cleared up though: if Khan can face a legal challenge over it, then someone will make one.
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
Would it be impossible to implement some kind of law that said that if a product is sold in a country, the workers who made it must be paid that country's minimum wage?
It would do wonders for the UK garment industry. If, for example, Bangladeshi garment workers had to be paid the British minimum wage for clothes sold in Britain, then the competitive advantages of offshoring the manufacture of clothes would be removed. Might as well make them in the UK again and dispense with the costs of shipping them halfway round the world.
Of course, it would also make the clothes a lot more expensive and serve to highlight just how hard up, relative to the UK average, a lot of families in this country really are. The news for them would be that formerly cheap clothes from the likes of Primark or the local supermarket would now be priced at mid-market level, so if you want something new to wear you probably can't afford it anymore. Instead, it's an exciting opportunity to rummage through other peoples' castoffs in the charity shops.
There's an important question here. For most of us, if our clothes cost twice as much and we kept them for twice as long, would we really be worse off?
We'd be morally better off if we paid the slave labour we keep out of sight the going rate
It is quite interesting to see, around the world, how invariant the productivity cost of labour is. That is, the actual labour cost against stuff produced.
With some exceptions - mainly things like the garment industry, where simple skills combine with automation - this is a function of education, cultural, legal stability, societal structures etc.
An old favourite - in the 1980s, the Economist found that German steel workers cost 19x as much as their Indian counterparts. The German workers were making 22x as much steel, though.
The whole get-a-PHd-for-50p-a-day thing is exaggerated and is long gone, in any case. Chinese wages have rocketed for example - many have come acropper assuming that outsourcing is cheaper, just because. Much of their advantage now is being current incumbent...
If you imposed UK minimum wages on imports, then, quite simply you would be closing off imports from the non-first world. You would be launching a trade war with most of the human race.
The next decade is likely to see middle class service sector jobs outsourced to cheaper countries in the same way that working class manufacturing ones were.
Attempts to stop it will be made under the guise of 'maintaining standards'.
I work in high end IT - its been tried a number of times.
The productivity cost keeps on wacking the managers in the back of the head.
Yes, I can get developers for x% of London wages. But it doesn't work out cheaper. In fact, one company where I worked, which had development sites around the world, actually worked out the real cost of software development. Cheapest to most expensive -
1) London / Eastern Europe
The first 2 were basically a dead heat
2) US 3) Canada 4) India
India was dead last on every metric. When you go and see how things work there, it is easy to understand.
The biggest issue in London is getting the really good people.
I worked with a startup developing an app. They've always used Indian developers, but have to spend much of their management time on planes to make sure the Indians they use understand what's needed of them. They have a disconcerting tendency to say they understand things when they don't.
Their best people are excellent, though, when they know what they've got to do, and for less than per hour I pay my cleaner.
We had a large IT project with work outsourced to India. The Senior Indian PM reported progress on schedule until the deadline, then went on holiday until his team made a partial delivery of sub-standard code. This happened 3 times over 6 months, and any complaints about poor delivery or quality were called out as racism. The Indian coders were Ok but it was the culture not to be up front about problems that caused issues. We could have managed the delay if they'd been honest.
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
"After a weekend of massive peaceful protests around the country, White House officials are currently deliberating a plan for President Donald Trump to address the nation this week on issues related to race and national unity."
We did get a tweet praising a crazy archbishop's letter to him about the "offspring of the Serpent", freemasons, and the "deep state", though. C'mon, Donald, tell us about unity...
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
As I found out when I attended Brighton Uni, when you give the far left power, their principles go out of the window, and they become exactly like the people they replaced. They just have different prejudices, bias, and victims of their jokes
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
Interesting. If Trump were to lose on the issue, could he accept he'd lost or would he try to whip up (surely unsuccessfully) a military rebellion over it?
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
Trump sounds scared of Republican senators
The House Minority Leader has declared himself "open" to the idea. It is not inconceivable that some may be toying with the thought. Ones facing re-election with an unpopular President for example.
Mmm. Southern Pride or racism? Bit of a strange binary choice there. I would say both. Southern Pride. Pride in racism.
For the South states rights is still a big issue, except Virginia every state which fought for the Confederacy in the US civil war voted for Trump
Well indeed. In a way I can see the edgy attraction of a white guy from Mississippi or South Carolina flying one as a regional pride thing. Even if it misguided. It is the "ultra patriotic" loons from Michigan and Ohio whose logic I really don't follow.
I don't see why the BBC are obliged to have all of their shows available to watch on Netflix or whatever it is that's cancelled an episode of Fawlty Towers though. It's not illegal to buy the DVD, I don't really get the fuss over it.
Would it be impossible to implement some kind of law that said that if a product is sold in a country, the workers who made it must be paid that country's minimum wage?
It would do wonders for the UK garment industry. If, for example, Bangladeshi garment workers had to be paid the British minimum wage for clothes sold in Britain, then the competitive advantages of offshoring the manufacture of clothes would be removed. Might as well make them in the UK again and dispense with the costs of shipping them halfway round the world.
Of course, it would also make the clothes a lot more expensive and serve to highlight just how hard up, relative to the UK average, a lot of families in this country really are. The news for them would be that formerly cheap clothes from the likes of Primark or the local supermarket would now be priced at mid-market level, so if you want something new to wear you probably can't afford it anymore. Instead, it's an exciting opportunity to rummage through other peoples' castoffs in the charity shops.
There's an important question here. For most of us, if our clothes cost twice as much and we kept them for twice as long, would we really be worse off?
We'd be morally better off if we paid the slave labour we keep out of sight the going rate
It is quite interesting to see, around the world, how invariant the productivity cost of labour is. That is, the actual labour cost against stuff produced.
With some exceptions - mainly things like the garment industry, where simple skills combine with automation - this is a function of education, cultural, legal stability, societal structures etc.
An old favourite - in the 1980s, the Economist found that German steel workers cost 19x as much as their Indian counterparts. The German workers were making 22x as much steel, though.
The whole get-a-PHd-for-50p-a-day thing is exaggerated and is long gone, in any case. Chinese wages have rocketed for example - many have come acropper assuming that outsourcing is cheaper, just because. Much of their advantage now is being current incumbent...
If you imposed UK minimum wages on imports, then, quite simply you would be closing off imports from the non-first world. You would be launching a trade war with most of the human race.
The next decade is likely to see middle class service sector jobs outsourced to cheaper countries in the same way that working class manufacturing ones were.
Attempts to stop it will be made under the guise of 'maintaining standards'.
I work in high end IT - its been tried a number of times.
The productivity cost keeps on wacking the managers in the back of the head.
Yes, I can get developers for x% of London wages. But it doesn't work out cheaper. In fact, one company where I worked, which had development sites around the world, actually worked out the real cost of software development. Cheapest to most expensive -
1) London / Eastern Europe
The first 2 were basically a dead heat
2) US 3) Canada 4) India
India was dead last on every metric. When you go and see how things work there, it is easy to understand.
The biggest issue in London is getting the really good people.
I worked with a startup developing an app. They've always used Indian developers, but have to spend much of their management time on planes to make sure the Indians they use understand what's needed of them. They have a disconcerting tendency to say they understand things when they don't.
Their best people are excellent, though, when they know what they've got to do, and for less than per hour I pay my cleaner.
We had a large IT project with work outsourced to India. The Senior Indian PM reported progress on schedule until the deadline, then went on holiday until his team made a partial delivery of sub-standard code. This happened 3 times over 6 months, and any complaints about poor delivery or quality were called out as racism. The Indian coders were Ok but it was the culture not to be up front about problems that caused issues. We could have managed the delay if they'd been honest.
Former colleague's husband worked for RBS, and his whole team were in India. Complete shitfest. Not terribly impressive from a publicly owned bank.
The West India Quay one is more interesting, because Mayor Sadiq seems to have taken pride in committing a criminal offence carrying a potential 2 years in jail and unlimited fine.
I thought we already discussed this and established that the Docklands statue is not included in the listed building status of the nearby building as it was erected almost fifty years after the building was listed?
It was erected ages ago. Taken away and put back recently.
I don't see why the BBC are obliged to have all of their shows available to watch on Netflix or whatever it is that's cancelled an episode of Fawlty Towers though. It's not illegal to buy the DVD, I don't really get the fuss over it.
I tried to buy Gone With The Wind today but it was sold out.
I don't see why the BBC are obliged to have all of their shows available to watch on Netflix or whatever it is that's cancelled an episode of Fawlty Towers though. It's not illegal to buy the DVD, I don't really get the fuss over it.
I tried to buy Gone With The Wind today but it was sold out.
I don't see why the BBC are obliged to have all of their shows available to watch on Netflix or whatever it is that's cancelled an episode of Fawlty Towers though. It's not illegal to buy the DVD, I don't really get the fuss over it.
I tried to buy Gone With The Wind today but it was sold out.
So is Fawlty Towers now apparently
No prob. I still have my Black and White Minstrel Show compilations to last me through lockdown.
Other versions of the same video with the same message are still available online but they show only white people when Sir David talks of population growth.
I have committed the sin of speaking in defence of JK Rowling on Facebook and appear to have lost some friends as a result. What a dispiriting way to have spent a Thursday evening.
I suppose nobody thinks of themselves as a bigot. Is there a reliable test?
I have committed the sin of speaking in defence of JK Rowling on Facebook and appear to have lost some friends as a result. What a dispiriting way to have spent a Thursday evening.
I suppose nobody thinks of themselves as a bigot. Is there a reliable test?
Around June 11 2016 Clinton led 5-12 point in the polls and still lost.
Yes, and that's why Biden is only a narrow favorite at this point in time.
One thing I don't think is fully appreciated is how narrow Trump's margin really was. If you run a Monte Carlo simulation where you apply a random number of +2.5 to -2.5% on each of the individual states (while keeping the overall vote shares at 48-46) - i.e. the kind of random variation that we'd expect between elections even if the top-line doesn't change - then you see Trump dropping (on average) about 30 EVs. He ends up President in most scenarios... but far from all.
For Trump campaign rallies, attendees must agree not to sue if they get the virus.
"I don't care how sick you are. I don't care if you just came back from the doctor and he gave you the worst possible prognosis, meaning it's over - you won't be around in two weeks. Doesn't matter. Hang out until November 8th. Get out and vote."
Four-star general Mark Milley has said that his accompanying Trump on the walk to the photo-op outside the church was a "mistake". Unfortunately he doesn't say whose mistake he thinks it was. I haven't found a full transcript but in the clip I've seen it's not true to say he apologises. Whose mistake it was is important because if it was his then that would mean that if in the future his commander-in-chief were to give him a direct order to do it again he would disobey. If it was Trump's mistake it might only be a matter of "Permission to speak, Sir? I think you're making a mistake", followed by carrying out the order as instructed if Trump replied "No I'm not - just do it."
Presumably when Milley says he shouldn't have gone for a walk what he really means is there are no good grounds for invoking the Insurrection Act and the military should not be used to crush riots on the scale that they have occurred.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
They were in favour of it.
Rome is going to have to undergo some major renovations in order to fit with the new standards.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
They were in favour of it.
Rome is going to have to undergo some major renovations in order to fit with the new standards.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
They were so far ahead of their time that they were an inspiration for the British Empire.
The route from slave to citizen was a lot longer (and involves more paperwork) in the British iteration, so clearly we still have much to learn.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
They were in favour of it.
Rome is going to have to undergo some major renovations in order to fit with the new standards.
The Pyramids have got to go, too.
Just flatten everything everywhere pre 2000, just to be on the safe side. Well other than the Marxist stuff, that gets a pass.
Chart-topping US pop group Lady Antebellum have changed their name to Lady A because Antebellum has connotations with the slavery era. They say they took the name from the architectural style,
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
Didn't the Romans invent that word?
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
They were in favour of it.
Rome is going to have to undergo some major renovations in order to fit with the new standards.
The Pyramids have got to go, too.
Just flatten everything everywhere pre 2000, just to be on the safe side. Well other than the Marxist stuff, that gets a pass.
Wasn't Harris supposed to have crashed and burned ages ago? I cannot keep track of these american races
I think the trajectory was: * Appeared to take positions among the base like supporting Medicare For All * Had a (single) debate win against Biden * Spiked in the polls, grew her campaign really big * Backed off her base-pleasing positions * Followup debates were kind-of meh * Polls went back to normal * Ran out of money, dropped out
So she didn't blow herself up with some disqualifying gaffe or anything, she just mismanaged her campaign. That's not really disqualifying for the VP spot, since Biden runs the campaign not her, and she just has to say the lines they give her, which she seems entirely capable of doing. But it's a bit unfortunate for the Democrats (more than for Biden) if the next-in-line to their very elderly president isn't very good.
Wasn't Harris supposed to have crashed and burned ages ago? I cannot keep track of these american races
I think the trajectory was: * Appeared to take positions among the base like supporting Medicare For All * Had a (single) debate win against Biden * Spiked in the polls, grew her campaign really big * Backed off her base-pleasing positions * Followup debates were kind-of meh * Polls went back to normal * Ran out of money, dropped out
So she didn't blow herself up with some disqualifying gaffe or anything, she just mismanaged her campaign. That's not really disqualifying for the VP spot, since Biden runs the campaign not her, and she just has to say the lines they give her, which she seems entirely capable of doing. But it's a bit unfortunate for the Democrats (more than for Biden) if the next-in-line to their very elderly president isn't very good.
The Trump campaign will presumably be scouring the Democrat primaries for any criticisms of Biden by his VP pick so although I backed Harris earlier, her current price is less tempting. It would not greatly surprise me if the eventual nominee is not on OGH's chart. That said, the running mate's main job in a normal election would be to out-debate Mike Pence, which does not seem too onerous. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy!
What else we should remember about that put-down is that Dan Quayle was answering a question about his ascending to the presidency should anything happen to George Bush. Joe Biden's running mate will surely face the same question.
BBC election night for the 2016 US presidential election:
At 4 mins: "Exit poll: 61% of voters see Trump unfavourably". (The figure for Hillary Clinton was 54%).
www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VKuY0JCmiI
I remember seeing that figure at the time and thinking there was no way Trump would win the election with such a high unfavourable rating in the exit poll.
Could Trump ditch Pence? The sort of thing he does, but all the more so if he is suffering in the polls.
Tulsi Gabbard, you heard it here first
That's very believable.
The question is does that help or harm the Trump campaign?
The issue is with the Religious Right, I think. Especially as there's a fair chance that his VP might end up President.
Well, the context is that he's losing to Biden. I think the religious right would almost certainly back Trump over Biden in that situation. But in any case, even if this isn't a sure thing, if you're heading for near-certain defeat unless you can get some *new* voters from somewhere (in this case the Tankie left) it's worth rolling the dice on whether you'll keep the ones you already have.
Could Trump ditch Pence? The sort of thing he does, but all the more so if he is suffering in the polls.
Tulsi Gabbard, you heard it here first
If Trump does want a Democrat running mate, surely Ivanka is closer to home.
Ivanka doesn't bring over anyone new (OK, maybe some of Ivanka's followers on instagram), Tulsi brings large parts of the Bernie Sanders base.
Bringing Sanders' supporters to Trump seems unlikely; certainly not "large parts". For a start, Bernie himself might be persuaded to make a pro-Biden speech.
Ditching Pence would not be too shocking. Pence is no longer needed to attract the Christian right, and Pence is too susceptible to the sort of brain-fade moments that Trump will want to attack Biden for. The trouble with Tulsi is it looks too much like a stunt. There's no upside.
Comments
Seriously?
Like others I cannot confidently think of Trump's defeat given last time. Damn Clinton.
Personally I come at some of these issues acknowledging that due to history and culture we're not in a place where issues of gender, sexuality and race etc are unworthy of comment or that there are no issues to address, I cannot simply dismiss things by believing that they are better now than they used to be, but I have this lingering concern that we presently are becoming so hyper aware of specific charactertistics that it becomes a little self defeating. It feels like we are creating ever more tribes with their own sub-tribes - with people expected to think and feel things for their tribe and sub-tribe - rather than working toward some utopian star trek future of all peoples in harmony. Heck, even star trek doesn't have that anymore.
I don't know what the solution is, and to get change sometimes there needs to be disruption aggression, but some of the aggression at present feels a little inefficiently directed, and one note with all sins being equally outrageous.
But at the end of the day the more aggressive will win, as I don't have the will to fight it.
Pleasant night to all.
(It's not like Carry On; they don't need the run up. And it *is* the size of a knitting needle. Or it was last Thursday.)
And she was Hilary.
So yes, he could still win but the situation is very different.
The West India Quay one is more interesting, because Mayor Sadiq seems to have taken pride in committing a criminal offence carrying a potential 2 years in jail and unlimited fine.
https://historicengland.org.uk/listing/the-list/list-entry/1242440
The productivity cost keeps on wacking the managers in the back of the head.
Yes, I can get developers for x% of London wages. But it doesn't work out cheaper. In fact, one company where I worked, which had development sites around the world, actually worked out the real cost of software development. Cheapest to most expensive -
1) London / Eastern Europe
The first 2 were basically a dead heat
2) US
3) Canada
4) India
India was dead last on every metric. When you go and see how things work there, it is easy to understand.
The biggest issue in London is getting the really good people.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J8ZHXGHEfHM
This is 2020:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SA1SxZoFmOU
And some think she should be Biden's running mate.
He's used them to encapsulate his opponents in ways which struck home. Lying Ted, Little Marco. But.
Joe. Ordinary. Dull even.
Sleepy. Restful. Peaceful. Relaxed.
Does anyone actively want any more excitement in 2021?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3H43sIeck4
Not offended it's just bloody awful.
Their best people are excellent, though, when they know what they've got to do, and for less than per hour I pay my cleaner.
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1270840792517615629?s=20
https://twitter.com/GoodwinMJ/status/1271087290748555264?s=20
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=96T2uSjn_mc
I would say both.
Southern Pride. Pride in racism.
CNN, 7 June:
"After a weekend of massive peaceful protests around the country, White House officials are currently deliberating a plan for President Donald Trump to address the nation this week on issues related to race and national unity."
We did get a tweet praising a crazy archbishop's letter to him about the "offspring of the Serpent", freemasons, and the "deep state", though. C'mon, Donald, tell us about unity...
Is he related to Ron?
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-in-russia-deaths-could-be-much-higher-than-official-tally-new-data-from-moscow-suggest/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=90624168
In a way I can see the edgy attraction of a white guy from Mississippi or South Carolina flying one as a regional pride thing. Even if it misguided.
It is the "ultra patriotic" loons from Michigan and Ohio whose logic I really don't follow.
You think the rust belt is going to give him another chance?
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/black-lives-matter-attenborough-video-deleted-amid-racism-claims-zdqs08dw3
Well that's okay then.
I suppose nobody thinks of themselves as a bigot. Is there a reliable test?
https://twitter.com/hershpat/status/1271040559248035844
One thing I don't think is fully appreciated is how narrow Trump's margin really was. If you run a Monte Carlo simulation where you apply a random number of +2.5 to -2.5% on each of the individual states (while keeping the overall vote shares at 48-46) - i.e. the kind of random variation that we'd expect between elections even if the top-line doesn't change - then you see Trump dropping (on average) about 30 EVs. He ends up President in most scenarios... but far from all.
For Trump campaign rallies, attendees must agree not to sue if they get the virus.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPQLYrCyd3Y
What about Robert Downey Jr in Tropic Thunder: he played a white man playing a black man...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WtN4U2xng1M
Presumably when Milley says he shouldn't have gone for a walk what he really means is there are no good grounds for invoking the Insurrection Act and the military should not be used to crush riots on the scale that they have occurred.
Trump - still on the ticket on 3 November? Ha!
https://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-53005676
Antebellum architecture
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antebellum_architecture
At this rate we won't just be taking down statues and banning movies / tv-shows, we are literally going to have to come up with new names for basically anything old.
What was their stance on slavery and general human mistreatment?
The route from slave to citizen was a lot longer (and involves more paperwork) in the British iteration, so clearly we still have much to learn.
* Appeared to take positions among the base like supporting Medicare For All
* Had a (single) debate win against Biden
* Spiked in the polls, grew her campaign really big
* Backed off her base-pleasing positions
* Followup debates were kind-of meh
* Polls went back to normal
* Ran out of money, dropped out
So she didn't blow herself up with some disqualifying gaffe or anything, she just mismanaged her campaign. That's not really disqualifying for the VP spot, since Biden runs the campaign not her, and she just has to say the lines they give her, which she seems entirely capable of doing. But it's a bit unfortunate for the Democrats (more than for Biden) if the next-in-line to their very elderly president isn't very good.
The question is does that help or harm the Trump campaign?
The issue is with the Religious Right, I think. Especially as there's a fair chance that his VP might end up President.
What else we should remember about that put-down is that Dan Quayle was answering a question about his ascending to the presidency should anything happen to George Bush. Joe Biden's running mate will surely face the same question.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMaEC-C4Y20
Just 24 out of 128 asked about reforms to address colonial legacy are committed to idea"
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/jun/11/only-fifth-of-uk-universities-have-said-they-will-decolonise-curriculum
At 4 mins: "Exit poll: 61% of voters see Trump unfavourably". (The figure for Hillary Clinton was 54%).
www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VKuY0JCmiI
I remember seeing that figure at the time and thinking there was no way Trump would win the election with such a high unfavourable rating in the exit poll.
Ditching Pence would not be too shocking. Pence is no longer needed to attract the Christian right, and Pence is too susceptible to the sort of brain-fade moments that Trump will want to attack Biden for. The trouble with Tulsi is it looks too much like a stunt. There's no upside.