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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Behind all the terrible COVID-19 statistics a story of two wom
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Behind all the terrible COVID-19 statistics a story of two women that really touched me
The above was painted by my daughter-in-law, Lucille Smithson, who is a professional portrait painter based in Los Angeles and is producing a number of works relating to the coronavirus pandemic. This is what she wrote about this painting:
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Thieves have made off with all the motorway signs in Yorkshire.
Police are currently looking for Leeds.
I've always thought Biden was suffering from the earliest stages of dementia, but he performed surprisingly OK during the head-to-head debates with Sanders.
And, of course, the story out of any debate is more likely to be something Trump said that anything Biden says.
In some way shape or form.
The numbers don't work otherwise. Either economically or electorally.
Look for the fresh prints.
A 10% swing is all that it'd take to tip the scales now and that point should be reached in the next couple of weeks.
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1255235384876978182
Trump, on the other hand, speaks his utter nonsense with conviction, which convinces some folks. Indeed, the old saw that it's not what you say but how you say it applies especially to Trump who once said, I believe, that he could stand on New York’s Fifth Avenue “and shoot somebody” and still not lose voters. And he did get away with it.
Let's see if he can get away with advising bleach ingestion.
Boris and Sunak will borrow indefinitely rather than put up tax or cut spending on the police, schools or NHS
Also, say lockdown was ended tomorrow - would everyone go back to normal pre-covid activity levels? I don't think so.
I think HYUFD is right about how they will react.
It has made the basic analysis a piece of piss though as I can now use the date_diff function and there's no manual copying and pasting involved. Unfortunately I've lost access to the company Looker account but I can use Datastudio so will look at some simple visualisations.
Plus - if the government is brave enough - a freeze on welfare, hopefully Boris' 80 seat majority will help with this!
Taxes will rise
I think it was Bill Clinton who said something about coming back as the bond markets.
So that means tax rates do not go up (for any tax). Instead what you do is:
- Freeze allowances
- Reduce reliefs
I would have thought a pretty significant cut to relief for pension contributions is the most obvious big revenue earner - maybe restrict to basic rate.
Also cut CGT allowance from £12,000 to say £1,500, reduce ISA limit from £20,000 to say £10,000.
Next maybe scrap 0% rate on first £5,000 of savings income, scrap £2,000 dividend allowance.
The list goes on - lots of things you can do that most people don't have faintest idea about.
Tory MPs might not like it but neither will they like to see unfettered borrowing nor cuts in public services.
The families of bus drivers , shop workers, prison officers and other frontline staff who have died from coronavirus should be entitled to the £60,000 life assurance alongside those of healthcare workers, according to employees and unions.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/28/calls-include-bus-drivers-60k-payouts-coronavirus-deaths
Before we know it will be anybody who died. And £60k won't be enough, it will be £100k.
For the umpteenth time Boris is a populist not a deficit hawk like Osborne or May
Caroline Abrahams, charity director at Age UK, said age alone should not determine people’s ability to go about their daily lives if the government decides to begin easing some of the restrictions.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/apr/28/longer-lockdown-for-over-70s-could-create-sense-of-victimisation
Erhhh yes it should....I don't care how fit you think you are as an oldie, you are in much more likely to be big trouble if you get this and over 70.
You are talking of some right wingers in the party like yourself but they will be outvoted by the rest and a general consensus of equity that the wealthy have to pay more
And make self employed pay their fair rate of NI.
Yebbut - I fear for the mental health of those in that category. Some over 80s will just give up. Lockdown is hardly ideal for keeping dementure at bay either.
We have a Tory majority and it will pursue Tory policies
Pensioner has gross income:
Pension £12,500
Dividends £7,000
Bank interest £1,000
Total £20,500
Tax Bill = NIL!
Personal allowance £12,500. Dividend allowance £2,000. Interest allowance £1,000. And finally the clever one that nobody knows about: Starter rate 0% on first £5,000 of (remaining) savings income.
Plus of course they could have large amounts of ISA income and gains all also tax free!
Closing tax evasion loopholes is all the Tory manifesto promised not raising tax. That is what Labour governments do
Your evidence for that assertion is...?
They've been frozen for years. Now you to freeze them some more?
I expect it to stay 'advisory'; it is unreasonable to mandate these individuals must stay in, that would not be supported or enforceable. And would guarantee LAB a big GE win in 2024!
But we are very different conservatives, you a Trump leaning right winger, and me a compassionate liberal conservative
Indeed over time Boris is likely to leave the right in his wake as he creates a fair society with good public services and sensible tax increases to address the levels of unfairness we see
https://twitter.com/MsHelicat/status/1255244996699205632/photo/1
https://github.com/GPflow/GPflow
There is another big saving which Govt will automatically make - no tax credits for any 3rd and subsequent children born after 5/4/17.
Every year this saving rises big time as children reaching 18 drop out of the system and no new children come in. Already 3/18 of such children are excluded - in 5 years time that is 8/18.
Of course other big thing is raising pension age.
What causes the least amount of political pain in the short term?
It's probably worth emphasising that if pressure on hospital admissions increased then they would be lower priority for admission but that is probably too complex for those who ignore common sense.
Is the message ITV are giving out that domestic violence is an unimportant and trivial matter?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aUNlmoCEVLU&t=319s
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/06/09/boris-johnsons-radical-plan-slash-income-tax-3million-raising/
We will also need to keep taxes low to get the economy growing again post lockdown anyway